جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

koshishen ho rahi hain ke wo is izafa ko jaari rakhein, halanke dealers ki taraf se kuch attempts is izafe ko dabaane ki bhi hain. Agar aap Monday se lekar Saturday raat tak price movement ko dekhein, to bullish trend ki shart price ko steadily upward taraf le ja sakti hai. Is hafte price 191.96 position tak barh gayi hai. Daily trading 184.78 se shuru hui aur aakhir mein daily bullish candlestick ke sath close hui. Is sab ke dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke request buyers ke control mein hai. GbpJpy market ke potential ke hawalay se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke market abhi bhi uptrend mein hai, jaisa ke pichlay haftay dekha gaya tha. Buyers ke control mein lagta hai, jis se price mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Aaj bhi price mazeed upar jaane ka irada rakhta hai aur hum kuch zones ko plan kar sakte hain taake buy positions ko open kiya ja sake, jo ke trend movement pattern ke mutabiq buyer ke control mein lagta hai. Mera khayal hai ke price 192.83 ke zone ke qareeb ja sakta hai.
Aakhri raat price 191.67 par ruk gayi kyunki weekend ke liye request band ho gayi. Meri raaye yeh hai ke agle hafte buy position lena trading ka behtareen focus hoga, kyunki GBP/JPY request par buyers ka asar ab bhi kaafi dominant hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle bullish trip mein candlestick 192.47 ki price range ko test karne ke liye phir se upar ja sakti hai. Pichle dino ka bullish trip agle hafte bhi jaari rehne ki achi sambhavna rakhta hai. Shayed hafte ki shuruaat par candlestick thodi correction dikha sakti hai, jo Monday se Tuesday tak ho sakta hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke candlestick behtar bullish trend ki taraf move karegi jab hafte ka darmiyan aayega. Meri tawaqqo yeh hai ke price ab bhi upward movement ki taraf hai taake buyers ke target ki taraf barh sake. Agle hafte mujhe lagta hai ke price ke paas upar

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko Asian session ke doran pullback ka samna kiya, jiss se pichle do trading dinon mein hui gains ko reverse kar diya. Pair takriban 190.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, yani 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, yani 180.09 tak gir sakta hai.
GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake.
Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek significant bearish market reversal ka imkaan hai, jaise ke pichle hafte ke aakhri dinon mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya market dobara neeche ki taraf jaayega ya phir candlestick upward reverse hone wale trend ko continue karega. Candlestick position ke reference se dekha jaye, jo abhi tak consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, tou is se ye andaza hota hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai.

dominate kar rahe hain aur pair ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain, jahan unka target ek significant support zone 195.12 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh area pehle bhi ek critical support ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers is level ke neeche break karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, taake bearish trend ko continue karne ka signal mil sake. Agar yeh key support zone break ho jata hai, toh aur neeche ki taraf movement ka raasta khul sakta hai, jo pair ko mazeed losses ke risk mein daal dega.
Sellers ki strength ko aur barhawa milne ki umeed CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se hai, jo market sentiment par kafi asar daal sakta hai. Agar yeh data bearish outlook ko favor karta hai, toh isse price ko 195.12 ke neeche le jaane ke liye aur momentum mil sakta hai. Aise scenarios mein, fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko reinforce karti hai aur market reaction ko aur zyada pronounced bana deti hai.

Is setup mein primary focus yeh hai ke sellers is support level ko decisively break karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyon ke agar yeh move successfu

### GBP/JPY H1 Time Frame

GBP/JPY H1 time frame par, GBP/JPY currency pair ne pichle kuch dinon mein ek mazboot upar ka rujhan dikhaya hai. Daam ki harkat lagatar upar ja rahi hai, jo market mein strong bullish sentiment ka aks hai. Filhal, yeh pair 195.04 ke level par trading kar raha hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke pound yen ke khilaf achha perform kar raha hai. Yeh upar ki taraf harkat kai factors ke jor se hai, dono technical aur mumkinah fundamental, jo ke traders ko dekhne mein madad de sakte hain.

