جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY pair ne Thursday ko ek chhoti si rally dekhi, jo bargain hunting aur positive risk sentiment ki wajah se hui. Magar, pair ka overall trajectory familiar range mein hi constrained hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ke monetary policy ke uncertainty aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke interest rate stance ki wajah se hai. Recent UK inflation aur labor market data ne BoE ke ek aur rate cut ki umeed ko kam kar diya hai, jo pound ko support faraham karta hai. Is ke ilawa, upbeat UK GDP figures ne yeh afwahein barha di hain ke BoE apni current interest rate level ko September ke meeting mein maintain kare ga. Yeh factors, aur kamzor hoti Japanese yen ne, pair ki upward movement mein hissa dala hai. Japan mein political uncertainty, jo ke Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke istefa se hui, ne yen par bhi dabao dala hai. Is wajah se BOJ ke planned rate hikes mein takheer ho sakti hai, magar investors optimistic hain ke Japan ke improving macroeconomic conditions ko dekhte hue future mein interest rates barh sakti hain.

Geopolitical risks yen ke dynamics ko influence karte hain, jo ke uske sharp declines ko rok rahe hain. Aanay walay UK PMI preview data aur Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) short-term trading opportunities aur dono economy ki insights faraham karenge. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ka Jackson Hole Symposium mein appearance market mein volatility laayega aur GBP/JPY ko significant momentum de sakta hai. Pair ki recent stabilization aur BoE ke latest rate cut ke baad pound ki recovery yeh suggest karti hai ke sentiment mein potential shift ho raha hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, Average Directional Index (ADX) yeh dikhata hai ke GBP/JPY mein downtrend kam ho raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) upar ja raha hai, aur Stochastic apni moving average aur oversold zone ke upar break kar raha hai, jo ke current moderate uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar yeh bullish momentum barqarar raha, toh GBP/JPY March 31, 2004 ka low at 189.61 ko break karne ki koshish kare ga aur congested 192.57-193.60 zone ko target kare ga, jo ke significant technical levels ko include karta hai. Magar, is resistance area ko overcome karne ke liye sustained upward pressure aur favorable market sentiment ki zaroorat ho gi.

GBP/JPY European session ke dauran mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par gir gaya hai. Yeh pair 208.11 se sharply slide hua hai, jiska sabab yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ho sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ka rate cut sterling par additional pressure daal raha hai.

**Bearish Signals**

Kuch strong bearish signals saamne aaye hain, jinmein shamil hain:
- Daily cloud pattern ka rise hona.
- 200-day moving average ke neeche break hona.
- Aaj 189.55 support level ke neeche break hona.

Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair downward trajectory par chal sakta hai, aur significant bearish outlook hai.

**Monthly Performance**

Pair July mahine ko red mein khatam karne ke raste par hai, aur chaar consecutive weeks se red mein band hua hai. Yeh trend June 2016 ke baad se sabse bada monthly loss hai, jo negative outlook ko mazid strengthen karta hai, jab monthly chart par reversal pattern ban raha hai.

Filhal, GBP/JPY 190.30 range mein trade kar raha hai ek slight corrective increase ke baad. Lekin assumption yeh hai ke choti upward impulse ke baad price 194.10 range ki taraf girne ki koshish karegi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ke upar breakout hota hai aur pair is level ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh buy signal provide karega.

Dusri taraf, 190.40 range ke aas-paas false breakout ho sakta hai, jo short positions ke liye tight stop-loss orders ke sath allow karega. Agar price 190.50 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh upward movement ke resume hone ka indication ho sakta hai.

**Support Levels**

187.80 par significant support hai. Strongly oversold daily indicators shayad week ke end tak partial profit-taking ko encourage karein, jabke uptrends aur bhi weakness suggest karte hain. Pehle broken 200-day moving average ab initial resistance ban gaya hai 191.74 par, aur additional support 196.83 par hai, jo stronger rebounds ko limit kar sakti hai aur bearish sentiments ko active rakhti hai. Targets ab 185.66 aur 183.56 par hain. RSI filhal oversold territory mein hai, jo potential rally ko indicate karta hai.

**Market Influences**

GBP/JPY ki movement UK Parliamentary Elections aur various technical analysis indicators se influence hoti hai. Construction PMI rates initially buyer activity ko support kar sakte hain; lekin broader expectations for a weakened UK Pound shayad strategic sell stance ko prompt karen. Market shifts ko monitor karke aur responsive rah kar traders apne positions ko advantageously position kar sakte hain.

