جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur se

GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai. Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain. Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain. Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday keClick image for larger version

bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne

of Japan (BoJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% par barqarar rakha, jo ke aik ihtiyaati approach ko zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur

zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical

jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level

zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya. Key technical indicators ko bhi ghaur

interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne

Asian session mein sellers ka zor zyada tha. Market jab 192.80 par khula, tab se prices neeche ja rahi thi. Lekin sellers ka zor itna bara nahi tha, jo ke chhoti movements se zahir hota hai, aur price neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. 192.41 ka resistance, jo Thursday ko negative movement ko rok raha tha, ab toot gaya hai. Weakness neeche ki taraf chalne ki koshish kar rahi thi, agla maqsad support 191.85 ko break karna tha, jo EMA 200 H1 se cross ho raha tha. Is level par bounce dekhne ko mila, aur price iss area ko break karne mein nakam ho gayi, jisse price ulta chali aur mazid mazboot ho gayi. Daily open ko successfully cross kar liya gaya, aur price resistance 193.71 ke breakout ke sath aur upar chali gayi. Issi waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi EMA 200 H1 ke upar ek upside crossover banaya, jis se is time frame mein bullish trend confirm ho gaya. Price apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakhte hue 195.17 ke resistance tak pohnchi, jahan dobara resistance mila. Price isko break karne ki koshish karti rahi, lekin buyers ka zor kam hone laga, jisse ye koshish nakam rahi. Market ke band hone tak price resistance ke range mein chalti rahi, aur closing 195.04 par hui. Daily bullish candle kaafi acha bana jo Friday ke trading ke natayij ke mutabiq tha, aur Thursday ke opposite movement ko zahir karta hai. Price ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar ke upar chalna shuru kiya, jab ke Thursday ko sellers ne price ko EMA 200 daily tak neeche dhakel diya tha. EMA ke sahare price mazid mazboot hui aur us ne daily resistance 195.96 ko dobara test karne ka mauqa banaya. Is hafte ka movement tight raha, aur range zyada bara nahi tha. Lagta hai buyers price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur unho ne EMA 200 daily ko cross kar lia hai, lekin abhi price us ke aas paas hai. Ye bullish price EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ke upward crossover se confirm hoti hai, lekin ye abhi bhi EMA 200 daily ke neeche hain. Agar price 195.96 ka resistance successfully break kar leti hai, to bullish trend confirm ho jayega, aur price ka agla maqasad 202.00 ka level hoga. Lekin agar ye koshish nakam hoti hai, to price daily consolidation area mein wapas ja sakti hai, jahan wo 192.39 tak neeche aasakti hai. Bearish price ka chance tab hoga jab price EMA 200 daily ke neeche chale jaye, aur resistance 190.16 ko cross kar le, sath hi EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily downward cross bana lein. Abhi ke liye daily Stochastic buyers ki strength zahir kar raha hai, jo price ko bullish trend mein rehne ka mauqa deta

interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne

zahir karta hai jabke policymakers mazeed wazeh economic recovery ke indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is faislay ka asar Japanese yen ki qeemat par hota hai, kyunke stable interest rate ka matlab hai ke BoJ abhi tak monetary policy ko tighten karne ke liye tayar nahi hai jabke mulk ko ab bhi kuch economic challenges ka samna hai. Analysts khas tor par Japan ke inflation data aur employment figures ko ghaur se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh BoJ ke stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de sakti hain. Doosri taraf, UK Retail Sales data bhi qareebi taur par dekha ja raha hai. Agar retail performance mazboot raha, toh British pound ko support milegi, jo ke consumer confidence aur economic strength ko zahir karega, lekin agar figures disappoint karti hain, toh currency par downward pressure aasakta hai. Europe mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions aur global economic growth ke hawalay se badhta hua uncertainty, market sentiment ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai, jis ki wajah se GBP/JPY mein fluctuations dekhne ko mil rahi hain. Technical chart ko dekhte huye, GBP/JPY upward movement ke liye ek naazuk position mein nazar aa raha hai. Japan se aham data release hone ke baad, yeh asset ab retrace kar raha hai. H4 chart ka analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke pair ne local resistance level 189.10 ko break kiya, jo ke pehle aik rukawat tha. Magar agar hum daily aur H4 charts ka bara view dekhein, toh 189.10 se 191.24 ka zone aik significant resistance area hai. Bullish momentum tabhi qaim ho sakti hai jab price na sirf 191.24 ko break kare, balkay uske upar trading bhi sustain kare. Chand haftay pehle asset ne yeh resistance breach karne ki koshish ki thi aur aik daily white candle banayi thi. Magar, is bullish koshish ke baad aik bearish engulfing pattern bana, jo ke market sentiment mein selling ke taraf tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Is development ne aik bearish trend ko shuru kiya jo ke price ko local support zone ke qareeb 183.13 tak le aaya.