### Technical Signals

Ek key technical signal jo bullish outlook ko mazid taqat deta hai, wo hai moving average lines ka position. Yeh lines, khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages, abhi daam ke neeche hain, jo ongoing uptrend ki taqat ko darust karti hain. Jab daam in key moving averages se upar rahta hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers control mein hain, aur market aane wale waqt mein upar ki taraf barhne ka imkaan hai. Yeh ek classic bullish market ka indicator hai, jo traders ko upward momentum mein confidence deta hai.

### Ichimoku Indicator ka Jaiza

Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue, humne dekha ke kal daam mein kami aayi; shuru mein candle tenkan-sen aur kijun-sen lines ke upar thi, lekin ab yeh unke neeche aa gayi hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke GBP/JPY ki harkat Monday ko bearish ho sakti hai, jo ke support level 184.48 ko test kar sakti hai. Agar GBP/JPY is support level ko torne mein nakam rahe, toh daam ke rebound hone ka imkaan hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum GBP/JPY pair ki price increase rally ko support kar raha hai, magar ek downward correction phase ki zarurat hai taake agla price movement aur barh sake.

Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se dekhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh hint deta hai ke zyada downside limited ho sakti hai, jabke moving averages ek potential bearish crossover ka ishara kar rahe hain, jo seller dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Iske ilawa, Fibonacci retracement levels yeh batate hain ke next major support around 182.50 par hai, jo buyers ke liye ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi

Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf
chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi ke

GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziyata significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziyata significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai Technical analysis ke principle "the trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, yeh pair apni upward journey jari rakhne ki umeed hai. Lekin, is bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye 193.49 ke resistance line ke upar ek decisive breakout zaroori hoga. Aik decisive breakout ki pehchan ek lambi green candle se hogi jo apni high par close karegi, ya phir lagataar 3 green candles jo is level ke upar close hongi. Halanke, medium-term trend ab tak sideways hai, jo ke kisi bhi direction mein koi wazeh bias nahi de raha. Iske baraks, long-term trend ab tak bullish hai, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke upward momentum abhi bhi likely hai.

bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne ke haq mein

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko Asian session ke doran pullback ka samna kiya, jiss se pichle do trading dinon mein hui gains ko reverse kar diya. Pair takriban 190.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, yani 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, yani 180.09 tak gir sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake.
Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek significant bearish market reversal k a imkaan hai, jaise ke pichle hafte ke aakhri dinon mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya market dobara neeche ki taraf jaayega ya phir candlestick upward reverse hone wale trend ko continue karega. Candlestick position ke reference se dekha jaye, jo abhi tak consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, tou is se ye andaza hota hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai.

GBP/JPY ka movement MA 200 se kaafi upar tha, jo ke ek aur zyada ahmiyat wala bullish trend ka ishara de raha tha. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein is strength aur trend ko monitor


karna dilchasp hoga. Mera andaza hai ke ye barhti hui power aur reversal moment aage chal kar ek aur ziyata significant bullish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke bullish movement ka ye significant power agle hafte ke aaghaz mein barqarar rahe. Horizontal line resistance level 191.56 ka break hona ye tasdeeq karta hai ke GBP/JPY apne bullish trend ko aur ziyata significant tor pe barqarar rakhega. Is waqt tak, bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai Technical analysis ke principle "the trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, yeh pair apni upward journey jari rakhne ki umeed hai. Lekin, is bullish trend ko confirm karne ke liye 193.49 ke resistance line ke upar ek decisive breakout zaroori hoga. Aik decisive breakout ki pehchan ek lambi green candle se hogi jo apni high par close karegi, ya phir lagataar 3 green candles jo is level ke upar close hongi. Halanke, medium-term trend ab tak sideways hai, jo ke kisi bhi direction mein koi wazeh bias nahi de raha. Iske baraks, long-term trend ab tak bullish hai, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke upward momentum abhi bhi likely hai.

jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level

do trading dinon mein hui gains ko reverse kar diya. Pair takriban 190.90 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara deta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, yani 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, yani 180.09 tak gir sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake. Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek significant bearish market reversal k

bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne