جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY pair ne apni daily highs ke 159.35 area se 100 pips se zyada ki girawat dekhi, jo ke European trade mein fresh intraday lows tak pohnchi aur abhi 192.00 ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, din ke liye lagbhag 0.20% neeche. US Dollar ne momentum gain kiya jab Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni hawkish stance ko barqarar rakha, jo GBP par zabardast dabao dal raha tha. GBP ki girawat ka koi wazeh fundamental sabab nahi tha, lekin girawat ho sakta hai limited rahe, jab ke umeed hai ke Bank of England ka rate-cutting cycle US aur Eurozone se dheema ho sakta hai. Japan ke naye Wazir-e-Azam Shigeru Ishiba ka ehtiyaat se interest rate hikes ka bayan aur 27 October ko general election ka elan ne safe-haven Japanese yen ko kamzor kiya, jo GBP/JPY pair ke liye ek tailwind sabit hua. Waqt ke sath, spot prices mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi jab ke UK ka final manufacturing PMI 45.0 par revise kiya gaya, jo ke pehle ka 44.8 tha. Lekin upar diye gaye fundamental ahwalat ko dekhte hue, prudent yeh hoga ke ek strong sell-off ka intezaar kiya jaye pehle ke GBP/JPY pair mein koi significant downside position li jaye.
Technical point of view se, price kai dafa 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar jaane mein nakam rahi hai, aur daily chart par ek "death cross" bana hai - jisme 50-day SMA ne 200-day SMA ko neeche cross kiya hai. Aggressive bullish traders ko ehtiyaat karni hogi. GBP/JPY pair ne guzashta 10 dino mein ek strong upward rally dekhi, jisme 195.95 ka fresh two-month high chooa gaya, jo 183.70 support level se strong recovery ke baad aya. Market ne 200-day SMA aur 195.00 ke full level ko break kiya, jo upward correction ka raasta khol raha hai.
Technically, Stochastic indicator abhi bhi overbought territory mein rise ho raha hai, jab ke RSI 70 level ke upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar bulls ka momentum barh gaya, to next resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai.

taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke

Hello dosto, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD ne Thursday ko European trading hours mein apni girawat ko 1.3100 tak extend kiya. Yeh pair BoE ke governor Andrew Bailey ke sakht comments ke baad neeche aaya, jinhon ne kaha ke agar inflation kum hota hai to central bank rate cuts mein "zyada active" ho sakta hai. Middle East ke concerns ki wajah se risk aversion bhi is pair par asar daal raha hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne subah 20 ke neeche girawat dekhi, jo GBP/USD ke liye oversold conditions ko darshata hai. Agar yeh pair kisi technical correction ki taraf jata hai, to pehla resistance 1.3175 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) hoga, jo ke 1.3200 tak ja sakta hai, jahan 200-period simple moving average hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3100 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) agla support hai, jo ke 1.3050 aur 1.3000 ke static levels se pehle hai. GBP/USD par bohot zyada bearish pressure tha aur yeh Thursday ki subah 1.3100 ke aas-paas gaya. Yeh teen hafton mein iska sabse kam level hai. Aane wale waqt mein technical analysis oversold conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, lekin pair ko decisive correction karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

US dollar ne apni taqat ko barkarar rakha aur Wednesday ko GBP/USD ko peeche rakha jab Automatic Data Processing ke zariye private sector employment ka data aaya, jo 143,000 tha, jo ke market ki expectations 120,000 se zyada hai. Guardian newspaper ke saath interview mein, Bank of England ke governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke agar inflation ke baare mein achhi khabrein aati hain to wo rate cuts mein thoda zyada proactive ho sakte hain. In comments ne Thursday ki subah pound sterling mein sell-off ka sabab bana.

GBP ki kamzori ko darshate hue, EUR/GBP pair din bhar mein 1% se zyada barh gaya. Baad mein, US economic calendar par weekly initial jobless claims aur September ISM services PMI data release hoga. Markets ko umeed hai ke pehli baar jobless benefits ke liye claims 220,000 tak pahunch sakte hain, jo pichle hafte ke 218,000 se thoda zyada hai. Agar yeh figure 200,000 ya isse neeche aata hai to USD ko support milega aur pair par aur pressure aayega. Agar ISM ka headline unexpected taur par 50 se neeche aata hai, to yeh bhi market par asar daal sakta hai.

