جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY: Technical outlook
April 25 ko GBP/JPY currency pair ki trading situation ka tajziyah. GBP/JPY currency pair musalsal shumali paharon mein toofan barpaar hai. Guzishta din kuch khaas nahi tha siwaaye unchaai mein izafa karne ke ilawa. Trading din ka ikhtitam hone par, jodi ke qareeb qarz hadaf tak pohanch gayi thi - gray NKZ. Aaj Asian session mein, intehai ProMaker indicator ke liye target no. 2 ko pohanchna jari raha - gray NKZ. Hadaf ko update karne ke baad, mansooba mein tabdeeli nahi hui aur quotes musalsal barh rahe hain. Maazi se acha daam ka ilaqa mojooda buland tareen se banaya gaya hai, lekin buland tareen ki tajdeed hone ka zyada imkaan hai ke qareebi zones par taqreeban ek islah ho. Abhi ke liye, khareedari ke liye faida-mand daam ka ilaqa margin zones ke lehaz se haray zones 1/4 aur 1/2 ke darmiyan mojood hai jo 04/25/2024 ke buland darja par banaya gaya hai. Zones 1/4 ke buland darja ka qarz - 193.409 aur zones 1/2 ke buland darja ka qarz - 191.909. Takneeki Hadaf No. 1: 04/25/2024 ke buland darja ko update karna - 194.909. Margin Hadaf No. 2: sunehri rang ke NKZ ke lower limit ka quote test karna - 196.686. Margin Hadaf No. 3: gray NKZ ke lower limit ka quote test karna - 199.686. Aala inaam: faida-mand daam ke ilaqa se khareedari. Kharidain: 193.409-191.909, TP1-194.909, TP2- 196.686, TP3- 199.686. Pound/yen apni urooj ki movement jari rakhta hai, aaj jodi ne phir se maqami maximum ko update kiya hai aur 2015 ke buland darjoo tak qareeb aagaya hai. Pichli dafa humne is ilaqe se khaas inkar dekha tha, aur mumkin hai ke yeh barabar hone ka imkaan hai. Magar, main is assumption par short positions nahi kholunga, kyun ke takneeki tajziyah mein is ka koi ishara nahi hai. Ghantawar chart par, indicators musalsal oopar ki taraf ishara dete hain, haal hi ki bullish candles par Bollinger Bands phelne lage hain, is liye urooj ki impulse ka jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Asaas indicators ko ye jazba seemit karna lagta hai, bearish divergences dikha rahe hain. Magar seedha mukhalifat ke liye koi direct signals nahi hain. 4 ghantay ka chart dekhte hue, indicators bhi urooj ki movement ka perfect support karte hain, sirf Bollinger Bands ek mumkinah maqami islah ke isharaat dete hain, jo ke us ke darmiyan se upar se test karne ka maqsad rakhte hain.

