جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY ke taraqqi raftar mein izafa hone ki wajah se GBP/JPY exchange rate mein aham kami aayi. UK aur Japan ke darmiyan faiz daro ke ummeedat mil jaane ke natayej mein kam hone se investors ko GBP/JPY ko qaim rakhne ka silsila kamzor ho gaya. UK mein kam tajawazat se nuksan ki tawajjo par gumaan tha ke Bank of England June mein faiz daro ko khatam kardegi. Yeh pond ko kamzor kar deta hai kyun ke kam faiz daro amooman foreign investment ko kam kar dete hain. Mukhtalif taur par, Bank of Japan ne haal hi mein faiz daro ko ek bohot hi kam manfi se barha diya. Yeh amal investors ko yeh sochne par majboor kar diya ke kya yeh ek martaba ka waqiya hai ya phir yeh uchit daro ki taraf lamba arsa ka rujhan hai, jo ke yen ko qeemat mein izafa kar sakta hai. Markazi bank ke bayanat ne exchange rate ko khas tor par mutasir kiya. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne do ya teen faiz daro ki kata'i ummeedon ko "maqool" qarar diya, jo ke June mein ek faiz dar ko lekar shakshiyat ko mazeed chadhane ka sabab bana. Is ke ilawa, Thursday ko jaari kamzor services PMI data ne UK ki iqtisadiya tasawar ko kamzor kiya, aur faiz dar mein izafa ki sambhavna ko barha diya. UK services PMI maqool tajawuzat aur pehle ke reading se kam tak gira. Magar, UK ki iqtisadi surat-e-hal bilkul andheray mein nahi hai. The Guardian ke mutabiq, UK ke baray tareen qumi imarat tanzeem ke tajziya ke mutabiq, pehli dafa January 2023 se barh chuki hain. Yeh Bank of England ke qarz dene ke data ke mutabiq achanak faiz daro mein izafa ki surge ko dikhata hai jo February mein, September 2022 se, un ki buland tareen satah tak pohanch gayi.

Takneekee ishaaroon ko dekhte hue, bazaar be fikri nazar aata hai. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehne se ek range-bound market ka zahir hai. Isi tarah, RSI 50 ke aas paas manfi hai jis se investors ke darmiyan halat ka abhi rukh maloom hota hai. Sab se ahem baat, Stochastic indicator darmiyan mein nazdeek qareebi nazar ata hai jo ke GBP/JPY jodi mein ek nazuk mizaji ka izhar karta hai. Agar bullish investor phir se hosla afzai karein, toh woh shayad koshish kareinge ke GBP/JPY ko January 2nd, 2024 ke uptrend line ke upar le jaayein aur July 21st, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke dafa ke sath muqabla karein. Yeh naye 2024 ke high ko 193.52 ke dafa se upar le ja sakta hai, jahan 195.00 ka ilaqa agla mumkin nishana ho sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq H1 timeframe par instrument ki tajwez ko barhane ka tajruba nihayat mashwara hai. Marketi muamla jo ke munafa hasil karne ke liye behtareen hai ko chunte hue market transaction ka algorithm kai ahem shurui shurwat ko shamil karta hai. Sab se pehle, aapko higher H4 timeframe par mojooda trend ka sahi rukh durust taur par maloom karna hai, taake market ke jazbat ko qayam karne mein ghalti na ho, jo ke maali nuqsan ka bais ban sakta hai. To chaliye, 4 ghanton ka time frame rakhte hue apne instrument ka chart kholte hain aur mukhya shart ka jaaiza lete hain - H1 aur H4 ke time periods par trend movements zaroor milte hon. Is tarah, pehle qaid ka poora honay par, hume yaqeen ho jata hai ke aaj market hamen long trade ka perfect mauqa deta hai. Mazeed tajziya mein, hum teen kaam karne wale indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke readings par tawajju denge. Hum us waqt ka intezar karenge jab Hama aur RSI indicators hara aur neela ho jayein, jo ke market mein abhi kharidar hukmarani ka aham saboot samjha jayega. Jaise hi ye hota hai, hum ek kharidari mua'awin kholte hain. Hum position ko magnetic levels indicator ke ishaaron ke mutabiq chhodte hain. Aaj, signal ka processing karne ke liye sab se zyada mutawaqqi levels ye hain - 191.584. Aglay, hum chart par tehat dekhte hain ke price is muntakhib magnetic level ke qareeb kaise raftar karti hai, aur faisla karte hain ke agla kya karna hai - kya market mein position chhodna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya pehle hi hasil kiye gaye munafa ko lena hi. Potential kamai barhane ke liye, aap ek trawl bhi jod sakte hain.

