جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBPJPY currency pair (British pound aur Japanese yen) ne pichle kuch dino mein buland volatility aur asaaf ambiguity ka samna kiya hai. Technical analysis mein ghor karne par, daily chart ki tasveer 190.00 aur 195.00 ke ahem hadood ke darmiyan ek side-ways consolidation pattern zahir hota hai. Ye stagnant movement kharidari karne wale aur farokht karne wale ke darmiyan ek takkar ko darust karta hai, jo ke ek tang trading range mein nataij deta hai. Khaas tor par, 50-day simple moving average jo ke 192.50 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, hal hi ki range ke darmiyan ke darmiyan ek pivotal point ke taur par kaam karta hai. Is range ke dono ooper aur neeche ke bounds ke dohra test karne se mukhalif market forces ke dairay ko paish-e-nazar rakha gaya hai. Bull aur bear lagta hai ke ek qayamat mein hain, kyun ke kisi ek taraf ka faisla is consolidation pattern se azad hone ka kamyab nahi ho saka. Ye bechaini kisi external factors jaise ke geopolitical tensions, ma'ashiyati data releases, aur monetary policy decisions ki wajah se ho sakti hai jo ke British pound aur Japanese yen dono par asar daalte hain. Traders aur investors is range ke andar ke ahem levels ko dhyaan se monitor karte hain taake potential breakout ya breakdown signals ko pehchaan sakein jo ke ek naye trend ka aghaz darust kar sakte hain. Magar, jab tak ek saaf rukh ke bias ka izhar na ho, market participants ehtiyaat aur risk management strategies ko istemaal kar sakte hain taake is uncertain terrain mein tajziyat kar sakein. Is ke ilawa, volatility indicators jaise ke average true range (ATR) is consolidation phase mein keemaat mein izafa hone ki wazehat faraham kar sakte hain. Aur ye bhi zaroori hai ke market sentiment mein kisi bhi sudden tabdili ya ghair mutawaqqa catalysts ke liye hoshyaar rahein jo ke GBPJPY ke raaste mein tabdeeli kar sakte hain. Jab traders market ke haalaat ko mutaghayyar karte hain, technical aur fundamental factors ke gehre analysis se aagahi hasil karke informed trading strategies aur risk mitigation measures bana sakte hain. Aakhri mein, GBPJPY ki haal ki rawaani ek consolidation period ko darust karta hai jo ke barha hua uncertainty ke dor par hai, jis mein traders ko mohtatam sabr aur mehnat ki zaroorat hai taake maujooda market environment mein safar kar sakein.
DAILY TIME FRAME PAR TRADING:

Maujooda market harkaat ko dekhne mein, kharidari karne waleon ke dabaav mein abhi bhi koi maqbooliyat hai aur ye ek significant bullish trend ka correction ka mauqa faraham kar sakti hai. Ye ek ahem ghor hai aur ye ek position kholne ka wajah ban sakta hai. Jaise ke hum sab jante hain, jab market 13, 18, aur 28 EMA zones mein hota hai, to ye ek mauqa hai pehle test karne ka phir wo izafa jo ke mazeed barh sakta hai, jo ke BB ke ooper baahar jaake target ko poora kar sakta hai aur ye lambay time frame ka istemal karke tasdeeq kiya ja sakta hai. chhota. Maujooda market ke shiraiyat ke sharaait ki roshni mein jo ke izafa ya kharidari ka rukh dikhate hain, ye dekha ja sakta hai jo ke 0.9001 ki dakhil hone wale darjeel se shuru hua hai aur 0.9124 ke ooper ka target poora karne ki mumkin hai. Pichli upar ke dabav ki madad se, wala ke wo bilkul mazboot nahi hai, lekin market mein izafa ko barhane ki koshish kar raha hai. Isliye, humein sirf chhote time frames par achi tasdeeq ke liye intezaar karna hai. Is doraan, Stochastic Oscillator ki position abhi tak oversold zone ke aas paas hai aur phir se barhne ke laayak hai, kharidne ke liye mazeed musbat ishaaraat faraham karte hain