**Trading Strategy**

H1 timeframe chart par ek resistance area FTR/DBD region mein bana hai, jahan price ab pehle support break karne aur nayi lower high banane ke baad wait kar rahi hai. Yeh area SND traders ke liye significant hai, kyunki yeh market mein enter karne ke liye ek achhi risk-reward opportunity provide karta hai

**GBP/JPY Trading Plan**
**Market August 28, 2024**

Pichli dafa, sellers ne price ko neeche girane ki koshish ki lekin wo 180.00 ke price level ko todne mein nakam rahe. Is hafte tak, price ka position upar ki taraf barh raha hai aur 169.35 ke price level ke qareeb aa raha hai. GBP/JPY currency pair abhi bhi bullish movement continue karne ka potential rakhta hai, kyunki agar aap nazar se dekhein, to aakhri kuch dinon se price mein izafa ho raha hai, jaise ke H4 time frame mein dekha gaya.

Agar agle trading session mein candlestick is level ko break kar leti hai, to aaj ke liye ek naya upward momentum banega. Yeh saaf hai ke bullish trend ki taraf movement abhi bhi potential rakhti hai. Halankeh maheenay ke shuru mein market movement bearish thi, lekin agar aap ghor se dekhen to price dheere dheere barh rahi thi jo yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ko break kar gayi, jo bullish market ka signal hai. Hum abhi dekh rahe hain ke price upward move ka moka de rahi hai ya nahi.

Filhaal, jo cheez dekhni hai wo yeh hai ke kya market ek significant bearish reversal ka samna karega, jaise ke last week ke end mein hua, ya kya candlestick upward trend ko continue karegi. Candlestick position jo Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar consistently hai, yeh is baat ki indication deti hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai.

Is maheenay ke shuru se, price 190.00 level ke upar dobara barh gayi hai. Mere khayal se, aage price movements ka tendency bullish rahega aur BUY trading transaction opportunities pe dhyan dena chahiye. Bullish trend ka continuation bearish direction ke muqablay mein zyada potential rakhta hai.

lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain.

, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential ko maximize kar sakte hain. Jab tak price 206.170-206.380 support level ke upar

rahegi, bullish outlook strong rahegi. Agle resistance levels ko reach aur surpass karna trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur further trading opportunities provide karega. Effective risk management strategies implement karne se traders market ke fluctuations ko navigate kar sakte hain aur long-term success aim GBPJPY currency pair ke current bullishness ko ek upward correction samajhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke resistance area level 192.03, 194.89 mein ek corrective development ho sakti hai. Is zone se ek reversal aur continued decline expect karna chahiye. Yahan qareebi potential target support level 174.88 hai. Agar bears is mark se aagay barhte hain, to price 168.18 level tak gir sakti hai. Jab tak pair MA 46 moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, selling prefer ki jayegi. Is mark par wapas aana sales relevance ko kam kar dega. Cons

Hamara focus GBP/JPY ki pricing movement analysis par hai. Aaj GBPJPY currency pair ki movement mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur yeh future mein 192.00 ki price tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh izafa Yen ke exchange rate ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, kyun ke aaj Japan ki important industries ki production mein -1.3% ki kami dekhi gayi hai, jis ki wajah se GBPJPY ki movement aaj kaafi sharply barh kar 191.80 tak pohanch gayi. Magar, aaj dopahar ko GBPJPY ki movement ne neeche ki taraf correction karne ki koshish ki, kyun ke Pound Sterling ka exchange rate achanak kamzor ho gaya hai. Yeh UK mein retail sales data ke 0.5% girne ki wajah se hua, jis se aaj GBPJPY currency pair ki movement neeche gir kar 191.50 tak pohanch sakti hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, aaj dopahar ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke GBPJPY ko SELL karoon 191.50 ki price tak.