GBP/JPY ke tanaza ki bina par exchange rate nayay paichida ho gaya. Yeh UK aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate ke tawazun ke intezaroon ke bais ghat gaya. Yeh investors ko GBP/JPY ko rakhne ka hosla kam kar diya. UK mein, kam mahangi ki tawaqoat ne is intezar ko janam diya ke Bank of England June mein interest rates ko kam karay ga. Yeh pond ko kamzor kar deta hai kyun ke kam interest rates amuman foreign investment ko rukawat dalta hain. Mukhtalif, Bank of Japan ne haal hi mein interest rates ko bohot kam negative darjay se barha diya. Yeh amal investors ko ye sochne par majboor kiya ke kya yeh aik mukhtalif waqia tha ya lambay arsay tak ke buland rates ki taraf aik dor ka aghaz tha, jo ke yen ko qeemat mehsoos karne ka amal kar sakta hai. Markazi bankon ke izhaarat ne exchange rate par bari asar dala. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne is saal do ya teen rate cuts ki market expectations ko "maqool" qarar diya, jis se June ke rate cut ki tawaqo paida hui. Is ke ilawa, Maheeni services PMI data jo ke Thursday ko jaari kiya gaya, UK ki maashi tabaiyat ko kamzor kar diya, jis se rate cut ki tawaqo barh gayi. UK services PMI tamam tawaqoat aur peechli reading ke nichayi gir gaya. Magar, UK ki maashi surat e haal poori tarah se andheri nahi hai. The Guardian ke mutabiq, UK ke barayat tareen qaumi building society ki taza riport ne January 2023 ke pehle bar gharon ki keemat mein izafa ki khabar di. Yeh us ke baad aaya hai ke Bank of England ke izhaarayat data ne February mein mortgage approvals mein aik ghair mutawaqa izafa ka izhar kiya, jo September 2022 ke se pahunch gaya

Technical indicators ki taraf dekhtay hue, market beitak rahta hai. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehne se range-bound market ki soorat hai. Mukhtalif, RSI 50 ke qareeb tair raha hai jo ke investors ke darmiyan mojooda shak o shube ko tasdeeq karta hai. Sab se zaroori, Stochastic indicator darmiyan ka nazriya ko dubara bayan karta hai. Agar bull market ko aetmaad mila, toh woh shayad GBP/JPY ko January 2nd, 2024 ke uptrend line ke upar la sakte hain aur July 21st, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke resistance ko challenge kar sakte hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh naye 2024 high ko 193.52 ke current high ke upar le jaye, jahan 195.00 ke ilaqe agla mumkin target ho

GBP/JPY

Jumeraat ko GBP/JPY ke liye, ek chhote se dakshini pullback ke baad, keemat ulta hui aur ek atulniye bullish impulse ke saath uchhal gayi, jiski wajah se ek poori uttari mombatti bani, jo aaram se upar se guzar gayi aur nishchit roop se samarthan ke level ke upar sthir ho gayi, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 195.883 par sthit hai. Mojooda halaat mein, mein puri tarah tasleem karta hoon ke agle haftay, chhote dakshini pullback ka ant hone ke baad, uttari gati jari rahegi aur is halat mein, jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha hai, main nazar rakhoonga samarthan ke level par, jo 199.777 par sthit hai. Is samarthan ke level ke paas, halaat ke vikas ke do mansube ho sakte hain.

Pehla mansuba yeh hai ke price is level ke upar sthir hone ke baad aur aage badhe. Agar yeh yojana kaam kar jaati hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level tak jaaye, jo 207.995 par sthit hai. Is samarthan ke level ke paas, main trading setup ka formation ka intezar karunga, jo trading ke mazeed raaste ka tay karega. Bila shuba, main tasleem karta hoon ke jab price nirdharit door uttari lakshya ki taraf badhega, to dakshini pullbacks shamil ho sakte hain, jo main naye samarthan ke darjo se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karunga, punarutthan ki ummid mein, bade purn uttari trend ke hisse ke roop mein.



Ek doosra vikalp, jab resistance level 199.777 ke kareeb price movement ka ho, ek palatne wali mombatti ka formation aur price movement ka punarprarambh, correction ke hisse ke roop mein, hoga. Agar yeh yojana kaam kar jaati hai, to main intezar karunga ke price ka correctional rollback samarthan ke level tak ho, jo 195.883 par sthit hai. Is samarthan ke level ke paas, main uttari price movement ka punah shuru hone ki ummid mein bullish signals dhoondhta rahunga.

Bila shuba, yeh bhi ek option hai ki zyada door dakshini targets ka kaam kiya jaaye, jo mere marking ke mutabiq 193.535 aur 192.949 par sthit hain, lekin agar di gayi yojana ko amal mein laaya jaata hai, to main iske samarthan ke levels ke paas bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye jari rahunga, uttari price movement ka punah prashikshan ki ummid mein. Aam tor par, seedhe shabdon mein kaha jaaye, agle haftay mein main sthaaniya tor par poora tasleem karta hoon ke price uttar ki disha mein jaari rahegi aur najdeek ke samarthan ke level par kaam kiya jaayega, lekin phir main bazar ke halat se aage badhunga.

usd / jpy

teen isharay seedh mein rakhtay hain aur aik wazeh signal faraham karte hain. aayiyae har aik isharay par ghhor karen aur yeh ke woh aaj ke liye hamaray tijarti faislon ki rahnumai kaisay kar satke hain. sab se pehlay, extended ریگریشن stop and rivers ( xrsar ) لکیری ریگریشن انڈیکیٹر aik taaqatwar tool hai jo market mein rujhanaat aur mumkina ریورسل points ki shanakht ke liye istemaal hota hai. mojooda qeemat aur is ki tareekhi harkat ke darmiyan talluq ka tajzia karkay, xrsar taajiron ko behtareen dakhlay aur kharji raastoon ka taayun karne mein madad karta hai. aaj ki trading mein, hum aisi misalon ki talaash karen ge jahan xrsar mojooda rujhan mein tabdeeli ka mahswara deta hai, jo mumkina khareed o farokht ke mauqa ki nishandahi karta hai .

agla, rishta daar taaqat ka asharih ( rsi ) market mein ziyada kharidi hui ya ziyada farokht honay wali sorat e haal ka jaiza lainay ke liye qeematon mein haliya tabdeelion ki shiddat ki pemaiesh karta hai. jab rsi 70 se oopar jata hai, to yeh tajweez karta hai ke alay ko zaroorat se ziyada khareeda ja sakta hai, jo manfi pehlu ke mumkina ulat jane ka ishara deta hai. is ke bar aks, jab rsi 30 se نیچے girta hai, to yeh over sealed halaat ki nishandahi karta hai, jo oopar ki taraf mumkina ulat jane ki tajweez karta hai. rsi ko –apne tajziye mein shaamil karkay, hum un kaleedi sthon ki nishandahi kar satke hain jahan qeemat ulat sakti hai, jis se hamein ziyada se ziyada points par market mein daakhil honay ka mauqa milta hai .

aakhir mein, moving average convergence divergence ( macd ) oscillator aik trained فالونگ momentum انڈیکیٹر hai jo kisi alay ki qeemat ke do mutharrak اوسطوں ke darmiyan talluq ko zahir karta hai. jab macd line signal line se oopar cross karti hai, to yeh taizi ki raftaar ki nishandahi karti hai, jo mumkina kharidari ka mauqa batati hai. is ke bar aks, jab macd line signal line se neechay cross karti hai, to yeh mandi ki raftaar ka pata deti hai, jo ke mumkina farokht ke mawaqay ki nishandahi karti hai. macd oscillator ki nigrani kar ke, hum raftaar mein tabdeelion ki nishandahi kar satke hain aur is ke mutabiq –apne tijarti faislon ko tarteeb day satke hain .

aaj ke munafe bakhash trading ke liye intehai durust sifarshaat ko muntakhib karne ke liye, hum un teen asharion ke darmiyan sangam ki talaash karen ge. misaal ke tor par, agar xrsar aik mumkina ریورسل point ki nishandahi karta hai, aur rsi aur macd dono bal tarteeb zaroorat se ziyada kharidi gayi sharait aur mandi ki raftaar dikha kar is signal ki tasdeeq karte hain, to yeh tijarti set up mein hamaray yaqeen ko mazboot karta hai. is ke bar aks, agar isharay mutazaad signal faraham karte hain, jaisay ke xrsar aik ulat ka mahswara dete hain jabkay rsi aur macd musalsal taizi ki nishandahi karte hain, to hum market mein daakhil honay se pehlay ahthyat bart satke hain ya mazeed tasdeeq ka intzaar kar satke hain .

aakhir mein, tosiay ریگریشن stopandreverse لکیری ریگریشن isharay, relative strength index, aur moving average convergence divergence oscillator ko –apne tajziye mein zam kar ke, hum mojooda shmaryati data ki bunyaad par bakhabar tijarti faislay kar satke hain aur aaj ke tijarti session mein ziyada se ziyada munafe haasil kar satke hain .

Is haftay ke trading ke doran, GBP/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka performance phelaya, lekin amooman trend ab bhi bullish hai, aur bull ke maqool mukhtalif resistance level tak phunch gaye the, jaise ke 192.24, pehle ke analysis likhne ke waqt, 191.20 ke qareeb thahar gaya. Khatra pasandi aur Japanese yen ki kamzori, Japan ke market mein dakhal ke intezar mein, is haftay ko bull ne trend ko apne kabze mein rakha.

Maeeshat ki taraf aur global markazi bank policy ki future ke taraf. Major Bank of England survey inflation expectations mein kami ki tasdiq karta hai. Mazeed nishaan hain ke UK ke karobari inflation expectations jari rah rahe hain, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karte hain ke Bank of England June mein interest rates ko kum kar sakti hai. Is lehaz se, Bank of England ke dawr-e-tajziye mein Britain ke companies ke liye DMP survey ne agle saal ke consumer price index inflation expectations ko March mein 3.2% par gira diya, jo ke February mein 3.3% se kami hai.

Apni taraf, ma'aashiyat dan kehte hain ke inflation expectations hasool shuda inflation ka aham hissa hain, jo ke matlab hai ke girte hue inflation expectations yeh nishaan hain ke Bank of England apni raah par hai inflation ko 2.0% tak laane ki. Economic calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, British Consumer Price Index ke liye teen saalon ke liye inflation expectations March tak 2.7% par gire, yaani February ke teen maheenon ke mukablay mein 0.1 percentage points kam. Halankeh inflation expectations girte hue hain, lekin yeh darmiyani muddat ke expectations bank ke 2.0% ke nishan se ooncha rehte hain. Bank of England ke kuch members ne haal hi mein dawa ki hai ke 2.0% ko hasil karne ke liye interest rates ko lambi dour ke liye 5.25% par rakhna zaroori hai, jabke doosre jaise Governor Andrew Bailey June mein rate cut ki taraf ja rahe hain.

Magar, Britain ki companies mein inflation expectations ki trend aur dynamics saaf nazar aati hai. Special price inflation ka saalana rate March ke teen maheenon tak 4.1% par muntazir tha, February ke teen maheenon tak 4.3% ke mukablay. Lekin mukhya aistadal pressure, wage growth, uncha hai, lekin niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Saalana wage growth March ke teen maheenon tak 6.4% tak pahunch gaya, jo ke February ke teen maheenon ke mukablay 0.3 percentage points kam hai. Teen maheenon ke averages ke mutabiq, UK ke businesses apne pay growth ko agle 12 maheenon mein 1.5 percentage points se kam hone ki umeed rakhte hain. Agle saal ki wage growth ki umeed teen maheenon ke moving average ke mutabiq 4.9% tak giri.

