جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Magar, traders abhi bhi un levels ka intezar kar rahe hain jahan yen pairs ke upar jane ke baad dobara neeche aane ka imkaan hai. 4-hour chart par dekha jaye toh, pair ka price ek naya upar ka target dikha raha hai, jo weekly resistance level 206.64 hai. Is hafte, yeh pair rising price channels mein trade kar raha hai, jo price ko upar le jane mein madad kar rahe hain. Jab price in channels ki upper lines ko chhuta hai, toh yeh wapas neeche aata hai aur ek price peak banata hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab price ko neeche correct karna chahiye. Phir bhi, price ne dobara support dhundha aur successful price channels ke upar break kar gaya, jahan qareeb ka resistance level 206.64 hai. Yahi wo level hai jahan aap current level se entry kar ke buy kar sakte hain, aur target is point se thoda neeche rakh sakte hain.

Agar economic perspective se dekha jaye, toh Japan ke Forex currency markets mein mudakhlat mein dair karne se Japanese yen ke liye nuqsan barhne ka khatra hai. Agar kisi bhi waqt Japan se expected intervention hota hai, toh yeh currency pair mein zabardast selling ka sabab ban sakta hai jisse profits hasil kiye ja sakein. Risk-free selling strategy abhi bhi behtareen approach sabit ho sakti hai.

Monetary policy ke hawale se... Bank of England shayad August mein rate cuts se gurez kare agar Canada aur Australia se inflation warnings ko dekhte hue faisla kiya jaye. Agar Monetary Policy Committee ne global inflation trends ke baray mein warnings ko samjha, toh Bank of England shayad August mein interest rates ko kam na kar sake.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... iss hafte Canada aur Australia se aane wale figures ke mutabiq, global inflation dobara barh sakti hai. Canada mein, inflation unexpectedly 0.6% month-on-month barh gaya, jo ke expected amount se dugna tha. Australia mein, monthly CPI ne teen mahine lagataar barhkar 4.0% year-on-year tak pohoch gaya.






Is studied chart se, selected asset mein clear bullish mood dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator ke zariye asani se identify kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh indicator traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqable mein price quotes ka smoother aur averaged value dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ko asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ko zyada durust banata hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo ke current support aur resistance lines ko moving averages ke zariye dikhata hai, trading mein madadgar sabit hota hai aur currency pair ke movement ki boundaries ko dikhata hai.

Final filtering of signals aur trades ke faislay ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Is chart mein, Heiken Ashi candlesticks ne blue rang apnaya hai, jo price movement ke northern direction ko zahir karta hai. Market quotes ne linear channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) se bahar nikal kar minimum point ko chhuna, lekin wahan se wapas middle line ki taraf chalay gaye (yellow dotted line). Neeche wala indicator, RSI (14), jo signals ko filter karta hai, bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai, kyun ke iska curve upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se door hai.

Upar di gayi points ko dekhte hue, sirf purchases hi relevant nazar aati hain, isliye hum ek long deal open karte hain, aur intezar karte hain ke instrument channel ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) ki taraf move kare, jo ke price mark 202.583 par hai.

GBP/JPY H-1 TIME FRAME CHART

GBPJPY ke H1 chart ko dekha jaye toh, Friday ko mein yeh umeed kar raha tha ke price 199.107 se kaafi upar jaye gi. Magar, yeh is value se upar nahi ja saki. Is liye mein yeh andaza lagata hoon ke price ab bhi gir kar 194.70-194.170 ki range tak ja sakti hai. Yeh tab hoga agar Friday ka rebound wave 3 mein 4th wave tha, aur phir sirf 5th wave reh jata hai. Agar 4th wave ke liye price rollback nahi hota aur 199.107 ke value par nahi aata, toh hum yeh expect kar sakte hain ke price W1 Sup resistance level 200.412 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar wave 3 mein 5th wave kaam karta hai, toh mein sell karne ke liye entry dhundhoonga. Mera ab bhi yeh maan-na hai ke is wave mein movement 350-370 STP ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. ZUP indicator yeh signal de raha hai ke price bearish pattern ki taraf move kar raha hai: bearish 1.618 * AB = CD, jahan point D ka extreme price value 199.260 hai. Toh abhi tak, bearish pattern kaafi relevant hai.