**GBP/JPY Ka H1 Time Frame Mein Analysis**

H1 time frame par, GBP/JPY currency pair ne pichle dino mein ek khaas upward trend dikhaya hai. Is bullish momentum ka asar consistent price action mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jahan buyers ne market ko dominate kiya hai aur price lagataar upar ja raha hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators is upward trajectory ko support kar rahe hain, jo aage mazeed growth ka imkaan dikhate hain.

Market sentiment par economic data releases aur geopolitical developments ka asar hai. Bank of England ki recent policies aur British economy ki taqat Japan ke muqable mein is bullish outlook ko support kar rahi hain. Traders closely upcoming economic indicators jaise ke inflation rates aur employment figures ko monitor kar rahe hain, jo agle movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Jab price upar ja raha hai, to kuch key resistance levels par pohanch raha hai, jinhien traders closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price in levels ke upar break karta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jisse zyada buyers market mein aa sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price retrace karta hai, to yeh traders ke liye behtar levels par positions enter karne ka mouqa de sakta hai.

Volume analysis bhi is upward movement ko support kar raha hai, jo strong buying interest ko dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi yeh dikhata hai ke abhi tak pair overbought nahi hai, isliye mazeed gains ka imkaan hai pehle ke correction se pehle. Traders ko doosre indicators ya price action signals se confirmation leni chahiye taake current trend ki sustainability ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Is dynamic market environment mein risk management bohot zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur strategic levels par profit lena potential losses ko kam karne mein madad de sakta hai, jabke upward movement ka hissa banane ka mauqa de sakta hai. Jaise jaise GBP/JPY upward trend kar raha hai, yeh traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh market conditions ke saath vigilant aur adaptable rahen.

Summary mein, GBP/JPY pair ka mojooda bullish trend strong market sentiment aur technical indicators ko reflect karta hai jo aage ki taraf mazeed upside potential ko support karte hain. Traders ko key levels aur economic news par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo agle dino mein pair ke direction par asar daal sakti hain. Agar traders informed rahen aur effective risk management strategies ko istemal karen, to woh is upward momentum ko successfully navigate kar sakte hain.

mein se kam dovish dekhe gaye hain. Magar woh economic stimulus aur expansionary fiscal policies ke haami hain. Iske ilawa, data ne show kiya ke Tokyo ka core inflation rate, jo nationwide price trends ka ek leading indicator hai, September mein 2% tak slow ho gaya, August ke 2.4% se, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Bank of Japan ke cautious approach ko rate hikes ke hawalay se support karta hai.Alag se, Bank of Japan ke September ke meeting ke minutes ne show kiya EUR/JPY pair ki future direction ka taayun karne ke liye crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier ke saath interact karega. Is support level ki ahmiyat bohot zyada hai, kyun ke yeh market mei overall trend ka critical indicator hai. Agar pair successfully is support level ko test karta hai aur iske upar rehta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound ya stabilization ko suggest kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh mazeed declines aur corrective trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. EUR/JPY pair mei recent decline kayi factors ki wajah se hua. Market sentiment ko economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mei tabdeeli ki wajah se asar pada. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitive hain EUR/JPY ka current price 161.75-162.00 ke aas-paas hai, aur RSI reading yeh nahi darshati ke pair overbought territory mein hai. Jab RSI overbought territory mein nahi hota (aam tor par 70 level se neeche), yeh yeh darshata hai ke upar ki taraf movement ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai, isse pehle ke price saturation point tak pahunchnay se pehle reversal ka koi khauf nahi hota. Is liye, RSI ke mutabiq, current levels par pair ko heavy selling pressure ka saamna karne ka koi foran khauf nahi hai, jo bullish momentum ke liye case ko aur mazboot karta hai. In technical factors ke is combination ko dekhte hue, jisme bullish engulfing candle aur favorable RSI reading shamil hai, is baat ki strong sambhavana hai ke EUR/JPY aaj aur 30-50 pips tak upar ja sakta hai. Traders ko price action par nazar rakhni chahiye jab yeh

aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke

GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, yani 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, yani 180.09 tak gir sakta hai.
GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake.
Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek significant bearish market reversal ka imkaan hai, jaise ke pichle hafte ke aakhri dinon mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya market dobara neeche ki taraf jaayega ya phir candlestick upward reverse hone wale trend ko continue karega. Candlestick position ke reference se dekha jaye, jo abhi tak consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, tou is se ye andaza hota hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai.

