جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Rozana wakia ki taqreeban analysis mein GBPJPY jodi mein.

GBP/JPY ke liye Juma ko price behad confidently uttar ki taraf push hui, jis ki wajah se aik puri bullish mombati bani, jo aasani se resistance level ke oopar consolidate ho gai, jisay meri markings ke mutabiq 197.056 par tha. Moujooda surat mein, main poori taqreer karta hoon ke agle haftay uttari movement jaari rahegi aur is surat mein, main resistance level par nazar rakhna chahta hoon, jo ke 199.777 par hai ya phir resistance level, jo 200.539 par hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, halat ke taraqqi ke do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidation aur mazeed uttar ki movement se mutalliq hai. Agar yeh mansooba kam karta hai, to main price ka resistance level 207.995 par pohanchne ka intezar karonga.





Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke ban jane ka intezar karonga, jo further trading ke rukh ko maloom karne mein madad karega. Bila shuba, main tasleem karta hoon ke price mazeed uttar ki taraf push kiya ja sakta hai jo 215.892 par wala resistance level ke qareeb hai, lekin yahan par halat dekhne ki zaroorat hogi aur sab kuch us par mabni hoga ke price kese reagi designated bohot door ki uttari targets ki taraf chalte hue kaisi news background add hoga. Jab resistance level 199.777 ya resistance level 200.539 ke qareeb pahunche gi to tareeqa kara shay macbari sham candle ke formation ke sath aur price ki madaraja barayan ka makhraj hai.

Agar yeh mansooba kam karte hain, to main price ke sudharne ka intezar karonga Jo 197.056 ya support level, jo 195.044 par hai. Main inn support levels ke qareeb mombati alaamton ka talash jaari rakonga, utar ki price movement ke dobara honay ka intezar karte hue. Bila shuba, mazeed door southern targets ka wazar bhi ho sakta hai, lekin main abhi tak inke tezi se dene ki koi umeed nahi dekh raha hoon. Aam tor par, chand alfaaz mein kahon to agle haftay main mashriqi ki taraf chalte hue aga mein qareebi resistance level tak jaari rakhna behtar samjhta hoon, aur phir woh be ijaazat fayz hasool.

GBP/JPY mein aaj, bazaar baghair kisi gap ke khula. Asian session ke doran, price north ki taraf dhakeli ja rahi hai, aur buyers pehle hi qareebi resistance level par kaam kar rahe hain, jo ke meri tajziye ke mutabiq, 200.539 par waqia hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, aaj main actively trade karne ka plan nahi rakhta aur designated resistance level ko dekhte rehne ka irada rakhta hoon, jiske qareeb do mumkinah scenarios ho sakte hain.Pehla scenario ye hai ke price is level ke ooper consolidate kare aur mazeed north ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan amal mein aata hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 207.995 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo ke agle trading direction ka taayun karega. Beshak, mujhe andaza hai ke designated further northern target ki taraf move ke doran, southern pullbacks bhi ho sakti hain, jinhein main nearest support levels se bullish signals talash karne ke liye use karne ka plan rakhta hoon, aur umeed hai ke price apni upward movement dobara shuru karegi.

Aik alternative scenario ye hai ke aaj ke resistance level 200.539 ke testing ke doran price ek reversal candle banaye aur southern movement ko dobara shuru kare. Agar yeh plan amal mein aata hai, to main price ke corrective pullback ka intezar karunga jo ke support level 198.747 ya support level 197.056 tak ho sakta hai. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, umeed hai ke price apni upward movement dobara shuru karegi.Beshak, ek mumkinah door ka southern target bhi ho sakta hai, jo ke meri tajziye ke mutabiq 195.044 par waqia hai. Lekin agar yeh plan bhi amal mein aata hai, to main is support level ke qareeb bhi bullish signals talash karta rahunga, umeed hai ke price apni upward movement dobara shuru karegi.

Bank of Japan ab bhi ek wildcard factor bana hua hai. 27th May ko US markets band hain, to ek mauqa hai ke agar Bank zaroori samjhe to Yen ki kamzori ko rokne ke liye dobara intervention kare. Mumkinah rukawaton ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators ab bhi uptrend ko support karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index ne apna buland tareen satah hasil kar liya hai jo March-June 2023 rally ke baad se dekha gaya hai, jo ek strong directional movement ko zahir karta hai. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator phir se overbought zone mein hai, jo ke mojooda bullish momentum ko mazid barhawa de raha hai. Magar, RSI ko ghore se dekhne par ek potential kamzori samne aati hai. Yeh indicator higher highs banane mein nakam nazar aa raha hai, jo kuch underlying weakness ka ishara hai.

Agar bulls ko control mein rehna hai, to unhein GBP/JPY ko support level 198.59 ke ooper rakhna hoga aur aakhir kar April 29th ke high 200.50 ko phir se test karna hoga. 200.50 ke ooper successful break Japanese authorities ki taraf se ek aur intervention ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, jahan bulls aur bears ek kashmakash mein hain. Aanewale din bohot ahmiyat ke hamil hain is pair ki direction ko tay karne mein aur yeh dekhne mein ke uptrend apni momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai ya nahi.

