جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY Brief Analysis:

Is data ke hawalay se, market ka 50-basis-point cut ke mumkin honay ka yaqeen kam ho gaya hai. Pehli dafa is ka zikar August ke aghaz mein kiya gaya jab unemployment aur labor market reports umeed se kamzor aayi thi. Magar ab tak expectations stable ho gayi hain, aur 50-point cut ka sirf 30% chance hai. Lekin market pehle hi is move ko price kar chuka tha, is liye ab sirf ek corrective wave set ki zarurat hai, balkay expectations ka phir se jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. Koi bhi news ab is pair ko hamesha ke liye upar nahi push kar sakti. Ab ek five-wave structure tayar ho gaya hai, is liye main corrective wave set ki tawaqo karta hoon, jismein specific targets hain.

Pound/yen pair ke baraay paimanay par uptrend jaari hai. 5 August se corrective decline ke baad, lower boundary se ek upward wave develop ho rahi hai jo ke reversal potential ke sath hai. Is wave ka middle section (B) mukammal honay ke qareeb hai. Chart par abhi tak koi clear reversal signal nazar nahi aaya.

Aisa lagta hai ke markets Federal Reserve ki monetary easing ko 2024 mein zyada overestimate kar rahe hain, jisme 112bps tak borrowing costs kam karne ka demand hai. Ideal taur par, agar is saal 75bps ka cut hota hai, toh US dollar dobara qabil-e-ahmiyat ho jayega jaise pehle quarter mein hua tha. Iske baraks, Bank of England ke policy easing ka raasta bohot slow lagta hai. Is saal 40bps ka cut? Sirf ek dafa 25bps ka step, woh bhi kuch chance ke sath doosri dafa? Yeh bohot kam nahi hai ek aise mulk ke liye jahan inflation pehle hi 2% target par aa chuki hai?

Weekly Forecast:

Hafta ke aghaz mein, sideways movement support zone ke qareeb jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Weekend ke qareeb, volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai, aur direction mein tabdeeli ka imkaan hai. Lower boundary of support ka ek chhota breakout bhi mumkin hai. Reversal ka waqt aham economic data ki release ke sath mutabiqat rakhta hai.

Potential Reversal Zones:

• Resistance: 191.50/192.00
• Support: 186.40/185.90

Recommendations:

• Selling: High-risk hai aur mumkin hai ke yeh profitable na ho.
• Buying: Reversal signals ke baad, calculated support zone ke qareeb buy karna achi strategy ho sakti hai.

**GBP/JPY**

**Mukhtasir Tajziya:**

Is data ke mad-e-nazar, market ko ab yeh nahi lagta ke 50-basis-point cut mumkin hai. Yeh baat pehli dafa August ke shuru mein discuss hui thi jab unemployment aur labor market reports ne kamzor nateeje diye the. Magar, ab ummeedain stabilise ho chuki hain, aur sirf 30% chance hai ke 50-point cut hoga. Lekin market ne already aise move ko price in kar liya tha, toh ab sirf aik corrective wave set nahi chahiye, balki expectations ki dobara jaiza leni ki zaroorat hai. News kuch bhi ho, yeh pair ko indefinitely upar nahi le ja sakti. Ab ek paanch-wave structure ban chuka hai, toh mein expect karta hoon ke aik corrective wave set with targets zaroori hai.

**Bari Scale Par Analysis:**

Pound/yen pair ke bade scale par, ek uptrend continue kar raha hai. August 5 ke baad se corrective decline ke baad, ek upward wave jo reversal potential rakhti hai, strong resistance ke lower boundary se develop ho rahi hai. Is wave ka middle section (B) apne completion ke qareeb hai. Chart par kisi imminent reversal ke koi signals abhi tak nazar nahi aa rahe.

Market lagta hai ke Federal Reserve ke monetary easing ke scale ko overestimate kar raha hai, jo 2024 mein 112bps ke reduction ki demand kar raha hai. Ideal situation mein, is saal 75bps ki cut honi chahiye. Agar aisa hota hai, toh US dollar phir se play mein aa jayega jaise ke pehle quarter mein hua tha. Is ke muqabil, Bank of England ke monetary policy easing ka expected pace bohot slow lag raha hai. Saal ke end tak 40bps? Ek step of 25bps aur shayad ek doosra bhi? Kya yeh itna kam hai ek aise country ke liye jahan inflation already 2% target ko hit kar chuki hai?