GBP/JPY ka tajziya karte hue, dekha gaya hai ke yeh haal hi mein tezi dikha raha hai, lekin ab market thoda dheema ho gaya hai. Iski keemat 191.749 se upar badh rahi hai, jo ke ek tezi ki nishani hai. Ye badhav market mein kuch stability la sakta hai. Yeh tezi kaafi kuch factors par mabni hai. Ek mahatvapurn karan yeh ho sakta hai ke British pound aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan taraqqi pasand ta'alluqat hain. Economic data aur geo-political events bhi is par asar dal sakte hain. GBP/JPY ki yeh tezi market ke participants ke imaan mein izafa kar sakta hai. Investors aur traders ko yeh yakeen ho sakta hai ke yeh badhav muddat ke liye jari rahega. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke caution bhi rakha jaye. Market ki harkat kabhi bhi badal sakti hai aur sudden reversals bhi aasani se ho sakte hain. Is waqt, 191.749 ki qeemat ki upar badhav ka arq kafi zyada hai. Agar yeh trend jari rahe toh, mazeed upar ki taraf ki manzil tak pohanchne mein muddat lag sakti hai. Lekin, is darusti aur stability ke bawajood, kuch traders wait-and-watch approach apna sakte hain. Market ke is mudakhlat mein, risk management ka ahmiyat barh jata hai. Traders ko apne positions ko monitor karna chahiye aur stop-loss orders lagana chahiye taake nuqsaan se bacha ja sake. Isi tarah, market ki harkaton ko samajhne aur sahi faislay lene mein madad milti hai.
GBP/JPY ka taqreeban 192 ke qareeb jaane ki surat mein, yeh ek naye resistance level ko darust karega. Agar yeh level paar ho gaya, toh yeh ek naye high ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Lekin, ek aur resistance level 193 ke aas paas hai jo ke muddat ke liye mushkil hosakti hai. Is dauran, traders ko market ki harkaton ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur trends ko samajhne ki koshish karni chahiye. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geo-political events bhi market par asar dal sakte hain. Isi tarah, sahi waqt par entry aur exit ka faisla karna ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP/JPY ke tajziya karne se pehle, yeh zaroori hai ki hum market ki halat ko samajhne ka pura dhyaan dein. Haal hi mein, GBP/JPY mein tezi dekhne ki wajah, mukhtalif factors se judi hui hai, jaise ki economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy decisions. Pehle, humein dekhna chahiye ki UK aur Japan ke economic indicators kya keh rahe hain. Agar UK ke economic indicators strong hain aur Japan ke economic indicators weak hain, toh yeh GBP/JPY mein tezi ko justify kar sakta hai. Economic indicators include GDP growth, employment rates, inflation, aur manufacturing data. Ek strong economy usually apni currency ko strong kar deta hai, jisse woh dusri currencies ke against tezi dikhata hai. Dusra, geopolitical events ka bhi asar hota hai currencies par. Koi bada political event ya tension, jaise ki Brexit negotiations ya US-Japan trade talks, GBP/JPY par asar daal sakta hai. Agar kisi bhi mulk mein political instability ya uncertainty hai, toh uska asar uske currency par pad sakta hai. Teesra, central banks ke monetary policy decisions bhi currencies par asar dalte hain. UK ke case mein, Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, jaise ki interest rate changes aur quantitative easing programs, GBP ki value par asar dalta hai. Japan ke case mein, Bank of Japan ki monetary policy decisions yen ki value par asar dalta hai. Ab, agar market thoda dheema ho gaya hai aur GBP/JPY ki keemat 191.742 se upar badh rahi hai, toh iska matlab hai ki market mein kuch uncertainty aa gayi hai. Yeh uncertainty kisi bhi factor se ho sakti hai, jaise ki koi unexpected economic data release, geopolitical tension, ya phir central bank ki unexpected monetary policy decision. Traders ko market ki halat ka dhyan rakhna chahiye aur latest news, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye taaki woh sahi samay par apne trading decisions le sakein. Iske alawa, risk management ka bhi dhyan rakhna zaroori hai, taaki traders apne nuksan ko minimize kar sakein. In conclusion, GBP/JPY ke tajziya karte waqt, economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy decisions ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Market ki halat ka dhyan rakhna aur sahi samay par trading decisions lena traders ke liye zaroori hai.

Maeeshat ki taraf aur global markazi bank policy ki future ke taraf. Major Bank of England survey inflation expectations mein kami ki tasdiq karta hai. Mazeed nishaan hain ke UK ke karobari inflation expectations jari rah rahe hain, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karte hain ke Bank of England June mein interest rates ko kum kar sakti hai. Is lehaz se, Bank of England ke dawr-e-tajziye mein Britain ke companies ke liye DMP survey ne agle saal ke consumer price index inflation expectations ko March mein 3.2% par gira diya, jo ke February mein 3.3% se kami hai.
Apni taraf, ma'aashiyat dan kehte hain ke inflation expectations hasool shuda inflation ka aham hissa hain, jo ke matlab hai ke girte hue inflation expectations yeh nishaan hain ke Bank of England apni raah par hai inflation ko 2.0% tak laane ki. Economic calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, British Consumer Price Index ke liye teen saalon ke liye inflation expectations March tak 2.7% par gire, yaani February ke teen maheenon ke mukablay mein 0.1 percentage points kam. Halankeh inflation expectations girte hue hain, lekin yeh darmiyani muddat ke expectations bank ke 2.0% ke nishan se ooncha rehte hain. Bank of England ke kuch members ne haal hi mein dawa ki hai ke 2.0% ko hasil karne ke liye interest rates ko lambi dour ke liye 5.25% par rakhna zaroori hai, jabke doosre jaise Governor Andrew Bailey June mein rate cut ki taraf ja rahe hain.

Magar, Britain ki companies mein inflation expectations ki trend aur dynamics saaf nazar aati hai. Special price inflation ka saalana rate March ke teen maheenon tak 4.1% par muntazir tha, February ke teen maheenon tak 4.3% ke mukablay. Lekin mukhya aistadal pressure, wage growth, uncha hai, lekin niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Saalana wage growth March ke teen maheenon tak 6.4% tak pahunch gaya, jo ke February ke teen maheenon ke mukablay 0.3 percentage points kam hai. Teen maheenon ke averages ke mutabiq, UK ke businesses apne pay growth ko agle 12 maheenon mein 1.5 percentage points se kam hone ki umeed rakhte hain. Agle saal ki wage growth ki umeed teen maheenon ke moving average ke mutabiq 4.9% tak giri.