bullish movement resistance level ke aas paas hi hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein ye dekhna interesting hoga ke kab bullish movement horizontal line resistance level ko pori tarah break karegi. Agar aisa hota hai, to strong bullish movement ko resistance level 191.56 ke upar dekha ja sakega, jiska potential bullish target 193.30 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agle hafte ke aaghaz mein jo cheezain madde nazar rakhni hain, wo 161.10 - 160.91 ka area hai agar strengthening jari rehti hai. Agar ye area successfully break ho jata hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai jisme ke price 163.73 tak barh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 161.10 ka area penetrate karne mein nakam hoti hai aur EMA 200 H4 se reject hone ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to price mein kamzori ka imkaan hai jisme ke target EMA 12 H4 line tak hoga, phir EMA 36 H4 tak ja sakta hai. Iss area mein buyers momentum ka intezaar kar sakte hain ke wo wapas aaye aur phir se buy positions open karein. GBP/JPY pair mein Jumay ke roz kaafi bara izafa dekhne ko mila, jahan yeh 191.80s ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, jo aik quarter percentage point se zyada ka surge tha. Yeh izafa kuch aham macroeconomic data aur events ke nateeja mein aaya jo dono currencies par musbat asar dal rahe thay. UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ke mutabiq, August mein UK retail sales 1.0% barh gayi, jo umeed se zyada thi (0.4%) aur July ke 0.5% ke izafay se bhi zyada thi. Is ka matlab hai ke UK ke shoppers ab bhi ziada kharcha kar rahe hain bawajood is ke ke borrowing costs ziada hain, jo ke prices par upward pressure dal sakta hai aur inflation ko barha sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Bank of England (BoE) ko interest rates cut karne se rokk sakti hai, aur usay 5.0% ke high rate ko barqarar rakhna parega taake foreign capital inflows ke zariye pound ko support mil sake. Bank of England ka apni September meeting mein interest rates ko hold par rakhne ka faisla (8-to-1 vote ke sath) sterling ko mazeed support de raha hai. Yeh faisla baqi central banks ke rate cuts ke baraks tha, jo ke global inflationary pressures ke kam honay par adopt kiye gaye hain. Iske ilawa, BoE ke policymaker Catherine Mann ke comments jo ke zyadatar restrictions ko baray arsay tak barqarar rakhne

GBP/JPY trading ke doran aaj sellers ki taqat zyada nazar aati hai, to yeh selling position enter karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Sellers ke paas yeh chance hai ke woh market ko bullish se bearish trend mein shift kar sakein aur price ko support defense area tak le aayein, jo MA100 indicator ke neeche hota hai. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek ahem target ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ki aur bhi confirmation de ga.Ab tak GBP/JPY ki movement technical analysis ke mutabiq abhi bhi 100 ke price tak wapas jane ki koshish kar raha hai. H1 timeframe par GBP/JPY ki movement mein ek bullish engulfing candle bani hai, jo ke BUY ka bohot strong signal hai, aur future mein 100 ke level tak wapas ja sakta hai. Lekin hamein downward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna hoga, kyun ke RSI 14 indicator bhi downward signal de raha hai.GBP/JPY pair ki movement ko samajhne ke liye in tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, central bank ki policies, technical analysis, aur geopolitical events mil kar is currency pair ki direction tay karte hain. In elements par focus karke traders apni strategies ko better kar sakte hain aur zyada profitable trading outcomes hasil kar sakte hain.GBP/JPY kaafi dafa mukhtalif economic indicators se mutasir hota hai. Misal ke taur par, Australia ki economy zyada commodities, khaaskar iron ore aur gold, par mabni hai. Jab commodity prices barhti hain, to AUD ki value bhi barhti hai. Iske baraks, Japan ki economy consumer spending aur manufacturing output jaise indicators se shape hoti hai, jo JPY ki value ko directly impact karte hain. Agar Japan se positive economic data aaye, to JPY ki value barh sakti hai, jo GBP/JPY ke
exchange rate ko neeche le aasakti hai.
GBP/JPY pair apni upward momentum ko maintain kar sake, to yeh agle resistance levels 199.40 aur 201.60 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Magar, given ke overbought conditions hain aur short-term correction ka chance bhi hai, bullish traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur pullbacks ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.
Agar pair neeche girta hai to yeh 200-day SMA ke qareeb 192.70 tak aa sakta hai, jo ke 50- aur 20-day SMAs, yani 190.60 aur 189.35 ke aage hai, agar yeh immediate support region 193.50-195.00 ke neeche girta hai. Kul mila ke, GBP/JPY ke performance ki buniyad par short term mein ek upward retracement ki umeed hai, khaaskar agar price 200.00 round figure ke upar rise karti hai