**Weekly Forecast:**

Haftay ke shuru mein, support zone ke aas-paas sideways movement continue hone ke imkaan hain. Weekend ke qareeb, volatility barh sakti hai, aur direction mein tabdeeli bhi ho sakti hai. Lower boundary of support ka brief breakout bhi ho sakta hai. Reversal ka timing important economic data release se mil sakta hai.

**Potential Reversal Zones**

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.
Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand apne global peers ko

**GBP/JPY Currency Pair Ka Analysis**

GBP/JPY pair ne Friday ko thoda surprise kiya, jab yeh tezi se gir gayi aur 188.43 ke level ke neeche break kar gayi. Yeh sab kuch aise waqt par hua jab Japanese currency ko support karne wale kisi bhi fundamental factors ka absence tha. Is waqt, daily chart par reversal ke koi bhi signs nazar nahi aa rahe, aur quotes kaafi niche gir sakti hain, jo support level 183.09 ko test karne ki sambhavnayein hain. Yeh bhi dhyan dena zaroori hai ke Monday ko Japan ke GDP data release honge, jo currency market ke Asian region mein balance of power ko change kar sakte hain.

**Alternative Scenario Ka Gaur**

Is context mein, ek alternative scenario bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar quotes 188.43 ke level ke upar wapas aa jaati hain, to humein apni strategy change karni padegi aur increase ke direction mein trading karni hogi taake resistance level 192.18 ko test kiya ja sake. Yeh zaroori hai ke trading decisions ko market conditions aur fundamental data ke hisaab se adjust kiya jaye.

**Weekly Candlestick Analysis**

Pichle hafte ki candlestick ne bahut hi bearish signal diya. Trading range lagbhag 700 points tha aur yeh movement puri tarah se south direction mein thi. Candlestick ka closing price 186.84 tha, aur local minimum 186.48 dikhaya, jo ek bohot strong zone ko test kar raha tha. Yeh bhi dekha gaya hai ke itne low level pe week ko close kiya gaya hai ek lambe waqt se. Lagta hai ke mood aur trend further decline ki taraf hai, lekin personally, mujhe selling ka mann nahi hai aur main sell nahi karunga.

**Buying Strategy Aur Concerns**

Lekin buying karna bhi thoda uncomfortable lag raha hai, kyunki yeh possibility hai ke pound-yen depth test ke liye jaaye, shayad 181 figure tak. Isliye, main kisi bhi sales ki planning nahi kar raha, sirf purchases hi plan kar raha hoon, lekin woh bhi dhairya ke saath aur modest volumes mein. Jab bhi first opportunity milegi, main transaction ko adjust karunga, aur stops ka bhi khayal rakhunga. Yeh zaroori hai ke trading strategy mein flexibility rakhi jaye aur market conditions ke hisaab se decisions liye jayein.

**Conclusion**

GBP/JPY currency pair ka current situation mixed signals de raha hai. Weekly candlestick aur technical indicators bearish trend ko suggest kar rahe hain, lekin fundamental data jaise Japan ke GDP statistics se market ka balance change ho sakta hai. Isliye, trading decisions ko carefully plan karna zaroori hai aur market developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Selling se abhi bachna behtar hai aur buying karte waqt cautious approach rakhni chahiye, taake market ki fluctuations ke sath effectively deal kiya ja sake.

Aaj GBPJPY currency pair ne 188.00 ka aik aham level touch kiya aur aage 187.75 area ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ye ek aham moqa hai investors ke liye ke wo apni trading strategies ko refine karen, khaaskar sell-entry approach ko. Market ka jo current climate hai wo sellers ke lehaz se favor kar raha hai, aur strong downward momentum key support levels ko pressure mein daal raha hai. Jaise hi ye levels aage test honge, jo traders is trend ke sath align karenge wo zyada munafa kama sakte hain.

GBPJPY ke current financial market environment mein, sell-entry strategy apnaana sab se behtar approach sabit ho raha hai. Strong bearish momentum ye suggest karta hai ke market sellers ko favor kar rahi hai, isliye buying ke bajaye selling opportunities par focus karna faida mand ho sakta hai. Broad market trend yeh darshata hai ke trading strategies ko current market forces ke sath align karna zaroori hai taake profit potential maximize ho sake.