GBP/JPY H4 time from


GBPJPY pair ka price movement abhi correction ki taraf ja raha hai aur lagta hai ke SMA 200 ko paar nahi kar saka. Price ne turant SMA 200 tak pohanchne ke baad bounce kiya aur ab EMA 50 ke upar wapas aa gaya hai. Yaqeenan, trend ka rukh ab bhi bullish hai, is liye tasawwur kiya gaya price movement apne urooj par jaari rakhne ki taraf tawajjo ho sakti hai. Agar jald baazi se barhne wali prices do moving average lines ke upar rehne mein kamyab hoti hain toh buland prices 193.50 ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Magar is se pehle, price ko pehle buland prices 192.98 ko paar karna hoga. Misaal ke taur par, agar price bullish trend ke darmiyan apne urooj par jaari rahne mein kamyab nahi hoti, toh yeh yeh iska matlab hai ke price ko niche ki taraf correction kiya ja sakta hai aur price movements buland prices 192.98 aur kam prices 189.96 ke darmiyan range mein rukh sakti hain.


Currency pairs aur unke overbought aur oversold zones ko samajhna trading mein bahut zaroori hai. Overbought zone ek aise area hai jahan ek currency pair ka price itna barh gaya hai ke woh market ke momentum se bahar hai aur ek correction ke liye taiyar hai. Jabki oversold zone mein, currency pair ka price itna gir gaya hai ke woh market ke expectations se bahar hai aur ek upward correction ke liye taiyar hai.Ek behtareen zone southern correction ke liye 193.66 ka support level hai, matlab yeh hai ke jab currency pair ka price is level tak gir jata hai, toh yeh ek mumkin southern correction ka signal hai. Lekin, Japani yen ki dar mein takmeel nahi hui hai, is liye yeh currency aur zyada khasarati ho gayi hai. Yeh wajah hai ke jab bhi price is level tak pohanchta hai, traders ko dhyan rakhna chahiye ke kya Japani yen ki dar mein koi tabdeeli aayegi ya nahi. Agar nahi, toh yeh ek unchi uthan ke liye rukawat ban sakta hai.

GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY currency pair mein aik ahem giravat ka samna karna para jab ke kuch dinon se 192.00 ke aas paas ghum raha tha. Is giravat ko Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan tez hoti jang ke intensifying conflict ka zikr kiya gaya hai, jo ke Japanese yen jese safe-haven assets ki demand ko barha diya, jis se British pound kamzor hota hai. Ab tak, pair 191.19 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.56% ki kami ko darust karti hai. Halan ke key support levels jaise ke Tenkan Sen, Kijun Sen, aur 50-day moving average ke neeche gir gaya hai, lekin GBP/JPY pair ab bhi technically bullish hai kyun ke wo abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ke oper waqif hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke pair ne rozana ka kamzor se 190.29 ka aam toor par pocha hua level tak se phir apni current price tak kudrat bharat li. Uperward momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, traders ko pair ko dobara 192.00 ke oper le jane aur phir agle resistance level 192.80 ko fateh karna hoga. Is level ko par karne se 193.00 ka psychological level ko test karne ka rasta saaf ho jayega, jise baad mein saal ke taaza high 193.54 ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai. Mutasirahi tor par, Kijun Sen support level 191.06 ke neeche mazeed giravat barhane ke liye yeh pair ko push kar sakta hai aur pair ko uparward trend line aur 50-day moving average ke milap se banne wale ahem support zone tak pochane ka rasta saaf ho jayega jo ke 190.55 par hai.

Pair ki giravat kai factors ki milti julti wajoha se samjhi ja sakti hai. Pehle to, markets Middle East mein barhte hue halaat ke sath jujh rahe hain. Dusra, haal hi mein Japan mein inflation figures ka kam hona zaahir hua hai. Teesra, agle hafte Bank of Japan ki meeting ke liye umeedon ka daira barh raha hai. Taqreeban mazboot faiday ke baad, GBP/JPY pair trading range ke andar phansa nazar aata hai jo ke aik rectangle dwara define ki gayi hai. Is range ke upper limit 192.57 ka July 21, 2005 ka kamzor hai. Ye range-bound trading activity Japanese officials ke kuch lafzi intervensiyon se hote hue yen ko kamzor karne ki taraf hawa le sakti hai. Is baat ko kamzor momentum indicators ne sath diya hai - Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehta hai, jo ke ek be-hudood market ko darust karta hai, aur RSI 50 ke qareeb ho kar investors ke darmiyani naqamiyat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Stochastic indicator, halan ke, apne moving average ke oper aik potential breakout ki isharaat deta hai, lekin is ko kisi qabil-e-bharosa signal ke liye momentum hasil karna hoga. Ek bullish scenario mein, agar market participants umeedwar rahein, to wo July 21, 2005 ke kamzor 192.57 ke resistance ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakte hain aur potential mein GBP/JPY pair ko January 2, 2024 ko sthapit uptrend line ke oper le ja sakte hain. Is se ek fresh 2024 ki unchi takarar, mojooda peak 193.52 ko guzarna hai, agle potential target 195.00 level ho sakta hai.

Based on the provided discussion, you're analyzing the GBP/JPY pair and considering trading strategies based on technical indicators like linear and nonlinear regression channels, RSI, and MACD. Here's your discussion.

