جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY Brief Analysis:

Is data ke hawalay se, market ka 50-basis-point cut ke mumkin honay ka yaqeen kam ho gaya hai. Pehli dafa is ka zikar August ke aghaz mein kiya gaya jab unemployment aur labor market reports umeed se kamzor aayi thi. Magar ab tak expectations stable ho gayi hain, aur 50-point cut ka sirf 30% chance hai. Lekin market pehle hi is move ko price kar chuka tha, is liye ab sirf ek corrective wave set ki zarurat hai, balkay expectations ka phir se jaiza lena bhi zaroori hai. Koi bhi news ab is pair ko hamesha ke liye upar nahi push kar sakti. Ab ek five-wave structure tayar ho gaya hai, is liye main corrective wave set ki tawaqo karta hoon, jismein specific targets hain.

Pound/yen pair ke baraay paimanay par uptrend jaari hai. 5 August se corrective decline ke baad, lower boundary se ek upward wave develop ho rahi hai jo ke reversal potential ke sath hai. Is wave ka middle section (B) mukammal honay ke qareeb hai. Chart par abhi tak koi clear reversal signal nazar nahi aaya.

Aisa lagta hai ke markets Federal Reserve ki monetary easing ko 2024 mein zyada overestimate kar rahe hain, jisme 112bps tak borrowing costs kam karne ka demand hai. Ideal taur par, agar is saal 75bps ka cut hota hai, toh US dollar dobara qabil-e-ahmiyat ho jayega jaise pehle quarter mein hua tha. Iske baraks, Bank of England ke policy easing ka raasta bohot slow lagta hai. Is saal 40bps ka cut? Sirf ek dafa 25bps ka step, woh bhi kuch chance ke sath doosri dafa? Yeh bohot kam nahi hai ek aise mulk ke liye jahan inflation pehle hi 2% target par aa chuki hai?

Weekly Forecast:

Hafta ke aghaz mein, sideways movement support zone ke qareeb jaari rehne ki umeed hai. Weekend ke qareeb, volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai, aur direction mein tabdeeli ka imkaan hai. Lower boundary of support ka ek chhota breakout bhi mumkin hai. Reversal ka waqt aham economic data ki release ke sath mutabiqat rakhta hai.

Potential Reversal Zones:
Resistance: 191.50/192.00
Support: 186.40/185.90

Recommendations:
Selling: High-risk hai aur mumkin hai ke yeh profitable na ho.
Buying: Reversal signals ke baad, calculated support zone ke qareeb buy karna achi strategy ho sakti hai.

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP /JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai

EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP /JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mein volatility paida ho sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar BoE BoJ ke muqable mein zyada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh GBP ko JPY ke muqable mein mazid boost de sakta hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi. Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.
Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hu

GBP/JPY ka trading session bhi week close hone se pehle niche band hua, jab currency pair mein thodi kamzori aayi. Shuru mein GBP/JPY upar gaya tha aur apni qareebi resistance ko 187.28 par cross kiya tha, lekin yeh movement zyada dair tak nahi tik saka. Is haftay mein ne dekha ke GBP/JPY ka movement ziyata bullish raha hai. Kuch moments aise thay jab GBP/JPY niche aya, lekin yeh sirf ek correction thi. Agar H1 timeframe par analysis kiya jaye to resistance 187.29 ke cross hone se lagta hai ke GBP/JPY abhi aur barh sakta hai. Masla yeh hai ke ab tak GBP/JPY kaafi gehrai mein gir chuka hai, lekin pichle kuch dinon se movement ziyata tar upar ki taraf rahi hai. Badi timeframe par bhi confirmation candle nazar aayi hai, jo ek bullish engulfing candle ke roop mein hai, aur mere khayal mein yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke market jaldi reverse karega. Jab tak demand area 180.94 par toot nahi jata, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/JPY ke upar jane ka mauqa abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Mere scenario ke mutabiq, ane wale waqt mein GBP/JPY 205.46 ke price tak barh sakta hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke analysis kiya jaye, to kal jo decline hui uski wajah se candle ki position badal gayi hai. Jo pehle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar thi, ab woh neeche aagayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Monday ko GBP/JPY ka movement niche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Yeh 184.48 ke support ko test karne ke liye gir sakta hai. Agar yeh area nahi tootta, to GBP/JPY wahan se rebound kar sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, line apne lowest level, yani 80, ke bohot kareeb hai. Lekin halanke woh wahan tak nahi pohnchi, line ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Is indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke future mein GBP/JPY ka movement upar ho sakta hai. Lekin agar direction achanak se niche ho jati hai, to GBP/JPY ka support 184.48 tak girne ka imkaan hai jo main ne upar explain kiya hai. Aaj ke Analysis ka Nateeja: GBP/JPY currency pair ke upar jane ka abhi bhi chance hai kyunki filhal demand area 180.94 par toot nahi sakta, aur yeh possibility hai ke yeh GBP/JPY ko upar le jayega. Iske ilawa, candle abhi bhi RBS area 184.87 par stuck hai. Isliye, main aapko suggest karta hoon ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, to aap sirf buy positions pe focus