Saalana rozi roti ki istehkamat March ke teen maheenon tak 2.0% tak pahunch gayi, jo February ke teen maheenon tak 2.3% se kam hai. Agle saal ki rozi roti ki umeed teen maheenon ke moving average ke mutabiq March mein 1.4% thi, jo February ke teen maheenon ke mukablay 0.2 percentage points se kam hai. Yeh mazeed saboot faraham karta hai ke kaam ki sharait mein naram ho rahi hain, jo rozi roti ki istehkamat ko jaari rakhte hain aur inflation ko target tak mustaqil tor par kam karne ki umeed rakhte hain.

Sterling ki tajziya Japanese yen ke khilaf aaj:

Daily chart ke karobar par istehsal ke mutabiq, British Pound ke price Japanese Yen ke khilaf (GBP/JPY) apne mazboot upri raste par hai, 192.00 resistance ke wapasstabil karne ke baad, ki saath technical indicators ka trend mazboot levels ki khareed tak ki taraf. Upar se, main ab bhi sterling ko Japanese yen ke khilaf bechna pasand karta hoon. GBP/JPY ke uptrend ke shuru mein tooti takleefat 189.50 aur 188.00 ke support levels ki taraf jaane ki zarurat hai.

GBP/JPY ki technical nazar:
GBP/JPY ki fundamental analysis ke liye, apko British aur Japanese markets par gehri tehqiqat karna hoga. Ye apko dono currencies ki asli qeemat ko andaza lagane mein madad karega - yaani ke qeemat jis taraf lean karni chahiye. Iska mukhtalif tareeqon se mawazna kiya ja sakta hai. Aap economic, samaji aur siyasi ahem data points ka tajziya karke shuruat kar sakte hain, jo ke UK aur Japan ke darmiyan trade agreements (imports aur exports) ke dauran aham hote hain. GBP/JPY par fundamental analysis karne mein, aapko hamari economic calendar par nazar rakhni chahiye taake aise events ka andaza lagaya ja sake jo pair ke qeemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Haal hi mein hone wale economic reports ko yaane ke abhi publish hone wale reports ko note kiya jana chahiye. Yaad rakhein ke sirf economic events ko hi nahi balki unka market ke reaction ko bhi ghor se dekhna chahiye.

GBP/JPY ne pehle 190.02 tak ki shuruaati kami ke baad recover kiya lekin 193.51 resistance ko torne mein na kaamyaab raha. Is hafte ka pehla bias mazeed consolidation ke liye neutral hai. Upar ki taraf, 193.51 ka tor bullish trend ko 195.86 lambi muddat ki resistance tak phir se shuru kar dega. Neche ki taraf, agar 190.02 tor diya jata hai to bias neeche ki taraf jaayega 187.94 support ki taraf. Technical analysis of GBP/JPY chart patterns, technical indicators aur historical price action ke saath wabasta hai. Pair par is tareeqe ke analysis ko karke, kuch traders ye maante hain ke aap uski qeemat ka agla kya kya karega pehchan sakte hain. Technical indicators mathematical calculations hote hain, jo ke price chart par lines ke roop mein plot kiye jate hain, aur jo aapko apni pasand ki market mein kuch signals aur trends ka pata lagane mein madad karte hain. Trading indicators ke mukhtalif qisam hote hain, jinmein leading indicators aur lagging indicators shamil hote hain. GBP/JPY ke case mein, leading indicator ek forecast signal hota hai jo pair ke future price movements ko predict karta hai. GBP/JPY taiziyati hawa mein mufaqt rehta hai jab tak ke 193.51 ke neeche koi tezi nahi aati. Upar ki taraf, 193.51 ke tootne se bara up trend phir se shuru ho jayega jo 195.86 lamba arsa ka resistance hai. Neeche ki taraf, agar 190.02 toot jaye to bias neeche ki taraf ho jayega aur 187.94 support ki taraf muratab ho jayega. 187.94 support ka tootna pehla medium term topping ka pehla ishaara hai. Warna, mana'zar retreat ke doran bullish rahega.

gbp/jpy price overview
Aaj GBP/JPY mein, market aik chhota gap ke saath khula, Asian session ke doran khareeddaar qareeb tareen resistance level tak pohanch gaye, jo ke mere tajziya ke mutabiq 199.77 par waqai hai. Halat mein aik mazboot janoobi tashkeelat ke liye impulse movement hai. Dekhna dilchasp hoga ke aaj ka session kis tarah se khatam hota hai, aur agar aik bearish reversal candle bana hai to main nishana rakhunga support level par jo 193.53 par hai ya support level par jo 192.94 par hai. In support levels ke qareeb do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar aik reversal candle ki tashkeel aur upar ki taraf ke price movement ka phir se aghaaz hai. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab hota hai to main umeed karunga ke price resistance level par 195.88 ya resistance level par jo 199.77 hai wapas aaye. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ka intezar karunga taake aglay trading direction ko tay kia ja sake. Zaroor, mumkin hai ke price aur bhi zyada buland push karde resistance level tak jo 207.995 par hai, lekin yeh tabdeel hone wali situation aur price ke designated higher northern targets ke react hone par munhasir hoga. Agar 192.94 ke qareeb pohanchte waqt ek alternative scenario ho, jahan price is level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai aur jari rehti hai janoobi taraf.
technical analysis