Indicators ke category se dusra vote bhi decrease ke liye hai. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) jisme readings 70.884 aur 67.9982 hain, yeh signal de raha hai ke price overbought ki taraf ja raha hai. Slow stochastic (50.10.25) jisme readings 50.7735 aur 46.6937 hain, yeh oversold zone se overbought zone ki taraf halfway pe hai. Isliye hum keh sakte hain ke stochastic south movement ke against hai, magar overnight yeh signal line values change kar sakte hain. Agar instrument Friday shaam ki tarah continue karta hai, toh fast stochastic (5.3.3) ki values change ho sakti hain, aur slow stochastic bhi change ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

Friday ko early European trading mein, GBP/JPY currency pair 197.75 ke neeche trade kar rahi thi. Japanese yen ki appreciation ka sabab zyada-tar expectations hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni agli policy meeting mein interest rate hike kar sakta hai. Tokyo ke consumer price index (CPI) data ne bhi inflation mein izafa dikhaya, jis se ye expectations aur zyada mazboot ho gayi hain. Market abhi 38% probability price kar raha hai ke BoJ 15 basis point rate hike karega. Iske ilawa, Japanese authorities ke taraf se currency intervention ke concerns ne bhi yen ki strength mein izafa kiya. Japan ke top monetary diplomat, Masato Kanda ne excessive exchange rate volatility ke economy par negative impact ko dobara se emphasize kiya, aur agar zaroorat pesh ayi toh intervention ka ishara diya. Doosri taraf, British pound par downward pressure hai, kyun ke Bank of England ke taraf se interest rate cuts ki expectations barhti ja rahi hain. UBS analysts ka andaza hai ke August ke aaghaz mein 25 basis point rate cut ho sakta hai, jiske baad November mein aik aur cut expect kiya ja raha hai.




Technical Analysis:

Technically dekha jaye toh GBP/JPY pair July 11 ko apne 16-saal ke high 208.10 ke baad se long-term downtrend mein hai. Immediate support levels 197.18 aur 195.84 par hain, aur agar decline aage barhta hai toh 193.52 aur psychological level 190.00 tak ja sakti hai. Upside mein, resistance expect kiya ja raha hai 200.50, phir 202.08 aur 205.77 par. Agar 208.10 ka high breach hota hai, toh aage mazeed gains ke chances khul jayenge. Overall, GBP/JPY pair ka trajectory BoJ aur Bank of England ke diverging monetary policies se bohat mutasir hai, aur Japanese currency intervention ke potential par bhi depend karti hai. Investors in factors ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, taake exchange rate par inka asar dekh sakein.

GBP/JPY Technical Forecast aur Trading Strategies

British Pound aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan (GBP/JPY) currency pair ko "cross pair" kehte hain kyunke yeh US Dollar ko bypass karta hai. European trading session mein yeh pair aik holding pattern mein phasa hua hai, halan ke yeh pair apne is haftay ke highest point ke qareeb hai. Yeh action kyun ho raha hai? Is ke peechay ka primary factor Japanese Yen ki lagataar kamzori hai. Yen kuch arsay se pressure mein hai, aur uski depreciation GBP/JPY mein gains ko fuel kar rahi hai. Lekin yeh kahani sirf Yen tak mehdoood nahi hai. British Pound bhi recent UK elections ke baad apni taqat dikhate huye nazar aa raha hai, jo ke overall currency ki strength ko support kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, US Dollar ki current weakness bhi GBP/JPY ke liye mazeed support faraham kar rahi hai. Magar yahan ek twist hai.

Market abhi upcoming US employment data par focused hai, jo ke 3:30 PM (aapke local time ke mutabiq) release hoga. Yeh important economic data point currency market mein significant turbulence create karne ki potential rakhta hai. Aage dekhte huye, main expect karta hoon ke GBP/JPY mein aik potential correction ho sakta hai, yaani recent rise ke baad aik temporary decline. Lekin, meri main prediction yeh hai ke current uptrend continue rahega. Yahan do possible scenarios hain:




Agar GBP/JPY critical support level 204.65 se upar rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend barqarar rahega. Is case mein, main is pair ko buy karne par gaur karunga agar yeh 204.65 se upar jata hai, aur potential targets 206.45 aur 206.95 tak hosakte hain.

Dusri taraf, agar GBP/JPY critical support level 204.65 se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh signal ho sakta hai ke price consolidation phase mein ja sakta hai, jahan price narrow range mein fluctuate karega ya decline hoga. Is scenario mein, pair 204.15 tak gir sakta hai aur potentially 203.75 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh sirf possible trajectories hain, aur GBP/JPY ka actual direction akhirkar market ke reaction par depend karega US employment data aur doosray upcoming economic events ke mutabiq. Yeh situation rapidly unfold ho sakti hai, isliye tayar rahiyega.

