جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY: Daily Market Road Map

GBPJPY ke bulls 184.87 ke level par hain, lekin pichle hafte unki qeemat gir gayi. Hum dekh rahe hain ke market overbought level par hai, is liye GBPJPY ki market bears ke haath mein reh sakti hai aur ye 184.42 ka level test kar sakti hai.

Market ke develop hone par, trading ke psychological pehluon ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Bearish market mein, FOMO (fear of missing out) aise impulsive faislay karne par majboor kar sakti hai jo overall strategy ke khilaf hote hain. Sellers ko chahiye ke wo zyada risk lene se bachen aur reasonable profit levels par concentrate karein, jaise ke pehle zikr kiya gaya 18-pip ka move. Is se unka capital bachega jab ke bearish trend ka faida bhi utha sakenge.




Wahin buyers ko bhi behtar hoga ke wo jaldi market mein na ghusain, khas taur par jab koi reversal ka clear sign na ho. Market bulls aur bears dono ke liye mauqe dega, lekin timing bohot zaroori hai, aur confirmation ka intezar karna aksar behtar hota hai.

Main recommend karta hoon ke GBPJPY par sell entry karein, jiska maqsad 184.45 ka level hai.

Aakhir mein, bearish market scenario ko navigate karte waqt kuch key factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Sabse ahem hai support aur resistance levels ka pehchan. Support levels un areas ko darshate hain jahan price ne historical tor par buyers paye hain, jabke resistance levels wo hain jahan sellers price ko neeche ki taraf le jaate hain. Bearish market mein, resistance levels zyada mazboot hote hain jabke support levels todne ki sambhavnayein badh jaati hain.

GBPJPY ki market ko dhyan se monitor karein taake agle hafte ke liye naye trading opportunities ke liye tayar reh sakein.

Bears yaani sellers ne aaj 188.30 ka level hit kiya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke bulls aaj pressure mein hain. Hum trading mein madad ke liye mukhtalif tools istemal kar sakte hain, khas tor par GBPJPY ki trading ke liye. Market participants ke liye ek zaroori tool daily aur hourly charts ki analysis hoti hai. Yeh charts mukhtalif time frames mein price movements ko tod kar market ki overall direction ke bare mein aham insights dete hain. Aaj ke charts ek bullish scenario ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jo is baat ki tauseeq karte hain ke market unchi qeematon ki taraf ja raha hai. Ek bullish scenario ka matlab hota hai price chart par higher highs aur higher lows, jo mustahkam upward momentum ko zahir karte hain. Dono daily aur hourly charts ko istemal karke ahem price levels, trends, aur doosre technical indicators ko pehchana ja sakta hai jo decision-making mein rehnumai karte hain. Is tarah se hum in tools se aaj GBPJPY ki trading mein madad hasil kar sakte hain
Hourly chart khas tor par un short-term market participants ke liye mufeed hota hai jo market mein behtareen waqt par daakhil hona chahte hain. Yeh micro-trends aur qeematon ke chote aur tez hatho-hath moves ko pakarne mein madad karta hai, khaas tor par un waqt mein jab market mein zyada volatility ya ahem khabren hoti hain. Hourly charts aksar flags, pennants ya reversals jaisi patterns ko zahir karte hain jo lambi muddat ke charts par foran saaf nahi hoti. United States USA trading session mein level 188.00 toot sakta hai. Iske muqable mein, daily chart market ka ek wasee nazariya deta hai, jis se bade trends, support aur resistance levels, aur doosre aham factors jaise ke moving averages, trendlines, aur momentum oscillators ki interaction ko dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh haqeeqat ke aaj ke daily aur hourly charts bullish conditions ko zahir kar rahe hain, ek aham indicator hai ke overall sentiment positive hai, aur upward trend jari rehne ke imkaanat hai

GBP/JPY ka uptrend bohat mazboot hai, jo traders ko iski bullish momentum se faida uthane ke liye kai mokay faraham karta hai. Support level 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan aik ahem zone hai jo is uptrend ke jari rehne mein madad karta hai. Ye range aik mazboot buniyad ke tor par kaam karti hai, jo price ko aur girne se rokti hai. Muqami support aur resistance levels ko samajhna bohat zaroori hota hai taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 ke critical support zone ke upar rehti hai, traders bullish strength ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ka analysis karte waqt, in support levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai. 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan ka range aik ahem deewar ke tor par kaam karta hai jo current uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar price is range ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh trend ke palatne ya kamzor hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab tak price is support zone ke upar rehti hai, bullish sentiment dominate karta rahega. Traders ko is level par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni positions ko us ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.
GBP/JPY ka agla target 206.380 level tak pohanchna aur is se agay barhna hai. Agar price is level ko break kar le, to yeh uptrend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega aur traders ke liye aik wazeh short-term goal faraham karega. Aik solid break is resistance level ke upar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne aur mazeed taiz karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Traders ko support zone ke qareeb dips par long positions lene ka mauqa dekhna chahiye, aur initial target 206.380 ko rakhna chahiye. Jab price successfully 206.380 ke resistance level ko paar kar le, to bullish momentum dobara se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Is breakout ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers price ko upar le jane mein kamyaab hain. 206.380 ke baad, traders ko agle immediate resistance zone ko target karna chahiye. Yeh dekhna bohat zaroori hoga ke price is level par kis tarah react karti hai, kyunke is range ke upar consolidation kaamyaabi se hoti hai to further gains ka rasta asaan ho jaye ga. Is resistance ko paar karna yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend na sirf barqarar hai, balki mazeed taqatwar ho raha hai.

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY pair ne pichle do dinon mein jo rebound kiya tha, wo Wednesday ke Asian session ke doran nayi supply ke samnay mushkil mein aagaya aur spot prices wapis 186.00 ke qareeb agaye. Japanese yen ke aas-paas naye kharidari ke bawajood downside seemit lagta hai, kyunke UK ke consumer inflation data ka intezar hai. UK CPI ki forecast hai ke August mein 0.3% ka izafa hoga, jabke pichle mahine mein 0.2% ka kami dekhi gayi thi. Annual rate ka intezar hai ke 2.2% par barqarar rahega.
Dusri taraf, core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.

BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke qareeb kyun na ho. Agar price neeche girti hai tou August ke low 183.00 ka retest ho sakta hai, aur uske neeche 2022 aur 2024 lows ko milane wali support trend line par price 182.00 tak pohonch sakti hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise

Euro ke hisaab mein hafta ke aghaz par thori si girawat dekhi gayi, aur pehle hi din, yani Monday ko selling pressure mazeed barh gaya. Lekin jab European Central Bank (ECB) ne rate cut ka elan kiya aur qasir muddat ke liye hawkish stance ko barqarar rakha, to ye trend ulat gaya aur euro ki girawat ruk gayi. Ab traders ki nazar Federal Reserve ke aane wale interest rate decision par hai jo 18 tareekh ko hai, aur bohat se logon ko umeed hai ke Fed bhi rate cut karega. Bada sawal ye hai ke kya Fed iske baad bhi rate cut ka silsila jari rakhega ya nahi.

Iss surat-e-haal mein market mein bohat zyada volatility ke asar dekhe ja sakte hain. Agar euro 1.10 ka barrier tor deta hai, to wo 1.12 ka barrier bhi test kar sakta hai. Agar is se aage nikal jata hai, to ek bara rally bhi aasakti hai. Lekin kai factors, khas tor par global markets mein chalay walay broader concerns, US dollar ke haq mein "risk-on" sentiment ko mazid mazboot bana sakte hain, kyunke US dollar ko safe haven mana jata hai.