Agar yeh mansooba hota hai, to main ummeed karunga ke price support level par 190.03 ya support level par jo 187.97 par jaayega. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, jo upar ki taraf ke price movement ki dobaara shuruat ki ummeed se hain. Aam tor par, aaj ke liye, main kisi khaas dilchasp cheez ko sthiti ke nazdeeki support levels se bullish signals dhoond raha hoon. Aam tor par, main global northern trend ko jaari rakhne ka mizaaj rakhta hoon, is liye main qareeb ke support levels se bullish signals ki talash kar raha hoon.

fundamental overview.
British Pound (GBP) Japanese Yen (JPY) ke khilaf zameen haar raha hai, haalaanki hafta kamzor shuruaat ke baad. Ye baat ek shaant Asian trading session ke baad aati hai, jab Japani market band tha. GBP ki kamzori BOJ ka faisla peechle Jumma ko mausool nizaam-e-maaliyat ko barqarar rakhne ka hai. Shuru mein is ne JPY par neeche ki dabao daala, kyun ke investors ko tang karna mutawaqqi tha. Magar afsos ke saath saaray market ki aitmaad ke andazat tehqeeqat pe hai, JPY ki kami ko mehdood kar diya. Ye maddah dhamaka GBP/JPY jori ko taqat di ja rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, Japan aur doosri badi arzoo ko behtar faida dene ki tawwaqo ke darmiyan aik interest rate gap ka phelao JPY par upar ki dabao daal raha hai. Ye ye manati hai ke investors khud ko lambay arsay mein JPY ki mazbooti ke liye muqarrar kar rahe hain, haalaanki chand rozon mein neeche gir raha hai. Ye bullish outlook GBP/JPY ke liye haal hi ke technical indicators se mazeed hosla afzaai kiya ja raha hai. Qeemat ke amal ne char musalsal bullish candles banaye hain, jo aik mumkinah breakout ki alamat hai. Agla nishana lagbhag 195.87 level hai, jo June 2015 mein saalana uchhaya set hua tha. Ye harkat BOJ ki meeting ke baad ke nirasaangi hai. Bank se kisi bhi hawkish signals ki kami ko JPY ke liye mani ja rahi hai, jo maamoolan Japani authorities ko currency ko kamzor karna ke liye intervention karne ki himmat de sakta hai.

aayi. UK aur Japan ke darmiyan faiz daro ke ummeedat mil jaane ke natayej mein kam hone se investors ko GBP/JPY ko qaim rakhne ka silsila kamzor ho gaya. UK mein kam tajawazat se nuksan ki tawajjo par gumaan tha ke Bank of England June mein faiz daro ko khatam kardegi. Yeh pond ko kamzor kar deta hai kyun ke kam faiz daro amooman foreign investment ko kam kar dete hain. Mukhtalif taur par, Bank of Japan ne haal hi mein faiz daro ko ek bohot hi kam manfi se barha diya. Yeh amal investors ko yeh sochne par majboor kar diya ke kya yeh ek martaba ka waqiya hai ya phir yeh uchit daro ki taraf lamba arsa ka rujhan hai, jo ke yen ko qeemat mein izafa kar sakta hai. Markazi bank ke bayanat ne exchange rate ko khas tor par mutasir kiya. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne do ya teen faiz daro ki kata'i ummeedon ko "maqool" qarar diya, jo ke June mein ek faiz dar ko lekar shakshiyat ko mazeed chadhane ka sabab bana. Is ke ilawa, Thursday ko jaari kamzor services PMI data ne UK ki iqtisadiya tasawar ko kamzor kiya, aur faiz dar mein izafa ki sambhavna ko barha diya. UK services PMI maqool tajawuzat aur pehle ke reading se kam tak gira. Magar, UK ki iqtisadi surat-e-hal bilkul andheray mein nahi hai. The Guardian ke mutabiq, UK ke baray tareen qumi imarat tanzeem ke tajziya ke mutabiq, pehli dafa January 2023 se barh chuki hain. Yeh Bank of England ke qarz dene ke data ke mutabiq achanak faiz daro mein izafa ki surge ko dikhata hai jo February mein, September 2022 se, un ki buland tareen satah tak pohanch gayi

Takneekee ishaaroon ko dekhte hue, bazaar be fikri nazar aata hai. Average Directional Action Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehne se ek range-bound market ka zahir hai. Isi tarah, RSI 50 ke aas paas manfi hai jis se investors ke darmiyan halat ka abhi rukh maloom hota hai. Sab se ahem baat, Stochastic indicator darmiyan mein nazdeek qareebi nazar ata hai jo ke GBP/JPY jodi mein ek nazuk mizaji ka izhar karta hai. Agar bullish investor phir se hosla afzai karein, toh woh shayad koshish kareinge ke GBP/JPY ko January 2nd, 2024 ke uptrend line ke upar le jaayein aur July 21st, 2005 ke low 192.57 ke dafa ke sath muqabla karein. Yeh naye 2024 ke high ko 193.52

GBP/JPY: Keemat ka amal ka istemal karke market ke trend

GBP/JPY jodi 192.77 par kam hui, iska zahir cautiousness hai is hafte ke unchaai ko paar karne mein asafal hone ke baad, jo zyadatar UK ki khidmaton ke data ki kami ko zahir karta hai. British pound ne UK ki khidmaton ke sector mein kamzori se nuksan uthaya, jo jodi ke neeche aane ka karan bana. Is natije mein, investors ne soch samajh kar apni rai dene ka faida uthaya, badi nivesh karne se pehle chaurai arthik manzar ko dekhte hue. Japani authorities ke amal se mutaliq afwahon ki wajah se bazaar ki jazbaat ko roka gaya tha. Magar, chalti hui market gatividhi ke darmiyan, H4 chart par kuch moharik averages (MAs) ne bullish sentiment ke liye support pesh kiya hai. Agar yeh MAs mazboot support jari rakhte hain, to bikri karnewale apni positions ko kam kar sakte hain, jisse kharidar market mein dobara shamil ho sakte hain. As a result, ek mouqa ke asool ke sath lambe samay tak positions lena munasib lagta hai.



