جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY: 200 agla rukawat ka point hai

Yen mein mazid kamzori ke darmiyan, Japan ke chupke se market mein jhatke dene ki dhamkiyon ke bawajood, bullo ko GBP/JPY ke liye ada karna mumkin bana, jiske paas GBP/JPY 198.90 ke rukawat ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 200.00 ke nafsiyati rukawat hai. March ka trading khatam hua tha aur agar koi saboot na mile ke Japan ne forex market mein dobarah hastakshar kiya hai, to wahan muddat hogi.

UK 10 saal ke sarkari bond ke yields ne 4.15% ke izafi taaluk se barhna shuru kiya hai muntazir teziban ke Consumer Price Index report ki pehli shumari se reit darust hone ki alamat ho sakti hai. UK ki saalana tanseekh ka tajziya deta hai ke April mein 2.1% tak ghata hai, jo Bank of England ke 2% maqsood ke qareeb hai. Core inflation ka muntazir hai ke October 2021 se sabse kam 3.7% tak gir jaye.

United States mein darust tanseekh aur kamzor retil sales ne ummid barhani hai ke Federal Reserve is saal interest rates kam karay ga.






Aur stock trading company platform level. FTSE 100 naye record ke qareeb hai. Britain ke FTSE 100 ne Somwar ko 8,440 points tak utha, pichle haftay ke all-time high ke qareeb, jabke markets ne Federal Reserve aur Bank of England se interest rate cuts ke parchayi ko dekha, mining industry ke bade asar se madad milti rahi.

Aaj ka GBP/JPY taqwiyat:

GBP/JPY rozana ki time frame chart par dekhne par bullish rehta hai, kyunke hilchul ke inhone barhaiyan kaafi thin, jinse tamam technical isharaat ko mazid bechnay walay unwaan tak le aaye aur mazboot farokht ho sakti hai. Agar Japan FX market mein hastakshar karta hai, to arzi rukawat ko pahunchane se pehle munafa le sakti hai, jisme bullo ko jor ki zaroorat padti hai, khaaskar agar UK ki nafsiyati tanseekh ke data aane mein muntazir hoti hai..
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Aik musbat mor par British Pound ke liye, GBP/JPY currency pair ne chand din pehle pichhle hafte ki shuruaat mein thori giravat ke baad Thursday ko 197.00 ke level par wapas chadh gaya. Ye dobarah chadhav Japan se mayoos kun ma'ashi deta ke sath aaya. Pehle juz ke -0.4% se zyada -0.5% ka izafah hua Japanese economy ne pehle hisse mein, Yen ko mazeed kamzor karte huye. Is se ek thorra sa peechla juz ka girawah kiya jaana bhi saath hai, jo pehle 0.1% se 0.0% tak gir gaya tha. Is hafte ke baqi hisse ke liye koi bari ma'ashi soorat haal nishchit nahi hui hai, ab traders agle hafte UK ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) tanseekh ke data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Ye data, sath hi Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ki aik taqreer ko bhi tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, is mein Bank ki monetary policy stance mein kisi tabdeeli ke isharon ke liye. Governor ka program hai ke woh agle mangal ko London School of Economics mein taqreer karenge. GBP/JPY pair ne haal mein achi dor tijarat shuru ki hai, 10 din mein 9 jeetne wali sessions ke sath. Ye umeed pe chadhav aya hai ke Bank of Japan ne currency market mein hastakshar kiya hai. Haal ki keemat ka kaam ishara deta hai ke dono currency ke peechle hastakshar levelon ki taraf madaar iltija hai. Magar, Japan ke dobarah hastakshar ke imkaanat ke aitebar se pareshaniyan bani hui hain, khaaskar unke nedhepune daricate ke hesaab se.






Haan jabke technical isharaat abhi GBP/JPY ke liye ek bullish trend ki taraf point kar rahe hain, to is momentum ki kamzori ke dalail bhi hai. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX), chunanche ke woh taaqat afza trend bata raha hai, liken zyada buland highs darj nahi kar raha hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne mid-point ke upar hai, bullish pressure ki tasdeeq dene ke sath, lekin filhal flat hai. Stochastic indicator, magar, ek musbat ishara dikhaya hai ek crossover aur aik mumkin taqat bharne wala chadhav. Agar ye harkat taqat hasil kare, to yeh chal raha bullish trend ke aik mazbot tasdeeq ho sakta hai.

