جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY TAJZIYA 24 MAY 2024

Yeh tasleem kiya jana chahiye ke ab waqt ke GbpJpy market ki halat mein kaafi mushkil dynamics nazar aa rahe hain, kharidari ki transactions ka aab o hawa hai, lagta hai ke peechle hafte ek bull trend tha sath hi is hafte bhi bullish market ka scene nazar aa raha hai ek bada time frame ke mutabiq kyunki trend ek uptrend ki nazar aa raha hai. Isliye meri raay hai ke agle trading doraan to behtar honay ke chances hain, khas taur pe kal ka candlestick 199.69 ke qareeb uthne ki sambhavna hai. Ab price ne ek neeche ki correction shuru ki hai. Kharidaron ki kamiyabi price ko neeche giraane ki koshish karte hue bikriyon ko rokne mein ek aur tezi denay lag rahi hai, lagta hai candlestick phir se 199.56 ke aas paas uthaya jayega. Pichle kuch dino ke market mein movments se lagta hai ke agla bullish mauqaa aa sakta hai





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Hafta ke aakhri doraan trading period mein, main market ki halat ka intezar karne ki raaay rakh raha hoon jo uthne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar candlestick 199.31 ke zone tak uth sakti hai, to main ek Buy position lena chahta hoon, maqsaad uncha area tak uthna hosakta hai. Lagta hai ke upar ki taraf trend abhi tak kaafi mazboot hai, jo meri raay mein agle hafte ke trading doraan bullish trend ka jari rehne ka signal hai. Candlestick ki halat jo bullishness ko jari rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur monthly low zone se nikal chuki hai, ye agle uptrend taraf ka market ka safar ho sakta hai. Umeed hai ke upar diye gaye market analysis traders ke liye ek rehnumai ban sake kyunke pichle hafte ka trend abhi tak Uptrend ki taraf stable tha.

Agar aapne GBP/JPY par ghalat ya sahi tha - to kehna mushkil hai, phir market faisla karega, lekin kuch badalna mushkil hoga... Acha din, lekin mujhe lagta hai maine ghalati kar di - price badh gayi hai, asal mein, kya central bank hastaksheb karegi?! Hal haal mein, GBPJPY ne qaribi do hafton se mazidat se barh rahi hai.

Lagbhag 191.8 se 199.6 tak - lagbhag 800 points!? Ye to bohot zyada hai, agar koi ne khareeda ho. Main din bhar kuch nahi dekh raha, isliye main ye pair chhod doon ga. Agar yen kamzor hona shuru ho jata hai, to aap seedha uth par sakte hain. Keh sakte hain ke dollar ke liye yen, main bilkul kaam nahi karna janta.... Meri tactics bebas hain, kabhi istemal hoti hain, lekin bager recoil ke chal sakti hain!
Hello sabko! Aaj se main gbpjpy dekh raha hoon. Kal ke close ne pehle din se unchi band de, aaj main upar ka trade karoonga. Behtareen jagah khareedne ke liye kal ka nichla price hoga. (198.23) Agar price na neeche jaye, to main ab waqt ke mutabiq open karonga. Gashti ke karwai se bachne ke liye ek stop ka istemal karta hoon agar anjaan disha me ghair mutawaqa price movement hoti hai aur ye (197.91) mein hoti hai. Meri tamam positions ko band kar ke kamaai mujhe (199.19) se zyada pasand aayegi.

Is thread ke rehnay walon ko salam! GBPJPY currency pair ki tajziya par. Aaj main is currency pair par short positions se trading se munafa hasil karna chahta hoon. Shart kaafi achi tarah puri hui jab aasmani price 199.160 central level 199.359 ko neeche se 6th gaya. Farokht karne walon ki taraf se activation hai. Main is current sales mein shaamil hone ka iraada rakhta hoon aur is se paisa kamane ki koshish karunga. Main short positions ko 198.362 ke level tak rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Lekin ye koi mukammal nishana na hoga kam hone ka. Ziada aaramdayak girao or haqeeqati munafa ke liye main doosre silsile ke nichle 197.365 level par nigaah dal raha hoon. Ye aaj ka mukhya girao nishana hoga. Agar aap is currency pair ko khareedte hain, to shayad 197.365 ke level neeche hoga. Is halat mein, aap market se kam az kam kuch ummeed kar sakte hain durustive rollback mein.