Forex market mein psychological levels ka ahmiyat bohot ziada hai. Ye levels market ke mukhtalif hisson ke aham points of interest hote hain, jin mein institutional traders, retail traders, aur algorithmic trading systems shaamil hote hain. Psychological levels aam tor par gol numbers hote hain, jaise ke 1.3000 GBP/USD jodi mein ya 150.00 USD/JPY jodi mein, jo ke apni asaani aur samjhi jane wali ahmiyat ki wajah se khud ba khud dhyan attract karte hain. In psychological levels ke aas paas orders ka jama hona asal mein akbar price movements ko lead kar sakta hai jab ye levels ke qareeb ya toote jate hain. Ye phenomenon is wajah se hota hai ke bohot se traders ye levels ke paas ya in par stop-loss orders, take-profit orders, aur entry orders place karte hain. Isi wajah se jab price kisi psychological level ke qareeb hoti hai, orders ka jama hona ahem buying ya selling pressure paida kar sakta hai, jis se tez price fluctuations hoti hain. Ye clustering effect khaaskar wahan zahir hota hai jahan zyada trading hoti hai, jaise ke highly traded currency pairs jahan liquidity bohot zyada hoti hai.

Khaas tor par GBP/JPY ke case mein, 157.500 level ke approach ne market scrutiny aur trading activity ko barhaya hai. Ye level, jo ke 157.00 aur 158.00 jese bade gol numbers ke darmiyan hai, ek ahem psychological barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai. Traders isay aik potential turning point ya aham mark samajh sakte hain jo future price direction ko indicate kar sakti hai. Is tarah traders is level ke aas paas reactions ke liye tayyari rakhte hain jis se heightened volatility aur tezi se price movements dekhi ja sakti hain. Mazeed, psychological levels aksar self-fulfilling prophecies ki tarah kaam karte hain. Iski wajah ye hai ke bohot se traders in levels ko ahem samajhte hain, aur is liye apni trades usi mutabiq place karte hain. Jab zyadatar market participants kisi psychological level par reaction expect karte hain, to un ke collective actions ki wajah se predicted reaction asani se ho jata hai. Misal ke tor par, agar bohot se traders 157.500 level par resistance expect karte hain aur is liye wahan sell orders place karte hain, to resulting selling pressure asal mein price ko rukne ya palatne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo psychological levels ki ahmiyat par iradah ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

GBP/JPY Market Analysis

GBP/JPY ke sellers ne mazeed correction ke liye anay wale ghanton mein tawajjo di. Khas tor par, UK trading zone volatility laa sakta hai aur ye sellers ko madad karega GBP/JPY market ko 197.42 zone ke neeche daba dene mein. Is ke ilawa, ehtiyat aur hushyaranai ka amal zaroori hai wazeh risk management parameters set kar ke. Take-profit points ko roozana low point ke neeche tajwezati tor par lagana nuqsaan ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai jabke accrued profits ko mehfooz rakhta hai. Mazeed, stop-loss orders ka istemal trading ke mazboot maahol mein laazim hai, anjaan market fluctuations ke khilaf ek ahem buffer ka kaam karte hain. Hal ab market sentiment buyers ke favour mein nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke agle ghanton mein ek potential uptrend ki ishara deti hai. Ahem hai ke apne trading strategies ko market ke mojooda halaat ke mutabiq adjust karne ka ta ke kamiyaabi ko pehli fursat mein hasil kiya ja sake.





Taqatwar monitorin aur market shifts ka jawab dene se, traders khud ko munafa mand moqaat se faida uthane ke liye position mein rakh sakte hain jabke risk exposure ko kam kar sakte hain. GBP/JPY ke case mein, price agle dino mein 197.46 zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Hushyarana harkat aur ehtiyaat mandi ka amal zaroori hai wazeh parameters risk management ke liye set karne ke sath. Profit points ko tajwezati tor par roozana low point ke neeche lagana potential nuqsaan ko kam karne mein madadgar hota hai jabke faiday ko mehfooz rakhta hai.
Is ke ilawa, stop-loss orders ka istemal volatile trading duniya mein bilkul lazim hai, anjaan market fluctuations ke khilaf a safety net ka kaam karte hain. Mojooda market sentiment buyers ki taraf lean hone ke imkanat hai, agle ghanton mein ek potential uptrend ki ishara deti hai. Ye zaroori hai ke apne trading activities ke mutabiq adjust karte rahein, mojooda market conditions ke sath strategies ko align kar ke kamiyaabi ko optimise karne ke liye. Market ke shifts ka proactive jawab dete rahein, traders apne aap ko profitable opportunities ke liye position mein rakh sakte hain jabke risk exposure ko kam kar sakte hain. Umeed hai ke GBP/JPY ke buyers is haftay mein 198.00 zone ko test karenge. Ek kamiyabi se bharpur trading week guzariye aur hushyar rahein!