Volatility aur uncertainty ka silsila barqarar rehne ki umeed hai, kyunke ECB aur Fed dono agle saal rate cut karne ke liye tayar lagte hain. Ye monetary easing ka silsila euro ya dollar dono mein kisi bhi simt mein bade hargiz nahi la sakega, kyunke dono currencies par unki central banks ke actions ka asar hoga. Natija ye hoga ke choppy aur unpredictable trading conditions jari rahein gi aur traders ko market dynamics aur central bank policies ke badalte rujhanat ke hawale se hamesha ehtiyat se kaam lena padega.

Khol ke kaha jaye to euro ka future central bank ke actions par mabni hai, aur jabke thodi upside potential hai, lekin aage ka rasta ghair yaqeeni aur volatile hone ke imkanaat se bharpoor hai

GBP/JPY ka currency pair abhi selling pressure ka shikar lag raha hai. Ye situation sellers ko aglay haftay ke liye ek mazid pur-umeed trading strategy banane ka mauqa faraham karti hai. Pichlay chand dino mein price girne ke bawajood, ab ek bearish candlestick ban chuki hai, jo ke weekly trend ko represent karti hai. Market ab bearish rukh ikhtiyar kar sakti hai kyun ke price ne 186.53 ka region tor diya hai, jo ab ek resistance level ban gaya hai. Agar hum is haftay ki trading ko dekhein, to lagta hai ke price mazid neeche ja sakti hai aur ek naya support level bana sakti hai, khas tor par agar hum dekhain ke ab tak sellers ne jo lowest level torna tha, wo abhi tak nahi tor paye. Yeh baat theek hai ke pichlay haftay buyers ne price ko upar le janay ki koshish ki thi, magar jab price 193.45 tak pohanchi, to ye izafa nakam raha aur bearish movement ne isay replace kar diya. Is se ye zahir hota hai ke sellers ke paas market ko control karne ka ek mazid mouqa hai aur wo price ko neeche dhakail saktay hain. Filhal, jab last night's market close huwa, weekly candlestick bearish thi. Agar 4-hour chart ko dekha jaye, to ye wazeh hota hai ke pichli price girawat monthly support level ko torne mein nakam rahi thi. Sellers ab is bearish momentum ka faida uthana chahtay hain aur price ko monthly high se door push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 ke signal line ne level 20 ko touch kiya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke market abhi bhi negative trend ke under hai. Ye mumkin hai ke price girti rahe jab tak wo 184.14 ka support level nahi tor leti, jo ke ek significant weekly

haftay ke trading session mein bullish movement ko sellers kaamiyabi se rok nahi paye. May ke aghaaz se jo consistent bullish trend tha, woh ab tak GBP/JPY currency pair ke movement mein wapis bullish raasta pakar chuka hai. Agar hum graph ka observation dekhein, toh ab bhi market ka haal buyers ke haath mein hai, aur pichlay haftay se yeh zabardast taur par dikhai deta hai. Price jo pehlay 191.50 tak neeche gir gaya tha, June mein bullish trend mein wapis aaya, aur kal tak yeh 206.41 tak pohanch chuka hai. Agla trading session ke liye meri estimation hai ke aglay haftay bhi bullish trend ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai. Market ke conditions ko dekhtay hue, jahan price mein mazid izafa ka imkaan hai, yeh aik achi opportunity hai ke hum BUY transactions ko dekhein, kyun ke trend ab tak upar hi move kar raha hai jaise ke pichlay kuch dinon mein dekha gaya hai. Meri raaye mein aglay haftay ke liye focus BUY transaction ka area dhoondhne par hoga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime Line 70 level tak wapas barh chuki hai, jo ke market ka dominant bullish trend ka tasur deti hai. Haftay ke aakhir tak, buyers ke efforts ab bhi price ko upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dekha jaa sakta hai ke price dheere dheere buyer’s target ki taraf barh raha hai. Aakhri teen hafton mein weekly candlestick bullish raha hai. Agar hum buyers ke strong push ko dekhein, toh aglay chand dinon mein bhi price mein izafa ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Main yeh sochta hoon ke sabar se kaam le kar trading ke ideal moment ka intezaar karun taake profit ko maximum kiya ja sake.