GBP/JPY H-1 Timeframe Tahlil:

Ghantay ke chart par, keemat ek ubharti hui channel ke andar hai. Aaj keemat is channel ka nichla satha qareeb pahuncha, jahan keemat ne neeche ki taraf se tor diya, lekin giravat jari rakhna mumkin nahi tha, keemat mud kar phir se upar ki taraf chalne lagi. Upri janib chalte hue, keemat ne ubharti hui channel ke ooperi satha tak pahuncha, yeh 198.50 ke level hai. Ab yeh mumkin hai ke keemat ulta ho jaye aur is channel ke nichle sath tak giravat aa sakti hai, yani 197.47 tak. 197.10 ke range ke ghalat tor phir ho sakta hai, aur mazbooti jari rahegi. Shayad 197.80 ke range mein rukawat ho, phir giravat jari rahegi. Humare pass bikne wale se zyada dabao hai, aur rate 197.00 ke range se neeche gir sakta hai, to behtar hoga bechna. Jab hum 197.00 ke range ko tor kar aur uske neeche jam kar, to yeh bikne ka ishara hoga. Agar 197.80 ke range ko torne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to izafa jari rahega aur aap khareed sakte hain. 197.05 ke torne ka intezar hai aur jab yeh ho jaye, tab bikayi mumkin hogi. Hum 194.90 ke range mein gir sakte hain aur wahan se, izafa jari rahega. Agar mojooda se upar ki janib hai, to phir bhi jari rah sakta hai, mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Shayad 197.80 ke ooper jam kar, yeh khareedne ka ishara hoga. Haal ki neeche ki sudhar ke baad GBP/JPY ke rate ki mazbooti abhi tak jari hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne kal aik ahem trading session ka samna kiya, jo 120th figure ke andar tezi se badalti rahi, khas tor par 150.85 se 151.50 tak range thi. Ye movement forex market ki dynamic nature aur trading currency pairs mein maujood volatility ko reflect karti hai. 120th figure, jo aam forex terminology mein ek specific hundred-pip segment ke andar trading range ko dena ke liye istemal hota hai, woh precise area highlight karta hai jahan ye pair activity dekha. Mukaabil, GBP/JPY ke support levels 151.430 se 151.600 ke darmiyan maujood hai. Support levels price points hote hain jahan ek assest buying interest find karne ke liye tend karta hai, jo price ko aur zyada girne se rokne mein madad karta hai. Ye levels traders ke liye critical hote hain jo long positions establish karna chahte hain ya pair ko kharidi ke potential entry points ko identify karna chahte hain. Support level ka lower bound at 151.430 ek key price point hai jahan buying interest pair ko stabilize kar sakti hai agar wo nichle pressure ka samna kare. Ussi tarah, upper bound at 151.600 ek aur layer of support hai, jo suggest karta hai ke is range ke andar currency pair ke liye ek mazboot safety net hai.

Is ke ilawa, peechle din ke trading range mein jahan pair ne 150.85 se 151.50 ke darmiyan move kiya, ye ek relatively tight range of movement dikha raha hai, jo ek consolidation phase ko indicate karta hai. Consolidation phases aksar significant market moves se pehle aate hain jab traders positions accumulate karte hain is range se breakout ya breakdown ke liye pur umeed. Ye jo fact hai ke pair apne resistance levels ke qareeb trading kar rahe hain suggest karta hai ke upside ki taraf breakout mumkin hai, khaaskar agar economic data ya geopolitical developments British Pound ke favor mein hain Japanese Yen ke mukable mein. Is ke ilawa, macroeconomic factors aur market sentiment ka bhi ahem role hota hai effect karne mein GBP/JPY currency pair par. Misal ke tor par, Bank of England aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan interest rate differentials, sath hi broader economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth rates, inflation data, aur employment figures, trader expectations aur market movements ko shape karne mein critical hoti hain. Geopolitical events, jaise ke Brexit developments ya Japan ki economic policy mein tabdeeliyan bhi is currency pair par significant impacts daal sakti hain.

Aakhri mein, GBP/JPY currency pair ke ned warfare trading activity ke sath-sath key resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan current position, traders ke liye ek potentially pivotal moment ko underline karta hai. In levels ko nazdeek se monitor karna informed trading decisions banane ke liye ahem hoga. Broader economic context ko samajhna aur aane wale economic events ke bare mein aagah rehna traders ki capability ko is complex aur dynamic market mein navigate karne mein mazeed madadgar sabit hoga.