USD-GBP/JPY Pair Analysis

Pichle hafte market conditions abhi bhi bearish trend mein nazar aa rahi thi. Meri raaye mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ka bearish trend ab bhi chalne ki ummeed hai kyunki pichle Friday ko hui increase zyada tar market ka temporary correction thi. To, agar price ne niche ki taraf move karna shuru kiya jo ke mahine ke shuru se sabse high level se neeche gir chuki hai, toh baad mein fir se SELL trading ke liye wait kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh clear hai ke bearish movement ka potential abhi bhi hai aur buyer’s target range 197.00 ke aas-paas hai. Hafte ke shuru mein trading session mein market abhi bhi sellers ke control mein nazar aati hai kyunki price thodi bearish lagti hai, halan ke abhi bhi kamzor hai. Pichle hafte sellers ki strength pichle hafte ke trading session ke muqablay mein badh gayi thi.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka lime line level 30 tak gir gaya hai jo ke bearish trend ko dikhata hai, isliye candlestick ke aur neeche jane ke potential hai jo ke long-term market situation se bhi match karta hai jo ke bearish trend mein hai. Candlestick abhi bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche comfortably play kar rahi hai, jo ke market ke strong bearish trend ko illustrate karta hai. Meri raaye mein, price movements ke bearish state ko dekhte huye, SELL transaction opportunities pe concentrate karna sahi rahega. Agar price movement 197.00 level ko phir se break karti hai, toh price movement lower bearish level experience kar sakti hai. Isliye, market mein price movements ko dhyan se dekhna zaroori hai, aur downward trend ko observe karna chahiye.

GBP/JPY Market Analysis

GBP/JPY market Asian session se European session tak flat nazar aayi, Friday ko establish kiye gaye daily open price 197.80 ke aas-paas oscillating rahi. Halankeh kuch downward pressure ne price ko niche push karne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh 197.16 ke nazdeek support level ko break nahi kar payi. Is support ko test karne ke baad, price ne phir se uthane ki koshish ki aur buyers ne ise daily open ke upar push kar diya, resistance level 198.40 ke kareeb pohnch gaya.

Is situation mein, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo pehle flat thi, ab upward crossover karne ki koshish kar rahi hain. Lekin, positive price movement stable nahi raha. Price ne 198.40 ke resistance ko break kiya lekin 199.41 ke expected area tak nahi pohnch paayi aur 199.11 par ruk gayi. Selling pressure ke wajah se, price phir se 197.16 ke support ko test kiya, uske baad upar bounce kiya aur daily open ke aas-paas consolidate kar gayi.

Is waqt, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 jo crossover complete nahi kar payi thi, ab flatten ho gayi hain aur narrow ho rahi hain, jo further price movement ke liye room ko reduce kar rahi hai. Friday ki actions ke basis par, lagta hai ke price phir se kamzor ho sakti hai, isliye agle hafte ke shuruat mein sell option ko consider karna chahiye. Lekin, yeh bhi important hai ke daily chart oversold market condition ko show kar raha hai jo ke further bearish movements ko cancel kar sakta hai.





Friday ke trading mein ek doji candlestick bani, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech indecisive momentum ko signal karti hai. Is doji ki high aur low prices 199.11 aur 196.99 hain. Daily trend perspective se, price abhi bhi EMA 200 ke upar hai, jo indicate karta hai ke current weakening phase ek corrective phase ka hissa ho sakta hai, jo EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke daily time frame par impending downside crossover se confirm hota hai. Lekin, yeh crossover abhi definitive nahi hai, aur confirmation ka wait karna padega.

Is dauran, daily Stochastic indicator indicate karta hai ke market already oversold condition mein hai, kyunki yeh zero level par pohnch gaya hai aur upar ki taraf bend kar raha hai. Agar yeh oversold condition price se response generate karti hai aur positive movement deti hai, khaaskar agar price Friday ki high 199.11 ko exceed karti hai, toh yeh 200.60 tak pohnch sakti hai.