Hafta khatam honay ko hai, chalay D1 period chart ka phir se jaiza lete hain - GBPJPY currency pair ka. Pechlay trading hafta mein zyadatar bechne walon ka raaj raha, sirf haftay ke aghaz mein thoda izafa dekhnay ko mila, lekin us ke baad girawat shuru hui jo haftay ke akhir tak barqarar rahi. Kuch dino mein din ke andar thori si recovery bhi hui, lekin har dafa bechne walon ne price ko neeche gira diya. Wave structure neeche ki taraf ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator phir se neeche ki sale zone mein kam ho raha hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Mera andaza hai ke girawat jaari rahegi aur ye general downward trend ke mutabiq chalegi. Girawat ka target guzishta August ka minimum hai. Chhoti timeframes par kaam karte waqt sirf downward trade karna behtar hoga jab decline ke mutabiq formations ban rahein. Shayad hum foran neeche na jayen, is ka ishara CCI indicator ki position se milta hai, jo lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle, qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak thoda corrective growth ho sakta hai. Agar ye rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb chhoti timeframes, jaise M15 par, sell formation ko dekha ja sakta hai, takay support resistance mein tabdeel ho sake. Is tarah se aapko ek lower level entry milegi jo ke ek higher level se support hoti hai. Aur aam tor par, sirf aisi trades karni chahiyein, jo lower level par entry hon aur upper level se supported hon. Main khareedari ko behtar nahi samjhta, kyun ke chhoti si rollback mil sakti hai, aur phir market downward trend ke mutabiq neeche chala jayega, utasalar jab pound market mein kamzor ho raha hai. Yahan hum andaza laga saktay hain ke agar guzishta August ka low renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence ka signal banay ga, jo ke growth ka ishara ho ga. Yeh mustaqbil ke liye hai, lekin abhi is par baat karna jaldi ho ga

Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye

GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY Ki Tajziya (Analysis)
GBP/JPY, yaani British Pound aur Japanese Yen ka exchange rate, forex market mein ek highly volatile currency pair hai. Yeh pair duniya ke do bohot important economies – UK aur Japan – ke darmiyan trade ko represent karta hai. Is currency pair ko zyada volatile is liye samjha jata hai kyun ke GBP aur JPY dono kaafi sensitive hain economic aur political events ke liye.

GBP/JPY Ka Asar Andaz (Factors Influencing GBP/JPY)

UK Aur Japan Ki Economies

UK ki economy mostly services sector, banking, aur trade par mabni hai, jabke Japan ki economy industrial aur technology exports par heavily dependent hai. Jab UK mein koi economic event ya political situation hoti hai, jaise Brexit ki news ya central bank ki policies, to GBP directly asar leta hai. Isi tarah, Japan mein jab industrial output ya yen carry trade ka zikar hota hai, to JPY ko bohot zyada movement milti hai.

Interest Rates Aur Central Banks

UK ka Bank of England aur Japan ka Bank of Japan, dono apni monetary policies ke zariye interest rates ko control karte hain. Japan mein historically interest rates bohot low rehti hain, aur kabhi kabhi negative bhi ho jaati hain, jo investors ko JPY ko borrow karke high-yielding assets mein invest karne par majboor karta hai (yen carry trade). Dusri taraf, UK ka central bank agar interest rates barhata hai, to GBP mazboot hota hai.

Geopolitical Situations

GBP/JPY par geopolitics ka bhi asar hota hai. Agar UK ya Japan ke aas paas koi political ya international issue hota hai, to currency pair ka trend volatile ho sakta hai. Brexit ke dauran GBP kaafi volatile raha, jabke Japan ka yen safe haven currency ki tarah act karta hai jab global uncertainty barhti hai.

GBP/JPY Ka Trend Analysis

2024 ke aghaz se GBP/JPY ka trend bullish raha hai, lekin ab tak ismein fluctuations dekhi gayi hain. Japan ki low inflation aur UK ki relative economic stability ne GBP ko kuch support diya hai. Lekin Japan ka central bank apni dovish policies se yen ko weak kar raha hai, jo GBP ko upper hand deta hai.

