جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

H4 (British Pound - Japanese Yen) pair ka tajzia karein ge, Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ka istemal karte huay ek mazboot trading plan banane ke liye. Heikin Ashi candlesticks traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price values ko smooth kar deti hain, jis se reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulsive price breakouts ko waqt par pehchan ne mein asaani hoti hai. Yeh tajziya ko traders ke liye sada banata hai. TMA linear channel indicator bhi ek qeemti tool hai jo moving average ke zariye chart par current support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai. Yeh asset ki movement ke boundaries ko show karta hai. RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal trade mein enter karne ka final faisla lene ke liye kiya jata hai, kyun ke yeh overbought aur oversold areas ko highlight karta hai. Aise trading tools ka istemal technical analysis process ko sada kar deta hai aur false market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke is dauran blue candles mojood hain, jo is baat ka indication deti hain ke bulls abhi tak mazboot hain aur price ko upar ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Yeh ek acha moka paish karta hai ke long position kholi jaye.
Price quotes ne linear channel ke lower border (red dashed line) ko exceed kar liya hai, lekin lowest point par rebound karte huay ab centerline of the channel (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar rahe hain. RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal approve karta hai, kyun ke uski curve upar ki taraf ja rahi hai aur overbought level se door hai.

In tamam maloomat ko milate huay, hum yeh nateeja nikaal sakte hain ke upward trend ka ghalib hona buying ke liye high probability suggest karta hai. Is liye, extensive trade open karne ka faisla liya ja sakta hai. Take profit channel ke upper border (blue dashed line) ke qareeb set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 193.785 ke price par mark hai

Market ko negative values mein jaane se bachane ke liye, main recommend karta hoon

GBP-JPY PAIR ANALYSIs
Bullish candles patli bodies ke sath upper aur lower shadows ke sath ban rahi hain. Kal ke narrow price movement mein, high aur low prices 187.84 aur 189.41 par banaye gaye. Daily chart par, price daily resistance 188.87 ko paar karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur wahan abhi bhi resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab price thodi si upar chalti hai, toh EMA 12 daily line is positive movement ko rokne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Correction phase abhi bhi chal raha hai jahan price chadhai kar rahi hai. Mazid mazboot hoti hui price ab EMA 200 daily line ki taraf badh rahi hai, lekin filhal price EMA 12 daily ko test kar rahi hai. Agar is baar yeh 188.87 ko tod kar EMA 12 daily ko paar kar leti hai, toh EMA 200 ka goal pura ho sakta hai. Aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is se trend ki direction badal jaye jo filhal downtrend mein hai kyunke yeh abhi bhi EMA 200 H1 line ke neeche chal rahi hai. Daily stochastic bhi abhi upar ki taraf point kar raha hai, halanke yeh level 100 tak pohnch gaya hai aur yeh buyers ke liye ek warning hai ke wo ehtiyaat bartein kyunke price jaldi overbought signal ka jawab de sakti hai jo price ko phir se neeche le ja sakta hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily khud nahi badle, dono EMA lines abhi bhi neeche latki hui hain jo yeh darshati hain ke price movement ki direction abhi bhi bearish hai. Agar price EMA 12 daily se reject hoti hai, toh 187.04 area jo weekly open bhi hai aur daily support bhi, pehla target hoga.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon. Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.

GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.

GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain

GBP/JPY ANALYSIS

GBP/JPY pair ka price movement jo ke iss waqt EMA 50 ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai, ziada qareeb lagta hai resistance level 199.01 ya 199.00 ke. Is se ye indication milta hai ke price kaafi ziada probability ke sath resistance ko test kar sakta hai, jisse upward correction SMA 200 tak pahunch sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price neeche gir kar support level 195.96 ya 196.00 ko test kare jab EMA 50 ke neeche ho.