GBP/JPY Analysis

GBP/JPY pair ke liye recent steps liye gaye hain jo Yen ko foreign exchange market mein kamzor kar rahe hain. Yeh steps kuch UK ke economic data ke bawajood liye gaye hain. Halankeh unemployment claims mein halka sa izafa hua hai, lekin mazboot wage growth ne investors ko tasalli di hai. Bank of Japan ka market mein intervention recent mein do baar hua hai, jisne chinta barhadi hai. Inke interventions ke reports ne kharch mein izafa kar diya hai, jo Yen ko kamzor kar sakti hai. Lekin, inka asar mukhtalif ho sakta hai. GBP/JPY pair ne recently 197.00 ka level touch kiya hai, jo ke 191.50 se kafi upar hai, ek significant move ko darshata hai. Former BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke analysis ke mutabiq, central bank apne agle interest rate hike ko September tak postpone kar sakta hai. Yeh wait-and-see approach unhe July aur August mein aane wale economic data ko assess karne ka mauka de sakti hai. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne BoJ ke sath milkar currency trends ko monitor aur respond karne par zordiya hai. In efforts ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair apne 16 saal ke high ke nazdeek nahi pohnch paayi aur filhal 196.47 aur 198.57 ke beech range kar rahi hai. Market abhi bhi BoJ interventions ke asraat ko digest kar rahi hai, shayad US Federal Reserve ke departure ka asar bhi ho raha hai. Yen par continuous pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai agar Japanese authorities aur interventions continue karti hain. Technical indicators naye changes ka ishaara de rahe hain. Jabki Average Directional Index (ADX) recent uptrend ke khatam hone ka signal de raha hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral hai.





Lekin, Stochastic indicator rapid declines dikha raha hai, jo bearish outlook ka signal hai agar Yen midpoint ki taraf move karta hai. Yeh level khas ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki isne Bank of Japan ko April ke aakhir mein do baar market mein intervention karne ko majboor kiya tha. BoJ abhi bhi ek wildcard factor hai. Jab US markets 27 May ko band hongi, toh agar BoJ ko Yen kamzor karne ke liye zaroori samjhe, toh ek aur intervention ka mauka mil sakta hai. Halankeh kuch technical indicators uptrend ko support karte hain, Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) March-June 2023 rally ke baad se apne highest level par pohnch gaya hai, jo strong directional movement ko darshata hai. Wahi Stochastic indicator phir se overbought zone mein hai, jo current bullish momentum ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, RSI ka close examination bullish armor mein ek potential crack dikhaata hai. Indicator higher highs banane mein struggle kar raha hai, jo kuch underlying weakness ka ishaara hai. Agar bulls control banaye rakhna chahte hain, toh unhe GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support level ke upar rakhna hoga aur ultimately April 29 ki high of 200.50 ko retest karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke upar successful breakout hota hai, toh yeh Japanese authorities ke liye ek aur intervention trigger kar sakta hai, jo losses ko lead kar sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, jahan bulls aur bears ke beech tug-of-war chal rahi hai. Aane wale din pair ke direction aur uptrend ki momentum ko maintain karne mein crucial honge.

Do hafton se GBP/JPY pair ek mazboot downward correction rasta ikhtiyar kiya hai, jo humne apni free live trading recommendations page par aksar zikr kiya. Humne GBP/JPY pair ko bechne ka tajwez diya jab yeh 207.00 se neeche chala gaya, aur iski record gains ne resistance level 208.11 ko extend kiya. Uske baad ke sell-offs ne isey support level 195.86 tak push kar diya, jo ke do mahine se zyada ka sabse naya low hai.

GBP ki price generally resilient rahi hai, lekin GBP/EUR pair zyada vulnerable hoga agar stocks aur girne lagen, khaaskar jab market mein Bank of England ke rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai.

Bank of England ke hawale se, aksar investment banks expect kar rahe hain ke Bank of England is hafte ke policy meeting mein interest rates cut karegi, lekin financial markets abhi bhi 50% se kam chances ko price kar rahi hain. Isliye, agar markets ko zyada confidence mil gaya ke Bank of England is hafte action lege, toh GBP bechne ke liye vulnerable ho sakta hai. Lekin, global speculators ke British currency mein investments barh rahi hain, jo currency ko sharp correction ke liye vulnerable bana sakti hai agar hot money wapas aa jaye. Latest CFTC data ne non-commercial long positions ke liye record high hit kiya hai.