Technical Analysis

Is waqt GBP/JPY ka resistance level 185.00 ke qareeb hai, jabke support level 180.00 ke aas paas dekha ja sakta hai. Agar price 185.00 ke upar break kar jati hai, to yeh ek strong bullish signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price 180.00 ke neeche girti hai, to yen mazid strong ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

GBP/JPY trading karte waqt interest rates, geopolitics, aur Japan ke economic data ko closely dekhna zaroori hai. Yeh pair bohot volatile hota hai, is liye technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko madde nazar rakhte huye trade decisions lene chahiye.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne European trading session ke doran rally ki, jo 187.90 ke aas paas pohnch gayi. Yeh upar ki taraf movement Japan mein ek public holiday ki wajah se halki trading ke sath hui. Market ab UK ki important economic data ka intezaar kar raha hai, jisme employment figures aur consumer inflation data shaamil hain, jo is haftay ke aakhir mein release hogi. Yeh reports UK economy ki health ke bare mein valuable information denge aur shayad Bank of England ki monetary policy ko bhi influence karen.
June mein central bank ne interest rates ko 2% target par barqarar rakha tha, magar wages ke barhney aur uska inflation par asar ke hawale se ab bhi fikr hai. Bank of England se agar aggressive monetary policy ka imkaan hai, toh GBP/JPY ke liye upside limited ho sakta hai. Pehla factor, Bank of Japan ka future mein interest rates barhane ka irada, jo yen par downward pressure daal sakta hai, aur doosra factor, Middle East mein barhtay hue geopolitical tensions, khas tor par Israeli-Palestinian conflict, jo investors ko safe-haven assets, jese ke yen, ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Technically dekha jaye toh pair ne trend reversal ke signs show kiye hain, magar momentum indicators previous downtrend mein kamzori ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Significant resistance levels abhi bhi maujood hain, jo upside potential ko rok rahe hain. Market ka focus ab ane wali economic data releases, khaaskar UK CPI report par hoga, jisse aage ka direction mil sake. Magar bears shayad market par control lene ki koshish karenge. August 22, 2023 ka high aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement 185.21–186.75 region ko establish karte hain, jahan wo GBP/JPY ko niche girane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar yeh successful rahe, toh GBP/JPY naya 8-month low bana sakti hai, aur phir April 9, 2001 ka high 181.36 tak ka move expect kiya ja sakta hai.
In conclusion, GBP/JPY abhi bhi rise kar raha hai, magar market ka momentum ab bhi shaky hai, jo aur girawat ka imkaan chorh raha hai.

GBP/JPY ka uptrend bohat mazboot hai, jo traders ko iski bullish momentum se faida uthane ke liye kai mokay faraham karta hai. Support level 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan aik ahem zone hai jo is uptrend ke jari rehne mein madad karta hai. Ye range aik mazboot buniyad ke tor par kaam karti hai, jo price ko aur girne se rokti hai. Muqami support aur resistance levels ko samajhna bohat zaroori hota hai taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 ke critical support zone ke upar rehti hai, traders bullish strength ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ka analysis karte waqt, in support levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai. 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan ka range aik ahem deewar ke tor par kaam karta hai jo current uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar price is range ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh trend ke palatne ya kamzor hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab tak price is support zone ke upar rehti hai, bullish sentiment dominate karta rahega. Traders ko is level par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni positions ko us ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.
GBP/JPY ka agla target 206.380 level tak pohanchna aur is se agay barhna hai. Agar price is level ko break kar le, to yeh uptrend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega aur traders ke liye aik wazeh short-term goal faraham karega. Aik solid break is resistance level ke upar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne aur mazeed taiz karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Traders ko support zone ke qareeb dips par long positions lene ka mauqa dekhna chahiye, aur initial target 206.380 ko rakhna chahiye. Jab price successfully 206.380 ke resistance level ko paar kar le, to bullish momentum dobara se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Is breakout ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers price ko upar le jane mein kamyaab hain. 206.380 ke baad, traders ko agle immediate resistance zone ko target karna chahiye. Yeh dekhna bohat zaroori hoga ke price is level par kis tarah react karti hai, kyunke is range ke upar consolidation kaamyaabi se hoti hai to further gains ka rasta asaan ho jaye ga. Is resistance ko paar karna yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend na sirf barqarar hai, balki mazeed taqatwar ho raha hai.

