جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

British Pound (GBP) ko early European trading mein Tuesday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Yeh girawat do asar ki wajah se hai: ek risk-averse market environment aur Bank of Japan ke agle hafte interest rates barhane ke speculation. Risk-off sentiment Yen, ek safe-haven currency, ko boost kar raha hai jab ke Pound par pressure dal raha hai. Mazeed, agar Bank of Japan agle hafte rates barhata hai, to yeh Yen ko aur mazbooti de sakta hai Pound ke muqablay mein. Technically, GBP/JPY pair ek key support level 202.20 ke qarib hover kar raha hai. Yeh level 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke sath coincide karta hai 4-hour chart par, aur is ke niche break hona mazid weakness ko signal kar sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi lower-midfield mein 50 ke around hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair mazid losses ke liye vulnerable ho sakta hai. Recent girawat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ek long-term uptrend mein hai jo early 2024 mein shuru hua tha. Haqeeqat mein, pair ne recently 16 saal ka high 208.10 ko July 11 ko reach kiya tha.
Agar current downtrend jari rehta hai, to immediate support 202.00, ek psychological level, par aa sakta hai. Is level ke niche ek decisive break June low 201.14 ki taraf decline ke liye raasta khol sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/JPY kuch support paakar rebound karta hai, to kuch buying interest 205.77 ke around ho sakta hai. Is level ke upar ek break 16 saal ka high 208.10 ka retest karne le ja sakta hai. Sustained move is resistance zone ke upar mazeed gains ke liye raasta bana sakti hai, jo potential April 2008 ka high 209.00 ko reach kar sakti hai. Conclusion mein, GBP/JPY ne recently kuch weakness dekhi hai, lekin technical indicators ab tak decisively negative nahi hue hain. Haan, 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke niche break sellers ko mazbooti de sakta hai aur ek zyada sustained correction le aa sakta hai. Pair ka future direction market mein overall risk appetite aur Bank of Japan ke potential action par depend karega agle hafte.

**GBP/JPY ka Peshgoi: Bearish Trend Jari Hai**
GBP/JPY exchange rate doosre musalsal din k liye downward correction trend mein hai, aur girawat ka silsila is maah ki sab se neechi support level 201.88 tak barh gaya, aur phir likhtay waqt 203.10 level par tha aur naye price trend ka intizar hai. Reliable Trading Company ke platform ke mutabiq. British pound ne aam tor par is saal G10 currencies mein apni position ko sab se mazboot banaya hai, aur ING Bank ne ishara kiya ke trade-weighted index ab Brexit referendum se pehle 2026 mein haseel ki gayi level se sirf 3% kam hai.

Market sentiment abhi bhi mazboot hai, magar is maah mein long positions ke rebound se currency ek sharp correction ke liye vulnerable ban jaati hai. Forex Market Trading ke mutabiq. GBP/USD exchange rate ne 1.2900 par support paaya aur ibtedai tor par 1.2935 tak recover kiya.

Kul mila kar, British pound mein long positions ke izafa ek ahem mawad rahega. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ke latest COT data ke mutabiq, non-tradable long positions British pound mein mazeed barh gayi hain. Open interest ne aik week mein record high hit kiya, aur long positions is haftay record high ko chhu gayi, 130,000 contracts se zyada. Value ke lehaz se, long positions bhi record high $10.77 billion tak pohonch gayi.

Iss peechey manzar ke saath, British data ki release ko ghore se dekha jayega, aur market Bank of England ki monetary policy meeting jo ke 1 August ko hone wali hai, ka bhi intizar kar rahi hai. Agar data umeed se kamzor aya aur rate cuts ke expectations mazeed barhti hain, toh pound vulnerable ho jaye ga. Economic calendar ke mutabiq. Latest PMI business climate data Wednesday ko release kiya jaye ga, aur market maah dar maah buniyad par thodi behteri ki umeed kar raha hai, jis mein manufacturing aur services expansion range mein hain.