Bridaysh Paund (GBP) Jumma ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ke khilaaf mazeed bulandiyon tak pahunch gaya, kai saalon se sab se ooncha darja haasil kar gaya. Ye izafa market mein mazboot kharidari dabao ko numaya karta hai, jis ke natije mein GBP/JPY jodi 0.37% barh gayi. Magar mohol shanakhtkaron ko darust karte hain ke chand dino mein aik choti taiz giraawat mumkin hai. Takneeky daleelon ke mutabiq, yeh jodi waqtan-fa-waqtan "overbought" ilaqa mein hai. Rozana ka chart par RSI khaas tor par buland hai, jo ke ishaati qeemat mein hui taraqqi ko ghair-musalsal qarar diya jata hai. Ye nazriya qareebi mustaqbil mein aik waqtan-fa-waqtan islah ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin is islah ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ka overall nazariya mazid mazboot hai. Rozana aur ghantay ke chart par MACD musbat momentum dikha raha hai, aur yeh jodi apne ahem moving averages (20-din, 100-din, aur 200-din) ke ooper trade kar rahi hai, jo ke choti aur lambi muddat mein bull trend ka ishaara hai
Bullish jazbaat ko mazeed tasdeeq farmaane ke liye, ADX ne March 2023 se sab se oonchi satah tak pahunch gaya hai, jo mojooda uptrend ki taqat ko numaya karta hai. Mazeed, Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo musbat momentum ko mustaqil kar raha hai. Magar RSI par qareebi nazar ek kamzori ka aasar dikhata hai. Is indicator ke mutabiq naye urooj tak nahi pohanch sakta, jo ke bullish momentum ki kami ka ishaara hai. Jodi ke mustaqbil ka rukh bullish aur bearish amaal par mabni hai. Agar bull qaboo mein rahain, to woh keemat ko 198.59 ke ooper rakhne ki koshish kar sakte hain aur mukhtalif April 29 ki bulandi 200.50 ko dobara test kar sakte hain. Lekin agar yeh darja paar ho gaya to Japanese authorities ki dakhilkarai ka samna kiya ja sakta hai, jo nuqsanaat ka imkaan paida kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar bear qaboo hasil kar lein, to woh keemat ko 198.59 ke neeche kheench sakte hain aur June 24, 2015 ki bulandi 195.87 ko nishana bana sakte hain. Is darja se neeche safar mein aik mazeed girawat ka darwaza khul sakta hai jo 192.57-193.60 zone tak pohanch sakta hai, aik ahem tareekhi support ilaqa

GBP/JPY jodi mein, kal ke din ke doran keemat ne pichle din ke doran se bahar nikalne mein nakam reh kar din ke ikhtitaam tak ek bearish mombati bana di, jo pichle din ke doran ke andar thi. Aaj, Asian session ke doran, keemat ko pur aman dakhil kar raha hai, jo ke qareebi support darjat ki taraf aik mukhtalif rukh ka izhar karta hai. Main is harkat par trading ka iraada nahi rakhta, lekin main aage bhi supports ke qareeb bullish signals ke liye dekhta rahunga, jismein global northern trend ke andar uptrend ki dobara shuruwat ki umeed hai. Abhi, main support level 191.355 aur support level 190.036 par qayam par tawajjo de raha hoon. In supports ke qareeb do manzar ho sakte hain. Pehli tarjeeh wala manzar aik ulta mombati aur keemat ke upar ki taraf jaari rukh ka banao hai. Agar yeh mansooba waqai hota hai, to main keemat ko 197.056 ke resistance level par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. Is resistance level ke upar keemat band hone par, main mazeed uttar ki taraf harkat ki umeed rakunga jo ke 199.777 ya 200.539 ke resistance level ya unke qareeb hone ki umeed hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main agle trading rukh ka taein karnay ke liye aik trading setup ka intezar karunga. Beshak, 207.995 tak pohanchne ki aik barri uttar hadd tak pohanchne ki mumkin hai, lekin yeh halaat aur keemat ke news flow aur design kiye gaye unchi uttari hadood ke tajurbaat ka kaisay intezar karta hai par depend karega. 190.036 ke support level ke qareeb pohanchne par aik doosra manzar aik mansooba hai jahan keemat is level ke neeche mazid mustehkam hoti hai aur jari rukh ke aghaz ki umeed hai. Agar yeh mansooba amal mein laaya gaya, to main keemat ki taraf mustaqbil mein chalne ki umeed rakunga jo ke 187.974 ke support level ki taraf jaa rahi hai. Is support level ke qareeb, main keemat ke upar ki taraf harkat mein aik izafa ki umeed rakunga. Mazeed junubi hadood tak pohanchne ki mumkin hai, lekin main unko is waqt nahi ghor raha hoon kyunke main unki haqeeqat mein fauran imkanat nahi dekh raha hoon. Mukhtasar tor par, aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke keemat qareebi support level ki taraf jaari rukh ka rukh banaye gi. Phir, numaya global northern trend ke andar, main bullish signals ke liye dekhta rahunga, jo ke uptrend ki dobara shuruwat ki umeed hai