Sell bias across major financial instruments yeh highlight karta hai ke traders ko apni strategies ko current market trends ke sath adjust karna chahiye. Market ke current direction ke against jaana significant risks ko expose kar sakta hai, isliye current momentum ko respect karna zaroori hai. Robust risk management plan ka implementation is environment mein essential hai. Chahe strategy kitni bhi solid ho, financial markets ki unpredictability ka matlab hai ke bina effective risk management ke, best strategies bhi fail ho sakti hain.

Jo log current selling momentum ka faida uthana chahte hain, unke liye realistic aur achievable targets set karna zaroori hai. Ye market volatility se related risks ko mitigate karne mein madad karta hai, khaaskar jab volatility high ho. Daily aur hourly time frames par bearish strength ki persistence yeh suggest karti hai ke support levels ka further test hona mumkin hai, aur traders ko accordingly apni strategies adjust karni chahiye.

Summarize karte hue, GBPJPY market filhal sell-entry strategy ko favor kar raha hai due to strong downward momentum aur support levels par pressure. Traders ko apni strategies ko prevailing market trend ke sath align karna chahiye, robust risk management ensure karni chahiye, aur realistic targets set karni chahiye taake high volatility ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

GBP/JPY pair
GBP/JPY ki Technical Analysis
1. Current Market Condition
GBP/JPY pair is waqt 183.00 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Recent days mein yeh pair ek bullish trend mein raha hai, lekin ab thoda consolidation phase mein dikhai de raha hai. Market participants Brexit-related developments aur Japan ki monetary policy pe nazar rakhe hue hain, jo is pair ki direction ko affect kar rahe hain. Abhi tak, koi clear sign nahi hai ke yeh trend reverse hoga ya sustain karega.

2. Moving Averages ka Review
50-day moving average abhi 181.50 ke aas paas hai, jo ki short-term support level provide kar raha hai. Is ke upar, 200-day moving average 178.00 pe hai, jo ek long-term support level bana raha hai. Agar price in moving averages ke neeche break karti hai, toh GBP/JPY mein downside ka potential ho sakta hai. Filhal, price in averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko support karti hai.

3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI indicator abhi 60 ke aas paas hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market abhi overbought zone mein enter nahi hua. Agar RSI 70 ke upar chala jata hai, toh yeh overbought condition ki taraf ishara hoga aur wahan se correction ka risk barh sakta hai. RSI 50 ke neeche aane par market bearish ho sakta hai, lekin filhal RSI neutral to bullish zone mein hai.

4. Support aur Resistance Levels
Immediate support 181.50 pe hai, jo ki 50-day moving average ka level bhi hai. Is ke neeche, 180.00 ek psychological support level hai. Resistance ki baat karain toh 184.00 pe strong resistance dikhai de raha hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 185.50 tak ja sakta hai. Agar price 181.50 ke neeche close karti hai, toh downside ka potential barh sakta hai.

5. Conclusion
GBP/JPY ka pair filhal bullish territory mein trade kar raha hai, lekin market consolidation phase mein hai. Short-term traders 181.50 ka support aur 184.00 ka resistance monitor karain. Moving averages aur RSI ko dekhte hue, market abhi neutral to bullish lag raha hai, lekin breakout ya breakdown par depend karega ke agle dinon mein trend kaisa evolve hota hai.

EUR/USD sirf 187.05 ke aas paas hi move karta raha. GBP/JPY ka trading session bhi week close hone se pehle niche band hua, jab currency pair mein thodi kamzori aayi. Shuru mein GBP/JPY upar gaya tha aur apni qareebi resistance ko 187.28 par cross kiya tha, lekin yeh movement zyada dair tak nahi tik saka. Is haftay mein ne dekha ke GBP/JPY ka movement ziyata bullish raha hai. Kuch moments aise thay jab GBP/JPY niche aya, lekin yeh sirf ek correction thi. Agar H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye to resistance 187.29 ke cross hone se lagta hai ke GBP/JPY abhi aur barh sakta hai. Masla yeh hai ke ab tak GBP/JPY kaafi gehrai mein gir chuka hai, lekin pichle kuch dinon se movement ziyata tar upar ki taraf rahi hai. Badi timeframe par bhi confirmation candle nazar aayi hai, jo ek bullish engulfing candle ke roop mein hai, aur mere khayal mein yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke market jaldi reverse karega. Jab tak demand area 180.94 par toot nahi jata, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ke upar jane ka mauqa abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Mere scenario ke mutabiq, ane wale waqt mein GBP/JPY 205.46 ke price tak barh sakta hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke analysis kiya jaye, to kal jo decline hui uski wajah se candle ki position badal gayi hai. Jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar thi, ab woh neeche aagayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Monday ko GBP/JPY ka movement niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh 184.48 ke support ko test karne ke liye gir sakta hai. Agar yeh area nahi tootta, to GBP/JPY wahan se rebound kar sakta hai.Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, line apne lowest level, yani 80, ke bohot kareeb hai. Lekin halanke woh wahan tak nahi pohnchi, line ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Is indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke future mein GBP/JPY ka movement upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar direction achanak se niche ho jati hai, to GBP/JPY ka support 184.48 tak girne ka imkaan hai jo main ne upar explain kiya hai. Aaj ke Analysis ka Nateeja: GBP/JPY currency pair ke upar jane ka abhi bhi chance hai kyunki filhal demand area 180.94 par toot nahi sakta, aur yeh possibility hai ke yeh GBP/JPY ko upar le jayega. Iske ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area 184.87 par stuck hai. Isliye, main aapko suggest karta hoon ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, to aap sirf buy positions pe focus karein