Salam aur munafa mand trading

GBP/JPY M15 Time Frame

M15 graph ke mutabiq linear regression channel ka order ooper ki taraf hai. Ye waziha karta hai ke kharidar ki taqat 199.802 ke level tak uthne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Maqsood tak phuchne par, movement ghate gi. Kamzor hone ke baais, volatility ikhtiyar ki jayegi, market fade shuru ho jayega, with correction kar lena zaroori hoga. Channel ka ooper wala hissa kharidne ke liye nahi samjha jana chahiye; aapko 199.142 tak correction ka muntazir rehna chahiye. Aap apne khareedari mein dakhil ho sakte hain kahan se? Agar ye 199.142 ke nichle mazbut ho jata hai, to bear apna aap dikhayega, jo market ko neeche le ja sakta hai. Isliye, is pe manfiyat ke saaniyat mein khareedari be interest ho jati hai. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bull kitna faalik hai; jitna zyada angle, utni zyada kharidar ki taqat. Aik mazbut channel angle aam tor par woh market news action ka pegham hota hai jo acha movement ke liye madadgar hota hai.




GBP/JPY H1 Time Frame

H1 par asal linear regression channel hai, aur main is ka istemal movement ka taayun karne ke liye karta hoon. M15 channel, madad karta channel, jo ab bulish tasveer ko mukamal karta, umeed hai barhta hua trend ko highlight karta hai. Channels ek hi raah mein chal rahe hain; ek bullish jazbat is aala ka matini hai. Agar signal kisi chhote muddat mein toot jata hai, to aapko 199.014 tak girane ka muntazir rehna chahiye. Jahan se aap apne khareedari par dobara ghor kar sakte hain 199.932 tak. Channel ke ooper ki haddi par, jab bull wahan hote hain, to main apni khareedari par hota hoon, jaise ke mujhe blade hote hain. Mera tarding ka usool H1 channel kay movement ke taraf ka kaam karna hai, kyun ke ye mera asal hai. Junior channel mein claity wasool karna acha hota hai dakhil hone aur taqatwar movement ke doran kam correction mein kaam karne ke doran.

Dosto, aaj aap sab ko khushguwar din ho. Pair - GBPJPY ke liye, qeemat aik bari taraqqi ke movement mein kharidaron ke dabao ke teht vikasit hone ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin mahaul ke local fluctuations mein Bullish rally ki kamzori hai, ab hum dekh rahe hain ke qeemat correction ki taraf ja rahi hai. Jo ke local levels - 199.85 ke ilaqe mein hai. Jab is range ke qareeb palatne ka formation hota hai, tab bullish raaste ka jari rehne par Buy positions mein dakhil hone ka acha mauqa hota hai. Positions se nikalne ka point Offer zone - 199.67 hoga. Lekin main ye bhi nahi keh raha ke aala astool tak instrument ka jari girna khatam ho jaye ga - 199.04 tak, ye aakhri Bull zone hai, jahan pe market ko palatne ki koshishen tarikh mein dekhi gayi hain. Mutasra range ko torne ke baad aur phir currency ko level ke neeche band karne ke baad, aap qeemat ka giravat jaari rakhne ke liye Sell mein dakhil hone ki koshish kar sakte hain, pehla maqsad Buyers ki tarikh shanakht karne ka hoga - 198.53 ko pur, lagao is of paramount importance.







GBP/JPY h4 Time Frame

GBP/JPY ke liye kal, qeemat confident bullish impulse ke sath apne shumal ki taraf ki harkat ko jari rakhti rahi, jis ka natija aik poori bulish candle ka ban jana tha, jo asani se pehle daily range ke uchayi ke ooper consolidate karne mein kamyab raha. Aaj main poora tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat ke nazdeek tar resistance levels ka kaam hoga, aur is maamle mein, jaise ke main ne pehle bhi bohot bar kaha hai, main resistance level par nazar rakhne ka irada karta hoon, jo 199.777 par hai aur resistance level, jo 200.539 par hai. In resistance levels ke nazdeek, situation ki taraqqi ke liye do scenarios hosakti hain. Pehla scenario keemat ko in levels ke upar consolidate karne ke saath, aur mazeed shumal ki taraf aage barhne ke saath hota hai. Agar yeh plan kaam kar jata hai, to main qeemat ko resistance level tak barhne ka intezar karunga, jo 207.995 par hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek main tarding setup ka intezar rakhunga, jo madad kare ga trading ke mazeed direction ko tay karna. Bila shuba, main tasleem karta hoon ke jab qeemat nishaniya farzi shumal ki pehli nishani tak pahunche gi, to south ki pullbacks ban sakti hain, jo main phir se shumal ki aur trend banane ki ummeed se, nazdeek support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karna chahta hoon. Keemat ka alternative plan jab resistance level 199.777 ya resistance level 200.539 ko test kare, ek turning candle ke sath aur price ki phir se niche ki taraf taraqqi ka nazariya bhi ho sakta hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ka correction rollback ka intezar rakhunga support level tak, jo 197.056 par hai ya support level tak, jo 195.044 par hai.