Doosri taraf, mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBPJPY currency pair ki movement dopahar mein neeche correct ho sakti hai aur yeh future mein 191.50 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame mein GBPJPY ki movement bearish candle engulfing banana chahti hai, jo ke ek kaafi strong signal hai SELL GBPJPY karne ka 191.50 ki price tak. Is ke ilawa, mere RSI 14 indicator yaani relative strength index 14 ke observation mein, GBPJPY ki price 191.80 par overbought yaani ke bohat zyada khareedari ho chuki hai, jisse bohot zyada chances hain ke aaj GBPJPY 10-40 pips ki downwards correction dekhay. Yeh SELL GBPJPY signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi supported hai, kyun ke jab GBPJPY ki price 191.70 par pohanchti hai, to yeh SBR area yaani Support Become Resistance mein hoti hai, isliye aaj GBPJPY pair mein SELLERS ke aane ke kaafi chances hain. Mere technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke GBPJPY ko SELL karoon 191.50 ki price tak.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga

H1 chart. Main yeh umeed kar raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas paas ho sakti hai. ZUP indicator ek price movement ko bearish pattern ki taraf signal kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh is waqt, bearish pattern ab bhi kaafi relevant hai. Indicators ki category se aur ek vote decrease ke liye. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 ek price movement ko overbought ki taraf signal kar rahe hain, slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 halfway hain oversold zone se overbought zone tak. Is tarah se, hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hain, magar, overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakti hain, agar instrument ne continue kiya Friday evening ke jaise, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow bhi change ho sakta hai. raha tha ke Friday ko price 199.107 se bohot zyada upar jayegi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Iss liye mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi gir ke 194.70-194.170 tak jayegi. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ko rebound 4th wave in 3 thi, aur ab sirf 5th wave baqi hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye rollback 199.107 ki value tak nahi hota, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price resistance level W1 Sup: 200.412 tak chali jayegi. Agar 5th wave in 3 kaam karti hai, toh main sell ke entry dhoondunga. Main ab bhi maanta hoon ke yeh wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas Click image for larger version GBP/JPY pair ke favor mein strong market sentiment suggest karta hai. GBP/JPY mein uptrend traders ko multiple opportunities provide karta hai bullish price movements ka faida uthane ke liye. Key support aur resistance levels ko samajh kar aur respect kar ke traders strategically positions enter aur exit kar sakte hain, apne profit potential

Kal ke trading mein, pound ne subeh ke auqat mein tamam major currencies ke against rise kiya, aur GBP/EUR exchange rate bhi upar gaya jab official data ne yeh dikhaya ke UK employment mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate dusre quarter ke akhir mein gir gaya, jisne pound ko tamam major currencies ke against higher push kiya. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK Office for National Statistics ne bataya ke May mein unemployment rate 4.4% se gir kar 4.2% ho gaya, jo ke second quarter ke growth trend ko reverse karta hai. Is development ke baad pound ne US dollar, euro aur doosri major currencies ke against rise kiya, jisme sabse bara gain low-yielding financial currencies mein dekha gaya, jaise ke Japanese yen aur Swiss franc.GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye, yeh likhne ke waqt yeh resistance level 189.50 tak barh gaya tha UK inflation data release hone se pehle, aur phir 188.80 ke aas paas stabilize ho gaya.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka takriban 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai. Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke asraat se umeed hai ke July ke data release hone par inflation 2.3% tak barh jaye ga.

Daily chart par developments ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY apne recent sharp falling channel se breakout karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh koshishen kamyab ho sakti hain agar yeh pair 191.30 aur 193.00 ke resistance levels ki taraf move karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh same period ke dauran 186.00 level ke neeche reh jata hai, toh yeh current upward move ke liye ek threat ho sakta hai. Pair ab bhi global central bank signals aur investor demand se influenced ho

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click

M15 Minutes

Sab ko achi mood mubarak ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel abhi bhi growth position mein hai, isliye lagta hai ke buyers active hain. Main kharidari ka soch raha hoon, lekin tab tak intezar karunga jab tak market kuch correction na kare. Jab market channel ke neeche wali boundary, level 190.319, tak pohanchti hai, tab main kharidari ka sochunga. Main market ke against sale nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel growth position mein hai, iski zarurat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sahi waqt correction ke sath channel ke neeche wali boundary se hai. Aisa entry loss kam karne mein madadgar hota hai agar entry ghalat ho jaye, jo har trader ke sath hota hai. Upper boundary level 191.321 tak pohochne ke baad, upar wali boundary ke work out hone ke baad, possible correction ke bare mein socha ja sakta hai. Correction ka basis channel ke selected volatility par hai.

H1 Hour

Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction bhi M15 jaisa hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority kharidari ki hai. Sales ke liye conditions ab tak nahi bane. Iske liye kam se kam M15 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap sales mein enter karne ka soch sakte hain. Lekin jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo sellers ko mauka nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye neeche wali boundary 189.960 se kharidari mein shamil hona zyada theek hai, ye buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point hai. Is point se neeche sales hongi, aur purchases lose ho jaengi. Main growth expect kar raha hoon channel ke upper part tak 191.813. Jab top work out ho jayega, toh bull apna norm poora karega, uske baad ek decline aasakta hai. Main usse skip karunga. Aur phir se rollback se main growing trend par purchases dekhunga.