Neechey daily chart ke taraqqi ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY pair bearish channel mein qaim hai aur bears ka trend par qabza 200.00 level ke tootne ke baad mazeed mazboot ho jaye ga, khaaskar agar Japan mazeed major currencies ke muqable yen ke girnay ko rokne ke liye foreign exchange mein mudakhlat karta rehta hai. Mein abhi bhi GBP/JPY ko kisi bhi bullish level par sell karna pasand karta hoon. Filhal, next resistance levels 204.20 aur 206.00 hain

GBP/JPY ke exchange rate mein haali mein kami ke baad achanak se ek rebound dekhne ko mila hai. Thursday ke trading session ke douran, pound wapas se ahm 203.00 mark ke upar break hua, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pohanch gaya. Ye turnaround Japan ke authorities ke possible intervention ke hawale se chali afwahon ke darmiyan aya. Halanke Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne koi official confirmation nahi di, lekin BOJ ke financial operations mein izafa unke pehle ke forecasts ke mukable mein aik tabdeeli ka ishara karte hain. Kamzor hoti yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye barhata hua mehenga ho raha hai.
Isi waqt, local economic data releases mix signals bhej rahe hain. UK ka average data jo Thursday ko release hua, expectations ke mutabiq tha, lekin market forecasts aane wale British retail sales mein 0.4% kami ki pegham de rahe hain, jo pehle ke 2.9% izafa ke bilkul baraks hai. Japan ka national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hone wale hain. Halanke inflation pehle ke releases se zyada hone ki umeed hai, lekin shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se door hone pe majboor nahi karega. Ye, aur doosri badi currencies ke muqable mein yen ki pehle se kamzor position, Japanese currency ke mazeed girne ki nishani hai.

Technical indicators mazeed complex tasveer pesh karte hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (shayad GBP/JPY ko refer kar raha hai) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support dhoonda, jo potential bounce ki nishani hai. Magar price ab bhi 200-hour moving average (EMA) 204.82 ke neeche hai, jo selling pressure dobara shuru hone pe aur girawat ka ishara karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed de raha hai, kyunki price 50-day moving average 201.38 ke upar hold kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, bids (kharidne ki offers) long-term 200-day moving average 192.18 se kaafi upar hain, jo underlying buying interest ko zahir karti hain.

Nateeja ye hai ke GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Jahan pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ke intervention ke potential se future direction mein uncertainty barh rahi hai. Aane wale economic data releases aur technical analysis aane wale dinon mein dekhne layak key factors honge.

Dusre haftay ke liye lagataar, British pound aur Japanese yen (GBP/JPY) ke daam neeche ke rukh par hain jahan nuqsan 201.88 support level tak barh gaye hain, jo ke aik mahinay ka sabse neecha level hai, aur yeh 203.10 level ke qareeb tehri hain jab yeh tajziya likha gaya, aur kisi naye cheez ka intezar hai. Bharosemand trading companies ki platforms ke mutabiq... pound ne is saal G10 currencies ke tor par apni position ko mazboot kiya hai, aur ING Bank ke mutabiq trade-weighted index ab sirf 3% neecha hai un levels se jo Brexit referendum se pehle 2026 mein dekhe gaye thay.
UK ke data releases ko nazar mein rakha jayega, kyun ke markets Bank of England ki monetary policy meeting ka bhi intezar kar rahe hain jo 1 August ko hogi. Pound kamzor ho sakta hai agar data tawakku se kamzor aaye aur interest rate cut ki umeedein barh jayein. Economic calendar ke mutabiq... latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) business confidence data Wednesday ko release hoga, jahan markets pechle mahinay se thoda behter tawakku kar rahe hain jahan manufacturing aur services sectors expansion territory mein hain. Is hawale se, Benjamin Nabarro, chief British economist Citigroup ke, ne weak retail sales data Friday ko point out karte hue kaha: “Agar economic recovery halka jhatka lagne se derail ho sakta tha, toh yeh ziada strong nahi tha jo ke underlying momentum pe shakk dalta hai.”