Subah se lekar dopahar tak, hum ne GBP-JPY jodi ke qeemat ke movement mein numaya upri raftar ko dekha hai. Yeh upar ki manzil dikhata hai ke market mein ek bullish momentum ke liye potential hai. Is trend ke madde nazar, agar qeemat mazeed barhti rahe to kafi muskila ke sath kehna ke GBP-JPY jodi qareebi mustaqbil mein apne upar ki harkat ko barkarar rakhe gi. Yeh mukhtasir qeemat ki harkat ye darust karti hai ke khareedne wale mojooda surat-e-haal mein market ka jazbat hain, jo GBP-JPY jodi ki qeemat ko barha rahe hain. Yeh mazeed barhne wale harkat mein kai factors shamil ho sakte hain, jin mein pasandida ma'ashiyati data, saiyasi istiqamat, ya market ke jazbat jo British pound ko Japanese yen se behtar samajhte hain.

Is tajziye ke roshni mein, aaj ki trading session mein ek khareedne ka order dena faydahmand sabit ho sakta hai. Ek khareedne ka order lagakar, aap GBP-JPY jodi ki mazeed upri harkat ka faida utha sakte hain aur munafa bhari trade kar sakte hain. Lekin, kisi bhi trade ko execute karne se pehle ehtiyaat se kam lena aur mukammal analysis karna zaroori hai. Abhi ke upri trend ummeedafarz lag raha hai, lekin market ke mahaulin tafreeha tor par tabdeel ho sakte hain, aur anjaane waqeat GBP-JPY jodi ke rukh par asar andaaz ho sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, aalam-e-aqdas ke mojooda maaliyat ke baray mein inform rahne aur central bank ki policies ke lehaz se naye raaste ka aham izhar ho sakta hai.

Aakhri mein, GBP-JPY jodi ki mojooda upri harkat traders ke liye aik mauqa hai ke wo khareedne ka order lagakar potential faide haasil kar sakein. Lekin, mahaul a’azmaish karna, mukammal analysis karna aur risk management ke tareeqon ko apply karna zaroori hai taake taqatwar forex market mein kamiyabi se chalkar sakein. Maloomati hawale se waqaiyat par mubasharat banaye aur achi soch samajh ke faislay kar ke traders aaj ke trading session mein munafa haasil karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Currency pair GBP/JPY 199.00 ke qareeb ek tang range me phansa hua hai. Japan se is hafte koi ahem maali dastavezat na aane ke baais, traders UK inflation figures (CPI) ka muntazir hain taakeh rahnumai mil sake. Japan ne apni kamzor ho rahi currency ko defend karne ke liye 60 billion yen kharch kiya hai, lekin Bank of Japan (BOJ) kisi official intervention ke bare me khamosh hai. Is transp[arency ki kami mein market me uncertainty hai. Ise mazeed badha kar, Japan se nedaye economic data aiye hain jo umeed se zyada kharab the. Unka pehla quarter ke GDP mein -0.5% tak ka contraction hua, analayst ki teha hui haqiqat se -0.4% zyada tha. Ye pehle quarter ke 0.1% growth ki downward revision ke baad aya hai jo 0.0% pe pahunch gaya hai.





Mehfuz tasweer ke mutabaq technical indicators pound ke lehaz se yen ke khilaf ek temporary uptrend sugest kar rahe hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 se upar hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne do mahinay ka aala maqam haasil kiya hai, jo agay ke dabao ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin stochastic oscillator "overbought" territory mein hai, jo ek possible correction ki taraf ishara karta hai, halankeh ye kuch waqt ke liye qaim reh sakta hai ek reversal se pehle. Asan alfaz mein, GBP/JPY market ek holding pattern me hai. Traders UK se key economic data ka muntazir hain taakeh mojooda trend ko tora ja sake. Jabke technical indicators ek temporary faida signal dete hain, "overbought" signal qareeb ke mustaqbil me ek possible reversal ki taraf ishara karta hai. Bank of Japan ke chup rehne se unki currency intervention ke baray mein market me mazeed uncertainty hai. Ikhtitami tor pe, dovish Boj meeting Japan sarkar par zyada dabao dalta hai ke yen ke barhte hue deflation ko rokne ke liye karwai kre, is liye GBPJPY apne upward trajectory mein jaari hai.