, GBP/JPY pair general upward trend territory mein hai, aur likhne ke waqt 192.22 level ke around trade ho raha hai. Is hafte koi UK economic data release nahi hone wala hai siwaye Friday ke, isliye yeh pair upward trend continue karega jab tak Japan FX market mein intervention ka signal nahi detaka current trend bullish hai aur expected hai ke yeh resistance ke taraf mazid strengthen karega, jo weekly period ki latest mother bar ki resistance ke qareeb hai jo ke 200,530 ke price level par hai. Support and Resistance: Pair ko support mil raha hai SMA5 dynamic support se daily aur H4 time frame par. Agar position RBS area (198,184) ke upar rehti hai jab tak ke woh SBR area (198,441) ko penetrate nahi karti, toh momentum ko buy option ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai.
Target Price: Buy option ke liye target SBR area (199,234) ke around bullish opportunities ko talash karna hai.
Potential Downside: Agar pair SBR area ko overcome nahi kar pata toh woh SMA5 dynamic support (196,070) ki taraf push ho sakta hai, jo weekly period ke time frame mein hai aur H4 time frame mein SMA50 dynamic support ke qareeb hai.
Market Sentiment: Market conditions overbought signs dikhane par hai, jo ke bearish reversal ki sambhavna ko zahir karta hai.
Technical Indicators: Daily time frame par bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, lekin overbought level ke wajah se decline ki possibility hai.
Price Movement: Price movement abhi tak 197.58 area ke around hai jo ke is haftay ka weekly open hai. Agar price weekly open ke upar rehta hai aur Friday's high (197.83) ko penetrate karta hai, toh strengthening expected hai.
EMA Crossovers: EMA 12 aur EMA 36 abhi tak upward movement mein hain aur potential crossover indicate kar rahe hain jo next price movement ki direction ko show karega.

Overall, GBP/JPY pair ka forecast bullish hai lekin overbought conditions aur technical my

hai. Is southern movement ke bawajood, ek mumkin hai ke trend ulat jaye jab trading European aur American sessions mein badhe. Mere tajziya ke mutabiq, mein umeed karta hoon ke price apni upar ki harkat ko dobara shuru karega aur nazdeek ka sab se qareebi resistance level, jo maine 200.539 par pehchana hai, ki taraf jaayega. Jab hum European trading session mein dakhil ho rahe hain, market dynamics badalne ke imkanat hain. European session aam tor par ziada liquidity aur ziada trading volumes laata hai, jo ke price movements ko zyada numaya bana sakta hai. Mojudah technical setup ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ne nichle levels par support dhoond lega aur European traders market mein dakhil hone se kharidari ke interest ko akarshit kar sakta hai. Ye buyers ka aana price ko stabilize karne mein madad kar sakta hai aur ek potential reversal ke liye stage set kar sakta hai.
Aur mazeed, European session ke baad aane wala American trading session, GBP/JPY ka price action ko kisi tajziya period mein kar sakta hai. U.S. market ziada volatility aur global currency pairs par bari asar ka maalik hai. Kisi bhi bade economic announcements ya investor sentiment mein tabdiliyan American session ke dauran price ko 200.539 resistance level ki taraf aur bhi ziada le ja sakti hain. Dosri taraf, agar price 200.539 resistance ko todne mein na kaamiyaab ho gayi, to ye ek consolidation ya retracement ki dour ka sabab bhi ban sakta hai. Magar, mojudah market shorat aur meri technical markings ke mutabiq, main bullish scenario ki taraf mael hoon. Overall trend bullish ke favr mein nazar aata hai, aur Asian session ke nedfeet harkat shayad sirf ek temporary correction ho.

Ikhtataam mein, jabke GBP/JPY pair ne Asian session ke doran dhimi push ki, European aur American sessions mein shumara mumkin hai. 200.539 resistance level traders ko qareeb se dekhna chahiye. Mazeed trading activity aur ane wale sessions mein potential catalysts ke sath, ye reasonable tawaqo hai ke price is resistance ki taraf aur shayad us se aage badhe. Is liye, aaj ke liye GBP/JPY ka overall manzar upar ki trend ke dobara shuru hone ki taraf jhuka hua hai, jo major trading sessions ke price dynamics par mabni ha buland volatility aur asaaf ambiguity ka samna kiya hai. Technical analysis mein ghor karne par, daily chart ki tasveer 190.00 aur 195.00 ke ahem hadood ke darmiyan ek side-ways consolidation pattern zahir hota hai. Ye stagnant movement kharidari karne wale aur farokht karne wale ke darmiyan ek takkar ko darust karta hai, jo ke ek tang trading range mein nataij deta hai. Khaas tor par, 50-day simple moving average jo ke 192.50 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, hal hi ki range ke darmiyan ke darmiyan ek pivotal point ke taur par kaam karta hai. Is range ke dono ooper aur neeche ke bounds ke dohra test karne se mukhalif market forces ke dairay ko paish-e-nazar rakha gaya hai. Bull aur bear lagta hai ke ek qayamat mein hain, kyun ke kisi ek taraf ka faisla is consolidation pattern se azad hone ka kamyab nahi ho saka. Ye bechaini kisi external factors jaise ke geopolitical tensions, ma'ashiyati data releases, aur monetary policy decisions ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo ke British pound aur Japanese yen dono par asar daalte hain. Traders aur investors is range ke andar ke ahem levels ko dhyaan se monitor karte hain taake potential breakout ya breakdown signals ko pehchaan sakein jo ke ek naye trend ka aghaz darust kar sakte hain. Magar, jab tak ek saaf rukh ke bias ka izhar na ho, market participants ehtiyaat aur risk management strategies ko istemaal kar sakte hain taake is uncertain terrain mein tajziyat kar sakein. Is ke ilawa, volatility indicators jaise ke average true range (ATR) is consolidation phase mein keemaat mein izafa hone ki wazehat faraham kar sakte hain. Aur ye bhi zaroori hai ke market sentiment mein kisi bhi sudden tabdili ya ghair mutawaqqa catalysts ke liye hoshyaar rahein jo ke GBPJPY ke raaste mein tabdeeli kar sakte hain. Jab traders market ke haalaat ko mutaghayyar karte hain, technical aur fundamental factors ke gehre analysis se aagahi hasil karke informed trading