Halanki keemat ke hawale se quote latar linear channel ke neeche (jo lal dahin rekha dikhata hai) gir gaye, lekin unhone is se bounce kiya aur ab ye channel ke markazi rekha (peeli dahin rekha) ki taraf trend kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI (14) indicator kharidne ka signal tasdeeq karta hai, apni oopar ki raftar aur overbought threshold se fasla ke saath. In observations ke aadhar par, yeh samjha ja sakta hai ke kharidari trades mein kamiyabi ke bohot zyada imkanat hain, jo lambe samay tak positions lena ko support karta hai. Main take profit point ko 193.199 ke keemat par upper channel boundary (neela dahin rekha) ke aas pass tasawar karta hoon. Bazaar ki harkatein aksar ghair mutawaqqa hoti hain, is liye jab order munasib hua to position ko break even kar dena munasib hai. Daily chart ka tajziya karke, GBP/JPY jodi ek mazboot oopar ki taraf ka trend dikhata hai, jaisa ke iski 192.00 ke resistance level se oonchaar hone ke zariye saboot milta hai, jo takneekiyat ke indicators ko buland overbought levels ke qareeb pohanchata hai.

GBP/JPY
Sab ko shab bakhair, sab ko maloom hai ke 190.65 ke range mein trade hai aur yahan se darust raftar ki mazeed taaqat mil sakti hai. 190.65 ke range ka jhoota breakout bhi manzoor hai. Is ke baad, izafa jaari rahega. Mumkin hai ke hum 190.00 ke range mein bhi gir sakte hain aur izafa mazeed jaari rahega. Jab hume 190.00 par jhootay breakout ki tasdeeq milti hai, to izafa us se jaari rahega. Halqi corrections ab tak jaari reh sakti hain, izafa mazeed jaari rahega. Agar yeh 190.00 ke neeche mazboot hota hai, to yeh bechnay ka ishaara hoga, lekin izafa mazeed jaari rahega aur hume 192.25 ka breakout mil jayega. 190.70 ke range mein support hai. Mumkin hai ke izafa bina kisi roll back ke abhi ke maqami darust se jaari rahega. GBP/JPY ki darust raftaar abhi haal hi mein tezi se girne ke baad bhi barqarar hai. Shayad hum 191.00 ke range tak choti tezi neeche mil jaye, jahan trade hai aur is test ke baad, taqatwar ho jaye gi. Abhi ke prices se, taqatwar izafa jaari rahega aur hume 193.50 ke range tak izafa mil sakta hai, jahan humare paas resistance hai. Agar yeh 190.00 ke neeche mazboot hota hai, to yeh bechnay ka ishaara hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum 192.00 ke range ko torh kar is se ooper qadam jama len, jo raftar ko barhane ka ishaara hoga, aur yeh meri aaghaaz mein hai.

GBP/JPY H4 time frame

Zahir hai ke yehi hoga, kyunki GBP/JPY ne 191.44 ke resistance level ko torh diya aur is ke ooper jamaya, aur yeh mazeed izafa ka matlab ho sakta hai, bas ab ek kharidne ka entry point ka intezaar hai, aur pehla target 192.19 ke resistance level hai. Jaise hi ke qeemat is tak pohanchti hai aur is ke ooper jamaya, phir baillun ke liye aage barhna asaan ho jayega, kyunki inka mukhtasar ho jayega. Ek aur mansooba hai, yeh ke qeemat 191.44 ke resistance level ke neeche jamaye agar bear apni himayat ko qabzay mein le lete hain, kyunki yeh haftay ke baad bhi ho sakta hai. To bas ab baki hai ke Monday ka intezaar karen aur dekhen ke kaun sa mansooba haqeeqat mein aana shuru hota hai.