GBPJPY TAJZIYAH 21 MAY 2024

Subah bakhair, sab ko. Umeed hai ke sab ke paas ek tajziyah ka plan hai jo hum is haftay ki trading mein execute karenge, aur mein umeed karta hoon ke aap sab ko zyada faida mil sakega. Aglay, chaliye hum gbpjpy pair ke tajziyah par chalen, jo abhi bhi upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur bullish phase mein hai, lekin kyunke high level ko test kiya ja raha hai, price neeche correct ho jayegi. Is liye, chaliye mazeed tafseel se samjhte hain ke trends ko kaise classify karna chahiye aur trading signals ke bare mein jo mein ne neeche summarise kiya hai. Gbpjpy Uptrend

Trend classification

abhi bhi achhi tarah se chal raha hai aur sellers ne current movement ko price resistance nahi diya hai, phir bhi, agar hum buyers ke strength ko dekhte hain, toh wo abhi bhi upar ki taraf trend continue karne ke liye prone hain kyunke gbpjpy ki test ho rahi area abhi ek strong resistance hai jo prices ko dobara kamzor kar sakta hai. Aur kyunke price increase abhi bhi kafi significant nahi hai, sellers price ko 197.00 tak neeche le sakte hain taake RBS area ko dobara test kiya ja sake. Phir, agar baad mein price neeche gir jata hai aur bullish momentum hota hai, toh ye yeh keh sakta hai ke buyers price ko upar push karenge moqarar current uptrend ke mutabiq. Is liye, mein ne 197.00 area mein ak white box mark kiya hai taake ek strong support area ki visualization provide ki ja sake.





Trading Signal

Mein 197.00 level par buy limit position open karunga, aur agar mujhe 197.50 area ke upar price increase banane mein kamyabi milti hai, toh price increase 199.30 zone tak pohanch jayega initial stage ke liye aur hum is area ko TP1 level ke tor par set kar sakte hain. Phir, agar aap position ko zyada der ke liye hold karna chahte hain, toh hume yeh assure karna hoga ke jab price 199.30 area mein dobara test kare, toh sellers se koi resistance na aaye, aur baad mein price upar move karega 200.50 tak, jo ke hum TP2 level ke tor par istemal kar sakte hain.

Agle, agar behtareen scenario ka samna karna pade, yani agar price white box area ke neeche gir jaye, toh hume 196.40 area mein stop loss input karna hoga kyunke price ne reversal ko indicate kiya hai, aur baad mein hum 194.50 area mein TP target ke saath sell kar sakte hain jo ke H4 timeframe ke najdeek support hai. Aap sab ka dhyan dene ke liye shukriya, jo mere tajziyah ki suni. Umeed hai ke hum is haftay gbpjpy movement se faida utha sakte hain.

GBPJPY TAJZIYAH 22 MAY 2024

GBPJPY pair ka tajziyah karte hue jo ke abhi tak resistance (R1) 198.75 ko paar nahi kar paya hai, lagta hai ke pehle yeh neeche correct hona zaroori hai EMA 50 ki taraf. Price EMA 50 ke neeche bhi correct ho sakti hai agar socha jaye ke aaj British inflation data aur kai aur data releases hain. Agar report ke nateeje 2.1% ya us se kam hote hain peechle 3.2% ke mukable, to GBPUSD pair ke price mein giravat hone se pivot point (PP) 196.74 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Lekin, dhiyan dein ke chal rahe trend ki direction abhi bhi bullish hai. Is liye jab neeche ki correction hoti hai, to sirf ek secondary reaction banane me simit hoti hai aur tajziyah ke mutabiq price movement ka silsila upar ka mukhtalif hone ke chances hain.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke histogram jo ab level 0 ke aas paas hai, batata hai ke momentum ke bare mein koi yaqeen nahi hai. Jab ke ye lagta hai ke histogram negative area mein hai, volume kafi kam hai jo ke sahi downtrend momentum dikhane ke liye kafi nahi hai. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator parameter ne overbought zone ke neeche cross kar liya hai aur level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, iska matlab hai ke current price movement ke liye neeche ki correction ki sambhavna hai. Misal ke taur par, agar parameter level 50 ko paar nahi kar paata hai aur uske baad ek cross hota hai, to price resistance (R1) 198.75 ko test karne ke liye upar ja sakti hai aur resistance (R2) 199.84 ki taraf ja sakti hai kyunke fasla zyada door nahi hai.

Position entry setup:

Bullish trend conditions ke darmiyan trend following strategy ka istemal karke trading options. Ek BUY entry position rakhna behtar hai jab price pivot point (PP) 196.74 ke aas paas neeche correct hone ka intezaar kare volatility se bachne ke liye UK inflation data ke release ke baad. Yeh zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 ya oversold zone ko cross karne mein kamyab hon. AO indicator ka histogram level 0 ya positive area mein wapas ana chahiye jo ke current trend direction conditions ke mutabiq uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai. Take profit resistance (R1) 198.75 aur support (S1) 195.65 ke aas paas rakhna stop loss ke tor par.