UK stock market lead kar raha hai. FTSE 100 ne kal ki trading mein momentum gain kiya, aur Monday ko 0.4% higher close hua 7943 points par, halving the previous session's steep losses strong support ki wajah se London-traded commodities stocks se. Industry heavyweights ne gains lead kiya, benefiting from higher copper prices aur ferrous metals futures ka rebound, jab market China ke stimulus measures ka impact assess kar raha hai demand for housing aur infrastructure construction par.

Dusri taraf, Japanese government bonds badh rahe hain since Bank of Japan ne yields ka control lose kiya last month, aur kam az kam ek market indicator liquidity return hone ka signal de raha hai. Overall conditions abhi bhi normal se door hain, kyunke BOJ ke paas 1,097 trillion yen ($7.2 trillion) outstanding securities ka aadha se zyada hai after years of asset purchases.

Overnight interest rate swaps generally suggest karte hain ke Bank of Japan interest rates raise karega current zero se 0.2% to 0.1% by the end of the year. Rising bond yields ka prospect domestic investors ke liye attractive ho sakta hai jo higher returns overseas dekh rahe hain. Japanese government bond trading volumes bhi upward trend mein hain, jo ek aur sign hai ke previously troubled debt market recover ho raha hai.

Aaj ka GBP/JPY forecast:

Overall trend GBP/JPY pair ke liye bullish hai, yeh dekhte hue ke ek break above the resistance at 192.80 technical indicators ko seriously overbought levels ki taraf le jaayega, including ke start of selling off the pair from the highs. Jab Japan market mein intervene karega, selling strong aur violent hogi, aur overall trend ko quickly bearish trend mein change karegi. Is trend ka first breakout below the psychological levels of 190.00 aur 188.00

GBP/JPY Analysis

GBP/JPY pair ne choudah consecutive winning sessions me buyers ko faida pahunchaaya hai. Ye bullish surge ne ek nayi yearly high ka darwaza khola hai, lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Halanki overall trend positive hai, lekin momentum me kami aati nazar aa rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo overbought conditions ka measure hai, extreme highs par pahunchne ke baad thoda thanda ho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke ek potential retracement ho sakta hai, jo abhi underway hai jab ke pair 200.00 ke psychologically important level ke neeche gir raha hai. Technical indicators ek mixed picture dikhate hain. Agar GBP/JPY Kijun-Sen support level 199.03 se neeche girta hai, to yeh further decline ko trigger kar sakta hai jo 197.54 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke Senkou Span A se marked hai. Agar yeh crucial 197.00 level ko, jo ke turning point (Tenkan-Sen) 196.05 ke saath coincide karta hai, breach karta hai, to yeh ek significant reversal ka signal de sakta hai.

Lekin, bulls abhi fight se bahar nahi hue hain. Agar pair 200.00 ke upar return karta hai, to buying pressure wapas aa sakta hai, jo potentially pair ko year-to-date high 200.74 ka retest karne tak push kar sakta hai. Yeh level khaas significance rakhta hai kyunki isne April ke aakhir mein Bank of Japan ko market mein do martaba intervene karne par majboor kiya tha Yen ko weaken karne ke liye.



Bank of Japan ek wildcard factor ban kar rehta hai. Jab US markets 27th May ko band the, to ek window of opportunity thi aur agar Bank deem kare, to Yen ki weakness ko curb karne ke liye ek aur intervention ho sakta tha. Potential headwinds ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators uptrend ko favor karte hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) apne highest level par pahunch gaya hai since March-June 2023 rally, jo strong directional movement ko signify karta hai. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator wapas overbought zone me hai, jo current bullish momentum ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, RSI ko kareebi nazar se dekhne par ek potential chink in the bullish armor nazar aata hai. Indicator higher highs banane mein nakam lagta hai, jo kuch underlying weakness ka ishara hai. Agar bulls control maintain karna chahte hain, to unhe GBP/JPY ko support level 198.59 ke upar rakhna hoga aur eventually April 29th ka high 200.50 retest karna hoga. 200.50 ke upar successful break Japanese authorities ki taraf se ek aur intervention trigger kar sakta hai, jo potentially losses le kar aa sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ek critical juncture par hai, jahan bulls aur bears ek tug-of-war mein engaged hain. Aanay wale din crucial honge pair ke direction ko determine karne mein aur dekhna ho ga ke uptrend apna momentum maintain kar sakta hai ya nahi.

