جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.
Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate stance ke hawalay se chal rahi uncertainty ki wajah se hai. Haal hi mein UK ki inflation aur labor market data ne ek aur BoE rate cut ki imkaan ko kam kar diya hai, jis se pound ko support mil raha hai. Is ke ilawa, UK ke GDP figures upbeat hone ki wajah se spekulasyon hui hai ke BoE apne current interest rate level ko September meeting mein maintain kar sakta hai. Ye factors, aur kamzor hoti Japanese yen ne pair ke upward movement mein hissa dala hai. Japan mein Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke isteefa dene se paida hone wali siyasi be-yaqeeni ne yen ko aur bhi kamzor kiya hai. Yeh cheez mumkin hai ke BoJ ke maqsoodah rate hikes mein takheer ho, lekin investors abhi bhi Japan ke behtar hotay macroeconomic halaat aur mustaqbil ke interest rate increases ke hawalay se optimistic hain. Geopolitical risks yen ki dynamics ko asar andaz karte rehte hain, jo iske tez decline ko limit karte hain. Aanay wali UK PMI preview data aur Japan ke national consumer price index (CPI) ki release se short-term trading opportunities aur dono maeshat ki insight milegi. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ki Jackson Hole Symposium mein appearance se market mein volatility ki tawaqo hai, jo GBP/JPY ko significant momentum de sakti hai. Pair ki recent stabilization aur aakhri BoE rate cut ke baad pound ki recovery se sentiment mein shift ka imkaan zahir hota hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, Average Directional Index (ADX) yeh indicate kar raha hai ke GBP/JPY ki downtrend mein ease aa rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, aur Stochastic apnea moving average aur oversold zone ke upar break kar raha hai, jo current moderate uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 se ooper jaane ki koshish kar sakta hai aur congested 192.57-193.60 zone ko target kar sakta hai, jismein significant technical levels shaamil hain. Lekin, is resistance area ko overcome karne ke liye sustained upward pressure

Aaj GBP/JPY currency pair ka movement ab tak 192.00 ke price tak barhne ka rujhan dikhata hai. Yeh izafa Japanese Yen ke exchange rate mein kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo ke is mahine Japanese industries ki ahm production mein -1.3% ki kami ke baad samnay aayi. Iss wajah se GBP/JPY ka movement aaj 191.80 tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin, iss dopahar Pound Sterling ke exchange rate mein achanak se kamzori aayi hai, jo ke UK mein retail sales ke data ke -0.5% girne ki wajah se hai, isliye GBP/JPY ka movement aaj 191.500 ke price tak gir sakta hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke main GBP/JPY ko 191.500 tak SELL karoon. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj dopahar GBP/JPY ka movement niche correct ho kar 191.500 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh is liye kyun ke H1 time frame mein GBP/JPY ek bearish candle engulfing banane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot signal hai SELL GBP/JPY ke liye 191.500 tak ke future price ke liye. Iske ilawa, meri observation ke mutabiq RSI 14 indicator pe, 191.80 ka GBP/JPY price overbought ho chuka hai yaani ke bohot zyada khareedari ho gayi hai. Isliye, aaj GBP/JPY ke 10-40 pips ka downward correction hone ke imkaanat hain. Yeh SELL GBP/JPY signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi supported hai, kyun ke jab GBP/JPY ka price 191.70 pe pohancha, toh yeh already SBR area mein tha (Support Become Resistance), isliye yeh bohot possible hai ke aaj SELLERS GBP/JPY JPY pair mein enter karein. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke main GBP/JPY ko 191.50 tak SELL karoon

GBP/JPY ke pair ko Heikin Ashi candlesticks aur TMA aur RSI indicators ke saath analyze karte hue, abhi ek trading plan banane ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai jo kharidari ke haq mein hai. Heikin Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price value ko noticeably smooth aur average kar deti hain, aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein reversal points, correction rollbacks, aur impulse price breakthroughs ko waqt par dekhna asaan bana deti hain, jo trader analysis ko kafi madadgar banati hain . TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi ek behtareen madadgar hai jo chart par current support aur resistance lines ko Moving Average (Mashki) ke zariye dikhata hai aur asset movement boundaries ko waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Aur aakhri mein, RSI oscillator indicator final decision lene mein madad karta hai, jo ke traded asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Ye trading instruments ka chunav technical analysis ko kaafi asaan bana deta hai aur market mein false entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Chart ko dekhte hue, yeh situation nazar aati hai ke candles blue rang ki hain, jo ke indicate karti hain ke bulls ab strong hain aur price ko north direction mein pull kar rahe hain. Isliye, long positions kholne ka acha mauqa hai. Price quotes linear channel ke lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar nikal gayi thi, lekin minimum extreme point tak girne ke baad, wahan se bounce kar ke channel ke central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf agay barh gayi hai. Saath hi, RSI (14) bhi buy signal ko support karta hai kyunki iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Isliye, abhi ke upward movement ko dekhte hue, purchases ka achha chance hai, aur long deal open karna ek acha faisla hai. Take profit ko channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ke area mein set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke price mark 194.961 par hai. Market ko profit ko minus mein jane se rokne ke liye, trailing stop orders ka istemal karna aur position ko profitable zone mein move karne ke baad zyada profit kamane ki koshish karna

GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP /JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai

July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte

GBP/JPY ne haal hi mein aise movements dikhaye hain jo traders ke liye bohot zyada interesting hain aur in par nazar rakhni chahiye. H1 timeframe mein, ek noticeable double bottom pattern ban gaya hai, jo aam tor par ek bullish signal hai aur yeh darshata hai ke price upar ja sakti hai. Yeh pattern ek potential buying opportunity indicate karta hai, khaaskar jab price linear regression channel ke lower edge par, lagbhag 189.950, hai. Yeh level ek achha entry point hai, kyunki yeh market ke current bullish trend ke saath align karta hai.

Jo traders is level par entry ka soch rahe hain, unhein yeh dekhna chahiye ke agar price ummed ke mutabiq barhti hai, toh agla significant target channel ke upper boundary par hoga, jo lagbhag 191.82 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin, jab price is upper boundary ke paas pohanchti hai, tab caution zaroori hai. Aksar, aise levels resistance face karte hain, jo ke price ke decline ko lead kar sakta hai. Isliye, traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke woh adaptable rahein aur apne strategies ko in key levels ke aas-paas price action ke hisaab se adjust karein. Resistance level ke paas price action ko closely monitor karna potential market reversals ya continuation patterns ke insights dega.

In short-term bullish signals ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ka overall trend bearish hi hai. Daily chart par ek bearish momentum candle nazar aayi hai, jo yeh reinforce karta hai ke downtrend continue ho sakta hai. Pehle buyers aur sellers ke beech momentary balance tha, jise bullish doji candle highlight karti hai. Lekin, prevailing market conditions yeh suggest karti hain ke bearish pressure abhi dominate kar raha hai, jo recent bullish indications ko overshadow kar raha hai.

Agar price critical support level 185.00 ke niche girti hai, toh yeh further declines trigger kar sakta hai, jo lower levels, jaise daily support 182.63, ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh support level bohot crucial hai; agar price iske upar nahi rehti, toh bearish momentum aur badh sakta hai. Agar support hold hota hai, toh nearest target EMA 12 hoga. Daily stochastic indicator bhi yeh signal karta hai ke price continue kar sakti hai decline, jo bearish outlook ko aur reinforce karta hai.

Summary yeh hai ke jab ke lower levels par bullish movements ko capitalize karne ke opportunities hain, traders ko bearish declines ke liye bhi vigilant rehna chahiye. Overall downtrend yeh darshata hai ke despite short-term bullish signals, broader market sentiment bearish hi hai. Isliye, traders ko market reversals ke liye prepared rehna zaroori hai aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye. Key support levels, resistance points, aur technical indicators par nazar rakhna current market conditions ko navigate karne ke liye critical hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair main aaj ki trading session mein achi recovery dekhne ko mili, jo pichle do din se chal rahi downward trend ko torh deti hai. Yeh rebound mostly Japanese Yen (JPY) ki selling ki wajah se hua hai, jo kay mukhtalif factors se influenced hai. Sab se bara factor Japan ka national Consumer Price Index (CPI) hai, jo Friday ko release hoga. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko umeed hai ke strong economic recovery inflation ko apne 2% target ki taraf le jayegi. Agar yeh expectation poori hoti hai, to BoJ further interest rate hikes kar sakta hai, jo ke yen ko mazid mazboot karega aur cross-currency pairs, jaise ke GBP/JPY, ke liye resistance paida kar sakta hai. Magar, agar global risk appetite barh gaya aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions kam ho gayi, to yen jese safe-haven currencies weak ho sakti hain. United States ne bataya hai ke Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ne Israel aur Hamas ke darmiyan differences hal karne ke proposals ko accept kar liya hai. Lekin agar political tensions escalate hoti hain, to yen ko safe-haven flows se faida ho sakta hai.
Doosri taraf, Sterling ko bhi support mil raha hai kyun ke ye speculation hai ke Bank of England (BoE) apni September ki meeting mein interest rates ko 5.0% par hi maintain karega. Robert Thompson, jo ke IBOSS ke chief economist hain, yeh suggest karte hain ke BoE rates ko unchanged chhorh sakta hai aur agla rate cut November tak delay ho sakta hai.