, jiska Matlab tha ke keemat ne neechay sudharna shuru karna tha. Lekin keemat ko phir se support mila aur ab isne keemat channels ko upar ki taraf tor karne mein kamyabi haasil ki hai, aur keemat ke liye qareebi resistance level 206.64 hai. Yeh level hai jahan se aap maujood level se dakhil ho sakte hain aur iske neechay maqsad tayyar kar sakte hain. Iqtasadi hawale se, Japan ke Forex currency markets mein intervention karne mein deri hone se yen ki nuqsan barh rahi hai. Agar kisi waqt expected Japanese intervention hota hai, to yeh currency pair ko bechne mein mazboot istiqrar la sakta hai. Bila kisi khatra ke bechnay ki policy abhi bhi behtareen hai. Monetary policy ke samne... Bank of England August mein interest rate mein kisi tarah ki kami nahi kar sakti agar inflation ke baray mein Canada aur Australia se warnings milti hain. Agar Monetary Policy Committee global inflation trends ke baray mein nishanae samjhe, to Bank of England August mein interest rates ko kam nahi kar sakta hai. Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Is haftay Canada aur Australia se jari shuda figures ke mutabiq, global inflation phir se barh sakti hai. Canada mein May mein anjaane se inflation 0.6% mahine mein barh gaya, jo ke gegual expecte shuda miqdar se zyada tha. Australia mein maheenay ke CPI 3 mahinay se barabar 4.0% salana barh gaya hai GBP/JPY ki trading ke liye zaroori hai technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko samajhna: Technical Analysis: Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur Bollinger Bands ka istemal future price movements predict karne ke liye karte hain. Mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ko pehchan lena trading decisions mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Carry Trade: Yeh strategy yen ko

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai GBP/JPY pair ke price movement ka direction ziada tar barhne ka imkaan hai. Magar, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle niche correct ho kyun ke chalti hui rally kaafi impulsive hai. Kam az kam price niche correct ho ke RBS area ke qareeb aa sakta hai, jo ke 187.38 ke aas paas hai aur EMA 50 ke sath confluent hai. Agar downward correction EMA 50 ke neeche ho jata hai, toh price SMA 200 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek dynamic support ya phir low prices ka level 185.80 hai. Iske ilawa, jo upward rally ne 189.38 ke high prices ko touch kiya tha, usne ek minor higher high - higher low structure banaya hai. Ye isliye ke price ne structure tab break kiya jab price ne high prices 186.70 ko cross kiya aur phir 188.07 tak barhta raha. Agar hum dekhein ke price jo ke abhi niche gir raha hai, wo 183.74 ke low prices tak pohanch kar ruk gaya hai aur 183.69 ke neeche ek naya lower low nahi bana saka. Yani, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke price ka downward correction sirf ek higher low pattern banane tak limited ho sakta hai. Yeh baat Stochastic indicator ke parameters se bhi supported hai jo overbought zone 90 - 80 ke level par cross kar chuka hai. Halankeh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum GBP/JPY pair ki price increase rally ko support kar raha hai, magar ek downward correction phase ki zarurat hai taake agla price movement aur barh sake

ke 2.4% se, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha aur Bank of Japan ke cautious approach ko rate hikes ke hawalay se support karta hai.Alag se, Bank of Japan ke September ke meeting ke minutes ne show kiya EUR/JPY pair ki future direction ka taayun karne ke liye crucial hai. Traders aur analysts is pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier ke saath interact karega. Is support level ki ahmiyat bohot zyada hai, kyun ke yeh market mei overall trend ka critical indicator hai. Agar pair successfully is support level ko test karta hai aur iske upar rehta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound ya stabilization ko suggest kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar yeh level breach hota hai, to yeh mazeed declines aur corrective trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai. EUR/JPY pair mei recent decline kayi factors ki wajah se hua. Market sentiment ko economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mei tabdeeli ki wajah se asar pada. Euro aur yen, dono major currencies hain, jo in developments ke liye sensitive hain EUR/JPY ka current price 161.75-162.00 ke aas-paas hai, aur RSI reading yeh nahi darshati ke pair overbought territory mein hai. Jab RSI overbought territory mein nahi hota (aam tor par 70 level se neeche), yeh yeh darshata hai ke upar ki taraf movement ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai, isse pehle ke price saturation point tak pahunchnay se pehle reversal ka koi khauf nahi hota. Is liye, RSI ke mutabiq, current levels par pair ko heavy selling pressure ka saamna karne ka koi foran khauf nahi hai, jo bullish momentum ke liye case ko aur mazboot