"Shezuka Trading Discussion GBP/JPY pair ki hal hilat ka tajziya karna ek ahem asar hai jo tawajjo hasil kar raha hai. Traders ne dekha hai ke mubadilataat mein farq nazar aaya hai, jahan tak kaarobar ka naqsha aik waaqai ho gaya hai. Aise harkat ne barh chadh kar apni shakhsiyat bana li hai traders ki nazron mein, jab ke woh ye imtiyazat dekh rahe hain ke kis cheez ne ye tabdeeliyan paida ki hain. Mazeed, siyasi waqiat aur makro iqtisadi maloomat ki chandini currency pairs ke rukh ko shakl deti hai. Jab ke traders GBP/JPY pair par H1 time frame par nigrani jari rakhte hain, woh trend ka mustaqbil ya palatna keenly dekh rahe hote hain. Patterns jaise ke head aur shoulders, double tops/bottoms, aur breakouts trading ke mauqaat ke liye qareebi nigrani mein laaye jaate hain. Mazeed, traders ahem support aur resistance levels par tawajjo dete hain, kyun ke in levels ke tootne se market sentiment mein khaas tabdeeliyan aati hain. Chalain is currency pair/awaz ko darmiyanah muddat mein is ke future harkat ke imkaanat ke nazar se ghoor karte hain. Ek khaas channel indicator of linear aur nonlinear regression, Extended Regression StopAndReverse, ka intikhab kiya gaya hai analysis ke liye, jis ke confirmation ke liye RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke signals standard settings ke saath istemal kiye gaye hain. Transaction se behtareen nikalne ke liye, hum kal ke ya aaj ke karobar ke extreme marks ke mutabiq Fibonacci grid ko stretch karenge aur take profit set karne ka sab se faida mand intekhab karenge. Linear regression channel select kiye gaye time frame (time-frame H4) par shumal hai, jo ek mazboot kharidar ka mojudgi signal karta hai aur market price quotes ka aage ki taraf tajziyat ke liye intehai bhaari potential rakhta hai. Bar aam, nonlinear channel (convex lines) jo qareebi mustaqbil ke rukh ka faisla karne ke liye istemal hota hai, ek kaafi noticeable oopri rukh hai. Nonlinear regression channel ne linear channel ki golden line ko neeche se oopar se cross kiya hai aur quotes mein izafa dikhata hai. Price ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya, lekin 200.606 HIGH ke maksad ke baad, ye apni izaafi rozi band kar di aur baariki se kam hone laga. Instrument filhal aik qeemat darja par karobaar kar raha hai jo ke 196.983 hai. Sab kuch ke mawaqif ke mutabiq, mein market price quotes ko wapas aur mazbooti se channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (194.027) ke neeche mazboot karta hoon aur mazeed neeche chal kar golden average line LR of the linear channel 192.472 tak move karta hoon, jo ke FIBO level 23.6% ke sath milta hai. Faisla karne ka aik mazeed argument yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi entry into sales ki durustgi ko tasleem karte hain, kyun ke woh overbought zone mein waqe hain."

GBP/JPY D1

GBP/JPY currency pair mein haal hi mein tezi se tez raftar dekhi gayi hai. Is haftay ke ibtida mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne forex market mein dakhil kiya aur keemat level 195.61 se is haftay ke trading session mein shuru ki gai, jahan bechne wale team ne phir se qudrati dabao dala. GBPJPY market ne pichle Jumma ko zyada volatility ka samna nahi kiya. Pura din, keemat mazeed oopar aur neeche ja rahi thi jis mein 191.84 se 192.57 ke darmiyan kam muqararaat thi jo rozana kholi aur qareebi support hai. Halankeh trend pehle se hi downtrend mein hai. Yeh halat tre ke baad paida hui jab keemat ne apna rukh phir se neeche ki taraf barhaya. Yeh 191.77 ke darja tak gira ek bearish rukh mein. Iss girawat ke akhir mein aur end mein 1 ghante ka mombatti ek inkaar ki mombatti banane ke liye pullback area ke upar se oopar. Munafa suplay area (191.20) mein.

Agar 1 ghante ka mombatti dobara band ho jaata hai aur mang maheena ke neeche band ho jaata hai, toh yeh agle trading position ka qayam karne ke liye ek hawala ka kaam karega, jahan keemat ab bhi bechne wale ke qabze mein hai aur jari Japani Yen (JPY) ki kamzori ko support karta hai. Yeh dakhilah, sath hi sath mazboot Yen ke kharidari faaliyat ke sath, GBP/JPY pair ko taqat de gayi. Session ka khatma tawajjo ko aik bearish ulat mombatti ki surat mein badalne ka tasavvur hai, support levels par tawajjo tabdeel hogi 192.949 ya 193.535. Yeh darjele do manaziron ko pesh karte hain: ek ulat mombatti ke baad oopar keemaat ke saath chalane ka, GBP/JPY pair ko taqat de ga. Mazeed, Japan aur dosray bade mulkoun ke darmiyan mukhtalif faiz dar farqoon ki wus'at ke umeedon ki wajah se, JPY ko oopar ka dabao mihsoos hota hai, jo lambay arse tak aik long term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai, jismein GBP/JPY pair nearly 4.5% apne multi-saal ke uchit level se 191.60 tak neeche gaya. Is inkesari ke bawajood, GBP/JPY pair ab bhi aik bullish trend mein hai. Pair lambe arse ke avera ke bohat zyada oopar trade kar raha hai.