GBP/JPY currency pair 199.00 ke nichle qareebi range me phansa hua hai. Is haftay Japan se koi significant economic data na hone ke bawajood, traders UK inflation figures (CPI) ke liye tawajjo de rahe hain. Japan reportedly apni kamzor ho rahi currency ko defend karne ke liye 60 billion yen kharch kiya, lekin Bank of Japan (BOJ) kisi official intervention ke baare mein kuch kehne se aajkhaiz hai. Ye na transparency market mein uncertainty peda karti hai. Is confusion ko mazeed badhane ke liye, Japan se aane wale economic data pehle se zyada behtar nahi hain. Unka first-quarter GDP achanak se -0.5% contract hua, jab analyst predictions -0.4% the. Is ke sath hi, previous quarter ke growth ko 0.1% se 0.0% pe ghata diya gaya hai.

Haan ke Japan ke weak data ke bawajood, technical indicators pound ke khilaf yen ke liye aik temporary uptrend ko suggest karte hain. Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke ooper hover kar raha hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne do mahine ki high reach ki hai, jis se continuously upward pressure ka ishara milta hai. Lekin, stochastic oscillator "overbought" territory me hai, jis se ek potential correction aane ka intezar hai, agar bhi ye kuch arse tak hold kar sakta hai phir se ek reversal se pehle. Zadaahat ke alfaz mein, GBP/JPY market aik holding pattern mein hai. Traders UK se aane wale key economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain take current trend ko tod sakein. Jab ke technical indicators temporary advantage ke liye signal de rahe hain, "overbought" signal ek possible reversal ko warn kar raha hai nazdeek ke mustaqbil mein. Bank of Japan ke silence ke baare mein currency intervention ke lekin market ke uncertainty ko mazeed badha deta hai. Ikhtetami soorat mein, dovish BoJ meeting Japan sarkar pe zyada dabaav daalti hai ke wo yen ki barhti hui downgrading ko rokne ke liye kuch karain, isliye GBPJPY apne upward trajectory par jari hai.

towards this resistance. Currently, the position is supported by the SMA5 dynamic support on both daily and H4 time frames. If the position holds at the RBS area of 198.184 and crosses the SBR area of 198.441, it can be used to prepare a buy option. The target can be directed towards the SBR area of 199.234 to explore bullish opportunities. If it fails to overcome this SBR area, it may push towards the SMA5 dynamic support, which is at the 196.070 price range in the weekly period and around the SMA50 dynamic support in the H4 time frame. This is because there is a significant gap to reach this level, which had strengthened considerably last week. If rejection is confirmed around this resistance and reversal signs appear, it can be used to prepare a sell option. Buyers' EffortsBuyers are still trying to push prices up after a fall at the end of last month. Prices are nearing the peak figures they previously achieved, but market conditions indicate overbought signs. If prices respond to this situation, a decline could occur. The bullish trend can be observed on the daily time frame, where the EMA 200 position is significantly below the current price movement. Despite significant weakening, this condition does not significantly change the behavior of EMA 12 and EMA 36, which are still moving upwards.Current Market ConditionsNo major movements have been observed today. Prices remain around 197.58, which is this week's weekly open. Prices haven't moved far from Friday's high of 197.83. If the price stays above the weekly open and crosses Friday's high, the strengthening target could be between the daily resistance of 198.88 and 201.07. Conversely, if the price fails to stay above the weekly open, the EMA 12 line could become the correction target. Friday's candle











formation, which shows an almost perfect bullish candle with a high and low of 196.76 and 197.83, suggests the price may rise further.Pehla scenario involve karta hai ek reversal candle ki formation aur price movement ka upward direction mein wapas ana. Agar ye plan play out hota hai, to mein intezar karunga ke price 200.539 par resistance level tak return kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close hoga, to mein further northward movement expect karunga, takreeban 207.995 ke resistance level tak. Is resistance level ke paas, mein ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga, taake next trading direction determine kar sakoon. Zahir hai ke price movement ke dauraan designated northern target ki taraf, southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jinhe mein bullish signals search karne ke liye use karunga, nearby support levels se, upward price movement ke resumption ki anticipation mein overall bullish trend ki formation ke Dauraan. Ek alternative scenario jab price support level 197.056 ya 195.044 ko test karega, to ye plan hoga ke price in levels ke neeche close kare aur further southern movement ho. Agar ye plan execute hota hai, to mein expect karunga ke price 191.355 par ya phir 190.036 par support level tak move kare.