GBP/JPY

Heiken Ashi candles, TMA (triangular moving average), aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicators ke readings ko study karke, chune gaye currency pair ya instrument ke liye hum yeh nikaal sakte hain ke abhi market ka tawajju taqatwar bechnay walon ki taraf aur exchange rate mein girawat ko tarjeeh de raha hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein current power balance ko darust karti hai, charts par noise ko smooth karna mein madad karti hai aur is tarah se technical analysis ko significantly asaan banati hai aur trading decisions ke accuracy ko bhi barhaati hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow rangon ki lines) double-smoothed moving averages par based support aur resistance lines build karti hai aur instrument ki movement ke current boundaries ko darust karti hai. Heiken Ashi ke saath excellent results dikhane wala auxiliary oscillator, RSI basement indicator ka istemal karna bhi faidemand hai. Study kiye gaye pair ka chart dikhata hai ke candles ne red color mein turn liya hai aur is tarah se bears ki priority darust hoti hai. Price ne channel ka upper border (blue dotted line) cross kiya aur, maximum point se bounce karke, phir se apni middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf gayi hai. Isi doran, RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko puri tarah se confirm karta hai kyun ke uski curve abhi downward direction mein hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is nateeje par pohanchte hain ke yahan achi taraqqi hai profitable short sale transaction ko conclude karne ki jahan market quotes ko lower border of the channel (red dotted line) tak pohanchne ki umeed hai, jiska price level 189.942 hai.

Panchwa point saaf taur par dikhata hai ke chart seedha upar ja raha hai. Ye matlab hai ke hum mazeed kharidai karenge. Hum nisbatan 191.97 se lekar 191.62 ke darmiyan mein invest karne ka irada rakhte hain. Tamam khatron ka jaiza lene ke baad, maine set stop ko 191.57 ke aas paas rakha hai. Isliye, compensation ka dar Rs.192.78 par laga hoga. Is hawale se, munafa 5 guna set stop ke barabar hona chahiye. Halanki, meri chart abhi tak mera maqsad tak nahi pohanchi hai. Pehle mein trading mein slip ka istemal kiya aur munafa par tawajjo di, lekin kamyabi nahi mili. Tehelka sham tak band ho jayega. Kal, mein apne iradon ko dobara tafteesh karonga aur apni agle qadam ka tay karonga. Shuru mein, mein khabron par trading karne aur tax trading mein munafa hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin waqt ke sath maine ye andha dhund tareeqa fayda nahi dikhaya. Is liye, mein khabrein anay ke doran bilkul trading karna band kar diya.

GBP/JPY jodi ek range mein trading kar rahi hai aur mukhya din ke anderani harkat neutral nazar aati hai. 193.51 ke neeche aik toofani trend ko shuru kar sakta hai jo ke 195.86 ki lambi muddat ki resistance tak ja sakta hai. Lekin, market ka aglae ka dor ye uptrend ka hissa hai jo ke 123.94 (2020 ka kam) se shuru hota hai aur lambi muddat ki resistance 195.86 (2015 ka uncha) tak jata hai. Aaj, 187.94 ki madad se pehli nisbatan muddat ki madad hai. Agar wapas aik scene par jao to, tezi phir bhi wahan hogi.
Is chhote se tajziye mein humne GBP/JPY H1 timeframe par trading ki situation ka jaaiza kiya hai. Ye tajziya, Mukhtar ki taraf se, mojooda market trends ke hisaab se hai. Apne maqasid ko saaf taur par mukarrar karke aur hamesha khatron ka tawajjo rakhte hue, traders behtar nateeje hasil kar sakte hain. Imandari aur tajurba trading mein kamyabi ke liye ahem hai. Jo log apne karobar ke husool ki dua karte hain, unhe kamyabi aur kamyabi ki duaen milein.

Forex trading ki dunya ek aisi duniya hai jahan har ek pal naye mazameen aur imtehaan le kar aata hai. Aur jab GBP/JPY market ek dilchasp afsana pesh karti hai, toh har trader ke liye yeh ek naya raaz aur aham sabaq hota hai. Pichle trading session mein jo mahaul dekha gaya, woh darasal ek mukhtalif kahani thi jise samajhna zaroori hai. Khareedaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan chal rahe jhagre ne market ko ek naye mod par le gaya. Khareedaron ki lagan aur unki musalsal koshishen ke bawajood, keemat ne peechle din ke range ke nichi se guzar kar ek naya record bana diya. Yeh tabeer toh tha ke market mein kuch toh khaas baat hai. Khareedaron ki yeh mazbooti ne ek faisla se bhara din banaya, jo ek bechaini wali candlestick formation ke zariye pechida tha. Yeh sabit karta hai ke market mein taqat hai aur kisi bhi faislay se peecha nahi chuda rahi. Magar, jo sabse ahem hai, woh yeh hai ke is consolidation ko khaas tor par is ke halkay bullish bias ki taraf tawajjo dena hai.



Yeh bullish bias market sentiment mein mazbooti ki nishaandahi karti hai. Is ka matlab hai ke log ummeed rakhte hain aur market mein umeedon ki roshni jal rahi hai. Yeh ek aham guftagu hai jisse traders apni strategy banate waqt madad le sakte hain. Is maamle mein, traders ko soch samajh kar aur dheere se chalna chahiye. Taake woh market ki raftar aur naye rukh ko samajh sakein. Har choti si shakhsiyat aur har ek movement ek naya sabaq hai, jo ke traders ko future ke liye taiyar karta hai. Is tarah se, har mombati, har keemat ka hilna ek nayi kahani sunata hai. Aur jab hum is kahani par gaur karte hain, toh humein naye raaste aur naye manzar nazar aate hain. Forex trading ki dynamic duniya mein, har ek din ek naya sabaq aur ek nayi raah hai, sirf samajhne wale ke liye.

Yeh trading strategy bohot soch samajh kar tayyar ki gayi hai. Yeh ek samajhdar trader ka pesh-e-nazar hai jo market ke trends ko samajhne aur un par react karne ke liye tayyar hai. Is approach mein, price ranges ko closely monitor kiya ja raha hai aur inka breakout ya breakdown ka intezar kiya ja raha hai, jisse ki trading opportunities ko maximize kiya ja sake. Jab aap kehte hain ki "Humain kal 192.09 ke range se bahar nikalna chahiye ga", toh aap ek specific level ka mention kar rahe hain jahan se aap breakout ka wait kar rahe hain. Agar yeh level cross hota hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal provide karega, jisse ki aap trading positions ko adjust kar sakein. Aapka point samajhne ke liye, aapne yeh bhi mention kiya hai ki agar price is level ke neeche jaata hai, toh yeh ek bechnay ka signal ho sakta hai. Isse, aapne stop orders ka bhi zikr kiya hai jo is level ke neeche lagaye gaye hain. Yeh ek common strategy hai jisme traders apne positions ko protect karne ke liye stop orders lagate hain. Aapne bhi yeh baat mention ki hai ki agar price 192.08 ke range ke bahar nikalta hai, toh ek sahih uptrend



ka signal mil sakta hai. Iske saath hi, aapne 182.15 ke range ka bhi zikr kiya hai jo ek aur important level hai. Agar yeh level tora jaata hai, toh yeh ek bearish signal ho sakta hai, jisse ki aapko apni positions ko reevaluate karna hoga. Is analysis mein, aapne market ke mukhtalif scenarios ko samjha hai aur un par react karne ke liye tayyari ki hai. Aapne possible breakout aur breakdown points ko identify kiya hai aur uske hisaab se apni trading strategy ko adjust kiya hai. Aakhir mein, aapne yeh bhi mention kiya hai ki ek maamooli taqreeb ki upri sudhar ki sambhavna hai, lekin girawat ka khatra bhi hai. Is tarah ke detailed aur well-thought out analysis se, aap apne trading decisions ko sahi samay par lenge aur potential losses ko minimize kar payenge. Overall, aapki trading strategy ke peeche ek mazboot vichaar aur planning ka pardaafash hota hai, jo ek safal trader ke liye zaroori hota hai.

Iss waqt ke GBP/USD market mein khareedne walay logon ne market par qabza hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Balkay, bechnay walay logon ne qabza banaye rakha hai aur prices ko buland kar rahe hain. Kal, market ne 1.2435 ke support level tak girawat ki. Governor Bailey ke Bank of England ke taqreer aur UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) ne khareedne walon mein aitmad ko barhane mein kamiyabi hasil nahi ki. Phir bhi, aik strategy ka tajziya karna aham hai, jismein 1.2475 ko agla maqsad tasleem kiya jaye. US dollar se mutaliq anay wale news ko nazar andaz karna bhi zaroori hai, khaaskar US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, jo khareedne walon ko momentum hasil karne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, haal hi mein aaye UK maali khabron ka market ka jawab khaas tor par bearish raha hai, jahan bechnay walay khareedne walon ke darmiyan musbat jazbaat ki kami ko faida utha rahe hain. Bank of England aur CPI jese maashiyati indicators ke koshishat ke bawajood, bechnay walon ne ghalib raha hai. GBP/USD market ka neeche ki taraf ka trend 1.2435 par support mila, jo ke aik ahem level hai taqreeban muntakhib honay ke liye.
Aam tor par, US dollar ka performance manufacturing index ka jawab dene mein buniyadi tor par market ke dynamics ko mutasir kar sakta hai. US se musbat data aane par taza umeed buyeron mein dakhil ho sakti hai, jis se maujooda neeche ki taraf ka trend palat sakta hai. Kul mila kar, hal hi mein UK maali sektar se aaye news ne khareedne walon mein dilchaspi ko dobara janam nahi diya, lekin traders ke liye ab bhi tajrubaat ka mauqa hai. 1.2435 par support level ek ahem nuktah hai, aur 1.2475 ka maqsad price khareedne ke liye ek moqwiyah maqsad hai. US dollar se mutaliq news ka nigrani karna, khaaskar Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, bade market jazbaat aur buyeron ke dobara uthne ke liye moqaat ka tajziya karna mein instrumental sabit hoga.