GBPJPY pair ka jaeza 22 May 2024 me kiya gaya. Jo ke abhi tak R1 resistance 198.75 se guzarna nahin ban saka, aisa lagta hai ke pehle EMA 50 ki taraf correction hona chahiye. Keemat bhi EMA 50 ke neeche correction ho sakti hai agar aaj British inflation data aur kuch aur data releases hue hain. Agar report ke natijay 2.1% ke mutabiq hote hain ya pehle ke 3.2% se kam hote hain, to GBPUSD pair ki keemat ko girawat ka saaya pivot point (PP) 196.74 tak le ja sakta hai. Magar, yeh note rakhen ke chal rahe trend ka rukh ab bhi bullish hai. Isi liye jab ek neeche ki correction hoti hai, yeh sirf ek secondary reaction banane tak mehdood hoti hai aur mutawaqqa keemat ka movement ab bhi upward rally jari rehta hai.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram jo ab level 0 ke aas paas hai, yeh dikhata hai ke momentum ke bare mein koi yaqeen nahi hai. Jaise ke histogram negative area mein lag raha hai, volume kafi wide nahi hai jo ke valid downtrend momentum dikhaye. Jabke, Stochastic indicator ke parameter ne overbought zone ke neeche cross kiya hai aur level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, yeh dikhata hai ke mojooda keemat ka downward correction hone wala hai. Misal ke tor par, agar parameter level 50 ko guzarne mein nakam raha aur phir cross hota hai, to keemat R1 resistance 198.75 ko test karne ke liye barh sakti hai aur resistance R2 199.84 ki taraf ja sakti hai kyunki fasla zyada door nahi hai.

Position entry setup:

Bullish trend conditions mein trend following strategy ka istemal karke trading options. Ek BUY entry position dhalne ke liye behtar hai ke keemat ko PP 196.74 ke aas paas correction hone ka intezaar kiya jaye taake UK inflation data ke release ke baad volatility ka saamna na karna pade. Yeh bhi confirm karna ke Stochastic indicator ke parameter level 50 ya oversold zone ko cross kar sakte hain. AO indicator ke histogram ko bhi level 0 ya positive area mein wapas lana zaroori hai jo mojooda trend ke rukh ke mutabiq uptrend momentum dikhata hai. Take profit resistance R1 198.75 aur support S1 195.65 ke qareeb rakhna stop loss ke taur par.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, sab doston. Umeed hai ke hum sab ke paas ek tajziya ka intizaam hai jo hum is hafte ke trading mein amal karenge, aur umeed hai ke aap sab zyada se zyada munafa haasil kar sakenge. Agla, chalte hain us mubahisa mawad mein jahan main gbpjpy pair ka tajziya bayan karunga, jo abhi tak upar ki taraf aa raha hai aur bullish phase mein jaari hai, lekin pareshani ki wajah se jo high level par test ho raha hai, keemat neeche correction hogi. Isliye, chaliye mazeed tafseel se samjhaate hain ke trendon ko kaise tasalsul karna chahiye sath hi trading signals ke baare mein jo maine niche ikhtisaar kiya hai. gbpjpy Uptrend

Trend classification

abhi tak acche se chal raha hai aur bechne walon ne current movement ko price resistance nahi diya hai, halaanki agar hum buyers ki taqat dekhen toh woh aaj bhi upward trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye mudabbir hain kyunki gbpjpy ke test kiya ja raha area abhi ek mazboot resistance hai jo keemat ko dobara kamzor kar sakta hai. Aur kyunki keemat ka barhna abhi tak khaas zyada nahi hai, sellers keemat ko neeche le sakte hain taake 197.00 ko support pe dobara test kiya ja sake. Phir, agar baad mein price gir pati hai aur bullish trend aata hai, toh yeh matlab hai ke buyers price ko current uptrend ke saath upar push karenge. Isliye, maine ek white box 197.00 k area mein mark kiya hai taake ek mazboot support area ka tasavvur ho sake.





Trading Signal

Main 197.00 level par ek buy limit position kholunga, aur agar mujhe kamiyabi se keemat ko 197.50 k area ke upar barha paata hoon, toh keemat 199.30 zone tak pohanchegi initial stage ke liye aur hum is area ko TP1 level ke tor par set kar sakte hain. Phir, agar aap position ko ziada dair tak rakhna chahte hain, toh humein yeh dekhna hoga ke jab price 199.30 zone mein dobara test karti hai, toh sellers se koi rukawat na ho, aur baad mein price 200.50 tak chalegi, jo ke hum TP2 level ke tor par istemal kar sakte hain.