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GBP/JPY ka uptrend bohat mazboot hai, jo traders ko iski bullish momentum se faida uthane ke liye kai mokay faraham karta hai. Support level 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan aik ahem zone hai jo is uptrend ke jari rehne mein madad karta hai. Ye range aik mazboot buniyad ke tor par kaam karti hai, jo price ko aur girne se rokti hai. Muqami support aur resistance levels ko samajhna bohat zaroori hota hai taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 ke critical support zone ke upar rehti hai, traders bullish strength ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ka analysis karte waqt, in support levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai. 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan ka range aik ahem deewar ke tor par kaam karta hai jo current uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar price is range ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh trend ke palatne ya kamzor hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab tak price is support zone ke upar rehti hai, bullish sentiment dominate karta rahega. Traders ko is level par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni positions ko us ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.
GBP/JPY ka agla target 206.380 level tak pohanchna aur is se agay barhna hai. Agar price is level ko break kar le, to yeh uptrend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega aur traders ke liye aik wazeh short-term goal faraham karega. Aik solid break is resistance level ke upar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne aur mazeed taiz karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Traders ko support zone ke qareeb dips par long positions lene ka mauqa dekhna chahiye, aur initial target 206.380 ko rakhna chahiye. Jab price successfully 206.380 ke resistance level ko paar kar le, to bullish momentum dobara se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Is breakout ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers price ko upar le jane mein kamyaab hain. 206.380 ke baad, traders ko agle immediate resistance zone ko target karna chahiye. Yeh dekhna bohat zaroori hoga ke price is level par kis tarah react karti hai, kyunke is range ke upar consolidation kaamyaabi se hoti hai to further gains ka rasta asaan ho jaye ga. Is resistance ko paar karna yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend na sirf barqarar hai, balki mazeed taqatwar ho raha hai.

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Shorter time periods par working ki tactics sirf niche ki taraf honi chahiye, jab formations decline ke liye ban rahe hoon. Shayad hum seedha niche nahi jaayenge, CCI indicator ki position se yeh hint mil raha hai jo lower overheating zone mein hai. Decline se pehle, corrective growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai nearest strong resistance level 189.16 tak. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke aas-paas aap M15 jaise chhote time period par sell formation ko dekh sakte hain, taake support resistance mein convert ho jaye. Is tarah aap ek higher level ke basis par lower level pe entry le sakte hain.
**General trading strategy** ke liye, aise transactions honi chahiye jahan lower levels ko higher levels ke saath support milta hai. Lekin buy karna advisable nahi hai, kyunki yeh thoda rollback de sakta hai aur phir general trend ke saath niche jaye ga, utasalar jab pound market mein overall weaken hota nazar aa raha hai.

Agar last August ka low phir se renew hota hai, to ek signal form ho sakta hai MACD indicator par – ek bullish divergence. Magar yeh future ke liye hai, abhi ke liye is par baat karna zyada jaldi hai.

Pichle dino mein, price ko niche press kiya gaya, jaise ke expected tha. Short-term aur long-term trends ko monitor karte hue, traders ko apni strategy ko update karna chahiye aur har har situation ke hisaab se adapt karna chahiye. Jo bhi trading decisions liye jayein, unhe market ke current trend aur technical indicators ke sath align karna zaroori hai, taake profitable trades execute ki ja sakein