GBP/JPY currency pair ke char ghante ka chart analysis mein, wazeh hai ke aik mazboot upward trend samne aa raha hai, jo 156.080 key support level se shuru hua hai. Keemat mein izaafa hua hai aur ab mojud hai aur is waqt 157.500 ke baad wale psychological resistance level ke qareeb ho raha hai. GBP/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein buland taaqat dikhayi hai, aik qabil-e-notice upward trend jo traders aur analysts dono ka dhyan apne taraf kheench raha hai. Ye movement 156.080 ka ahem support level pe shuru hui, aik point jo ne pair ka bullish behavior ke liye mazboot bunyadi bunyad sabit hua hai. Ye level pehle bhi aik zaroori rukawat ke tor pe kaam karta raha hai, pair ko mazeed girne se rokta hua aur aik mojooda value trajectory ke liye aik launch pad berehta raha.

156.080 key support level ne pair ke hilne ka ahem kirdar ada kia hai haal ki performance mein. Support levels technical analysis mein ahem hote hain kyun ke ye darshate hain kahan currency pair ko mojooda price se mazeed girne se rokne ke liye demand mazboot milegi. Is case mein, 156.080 GBP/JPY ke liye aham farsh tha, jahan buyers ne step lena shuru kia, mojooda momentum ko ulta karke aik taza upward movement ko start kia. Is level pe price action ne neeche ke prices ka waziha inkaar kiya, traders ko signal dete hue ke bears control haar rahe hain aur bulls momentum hasil kar rahe hain. 156.080 se rebound hone ke baad, GBP/JPY ne buland tareen izaafa dekha, price ko upar ki taraf push kar ke 157.500 ke psychological resistance level ke qareeb le aya. Psychological levels, aksar round numbers, forex trading mein ahem hote hain kyun ke ye ziada attention aur trading activity attract karne ke tendency rakhte hain. Ye levels traders ke liye barriers ya targets ka kaam kar sakte hain, collective market psychology ke asar mein. 157.500 mark, aik round figure hote hue, aik nihayat ahem resistance level ke tor pe samne aya hai. Mojooda price action dikhata hai ke pair is resistance ko test kar raha hai, market sentiment aur potential future movements ka aham indicator.






Is uptrend ko mazeed mazboot karne ke liye mukhtalif technical indicators hain jo traders aksar istemal karte hain. Indicators jese ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Bollinger Bands prevailing trend ka additional confirmation de sakte hain. GBP/JPY ke case mein, moving averages crossover dikhate hue bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar sakte hain, jabke RSI 50 se ooper ho tou positive momentum suggest kar sakta hai. Bollinger Bands bhar rahe hote hain, zyada volatility ko denote karte hue aur trend ka potential continuation darust hote hain. Traders jo mukhtalif strategies istemal karte hain wo is scenario ko mukhtalif tareeqe se dekh sakte hain. Trend-following traders breakout confirmation ka intezar karenge 157.500 ke upar before entering long positions, jabke range-bound traders ek pullback ka intezar kar sakte hain aur 156.080 ke qarib support levels pe dakhil hone ki koshish karenge. Is ke ilawa, risk management strategies jese ke stop-loss orders set karna support levels ke neeche aur key resistance levels pe profit lena, volatile forex market mein safar mein ahem hongi.

H-4 time frame mein GBPJPY pair ka tajziya.

Market Indication: Bullish.

Is haftay ke end tak dekha gaya hai ke GBPJPY currency pair ke trading conditions se ke ye ab bhi predominantly bullish trend ki taraf ja raha hai. May ke shuru mein ek bearish koshish thi jisne price ko 191.34 ke level tak le gaya, lekin pichle haftay ek buyers ki fouj se umeed afzaai hui thi jo price ko phir se buland le gayi. Chart par price movements ab bhi upward path pe nazar aa rahe hain kyunke candlestick ne 197.00 ke level ke upar pravesh kar lia tha. To agar aap major time frames istemal karke market ke conditions dekhte hain to dekh sakte hain ke market bullish condition mein hai.

Mahine ke shuru mein price girne ke baad, yeh estimated hai ke ye sirf aik correction movement hai kyunke monthly aur weekly basis pe history ke mutabiq, consecutive izafaat abhi tak hain jo saal ke shuru ke trading session se shuru hue hain. Bullish movement Monday ko opening price level ke upar pohanch gayi thi, is liye ek assumption hai ke agle trend ab bhi upward movement mein rahega.