Agle, agar wehshatnak manzar ka intezar karna ho, yaani agar keemat white box area ke neeche gir jaati hai, toh humein mazboor kar diya jaata hai ke 196.40 area mein stop loss daalne ke liye kyunki keemat ne aik ulta dikhaya hai, aur baad mein hum bechne ke liye taiyaar hote hain ek TP target ke liye 194.50 area mein jo ke ab H4 timeframe par sab se qareebi support hai. Aap sab doston ka tawajjo ka shukriya, jo meri bayan ko suna. Ummeed hai ke hum is haftay gbpjpy ke movement se munafa haasil kar sakenge.

khilaf mazeed barqarar qadam uthaya, jo aik trend ko jari rakhta hai jis ne Yen ko foreign exchange market mein mazbooti se kamzor kiya hai. Ye bhi UK se kuchh mukhtalif ma'ashi data ke bawajood aya hai. Jabke be rozgar dawayon mein thori izafat hui, to urooj par wage growth sehatmand rahi, investoron ke dil ko tasalli milti hai. Yen ke masail mein izafa, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka shak ho raha hai ke woh haal hi mein do martaba market mein dakhal andazi ki hai. Unki fa'aliyat ke reports ne mali karwaiyon par zyada kharch darust kiya, jo Yen ko kamzor karne ki koshishon se mutalliq ho sakti hai. Magar ye dakhal andaziyan mukhtalif asar dikhane lagti hain. GBP/JPY jodi hal hi mein 191.50 ke qareebi truck se 197.00 ko choo chuki hai, aik ahem beeta. Pehle BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke tajziyeat ke mutabiq markazi bank shayed apni agle interest rate ke izafay ko September tak ta'akhir de sakti hai. Ye intizar aur dekhte hue approach unhe July aur August mein ane wale ma'ashi data ko dekhne ki ijaazat de sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne BoJ ke sath taawun par zor diya hai taake milaap shuda foreign exchange policies ko mad e nazar rakha ja sake. Unhone yen ke trend ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakha hai aur zarurat par amal karne ke liye tayar hain. In koshishon ke bawajood, GBP/JPY jodi apni 16 saal ki unchi se kafi kam hai jo 200.50 ke qareeb thi, ab halat 196.47 se 198.57 ke darmiyan hain. Market ab bhi BoJ ke dakhal andaziyon ke asar ko apne andar samajhne mein masroof hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke US Federal Reserve ke rukhsati ko mutasir kiya gaya ho. Yen par musalsal dabao mazeed dakhal andazi ko Japani authorities se mutawaqa kar sakta hai. Technical indicators naye tabdeeli ka ishara dete hain. Jabke Average Directional Index (ADX) tajziyat ka haal hi ka uthao khatam hone ka ishara deta hai, to Relative Strength Index (RSI) independent hai. Magar Stochastic indicator tez ghatao dikhata hai, jise agar woh midpoint ki taraf barhta raha to Yen ke liye bearish mor aane ka ishara ho sakta hai

GBP/JPY currency pair ne kal ek qabal aala trading session ka samna kiya, jo 120 figure ke andar taiz rang mein thehra, khaaskar 150.85 se 151.50 tak range kar raha tha. Yeh harkat forex market ki dynamic tabiat aur currency pairs ke trade mein shaamil ho sakne wale volatility ko darshaati hai. 120 figure, jo aam tor par forex terminology mein makhsoos ek-sau-pip segment ke andar trading range ko darshane ke liye istemal hota hai, wahi jagah ittefaqan wahan hai jahan is pair ne faaliyat dekhi. Aksar, GBP/JPY ke liye support levels 151.430 aur 151.600 ke darmiyan mojood hote hain. Support levels woh keemat ke points hote hain jahan kisi asset ko kharidne ka interest milta hai, jo keemat ko mazeed girne se rokne mein madad karte hain. Ye levels traders ke liye ahem hote hain jo long position sthapit karna chahte hain ya phir jo pair kharidne ke liye muntakib dakhil karne ke liye potential entry points talaash kar rahe hote hain. Support level ke nichle boundary par 151.430 ek ahem keemat ke point ko darshata hai jahan kharidne ka interest pair ko stabilize kar sakta hai agar woh neeche ki pressure ka samna karta hai. Isi tarah, 151.600 par upper bound ek aur support ka layer ka kaam karta hai, jisse yeh zahri hai ke is range ke andar currency pair ke liye mazboot safety net mojood hai.