Market prices ne dikhaya hai ke investors ne apne expectations ko 50% se neeche kar diya hai, jab inflation figures ne yeh dikhaya ke UK services inflation ab bhi Bank of England ke forecast se zyada hai. Sterling aur government bond yields bhi upar aaye hain iske response mein. Oxford Economics ko lagta hai ke bank monetary policy report aur press conference ka use September mein rate cut ke liye prepare karne ke liye karega. “Zyada dovish members yeh emphasize karenge ke wo aage ki soch rakh rahe hain jo unhone pichle do saalon se nahi rakhi thi, aur is message ko yeh expectation ke sath complement karenge ke inflation do saal ke horizon par target se clearly neeche hai,” analyst ne add kiya.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY price trend bearish ho gaya hai. Agar support level 195.00 toot jata hai, toh bears ka control trend par mazid mazboot ho jayega aur yeh 191.20 tak ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, aur same period mein, psychological resistance level 200.00 ke upar stability bulls ke liye important rahegi taake wo control wapas hasil kar saken. Dono trends markets aur investors ke Bank of Japan aur Bank of England ke announcements par react karne par depend karte hain.

Do hafton se, British pound aur Japanese yen (GBP/JPY) ka price downward correction rasta ikhtiyar kiya hua hai, jo ke 201.88 support level tak gir gaya hai, jo ek mahine ka sabse naya low hai. Abhi analysis likhne ke waqt price 203.10 ke aas-paas settle ho gayi hai, aur kuch naya dekhne ki intezaar hai. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, is saal pound ne apni position ko sabse mazboot G10 currency ke tor par majboot kiya hai, aur ING Bank kehtaa hai ke trade-weighted index ab sirf 3% neeche hai us level se jo Brexit referendum ke waqt 2026 mein dekha gaya tha.

UK data releases par nazar rakhi jayegi, aur markets Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting ka bhi intezaar kar rahi hain jo 1 August ko hai. Agar data expected se kamzor nikla aur interest rate cut ke expectations phir se barh gaye, toh pound vulnerable ho sakta hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, aakhri Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) business confidence data Wednesday ko release hoga, aur markets ek slight improvement ki umeed kar rahi hain pichle mahine ke muqablay mein, jab manufacturing aur services sectors expansion territory mein hain. Is hawale se, Benjamin Nabarro, chief British economist at Citigroup, ne Friday ko weak retail sales data ka zikr karte hue kaha: “Agar economic recovery ek halki hawa se derail ho sakti hai, toh shayad ye itni mazboot nahi thi, jo underlying momentum par doubt utha sakta hai.”





Raat ko, US President Biden ne November ke presidential elections se withdraw hone ka elan kiya aur Democratic Party ke liye Vice President Harris ki nomination ka support kiya. MUFG ne comment kiya; “Jabke unka withdraw karne ka faisla recent weeks mein increasingly likely lag raha tha, isne American politics mein naye uncertainties ko janam diya hai November elections ke qareeb,” bank ne kaha. Bank ne ye bhi add kiya; “Overall, recent developments ko dekhte hue, market expectations ko significant tor par alter hota nahi dikhai deta ke Trump re-election ke liye track par hai, jab tak uski poll lead aane wale mahine mein chhoti na ho. Hum ek tougher race ko US dollar ke liye kam favorable dekhenge.”

GBP/JPY Pair ki Umeed

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY abhi bhi downward channel mein chal raha hai, aur bears ka control trend par mazid mazboot ho jayega agar 200.00 level toot jata hai, khaaskar agar Japan ka Forex currency market mein intervention yen ke exchange rate ko bachaane ke liye jari raha. Main ab bhi har upar ki level se GBP/JPY ko bechne ki preference rakhta hoon. Filhal, currency pair ke liye sabse nazdeek resistance levels 204.20 aur 206.00 hain.

British Pound (GBP) Tuesday ko European trading ke shuruat mein Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqable mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh girawat do wajah se ho sakti hai: ek to market ka risk-averse environment aur doosra speculation ke Bank of Japan agle hafte interest rates barhane wala hai. Risk-off sentiment Yen ko, jo ek safe-haven currency hai, ko boost kar raha hai aur Pound par pressure dal raha hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke rate hike ke mumkina khayal se Yen ki majbooti aur barh sakti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY pair ek aham support level 202.20 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh level 4-hour chart par 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke barabar hai, aur is level ke neeche girne se mazid kamzori ka signal mil sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi filhal 50 ke aas-paas lower-midfield mein hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair additional losses ka shikaar ho sakta hai. Recent girawat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY abhi bhi ek long-term uptrend mein hai jo ke early 2024 mein shuru hua tha. Yeh pair abhi haal hi mein 11 July ko 16-year high 208.10 tak pahuncha tha.