Raat bhar, US President Biden ne elaan kiya ke woh November ke presidential elections se dastbardaar ho rahe hain, aur Vice President Harris ko Democratic Party ke liye nominate kiya. MUFG ne comment kiya; “Jab ke unka faisla dastbardari ka recent hafton mein ziada likely nazar aa raha tha, isne November elections se pehle American politics mein naye uncertainties daal diye hain,” unhone kaha. Bank ne izafa kiya; “Overall, recent developments seem unlikely to significantly alter market expectations ke Trump phir se election jeetne ki rah par hain agar unki poll lead agle mahinon mein kam hoti hai. Hum tough race ko US dollar ke liye kam favorable dekhenge.

GBP/JPY pair ke liye umeed

Nichey wale daily chart ki performance ke mutabiq, British pound aur Japanese yen GBP/JPY ka daam abhi bhi downward channel mein hain, aur bears ka trend par control 200.00 level tor kar mazboot hoga, khaaskar agar Japan forex currency market mein mudakhlat jari rakhta hai taake yen ke exchange rate ko baqi badi currencies ke against aur girne se roka ja sake. Main abhi bhi har upward level se GBP/JPY bechna pasand karta hoon. Filhal, sabse qareebi resistance level

Frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne

GBP/JPY mein price confidently northward push karti rahi, jiska natija ek aur bullish candle ke shakal mein nikla jo peechle din ke range ke body ke upar close hui. Overall, mere plans is instrument ke liye unchanged hain, aur mein resistance level par nazar rakhta hoon, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 207.995 par hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakti hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur further north move kare. Agar ye plan play out karta hai, toh mein price ko resistance level 215.892 ke taraf advance karne ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ke form hone ka intezar karunga jo agla trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Beshak, mazeed door ke northern targets ka possibility hai, lekin mein unko is waqt consider nahi kar raha kyunke unki quick realization ki prospects nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario ye ho sakti hai ke price jab resistance level 207.995 ke qareeb aaye toh ek reversal candle form ho aur southern movement resume ho jaye. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, toh mein price ko support level 200.539 ya support level 197.201 ke taraf wapas aane ka intezar karunga, within the framework of forming a global bullish trend. Beshak, mazeed door ka southern target bhi ho sakta hai, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 195.044 par hai, lekin agar designated plan realized hota hai,
GBPJPY ki qeemat niche aaye gi.
Dono taraf se trading volumes me izafa hota hai jab major economic events ya data releases hoti hain. Jaise ke UK ke inflation figures, employment data, aur BOJ (Bank of Japan) ke monetary policy statements. In events par focus karke, traders apni positions ko accordingly adjust karte hain.
Iss jang-e-muqabla mein emotions ka bhi bohot bara role hai. Jab market volatile hoti hai toh traders ke liye apne nerves ko control mein rakhna mushkil ho jata hai. Aksar greed aur fear ke emotions in traders ke decisions ko influence karte hain. Is liye, discipline aur risk management ke bina trading mein kamyabi mushkil hai.
Aik aur dilchasp pehlu ye hai ke aaj kal automated trading systems aur algorithms bhi is market ka hissa hain. Ye bots human traders ke patterns ko analyse karke lightning speed par trades execute karte hain. Inki wajah se market movements aur zyada unpredictable ho sakti hain.
Aakhir mein, GBPJPY market ka ye badalta manzar hamesha traders ke liye aik challenging aur exciting battlefield bana rahta hai. Har waqt naye trends aur developments ke sath, ye market sirf un logon ke liye profitable ho sakti hai jo informed aur strategic decisions lete hain. Trading ek aisi skill hai jo waqt ke sath improve hoti hai, aur is market mein sirf wahi log

Frame par din bhar ke tajwez kharidariyon ka yeh tajwez hai ke 156.200 aur 156.340 ke sahara darjaton par mutabiq kharidariyon par intehai tehqiqat ke sath munfarid karein. In tradeon ka maqsad 157.500 par rakha gaya hai, jisse faida uthane ke liye ek wazeh maqsad milti hai. Is ke ilawa, ek 155.795 par stop-loss risk ko manage karne aur badi nuqsaan se bachane mein madad karta hai. Is munazzam tareeqe ko mazid taraqqi dene ke liye, traders ko technical indicators ke sath mukhtasir mukhtasirat bhi faraham kar sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI),




Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands waghera, jo sahara darjaton se ooper uthne ke liye maqami surat-e-hal ko taeyeen karne mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Agar RSI sahara darjaton ke qareeb overbought ilaqon mein hai, to yeh ek mozu ummeed ka ishara ho sakta hai, kharidari trade mein dakhil hone ka faisla sath sath faraham karta hai. Isi tarah, agar qeemat aik moving average ke qareeb hai jo qadeem taur par sahara ka kaam karta hai, to yeh trade setup par mazeed aitmaad faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko keemat ki harkat ko qareeb se nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jab yeh sahara darjaton ke qareeb hoti hai. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji sahara darjaton ke qareeb pehle signs faraham kar sakte hain ek mozu ulte ka. Ye patterns aksar yeh batate hain ke bechne ki dabao kam ho rahi hai aur kharidari ka dil nikal raha hai, jo sahara darjaton ko zyada pakka banata hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke H1 time frame par din bhar ki kharidari ke liye, 156.200 ka pehla sahara darja aur 156.340 ka doosra sahara darja par kharidari ko ghor kiya ja sakta hai, ek maqsad 157.500 par aur ek 155.795 par stop loss se, aik achhi seerat ka nizam ho sakta hai. Ye tareeqa maqami dakhil hone ke nuktae nazar ko jama karta hai, aik wazeh maqsad, aur sound risk management. Magar, market ki haalaat ke mutalliq maloomat haasil rakhna aur technical analysis tools ka istemal karke tradeon mein kamiyabi ke ihtimam ko barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Is tarah se, traders apne chances ko barhane mein kamiyabi ke imkaanat ko barha sakte hain jabke apne

GBP/JPY PAIR REVIEW
Dusray hafta bhi lagatar, British pound aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan jo price hai (GBP/JPY), woh neeche ki taraf chal rahi hai, aur 201.88 ke support level tak losses dekhne ko mili hain, jo ek mahine ka sabse kam level hai. Analysis ke waqt price 203.10 ke level par stable ho gayi hai, aur nayi cheezon ka intezar hai. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... pound ne is saal G10 currency ke tor par apni position mazboot ki hai, aur ING Bank ke mutabiq trade-weighted index ab sirf 3% neeche hai 2026 Brexit referendum se pehle ke levels se
Sentiment abhi bhi strong hai, lekin is mahine long positions mein izafa hone ke baad currency ek tezi se correction ke liye vulnerable hai. Forex market trading ke mutabiq... GBP/USD exchange rate ko 1.2900 ke qareeb support mili aur ek initial net recovery 1.2935 tak hui. Magar Scotiabank abhi bhi sterling ke liye broadly positive hai; “Daily candlestick pattern ek potential ‘Harami’ signal dekh raha hai jo aaj trading ke close par confirm hota hai to 1.2900/10 par stronger support indicate karega. Resistance 1.2970/75 aur 1.3045/50 par hai
Isi waqt, pound aur euro ke darmiyan exchange rate (GBP/EUR) 1.1880 tak barh gaya. Aam tor par sterling long positions mein izafa ek ahem discussion point rahega. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ke latest COT data ke mutabiq, pound ke non-commercial long positions mein mazeed izafa record hua hai. Ek hafte mein positions mein record jump aur 130,000 contracts se zyada long positions ka record high raha. Value ke lehaz se, long positions bhi $10.77 billion ka record high tak pohonch gayi hain
Is silsile mein, Rabobank ne comment kiya: “British pound mein net long positions teesre hafte bhi lagatar mazeed izafa dekha gaya hai, jo long positions mein izafa ke wajah se hai.” …Yeh data sentiment mein shift ko darshaata hai jo Britain ke general election ke baad dekha gaya, lekin agar long positions ko trim kiya gaya to sharp correction ka risk bhi barh jata hai
Is context mein, UK data releases ko closely monitor kiya jayega, kyunki markets Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting ko bhi dekhenge jo 1 August ko hai. Pound vulnerable hoga agar data expectations se weak nikla aur interest rate cut expectations dobara build hone lagi. Economic calendar ke mutabiq... latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) business confidence data Wednesday ko release hogi, aur markets thoda net improvement expect kar rahe hain pichle mahine ke comparison mein, manufacturing aur services sectors ke expansion territory mein hone ke saath. Is context mein, Citigroup ke chief British economist Benjamin Nabarro ne Friday ko weak retail sales data ko point out kiya aur comment kiya: “Agar economic recovery ko halki si hawa bhi derail kar sakti thi, to yeh itni strong nahi thi jaisa socha gaya tha, jo underlying momentum par shak dal sakti hai

Doosray haftay kay liye lagataar, British pound ki qeemat Japanese yen (GBP/JPY) ke muqablay mein neeche ja rahi hai, aur ye nuqsanat 201.88 support level tak pohnch gayi, jo ek maheenay ka sabse kam hai, aur abhi 203.10 level ke qareeb hai jab yeh tajziya likha gaya, aur koi naye updates ka intezar hai. Mo'tabar trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... pound ne is saal G10 currency mein apni mazbooti ko barqarar rakha hai, aur ING Bank yeh darsha raha hai ke trade-weighted index ab Brexit referendum 2026 se sirf 3% kam hai UK ke data releases ko ghoor se dekha jata rahega, jab ke market Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting ka intezar kar rahi hain jo 1 August ko hai. Agar data kamzor aaya toh pound ko nuqsan ho sakta hai aur interest rate cut expectations phir se barh sakti hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq... latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) business confidence data Wednesday ko release hogi, aur markets thoda behtari ki umeed kar rahi hain pichle maheenay ke muqablay mein jab ke manufacturing aur services sectors expansion mein hain. Is silsilay mein, Benjamin Nabarro, chief British economist at Citigroup, ne Friday ko kamzor retail sales data ki taraf ishara kiya aur kaha: “Agar economic recovery ko halki si hawa se bhi rukawat aa sakti thi, toh yeh ziada strong nahi thi jo ke underlying momentum par shak paida karti hai
Raat bhar, US President Biden ne ilan kiya ke woh November mein presidential elections se withdraw karenge, aur Vice President Harris ko Democratic Party ke liye nominate kiya. MUFG ne comment kiya; “Unka decision withdraw kaafi hafton se likely tha, magar is se November elections se pehle American politics mein naye uncertainty inject ho gaye hain,” bank ne izafa kiya; “Mujmoo'i taur par, haal ke developments market expectations ko ziada change nahi karte ke Trump re-election jeetne ki raah par hain jab tak ke unki poll lead kam nahi hoti agle maheenon mein. Hum ek tougher race ko US dollar ke liye kam favorable dekhenge

GBP/JPY PAIR REVIEW
Dusray hafta bhi lagatar, British pound aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan jo price hai (GBP/JPY), woh neeche ki taraf chal rahi hai, aur 201.88 ke support level tak losses dekhne ko mili hain, jo ek mahine ka sabse kam level hai. Analysis ke waqt price 203.10 ke level par stable ho gayi hai, aur nayi cheezon ka intezar hai. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... pound ne is saal G10 currency ke tor par apni position mazboot ki hai, aur ING Bank ke mutabiq trade-weighted index ab sirf 3% neeche hai 2026 Brexit referendum se pehle ke levels se
Sentiment abhi bhi strong hai, lekin is mahine long positions mein izafa hone ke baad currency ek tezi se correction ke liye vulnerable hai. Forex market trading ke mutabiq... GBP/USD exchange rate ko 1.2900 ke qareeb support mili aur ek initial net recovery 1.2935 tak hui. Magar Scotiabank abhi bhi sterling ke liye broadly positive hai; “Daily candlestick pattern ek potential ‘Harami’ signal dekh raha hai jo aaj trading ke close par confirm hota hai to 1.2900/10 par stronger support indicate karega. Resistance 1.2970/75 aur 1.3045/50 par hai
Isi waqt, pound aur euro ke darmiyan exchange rate (GBP/EUR) 1.1880 tak barh gaya. Aam tor par sterling long positions mein izafa ek ahem discussion point rahega. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ke latest COT data ke mutabiq, pound ke non-commercial long positions mein mazeed izafa record hua hai. Ek hafte mein positions mein record jump aur 130,000 contracts se zyada long positions ka record high raha. Value ke lehaz se, long positions bhi $10.77 billion ka record high tak pohonch gayi hain
Is silsile mein, Rabobank ne comment kiya: “British pound mein net long positions teesre hafte bhi lagatar mazeed izafa dekha gaya hai, jo long positions mein izafa ke wajah se hai.” …Yeh data sentiment mein shift ko darshaata hai jo Britain ke general election ke baad dekha gaya, lekin agar long positions ko trim kiya gaya to sharp correction ka risk bhi barh jata hai
Is context mein, UK data releases ko closely monitor kiya jayega, kyunki markets Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting ko bhi dekhenge jo 1 August ko hai. Pound vulnerable hoga agar data expectations se weak nikla aur interest rate cut expectations dobara build hone lagi. Economic calendar ke mutabiq... latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) business confidence data Wednesday ko release hogi, aur markets thoda net improvement expect kar rahe hain pichle mahine ke comparison mein, manufacturing aur services sectors ke expansion territory mein hone ke saath. Is context mein, Citigroup ke chief British economist Benjamin Nabarro ne Friday ko weak retail sales data ko point out kiya aur comment kiya: “Agar economic recovery ko halki si hawa bhi derail kar sakti thi, to yeh itni strong nahi thi jaisa socha gaya tha, jo underlying momentum par shak dal sakti hai

• GBP/JPY
  Correction phase shuru ho gayi hai GBP/JPY ke liye aur lagta hai ke sellers dheere dheere price ko south ki taraf push kar rahe thay kal, jis ka natija ek choti bearish candle banne mein nikla jo ke previous day ke andar bani thi .
  
  Maujooda haalaat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ek corrective southern movement ho sakti hai, halan ke main khud is movement mein trade karne ka irada nahi rakhta. Agar ek deep correction hoti hai, to main mirror support level pe nazar rakhoonga, jo ke mere markings ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Yahaan do scenarios ho sakte hain.
  
  Pehla priority scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur growth dobara shuru ho. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, to main intezar karoonga ke price wapas resistance level 207.995 tak aaye. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate kar leti hai, to main umeed karoonga ke price aur north ki taraf move karegi towards resistance level 215.892. Main is resistance level ke qareeb ek trading setup ka intezar karoonga, jo future trading direction ka taayun karega. Zaroori nahi ke price designated northern target ki taraf move karti rahe, southern rollbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jise main bullish signals search karne ke liye use karoonga, support levels se growth recovery ka intezar karte hue, global bullish trend ke hisson ke taur pe. Dusra option yeh hai ke agar price support level 200.539 ke neeche fix kar leti hai aur aur south ki taraf move karti hai. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, to main intezar karoonga ke price support level 197.201 ya phir neeche support level 195.044 tak move kare. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals search karte rahunga, intezar karte hue ke price wapas upar move kare. Summary mein, aaj mujhe lagta hai ke price nearest support level ki taraf south ki taraf move karegi, aur phir existing global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, main intezar karoonga ek reversal candle formation ka aur price ke dobara upward move karne ka.

British Pound (GBP) ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ke khilaaf Tuesday ke early European trading main headwinds ka samna hai. Ye decline do factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai: ek risk-averse market environment aur speculation ke Bank of Japan agle hafte interest rates raise karega. Risk-off sentiment Yen ko boost de raha hai, jo ke ek safe-haven currency hai, jab ke Pound par pressure dal raha hai. Is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan ke interest rates raise karne ki possibility agle hafte Yen ko aur mazboot kar sakti hai Pound ke muqable main.

Technically, GBP/JPY pair ek key support level 202.20 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Ye level 4-hour chart par 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke sath coincides karta hai, aur agar ye break ho jaye to ye further weakness ka signal de sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi lower-midfield main 50 ke qareeb hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke pair additional losses ke liye vulnerable ho sakta hai. Recent decline ke bawajood, GBP/JPY long-term uptrend main hai jo ke early 2024 se shuru hua tha. Dar asal, pair ne hali main 16 saal ka high 208.10 ko July 11th ko touch kiya tha.

Agar current downtrend continue karta hai, to immediate support 202.00, jo ke ek psychological level hai, par mil sakta hai. Agar ye level decisively break hota hai to June low 201.14 ki taraf decline ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/JPY support dhoond kar rebound karta hai, to kuch buying interest 205.77 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to 16-year high 208.10 ko retest karne ka chance ho sakta hai. Agar sustained move above resistance zone hoti hai to further gains ho sakte hain, jo potentially April 2008 high 209.00 ko reach kar sakte hain.

Conclusively, GBP/JPY ne hali main kuch weakness dekhi hai, magar technical indicators abhi tak decisively negative turn nahi huye hain. Haan, agar 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) break hota hai to sellers ko himmat mil sakti hai aur ek more sustained correction ho sakti hai. Pair ka future direction market main overall risk appetite aur Bank of Japan ke potential action par depend karega agle hafte.

USD-JPY Pair Forecast
Agar hum current journey par nazar daalein, kam az kam humein pata hai ke USD/JPY pair apne increase ko return karne ki koshish kar raha hai jahan 155.76 zone mein ek bounce hua hai, aur abhi tak candlestick is zone ko penetrate karne mein nakam raha hai. Market prices ke track record ko dekhte hue jo ke hafte ki shuruaat se shuru hota hai, yeh kaafi clear hai ke trend uptrend ki taraf hai. Hafte ke aghaz mein candlestick abhi bhi downwards move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, jo mere khayal mein ek correction situation thi. Agar aap choti time frame, maslan 4 ghante dekhein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke ab price upar jaane wali hai aur lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi zyada bullish ho sakta hai.
Ab candlestick 157.84 price zone ke upar survive kar sakti hai, mere khayal mein, yeh woh zone hai jo next market direction ko determine karega. Maujooda market conditions ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke price movement upward direction mein tend kar rahi hai, bilkul kal ke market conditions ki tarah, to weekend ke trading period ke liye lagta hai ke price movement abhi bhi bullish run kar sakti hai. Ek benchmark area ke tor par jo hum is trade mein position open karne ke liye use karenge, hum latest market trend ke mutabiq opportunities par rely karte hain. Agar aap current market trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, to yeh profit banane ke opportunities ko khol sakta hai.
Buyers ko predict kiya gaya hai ke market ko control karenge jab tak market is weekend close hota hai. Next target bullish ho sakta hai 158.61 area ko pursue karna. Aaj aur future mein USD/JPY market ke liye trading plan ke tor par, main Buy trading option ko prefer karta hoon. Jab tak 155.46 price zone sellers se pass nahi hota, ek stable trend bullish run karne ka rujhan hai. Halanki market ke paas apni Uptrend journey ko continue karne ka zyada chance hai, lekin yeh behtareen hoga ke bearish opportunities ko nazarandaz na kiya jaye jo kabhi bhi ho sakti hain.

GBP/JPY pair

GBP/JPY pair ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan support 204.50 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is area ke kareeb aati hai bina niche giraye, to ye buying opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai. Resistance ke side par, pair 199.60 ke base aur 201.45 ke peak ke aas-paas limited hai. Agar is specified range se bahar nikalta hai, to zyada chances hain ke south ki taraf move karega, jahan primary target bears ke liye round area 203.60 ko test karna hoga. Is level ko reach karne ke baad, hum pair ke further movement ko reassess karenge.

Hourly chart par price triangle ke andar thi, jo kal downward exit dekha. Price ne triangle ke lower border, ascending channel, aur ascending trend line ko break kiya, jo decline ke continuation ka potential indicate karta hai. Lekin, ab pair last local maximum ke niche consolidate kar raha hai, aur ye consolidation phase agle move ke liye crucial hoga. Is case mein, hum upper resistance levels ke taraf move dekh sakte hain jo ke 202.70 se lekar 207.60 tak ho sakta hai. Agar price 204.36 ke niche convincingly break karti hai, to ye 203.00 ke taraf move ka signal de sakta hai, ek significant breakdown ke baad. Bullish scenario ke liye stop-loss 202.00 ke niche rakhna chahiye, kyunki ye ek crucial support area hai.



Agar breakdown ke baad short entry lete hain, to stop-loss 201.75 ke just above rakhna chahiye bearish scenario ke liye.

Iske ilawa, kisi bhi news ya events par nazar rakhein jo US dollar ki demand ko impact kar sakti hain, kyunki ye indirectly GBP/JPY pair ko bhi affect karega. Short-term technical indicators, jaise RSI aur MACD, par bhi dhyan dein potential entry aur exit signals ke liye. In levels aur scenarios ko closely monitor karke, aap informed trading decisions le sakte hain GBP/JPY pair ke liye. Strategy ko market ke hisaab se adjust karne ke liye flexible rahen.

Happy trading!

(GBP/JPY) ne hal hi mein hui girawat ke baad ek hairan kun wapsi ki hai. Thursday ke trading session mein pound ne wapas 203.00 ka aham mark paar kiya, aur kabhi kabhi 204.00 tak bhi pahunch gaya. Yeh turnaround Japanese authorities ki mudakhlat ke andazay ke darmiyan aaya. Halanki Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Ministry of Finance (MOF) ne apni mudakhlat ka rasmi taur par tasdeeq nahi ki, magar BOJ ke mali operations ka surge forecasts ke muqablay mein unki stance mein tabdeeli ka ishara de raha hai. Kamzor hoti hui yen ko defend karna MOF ke liye mazeed mehnga pad raha hai.
Wahin, maqami economic data releases milay julay signals de rahi hain. Thursday ko release hui UK ki average data ne expectations ko meet kiya, magar market forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke aanay wali British retail sales mein 0.4% ka decline hoga, jo pehlay ke 2.9% increase ke mukable mein kaafi baray contrast mein hai. Japan ki national CPI inflation figures bhi Friday ko release hongi. Halanki inflation pehle ke release se zyada hone ki umeed hai, yeh shayad BOJ ko apni ultra-loose monetary policy se hattne par majboor na kar sake. Yeh, aur yen ki pehlay se hi kamzor position doosri baray currencies ke muqable mein, Japanese currency ke mazeed depreciation ko suggest karte hain.
Technical indicators aik zyada complex picture paint kar rahe hain. "Peacock Fish Index" (mungkin GBP/JPY ke liye) ne Thursday ko 202.50 ke qareeb support find kiya, jo ek potential bounce ka ishara hai. Magar, price apni 200-hour moving average (EMA) of 204.82 ke niche hai, jo ager selling pressure resume hoti hai toh mazeed decline ka room suggest karta hai. Daily chart kuch umeed deti hai, price 50-day moving average of 201.38 ke upar hold karti hui hai. Mazeed, long-term 200-day moving average of 192.18 se kafi upar bids (offers to buy) hain, jo underlying buying interest ko indicate karti hain.
Nateejatan, GBP/JPY ek volatile phase mein hai. Halanki pound ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, yen ki kamzori aur Japanese authorities ki potential intervention pair ke future direction par uncertainty daalti hain. Aanay walay dino mein Friday ke economic data releases aur technical analysis key factors honge dekhne ke liye.
GBP/JPY market mein bullishness kitni dair tak rahegi, lekin hamare insights ne bullishness aur widely watched currency pair ki future performance ke bare mein kuch asar to zaroor dala hai.
GBP/JPY exchange rate ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic calendars, financial news websites, aur market analysis reports ko subscribe karna valuable information provide kar sakta hai jo akhrkar current ambiguous situation ko clarify karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Informed rahne se traders zyada better prepared hote hain taake jab market ek zyada definitive trend dikhane lage to jaldi se action le sakein.
Akhir mein, daily time frame analysis of GBP/JPY pair yeh indicate karta hai ke filhal clear, attractive, ya valid trading signals ka faqdaan hai. Price action ab tak uncertain hai, aur kisi strong upward ya downward movement ka koi izhaar nahi. Yeh uncertainty vigilant, well-informed, aur cautious rehne ki ahmiyat ko ubhaar rahi hai aise market conditions mein. Traders ko consider karna chahiye ke doosray time frames ko monitor karen, mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istemal karen, aur global economic aur political developments s