GBP/JPY ke liye mixed outlook hai. Jab ke MACD indicator kuch short-term bullish momentum ka ishara deta hai, lekin overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke MACD line ab tak zero line ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI ka 50 level se neeche rehna bhi bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 191.63 par hai, foran resistance ka level banata hai. Agar is level ke upar break hoti hai, tou bullish sentiment ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai aur pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary tak, ie 195.50 tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar ascending channel ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, tou ye bearish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jiss ke baad pair 7-mahina low, ie 180.09 tak gir sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne pichle mahino mein significant volatility ka samna kiya hai, jisme 16 saal ke high se gir ke August mein 180.07 ka low bana. Jab ke pair ne uske baad recovery ki hai, iska agay barhna 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par ruk gaya hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, tou pair ko April ke low 190.00 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Mazid girawat ke liye near-term support levels 188.22 aur 185.22 par hai, jisse pehle ke pair 8-mahina low tak pohonch sake.
Dusri taraf, agar pair 192.01 ke recent rejection zone ko paar karta hai, jo ke 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, tou ye March ke high 193.52 tak ja sakta hai. Bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, pair ko is level ke upar break karna hoga aur June ke support 197.18 ko target karna hoga. Overall, GBP/JPY pair uncertainty ke daur se guzar raha hai, jisme mixed technical signals aur potential economic factors iski direction ko affect kar sakte hain. Investors ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Is waqt jo cheez dekhne layak hai, wo ek significant bearish market reversal ka imkaan hai, jaise ke pichle hafte ke aakhri dinon mein dekha gaya tha. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke kya market dobara neeche ki taraf jaayega ya phir candlestick upward reverse hone wale trend ko continue karega. Candlestick position ke reference se dekha jaye, jo abhi tak consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, tou is se ye andaza hota hai ke market abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai.

GBP/JPY ke D1 time frame chart par dekhne se ye wazeh hota hai ke is waqt sellers ne market par mazboot qabza kar rakha hai. Price action se yeh pata chalta hai ke bears ka ghalba hai, aur wo actively pair ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jiska target ek aham support zone hai jo ke 195.12 ke qareeb hai. Ye area pehle bhi ek critical support ka kaam kar chuka hai, aur ab sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke wo is level ko tod kar neeche le jaayein, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar sellers is aham support zone ko todne mein kaamyab ho jate hain, tou is se aur zyada downside movement ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisse GBP/JPY ko mazeed nuqsan uthana par sakta hai. Is waqt sellers ki strength ko aur zyada barhawa milne ki umeed hai upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) news data ke aane se. Agar data bearish outlook ke haq mein aata hai, tou yeh wo zaroori momentum faraham kar sakta hai jo pair ko 195.12 ke support level ke neeche le jane ke liye darkaar hai. Aise scenarios mein fundamental news ek powerful catalyst ka kaam karti hai, jo technical patterns ko aur zyada mazboot bana deti hai aur market mein zyada strong reaction paida kar sakti hai. Is setup mein primary focus sellers ki koshishon par hai ke wo decisively support levels ko todne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyunki aisa move unki dominance ko confirm karega aur GBP/JPY mein deeper pullback ka signal milega. Traders ko is zone ko ghore se dekhna chahiye, kyunki agar breakout successful hota hai tou downward pressure barh sakta hai, jabke agar ye level tootne mein nakaam hota hai tou ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke strong buyers ab bhi is level ko defend karne ko tayyar hain. Linear regression channel ka rukh north ki taraf hai. H1 channel ab bullish trend ko determine kar raha hai. Neeche ke waqt mein corrective movement channel ke lower edge tak hai jo ke 193.454 par hai. Yahan ke qareeb strong buyer ki positions located hain. Jab price 193.454 tak jaye gi, tou bulls apni activity dikhana shuru karenge, jo ke unki maujoodgi ko zahir karegi. Agar market channel ke lower part par react nahi karta tou iska matlab hoga ke buyer weak hai. Is surat mein market ka downward movement barqarar rehne ke imkanaat zyada hain. Mazeed consolidation lower part ke neeche ho sakti hai. Aise bearish actions se H1 channel ka rukh neeche ho jaye ga aur trend mein unke haq mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Bulls, jo apni positions aur stops ko 193.454 ke neeche protect kar rahe hain, market ko upwards dhakelne ki koshish karenge taake apne target ko haasil kar sake.
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