Magar, traders abhi bhi un levels ka intezar kar rahe hain jahan yen pairs ke upar jane ke baad dobara neeche aane ka imkaan hai. 4-hour chart par dekha jaye toh, pair ka price ek naya upar ka target dikha raha hai, jo weekly resistance level 206.64 hai. Is hafte, yeh pair rising price channels mein trade kar raha hai, jo price ko upar le jane mein madad kar rahe hain. Jab price in channels ki upper lines ko chhuta hai, toh yeh wapas neeche aata hai aur ek price peak banata hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab price ko neeche correct karna chahiye. Phir bhi, price ne dobara support dhundha aur successful price channels ke upar break kar gaya, jahan qareeb ka resistance level 206.64 hai. Yahi wo level hai jahan aap current level se entry kar ke buy kar sakte hain, aur target is point se thoda neeche rakh sakte hain. Agar economic perspective se dekha jaye, toh Japan ke Forex currency markets mein mudakhlat mein dair karne se Japanese yen ke liye nuqsan barhne ka khatra hai. Agar kisi bhi waqt Japan se expected intervention hota hai, toh yeh currency pair mein zabardast selling ka sabab ban sakta hai jisse profits hasil kiye ja sakein. Risk-free selling strategy abhi bhi behtareen approach sabit ho sakti hai.

Monetary policy ke hawale se... Bank of England shayad August mein rate cuts se gurez kare agar Canada aur Australia se inflation warnings ko dekhte hue faisla kiya jaye. Agar Monetary Policy Committee ne global inflation trends ke baray mein warnings ko samjha, toh Bank of England shayad August mein interest rates ko kam na kar sake.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... iss hafte Canada aur Australia se aane wale figures ke mutabiq, global inflation dobara barh sakti hai. Canada mein, inflation unexpectedly 0.6% month-on-month barh gaya, jo ke expected amount se dugna tha. Australia mein, monthly CPI ne teen mahine lagataar barhkar 4.0% year-on-year tak pohoch gaya Is studied chart se, selected asset mein clear bullish mood dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator ke zariye asani se identify kiya ja sakta Hi. Yeh indicator traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price quotes ka smoother aur averaged value dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ko zyada durust banata hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo ke current support aur resistance lines ko moving averages ke zariye dikhata hai, trading mein madadgar sabit hota hai aur currency pair ke movement ki boundaries ko dikhata hai.

tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein. GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti Hi. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue. GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

Aaj GBP/JPY currency pair ka movement ab tak 192.00 ke price tak barhne ka rujhan dikhata hai. Yeh izafa Japanese Yen ke exchange rate mein kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo ke is mahine Japanese industries ki ahm production mein -1.3% ki kami ke baad samnay aayi. Iss wajah se GBP/JPY ka movement aaj 191.80 tak pohanch gaya hai. Lekin, iss dopahar Pound Sterling ke exchange rate mein achanak se kamzori aayi hai, jo ke UK mein retail sales ke data ke -0.5% girne ki wajah se hai, isliye GBP/JPY ka movement aaj 191.500 ke price tak gir sakta hai. Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke main GBP/JPY ko 191.500 tak SELL karoon.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj dopahar GBP/JPY ka movement niche correct ho kar 191.500 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh is liye kyun ke H1 time frame mein GBP/JPY ek bearish candle engulfing banane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke ek mazboot signal hai SELL GBP/JPY ke liye 191.500 tak ke future price ke liye. Iske ilawa, meri observation ke mutabiq RSI 14 indicator pe, 191.80 ka GBP/JPY price overbought ho chuka hai yaani ke bohot zyada khareedari ho gayi hai. Isliye, aaj GBP/JPY ke 10-40 pips ka downward correction hone ke imkaanat hain. Yeh SELL GBP/JPY signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi supported hai, kyun ke jab GBP/JPY ka price 191.70 pe pohancha, toh yeh already SBR area mein tha (Support Become Resistance), isliye yeh bohot possible hai ke aaj SELLERS GBP/JPY pair mein enter karein. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, main ne faisla kiya hai ke main GBP/JPY ko 191.50 tak SELL karoon.