GBP/JPY H4 Timeframe Analysis:

Shayad Monday ko hum 200.70 range ko break kar saken, jahan resistance hai, aur agar hum iske upar consolidate karte hain, to yeh buy ka signal hoga. Agar humay 200.70 range ka false breakout milta hai, to uske baad rate gir sakta hai. 200.75 range mein bhi resistance hai, jahan se girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Considering ke buyers se humein strong pressure mil raha hai, aur 200.50 range ke upar rate ka strengthen ho sakta hai, to behtar yeh hoga ke sell kiya jaye. Agar hum 198.75 range ko break karne mein kamiyab hote hain aur uske neeche consolidate karte hain, to yeh sell ka signal hoga. Jab hum 200.70 range ko break karte hain, growth continue hogi aur aap buy kar sakte hain. Shayad hum 200.70 range ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jayen aur uske upar consolidate karen, phir growth continue hogi. GBP/JPY exchange rate mein recent correction ke baad girawat jaari reh sakti hai. General taur par, rate ka strengthen continue ho sakta hai, lekin iske liye zaroori hai ke 200.70 range ke upar stay kiya jaye. Haqeeqat mein, hum market mein achi correction dekh chuke hain aur iske baad girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke current levels se growth continue ho, jo yeh matlab rakhta hai ke hum 200.75 range ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jayen, phir medium term mein growth jaari rahegi aur yeh purchases open karne ka signal hai. Agar humay 200.70 ka false breakout milta hai, to uske baad girawat jaari rahegi.

GBP/JPY: Price Outlook

Kal GBP/JPY mein ek confident bullish impulse dekha gaya, jiss ne price ko upar ki taraf drive kiya. Yeh ek full bullish candle ka sabab bana, jo asaani se peechle daily range ke high ke upar consolidate kar gaya. Main maanata hoon ke qareebi resistance levels ko identify karna zaroori hai. Jaisa ke main ne pehle bhi kai martaba kaha hai, is martaba main 199.777 aur 200.539 ke resistance levels ko monitor karne ka irada rakhta hoon. In resistance levels ke qareeb do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate ho jaye aur phir upward movement kare. Agar is range ke qareeb reversal formation nazar aata hai, to bullish trend ke continuation par buy positions enter karne ka ek strong opportunity milegi. Offer zone, jo ke 199.67 par hai, wahan holdings exit karne ka waqt hoga.



Lekin, main yeh bhi bilkul exclude nahi karta ke yeh instrument further slide kare lower limits ki taraf, jo ke 199.04 aur aakhri bull zone hain jahan se historical attempts market ko reverse karne ki gayi hain. Price decrease ko sustain karne ke liye, jab currency designated range ko break kare aur is level ke neeche fix ho jaye, tab ek sell position enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Yeh insights suggest karte hain ke aaj ki trading session mein purchase order place karne ka achha waqt ho sakta hai. Ek buy order place karke, aap GBP/JPY pair ke probable upward movement se profit kama sakte hain aur shayad ek deal close kar sakte hain. Halaanki, trades karne se pehle ehtiyaat aur thorough research zaroori hai. Chahe current upward trend promising lag raha ho, magar unforeseen developments GBP/JPY pair ke direction ko impact kar sakti hain, kyunki market conditions jaldi se badal sakti hain. Iske ilawa, global economy aur central bank policies mein changes se updated rehna future direction of GBP/JPY pair ke liye important insights de sakta hai.

GBP/JPY H1 Timeframe Trading Strategy

GBP/JPY currency pair par H1 (hourly) time frame mein trading karne walon ke liye intra-day purchases ka ek strategic approach zaroori hai. Ek viable strategy yeh hai ke key support levels par buying opportunities dekhi jayein. Is scenario mein, pehla support level jo consider karne layak hai, woh 156.200 par hai. Yeh level aksar ek strong cushion ka kaam karta hai jahan pehle ke downward movements ne historically support paayi hai aur subsequently rebound kiya hai. Doosra support level jo monitor karna zaroori hai, woh 156.340 par hai. Yeh level thoda upar hai aur yeh bhi ek critical zone provide karta hai jahan price stabilize ho sakta hai pehle ke move higher hone se pehle. Traders aksar aise support levels ko entry points ke tor par use karte hain purchases ke liye, betting on a reversal ya bounce back in the price.

Summary mein, yeh intra-day trading strategy GBP/JPY currency pair ke liye H1 time frame par informed purchases involve karti hai 156.200 aur 156.340 ke support levels par. In trades ka target 157.500 par set kiya gaya hai, jo profit-taking ke liye ek clear goal provide karta hai. Iske ilawa, ek stop-loss 155.795 par rakha gaya hai jo risk manage karne aur significant losses se bachne mein madad karta hai. Is structured approach ko follow karke, traders apne chances of success forex market mein enhance kar sakte hain, making calculated decisions based on technical analysis aur historical price behavior.