GBP/JPY ke H1 time frame par, currency pair ne pichlay kuch dinon mein ek mazboot upward trend dikhaya hai. Price action ne musalsal ooper ki taraf move kiya hai, jo ke market mein strong bullish sentiment ka izhar kar raha hai. Filhal, pair 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pound yen ke muqable mein acha perform kar raha hai. Is upward movement ko technical aur shayad fundamental factors ka combination support kar raha hai, jo is waqt ke trend ko traders ke liye ahmiyat dekhne ke qabil banata hai.Ek key technical signal jo bullish outlook ko mazid reinforce kar raha hai, woh moving average lines ki position hai. Khaaskar 50-period aur 100-period moving averages current price ke neeche position mein hain, jo is ongoing uptrend ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Jab price in key moving averages ke ooper hota hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hota hai ke buyers ka market par control hai, aur yeh is baat ki dalalat karta hai ke near term mein market ooper jaari rahegi. Yeh ek classic indicator hota hai bullish market ka, jo traders ko upward momentum par confidence deta hai.Is ke ilawa, price support levels ko bhi respect kar raha hai, jahan har pullback ko renewed buying pressure se mil raha hai. Yeh ek series of higher lows banata hai, jo ek aur signal hai ek strong bullish trend ka. Agar pair apni upward trajectory maintain karta hai, to traders agla key resistance level dekh sakte hain, jo 196.00 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh GBP/JPY pair ke mazeed gains ki dalalat karega, aur un buyers ke liye zyada buying opportunities open kar sakta hai jo is momentum se faida uthana chahte hain. Magar, kisi bhi currency pair ki tarah, yeh zaroori hai ke market ko asar andaz karne wale external factors par bhi nazar rakhi jaye, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank decisions. Yeh factors ya to current trend ko mazid mazboot kar sakte hain ya usay kamzor bana sakte hain, is liye traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
Kul mila kar, GBP/JPY pair H1 time frame par ek strong bullish trend dikha raha hai, jahan price filhal 195.04 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Moving averages jo price ke neeche hain, uptrend ko confirm kar rahe hain, aur traders ko market ko dekhte rehna chahiye taake resistance tests aur koi bhi fundamental factors ka asar observe kiya ja sake jo aane wali movement par asar daal sakte hain.

bullish momentum ka asar consistent price action mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jahan buyers ne market ko dominate kiya hai aur price lagataar upar ja raha hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators is upward trajectory ko support kar rahe hain, jo aage mazeed growth ka imkaan dikhate hain.
Market sentiment par economic data releases aur geopolitical developments ka asar hai. Bank of England ki recent policies aur British economy ki taqat Japan ke muqable mein is bullish outlook ko support kar rahi hain. Traders closely upcoming economic indicators jaise ke inflation rates aur employment figures ko monitor kar rahe hain, jo agle movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Jab price upar ja raha hai, to kuch key resistance levels par pohanch raha hai, jinhien traders closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price in levels ke upar break karta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jisse zyada buyers market mein aa sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price retrace karta hai, to yeh traders ke liye behtar levels par positions enter karne ka mouqa de sakta hai.

Volume analysis bhi is upward movement ko support kar raha hai, jo strong buying interest ko dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi yeh dikhata hai ke abhi tak pair overbought nahi hai, isliye mazeed gains ka imkaan hai pehle ke correction se pehle. Traders ko doosre indicators ya price action signals se confirmation leni chahiye taake current trend ki sustainability ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Is dynamic market environment mein risk management bohot zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur strategic levels par profit lena potential losses ko kam karne mein madad de sakta hai, jabke upward movement ka hissa banane ka mauqa de sakta hai. Jaise jaise GBP/JPY upward trend kar raha

bullish momentum ka asar consistent price action mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jahan buyers ne market ko dominate kiya hai aur price lagataar upar ja raha hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators is upward trajectory ko support kar rahe hain, jo aage mazeed growth ka imkaan dikhate hain.
Market sentiment par economic data releases aur geopolitical developments ka asar hai. Bank of England ki recent policies aur British economy ki taqat Japan ke muqable mein is bullish outlook ko support kar rahi hain. Traders closely upcoming economic indicators jaise ke inflation rates aur employment figures ko monitor kar rahe hain, jo agle movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Jab price upar ja raha hai, to kuch key resistance levels par pohanch raha hai, jinhien traders closely dekh rahe hain. Agar price in levels ke upar break karta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jisse zyada buyers market mein aa sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price retrace karta hai, to yeh traders ke liye behtar levels par positions enter karne ka mouqa de sakta hai.