Agar hum trend ke direction par nazar daalain, jo ke abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai, to price movement ka rujhan ziada neeche ki taraf lagta hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye to ye kam sure lagta hai kyunke histogram repeatedly chhoti duration mein uptrend aur downtrend momentum dikhata hai. Agar ye bearish trend ke direction se adjust hota hai, to histogram consistently level 0 ya negative area ke neeche ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke aas paas cross kar rahe hain, oversold zone 20-10 levels tak pohanchne mein fail ho gaye hain, jo ek upward correction ka indication dete hain. Aur jab ke current parameters abhi overbought zone 90-80 level mein nahi pohanche, iska matlab ye hai ke price ke pass abhi bhi ooper move karne ki gunjaish hai pehle ke buying saturation point par pohanch jaye.

**Setup Entry Position:**

Trading plan abhi bhi follow trend strategy ko use karta hai, khas tor par jab ke qareebi future mein trend direction mein change ki kam possibility hai. SELL entry position ko resistance 199.01 ya 199.00 level ke aas paas rakha jata hai jab ke price upward correction ke baad wahan se reject hota hai. Confirmation ke liye Stochastic indicator parameters ka overbought zone 90-80 level mein cross hona zaroori hai. AO indicator histogram ko level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hona chahiye jo ke downtrend momentum ka indication de aur bearish trend ke direction mein ho. Support 195.96 ya 196.00 level ko take profit target ke tor par use kiya jata hai aur stop loss SMA 200 ya 200.37 ke aas paas rakha jata hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne teesray musalsal din mein jumay ko gains dekhay, aur qareeban 191.60 level par thora zyada band hua. Ye upward movement zyada tar British pound ki taqat ki wajah se hui, jo ke August mein release hui positive economic data se boost hui thi. S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ke preliminary results ne business activity mein rebound show kiya. August mein PMI 53.4 tak barh gaya jo ke July mein 52.8 tha, aur economists ki expectations jo 52.9 thi, un se zyada acha perform kiya. Manufacturing aur services sectors dono ne is positive growth mein hissa dala, S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 52.5 tak barh gaya, aur UK Services PMI 53.3 tak pohch gaya. Ye positive economic indicators doosri bari economies ke complex picture se bilkul contrast kar rahe the. UK retail sales aur government borrowing ke recent data ne pound ke liye mixed implications di hain. Jabke retail sales July mein growth ki taraf wapas aayi thi June ke decline ke baad, government borrowing expectations se zyada thi. Is higher borrowing ka asar financial markets par tab depend karega jab government ka future response samne ayega. Market expectations general tor par yeh anticipate karti hain ke Bank of England (BoE) 2024 ke end tak 0.25% interest rate cut karega. Kuch analysts to total 0.50% ke cuts do dafa hone ka bhi forecast kar rahe hain year-end se pehle. Lekin, yeh lower interest rates ki expectations pound par downward pressure daal sakti hain kyunki yeh foreign capital inflows ko kam kar sakti hain.

GBP/JPY pair ne July mein ek tezi se sell-off dekhi, jo 16 saal ke high 208.10 se gir kar August 5 ko low 180.07 tak chali gayi. Tab se, pair recover kar rahi hai, lekin is ka upward momentum temporary tor par 200-day simple moving average (SMA) se ruk gaya hai. Agar bears recent upward trend ko reverse karne ki koshish karte hain, to April support level 190.00 pehla rukawat ho sakta hai jo unhe overcome karna padega. Aage ki declines ko near-term support 188.22 pe aur February low 185.22 pe roka ja sakta hai. Agar yeh levels hold nahi karte, to drop eight-month low 180.07 tak ja sakti hai. Agar rally continue hoti hai, to initial resistance recent rejection zone 192.01 par mil sakta hai, jo ke 200-day SMA ke saath coincide kar raha hai. Is area se breakout ho gaya to March high 193.52 tak pohchne ka rasta khul sakta hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne ke liye, bulls ko June support level 197.18 pe attack karna ho sakta hai, jo future mein resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.
Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.

Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain.

movement nahi dekhi gayi; price sirf EMA 200 H1 line ke around up aur down hoti rahi jo ke 188.67 - 188.74 ke aas paas cross hui. Yeh price behavior EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 lines ke sath bhi dekha gaya jo ki angled aur flat the. Price jo upar jaane ki koshish kar rahi thi, woh 189.48 ke high ko cross nahi kar paayi jo is haftay ka highest number tha aur Tuesday ko bana tha. Is failure ne sellers ko opportunity di ke woh dominate kar sakein. Lekin seller pressure sirf price ko 187.84 tak hi neeche le jaa paya, phir price phir se upar push hui aur EMA 200 ke aas paas phir se ghoomti rahi. Is situation se trend abhi bhi unclear aur biased lag raha hai. Yeh halat Thursday afternoon tak barq Market aaj subah 188.90 par open hui. Price daily open ke upar dekhi gayi aur EMA 200 thodi neeche thi. Flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab upar ki taraf point kar rahe hain. Sabse kareeb resistance 189.97 ko bullish price movement attempt ke liye observation area banaya jayega. Bullish candles patli bodies aur upper aur lower shadows ke sath ban rahi hain. Kal ki narrow price movement mein high aur low 187.84 aur 189.41 ke prices par banaye gaye. Daily chart par price daily Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, May mein employment mein 54,000 ka izafa hua, aur phir June mein 16,000 ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisne total number of jobs ko 241,000 tak pohncha diya, jo ke UK workforce ka takriban 0.8% hai. Magar, benefit statistics ne yeh dikhaya ke benefit applications June mein 1.663 million tak barh gayi, aur phir July mein 135,000 ka tez izafa hua, jo ke pandemic ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, aur yeh market expectations ke 14,500 increase ko exceed karta hai. Overall, Bank of England average income growth ko closely dekh raha hai kyunki isay inflation ka leading indicator samjha jata hai, aur inflation ke target ke ooper rehne ka risk aney wale saalon mein barh sakta hai. Inflation May mein 2% ke target tak gir gaya tha aur June mein bhi is target mein barqarar raha, magar core statistics ke hain

GBP/JPY ke H1 time frame ka tajziya kiya gaya hai, jahan chand aham indications hain jo traders ko dekhni chahiyein. GBP/JPY ke price movement ne pehle ek significant izafa dekhaya, lekin ab yeh neeche jhukne ke asar dekhane laga hai. Moving Averages (MA) indicator se pata chalta hai ke chhoti muddat ka MA abhi tak lambi muddat ke MA ke upar hai, lekin dono ek doosre ke qareeb aa rahe hain, jo ke potential trend reversal ya consolidation ka ishara de raha hai.

Iske ilawa, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator ne bearish signal diya hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar chuki hai, aur histogram mein barhta hua bearish momentum dekhai de raha hai, jo ke short term mein price correction ka ishara hai. Doosri taraf, RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ka level 48.13 par hai, jo ke neutral condition dikhata hai, lekin yeh higher level se neeche aana shuru ho gaya hai, jo ke selling pressure mein izafa ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Is technical analysis ki buniyad par, do trading ideas consider kiye ja sakte hain using pending orders. Pehla, Buy Limit at level 187,250 with Stop Loss at 186,800 aur Take Profit at 188,500, jo ke support level se potential price reversal ka faida uthane ke liye hai. Doosra, Sell Limit at level 188,700 with Stop Loss at 189,200 aur Take Profit at 187,000, is umeed ke sath ke price resistance level se neeche girega.

Yeh strategy isliye design ki gayi hai taake price movements ka faida uthaya ja sake significant support aur resistance levels par, jo traders ko GBP/JPY ke upar aur neeche dono movements se profit ka mauqa de sakti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke market developments par nazar rakhi jaye aur har trade mein proper risk management ka istemal kiya jaye taake optimal results hasil ho sakein.
GBP/JPY forums information ka ek behtareen source hain jo analysis aur forecasting mein significant madad kar sakte hain. In platforms par available diverse opinions, real-time updates, aur in-depth analyses ko leverage karke, traders apni trading strategies ko enhance kar sakte hain aur success ke chances improve kar sakte hain. Lekin, forum insights ko critical mind ke sath approach karna zaroori hai, information ko cross-verify karna aur mukhtalif analytical approaches ko blend karna chahiye taake well-informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jaise kisi bhi market mein, GBP/JPY ke fundamentals aur technical aspects ko samajhna aur forum discussions se update rehna is volatile currency pair ko navigate karne ke liye key hai

Risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke British Pound, ka upside Middle East mein barhti hui geopolitical tensions ki wajah se rokha ja sakta hai. Safe-haven flows Japanese Yen (JPY) ko support provide kar rahe hain, jo GBP/JPY cross ke upside ko limit kar raha hai.
Israeli forces ne Monday ko southern Gaza ke Khan Younis ke paas apni operations ko jari rakha. CBC News ke mutabiq, Palestinian medics ne kaha ke Israeli military strikes ne Khan Younis mein kam az kam 18 logon ko qatal kar diya.

Japan ka parliament 23 August ko ek special session bulane wala hai jahan Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke pichle mahine ke interest rate hike ke faisle par discussion ki jayegi. Yeh session, jo lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya hai, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bulane ki umeed hai, government sources ke mutabiq jo Reuters ne cite kiya hai.

GBP/JPY Tuesday ko European session mein 189.20 ke aas-paas positive ground par hai. Yeh cross 4-hour chart par negative hai, bearish RSI momentum indicator ke sath. Pehla upside barrier 189.50 par hai; initial support level 186.48 par dekha gaya hai.

GBP/JPY cross Tuesday ko early European trading hours mein 189.20 ke aas-paas kuch buyers ko attract kar raha hai. Pound Sterling (GBP) latest labor market data ke baad traction gain kar raha hai, jismein UK mein unemployment unexpected taur par June tak ke teen mahine mein gir gaya hai.

UK Unemployment Rate April-June mein 4.2% tak gir gaya jo pehle 4.4% tha, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne Tuesday ko dikhaya. Economists ko figure ke 4.5% tak barhne ki umeed thi. Iske ilawa, Claimant Count Change July mein 135K se barh gaya, jo June mein revised gain 32.3K ke muqablay mein hai, aur estimation 14.5K se kaafi zyada hai.

GBP/JPY 4-hour chart par bearish vibe ko unchanged rakhta hai kyunki yeh key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Lekin, ek aur upside bhi possible hai, kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke upar 61.85 ke aas-paas barh raha hai.

Agar Bollinger Band ke upper boundary 189.50 ke aas-paas decisively break hota hai, toh 192.00 psychological level tak rise dekha ja sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar buying follow-through hoti hai, toh yeh 193.26 tak raasta khol sakta hai, jo August 1 ka high hai.

Dusri taraf, August 9 ka low 186.48 initial support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Key contention level 185.55-185.60 zone mein ubhar kar aata hai, jo August 8 ka low aur Bollinger Band ka lower limit hai. Additional downside filter jo dekhne ki zaroorat hai woh 182.81 hai, jo August 6 ka low hai.

**GBP/JPY Par Market Dynamics ka Overview**

Risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke British Pound (GBP), ko Middle East mein barhte huye geopolitical tensions ki wajah se upar ki taraf movement mein rukawat ka saamna ho sakta hai. Is ke muqabil, safe-haven flows Japanese Yen (JPY) ko support kar rahe hain, jo ke GBP/JPY cross currency pair ke upside potential ko rok raha hai.

**Moqoode Geopolitical Situation**

Israeli forces abhi bhi Khan Younis, southern Gaza mein apne operations continue kar rahi hain. CBC News ke mutabiq, Palestinian medics ne report kiya ke Israeli military strikes ke natije mein Khan Younis mein kam se kam 18 logon ki maut ho gayi hai.

**Aane Wali Bank of Japan Meeting**

Japan ka parliament 23 August ko ek khaas session bulane wala hai, jisme Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke recent interest rate hike ka faisla discuss kiya jayega. Ye session lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya hai, aur isme BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bhi bulaaya jayega, jo ke Reuters ke zariye government sources ke mutabiq hai.