gir gaya, jo ke teen aur aadha haftay mein sabse neecha level hai. Ye chaar mein se teen session mein losses ka teesra session tha, aur iske peeche kayi factors hain, jismein Japanese Yen (JPY) ki strength aur economy ki sehat ke hawalay se concerns shaamil hain. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne hawkish stance ko qaim rakha hai, Governor Kazuo Ueda ne phir se central bank ka irada dohraya hai ke agar economy aur prices expected performance dikhate hain to wo interest rates ko barhane ka silsila jari rakhenge. Iske ilawa, BoJ ke board member Jin Takada ne bhi kaha hai ke agar companies capital expenditure, wages, aur prices mein izafa karti rehti hain, to central bank ko monetary conditions ko adjust karne ke doosray tareeqay sochnay chahiyein. Japan mein real wages doosray musalsal mahine ke liye unexpected tor par barh gayi hain, jo BoJ ke future interest rate hike ki umeed ko support karti hai. Magar, economy ki sehat aur ongoing geopolitical tensions ke hawalay se concerns ne risky assets, jismein GBP/JPY pair bhi shaamil hai, ke liye investor appetite ko kamzor kar diya hai.
GBP/JPY pair ne 189.00 horizontal support level ke neeche break kiya hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Daily chart par technical oscillators abhi bhi negative territory mein hain, jo strong downside bias ko darshate hain. Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein gir gaya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke mazeed losses ke chances hain. GBP/JPY pair ne sharp decline dekha hai, 193.50 level se lagbhag 3% gir gaya. Market filhal 188.00 level ko test kar raha hai, aur technical oscillators short se medium-term perspective se strong downtrend ko confirm kar rahe hain. Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein strong momentum ke sath gir gaya hai, jabke RSI ne neutral threshold 50 ke neeche slide kiya hai. Agar GBP/JPY pair 188.00 level ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh 185.00 aur 182.00 levels ki taraf mazeed decline face kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar yeh 190.00 mark aur 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke ooper chala jata hai, to market 200-day simple moving average 192.20

GBP/JPY Forum Analysis Forecast

GBP/JPY pair ki narrowing price movement ne aakhir kar ek bearish triangle pattern bana liya hai aur trend ka rukh bhi bearish ho gaya hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan kai crosses hue, lekin death crossing signal successfully zahir hua. Is tarah, price movement ke neechay ki taraf rally ko jaari rakhne ke imkanaat hain taake support ko test kar sake ya ek lower low pattern bana sake. Is dauran, 161.45 ke qareeb ek SBR area hai jo ke mumkin hai ke test kiya jaye agar price mein upar ki taraf correction hoti hai. Low price 160.37 main target hoga lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ko qaim rakhne ke liye. Agar aap Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke momentum ko dekhein, to yeh abhi bhi consistent hai downtrend mein. Saucer signal aane ka imkaan hai agar agli histogram red ho. Lekin, Stochastic indicator parameters abhi bhi upar ki taraf price correction ko support karte nazar aate hain kyunke woh level 20 - 10 mein oversold zone mein dakhil hone ke baad cross kar gaye hain aur level 50 ki taraf ja rahe hain. Lekin jab parameters level 50 ko paar karne mein nakam hotay hain jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ki taraf ja raha hota hai, iska matlab yeh hai ke downward rally low price 160.37 ya support 160.61 ko test karegi. Bearish trend direction conditions aur death cross signals jo ke abhi bhi taze hain, trading options mein focus SELL moment ka intezar karne par hona chahiye. SBR area 161.45 ya shayad EMA 50 ke aas paas entry point ke tor par istamal kiya ja sakta hai. Taqreeb us waqt confirm hogi jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 par cross karein ya overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hone ke baad. AO indicator histogram kam az kam downtrend momentum ke darmiyan saucer signal paida karne ke qabil ho. Take profit ke liye target placement low price 160.37 hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar 15 - 25 pips ki doori par hota hai jo dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka rukh M15 ki tarah hi hai, jo ke bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ki readings ke mutabiq, priority purchases ke liye hai. Sales ke liye conditions abhi tak nahi banti. Iske liye kam az kam M15 channel ka niche ki taraf hona zaroori hai, tab aap sales mein entry ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin jaisa ke aap tasweeron mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo buyers ko mauka nahi dete. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, is liye yeh zyada sahi hai ke unka saath diya jaye channel ke nichle border 189.960 se, jo buying ke liye ek munafa bakhsh entry point hai. Is point ke niche, sales shuru hongi, aur purchases barh jayeingi. Main growth plan kar raha hoon channel ke upper part 191.813 tak. Tops ko workout karte waqt, bull apna norm poora karega, jis ke baad girawat ho sakti hai. Main isko skip karunga. Aur dobara rollback se main growing trend par purchases dhundh raha hoon

6Day EMA par Muzahmat: GBP/JPY currency pair is waqt ek ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai jo 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo qareeb 191.63 par positioned hai. EMA ek ahem technical indicator hai jo price data ko smooth out karke trends ko highlight karta hai. Jab price 21-day EMA ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar is baat ka ishara hota hai ke price ya to reverse kar sakti hai ya consolidate. Traders aur investors is level ko barabar dekhte hain, takay price action ke signal mil sakein, jaise ke resistance jo mazeed upar jane se rok sake. GBP/JPY ke daily chart ka jaiza yeh dikhata hai ke bullish bias kamzor ho raha hai. Is observation ka matlab hai ke jo momentum pair ko upar le kar ja raha tha, wo ab kamzor ho raha hai. Bullish bias ka kamzor hona kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke overbought conditions, market sentiment ka shift hona, ya nayi economic data jo pehle ke upward trend ko challenge kar rahi ho. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke yeh tamam elements ko dekhte hue future price movement ka potential samjhen Bearish Shift ka Imkan: Ek ahem technical feature jo dekhne laayak hai wo hai ascending channel jisme GBP/JPY trade kar raha hai. Agar price is ascending channel ke neeche break kar jati hai, to yeh bullish se bearish market bias mein tabdeel hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Ascending channel aksar ek consistent upward trend ko represent karta hai, jisme higher highs aur higher lows hoti hain. Agar price is channel ke neeche gir jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke upward trend ab kamzor ho raha hai aur market sentiment bearishness ki taraf shift ho raha hai Economic Data Releases: UK aur Japan, dono ke economic indicators GBP/JPY ki movements par aham asar dalte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar UK ki economic data strong hoti hai to yeh GBP ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai, jabke weak data GBP par pressure daal sakti hai. Isi tarah Japan mein economic developments, jaise ke monetary policy mein changes ya economic performance, bhi exchange rate par asar dalti hain Monetary Policy Divergence: Bank of England (BoE) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki interest rate decisions aur monetary policies bahut aham hain. In do central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq se GBP/JPY pair mei