Agar current downtrend jari raha, to foran support 202.00 par mil sakti hai, jo ek psychological level hai. Is level ke neeche decisive break se decline ka raasta khul sakta hai towards June ka low 201.14. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/JPY kuch support dhundh kar rebound karti hai, to 205.77 ke aas-paas buying interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Is level ke upar break se 16-year high 208.10 ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai. Agar is resistance zone ke upar sustained move hota hai, to aage ke gains ka raasta khul sakta hai, aur yeh April 2008 ka high 209.00 tak pahuncha sakta hai. Aakhir mein, GBP/JPY ne kuch weakness dekhi hai recently, lekin technical indicators abhi tak decisively negative nahi hue hain. Lekin, 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche break se sellers ko zyada himmat mil sakti hai aur zyada sustained correction ho sakti hai. Pair ke aage ke direction ka ta'alluq market ke overall risk appetite aur Bank of Japan ke agle hafte ke action par hoga.

GBP/JPY ke liye correction aakhir kaar shuru ho gayi hai, aur lagta hai ke kal sellers ne price ko south ki taraf dheere dheere push kiya, jis ke natije mein ek chhoti bearish candle bani jo ke pichle din ke andar hi hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke aaj ek corrective southern movement ho sakti hai, lekin mein khud is movement par trade karne ka plan nahi kar raha. Agar ek deep correction hoti hai, toh mein mirror support level par apni nazar rakhoonga, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 200.539 par located hai.

Yahan do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke is support level ke qareeb ek reversal candle banne aur phir se growth shuru ho. Agar yeh plan work out karta hai, toh mein price ke resistance level 207.995 tak wapas aane ka intezaar karoonga. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate kar leti hai, toh mein aagey ki northern movement ki umeed karunga, jo ke resistance level 215.892 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb mein ek trading setup banne ki umeed karunga, jo ke aagey ke trading direction ko decide karne mein madad karega. Yeh bhi maan leta hoon ke jab price designated northern target ki taraf move karegi, toh southern rollbacks ho sakte hain, jinhe mein nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karne ka plan rakhta hoon, growth recovery ki umeed mein, jo ke global bullish trend ka hissa hai.

Dusra alternative option yeh hoga ke agar price 200.539 ke support level ke qareeb ja kar is level ke neeche fix ho jati hai, toh phir mein price ke 197.201 ke support level tak move karne ka intezaar karoonga, ya phir support level 195.044 tak. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga, expecting ke price phir se upward movement shuru karegi. Agar baat karein mukhtasir tor par, toh aaj ke liye mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke price nearest support level tak correction ke taur par south ki taraf move kar sakti hai, aur phir, mojooda global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, mein reversal candle ke banne aur price movement ke upar jane ka intezaar karunga.

THE CURRENCY PAIR GBP-JPY
Hello sabko. GBP/JPY European session mein mid-March ke baad apne lowest levels pe gir gaya hai. Yeh cross 208.11 se sharply slide kar raha hai, yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ki wajah se, jabke Bank of England rate cut ne sterling pe aur pressure add kiya hai. Strong bearish signals rising daily cloud, 200-day moving average ka break aur aaj ka 189.55 support ka break ne provide kiye hain.

Yeh pair July ke end tak red mein hone ke raaste pe hai, chaar hafte continuous red mein close hone ke baad, jo ke June 2016 se sabse bara monthly loss hai, aur yeh negative outlook ko add karta hai jab ek reversal pattern monthly chart pe form ho raha hai. Pair abhi 190.30 range mein hai, jahan se chhoti si corrective increase hui hai, aur wahan se fall continue hoga. Ab tak yeh assumption hai ke chhote upward impulse ke baad 194.10 range tak price girane ki koshish hogi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ka breakout ho jaye aur yeh uspe consolidate karne manage kar le, toh yeh buy karne ka signal hoga. 190.40 range ka false breakout bhi ho sakta hai aur uske baad hum short stops ke saath sales open kar sakte hain. Agar 190.50 ka breakout ho jaye toh strengthening wapas resume hogi.

187.80 pe support hai. Strong oversold daily indicators week ke end tak partial profit-taking ka sabab ban sakte hain, aur uptrends further weakness point karte hain. Broken 200-day moving average wapas initial resistance 191.74 pe aa gaya hai, uske baad support 196.83 pe hai jo ke stronger rebound ko limit karega aur bears ko game mein rakhega. Targets 185.66 aur 183.56 hain. RSI oversold hai. Ab rally hogi. Happy trading sabko!