Brexit Pound (GBP) Apni Heftay ki Shuruaat mein Kamzor Japani Yen (JPY) ke Muqablay mein Zameen Khod Raha hai, Halankeh Haftay ki Shuruaat Mein Nichlay Pehar Ke Baad. Yeh Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki Faisla Kun Jumma Ko Mojooda Maali Policy Ko Barqarar Rakhne Ka Anjam Hai. Ibtida Mein Yeh JPY Par Neeche Ki Dabao Dalta hai, Jabke Investors Ko Kasi Ki Tawaqaat Thi. Magar, Bazaar Ki Atmiyat Tandurust Rahi, Jis Ne JPY Ki Girawat Ko Mehdood Kiya. Yeh Factors ka Milaap GBP/JPY Jori Ko Support Kar Raha Hai. Is Ke Alawa, Japan Aur Digar Bari Mumalik Ke Darmiyan Soodi Daro'n Ka Farq Barhne Ki Tawaqo Par JPY Par Uparwala Dabao Hai. Yeh Matlub hai ke Investors Lambi Muddat Mein JPY Ko Mazboot Hone Ke Liye Tayyar Kar Rahe Hain, Chhoti Muddat Mein Nuqsaan Ke Bawajood. GBP/JPY Ke Liye Yeh Bullish Nazarriya Mazeed Technical Indicators Se Bhara Hai. Qeemat Ke Amal Ne Char Musalsal Bullish Mombatiyon Ko Tayyar Kiya Hai, Jis Se Aik Mumkin Breakout Ka Ishara Hai. Agla Maqam 195.87 Ke Kiraaye Par Nazar Aata Hai, Jo June 2015 Mein Saalana Unchaai Par Set Kiya Gaya Tha. Yeh Harkat BOJ Ki Mulaqaat Ke Baad Ki Umeed Se Bhara Hai. Bank Se Kisi Bhi Tezi Se Signal Ke Ki Kami Ko JPY Ke Liye Manfi Shumar Kiya Jata Hai, Japani Hukoomat Ko Currency Ko Kamzor Karne Ke Liye Karwai Karne Ka Mumkin Izhaar Kiya Ja Sakta Hai.

Momentum Indicators Ko Dekhne Par, Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) Ab 25 Par Hai, Ek Mazboot Rukh Ko Tasdeeq Karte Hue, Wazeh Tor Par Mamooli Hai. Isi Tarah, Relative Strength Index (RSI) Do Mahinay Ki Unchai Par Pohanch Gaya Hai, Jis Se GBP/JPY Mein Barqarar Kharidari Ka Dabao Zahir Hota Hai. Sab Se Ahem Baat, Stochastic Oscillator Overbought Territory Mein Hai, Lekin Ek Sehat Mand Faslay Ke Sath. Yeh Ishara Karta Hai Ke Uptrend Kuch Arsa Tak Barqarar Reh Sakta Hai, Pehle Ke Ek Mumkin Tanqeed Se Pehle. Agar Bullish Rujhan Jama Rehta Hai, To Karobariyo'n Ko 2015 Ki Unchai Ko Todne Ki Koshish Karne Ke Liye, Naye Nau Saalay Unchai Par Nazar Daal Sakte Hain. Yeh Darwaza Aur Bhi Umda Maqam Ki Taraf Khul Sakta Hai - February 2003 Ki Unchai 198.59 Ki. Magar, Yad Rakhna Ahem Hai Ke Takniqi Indicators Gumraah Kar Sakte Hain, Aur Bazaar Ki Atmiyat Jaldi Badal Sakti Hai.

GBP/JPY: Price Action Ke Market Trends

GBP/JPY jodi 192.77 tak gir gayi, iska sabab is haftay ke urooj ko paar karne mein asafalta thi, jo ke mainly UK ki services data ki kami ki wajah se thi. British pound ko UK ki services sector mein kamzori ka samna hua, jo is jodi ke giravat ka bais bani. Is natijay mein, investors ihtiyaat se kaam lena pasand karte hain, badi investments par amal se pehle mukhtalif factors ka jayeza lena zyada pasand karte hain. Japanese authorities ke qadri amalat ke mutaliq shakayat bhi market ka mahol munsif kar rahi thi. Magar, jari bazar ke daira mein, kuch Moving Averages (MAs) H4 chart par bullish sentiment ke liye support faraham kar rahe hain. Agar yeh MAs mazboot support jari rakhte hain, to sellers apni positions ko kam kar sakte hain, jis se buyers ko dobara market mein dakhil hone ki ijazat ho sakti hai. Is natijay mein, ek faida-mand dakhil nokar point ka pehchan karna munasib nazar aata hai.

Price quotes ne linear channel ke lower boundary (jo ke laal dotted line se indicate ki gayi hai) ke neeche gir gaye, lekin phir se is se upar uth gaye hain aur ab channel ke markazi line (peelay dotted line) ki taraf trend kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI (14) indicator bhi khareedne ka signal tasdeeq karta hai, apne urooj darja aur overbought hadood se fasla ke sath. In tajziyat ke mutabiq, khareedne wale trades mein kamyabi ka barah-e-karam hai, jo long positions ki ibtida ko support karti hai. Mein tajwez deti hoon ke take profit point 193.199 ke price level par blue dotted line ke upper channel boundary ke qareeb ho. Market ke harek harkat aksar ghair-mutawaqi hoti hai, is liye jab order munafa mand ho jaye, to position ko break even par adjust karna munasib hai. Daily chart ke tajziyat ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY jodi ek mazboot urooj trend ka saboot deti hai, jaisa ke iski 192.00 resistance level se ooncha buland faroogh hai, jo ke technical indicators ko highly overbought levels ke qareeb pohanchata hai.