Yeh dekha gaya hai ke izafaat ne 197.83 ke price level tak pohanch gaya hai jese ke nayi resistance level aur agle haftay ke liye break hona hoga. Koshish karein ke candlestick ke position pe tawajjo den jo Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 ke upar aaram se khel rahe hain, jise keh raai dete hain ke market ab bhi bullish hai.

Agar is haftay ke candlestick ke trend pe hamara zikar karein to market conditions ab bhi bullish trend mein hain. Is liye, agle haftay ke trading session ke liye, behtar hai ke un price movements par tawajjo de jo ab bhi upside ki taraf lautne ki salahiyat rakhte hain. Price ko upward trend ka silsila jari rakhne ka tawaqo hai, jise zyada tar 198.25 ke price level range ki taraf respons karnay ka imkan hai.

GBPJPY H4 TIME FRAME

GBP/JPY H4 (British Pound - Japanese Yen). Heiken Ashi candles ke readings aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ke sath ek currency pair ya instrument ke movement ke prospects ka muzo par karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke is waqt market situation bullish structure ke sath mukarrar ho gaya hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein quwwat ka mojooda balance darust karta hai, charts par noise ko smooth karne mein madad deta hai aur is tarah technical analysis ko asan bana deta hai, aur trading decisions banane ki darustgi ko bhi barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (lal, neela aur peela rang ke lines) double-smoothed moving averages par support aur resistance lines banata hai aur instrument ke movement ki mojooda boundaries ko darust karta hai, jo market ke muqabil me changing dynamics ko ishara karta hai. RSI basement indicator ka istemal ek madadgar oscillator ke tor pe karna faida mand hota hai. Wabasta chart dikhata hai ke Heikin Ashi candles blue ho gaye hain aur is tarah buyers ki priority strength ko darust karte hain. Price ne channel ke upper border (neela dotted line) cross kia aur, mukhtalif point se rebound kar ke, phir se apne middle line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf ja raha hai. Isi doran, RSI oscillator bhi puri tarah se buy signal, range ko tasdeeq karta hai, jo ke 22 August, 2023 ke high aur 100-day SMA se muntakhib hai.






Ikhtitam mein, GBPJPY trading hal he mein hai jabke market participants key economic events se pehle wait-and-see approach apna rahe hain. Bulls advanced and Sstick to ke further intervention. Technical indicators ko dekhtay hue future direction of GBPJPY predict karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) abhi 25 se oopar hai, ek strong trend ki nishaani dete hue, lekin is uptrend mein momentum ghat raha lagta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral level tak pohnch gaya hai lekin isse neeche gira nahi sakti aur abhi haal he mein ek naya 4-month low touch kiya hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator, jo ek bullish breakout ka signal diya tha, ab apne moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur potentially apni middle point ki taraf crossover karne ke raaste par hai. Agar yeh crossover hota hai, to yeh ek strong bearish signal ke tor par samjha jayega. Mumkinah mustaqbil ke scenes ko dekhte hue, agar bulls control mein rahenge, to wo GBPJPY ko 24 June, 2015 tak 195.87 ki taraf pohanchane ka intehai kosish kar sakte hain. Mazeed izafaat mein wo 198.59 ki taraf aiming kar sakte hain aur shayad April 29, 2015 ko set hue all-time high tak challenge bhi kar sakte hain.

GBP/JPY: Price Analysis
Aaj, GBP/JPY ka market kisi khaas surprise ke baghair khula. Asian trading session ke dauran price action mein ahista ahista neeche ki taraf dhakel dekhne ko mili, jo ke kuch selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Is southern movement ke bawajood, yeh mumkin hai ke trend European aur American sessions mein trading ke aage badhne ke sath reverse ho jaye. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke price apni upward movement ko dobara shuru karegi aur sabse qareebi resistance level, jo ke maine 200.539 par identify kiya hai, ko aim karegi. Jab hum European trading session mein daakhil honge, to market dynamics badal sakte hain. European session aksar zyada liquidity aur higher trading volumes laata hai, jo ke ziada pronounced price movements ka sabab ban sakte hain. Moujooda technical setup ke madde nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair neeche ki levels par support dhoondhega aur jab European traders market mein shamil honge to buying interest ko attract karega. Yeh buyers ka influx price ko stabilize karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur ek potential reversal ka stage set kar sakta hai.