GBP / JPY D1 Chart:



GBP/JPY ki intraday bias halki tezi ki taraf hai 55 4H EMA ko break karne ke saath. 200.53 se hone wale pull back ka complete hona chahiye tha 191.34 par. Waha se hone wala rebound corrective pattern ka doosra leg mana jata hai. Aur tezi dekhne ko 197.40 resistance tak ja sakti hai. Lekin downside mein 192.97 minor support ko break karne se intraday bias fir se neutral ho jayega. Bade picture mein medium term top 200.53 par ho sakta hai jab 199.80 long term Fibonacci level ko breach kiya gaya. Jab tak 55 W EMA (ab 183.34 par) hold kar raha hai waha se hone wali girawat sirf 178.32 se hone wali tezi ko correct kar rahi hai. Lekin 55 W EMA ka sustained break yeh argue karega ki larger scale correction shuru ho gayi hai aur target 178.32 support hoga.

GBP / JPY H4 Chart:



GBP/JPY ka rebound 191.34 se abhi bhi progress mein hai aur intraday bias upside mein hai. Yeh rebound corrective pattern ka doosra leg mana jata hai. Aur tezi dekhne ko 197.40 resistance tak ja sakti hai. Lekin downside mein 193.82 minor support ko break karne se intraday bias fir se neutral ho jayega. Bade picture mein medium term top 200.53 par ho sakta hai jab 199.80 long term Fibonacci level ko breach kiya gaya. Jab tak 55 W EMA (ab 183.34 par) hold kar raha hai, yeh girawat 178.32 se hone wali tezi ko correct kar rahi hai. Lekin 55 W EMA ka sustained break yeh argue karega ki larger scale correction shuru ho gayi hai aur target 178.32 support hoga.

