جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh

GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY pair ne pichle do dinon mein jo rebound kiya tha, wo Wednesday ke Asian session ke doran nayi supply ke samnay mushkil mein aagaya aur spot prices wapis 186.00 ke qareeb agaye. Japanese yen ke aas-paas naye kharidari ke bawajood downside seemit lagta hai, kyunke UK ke consumer inflation data ka intezar hai. UK CPI ki forecast hai ke August mein 0.3% ka izafa hoga, jabke pichle mahine mein 0.2% ka kami dekhi gayi thi. Annual rate ka intezar hai ke 2.2% par barqarar rahega.
Dusri taraf, core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.

BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke qareeb kyun na ho. Agar price neeche girti hai tou August ke low 183.00 ka retest ho sakta hai, aur uske neeche 2022 aur 2024 lows ko milane wali support trend line par price 182.00 tak pohonch sakti hai

doran nayi supply ke samnay mushkil mein aagaya aur spot prices wapis 186.00 ke qareeb agaye. Japanese yen ke aas-paas naye kharidari ke bawajood downside seemit lagta hai, kyunke UK ke consumer inflation data ka intezar hai. UK CPI ki forecast hai ke August mein 0.3% ka izafa hoga, jabke pichle mahine mein 0.2% ka kami dekhi gayi thi. Annual rate ka intezar hai ke 2.2% par barqarar rahega. Dusri taraf, core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.

BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI

dikhata hai. UK ki economic instability, inflation pressures, aur Bank of England (BoE) ki hawkish policies Pound Sterling (GBP) ko affect kar rahe hain. Dusri taraf, Japanese Yen (JPY) ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki ultra-loose monetary policy aur global risk sentiment se impact mil raha hai. Overall, yeh pair risk-on aur risk-off sentiment ke darmiyan trade karta hai, jisme GBP ki strength JPY ke against zyada nazar aati hai. 2. Technical Indicators ka Analysis:

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY ne recent uptrend dikhaya hai, lekin abhi price action thoda consolidate kar raha hai. Moving averages, specially 50-day aur 200-day, bullish trend ko support karte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi near 60 hai, jo upward momentum ko indicate karta hai, magar overbought zone se door hai. Bollinger bands bhi expanded hain, jo volatility ki waja se price swings ko suggest karte hain.

3. Key Support aur Resistance Levels:

GBP/JPY ka pehla major support level 181.50 par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla support 180.00 par ho sakta hai. Resistance levels mein, pehla major resistance 184.00 par hai. Agar bullish momentum barh jata hai, to 185.50 ek strong resistance zone ban sakta hai. Short-term mein, price inhi levels ke beech move karegi jab tak koi major breakout nahi hota.

4. Fundamental Factors:

Fundamental factors mein UK ki inflation aur Bank of England ki interest rate policies bohot important hain, jo GBP ki movement ko drive karte hain. Dusri taraf, Japan ki economy abhi bhi deflation aur low growth se guzra rahi hai, jisse BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy chal rahi hai. Global risk sentiment bhi important role play karta hai; jab market mein risk-off environment hota hai, to JPY ko safe-haven demand milti hai. Lekin jab risk-on sentiment strong hota hai, to GBP ki strength JPY ko overpower kar deti hai.

5. Future Outlook:

Agle kuch dino mein GBP/JPY ka trend UK aur Japan ki economic policies aur global risk sentiment par depend karega. Agar UK ki economic data positive hoti hai aur Bank of England apni hawkish stance continue rakhta hai, to GBP/JPY ka pair further upside dekh sakta hai. Lekin, agar global markets mein uncertainty barhti hai, to JPY ko safe-haven demand se support milega, jo pair ko downside pressure dega. Traders ko short

mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh

194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujh

Chalte hue GBPJPY price rally ne 193.21 ka resistance paar kar liya hai. Aghlaban price ka movement FR 127.2 - 196.10 tak jaayega, uske baad ek downward correction phase ka imkaan hai. Kyun ke pehle jo reversal signals nazar aaye the, wo price ko neeche correct karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke benchmark rate ko baghair kisi limit ke maintain karne ke fundmental asraat ne Japanese Yen currency ka outlook kamzor kar diya hai. Price ko neeche girne ka moqa FR 50 - 188.57 ya FR 61.8 - 189.72 par milna chahiye tha jab ke us waqt trend ka rukh ab bhi bearish tha. Abhi ke halat mein, EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke perfectly cross hone ke baad golden cross signal aaya hai, jo ke bullish trend ka ishara deta hai aur price movement ke rise hone ka imkaan zyada hai.
Doosri taraf, price pattern ka structure bhi tabdeel ho gaya hai jab se 193.21 ka resistance paar ho gaya. 193.45 ke high prices par structure ka break hua hai jo ke lower low - lower high structure ke invalidation level ko dikhata hai. Is tarah jab downward correction phase aayega, to price ka limited higher low pattern banana mumkin hai jo ke EMA 50 ya FR 78.6 - 191.36 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke mutabiq, histogram volume GBPJPY pair ke price volume ke izafa ke sath mutabiq nahi hai. Halaankeh yeh uptrend momentum dikhata hai, lekin ek bearish divergence signal ka ishara bhi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo 90 - 80 level par overbought zone mein hain, yeh dikhata hai ke buying saturation point jaldi pohanchne

