جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential

Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

GBPJPY currency pair ka jaiza lete hain, jab ke trading week ke zyada tar hisson mein bikri hukoomat karti rahi. Sirf haftay ke aaghaz mein thoda bohat izafa dekhne ko mila, lekin uske baad girawat ka silsila jari raha jo haftay ke aakhir tak barqarar tha. Kuch din aise bhi thay jahan din ke andar rollback hua, lekin har dafa bikri ne qeemat ko aur neechay gira diya. Wave structure ne apna order neeche ki taraf bana liya hai, aur MACD indicator bhi girawat ka signal de raha hai, jo ke neechay sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Mera khayal hai ke ye girawat general downward trend ke saath jari rahegi. Girawat ka target guzishta August ka minimum hai. Shorter time periods par kaam karte hue sirf downward trades karni chahiye jab girawat ke mutabiq formations banain. Yeh mumkin hai ke seedha neeche na jaya jaye, iska ishara CCI indicator de raha hai jo ke lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle ek corrective growth ho sakti hai jo ke qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak jaye. Agar ye rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb sale formation ka intezar karna chahiye, misaal ke taur par M15 par, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Phir aapko chhoti timeframe mein entry milegi jo ke bade level par mabni hogi. Lekin main khareedari ka mashwara nahi doon ga kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakti hai aur phir general trend ke mutabiq neeche chali jaye gi, khaaskar jab ke overall market mein pound kamzor ho raha hai.
Aakhri girawat se pehle, ek correction ke baad qareebi mazboot resistance level 189.16 tak izafa ho sakta hai. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb aap sale ka formation dekh sakte hain choti timeframes par, jaise ke M15, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho. Is tarah aap ek chote level par entry karenge jo ke ek bade level se support hoti hai. Asal mein, isi qisam ke transactions ki jani chahiye, jisme choti level par entry ho jo ke bare level se supported ho. Magar main buy nahi karunga, kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakte hain aur phir neeche chale jayenge asal trend ke sath, khas tor par jab pound market mein mazid kamzor ho raha hai.
Yahan hum yeh andaza laga sakte hain ke agar August ke neeche ka level renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek growth ka signal milega — ek bullish divergence banegi. Magar abhi is bare mein baat karna jaldi hoga. Halaat ke mutabiq, pichlay kuch dino mein price neeche pressure mein rahi, jaise ke expected tha.

GBP/JPY Ka Jaiza

Yeh currency pair Ichimoku cloud mein trade kar raha hai. Mojooda daam 185.408, Senkou Span B line ke 185.519 se neeche hai, jo is indicator mein kaafi mazboot mana jata hai. Main iske khilaf kharidari karne mein zyada dilchaspi nahi rakhta. Dusri taraf, Senkou Span A line 184.972 hai, jo Ichimoku cloud ke dusre hisse ko darshata hai aur market ne ise toota nahi. Agar cloud nahi toota, toh izafa hone ki sambhavna bani rahegi. Golden cross - Tenkan-sen line ka 185.902 se Kijun-sen line 185.111 ke saath niche se upar milna izafe ki nishani de raha hai. Main kharidari se rukta hoon jab tak market ka haal saaf nahi hota. Yeh haal tab saaf hoga jab market cloud se nikalti hai. Uske baad aap lambi muddat ke izafe ko dekhte hue kharidari kar sakte hain. Agar market cloud ke neeche nikalti hai, toh kharidari ruk jayegi jab dead cross aayega, phir aap bech sakte hain.




Mujhe yeh bhi samajh aata hai ke GBP/JPY ke liye kuch badal raha hai, lekin main sirf itna keh sakta hoon ke yeh cross apni girawat ko rok chuka hai, lekin is waqt kehna mushkil hai ke yeh pair izafa kar raha hai. H4 par dekha toh pata chala ke pound-yen figures 186 aur 184 ke beech hai, aur aakhri low pehle se uncha hai, lekin aakhri high 186.47 par hai (jo haal hi mein bana), jahan se girawat shuru hui. Filhal candle mein sirf ek shadow hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke yeh high pehle wale 186.70 se neeche hai, isliye yeh clear nahi hai ke pair izafe ke liye layout dobara banane ki koshish kar raha hai.