GBPJPY currency pair (British pound aur Japanese yen) ne pichle kuch dino mein buland volatility aur asaaf ambiguity ka samna kiya hai. Technical analysis ke zariye, daily chart mein 190.00 aur 195.00 ke darmiyan ek side-ways consolidation pattern zahir hota hai. Ye stagnant movement kharidari aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan ek takkar ko darust karta hai, jo ek tang trading range mein nataij deta hai. Khaas tor par, 50-day simple moving average jo ke 192.50 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, hal hi ki range ke darmiyan ke ek pivotal point ke taur par kaam karta hai. Is range ke dono ooper aur neeche ke bounds ke dohra test karne se mukhalif market forces ke dairay ko paish-e-nazar rakha gaya hai. Bull aur bear lagta hai ke ek qayamat mein hain, kyun ke kisi ek taraf ka faisla is consolidation pattern se azad hone ka kamyab nahi ho saka. Ye bechaini kisi external factors jaise ke geopolitical tensions, ma'ashiyati data releases, aur monetary policy decisions ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo ke British pound aur Japanese yen dono par asar daalte hain. Traders aur investors is range ke andar ke ahem levels ko dhyaan se monitor karte hain taake potential breakout ya breakdown signals ko pehchaan sakein jo ek naye trend ka aghaz darust kar sakte hain. Magar, jab tak ek saaf rukh ke bias ka izhar na ho, market participants ehtiyaat aur risk management strategies ko istemaal kar sakte hain taake is uncertain terrain mein tajziyat kar sakein. Is ke ilawa, volatility indicators jaise ke average true range (ATR) is consolidation phase mein keemaat mein izafa hone ki wazehat faraham kar sakte hain. Aur ye bhi zaroori hai ke market sentiment mein kisi bhi sudden tabdili ya ghair mutawaqqa catalysts ke liye hoshyaar rahein jo ke GBPJPY ke raaste mein tabdeeli kar sakte hain. Jab traders market ke haalaat ko mutaghayyar karte hain, technical aur fundamental factors ke gehre analysis se aagahi hasil karke informed trading strategies aur risk mitigation measures bana sakte hain. Aakhri mein, GBPJPY ki haal ki rawaani ek consolidation period ko darust karta hai jo ke barha hua uncertainty ke dor par hai, jis mein traders ko mohtatam sabr aur mehnat ki zaroorat hai taake maujooda market environment mein safar kar sakein.
DAILY TIME FRAME PAR TRADING:
Maujooda market harkaat ko dekhne mein, kharidari karne waleon ke dabaav mein abhi bhi koi maqbooliyat hai aur ye ek significant bullish trend ka correction ka mauqa faraham kar sakti hai. Ye ek ahem ghor hai aur ye ek position kholne ka wajah ban sakta hai. Jaise ke hum sab jante hain, jab market 13, 18, aur 28 EMA zones mein hota hai, to ye ek mauqa hai pehle test karne ka phir wo izafa jo ke mazeed barh sakta hai, jo ke BB ke ooper baahar jaake target ko poora Kar sakta hai aur ye lambay time frame ka istemal karke tasdeeq kiya ja sakta hai. chhota. Maujooda market ke shiraiyat ke sharaait ki roshni mein jo ke izafa ya kharidari ka rukh dikhate hain, ye dekha ja sakta hai jo ke 0.9001 ki dakhil hone wale darjeel se shuru hua hai aur 0.9124 ke ooper ka target poora karne ki mumkin hai. Pichli upar ke dabav ki madad se, wala ke wo bilkul mazboot nahi hai, lekin market mein izafa ko barhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Isliye, humein sirf chhote time frames par achi tasdeeq ke liye intezaar karna hai. Is doraan, Stochastic Oscillator ki position abhi tak oversold zone ke aas paas hai aur phir se barhne ke laayak hai, kharidne ke liye mazeed musbat ishaaraat faraham karte hain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto. Ummeed hai aap sab theek honge, forum administrators, moderators, aur InstaForex broker admins ke liye bhi. Aaj, main GBP/JPY market ke baare mein baat karunga. Meri trading GBP/JPY analysis sab forum doston aur InstaForex traders ke liye madadgar hai. Value trial 193.84 ka hua jab MACD(12,26,9) oscillator pointer zero marks se abhi uthna shuru hua, jo English Pound ki entry point ko tasdeeq karta hai. Isi tarah, GBP/JPY pair 120 pips se zyada barh gaya. Data ki kami aur Bank of Japan ke faislay ne English Pound ko din ke aakhir mein barhne mein madad ki; lekin, pair ek sideways channel ke daire mein trade karna jaari rakha, jo aaj ki ghair maamooli taraqqi par asar daal sakta hai. Subah ke waqt, hum Italy ki industrial production report aur European National Bank ki meeting ke minutes ka zikar kar sakte hain, aur yeh yeh matlab hai ke pair aaj bhi barh sakta hai. Magar, behtar hai ke hum sideways channel ke hadood mein hi trade karen, mool positions ko yaad rakhte hue. Aaj, aap English Pound ko khareed sakte hain jab qeemat 195.24 tak pohanch jaye, jo chart par hari line ke zariye dikhayi gayi hai, aur intezar karen 197.81 tak. 197.81 ke darje par, main market se bahar nikal jaunga aur English Pound ko ulta bechunga, entry point se 120-140 pips ka izafa hone par. Aaj, aap English Pound ka barhav sirf Italy ki achi khabro aur ECB meeting ke narm minutes ke baad ki intezar kar sakte hain. Khareedne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD(12,26,9) oscillator pointer zero marks ke upar hai aur sirf abhi isse ooper uthna shuru hua hai. Main aaj English Pound ko khareedne ka irada kar raha hoon agar do mufeed trials 193.84 ke qeemat par hoti hain jab MACD marker oversold area mein hota hai. Yeh instrument ke neeche ki sambhavna ko had se zyada kam karega aur market ka seedha palat jayega. Hum 195.24 aur 197.81 ke ulte darjat ka barhav ka intezar kar sakte hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein aik ahem giravat ka samna karna para jab ke kuch dinon se 192.09 ke aas paas ghum raha tha. Yeh giravat aam tor par forex market mein hoti rehti hai aur traders ko regularly monitor karna hota hai. Is giravat ke peeche kai factors ho sakte hain, jaise economic indicators, geopolitical events, ya phir market sentiment ka tabadla. Ek possible wajah ho sakti hai global economic conditions ka tabadla. Agar kisi mukhtalif mulk ki economy mein slowdown ya instability ka pata chale, to isse currency pairs mein giravat aati hai. For example, agar UK ki economy mein kisi negative news ka samna ho, jaise GDP growth ka kam hona ya phir Brexit se related uncertainty, to GBP/JPY pair mein giravat ka samna karna asaan hai. Doosri wajah ho sakti hai central banks ki monetary policy decisions. Agar Bank of England ya phir Bank of Japan interest rates mein changes karte hain, to isse currency pairs par asar padta hai. Agar kisi central bank ne interest rates ko kam kiya hai to wahan ki currency kamzor hoti hai. Is tarah ke announcements se market volatility badh sakti hai aur currency pairs mein giravat aati hai. Geopolitical events bhi currency pairs ko asar daal sakte hain. Agar kisi region mein tension ya conflict ho, to isse market sentiment par asar padta hai aur investors apni positions adjust karte hain. For example, agar UK aur Japan ke beech trade relations mein koi issue ho, to isse GBP/JPY pair mein giravat aati hai. Market sentiment bhi giravat ka ek important factor hai. Agar traders ko lagta hai ke ek currency strong hai aur doosri weak hai, to woh us direction mein trade karte hain, jisse us weak currency ke sath giravat aati hai. Isme technical analysis ka istemal hota hai jisme traders previous price movements aur market patterns ko analyze karte hain. In sab factors ke saath, currency pairs ke giravat ya tezi ka samna karna forex traders ka roz ka mamool hai. Isliye, traders ko market ko closely monitor karna aur apni strategies ko adjust karte rehna chahiye taake woh market ke changes ka samna kar sakein aur profitable trades kar sakein.