Is ke ilawa, pehle ke din ke trading range mein jo pair ne 150.85 se 151.50 tak movement dekhi, yeh ek mufassil movement range ko darshata hai, jo ke consolidation phase ko zahir karta hai. Consolidation phases aksar ahem market moves ke pehle aate hain jab traders positions ko ikhatta karte hain ek breakout ya breakdown ka intezar karte hue is range se. Yeh kehkashan hai ke pair apne resistance levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai jo ke indicate karta hai ke ek breakout upward ki taraf mumkin hai, khaaskar agar economic data ya geopolitical developments British Pound ko Japanese Yen ke muqable mein behtar man kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, macroeconomic factors aur market sentiment mein bhi GBP/JPY currency pair ko mutassir karne mein ahem kirdar hote hain. Misal ke tor par, Bank of England aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan interest rate differentials, sath hi GDP growth rates, inflation data, aur employment figures jaise mutafarriq economic indicators trader expectations aur market movements ko shakl dene mein qawi asar rakhte hain. Geopolitical events, jaise Brexit developments ya Japan ki economic policy mein tabdiliyan, bhi is currency pair par barre asar daalti hain.

Ikhtitami taur par, GBP/JPY currency pair ke haal hil ki trading activity 120 figure ke andar, sath hi abhi ke position key resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan, traders ke liye ek mukhtasar pal se mutaliq hai. In levels ko qareeb se nigaah rakhna trading ke faislon ko sahi tarah se lena ke liye bunyadi ho ga. Faaham karna ke bara maholi muasharti context aur aane wale economic events ka zehen mein rakhna traders ki salahiyaton ko is plex aur dynamic market mein navigaite karne mein madad gar sabit hoga.

GBP/JPY H-1 Timeframe Tahlil:

Ghantay bhar ke chart par, keemat ek uthne wale channel ke andar hai. Aaj keemat ne is channel ke nichle haddi tak pohanch gai, jis par keemat ne neeche ki taraf se tor diya, lekin girawat jaari rakhna mumkin na tha, keemat mud mud karne lagi aur phir se upar ki taraf chalne lagi. Upar chalte hue, keemat ne uthne wale channel ke upper border tak pohancha, yeh level 198.50 hai. Ab yeh mumkin hai keemat ulta palat jaye aur is channel ke nichle border tak girawat ho sakti hai, yeh 197.47 ke level par hai. 197.10 range ka false breakout ho sakta hai us ke baad, aur mazboot hona jari rahe ga. Shayad 197.80 range mein rukawat ho, phir girawat jaari rahegi. Humare paas bechne walon se mazboot dabao hai, aur keemat 197.00 ke range se neeche gir sakta hai, behtareen yehi hoga ke bech den. Jab hum 197.00 ke range se tor kar, us ke niche jam jate hain, yeh ek bechne ka signal hoga. Agar 197.80 ke range se tor kar, tezi jaari rahti hai aur aap khareed sakte hain. Main 197.05 ke breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon aur jab yeh hota hai, tab bechna mumkin hoga. Humare 194.90 range mein bhi ja sakte hain aur wahan se, tezi jari rahegi. Agar aaj ke halaat se upar ka koi move hota hai, to shayad aage bhi jari rahe, tezi mazid jari rahe sakti hai. Shayad 197.80 ke upar jam jaye, phir yeh khareedne ka signal hoga. Hilte hue GBP/JPY ke rate ke baad haal hil ka nichla correction abhi tak jari hai.

Britani Paon ke liye aik musbat lahar mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ne jumairat ko pehle haftay mein girne ke baad 197.00 ke level tak wapas chadhai ki. Yeh phir tezi se badhne ki wajah Japan se mayoos kun ma'ashiyati data tha. Japan ki ma'ashi halat pehle quarter mein tawajah ke mutabiq -0.4% se zyada -0.5% gir gayi, jise yen ko mazeed kamzoor kardia. Yeh pecheeda us quarter ke 0.1% se 0.0% tak thori se kam hone ke baad aya. Is hafte ke baqi daur ke liye kisi bari ma'ashi shanakhto ka intezam na hone ki wajah se, ab traders agle haftay UK ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) infalation data ke announce hone par nazar rakh rahe hain. Yeh data, sath hi Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ka taqreer shamil hai, jise Bank ke ma'ashi policy stance mein kisi tabdeeli ki isharaat ke liye tawajah se suna jayega. Governor ka next Tuesday London School of Economics mein taqreer honay wala hai. GBP/JPY pair ne haal hi mein acha daur chalaya hai, jo ke uske das dinon mein nauvin winning session hai.

Yeh barhana Bank of Japan ka currency market mein dakhal dene ke baad aya. Haal ki keemat ki karwai dono currencies ke pre-intervention levels ki gradual wapasai ko dikhate hai. Magar chinta hai ke Japan ki doosri dakhal ke imkanat par hain, khas tor par unke hal ke mazoor ma'ashi figures dekhte hue.

Teknik nishanat abhi GBP/JPY ke liye ek maizbani ke trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin is momentum mein kami ke nishan bhi hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX), zyada ke zahir hone ke bawajood, zyada uchi highs nae record kar raha hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne darmiyan ke upar hai, jo ke bullish pressure ko tasdeeq karta hai, lekin abhi tasfiya hai. Stochastic indicator, phir bhi ek musbat ishara de raha hai, jisse ek crossover aur potenial upar chadhahi ho sakti hai. Agar yeh harkat mazbooti hasil kare, to yeh moujooda maizban trend ka mazbooti ke ishare honge.




Britani Paon ke liye musbat tehwar mein tabdeeli aai, GBP/JPY currency pair ne jumairat ko, pehle haftay mein jhatak kar, 197.00 ke level tak pohanch gaya. Yeh farogh Japan se aye mayoos karnay wale ma'ashi data ke piche aya. Japan ke ma'ashi shorat pehle 'quarter' mein -0.4% se barh kar -0.5% gir gayi, pehlay quarter ke growth ko 0.1% se 0.0% tak mazeed kamzor kardia. Is haftay ke doran koi bari ma'ashi nishan dahi ke program na hone ki wajah se, traders ab agle haftay UK ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflasi data ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh data, sath hi Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ki taqreer bhi shamil hai, jo Bank ke ma'ashi policy stance mein kisi tabdeeli ki ashara ho sakegi. Governor ka Tuesday ko London School of Economics mein taqreer honey wala hai.

GBP/JPY pair haal mein mehngaai ke bharpoor dauron ke baad, saatvein winning session mein mubtila hai. Yeh 'tola' Bank of Japan ke dakhal se pehle ke levelon ki gradual madad se wapasati dikhata hai. Magar paish hai ke Japan ka dobara dakhal dene ka khatra bhi barqarar hai, khas tor par inke halat ke kamzor ma'ashi figures ki roshni mein.

GBP/JPY: 200 agla resistance point hai

Yen ki mazbooti ke jariye, Japan ke jaldi se market mein dakhal dalne ke chupke se dhamakay ne bulls ko GBP/JPY ke liye ada kiya, jahan GBP/JPY resistance ki taraf badh raha hai 198.90 ki taraf, jo ke 200.00 par aik psycological resistance hai. Trading pichle mahine khatam hui thi, aur agar koi saboot na milay ke Japan jald hi forex markets mein dakhal dalne wala hai, to yeh wahan turn ho sakta hai.

UK 10 saal ke sarkari bond yields 4.15% uth gaaye the ummed hai ke Thursday ke consumer price index report ke agle honay se interest rate cut ka ishara ho. UK ke saalana inflation ka imkaan hai ke April mein 2.1% tak slow ho, Bank of England ke 2% target ke qareeb. Core inflation ka imkaan hai ke 3.7% tak giray, jo ke October 2021 se kam hai.

Amerika mein, haal hil mein inflaition mein kami aur kamzor retail sales ne umeed ko barha diya hai ke Federal Reserve is saal interest rates kam kardega.






Aur stock trading company platform level. FTSE 100 ek naye record ki taraf a raha hai. Britain ke FTSE 100 ne Monday ko 8,440 points tak pohanch gaya, pichle haftay ke all-time high ke qareeb, jab markets Federal Reserve aur Bank of England se interest rate cuts ka ahem qdar tajziya jari rakhte rahe, bade mining industry ki madad se.

Aaj ka GBP/JPY forecast:

GBP/JPY bullish raha as seen on the daily time frame chart, considering its recent gains were enough to push all technical indicators towards severely overbought levels and strong selling. Agar Japan FX market mein dakhal dale, to ek shutdown activate kiya ja sakta hai takay faida uthaya ja sake, is se pehle ke bulls pair ko 200.00 par psychological resistance tak pohancha sake, khas kar agar UK inflation data umeed se zyada mazboot aya.

GBPJPY pair ki Taknikati Tahlil

Rozana ka chart

Keemat mazbooti se aage ke trend mein jari hai, ab yeh ek naya resistance level tak pohanch gayi hai jise keemat seedha tor par tor sakhti hai ya neeche correct honay se pehle wapas kar sakti hai takay resistance ko torne ki koshish kare.
Is mahine, jodi ki keemat ne bullish pattern ke andar trade shuru kiya, lekin keemat mahine ke shuru mein resistance zone mein thi, jahan yeh channels ki upper lines ka samna kar rahi thi.
Keemat gir gayi, aur girawat ke doran mahine ka pivot level jo 195.86 tha, tor diya gaya. Keemat lower channel lines tak pohanchi aur mahine ka support level jo 191.20 tha tak chali gayi aur oopar ki taraf mod aayi, jisko mazbooti se support mila jo keemat ko mahine ke opening level tak pohanchaya aur usay upar bhi tor diya.