Golden cross signal ke zahoor hone ke sath jo ke bullish trend ka ishara hai, aur break of structure bhi ho chuka hai, is liye BUY moment ka intezar karna zaroori hai. Position entry point ko tab set kiya ja sakta hai jab price correct ho kar resistance 193.21 par aaye. Confirmation tab milti hai jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke aas paas crossing karein. AO indicator ka histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar chora rehna chahiye taake bearish divergence signal invalid ho sake. FR 127.2 - 196.10 ko take profit ke target ke tor par istemal karein aur stop loss FR 78.6 - 191.36 par set karei

doran nayi supply ke samnay mushkil mein aagaya aur spot prices wapis 186.00 ke qareeb agaye. Japanese yen ke aas-paas naye kharidari ke bawajood downside seemit lagta hai, kyunke UK ke consumer inflation data ka intezar hai. UK CPI ki forecast hai ke August mein 0.3% ka izafa hoga, jabke pichle mahine mein 0.2% ka kami dekhi gayi thi. Annual rate ka intezar hai ke 2.2% par barqarar rahega. Dusri taraf, core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.
BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par

aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential

GBP/JPY ka uptrend bohat mazboot hai, jo traders ko iski bullish momentum se faida uthane ke liye kai mokay faraham karta hai. Support level 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan aik ahem zone hai jo is uptrend ke jari rehne mein madad karta hai. Ye range aik mazboot buniyad ke tor par kaam karti hai, jo price ko aur girne se rokti hai. Muqami support aur resistance levels ko samajhna bohat zaroori hota hai taake behtareen trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 ke critical support zone ke upar rehti hai, traders bullish strength ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ka analysis karte waqt, in support levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna bohat zaroori hai. 206.370 aur 206.182 ke darmiyan ka range aik ahem deewar ke tor par kaam karta hai jo current uptrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar price is range ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh trend ke palatne ya kamzor hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab tak price is support zone ke upar rehti hai, bullish sentiment dominate karta rahega. Traders ko is level par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni positions ko us ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.
GBP/JPY ka agla target 206.380 level tak pohanchna aur is se agay barhna hai. Agar price is level ko break kar le, to yeh uptrend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega aur traders ke liye aik wazeh short-term goal faraham karega. Aik solid break is resistance level ke upar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne aur mazeed taiz karne ke liye zaroori hoga. Traders ko support zone ke qareeb dips par long positions lene ka mauqa dekhna chahiye, aur initial target 206.380 ko rakhna chahiye. Jab price successfully 206.380 ke resistance level ko paar kar le, to bullish momentum dobara se shuru hone ki umeed hai. Is breakout ka matlab yeh hoga ke buyers price ko upar le jane mein kamyaab hain. 206.380 ke baad, traders ko agle immediate resistance zone ko target karna chahiye. Yeh dekhna bohat zaroori hoga ke price is level par kis tarah react karti hai, kyunke is range ke upar consolidation kaamyaabi se hoti hai to further gains ka rasta asaan ho jaye ga. Is resistance ko paar karna yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend na sirf barqarar hai, balki mazeed taqatwar ho raha hai

GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY pair ne pichle do dinon mein jo rebound kiya tha, wo Wednesday ke Asian session ke doran nayi supply ke samnay mushkil mein aagaya aur spot prices wapis 186.00 ke qareeb agaye. Japanese yen ke aas-paas naye kharidari ke bawajood downside seemit lagta hai, kyunke UK ke consumer inflation data ka intezar hai. UK CPI ki forecast hai ke August mein 0.3% ka izafa hoga, jabke pichle mahine mein 0.2% ka kami dekhi gayi thi. Annual rate ka intezar hai ke 2.2% par barqarar rahega.
Dusri taraf, core CPI jo food, energy, alcohol, aur tobacco ko exclude karta hai, uski forecast hai ke July ke 3.3% se gir ke 3.5% par ajaayega. Agar CPI weak hota hai, tou Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ke chances barh jayenge, jo pound ko kamzor karega. Ye bhi dekhne mein aaya hai ke UK mein wage growth slow ho rahi hai aur July mein GDP flat raha hai. Agar CPI expectations se strong hota hai, tou iska asar short-lived ho sakta hai, kyunke yen ki mazid taqat ka imkaan hai, jo Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se araha hai.

BoJ ke officials ke haal hi ke comments ke mutabiq, is saal ke end tak ek aur interest rate hike ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, market mein central bank events ka intezar karte hue jitters hain jo yen ko support de sakte hain aur GBP/JPY par downside pressure dal sakte hain. Yeh bearish traders ke liye ek mauqa hai aur is session ke doran mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai.