Main sirf kharidari ke options ko dekh raha hoon, bechne ke nahi, lekin agar hum ab transactions ki baat karein, toh sirf 184-181 ke zone se, lekin agar 186.70 ke upar consolidation hota hai, toh itne mazboot points se kharidari ki umeed nahi ki ja sakti. Filhal pound-yen ke liye kuch uncertainty nazar aati hai.

EUR/GBP

Sab ko achi mood mein rahna chahiye! M15 chart par buyers zyada active nazar aa rahe hain, kyunki linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Lekin bears bhi pichhe nahi hat rahe aur market ko neeche kheenchne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo unki price girane ki dilchaspi ko dikhata hai. Jab market 185.449 ke channel ke neeche consolidate hota hai, toh mein bearish trend par dhyan deta hoon aur bechne ka sochta hoon.

Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyunki jab level 183.947 par pohanchta hai, toh buyers actively kharidari shuru kar sakte hain, jo price ke ulte chalne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mein target level par munafa fix karne ki salahiyat deta hoon, lekin aap position ko hold kar sakte hain taake H4 chart par medium-term movement mein shamil ho sakein. Agar 186.263 ka level toota, jahan sellers ki mazboot positions hain, toh ye 183.947 tak girne ki movement par shak daal deta hai.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel downtrend mein hai, jo sellers ki dominance ko dikhata hai. Sales volumes 186.263 ke upper channel boundary ke paas concentrated hain. Ye 183.947 tak additional price decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. M15 chart par bearish market ka confirmation dekha ja sakta hai, jahan 185.449 ka lower channel boundary tooti hai.




Ye sales mein dilchaspi ka izafa dikhata hai. Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyunki agar 186.263 ka breakout hota hai toh sales cancel ho sakti hain aur market mein ulta chalne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo hourly channel direction mein tabdeel kar dega. Kisi bhi waqt trend change ki sambhavana ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye news background ke zariye asan ho sakta hai, isliye trading karte waqt news ka khayal rakhna hamesha zaroori hai.

GBP/JPY PAIR FORECAST

Price movement ki jagah ab chhoti hoti ja rahi hai. Wednesday ke trading mein koi khaas movement nahi hui, lekin price sirf EMA 200 H1 line ke 188.67 - 188.74 ke aas-paas upar aur neeche hoti rahi. Is price behavior ka peecha EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 lines ne bhi kiya, jo angled aur flat thi. Price jo upar jane ki koshish ki, wo 189.48 ke high ko paar karne mein nakam rahi, jo is hafte ka sabse ucha number tha aur ye Tuesday ko bana tha. Is nakami ne sellers ko dominate karne ka mauka diya. Lekin, seller pressure sirf price ko 187.84 tak shift kar sakta tha, uske baad price dobara upar push hui aur EMA 200 ke aas-paas ghoomti rahi. Ye halat trend ko abhi bhi unclear aur biased banaye rahi. Ye stithi Thursday dopahar tak jari rahi. Aaj subah market ne 188.90 se khula. Price daily open se upar thi aur EMA 200 us area ke thoda neeche tha. Flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab upar ki taraf point karne lagi hain. 189.97 ka nazdeek ka resistance is bullish price movement ki koshish ke liye observation ka area hoga.




Is momentum par, GBP/JPY ne apne teesre musalsal din ki gains record ki hain, August 5 ke low se lagbhag 4% recover kiya hai. Jabke market volatility thodi kam hui hai, low liquidity ki halat abhi bhi price movements ko amplify kar rahi hai. Is wajah se investors ka dhyan aane wale hafte ke UK ke headline CPI report ki taraf jata ja raha hai. Technical indicators bhi GBP/JPY ke recent bullish trend ko support kar rahe hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) sidewise move kar raha hai, jo downtrend ki kamzori ko dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf upar ja raha hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator apne moving average aur oversold zone se upar chadh raha hai, jo ongoing uptrend ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Agar bullish sentiment barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 ko breach karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, pehle 192.57 se 193.60 ke beech ke resistance zone ko target karte hue. Ye zone July 21, 2005 ke low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 se July 11, 2024 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement se mark kiya gaya hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY pair ka trajectory mukhtalif factors, jaise BoJ ki monetary policy decisions, geopolitical developments, aur UK ke economic data par depend karega.