**GBP/JPY Market Analysis**

**Current Trading Status**

Tuesday ko, GBP/JPY pair European trading session ke dauran 189.20 ke aas-paas move kar raha hai. Is positive position ke bawajood, cross 4-hour chart par negative signs dikha raha hai, jaise ke bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator. Pehli upside barrier 189.50 hai, jabke pehli support level 186.48 pe identify ki gayi hai.

**Labor Market Data Impact**

GBP/JPY cross early European trading hours ke dauran 189.20 mark ke aas-paas kuch buyers ko attract kar raha hai. Pound Sterling (GBP) ko latest labor market data ke baad traction mil rahi hai, jo UK mein unemployment ke unexpected decrease ko reveal karta hai, jo ke June ke maheenon ke liye hai.

UK mein unemployment rate April se June tak 4.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke pehle ke 4.4% se kam hai, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke mutabiq Tuesday ko. Economists ne is figure ke 4.5% tak barhne ki umeed ki thi. Saath hi, Claimant Count Change July mein 135K barh gaya, jo ke June mein revised gain of 32.3K ke muqablay mein hai, aur estimated increase of 14.5K ko significantly exceed karta hai.

**Technical Analysis Insights**

GBP/JPY 4-hour chart par bearish outlook rakhta hai, kyunki ye crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Lekin, RSI ke midline se upar jaane ke potential bhi hai, jo ke lagbhag 61.85 par hai.

**Potential Price Movements**

Agar Bollinger Band ke upper boundary ko 189.50 ke aas-paas decisively break kar diya jaye, to ek upward movement 192.00 ke psychological level tak ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Agar buying is level ke aage bhi continue hoti hai, to further gains ke liye raaste khul sakte hain, jo ke August 1 se high 193.26 tak pohnch sakte hain.

Conversely, August 9 ka low 186.48 pehli support level ke taur par hai. Ek important contention area 185.55-185.60 zone mein hai, jo ke August 8 ka low aur Bollinger Band ka lower limit reflect karta hai. Additional downside pressure ko 182.81 pe monitor karna zaroori hai, jo ke August 6 ka low hai.

Wednesday ke trading mein koi khaas harkat nahi hui, lekin qeemat sirf EMA 200 H1 line ke aas paas upar aur neeche chalti rahi, jo ke 188.67 - 188.74 ke numbers ke aas paas cross hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 lines bhi is hi behaviour ko follow kar rahi thi, jo angled aur flat thi. Qeemat jo upar jane ki koshish kar rahi thi, woh 189.48 ke high ko cross nahi kar payi, jo is hafte ka highest number tha jo Tuesday ko bana tha. Is failure ne sellers ko dominate karne ka mauka diya. Afsoos, seller pressure sirf qeemat ko 187.84 tak shift kar paya, uske baad qeemat phir se upar push hui aur EMA 200 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. Yeh halat abhi bhi trend ko unclear aur biased banati hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Thursday ke dopahar tak jaari rahi. Market aaj subah 188.90 par open hui. Qeemat daily open ke upar dekhi gayi aur EMA 200 thodi neeche thi. Flat EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ab upar ki taraf point kar rahi hain. Sabse nazdeek resistance 189.97 hoga, jo ke bullish price movement ke liye dekhna hoga. Bullish candles patli bodies aur upper aur lower shadows ke saath bani hain. Kal ke narrow price movement mein high aur low 187.84 aur 189.41 ke prices par bane. Daily chart par, qeemat daily resistance 188.87 ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur wahan resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Jab qeemat thoda upar jaati hai, EMA 12 daily line is positive movement ko rokne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Correction phase ab bhi chal raha hai jahan qeemat upar ki taraf chalti ja rahi hai. Mazid taqatwar qeemat ab EMA 200 daily line ki taraf ja rahi hai, lekin filhal qeemat EMA 12 daily ko test kar rahi hai. Agar is baar yeh 188.87 ko break karne aur EMA 12 daily ko cross karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to EMA 200 ka goal haqdaar hoga. Aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is se trend ka direction badal jaye jo ke abhi bhi downtrend mein hai kyunki EMA 200 H1 line ke neeche move kar rahi hai. Daily stochastic ab bhi upar point kar raha hai, halankeh yeh level 100 tak pahunch chuka hai aur yeh buyers ke liye caution ka signal hai kyunki qeemat soon overbought signal respond kar sakti hai jo qeemat ko phir se neeche le jaa sakti hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily ab bhi wahi hain, dono EMA lines neeche latakti hain jo indicate karti hain ke qeemat ka movement abhi bhi bearish hai. Agar qeemat EMA 12 daily se reject hoti hai, to 187.04 area jo weekly open hai aur daily support bhi hai, pehla target hoga.