GBP/JPY currency pair mein aik sudden giravat ka samna karna, jo ke kuch dinon tak stable tha, yeh currency traders ke liye ek ahem maamla hai. Yeh giravat market mein tez tabdeeliyan lekar aayi hai aur traders ko naye strategies banana par majboor kiya hai. Is giravat ki wajah ko samajhne ke liye, pehle yeh zaroori hai ke market ki muddaton se chalne wale trends aur fundamentals ko ghor se dekha jaye. Yeh giravat ho sakti hai kisi economic data release ya geopolitical tension ki wajah se, jo ke currency pair ko mutasir kar rahi ho. Is situation mein, traders ko chahiye ke woh calm rahe aur rashtriya aur antar-rashtriya maamlaat ke taza updates ko dhyan se dekhein. Yeh updates unhein market ke agle kadam ke liye tayyar kar sakte hain. Is tarah ke samay mein, risk management ka bohot ahem hissa hai. Traders ko apni positions ko monitor karte rehna chahiye aur unhein stop-loss orders ka istemal kar ke apni nuksan ko kam karne ki koshish karni chahiye. Market volatility ka bhi dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Is samay mein, market mein unexpected swings ho sakte hain, isliye traders ko apne positions ko adjust karne ke liye flexible rehna chahiye. Is giravat ke dauraan, technical analysis bhi bohot ahem ho sakta hai. Chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur oscillators ka istemal kar ke traders market ke trends ko samajh sakte hain aur apni trading strategies ko improve kar sakte hain. Yeh giravat market mein uncertainty ko badha sakti hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi hai ke traders ko panic mein aana chahiye. Thorough research aur disciplined trading approach ke saath, traders is challenging time ko bhi navigate kar sakte hain. Is samay mein, market sentiment ko bhi dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Traders ko market ke mood aur sentiment ko samajhne ki koshish karni chahiye, taake woh apni trading decisions ko better tareeqe se samajh sakein. In sabhi factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko apne trading plans ko revise kar ke aur market ki dynamics ko samajhne ki koshish karte hue apne trading strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Is tarah se, woh is giravat ka faida utha sakte hain aur apni trading performance ko improve kar sakte hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair ka daam doosre din phir barh gaya hai, aur yeh ab 194.19 ke resistance tak barh gaya hai. Is tarah ka price movement dekhkar traders ko kuch chunautiyan aur faiday ki ummeedain samne aati hain. Is tarah ke scenarios mein, traders ko dhyan mein rakhna chahiye ke yeh sirf ek short-term trend ho sakta hai ya phir long-term movement ka aghaz bhi ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, GBP/JPY ka daam doosre din phir barhne ka matlab hai ke market mein taizi hai aur investors ka interest high hai. Yeh bhi darust hai ke 194.19 ka resistance level ko paar karna ek bullish signal hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek achha indicator ho sakta hai ke market mein bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko ek mahatvapurn sawaal ka jawab dhoondhna hoga: kya yeh trend temporary hai ya phir long-term hai? Iska jawab talash karne ke liye, traders ko market ke fundamentals aur technical analysis ka istemal karna hoga. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central banks ki policies ko dhyan mein rakhte hue traders ko apne trading strategies ko modify karna chahiye. Is dauran, kuch cheezein traders ke liye dhyan mein rakhni chahiye. Pehli baat, risk management ka mahatva hai. Agar market mein taizi hai, toh risk bhi badh jaata hai, isliye stop-loss orders ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Dusri baat, traders ko current market sentiment ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye. Market sentiment bullish ho toh traders ko long positions lena consider kar sakte hain, lekin agar sentiment bearish hai toh short positions lena samajhdari bhari ho sakta hai. Technical analysis ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai, jaise ke price charts, support aur resistance levels, aur trend indicators ka istemal karke traders market ke movement ka anuman laga sakte hain. Iske alawa, traders ko economic calendar ka bhi istemal karna chahiye, taaki woh upcoming economic events ka pata laga sakein, jo market mein volatility paida kar sakte hain. Overall, GBP/JPY currency pair ka daam doosre din phir barh gaya hai aur 194.19 ke resistance tak pahunch gaya hai, lekin traders ko dhyan mein rakhna hoga ke yeh sirf ek short-term trend ho sakta hai. Long-term movement ka faisla karne se pehle, traders ko market ke fundamentals aur technical analysis ka sahi istemal karna chahiye, aur risk management ko bhi hamesha dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