GBP/JPY European session mein mid-March ke baad apne lowest levels pe gir gaya hai. Yeh cross 208.11 se sharply slide kar raha hai, yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ki wajah se, jabke Bank of England rate cut ne sterling pe aur pressure add kiya hai. Strong bearish signals rising daily cloud, 200-day moving average ka break aur aaj ka 189.55 support ka break ne provide kiye hain.
Yeh pair July ke end tak red mein hone ke raaste pe hai, chaar hafte continuous red mein close hone ke baad, jo ke June 2016 se sabse bara monthly loss hai, aur yeh negative outlook ko add karta hai jab ek reversal pattern monthly chart pe form ho raha hai. Pair abhi 190.30 range mein hai, jahan se chhoti si corrective increase hui hai, aur wahan se fall continue hoga. Ab tak yeh assumption hai ke chhote upward impulse ke baad 194.10 range tak price girane ki koshish hogi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ka breakout ho jaye aur yeh uspe consolidate karne manage kar le, toh yeh buy karne ka signal hoga. 190.40 range ka false breakout bhi ho sakta hai aur uske baad hum short stops ke saath sales open kar sakte hain. Agar 190.50 ka breakout ho jaye toh strengthening wapas resume hogi.
187.80 pe support hai. Strong oversold daily indicators week ke end tak partial profit-taking ka sabab ban sakte hain, aur uptrends further weakness point karte hain. Broken 200-day moving average wapas initial resistance 191.74 pe aa gaya hai, uske baad support 196.83 pe hai jo ke stronger rebound ko limit karega aur bears ko game mein rakhega. Targets 185.66 aur 183.56 hain. RSI oversold hai. Ab rally hogi. Happy trading sabko!



GBP/JPY shape hota hai UK Parliamentary Elections aur technical analysis indicators se. Construction PMI rate initially buyer activity ko support kar sakta hai, lekin broader expectation of a weakened UK Pound ek strategic sell stance ko prompt karta hai. By staying informed aur responsive to market shifts, traders apne aap ko advantageously position kar sakte hain
H1 timeframe chart par, resistance area dekha ja sakta hai jahan price FTR/DBD area ka wait kar rahi hai jo pehle support break karne ke baad new lower high form kar chuka hai. Is area ko SND traders (jaise ke main) market mein enter karne ke liye use karte hain kyunki is area mein humein beautiful Risk Reward mil sakti hai. Sell entry ke liye, aap pending sell limit order 196.73 ke price par rakh sakte hain, stop loss 197.70 par aur pehla take profit 191.20 par rakh sakte hain. Agar yeh area breakout ho jaye, to hum ek aur sell entry add kar sakte hain with target take profit at 185.55. Buy entry ke liye, aap 180.74 ke price par wait kar sakte hain with stop loss at 180.00 aur take profit ke liye hum next price confirmation dekh sakte hain.

**British Pound aur Japanese Yen Ka Analysis**
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ki wajah se risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke British Pound, ka upside restrained ho sakta hai. Safe-haven flows ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ko support diya hai, jo GBP/JPY cross ke upside ko limit kar raha hai.

Israeli forces ne Khan Younis ke paas operations ko continue kiya hai. CBC News ke mutabiq, Palestinian medics ne bataya ke Israeli military strikes ke bawajood, Khan Younis mein kam se kam 18 log mar gaye hain.

Japan ka parliament 23 August ko Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rate raise karne ke faislay par discuss karne ke liye ek special session bulane wala hai. Yeh session, jo lower house financial affairs committee ke zariye organize kiya gaya hai, mein BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ko bulane ki umeed hai, government sources ke mutabiq jo Reuters ne cite kiya hai.

GBP/JPY Tuesday ke European session mein 189.20 ke aas-paas positive ground par hai. 4-hour chart par cross negative hai, bearish RSI momentum indicator ke sath.

Pehla upside barrier 189.50 par hai; initial support level 186.48 par hai.

GBP/JPY cross Tuesday ko early European trading hours mein 189.20 ke aas-paas kuch buyers ko attract kar raha hai. Pound Sterling (GBP) ne traction gain kiya hai jab latest labor market data ne UK mein unemployment rate ko unexpectedly kam dikhaya hai.