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.
Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share ka
GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye

GBP/JPY Forum Analysis Forecast

GBP/JPY ke pair ka price movement dheere dheere narrow hota gaya aur ek bearish triangle pattern ban gaya hai, jis se trend direction bhi bearish ho gaya. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke beech kai crossings ke bawajood, death crossing signal ne successfully appear kar diya. Is wajah se price movement niche ki taraf continue karne ki ummeed hai, taake support ko test kiya ja sake ya lower low pattern banaya ja sake. Filhaal, 161.45 ke aas-paas ka SBR area sabse nazdeek hai, jo shayad price ke upar ki taraf correct hone par test hoga. Low prices 160.37 ko main target rakha gaya hai, taake lower low - lower high price pattern ko maintain kiya ja sake. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhte hue, ye abhi bhi downtrend mein hai. Agar agla histogram red hota hai, to saucer signal banne ki ummeed hai. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki price correction ko support karte hain kyunki ye oversold zone level 20 - 10 ke baad cross kar chuke hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Agar ye parameters level 50 ko pass nahi karte aur overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf jaate hain, to iska matlab downward rally continue hogi aur 160.37 ke low prices ya 160.61 ke support ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction aur death cross signals ke saath, SELL moment ke liye focus rakhein. SBR area 161.45 ya EMA 50 ke aas-paas entry point ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai. Confirmation ke liye, agar Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 ko cross karte hain ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter karte hain. AO indicator histogram ko bhi middle of the downtrend momentum mein saucer signal produce karna chahiye. Take profit ke liye target low prices 160.37 hain aur stop loss ko SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips distance par rakhein jo dynamic resistance ke roop mein aayega.

Hourly chart par linear regression channel bhi M15 ke direction ko support karta hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi bani hain. Iske liye, kam se kam M15 channel ka down look zaroori hai, tabhi aap sales try kar sakte hain. Lekin, dono channels abhi upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo buyers ko market push karne ka mauka de raha hai. Isliye, niche channel border 189.960 se join karna sahi hoga, jahan buying ka entry point zyada profitable hai. Is point ke niche sales honge aur buying flood ho jayegi. Mujhe growth ki ummeed hai upper part of the channel 191.813 tak. Jab tops ko work out karenge, to bull apni norm pura karega, uske baad decline ho sakti hai. Main ise skip karunga. Aur phir rollback se growing trend mein purchases dekhunga

Pichlay haftay ka GBPJPY currency pair ka jaiza lete hain, jab ke trading week ke zyada tar hisson mein bikri hukoomat karti rahi. Sirf haftay ke aaghaz mein thoda bohat izafa dekhne ko mila, lekin uske baad girawat ka silsila jari raha jo haftay ke aakhir tak barqarar tha. Kuch din aise bhi thay jahan din ke andar rollback hua, lekin har dafa bikri ne qeemat ko aur neechay gira diya. Wave structure ne apna order neeche ki taraf bana liya hai, aur MACD indicator bhi girawat ka signal de raha hai, jo ke neechay sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Mera khayal hai ke ye girawat general downward trend ke saath jari rahegi. Girawat ka target guzishta August ka minimum hai. Shorter time periods par kaam karte hue sirf downward trades karni chahiye jab girawat ke mutabiq formations banain.