Is ke ilawa, American trading session, jo ke European session ke baad aata hai, ek aur ahem daur hai jo GBP/JPY ke price action par khaasa asar daal sakta hai. U.S. market apni high volatility aur global currency pairs par significant influence ke liye mashhoor hai. Koi bhi major economic announcements ya investor sentiment mein tabdeeli American session ke dauran price ko resistance level 200.539 ki taraf aur aage dhakel sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 200.539 resistance ko break karne mein naakaam hoti hai, to yeh consolidation ya hatta ke ek retracement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Magar, moujooda market conditions aur mere technical markings ko dekhte hue, mera jhukao bullish scenario ki taraf hai. Overall trend bulls ke haq mein nazar aata hai, aur Asian session ke dauran recent downward movement sirf ek temporary correction ho sakti hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein hali halat ka qeemati tajziya traders ko sabaq deta hai ke market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli arahi hai. Khas tor par, haliyat mein jo darjaat ko thukraaya jaa raha hai yeh naqabil-e-susti hai ke bearish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jabke bullish forces control lena shuru kar rahi hain. Yeh tabdeeli wazeh ho gayi 156.00 level se aham rebound ke baad. Is rebound ke baad, GBP/JPY ne aik ahem urooj dekha, jo ke keemat ko 157.500 ke intehai psychological resistance level ki taraf dhaakel raha hai. Yeh levels, aksar gol numbriyon se zahir hotay hain, ahem hote hain kyunkay yeh aksar bari tawajjo aur trading activity ko apni traf kheenchte hain. Traders aur market participants in levels ko dehan se ghurate hain, jo ke in levels ke nazdeek pohnchte hue keemat mein izafaat aur potential teshashiyaat ka sabab bante hain. GBP/JPY mein 157.500 level aik aisa psychological barrier ka classic misaal hai.



Is point tak pouchne wale market dynamics ko tafseel se ghoorna bohot zaroori hai. Ibtidayi tor par, 156.00 level ke aas paas ki keemat mein action nay namoodar inqar dikha. Yeh inqar yeh zahir karta hai ke keemat ko kam karne ki koshishen mazboot khareedari ke interest se mil rahi hain, jo ke mazeed giravat rok rahi hain. Bohat se traders ke liye, yeh ek wazeh ishara hai ke bearish pressure kamzor ho raha hai. Jab bechnay walay kei koshishon ke bawajood keemat ko neeche na girane diya jata hai, to yeh aksar yeh maani jata hai ke in neeche ke levels par demand itni mazboot hai ke bechnay ke pressure ko absorb kar sakti hai. Natija unanvi momentum ke ikhtiyar ka taameel karna shuru ho gaya. Yeh tabdeeli technical indicators aur market jazbat se bhi ta'eed milti hai. Traders jo in isharon ko dekhtay hain woh aam tor se inhein long positions mein dakhil hone ka ishara samajh kar mazeed keemat mein izafaat ka imkan dekhte hain. 157.500 ki taraf agle urooj ka saboot dene wala yeh urooj market dynamics mein tabdeeli ka ishara hai, jahan bulls taqat hasil kar rahe hain aur keemat ko ooncha chala rahe hain.



Forex mein psychological levels ki ahmiyat ko azayat nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh levels mukhtalif market participants ke liye ahem points of interest hai, jo ke institutional traders, retail traders aur algorithmic trading systems ko shamil karte hain. In levels ke ird gird orders ka jama' hona bari volume ke anjam hone ke tor par numainda keemat pe itna izafaat dene wala hota hai. GBP/JPY ke case mein, 157.500 level ki taraf approach shayad market scrutiny aur trading activity ko mazeed bhar deti hai. Iske ilawa, psychological levels aksar khud pur-aetimaad basha hai. Gol numbri jaise 157.500 ka aham resistance level hoga ke umoomi ummi pehle se hi yeh umeed hai, ke traders is keemat ke aas paas orders lagayein ge, is ka makhsus ehamiyat ko mazboot karne wale soorat. Jab keemat is level ke qareeb pohnchti hai, barh gyi activity tezi se teshashiyaat aur jaldi keemat ke munazzam giravat ko khatam ho sakti hai.

GBP/JPY Pair Analysis Saturday, 18 May 2024

Market Indication: Bullish

Is haftay ke ikhtatam tak, GBP/JPY currency pair ne ek numaya bullish trend dikhaya. May ke shuru mein aik bearish koshish ke bawajood, jo ke keemat ko 191.34 tak le gayi, pichle haftay kharidarun se taqatwar push dekha gaya, jo ke keemat ko phir se ooncha utha diya. Candlestick ne 197.00 level ko toorna ka kamyaab qaum ko sabit kia, jis se major time frames pe dekhne par market ab bhi bullish condition mein nazar aati hai.