Volume analysis bhi is upward movement ko support kar raha hai, jo strong buying interest ko dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi yeh dikhata hai ke abhi tak pair overbought nahi hai, isliye mazeed gains ka imkaan hai pehle ke correction se pehle. Traders ko doosre indicators ya price action signals se confirmation leni chahiye taake current trend ki sustainability ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Is dynamic market environment mein risk management bohot zaroori hai. Stop-loss orders set karna aur strategic levels par profit lena potential losses ko kam karne mein madad de sakta hai, jabke upward movement ka hissa banane ka mauqa de sakta hai. Jaise jaise GBP/JPY upward trend kar raha hai, yeh traders ke liye zaroori hai ke woh market conditions ke saath vigilant aur adaptable rahen

GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”
Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”
Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par
GBP/JPY pair ki price volume ke saath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Halankeh yeh uptrend momentum dikhata hai, magar ismein bearish divergence signal ka indication hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jab overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 par pahunche, toh yeh buying saturation point ke qareeb hone ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Aaj ka din British concept ke under hai, kyunke UK session buyers ke liye accha nahi raha. UK CPI rate ne sellers ko powerful banaya hai aur wo 194.50 ke level par trading kar rahe hain. Is liye har trade ko ehtiyaat se lena zaroori hai, aur stop-loss orders lagana chahiye taake agar market unexpected direction mai chala jaye toh potential losses ko limit kiya ja sake. Jaise ke rising moving average ek overall uptrend ka ishara hota hai, aur agar price moving average ke upar cross kare toh yeh bullish momentum ko signal karta hai. Isi tarah, RSI market ke overbought ya oversold honay ka pata de sakta hai. Bullish phase mai, RSI 50 ke upar jata hai, jo ke buying pressure ke barhnay ko confirm karta hai. Fibonacci retracements potential reversal points ko identify karte hain jab corrections hoti hain. Agar price Fibonacci level tak retrace kare aur phir upward movement resume kare, toh yeh bullish market continuation ke liye case ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Wider view mai, mera mashwara hai ke buyers ko UK Retail Sales ke natijay ka intezar karna chahiye jo kal announce hogi. Aaj sellers ka power barhay ga aur wo aaj raat 194.32 ka level cross kar sakte hain. Fundamentally, macroeconomic conditions bhi bullish outlook ko support karti hain. Agar global economic environment stable ya improve ho raha ho, toh yeh investor confidence ko boost karta hai, jo buying activity ko barhata hai. GDP growth, employment, aur inflation control ke positive news traders ko bullish stance lene par majboor karti hain, kyunke yeh factors higher asset prices ki umeed ko barhate hain. Currency trading mai, favorable interest rate differentials bhi bullish sentiment ko drive kar sakti hain. Misal ke tor par, agar ek central bank interest rates barhata hai, toh currency investors ke liye zyada attractive ho jati hai, aur demand ke barhnay se price upward move karti hai.Maujooda GBP/JPY market ka price 195.09 ke nayi range mai float kar raha hai, aur sellers market mai wapas aa sakte hain aur price ko 194.88 se neeche push kar sakte hain. Aaj, mera andaza hai ke sellers Japanese Yen ke liye wapas market mai aa jayenge. Yeh assumption broader market behavior ke analysis par mabni hai jo hum ne pichlay kuch hafton mai dekha hai. Market consistently barh raha tha, jo Japanese Yen ko upar le gaya. Itni prolonged upward movement ke baad ek correction ka mauqa hota hai, jahan sellers wapas market mai aane ka reason dhundte hain aur overbought conditions ka faida uthate hain.Technical perspective se dekha jaye, markets kabhi bhi ek hi direction mai indefinite move nahi karte. Sustained upward momentum ke baad aksar consolidation ya retracement ka waqt hota hai, jo traders ko potential downturn ka faida uthane ka mauqa deta hai. UK CPI rate aur Retail sales rate bhi GBP/JPY ka market sentiment jald badal sakte hain. Is liye traders yeh expect kar sakte hain ke sellers wapas aayenge aur market ko neeche push karne ki koshish karenge jab recent climb ke baad unhe profit-taking ka acha mauqa mile ga.
Lekin yeh sell position ko ehtiyaat se lena zaroori hai, aur reasonable expectations set karni chahiye in terms of profit-taking. Key support levels ya Fibonacci retracement zones ko identify karna traders ko sell trades exit karne ka appropriate point decide karne mai madad de sakta hai. Success ki chabi yeh hai ke potential profit ko calculated risk management ke sath balance kiya jaye.UK CPI data release ke waqt GBP/JPY ka market aaj volatile move kar sakta hai. Stay blessed and keep calm.