Market ka focus Thursday ko Bank of England ke faislay par hai, jabke BoJ apna policy update Friday ko release karega. Yeh GBP/JPY ke agle trend ko influence karega. Is liye, behtar hoga ke 184.50 level ke neeche ek sustainable breakout ka intezar kiya jaye taake agle move ka faisla ho sake. Agar bears 185.00-185.65 ke neeche close karte hain, tou candlestick pattern reliable nahi hoga, chahe RSI aur Stochastics oversold levels ke qareeb kyun na ho. Agar price neeche girti hai tou August ke low 183.00 ka retest ho sakta hai, aur uske neeche 2022 aur 2024 lows ko milane wali support trend line par price 182.00 tak pohonch sakti hai

### GBP/JPY Price Rally ka Tajziya

GBP/JPY ki ongoing price rally ne 193.21 ke resistance level ko paar kar liya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price movement ab FR 127.2 - 196.10 ki taraf jaye, jahan phir ek downward correction phase ka potential hai. Pehle kuch reversal signals ne price ko neeche ki taraf correct karne mein asafal raha, jo yeh darust karti hai ke downward movement ab tak nahi aayi. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke benchmark rate ko bina kisi jaan pehchaan ke banaye rakhne ka asar Japanese Yen ki currency par negative hai, jisse iska outlook kamzor ho gaya hai. Price ko FR 50 - 188.57 ya FR 61.8 - 189.72 par girne ka mauka milna chahiye tha, lekin tab tak trend direction abhi bhi bearish tha.

Ab, EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech golden cross signal ki aamad ke saath, bullish trend direction ki taraf price movement ka projecction hai. Yeh bullish trend ab price ko upar ki taraf le jane ki taraf ishara karta hai.

### Price Pattern ki Structure ka Tabdeel

Price pattern ka structure bhi tab badal gaya jab resistance 193.21 ko paar kar diya gaya. High price 193.45 par structure ka break hua, jo lower low - lower high structure ke liye invalidation level hai. Is wajah se, jab downward correction phase aata hai, toh price higher low pattern banane par majboor ho jayega, jo ke EMA 50 ya FR 78.6 - 191.36 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke nazariye se dekha jaye toh histogram volume GBP/JPY pair ki price volume ke saath mutabiqat nahi rakhta. Halankeh yeh uptrend momentum dikhata hai, magar ismein bearish divergence signal ka indication hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jab overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 par pahunche, toh yeh buying saturation point ke qareeb hone ki taraf ishara karta hai.

### Setup Entry Position

Trading options mein golden cross signal ka aana bullish trend direction ko darust karta hai aur structure break bhi ho chuka hai. Is liye, ab BUY moment ka intezar karna chahiye. Entry position ko 193.21 ke resistance par price ke neeche correction hone par rakha ja sakta hai. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke ird gird cross karte hain. AO indicator histogram ko level 0 ya positive area ke upar wide rehna chahiye, taake bearish divergence signal invalid ho sake.

Target profit ke liye FR 127.2 - 196.10 ka istemal karna chahiye aur stop loss ko FR 78.6 - 191.36 par rakhna chahiye. Is tarah se trading strategy ko behtar banaya ja sakta hai, jab tak market ki conditions bullish rahengi.

GBP/JPY currency pair ka aik chhota sa tajziya pesh karna chahta hoon. Aaj GBP/JPY exchange rate par kafi ziada upward pressure hai, aur hum is trend ka faida utha kar position open kar sakte hain kyun ke abhi ka trend kaafi favourable hai. GBP/JPY pair mein trading ka mouqa dhoondne ke liye sab se pehle main technical analysis ko dekhoon ga. Trading start karne se pehle humein yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke current trend ka direction kya hai. Is ka pata lagane ke liye main Moving Average Indicator periods 21 aur 34 use karoonga. Abhi GBP/JPY ka price Moving Averages ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic Indicator bhi H4 chart par abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke aane wale waqt mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Ab jab humay pata chal gaya ke trend bullish hai, to agla step yeh hai ke hum GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye BUY ke options dhoondhein. Aam tor par main M30 ya M15 jaise short timeframes par patterns dekhta hoon taake entry ka mouqa mil sake. Lekin aaj raat main plan kar raha hoon ke main position 191.04 ke aas paas open karoon, kyun ke H4 Stochastic momentum indicator abhi bhi kaafi strong direction dikhata hai. Agar buying zone milta hai to main resistance area ko 193.49 ke aas paas consider karoonga. Take-profit ke liye main support level 188.64 ko use karoon ga. Agar kisi dost ko meri analysis samajhne mein koi masla ho raha hai, to main aik tasveer bhi neechay attach kar raha hoon jo aapke liye reference ke tor par kaam karegi. Umeed hai meri yeh chhoti si GBP/JPY currency pair analysis aapke kaam aayegi aur aapki koi confusion door ho sakegi.