GBP/JPY PAIR FORECAST

Price movement ki jagah ab chhoti hoti ja rahi hai. Wednesday ke trading mein koi khaas movement nahi hui, lekin price sirf EMA 200 H1 line ke 188.67 - 188.74 ke aas-paas upar aur neeche hoti rahi. Is price behavior ka peecha EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 lines ne bhi kiya, jo angled aur flat thi. Price jo upar jane ki koshish ki, wo 189.48 ke high ko paar karne mein nakam rahi, jo is hafte ka sabse ucha number tha aur ye Tuesday ko bana tha. Is nakami ne sellers ko dominate karne ka mauka diya. Lekin, seller pressure sirf price ko 187.84 tak shift kar sakta tha, uske baad price dobara upar push hui aur EMA 200 ke aas-paas ghoomti rahi. Ye halat trend ko abhi bhi unclear aur biased banaye rahi. Ye stithi Thursday dopahar tak jari rahi. Aaj subah market ne 188.90 se khula. Price daily open se upar thi aur EMA 200 us area ke thoda neeche tha. Flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab upar ki taraf point karne lagi hain. 189.97 ka nazdeek ka resistance is bullish price movement ki koshish ke liye observation ka area hoga.

Is momentum par, GBP/JPY ne apne teesre musalsal din ki gains record ki hain, August 5 ke low se lagbhag 4% recover kiya hai. Jabke market volatility thodi kam hui hai, low liquidity ki halat abhi bhi price movements ko amplify kar rahi hai. Is wajah se investors ka dhyan aane wale hafte ke UK ke headline CPI report ki taraf jata ja raha hai. Technical indicators bhi GBP/JPY ke recent bullish trend ko support kar rahe hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) sidewise move kar raha hai, jo downtrend ki kamzori ko dikhata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne midpoint ki taraf upar ja raha hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator apne moving average aur oversold zone se upar chadh raha hai, jo ongoing uptrend ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Agar bullish sentiment barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ke low 189.61 ko breach karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, pehle 192.57 se 193.60 ke beech ke resistance zone ko target karte hue. Ye zone July 21, 2005 ke low, 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), aur July 20, 2021 se July 11, 2024 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement se mark kiya gaya hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY pair ka trajectory mukhtalif factors, jaise BoJ ki monetary policy decisions, geopolitical developments, aur UK ke economic data par depend karega.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Ki Halat

GBP/JPY currency pair ne doosre din bhi apne nuqsanat ko barhaya, jab yeh European trading session ke doran 185.00 ke ird gird trade kar raha tha. Japanese yen (JPY) ne mazid taqat hasil ki, jab Junko Nagakawa, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governing Council ki member hain, ne bayan diya ke agar ma’ashiyat aur qeematain unki umeed ke mutabiq rahi to central bank apni monetary easing policies ko tabdeel kar sakta hai.

Juli mein interest rates barhane ke bawajood, asal interest rates ab bhi negative hain, aur monetary conditions khuli hui hain. Agar long-term interest rates barhte hain, to BoJ apne gradual easing plans par agle policy meeting mein ghor kar sakta hai.

Is dauran, UK se aayi economic data ne khushkhabri nahi di. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya ke UK ka gross domestic product (GDP) Juli mein nahi barha, jabke June mein bhi yeh stagnation dekha gaya. Yeh market ki umeed se neeche tha, jahan 0.2% barhne ki tawaqqo thi. Iske ilawa, services index Juli mein rolling teen mahine ke hisaab se 0.6% barha, jabke June mein yeh 0.8% tha. Economic growth ki kami ne yeh umeed barhadi hai ke Bank of England November mein 25 basis points interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Kuch traders to December mein mazeed rate cuts ki tawaqqo bhi kar rahe hain.

Iske ilawa, UK ka overall trade balance bhi kharab halat mein hai, jo July mein £7.514 billion ka deficit dikha raha hai, jo ke June ke £5.324 billion se zyada hai. Yeh April ke baad ka sabse bara trade deficit hai. Imports chaar maheenon mein sabse neeche £77.12 billion tak gaye, jabke exports 25 maheenon mein sabse neeche £69.60 billion tak gaye.

Haalaton Ka Jaiza

Ab GBP/JPY pair thodi si barhavat ke sath 186.00 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, lekin yeh ab bhi neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Is hafte ke shuru mein, pair ne apne haal ke lows 183.70 se door khisak gaya, hammer candle bana kar bullish reversal ki umeed jagai. Lekin agar aaj bearish move 185.00-185.65 ke neeche band hota hai, to candlestick pattern ek acha signal nahi banega, halankeh RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke kareeb hain.




Agar downward movement barqarar rehti hai, to yeh August ke low 183.00 ko phir se test kar sakta hai, aur usse neeche, price support trend line tak pahuncha sakta hai jo 2022 aur 2024 ke lows ko jodti hai, jo 182.00 par hai. Agar yeh level tooti, to bechne ka pressure barh sakta hai jo psychological level 180 ya usse bhi kareeb 179.00 ke extension tak pahuncha sakta hai, jo Q1 2023 mein dekha gaya tha.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Ki Halat

GBP/JPY currency pair ne doosre din bhi apne nuqsanat ko barhaya, jab yeh European trading session ke doran 185.00 ke ird gird trade kar raha tha. Japanese yen (JPY) ne mazid taqat hasil ki, jab Junko Nagakawa, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governing Council ki member hain, ne bayan diya ke agar ma’ashiyat aur qeematain unki umeed ke mutabiq rahi to central bank apni monetary easing policies ko tabdeel kar sakta hai.

Juli mein interest rates barhane ke bawajood, asal interest rates ab bhi negative hain, aur monetary conditions khuli hui hain. Agar long-term interest rates barhte hain, to BoJ apne gradual easing plans par agle policy meeting mein ghor kar sakta hai.

Is dauran, UK se aayi economic data ne khushkhabri nahi di. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya ke UK ka gross domestic product (GDP) Juli mein nahi barha, jabke June mein bhi yeh stagnation dekha gaya. Yeh market ki umeed se neeche tha, jahan 0.2% barhne ki tawaqqo thi. Iske ilawa, services index Juli mein rolling teen mahine ke hisaab se 0.6% barha, jabke June mein yeh 0.8% tha. Economic growth ki kami ne yeh umeed barhadi hai ke Bank of England November mein 25 basis points interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Kuch traders to December mein mazeed rate cuts ki tawaqqo bhi kar rahe hain.

Iske ilawa, UK ka overall trade balance bhi kharab halat mein hai, jo July mein £7.514 billion ka deficit dikha raha hai, jo ke June ke £5.324 billion se zyada hai. Yeh April ke baad ka sabse bara trade deficit hai. Imports chaar maheenon mein sabse neeche £77.12 billion tak gaye, jabke exports 25 maheenon mein sabse neeche £69.60 billion tak gaye.




Haalaton Ka Jaiza

Ab GBP/JPY pair thodi si barhavat ke sath 186.00 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, lekin yeh ab bhi neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Is hafte ke shuru mein, pair ne apne haal ke lows 183.70 se door khisak gaya, hammer candle bana kar bullish reversal ki umeed jagai. Lekin agar aaj bearish move 185.00-185.65 ke neeche band hota hai, to candlestick pattern ek acha signal nahi banega, halankeh RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke kareeb hain.

Agar downward movement barqarar rehti hai, to yeh August ke low 183.00 ko phir se test kar sakta hai, aur usse neeche, price support trend line tak pahuncha sakta hai jo 2022 aur 2024 ke lows ko jodti hai, jo 182.00 par hai. Agar yeh level tooti, to bechne ka pressure barh sakta hai jo psychological level 180 ya usse bhi kareeb 179.00 ke extension tak pahuncha sakta hai, jo Q1 2023 mein dekha gaya tha.

GBP/JPY Market Analysis
September 16, 2024

GBP/JPY currency pair ki price movement kuch dinon se downward trend par chal rahi hai, jahan trading sessions mein khaas karke nuqsan dekha gaya hai. Yeh pehle se chalte aa rahe trend ka jaari rukh hai, jo bearish path par candlesticks ki line bana raha hai. Do hafte pehle se, market mein price decline ka structure dekha gaya hai, jahan closing price pehle ki opening price se neeche hai. Yeh halat price ke phir se neeche jaane ka mauqa de rahi hai. Aaj USD/CHF currency pair ka opening level 184.78 tha, jo thodi si neeche gaya hai.