Yeh mumkin hai ke seedha neeche na jaya jaye, iska ishara CCI indicator de raha hai jo ke lower overheating zone mein hai. Girawat se pehle ek corrective growth ho sakti hai jo ke qareebi strong resistance level 189.16 tak jaye. Agar ye rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb sale formation ka intezar karna chahiye, misaal ke taur par M15 par, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye. Phir aapko chhoti timeframe mein entry milegi jo ke bade level par mabni hogi. Lekin main khareedari ka mashwara nahi doon ga kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakti hai aur phir general trend ke mutabiq neeche chali jaye gi, khaaskar jab ke overall market mein pound kamzor ho raha hai.

Yahan yeh bhi andaza lagaya jaa sakta hai ke agar guzishta August ke bottom ka tajdeed hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence ka signal ban sakta hai. Magar is waqt is bare mein baat karna kuch jaldi hai. Aakhri chand dino mein qeemat neeche dabbayi gayi hai, jaise ke umeed thi. Agla qadam yeh hai ke jab hum SELL position ke liye area ka ta'ayun kar lein, to phir stop loss ka area bhi hum tay kar lein, aur main resistance area ko stop loss ke liye 188.13 ka price level use karoonga, jabke target ke liye support area ko 182.76 ka price level banaonga. Jo log samajh nahi pa rahe unke liye main ek tasveer bhi lagayi hai, aur yeh mera journal ka aik update hai jo GBP/JPY currency pair ke analysis se mutaliq hai. Umeed hai yeh sab ke liye mufeed sabit ho ga.

### GBP/JPY Pair ka Tajziya

Main GBP/JPY currency pair ka trend direction dekhne ki koshish karunga H4 timeframe ka istemal karte hue. Is ke ilawa, main Moving Average Indicator ka bhi istemal karunga jisme 21 period aur 34 period ke Moving Average Indicators shamil hain, taake mujhe current trend ka direction samajhne mein madad mile. Is waqt ka halat yeh hai ke price upar ki taraf pressure mein hai, lekin abhi tak Moving Average Indicator ke neeche hai, jo yeh batata hai ke yeh izafa sirf ek correction hai aur asal trend ab bhi Bearish hai.

Jab hum yeh jaan lete hain ke trend Bearish hai, to main ab ek **SELL** ka mauqa talash karunga GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye. Hum price correction ka stop area nazdeeki resistance area ke sath measure kar sakte hain ya phir Moving Average Indicator ka bhi istemal kar sakte hain. Aam tor par price Moving Average Indicator period 21 ya Moving Average Indicator period 34 ko touch karegi aur phir se neeche chali jayegi, trend direction ko continue karte hue.

Agla qadam yeh hai ke jab hum SELL position ka area tay kar lete hain, us ke baad stop loss placement ka area tay karna hota hai. Is silsile mein, main resistance area ka istemal karunga jo ke 188.13 ke price level par hai, aur target placement ke liye support area ko istemal karunga jo 182.76 ke price level par hai. Agar aap samajh nahi paaye, to aap neechay diye gaye tasweer ko dekh sakte hain jo mainay attach ki hai, aur yeh mera thoda sa update hai jo mainay apne journal mein shamil kiya hai related to GBP/JPY currency pair analysis. Umeed hai ke yeh aap sab ke liye faidamand sabit hoga.

Aakhri girawat se pehle, ek correction ke baad qareebi mazboot resistance level 189.16 tak izafa ho sakta hai. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke qareeb aap sale ka formation dekh sakte hain choti timeframes par, jaise ke M15, taake support resistance mein tabdeel ho. Is tarah aap ek chote level par entry karenge jo ke ek bade level se support hoti hai. Asal mein, isi qisam ke transactions ki jani chahiye, jisme choti level par entry ho jo ke bare level se supported ho. Magar main buy nahi karunga, kyun ke yeh ek chhota rollback de sakte hain aur phir neeche chale jayenge asal trend ke sath, khas tor par jab pound market mein mazid kamzor ho raha hai.

Yahan hum yeh andaza laga sakte hain ke agar August ke neeche ka level renew hota hai, to MACD indicator par ek growth ka signal milega — ek bullish divergence banegi. Magar abhi is bare mein baat karna jaldi hoga. Halaat ke mutabiq, pichlay kuch dino mein price neeche pressure mein rahi, jaise ke expected tha.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.
Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand apne global peers ko

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