Technical indicators bhi GBP/JPY ke bullish trend ko support karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) sideways move kar raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke ease hone ka ishara hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai, apne midpoint ke qareeb. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic bhi upar ja raha hai, apni moving average aur oversold zone ke upar break kar raha hai, jo ke moderate uptrend ko reinforce karta hai

Is haftay ke trading session mein bullish movement ko sellers kaamiyabi se rok nahi paye. May ke aghaaz se jo consistent bullish trend tha, woh ab tak GBP/JPY currency pair ke movement mein wapis bullish raasta pakar chuka hai. Agar hum graph ka observation dekhein, toh ab bhi market ka haal buyers ke haath mein hai, aur pichlay haftay se yeh zabardast taur par dikhai deta hai. Price jo pehlay 191.50 tak neeche gir gaya tha, June mein bullish trend mein wapis aaya, aur kal tak yeh 206.41 tak pohanch chuka hai. Agla trading session ke liye meri estimation hai ke aglay haftay bhi bullish trend ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai. Market ke conditions ko dekhtay hue, jahan price mein mazid izafa ka imkaan hai, yeh aik achi opportunity hai ke hum BUY transactions ko dekhein, kyun ke trend ab tak upar hi move kar raha hai jaise ke pichlay kuch dinon mein dekha gaya hai. Meri raaye mein aglay haftay ke liye focus BUY transaction ka area dhoondhne par hoga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime Line 70 level tak wapas barh chuki hai, jo ke market ka dominant bullish trend ka tasur deti hai. Haftay ke aakhir tak, buyers ke efforts ab bhi price ko upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dekha jaa sakta hai ke price dheere dheere buyer’s target ki taraf barh raha hai. Aakhri teen hafton mein weekly candlestick bullish raha hai. Agar hum buyers ke strong push ko dekhein, toh aglay chand dinon mein bhi price mein izafa ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Main yeh sochta hoon ke sabar se kaam le kar trading ke ideal moment ka intezaar karun taake profit ko maximum kiya ja sake.
Aik alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke agar price resistance level 207.995 par wapas retest karta hai, toh wahan reversal candle formation ho sakta hai aur price phir se downward move kare. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh main yeh umeed karunga ke price support level 200.539 ya phir 197.201 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko dhoondta rahunga, kyun ke upward price movement ka continuation expected hai. Agar yeh plan successful hota hai, toh lower southern targets 195.044 tak bhi jaa sakte hain. Magar, phir bhi main bullish signals ko dhoondta rahunga in support levels ke qareeb, taake upward price movement ka silsila barqarar rahe. Mukhtasir mein, aglay haftay mein umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf push hota rahega aur resistance level 207.995 tak pohanchega. Wahan se main market ki situation ka analysis karke accordingly action lunga.

Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.
Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise

release hone wale positive economic data ki wajah se support hui thi. S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ke pehlay results ne business activity mein rebound dikhaya. August mein PMI 53.4 tak barh gaya, jo July ke 52.8 se zyada aur economists ke expectations 52.9 ko cross karta hai. Manufacturing aur services sectors dono ne is positive growth mein apna hissa dala, jisme S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 52.5 tak barh gaya aur UK Services PMI 53.3 tak chala gaya. Ye positive economic indicators doosray baray economies ke complex picture ke contrast mein hain.
Haal mein UK retail sales aur government borrowing ka data mixed implications ka sabub bana pound ke liye. July mein retail sales ne June ke decline ke baad growth dikhayi, magar government borrowing expect ki gayi se zyada thi. Is borrowing ka asar financial markets par depend karega hukoomat ke future response par. Market expectations ab bhi anticipate karte hain ke Bank of England (BoE) 2024 ke aakhir tak 0.25% interest rate cut karegi. Kuch analysts to 0.50% cuts ke bhi predictions kar rahe hain, jo ke do phases mein ho sakte hain year-end se pehle. Lekin in lower interest rates ki expectations pound par downward pressure dal sakti hain, kyunki ye foreign capital inflows ko kam kar sakti hain.

GBP/JPY Ka July Mein Sharp Sell-Off

July mein GBP/JPY pair ne ek sharp sell-off ka samna kiya, jo 16 saal ke high 208.10 se gir kar 5 August ko 180.07 ka low touch kar gaya. Uske baad se pair recovery mode mein hai, lekin 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ne is upward momentum ko temporarily roka hai. Agar bears recent upward trend ko reverse karne ki koshish karte hain, to April ka support level 190.00 pe pehla rukawat banega jo unhe cross karna hoga. Agle declines ko near-term support 188.22 pe rok sakta hai, followed by February ka low 185.22 par. Agar price in levels ke upar rehne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh 180.07 ke eight-month low tak

influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise

Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential