جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY Mid-March ke Baad Apni Sabse Kam Level Par

Overview

GBP/JPY currency pair ne European trading session ke dauran mid-March ke baad apni sabse kam level ko chhoo liya hai. Yeh 208.11 se kaafi neeche gir gaya hai, jiss ki wajah yen ki dobara taqat aur mumkin Japanese interventions hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ki rate cut ne sterling par mazeed dabao daala hai.

Bearish Signals

Kayi mazboot bearish signals saamne aaye hain jo pair mein mazeed girawat ki imkaanat zahir karte hain, jin mein shaamil hain:

1. Daily Cloud Pattern Rise: Rozana badalne wale cloud pattern ka upar uthna aam taur par asset ki manfi soch ko zahir karta hai, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara deta hai.
2. 200-Day Moving Average Se Neeche Jana: Yeh long-term moving average ke neeche girawat aam taur par trend ki kamzori zahir karti hai aur selling pressure ko trigger kar sakti hai.
3. Support Level 189.55 Se Neeche Jana: Jab qeemat mustahkam support level ke neeche girti hai, toh aam tor par bearish sentiment barh jata hai, jo mazeed qeemat ki girawat ka sabab banta hai.

Yeh indicators is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke pair mazeed girawat ki taraf jaa sakta hai aur mazboot bearish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai.

Monthly Performance

Pair July ke mahine ko red mein khatam karne ke raaste par hai, chaar musalsal hafton ke losses ke saath. Yeh trend June 2016 ke baad se sabse bara mahana nuqsan zahir karta hai, jo manfi soorat-e-haal ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai kyunke ek reversal pattern mahana chart par banta dikh raha hai.

Is waqt, GBP/JPY 190.30 ke range mein trade ho raha hai, ek chhoti si sahih karne wali izafey ke baad. Lekin ummeed hai ke is chote upward impulse ke baad, qeemat 194.10 ki range ki taraf neeche jaane ki koshish karegi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ke upar break hota hai aur is level ke upar consolidate karta hai, toh yeh ek buy signal deta hai.

Iske baraks, 190.40 range ke aas paas ek galat breakout ho sakta hai, jo short positions par tight stop-loss orders ki ijazat dega. 190.50 ke upar ka break ek mumkin upward movement ke bahali ka ishara de sakta hai.

Support Levels

Ahem support 187.80 par hai. Bohat zyada oversold daily indicators iss hafte ke aakhir tak partial profit-taking ko encourage kar sakte hain, lekin uptrends mazeed kamzori zahir karte hain. Pehle se tooti hui 200-day moving average ab pehla resistance ban gayi hai 191.74 par, jab ke mazeed resistance 196.83 par hai, jo rebounds ko limited rakhne aur bearish sentiment ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar sakti hai. Neeche jaane ke liye mojooda targets 185.66 aur 183.56 par set hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) iss waqt oversold territory mein hai, jo mumkin rally ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Market Influences

GBP/JPY ki movement UK Parliamentary Elections aur mukhtalif technical analysis indicators se mutasir hoti hai. Construction PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) rates ibtedai taur par buyer activity ko support kar sakte hain; lekin UK Pound ki mazboot tor par kamzori ki wasseh tawakkuat ek strategic sell stance ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders market shifts par nazar rakh kar aur in tabdiliyon ka jawab dekar faida hasil kar sakte hain.

Trading Strategy

H1 timeframe chart par, ek resistance area FTR (Failure to Return)/DBD (Double Bottom Divergence) region mein ban chuka hai, jahan price abhi tak consolidate kar raha hai pehle support ko todne aur nayi lower high banane ke baad. Yeh area SND (Supply and Demand) traders ke liye kaafi ahem hai, kyunke yeh market mein entry ke liye achi risk-reward mauka deta hai.

Har section ko tod kar aur wazahat kar ke, humne GBP/JPY currency pair ki mukammal analysis pesh ki hai, jo us ke haali trends, signals, aur trading ki strategies par focus karti hai

183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga

Assalamu Alaikum Warahmatullahi Wabarakatuh. Aaj ka tajziya main weekly time frame se lekar 4-hour time frame tak karunga. Sabse pehle, main weekly time frame par GBPJPY currency ka tajziya karunga jo humare liye ek roadmap ki tarah kaam karega. Aam taur par, Insta Forex chart par yeh data nazar nahi aata, lekin main dusre references ka istemal karke 1975 se aaj tak ka puri tarah se dekh raha hoon. Agar hum waves ko calculate karein, to yeh fifth wave ki formation hai, jo ke ending diagonal formation hai aur 33333 pattern ke saath hai. Yeh triangle hai, lekin yeh impulsive wave ke end par hai, isliye yeh impulsive wave hai aur sirf wave five ke liye ending diagonal pattern mein aata hai.

Abhi ke liye, price phir se bearish chal rahi hai aur ismein support ki taraf wapas aane ka potential hai, moving average ke 100 ya 200 levels se. Lekin jo cheez dekhne wali hai, wo yeh hai ke moving average ki position abhi bhi upar hai, jisse buyers ka opportunity abhi bhi dominant lagta hai. In short, current trend aur moving average ki position ko dekhte hue, buyers ke liye opportunity abhi bhi zyada nazar aa rahi hai.
Is roadmap data ke madad se main daily se lekar four-hour time frame tak waves ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Daily time frame par, rising wave ka movement pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo ke wave two ke end ke taur par teen waves ki formation bana raha hai. Abhi decline ne bhi pehli wave ko form kar diya hai aur wave two ke end ki taraf jaane ke liye tayar hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise Wednesday ko jab currencies jaise Mexican peso aur South African rand apne global peers ko

Assalamu'alaikum and good morning fellow forum members.

Aaj subah market band hone par, yeh dekha gaya ke GbpJpy ki price ab bhi upar ja rahi thi. Asal mein, pichle haftay ke darmiyan maine ek bearish opportunity dekhi thi kyun ke candlestick apne bullish trend se dab gayi thi. 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye dekha jaaye to, market ki halat Monday se 190.55 ke price area se shuru hui aur 191.98 ke position tak pohanch gayi. Haftay ke trading period ke end tak, upward trend jari raha, halanki zyada nahi, lekin yeh Uptrend ka silsila dikhata hai. Agar aap pichle kuch haftay ke market situation ko dekhen, to wo ab bhi bullish side ki taraf move kar raha tha. Pichle haftay ke trading me market ne niche ki taraf price correction dikhayi lekin yeh nahi gir paayi, isliye is haftay ke trading me price weekly opening position se upar ja sakti hai. Mere kehne ka matlab hai ke market buyers ke control me hai. Journal update karte waqt, price 191.88 par temporarily ruk gayi hai. Aakhri teen hafton se, buyers ka control ab bhi mazboot hai jo price ko increase kar raha hai aur purane lowest zone position se door le ja raha hai. Agle haftay ke liye, mera andaza hai ke GBPJPY pair bullish side ke sath market situation ko continue kar sakega, shayad price upar ke zone ki taraf move kare.



Agar is haftay ke buyer control ko dekha jaye, to market ek Uptrend me chal raha hai jisme range zyada nahi hai kyun ke mahine ka tabdeel hone ka intezaar hai. Aakhri kuch dino me price ka izafa itna mazboot nahi tha ya choti range ke sath chal raha tha, shayad yeh izafa agle haftay ke trading me bhi jari rahe. Mera andaza hai ke price situation upar move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Aaj subah ki candlestick ne apni position simple moving average zone ke upar close ki hai jo market trend ke upar jane ka signal hai. Agar buyers price zone 192.46 ko paar kar lein, to bullish trend market me agle haftay ke trading period me ab bhi dominate kar sakta hai.

G/JPYko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain

Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai.
Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise

Thursday ko aik choti si rally dekhi, jo ke bargain hunting aur aam taur par positive risk sentiment ki wajah se hui. Lekin, pair ki overall trajectory abhi bhi ek ma'roof range mein mahsoor hai, jo zyada tar Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke interest rates ke mawaqif ki wajah se chal rahi ghair yakeeni surat- e-haal ke sabab hai. Haal hi mein UK ke inflation aur labor market data ne ek aur BoE rate cut ke imkan ko kam kar diya hai, jis se pound ko support mila hai. Iske ilawa, UK GDP ke behtar numbers ne is qayaas ko taghviat di hai ke BoE apni misaali interest rate ko September ke ijlaas mein barqarar rakh sakta hai. Yeh factor aur kamzor hoti hui Japanese yen ne pair ke upward movement mein apna hissa dala hai. Japan mein wazir-e-azam Fumio Kishida ke istefa dene ki wajah se paida honay wali siyasi bayqaidgi ne yen ko mazeed dabao mein dala hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke is wajah se BOJ ke munsooba shuda rate hikes mein taakhir ho, lekin sarmaaya car is baat par optimistic hain ke Japan ki macroeconomic soorat-e-haal behtar ho rahi hai aur woh mustaqbil mein interest rate barhane ki umeed karte hain Geopolitical risk yen ki dynamics ko musalsal mutasir karte hain, jis se is ki tez girawat mein rukaawat hoti hai. Aanay walay waqt mein UK PMI preview data aur Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) mazeed short-term trading opportunities aur dono mawaqqe ki maashiyat par insight faraham karengay. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ki Jackson Hole Symposium mein shirkat se market mein utaar chadhaav aur GBP/JPY ko significant momentum milne ki umeed hai. Pair ki haali sthiti mein istahkam aur BoE ke aakhri rate cut ke baad pound ki recovery se sentiment mein tabdeeli ka imkaan zahir hota hai. Technical point of view se dekha jaye, toh Average Directional Index (ADX) yeh zahir karta hai ke GBP/JPY ki downtrend ab kamzor ho rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur Stochastic apni moving average aur oversold zone ke upar break kar raha hai, jo ke moderate uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY 31 March 2004 ke low 189.61 se upar break karne ki koshish kar sakta hai aur congested 192.57-193.60 zone ko target kar sakta hai, jahan significant technical levels mojood hain. Lekin, is resistance area ko paar karne ke liye sustained upward pressure aur market sentiment mein masbat tabdeeli ki zaroorat hogi

GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya , jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya.
Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka kabaro 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai . Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye ga

4-hour chart par dekha jaye toh, pair ka price ek naya upar ka target dikha raha hai, jo weekly resistance level 206.64 hai. Is hafte, yeh pair rising price channels mein trade kar raha hai, jo price ko upar le jane mein madad kar rahe hain. Jab price in channels ki upper lines ko chhuta hai, toh yeh wapas neeche aata hai aur ek price peak banata hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab price ko neeche correct karna chahiye. Phir bhi, price ne dobara support dhundha aur successful price channels ke upar break kar gaya, jahan qareeb ka resistance level 206.64 hai. Yahi wo level hai jahan aap current level se entry kar ke buy kar sakte hain, aur target is point se thoda neeche rakh sakte hain. Agar economic perspective se dekha jaye, toh Japan ke Forex currency markets mein mudakhlat mein dair karne se Japanese yen ke liye nuqsan barhne ka khatra hai. Agar kisi bhi waqt Japan se expected intervention hota hai, toh yeh currency pair mein zabardast selling ka sabab ban sakta hai jisse profits hasil kiye ja sakein. Risk-free selling strategy abhi bhi behtareen approach sabit ho sakti hai.
Monetary policy ke hawale se... Bank of England shayad August mein rate cuts se gurez kare agar Canada aur Australia se inflation warnings ko dekhte hue faisla kiya jaye. Agar Monetary Policy Committee ne global inflation trends ke baray mein warnings ko samjha, toh Bank of England shayad August mein interest rates ko kam na kar sake.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... iss hafte Canada aur Australia se aane wale figures ke mutabiq, global inflation dobara barh sakti hai. Canada mein, inflation unexpectedly 0.6% month-on-month barh gaya, jo ke expected amount se dugna tha. Australia mein, monthly CPI ne teen mahine lagataar barhkar 4.0% year-on-year tak pohoch gaya Is studied chart se, selected asset mein clear bullish mood dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator ke zariye asani se identify kiya ja sakta Hi. Yeh indicator traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price quotes ka smoother aur averaged value dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ko zyada durust banata hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo ke current support aur resistance lines ko moving averages ke zariye dikhata hai, trading mein madadgar sabit hota hai aur currency pair ke movement ki boundaries ko dikhata hai

JPY pair ne 2024 ke lowest levels se upar ki taraf qadam barhaya, jab ek influential policymaker ne kaha ke July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat aur recent global market ki volatility Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Reliable currency trading platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY pair ne Shunichi Uchida ke kehne par 2% se zyada ka izafa kiya, jab unhone Hakodate mein local leaders ko bataya ke recent global market ki volatility aur July mein yen ki bepanah badhavat Bank of Japan ko interest rates phir se barhane se rokh sakti hai. Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne apne taqreer mein kaha: "Japan ki economy aisi nahi hai ke bank ko interest rates barhane ki zarurat ho agar yeh ek certain pace par nahi barhate. Is liye, bank financial aur capital markets unstable hone par interest rates nahi barhaye ga."

Bank of Japan ne 31 July ko dusri baar interest rates barhaye aur kaha ke agar inflation aur economic growth aane wale mahino mein unki umeedon ke mutabiq hui to wo phir se barha sakte hain. Yeh efforts aur 11 July ko hui official intervention ke asraat ke saath, aur global markets mein risk aversion ke badhte huye carry trade ka reversal ho gaya jo pehle yen par bohot bhari pada tha.

Forex trading ke mutabiq... GBP/JPY ne July mein apne peak se trough tak 13% se zyada girawat dekhi jab yen-funded carry trade unwind hua aur market ne Bank of Japan se is saal ke baad additional rate hikes ki pricing ki. Magar, yen ki recent rise ke sath global markets mein mounting losses dekhi gayi, jahan Nikkei index ne is hafte ke Monday ko ek din mein 10% se zyada girawat dekhi.

Uchida ne kaha: “Financial aur capital markets ne US dollar ki tezi se kamzori aur stock prices ka global decline dekha hai, jo US economy ke slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se hai. Jaise hi yen ki depreciation theek hui hai, import prices se high inflation ka risk kam ho gaya hai.”

Lekin, sirf global volatility hi Japanese interest rate hikes ko kam mumkin nahi banati, Uchida ne yeh bhi zikr kiya ke yen ki recovery bhi inflation ke risk ko kam kar rahi hai. Event aur uske asraat par comment karte hue, Elias Haddad, senior global markets analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman, ne kaha: “Bank of Japan ab damage control mein masroof hai. Apni hawkish policies par badhte hue tanqeed ke saath, BOJ ab aane wale 12 mahino mein sirf 15 basis points ki rate hike ka imkaan de raha hai, jabke pehle yeh 50 basis points expected tha.”

Uchida ke comments aur yen ki losses iske stunning rally ko khatam kar sakti hain aur currency ko further declines ke liye position mein daal sakti hain jo USD/JPY aur GBP/JPY jaise pairs ko upar le aa sakti hain. Yeh khaaskar tab mumkin hai agar global markets stabilize hoti hain, jo investors ko carry trades mein phir se engage karne par majboor kar sakti hai jaise

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga