gbp/jpy

GBP/JPY
Correction phase shuru ho gayi hai GBP/JPY ke liye aur lagta hai ke sellers dheere dheere price ko south ki taraf push kar rahe thay kal, jis ka natija ek choti bearish candle banne mein nikla jo ke previous day ke andar bani thi .

Maujooda haalaat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ek corrective southern movement ho sakti hai, halan ke main khud is movement mein trade karne ka irada nahi rakhta. Agar ek deep correction hoti hai, to main mirror support level pe nazar rakhoonga, jo ke mere markings ke mutabiq 200.539 par hai. Yahaan do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla priority scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur growth dobara shuru ho. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, to main intezar karoonga ke price wapas resistance level 207.995 tak aaye. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate kar leti hai, to main umeed karoonga ke price aur north ki taraf move karegi towards resistance level 215.892. Main is resistance level ke qareeb ek trading setup ka intezar karoonga, jo future trading direction ka taayun karega. Zaroori nahi ke price designated northern target ki taraf move karti rahe, southern rollbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jise main bullish signals search karne ke liye use karoonga, support levels se growth recovery ka intezar karte hue, global bullish trend ke hisson ke taur pe. Dusra option yeh hai ke agar price support level 200.539 ke neeche fix kar leti hai aur aur south ki taraf move karti hai. Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, to main intezar karoonga ke price support level 197.201 ya phir neeche support level 195.044 tak move kare. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals search karte rahunga, intezar karte hue ke price wapas upar move kare. Summary mein, aaj mujhe lagta hai ke price nearest support level ki taraf south ki taraf move karegi, aur phir existing global bullish trend ko dekhte hue, main intezar karoonga ek reversal candle formation ka aur price ke dobara upward move karne ka.

Is haftay ka trading GBP/JPY ke liye aam tor par bearish hai. British pound ka Japanese yen ke muqable mein performance girawat dekh raha hai. Price 202.10 support level tak gir gaya hai, jo ke takreeban ek mahine ka sab se kam hai. Analysis likhte waqt price 203.10 ke qareeb hai, aur aaj ke session mein 204.21 resistance level se retreat kar chuka hai. Pound ke muqable yen par downward pressure barh gaya hai, jo ke British retail sales ke expected se kamzor numbers announce hone ki wajah se hai.
Aaj ke announce kiye gaye data ke mutabiq, UK retail sales umeed se zyada gir rahi hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, UK retail sales June 2024 mein -1.2% m/m gir gayi hain, jo May mein 2.9% barh gayi thi aur market expectations ke mutabiq 0.4% ki decline thi. Election uncertainty, bura mausam, aur kam footfall is girawat ki wajahain hain. Non-food stores mein sales 2.1% giri hain, jisme department stores, retail clothing aur shoe stores, aur furniture stores shaamil hain. Food stores mein sales 1.1% giri hain, mukhya tor par supermarkets ke wajah se, aur online kharch 2.7% gir gaya.
June tak ke teen mahine dekhen to retail sales mein 0.1% contraction dekhne ko mila. Salana basis par retail sales 0.2% giri hain, jo May ke upwardly revised 1.7% increase ke muqable mein hain aur expectations thi 0.2% increase ki.



Ek aur level par: British government bond yields 10 saal ke liye kam ho gayi hain wage data ke baad. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10 saal ke bonds ka yield 4.05% tak gir gaya hai, jo ke teen hafton ka sab se kam hai. Traders naye economic data ko evaluate kar rahe hain Bank of England ke agle interest rate decisions ko predict karne ke liye. Is haftay ki inflation aur labor market data Bank of England ke liye faisla mushkil bana rahi hai ke kya price pressures itne kam ho gaye hain ke 16 saal ke highest level se interest rates ko cut kiya ja sake. Labor market mein slowdown ke bawajood jahan wages ka growth slowest pace par hai takreeban do saal mein, services inflation 5.7% par high hai, jo Bank of England ke forecast 5.1% se zyada hai. Overall, CPI June mein Bank of England ke target 2% par barqarar raha. Traders ab 40% chance dekh rahe hain ke August 1 ko rate cut hoga, jo ke inflation data ke baad 30% se barh gaya hai.