UK ka Unemployment Rate April-June mein 4.2% par gir gaya hai, jo ke pehle 4.4% tha, Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke mutabiq. Economists ne figure ko 4.5% par increase hone ki umeed ki thi. Iske ilawa, Claimant Count Change July mein 135K se increase hui hai, jo ke June mein revised gain 32.3K se zyada hai, aur 14.5K ki estimation se kaafi zyada hai.

GBP/JPY 4-hour chart par bearish vibe ko unchanged rakhta hai kyunki yeh key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Lekin, further upside ko bhi rule out nahi kiya ja sakta kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) midline ke aas-paas 61.85 ke upar edge kar raha hai.

Agar upper boundary of the Bollinger Band near 189.50 par decisive break hota hai to yeh 192.00 psychological level tak rise dekh sakta hai. Upar diye gaye level ke upar follow-through buying 193.26 tak ja sakti hai, jo August 1 ka high hai.


Dusri taraf, August 9 ka low 186.48 initial support level ke roop mein act karta hai. Key contention level 185.55-185.60 zone mein aata hai, jo August 8 ka low aur Bollinger Band ka lower limit hai. Additional downside filter jo dekhna hai woh 182.81 hai, jo August 6 ka low hai.

**GBP/JPY Analysis: European Session Observations**
**Current Status**

GBP/JPY European session ke dauran mid-March ke baad se apne lowest levels par gir gaya hai. Yeh pair 208.11 se sharply slide hua hai, jiska sabab yen ki renewed strength aur Japanese interventions ho sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ka rate cut sterling par additional pressure daal raha hai.

**Bearish Signals**

Kuch strong bearish signals saamne aaye hain, jinmein shamil hain:
- Daily cloud pattern ka rise hona.
- 200-day moving average ke neeche break hona.
- Aaj 189.55 support level ke neeche break hona.

Yeh indicate karta hai ke pair downward trajectory par chal sakta hai, aur significant bearish outlook hai.

**Monthly Performance**

Pair July mahine ko red mein khatam karne ke raste par hai, aur chaar consecutive weeks se red mein band hua hai. Yeh trend June 2016 ke baad se sabse bada monthly loss hai, jo negative outlook ko mazid strengthen karta hai, jab monthly chart par reversal pattern ban raha hai.

Filhal, GBP/JPY 190.30 range mein trade kar raha hai ek slight corrective increase ke baad. Lekin assumption yeh hai ke choti upward impulse ke baad price 194.10 range ki taraf girne ki koshish karegi. Agar local maximum 194.00 ke upar breakout hota hai aur pair is level ke upar consolidate karta hai, to yeh buy signal provide karega.

Dusri taraf, 190.40 range ke aas-paas false breakout ho sakta hai, jo short positions ke liye tight stop-loss orders ke sath allow karega. Agar price 190.50 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh upward movement ke resume hone ka indication ho sakta hai.

**Support Levels**

187.80 par significant support hai. Strongly oversold daily indicators shayad week ke end tak partial profit-taking ko encourage karein, jabke uptrends aur bhi weakness suggest karte hain. Pehle broken 200-day moving average ab initial resistance ban gaya hai 191.74 par, aur additional support 196.83 par hai, jo stronger rebounds ko limit kar sakti hai aur bearish sentiments ko active rakhti hai. Targets ab 185.66 aur 183.56 par hain. RSI filhal oversold territory mein hai, jo potential rally ko indicate karta hai.

**Market Influences**

GBP/JPY ki movement UK Parliamentary Elections aur various technical analysis indicators se influence hoti hai. Construction PMI rates initially buyer activity ko support kar sakte hain; lekin broader expectations for a weakened UK Pound shayad strategic sell stance ko prompt karen. Market shifts ko monitor karke aur responsive rah kar traders apne positions ko advantageously position kar sakte hain.

**Trading Strategy**

H1 timeframe chart par ek resistance area FTR/DBD region mein bana hai, jahan price ab pehle support break karne aur nayi lower high banane ke baad wait kar rahi hai. Yeh area SND traders ke liye significant hai, kyunki yeh market mein enter karne ke liye ek achhi risk-reward opportunity provide karta hai.

**Sell Strategy**



Sell position enter karne ke liye, 196.73 par pending sell limit order place karne ka consider karein, stop loss ko 197.70 par set karein aur pehla take profit target 191.20 par rakhein. Agar area further breakdown hota hai, to additional sell entry ko add kar sakte hain, jo take profit ko 185.55 par target karega.

**Buy Strategy**