GBPJPY KE OUTLOOK KI TAHLIKA:

GBPJPY KE D1 TIME FRAME CHART PAR, KAL EK AHAM BULLISH TREND ZAHEEN THI, JISE EK LAMBA BULLISH CANDLE NE DARUST KIYA THA, JIS NE 192.82 AUR 190.80 TAK KE QIMATI DARJON KO SHAMIL KIYA. LEKIN YE PHURTAY HUAY PRICES AASANI SE ISHARA NAHI KAR RAHI HAIN KE PRICE KA INTIZAMI TOR PECHAAN CHUKA HAI. MARKET EK AHAM CONSOLIDATION PHASE MEIN MUSALLAT HAI, JO DAILY CHART PAR MAQBOOL HAI. AIK TA’SEER WAALA UPER TARAF NIKALNE KE LIYE, IS CONSOLIDATION ZONE KE BAHR SE GUZARNA ZARURI HAI. AGAR KAL KE DARJON KO TOOR DIYA JAYE TO, ROZANA KI RESISTANCE LEVEL 193.44 KI TARAF KI IFTITAHI BARHAWAT MUMKIN BAN JAEGI. LEKIN MAHMUD MAQSAD KE LIYE, AAM TAUQE KI DARON KE TOR PAR, DARJON KO UNCHAIYON TAK MUNTAQIL KARNE KI ZARURAT HAI, JIS KA TASAWWURATI NISHANA RALLY ZONE 214.00 TAK PHAILTA HAI. ULTE IS KE, AGAR MUKHTALIF DARJON KO TOOR DIYA JATA HAI TO, ISHARA CONTINUATION YA BULLISH BREAKOUT KI TARAF LE JA SAKTA HAI, AUR AGAR YE KAMI REH JATI HAI TO, MAQBOOL NIZAMAT JARI RAHEGI, JO DAILY SUPPORT LEVELS PAR 192.07 TAK JA SAKTI HAI, MUQTALI KE 191.24 TAK PHAILNE KI IMKANAT KE SAATH. IS TARAH, MARKET KE AGLE QADAM YAHAN PER BARA ZYADA HAI, JO KAL KE DARJON KE TOOR YA KAMI PAR MABNI HAI, JO JARI RAQAM KE TARAF DARJON KE NIZAMAT YA BULLISH BREAKOUT KO AAGE BARHATA HAI.

H4 TIME FRAME CHART PAR GBPJPY KI TAHLIKA:

KAL KE TRADING MEIN KHARIDARON KE PAAS SAB SAY ZYADA CONTROL THA, JAHAN DARJON KO EMA 633 KE AAS PAAS RAKHA GYA. US WAQT, QIMAT 200 EMA KE NEECHE THI. EUROPEAN SESSION MEIN SHAMIL HONE SE PEHLE, KHARIDARON KO HOSLA AYAA. LEKIN, US SHAM QIMAT JO EMA 633 H4 LINE SE UPER GAYI THI, WOH QIMAT EMA 200 LINE SE MUKHALIF TAK JAANE WALI THI, IS LIYE QIMAT WAPIS EMA 633 H4 LINE PAR LAUT GAYI. LAGTA HAI KE YE WAQT HAI KE KHARIDAR PHIR SE CHALTE HAIN. EMA 633 MANFI HAI, JO KHARIDARON KE BADI HALAQAT KA SHURU HAI. IS ILAQAY SE QIMAT MAZBOOTI SE DABAI GAI JAB TAK EK MUKAMMAL BREAKOUT EMA 200 H4 LINE PAR NA HUA AUR EK UPSIDE CROSSOVER EMA 12 AUR EMA 36 H4 KE DARMYAN NA PAIDA HUA. IS DAURAN KHARIDAR KA DOMINANCE QIMAT KO ZYADA OOPER LE GAYA LEKIN ISE WAAPIS MUMTAIN KHARIDAR ILAQAY PAR LAAYA. YE ILAQA MUKHALIF HAI JO ABHI TAK KHAANDAN NAHI HUA HAI.

AAM TOR PAR, DYA GAYA ANALYSIS YEH ZAHIR KARTA HAI KE GBPJPY TAALIKA BILKUL JUNOBI HAALAT MEIN HAI, JAHAN PAR UPER KE JAARI QADAM YA ULTAH TAWANAI KI MUJUJAT HOSAKTI HAI, KUCH KHUSUSI DARJON KE TOOR YA NA KARNE KE TEHQEEQ PAR MABNI. TRADERS KO QAREEBI TAWAJJO SE PRICE ACTION KE ZARIYE DAROON KI TASDIQ KE SIGNALS KI MUNTAZIR HONI CHAHIYE, PHIR KISI BHI TRADING FAISLAY PAR FAISLA KARNE SE PEHLE.