Market Ka Jaaiza
Bullish Harkat: Haal ki keemat ki harkatein is saal ke shuru mein mojooda urooj ke tehat chal rahi lagti hain. May ke shuru ki keemat giravat iss barri bullish trend ke andar ek durusti maloom hoti hai.

Resistance Levels: Keemat ne aik naya resistance level 197.83 tak pohnch gaya hai, jo ke agle hafte toorna hoga. Candlestick asani se 60 aur 150 Simple Moving Averages ke upar hai, jo ke bullish jazbat ko mazid mazboot kar rahe hain.

Haftawar Chart Ki Nazar
Mozu'a Hal: Is haftay ke price ne aik poori bullish candle banai, jo ke aasani se 197.056 resistance level ko toor diya. Main umeed karta hoon ke ye urooj harkat agle haftay jari rahe gi.

Maqasid: Next resistance levels 199.777 aur 200.539 pe hain. Agar keemat inn levels ke upar rehti hai, toh lambi muddat ka maqbooza 207.995 ke taraf ho sakta hai.
Mumkin Scenarios






Continued Upward Movement: Agar keemat 199.777 aur 200.539 resistance levels ke upar rehti hai, to agla maqbooza 207.995 hoga. Inn levels ke aas paas, main trading setup ki talaash karunga taa ke agle rukh ka tehaqeeqat kar saku.

Pullback and Reversal: Ulta, agar aik reversal candle 199.777 ya 200.539 resistance levels ke aas paas banai, to keemaat neeche ja sakti hai. Iss mamle mein, main ye dekhunga ke keemaat wapas 197.056 ya 195.044 support levels pe pohnchti hai. Inn support levels ke aas paas, main bullish signals ki talaash karunga taa ke agle urooj ki tawaqe ko samajh saku.

Ikhtitam
Mukhtasir tor pe, main umeed karta hoon ke keemat agle haftay bhi shumal ki taraf jayegi, qareebi resistance level ko imtihan me daale gi. Bazaari halaat ke mutabiq, main apni strategy ko baraks mizaj karoonga. Tawaja mojooda urooj trend par rahegi, rang ke 198.25 ke aas paas aur aage ke nishana ko nishana banaye gi. Agar mazeed southern targets ki mumkinat hoti hain, to main is waqt iska tazkira nahi karta ke mojooda taqatwar bullish momentum par ghoor hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair nay aik qabil-e-dhaan downward trend dikha raha hai, jo ke market mein ek bearish jazbat ko darust kar raha hai. Ye harkat darust hoti hai ke bearish taqat barh rahi hain, jis se kharidarun ke liye potential bechne ke mauqay dekhne ko mil rahe hain. H4-hour chart ki tajziyaat ke mutabiq, Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur Simple Moving Average (SMA) lines dono bearish momentum ke saath mawafiq hain, jis se ek musalsal niche chalkane ki sambhavna ko mazboot kiya jata hai. Haal hi mein, GBP/JPY pair 154.76 critical support level ke qareeb aaraha hai. Agar pair is had tak gir jaye, to ye ek mazboot bechne ka signal samjha jayega, jis se traders ko short positions enter karne ke liye tajwez diya jayega. Mustamir bearish dabao saaf ishara hai ke sellers market par dominion kar rahe hain, keemat ko neeche push karte hue.

Market jazbat bhi is bearish trend mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Khatra se bachao, shayad global geopolitical tensions ya ma'ashi laashaariyat ki wajah se, amooman fitnah ko safaid mahi qarar di jati hai. Isi tarah, market ke stress ke doran, investors yen ki taraf bhagte hain, jis se iski qeemat digar currencies ke khilaf barh jati hai, jis mein British pound bhi shamil hai. Mazeed, central bank policies GBP/JPY pair ko bhi asar andaz bana sakti hain. Agar Bank of England kisi nichli interest rates ya jaari monetary easing ki daleel deti hai, to ye pound ko aur kamzor kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar Bank of Japan ko apni policy tighten karne ki isharaat aati hain, walaun kaam hota hai, to yen ko mazboot kar sakti hain.





Ikhtitam mein, GBP/JPY currency pair waqtanfiz bearish asar ke neeche hai, majboot technical aur bunyadi signals is musalsal giravat ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Traders ko 154.76 key support level ka behtareen nigaar rahna chahiye. Agar ye level nicha toot jata hai, to mazboot bechne ka signal tasdiq ho jayega, jo bearish trend ka faida uthane wale ke liye mazeed mauqe dene wala hai. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ke liye ahem hai ke woh ehtiyaat se kaam lein aur sab factors ka tawazon rakhein, jo is pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh par asar andaaz ho sakte hain.