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Hafta beech se guzar chuka hai; chaliye D1 period chart ko dubara dekhte hain—GBPJPY currency pair. Pichle trading hafta mein zyadatar sellers ka raj tha; sirf hafte ke shuru mein thoda utha aur phir girawat shuru hui jo hafte ke aakhir tak chali. Kuch dinon mein intraday rollbacks bhi huye, lekin har baar sellers ne price ko niche gira diya. Wave structure niche ki taraf ban rahi hai, aur MACD indicator phir se lower sales zone mein aur apni signal line ke niche hai. Mera assumption hai ke decline general downward trend ke sath jaari rahegi. Aur decline ka target last August ka minimum ho sakta hai. Shorter time periods par sirf downward positions leni chahiye jab formations decline ke mutabiq banti hain. Shayad hum foran neeche nahi jayenge; CCI indicator ki position se aisa lagta hai jo lower overheating zone mein hai.

Girawat se pehle ek corrective growth ho sakti hai jo nearest strong resistance level 189.16 tak ho sakti hai. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke aas paas M15 par sale ke liye formation dekh sakte hain, jahan support resistance ban jaye. Is tarah se aap younger level par entry le sakte hain jo higher level se supported ho. General mein, sirf aise transactions karni chahiye jinmein younger level par entry higher level ke supported ho. Lekin buying ka plan nahi banayein kyunki kuch chhoti rollback ho sakti hai aur phir general trend ke sath neeche jayenge, khas taur par jab pound market par kamzor ho gaya hai. Agar last August ka bottom phir se ban gaya, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence ka signal mil sakta hai—yeh future ke liye hai, lekin abhi iske baare mein baat karna jaldi hai. General mein, pichle dino mein price niche pressure mein thi, jaise ke ummed thi.

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Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain

lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak

July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga." Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha. Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.
Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya , jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial

**GBP/JPY Market Analysis - D1 Period Chart**

**Week ka end aane wala hai**, to chaliye D1 period chart par ek nazar phir se daalte hain GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye. Pichle trading week mein sellers ka control tha, sirf week ke shuruat mein thoda upar ki taraf chadhai dekhi gayi, lekin phir decline shuru ho gaya jo week ke end tak continue raha. Kuch dinon mein intraday rollbacks bhi dekhe gaye, lekin har bar sellers ne price ko niche gira diya. Wave structure niche ki taraf order build kar raha hai aur MACD indicator bhi lower sales zone mein aur apni signal line ke neeche decrease ho raha hai. Main assume kar raha hoon ke decline general downward trend ke sath continue karega. Aur decline ka target last August ke minimum ke aas-paas hai.

Shorter time periods par working ki tactics sirf niche ki taraf honi chahiye, jab formations decline ke liye ban rahe hoon. Shayad hum seedha niche nahi jaayenge, CCI indicator ki position se yeh hint mil raha hai jo lower overheating zone mein hai. Decline se pehle, corrective growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai nearest strong resistance level 189.16 tak. Agar yeh rollback hota hai, to is level ke aas-paas aap M15 jaise chhote time period par sell formation ko dekh sakte hain, taake support resistance mein convert ho jaye. Is tarah aap ek higher level ke basis par lower level pe entry le sakte hain.

**General trading strategy** ke liye, aise transactions honi chahiye jahan lower levels ko higher levels ke saath support milta hai. Lekin buy karna advisable nahi hai, kyunki yeh thoda rollback de sakta hai aur phir general trend ke saath niche jaye ga, khaaskar jab pound market mein overall weaken hota nazar aa raha hai.

Agar last August ka low phir se renew hota hai, to ek signal form ho sakta hai MACD indicator par – ek bullish divergence. Magar yeh future ke liye hai, abhi ke liye is par baat karna zyada jaldi hai.

Pichle dino mein, price ko niche press kiya gaya, jaise ke expected tha. Short-term aur long-term trends ko monitor karte hue, traders ko apni strategy ko update karna chahiye aur har situation ke hisaab se adapt karna chahiye. Jo bhi trading decisions liye jayein, unhe market ke current trend aur technical indicators ke sath align karna zaroori hai, taake profitable trades execute ki ja sakein.