Ab keemat dobara upper channel lines ka samna kar rahi hai, aur keemat inhein tor kar agay badh sakti hai aur 201.77 level tak ja sakti hai, ya mahine ka pivot level tak gir sakti hai aur phir dobara uthne ki koshish kar sakti hai.




Mali hawale se, Japani yen par barqarar dabao ke sath, GBP/JPY keemat apne zyada se zyada aage barhne wale raste par rahi aur 198.60 resistance ke aas paas stablize hui, jo ke taknikati indicators ko zyada saturation levels ki taraf le gayi kharid ke liye. Aam trend bullish reh sakta hai jab tak Japan mein currency markets mein nai dakhal na ho jo keemat ki aur girawat rokne ke liye karwai karega, jo ke Japani maeeshat ko nuqsaan pohancha sakta hai. Yeh dakhal sakhti se kharid ke operations ko la sakti hai GBP/JPY keemat ke liye, trend chand waqt mein bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh Japani dakhal aur investor confidence ke maamle par mabni hai, amal mein.

Is ka beech mein. Investors samjhaute par rahe the ke kya Bank of Japan is hafte apni surprise kar ke govt bond purchases ko regular buying operation mein kam karega ya nahi. Kamzor yen aur Japan aur America ke darmiyan yields mein farq ke background ke khilaf, Bank of Japan ne ek pehle se choti rakam ke debt ko 5 se 10 saal ki lian offer ki thi pehli operation ke mukable. Yeh baat barha ki wapas yehi ho sakta hai tak US inflation data jo budh ko yen aur yield gap par dabao ko halka karne wala tha.

Jumma ke din, GBP/JPY currency pair ne ahem upward movement ka samna kia, jo taqatwar bullish momentum ko darust kar raha tha. Din ke liye keemat ke amal ne saaf tor par positiviti ka samna kia, jab market ne pair ko pur umeed tor par uttar ki taraf push kia. Jab trading aage barhti rahi, bullish sentiment bartari se domine kar rahi thi, jo rozana ka chart deikh kar mazboot bullish candlestick ka peyda hojana tha. Din ki trading session ne GBP/JPY pair ko pehle hi quwaton ke nishan dekhne diye the. Jaise session guzarta raha, buyers ne market ko dominate kia, keemat ko barhane ke liye izafa hote hue bharak uthane lagay. Din bhar qaim rahne wali upward movement ne ek mazboot bullish candlestick ka peyda hojana tha, jo market ki umeedi aur mazboot kharidari ke interest ko reflect kar raha tha.

197.056 resistance level ke upar tak ke taknikati tor se breakout ahem hai. Yeh aksar yeh nishan deta hai ke market mein naye bullish phase ka ibteda ho raha hai, jo zyada buyers ko attract karta hai jo mazeed upward movement ka intezar kar rahe hote hain. Yeh breakout aksar stop-loss orders ko bhi trigger kar sakta hai jo pair par short the, jo kharidari dabao ko barhate hain aur upward trend ko mazboot karte hain. Iske ilawa, iss resistance level ke upar consolidation yeh darust karta hai ke market ke participants higher price range ke saath comfortable hain. Yeh comfort level bullish trend ka mustahkam rehne ke liye ahem hai. Bina iske, keemat jald hi resistance level ke neeche laut sakti hai. Magar iss mamle mein, consolidation yeh ishaara deta hai ke bulls ne control hasil kar lia hai aur anay wale sessions mein keemat ko mazeed buland karne ki sambhavna hai.

Mukhtasir tor par, Jumma ke din ka trading session GBP/JPY pair ke liye faisla kun bullish movement ke saath mukammal bullish candlestick ka peyda hojana tha. Keemat ne sirf utter ki taraf tezi dikhai, balkay 197.056 critical resistance level ke upar consolidation bhi hasi. Yeh breakout aur subsequent consolidation mazboot bullish sentiment ko aur bazaar ke dynamics mein tabdeeli ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai, jo keh raha hai ke pair qareebi maah mein apna upward safar jari rakhega. Traders ko is level ko tawaja se dekhna chahiye, kyunke ab yeh naya support area ka kaam kar sakta hai jo future price action mein pivotal kirdar ada kar sakta hai.