Maira GBP/JPY analysis bohot detailed hai, aur maine achi tarah se market movement ko samjha hai. Ab hum isko mil kar analyze karte hain. Pichlay trading sessions main, humein significant up and down movement dekhne ko mila, jahan sellers ne akhir mein upper hand hasil kar liya. Asian session ke start mein hi, sellers dominant the aur unhon ne price ko Friday ke daily open 191.46 se neeche push kar diya. Lekin EMA 200 H1 ko touch karne se pehle, price 190.34 se reverse hua aur phir daily open ko cross karke ooper jane ki koshish ki. Lekin, buyers ki strength limited thi, aur jab price 191.84 ko touch kiya, sellers ne wapas enter karke price ko 191.99 se neeche gira diya. Iss dafaa sellers ne price ko EMA 200 H1 line tak le aaya. Yeh condition Monday ke trading session mein bhi jari rahi, jahan market 190.55 pe open hua aur phir se sellers ne price ko neeche move karna shuru kar diya. EMA 200 H1 bhi break hua, lekin price ziada neeche nahi ja saka, balki thoda upar neeche move karte hue EMA 200 H1 ke neeche hi raha. Abhi ke liye, EMA 200 H1 ke neeche support 189.48 hai, jahan se price ko resistance mil rahi hai. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ne EMA 200 H1 ke upar cross banaya hai, jo downward direction show kar raha hai. Is situation mein lagta hai ke bearish trend aur ziada continue karega, is liye sell option consider kiya ja sakta hai.



Daily chart par bhi kuch aisi hi situation hai, jahan price EMA 200 daily ke neeche move kar raha hai. Friday ko bearish candle bani thi, lekin small size ki. Yeh candle EMA 200 daily se resistance show karti hai, jo buyers ke positive movement ko rok rahi hai. Stochastic indicator pehle upwards tha, lekin ab woh level 60 ke aas-paas curved hai, jo weakness ka indication hai. Agar sellers apni bearish trend ko confirm karna chahte hain, to unko daily support 188.96 pe focus karna hoga. Aur agar buyers ko trend ooper le jana hai, to unko EMA 200 daily resistance 192.35 ko cross karna hoga. Lekin is se pehle, unko 190.49 ka area break karna padega. Aaj ke liye, smaller time frames pe limited target ke saath entries ki ja sakti hain jab tak larger time frame mein trend clear nahi hota. Aapke analysis se pata chalta hai ke dono buyers aur sellers ke liye abhi equal opportunities hain, lekin ek clear confirmation ke liye humein time frame pe nazar rakhni hogi.

Aaj hum GBP/JPY H4 pair ka analysis karte hain, jismein Heikin Ashi candlesticks, TMA (Triangular Moving Average), aur RSI indicators ka istemal kar ke ek mazboot trading plan banayenge.

Heikin Ashi candlesticks traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein price values ko smooth karte hain, jo reversal points, corrective rollbacks, aur impulsive price breakouts ko pehchanne mein asani dete hain. Is tarah analysis traders ke liye simplified ho jata hai.

TMA linear channel indicator bhi ek qeemati tool hai jo moving average ke zariye current support aur resistance lines ko chart par dikhata hai. Yeh asset ki movement ki boundaries ko highlight karta hai. RSI oscillator indicator ka istemal hum trade enter karne ka faisla karte waqt karte hain, kyun ke yeh overbought aur oversold areas ko highlight karta hai.