GBPJPY KI OUTLOOK TAFTEESH:




GBPJPY D1 time frame chart par ek qabil-e-zikar bullish trend kal wazeh tha, jis ki khasiyat lambi bullish candle ki shakal mein thi, jo qeemat ke urooj aur zawaal ko 192.82 aur 190.80 ke darmiyan shamil karti thi. Magar, yeh izafah wazeh tor par qeemat ke be-inteha bulandi par ishara nahi karta. Market rozmarra ke chart par ek ahem ittifaq phase mein hai jo aik dafa phir se dekha ja sakta hai. Ek barqarar rahne ke liye, is ittifaq zone ke bahar nikalne ka intezar zaroori hai. Agar kal ke high ko toora gaya, to ek mukhtalif bullish safar ka aghaaz daily resistance level 193.44 ki taraf mumkin hai. Magar, mehdood range ke barabar, aik breakout ke liye zaroori hai ke qeemat ko oonchi bulandiyon par pohanchaya jaye, jis ka tasavvur kiya jata hai ke target rally zone 214.00 tak phela sakta hai. Mukhalif, upar zikr kiye gaye high ko toorna na kaamyaabi ka matlab hai ke ittifaq phase ka barqarar rehna, jis ka asar daily support levels par 192.07 par dekha ja sakta hai, jis ko mazeed 191.24 tak phela ja sakta hai. Is tarah, market ke agle qadam kal ke high ko toorna ya na toorna par bohot zyada depend karta hai, jo ya to barqarar ittifaq ya bullish breakout ki taraf raasta darust karta hai.











GBPJPY H4 time frame chart par. Kal ke trading mein kharidarun ko pehla haath tha jahan qeematain pooray Asian session ke doran EMA 633 ke ird gird ghoomti rahi. Us waqt, qeemat 200 EMA ke neeche thi. Europe session mein dakhil hone par, kharidarun ko umeed ka sabab milna shuru hua. Magar, us raat qeemat ko EMA 633 H4 se upar daba diya gaya jo ke EMA 200 line se mana gaya, is tarah qeemat EMA 633 H4 line par wapas aa gayi. Aisa lagta hai ke ye waqt dobara kharidarun ke liye chalne ka hai. EMA 633 ek resistance hai, jo kharidarun ke dikhaye gaye bara movement ka aghaaz hai. Is area se qeemat ne zyada dabaav daala jab aik mukammal toorna EMA 200 H4 line par waqya hua aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H4 se upar ki taraf crossovers bani. Kharidarun ki hukumat is dafa qeematain zyada buland le gayi hai magar use wapas aik ahem kharidar area mein le aayi hai. Ye area aik mazboot resistance hai jo abhi tak nahi tori gayi.

Aap ko din mubarak ho! Pichle trading haftay mein, paond dollar ke khilaf acha izafa dekha gaya, khaaskar khabron ke market ke band hone par zor se izaafi dor ke sath. Magar maine kaha tha ke aise izafe zyada jazbati ho sakte hain aur is haftay keemti tezi se jora gaya hai. Sachai to yeh hai ke maine yeh na umeed ki thi ke market ke khulne se hi hum asani se is izafe ko puri tarah se wapas le sakte hain. Abhi is waqt yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke GBP/JPY currency pair ki tanqeed pori ho chuki hai aur ab long positions dhoondne ka munasib waqt hai kyun ke uptrend abhi bhi barqarar hai. Neeche, hamare paas 193.50 ke qawi support level hai, jo pichle March ka buland nuqta tha. Isliye, neechay ke timeframes par kharidari ke signals dhoondhne ka sense banta hai.

GBP/JPY pair ke liye, lambay arsay ka manzar aham hai. Pair ne pichle maheenon mein buland raftar dikhai hai, aur ADX aur RSI jese indicators JPY par barqarar dabao ka imkan zahir karte hain. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke Stochastic indicator ab overbought territory mein hai, lekin ek mawajooda correction se pehle wahan rehne ke liye jagah hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke uptrend kuch arsey tak jari reh sakta hai. Agar buland raftar barqarar rahe, to GBP/JPY 195.87 ka 9 saal ka buland tareen record jo June 2015 mein qaim kiya gaya tha, ko torne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Is ke aage, ek mazeed ambisious target February 2003 ka 198.59 ka buland tareen high ho sakta hai. Magar, jab pair apnay multi-decade high tak pohnchne mein koshish karta hai aur technical resistance ka samna karta hai, to ek mumkin downside hoti hai. 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) abhi mojooda qeemat se kafi neeche hai, ek mawajooda correction ke case mein ek mumkin support level ka kaam karte hue.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne peer ko aik wild journey ka samna kiya. 200.60 ka 34 saal ka buland tareen record hasil karne ke baad, ye taqreeban 3.5% gir gaya. Ye dramati girawat ke zimmedar kaam Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke intervention ka tajwez kiya jata hai, jo foreign exchange market mein Yen (JPY) ko kamzor karna chahta tha. BoJ ne is aml ko abhi tak tasdeeq nahi kiya hai, lekin sources ke mutabiq wo Japan ke Showa Day par chhuttiyon ke doran intervention karte rahe. Ibtidaai girawat ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ne phir se apne buland tareen kharidne wale point tak phir se bahal ho gaya jo August 2008 se aai hai phir se gir gaya. Ye rollercoaster kareedari ne taqreeban 700 pips ke nuqsaan ka natija dia, halankeh pair kuch had tak bahal ho gaya aur lagbhag 196.00 ke darje par jama ho gaya. Aglay waqt ke liye, JPY ke liye qareebi mustaqbil ghair yaqeeni hai. Haal hi mein BoJ ki meeting se koi sakht islahaati tabsirein nahi mili hain jis se Yen par dabao pada hai aur Japanese Ministry of Finance ke zyada intervention ke iqdaam ki afsosnaak khabrein hone lagi hain. Is haftay dono JPY aur GBP ke liye ma'ashi calendar khamosh hai, jabke Yen ka tawajjo Bank of Japan ki meeting ke dafaatir ke ijlaas par hota hai jo jumairat ko jaari kiya jayega.