Iske ilawa, technical indicators additional confirmation provide kar sakte hain in trades ke liye. Misal ke taur par, indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Bollinger Bands help kar sakte hain determine karne mein ke market conditions favorable hain ya nahi bounce ke liye support levels se. Agar RSI oversold territory mein ho support levels ke qareeb, to yeh ek potential reversal suggest kar sakta hai, supporting the decision to enter a buy trade. Isi tarah, agar price ek moving average ke qareeb ho jo historically support ka kaam karta ho, to yeh trade setup ke liye further confidence add kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye jab yeh support levels ke qareeb ho. Candlestick patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing patterns, hammer, ya doji near support levels early signals provide kar sakte hain ek potential reversal ke. Yeh patterns aksar yeh indicate karte hain ke selling pressure waning hai aur buying interest emerge ho rahi hai, making the support levels more likely to hold.



Conclusion mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ki intra-day trading ke liye H1 time frame par, pehle support level 156.200 aur doosre support level 156.340 par purchases consider karna, with a target of 157.500, aur stop loss 155.795 par ek well-structured strategy ho sakti hai. Yeh approach strategic entry points, ek clear target, aur sound risk management ko combine karti hai. Lekin, market conditions ke baare mein informed rehna aur technical analysis tools use karna zaroori hai taake success ke probability enhance ki ja sake in trades mein. Is tarah, traders apne chances of capturing profitable moves ko increase kar sakte hain while protecting their trading capital.

GBP/JPY ne chaar darja ke ma'amilon ke liye 14 musalsal jeet hasil ki hai. Yeh bullish surge ek naye saalana bulandi ke darwaze ko khol chuka hai, lekin ehtiyaat ke nishaan asman par hain. Halan ke kul trend musbat hai, lekin ravaani mein thandak mehsoos ho rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo overbought conditions ka aik paaima hai, intehai bulandiyan tak pohanch kar ab sard ho raha hai. Yeh ek moaziz wapas chalang ki alaamat hai, jo ke pehle se hi kaam par hai jab pair zehni tor par ahem darje 200.00 ke neeche gir raha hai. Takneeki indicators aik mukhtalif tasveer paint karte hain. Agar GBP/JPY 199.03 ke Kijun-Sen support darje ke neeche gir jata hai, toh yeh aik mazeed kami ko hosakta hai jo ke Senkou Span A (197.54) ke saath darj hai. Aham 197.00 ke darje ke neeche girna, jo ke (Tenkan-Sen) 196.05 par turning point ke saath milta hai, aik ziada ahem ulta-pulta ki alaamat ho sakti hai. Magar, bulls abhi tak jung mein nahi haare hain. 200.00 ke ooper lautna kharidne ki dabao ko phir se barha sakta hai, jis se pair saal ke had tak ki bulandi ko dobara test karne ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo ke 200.74 hai. Yeh darja khaas tor par ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke is ne Bank of Japan ko Yen ko kamzor karne ke liye late April mein do martaba market mein intervant kiya.

Bank of Japan aik anjaani qudrati khatra hai. 27 May ko Amreeki markets band hain, agar Bank ko Yen ki kamzori ko rokne ke liye zaroorat mehsoos hoti hai, toh doosra intervant karne ka aik darwaza maujood hai. Mumkin rukawaton ke bawajood, kuch takneeki indicators abhi bhi uptrend ki taraf hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne March-June 2023 ki jhalki se ooper pohanch kar apni buland tarz-e-harkat ki bulandtar satah tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke aik mazboot simat-e-ravani ko dikhata hai. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator dobara overbought zone mein hai, mojooda bullish momentum ko mazboot kar raha hai. Magar, RSI par gehri nazar ek bulish hifazati jang mein aik chink ki alaamat hai. Paaima lagataar bulandiyan nahi bana pa raha hai, jo ke kuch asal kamzori ko darust karta hai. Agar bulls apna kabu barqarar rakhna chahte hain, toh unhein GBP/JPY ko 198.59 ke support darje ke ooper rakhtna hoga aur aakhir mein 29 April ke 200.50 ke ooper dobara test karna hoga. Agar 200.50 ke ooper kamyabi se break hojata hai, toh yeh Japani authorities ke dobara intervant hone ki alaamat ho sakti hai, jo ke nuqsanat ka bais ban sakta hai. GBP/JPY aik ahem mawqay par hai, jahan par bulls aur bears ek doosre ke saath ladd rahe hain. Aane wale din pair ki raah ka tay karna ke liye ahem honge aur yeh dekhna hoga ke uptrend apni ravaani ko barqarar rakh sakta hai ya nahi.

**GBP-JPY H4 Analysis: Riding the Upward Trend**

**1. Overview of Current Movement**
- Despite recent retracements, GBP-JPY is steadily climbing on the H4 chart.
- The pair has surged to the levels seen at the end of the previous month and even to historical highs before retracing slightly.

**2. Wave Structure and MACD Indicator**
- The wave structure indicates a clear upward trajectory.
- MACD indicator is back in the upper buy zone after briefly dipping into the lower sell zone last week, signaling renewed bullish momentum.

**3. Fibonacci Grid Target Reached**
- The price has hit the 161.8 Fibonacci target, coinciding with a previous significant peak.
- Some consolidation occurred around this level as traders closed positions, leading to a temporary pullback.

**4. Bearish Divergence and Potential Reversal**
- Despite the upward movement, a bearish divergence on the MACD indicator suggests potential downside.
- The CCI indicator also hints at a downturn from the upper overheating zone, indicating a possible reversal.

**5. Future Outlook and Potential Selling Zone**
- A breach beyond the April 29 high is anticipated, possibly pushing towards the 200 level.
- However, this high could mark a potential selling zone, considering the historical significance of the price level.
- Long-term indicators suggest a looming bearish correction, reinforcing the possibility of a decline post-maximum update.

**6. Conclusion**
- While the short-term momentum remains bullish, caution is warranted as indicators point towards a potential reversal after reaching historical highs. Traders should closely monitor price action for signs of a downturn.

**GBP-JPY H4 Analysis**

Graph H4. Pehle ki tarah, aaj bhi rollback ke bawajood, yeh pair ek steady upward trend mein ja raha hai. Yeh bohat tezi se mazi ke month-end ke top par pohanch gaya aur wahan se thoda niche move kiya. Wave structure apna order upward build kar raha hai, MACD indicator dobara upper buy zone mein hai. Pichle hafta yeh lower sell zone mein chala gaya tha, lekin ab phir se grow kar raha hai. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par superimpose karein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke price is grid par 161.8 ke target tak pohanch gaya hai. Aur ajeeb baat yeh hai ke yeh level previous main crown ke sath coincide karta hai. Yeh dekhne ko mila ke is area ke qareeb kuch suspension hui; kuch players ne shayad positions close karne ka faisla kiya is level par aur price wapas niche roll back hui.

Bearish divergence jo is MACD indicator par dekha gaya, jo ke sellers umeed kar rahe the, still workout hui, shayad jitna chahte the utna nahi, lekin nearest horizontal support level 198.76 tak kaam kiya. Wahan se price ne foran rebound karna shuru kiya aur maximum tak wapas pohanch gayi. Zyada likelihood hai, price ke behavior ko dekhte hue, ke yeh is high se aage drive kiya jayega jo April 29 ko form hua tha, aur target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par superimpose karke 200 level tak hike ho sakta hai. Jab yeh maximum se aage jayega, to yeh potential sales zone banayega, aur price already historical highs par hai.

Agar aap older period ko dekhein, to wahan bohat waqt se ek large bearish divergence MACD indicator par dekhi gayi hai, aur CCI par bhi yeh divergence hai, bas thodi choti size mein; yeh doosra CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jana tayar hai. Shayad maximum ko update karne ke baad phir se ek acha decline dekha jayega.

GBP/JPY ke price action ko analyze karte hue, humein nazar aata hai ke bullish trend mazboot hai aur price ne historical levels ko touch kiya hai. MACD indicator ka bearish divergence ne kuch selling pressure introduce kiya, lekin price phir se rebound hui aur upward momentum gain kiya. Fibonacci grid ke targets aur historical resistance levels ko dekhte hue, trading opportunities identify karna zaroori hai. Market dynamics aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karte rehna chahiye, taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

In conclusion, GBP/JPY ka current trend aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke market ek significant juncture par hai. Future price movements ko forecast karte hue, divergence indicators aur historical price levels ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Trading mein ehtiyaat se aage barhna aur market conditions ko continuously assess karte rehna best approach hoga.

gbpjpy

Bearish candle. Candle ki southern shadow ne pichle din ke range ka low update kar diya, isay puri tarah engulf karte hue aur support level ke neeche settle karte hue, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 192.247 par tha. Moujooda scenario ke madde nazar, main puri tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke aaj ka southern movement jaari reh sakta hai, aur is surat mein, main 190.036 par located support level par nazar rakhunga. Is support level ke qareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario ek reversal candle ki formation aur upward price movement ke resumption ko involve karta hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 192.949 par located resistance level ya 193.535 par resistance level par wapas aane ka intezar karunga. In resistance levels ke upar price settle hone par, main aage northward movement expect karunga, jo 195.883 par resistance level tak ja sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Ek mumkinat door ke northward targets achieve karne ki bhi hai, lekin is waqt main isay consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe iske liye koi jaldi realization perspective nazar nahi aata.

Ek alternative scenario price movement ka jab support level 190.036 ke qareeb pohonchta hai, to yeh plan ho sakta hai jahan price is level ke neeche settle ho jati hai aur south move karna jaari rakhti hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 187.974 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed rakhta. Yaqeenan, ek mumkinat door ke southern target achieve karne ki bhi hai, lekin agar yeh plan bhi implement hota hai, to main bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga anticipation mein ke price movement wapas upwards resume ho.

Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke din, main yeh mumkin samajhta hoon ke price ek correction ke andar south move kar sakti hai. Qareebi support levels ke qareeb, moujooda global northern trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main bullish signals ki talash mein rahunga, growth ke recovery ki umeed rakhta.