Aise trading tools ka istemal technical analysis process ko simplified banata hai aur false market entries se bachata hai. Chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke iss period ke dauran blue candles hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bulls abhi bhi mazboot hain aur price ko upar kheench rahe hain. Yeh ek acha mauqa paish karta hai ke hum long position open karen.

Price quotes ne linear channel ki lower border (red dashed line) ko cross kar liya hai, magar lowest point par rebound hua aur ab centerline of the channel (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar raha hai. RSI (14) indicator bhi buy signal ko approve karta hai, kyun ke iski curve upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai aur overbought level se door hai.

In tamam maloomat ko combine karte hue, hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke prevailing upward trend ke bawajood buying ki high probability hai. Isliye, hum ek extensive trade open karne ka faisla kar sakte hain. Take profit upper border of the channel (blue dashed line) ke qareeb set kar sakte hain, jo ke 193.785 price par mark ki gayi hai.

Market ko negative values mein jaane se bachane ke liye, jab position profitable area mein move kare, toh trailing stop order ka istemal karna recommend karta hoon taake zyada profit secure kiya ja sake.

GBP/JPY ko 180.07 ke support level tak le aaye hain, jo ke 2024 ke aghaz se ab tak ka sabse lowest level hai. Analysis likhte waqt, yeh pair 183.55 ke level par stable hai. Main aksar apne reliable trading recommendations page par mid-July trading mein 208.00 ke resistance par jab yeh tha, British pound ko Japanese yen ke against sell karne ka mashwara de chuka hoon.
Economic diary ke results ke mutabiq, Britain ke construction sector ki growth 26 maheenon ke highest level tak pohanch gayi hai. Standard & Poor's Global ke zariye jari ki gayi UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index July 2024 mein 55.3 tak barh gayi, jo market expectations 52.7 se zyada thi aur June ke 52.2 se barh gayi, jo ke construction sector mein ek significant monthly expansion ko zahir karti hai. Yeh growth 5 maheenon ki current expansion series ko barhawa de rahi hai, jismein growth rate May 2022 ke baad se sabse tez tha. July mein housing projects mein growth ki wapsi hui, commercial activity mein bhi izafa dekhne ko mila, jabke civil engineering mein do saal aur aadha saal mein sabse tez expansion dekhne ko mili. Is mahine activity aur naye orders mein tezi se izafa hua, jis se purchasing activity aur employment levels mein lagatar teesray mahine izafa dekhne ko mila. Increased demand ne supply chain par pressures dalay aur input costs mein tez izafa dekha gaya. Dosri taraf, British 10-year Treasury bonds ke yield mein 6 maheenon ke lowest level se izafa dekha gaya. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year Treasury note ka yield 3.74% ke six-month low se barh kar takreeban 3.9% tak chala gaya, US services sector ke July mein rebound aur Federal Reserve policymakers ke calming comments ke baad, jo market ke kuch losses ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hue.
GBP/JPY pair ko aaj sell kar sakte hain. Agar price 199.50 level ko upside se break karta hai, to yeh short-term bearish outlook ko invalidate kar dega. Is bear move ke liye projected target 194.00 hai. Safe trading ke liye, aap apni half position 194.76 par close kar sakte hain. Main das saalon se forex trading kar raha hoon. Aakhri do saalon mein maine kuch khaas cheez discover ki hai. Is forum mein, main apna technical analysis share karoon ga. Aap meri technical analysis mein improvements karne ke liye bilkul free hain. Main aap se is par discuss karne mein khushi mehsoos karoon ga. Apna support dikhane ke liye, "like" button par click karein.
GBP/JPY currency pair ab bhi further upward movement ki potential rakhti hai kyun ke demand area jo ke 180.94 par hai, ab tak penetrate nahi hua. Is kay ilawa, candle ab bhi RBS area jo ke 184.87 par hai, wahin stuck hai. Is liye, mein traders ko recommend karta hoon ke is pair par sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take-profit target resistance ke qarib 199.01 par set kar sakte hain aur stop-loss 183.69 ke support level par rakh sakte hain