Relative Strength Index (14) par lime line pehle level 50 par thi, lekin ab yeh level 30 par aa gayi hai. MACD indicator (12, 26, 9) par histogram bar ab bhi zero level ke neeche hai aur iska size chhota hai, jabke yellow signal line bhi neeche ki taraf jhuki hui hai. Is waqt, Simple Moving Average lines 60 aur 150 ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai, kyunki mahine ke shuruat se GBP/JPY pair bearish movement kar raha hai. Technical readings ke mutabiq, sabhi indicators market ke neeche ki taraf jaane ka signal de rahe hain.




Conclusion:

Daily timeframes par ki gayi analysis ke mutabiq, indicators jo GBP/JPY currency pair ki price movements ko monitor karte hain, sabhi ek hi market direction de rahe hain. Indicators ab bhi ye tasavvur karte hain ke market ka trend bearish ki taraf jaari rahega.

Agar candlestick ka rukh aur neeche ki taraf 184.00 level ki taraf jata hai, to yeh SELL trading transaction kholne ka acha mauqa hoga. Lekin agar candlestick upar ki taraf move karti hai, to 183.00 level par BUY trading ka behtareen mauqa mil sakta hai.

Yeh tha GBP/JPY currency pair ka trading journal update. Umeed hai ke jo analysis main share kar raha hoon, wo Investsocial forum ke members ke liye faida mand hogi. Khushgawar salam aap ke safar ke liye. Umeed hai ke aapka munafa consistent rahega.

GBP/JPY: Ek Ghante Ka Time Frame Road Map

GBP/JPY ke investors aaj buy entries le sakte hain kyunki market 184.47 ke resistance level par hai. Bechne walon ka bearish rukh reject kiya gaya hai, jis se bulls ko taqat mili hai. Halankeh foran focus bulls par hai jo resistance ko test kar rahe hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke overall economic environment ko samjha jaye jo sentiment ko asar daal raha hai.

Interest rates mein tabdeeliyan, inflation data, aur ma’ashi growth trends jese factors ko nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Yeh macroeconomic factors aksar currency movements par lambey arse tak asar daal sakte hain. GBP/JPY ke investors ko market par nazar rakhni chahiye.

Agar kisi ma’ashi soorat mein inflation achanak barh jaata hai, to central banks apni monetary policies mein tabdeeliyan kar sakte hain, jo bullish scenario par gehra asar daal sakti hain. Iske baraks, agar overall ma’ashiyat stable rahti hai, to sentiment ongoing bullish narrative ko support karega, jis se buyers ko resistance paar karne ki taqat milegi.

GBP/JPY ke investors ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo bullish scenario mein trading ke psychological aspects se waqif rahen. Jab market upar ki taraf move karne lagti hai, to aksar late entries ka rush hota hai, jo fear of missing out (FOMO) se hota hai. Yeh short term mein prices ko barha sakta hai, lekin aksar yeh overextension ka sabab ban jata hai jahan market overbought ho jata hai.




Aise mawaqay par, thanda dimaag rakhna aur emotional decisions se bachna zaroori hai. Pehle se tay ki gayi strategies par amal karna aur short-term market euphoria se ghalat asar nahi lene dena key hai. Jab market overstretched ho rahi ho, uske nishan dekhna aur profits lena ya positions ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna bhi zaroori hai. Trading mein naye logon ke liye yeh emotional discipline rakhna mushkil ho sakta hai, lekin yeh lambey arse ki kamiyabi ke liye bohot ahm hai.

GBP/JPY

Salam aur Good Morning sab visitors ko!

GBP/JPY ka market ab 183.55 ke resistance zone ko test karne ke liye tayaar hai, lekin haal ki developments ne market ki foran ki disha par shak kar diya hai. UK GDP report aur dusre ahm khabrein achi nahi rahi, jis ki wajah se market mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi. Is wajah se GBP/JPY ne jaldi se neeche gir kar support zone tak pahuncha.

Is girawat ke bawajood, meri trading strategy ab bhi GBP/JPY ke liye buy order par focused hai, lekin zyada ehtiyaat ke sath. Main 15 pips ka short-term faida hasil karne ka plan bana raha hoon, halanke is waqt ki volatility ko madde nazar rakhte hue apni umeedon ko bhi sambhal kar rakh raha hoon.

Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke broader economic picture par nazar rakhein, khaaskar aane wale UK ki khabrein, jo market ka sentiment aur direction asar dal sakti hain. Yeh khabrein momentum ko achanak badal sakti hain, jo market mein anjaam se anjaam tak ke lehre utpaad kar sakti hain.




Isliye, aapke trades mein stop-loss measures shamil karna bohot ahm hai taake aapka account anjaam se bhari nuqsan se bach sake. Stop loss ko strategic levels par set karna aapke capital ki hifazat karega, khaaskar aise ghamgeen market environment mein jahan price action jaldi reverse ho sakti hai.

Halankeh market ne economic data ki wajah se tezi se girawat dekhi, lekin yeh dekhna bhi zaroori hai ke yeh decline shayad buying opportunities pesh kare jab market support levels ke paas stabilize ho. Jab GBP/JPY recovery ki koshish karega, short-term buyers jaldi trades se faida utha sakte hain agar unke exit points achi tarah se define kiye gaye hon.

Is volatile phase ko navigate karne ka key hai risk aur reward ka dhyan se balance karna, isliye ahm khabrein dekhna aur apne trading plan ko us hisaab se adjust karna zaroori hai. Overall, jabke market ab bhi anjaam hai, meri current preference buy order ke liye 15 pips ka short target hai, jo GBP/JPY pair ke recovery ke liye cautious optimism ko darshata hai.

GBP/JPY D1 Chart

GBP/JPY pair ne Jumme ko bullish trend dikhaya, apni jeet ki silsila teen din tak barhakar. Yeh upar ki taraf chalne ka rukh asal mein British Pound (GBP) ki taqat se tha, jo positive economic data se mazid barh gaya. S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) August ke liye business activity mein 52.8 se 53.4 tak ki barhavat dikhata hai. Is behtari mein manufacturing aur services dono sectors ka haath tha. Yeh positive economic data doosri badi economies ke mixed picture se bilkul munafiq hai, jis ne GBP ki appeal ko mazid barhaya.

Haal hi mein UK ki retail sales data ne bhi July mein growth ki taraf wapas aane ka pata diya, jabke June mein girawat dekhi gayi thi. Lekin, sabhi economic indicators itne ache nahi hain. Government borrowing July mein umeed se zyada thi, aur consumer confidence aur factory orders ka rukh mixed raha. Market ki umeed hai ke Bank of England (BoE) 2024 ke akhir tak 0.25% interest rate cut kar sakta hai. Kuch analysts to yeh bhi tawaqqo karte hain ke saal ke akhir tak total 0.50% ka cut ho sakta hai. Halankeh lower interest rates se GBP par negative asar ho sakta hai kyunki foreign capital inflows kam honge, lekin abhi ki market narrative yeh darshati hai ke currency ki taqat limited reh sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Jumme ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke bayan par support hasil kiya. Ueda ne ishaara diya ke agar economic aur price trends unki umeed ke mutabiq rahe to BoJ interest rates ko aur barhane par ghor karega. Is bayan ne JPY ke liye potential upward trajectory ka ishara diya.




Hourly Chart Ka Istemaal

Hourly chart khaaskar short-term market participants ke liye faida mand hai, ya un logon ke liye jo market mein sabse behtareen waqt par entry lena chahte hain. Yeh micro-trends aur short bursts of price movements ko capture karne ki sahulat deta hai, khaaskar high volatility ya significant market news ke doran. Hourly charts aksar patterns jaise flags, pennants, ya reversals dikhate hain jo long-term charts par foran nazar nahi aate.

Level 188.00 USA trading session mein tooti sakti hai. Is ke muqablay mein, daily chart market ka broader view deta hai, jahan overarching trends, support aur resistance levels, aur moving averages, trendlines, aur momentum oscillators ke interactions ko observe kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh dekhna bhi zaroori hai ke aaj dono daily aur hourly charts bullish conditions dikhate hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke overall sentiment positive hai aur upward trend shayad jaari rahega.

GBP/JPY Analysis Pair
September 15, 2024

Is haftay GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi selling pressure ka shikaar hai, halanke bearish range pichle haftay ki tarah nahi hai, lekin yeh bechne walon ke liye agle haftay ko zyada confidence ke sath trading plan banane ki umeed de raha hai. Aakhri kuch dinon mein price girawat ne ek weekly bearish candlestick banayi hai.

Kayi dinon tak chali is bearish movement ne aakhirkar 186.53 area ko break kar diya hai, jo ab resistance level ban chuka hai, aur market mein bearish price ke jaari rehne ka imkaan hai.

Agar hum dekhain ke sabse neeche ka level kya hai jahan sellers penetrate nahi kar sake, to is haftay price ke aur neeche girne ki umeed hai aur ek lower support level ban sakta hai. Pichle haftay buyers ne price ko upar push karne ki koshish ki thi, lekin 193.45 ka level touch karne ke baad yeh increase aakhirkar fail ho gaya aur bearish price ne iski jagah le li. Yeh bechne walon ke liye market par control pane ka mauqa khula hua hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers filhal market par waqai mein control nahi rakh rahe.

Abhi, market ke band hone par, weekly candlestick bearish thi.




4-hour chart ko dekhne par, yeh nazar aata hai ke pichli price decline monthly support level ko penetrate nahi kar payi, aur sellers agle bearish momentum ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain taake price ko aur neeche le jayein, highest monthly area se door.

Is waqt, stochastic indicator 5.3.3 par signal line level 20 tak pahuncha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke seller control ab bhi bharosemand hai. Price pichle haftay ke highest area se neeche hai, jo market mein bearish trend ki dominance ko darshata hai. Aur yeh umeed hai ke price phir se neeche move karega taake 184.14 ke support level ko break kar sake, jo ek kaafi strong weekly resistance level hai.

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY currency pair ab dobara upar jane ka irada nahi rakhta aur 186 aur 183 ke beech trading kar raha hai. Haal hi mein, price 186.78 se rebound hui aur 183.70 ki taraf gayi, lekin ab tak chart par koi bearish engulfing nahi dekhi, jo kaafi ajeeb hai. Lekin, kam se kam price phir se 183.70 par wapas aa sakti hai aur ek double bottom banakar upar ki taraf turn kar sakti hai, jis se growth 193.44 tak ja sakti hai. Agar price Ichimoku Cloud ke upar consolidate karte hue 189.54 ko paar kar gayi, to phir se 200 figure tak tezi shuru ho sakti hai.

Is dauran, price H4 par Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke neeche araam se trading kar rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke H4 par trend ab bhi south hai. Sirf CCI indicator H4 par strong sales area se nikal raha hai aur north ki taraf mudne laga hai, jo rollback ka ishara hai, lekin chart par koi rollback nahi dikhai de raha, sirf Friday ko flat movement hoti rahi, yani ke movement insignificant thi.




Agar price 183.70 ko break karti hai, to 180-178 figures tak girne ka khatra hai.

GBP/JPY pair asal mein Japanese yen ki tarah chal raha hai, aur jab yen south ki taraf ja raha hai, to is pair ke liye bhi south prathmikta hai. Jaise maine likha, level 23.6% 186.68 se zaroori hai ke wapas 14.6% 184.17 ka debt level retest kare aur debt DKZ 1/2 184.54-184.21 ke paas aaye. Yeh asal mein hua, sirf 184.21 aur 184.17 par koi doges nahi liye gaye, to yeh neeche jaate rahenge. Agar yeh 184.17 ke neeche consolidate karte hain, to 183.17 ka debt level tak girne ki umeed karni chahiye, aur phir shayad debt DKZ 181.57-180.90 tak, kyunki is zone ke paas 151.58 ka debt level bhi hai.

Ek alternative scenario yeh hai ke 184.17+ ka retest karte hue DKZ 1/4 186.02-185.86 tak wapas aaye, lekin yeh abhi tak ek alternative hai; current prices se seedha decline hone ka zyada imkaan hai.