British Pound (GBP) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) currency pair (GBP/JPY) ne ek do din ke jeet ke baad kismat ka palatna dekha Wednesday ke early European trade mein shuru mein GBP ko session ke uchay darajay tak 192.40 tak chadhate hue dekha gaya, lekin is ke baad UK ke inflation data ke aane ke baad ek piche hat gaya Britain ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) March mein saalana 3.2% barh gaya, jo ke 3.1% ke market ki tawaqqaat se zyada tha February ke 3.4% izafa se kam honay ke bawajood, ye Bank of England ke 2.0% ka target se ooper raha Ye data, sath hi February se March mein saalana core CPI izafa (4.5% se 4.2%) ke sath, investors ko September mein Bank of England se darajat kaatne ki umeedon ko tark karne par majboor kar diya Intehai wakti taur par Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne policy normalization par ehtiyaat se amal ka jari rakha. Japan ka CPI inflation is waqt waqai 2% se ooper rahne ka tajwez hai (March 2025 mein khatam hone wale running fiscal year mein) aur agle saal mein slow down hone ka tajwez hai, is se Japan mein mazid low interest rates ka imkan hai Ye Japanese Yen (JPY) par niche dabaav daalta hai Market ke shirakat daron ab Bank of Japan ki policy meeting ka shiddat se intezar kar rahe hain jo April 25-26 ko mukarar hai Naye saalana growth aur interest rate forecasts ka izhaar hone par Japani interest rates ki mustaqbil ki taraf ishara hone ke liye tawajjo se nazar rakhi ja rahi hai

Teknik tor par, GBP/JPY pair ek rukawat ki mansoobah mein lagta hai Average Directional Index (ADX) 25 ke neeche rehna ek range-bound market ko ishaara karta hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ird gird ghomta hua, aboori investors ki mojoodgi ko darust karta hai Stochastic indicator, beech mein mojood, aur bhi GBP aur JPY ke darmiyan nazuk balance ko taqat deta hai Agar GBP bulls apna itminan barkarar rakhte hain, toh woh pair ko January 2nd, 2024 ko sthapit ki gayi up trend line ke ooper daba sakte hain Ye July 21st, 2005 ke 192.57 ke kam low ke set resistance ko test karne ka imkan hai Agar safalta milti hai toh ye ek naya 2024 ka uncha darja sthapit kar sakta hai jo ke abhi ke 193.52 ke paimane ko paar karta hai, jahan 195.00 darja ek mazeed maqsood hai

H-4 Timeframe Analysis
Assalam-o-Alaikum, sab log. Kaise hain aap sab? Umeed hai aap sab theek honge aur aaj ka bonus forum mein update kiya gaya hai, jise enjoy kar rahe hain. GBP/JPY ne key resistance levels ke qareeb overbought zone tak pahunch gaya hai. Bechnay walay market ko 193.37 ke neeche rakh sakte hain. GBP/JPY 193.37 resistance area ke qareeb qaim hai, jahan currency ne aakhri dafa late August mein is area ko test kiya tha, ek teen haftay tak ke rally ke baad. Khaas tor par, yeh area July se October tak ke lambay downward wave ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milta hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, mojooda side mein movement ek bearish wave mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. RSI aur stochastic indicators dono overbought territory ke qareeb hain aur ab gir rahe hain.

Magar, bechnay walay log 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ko 187.92 ke neeche jaane ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Jab yeh level tootega, to giravat tezi se 20-day moving average tak pahunch sakti hai jo 188.37 par hai. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level nuksanat ko 184.39 par rok sakta hai, jo market ko 182.90 ki taraf tez giraavat se bacha sakta hai. Agar bechne ki dabav jaari rehti hai, to price 50-day moving average aur 2022 ke low 178.78 ke darmiyan reh sakti hai. Neeche chart dekhein:



Daily Timeframe Analysis

Agar kharidne ki dabav 193.38 ke qareeb se dobara shuru ho jaati hai, to kharidarain 195.49 ke upar mustaqil faide ki talaash mein honge. Is level ko toornay se raasta khul sakta hai 196.40 tak, jo 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ko challenge karega 197.0 par. Aam tor par, GBP/JPY ka tajziya kiya jata hai ke ek correction dekha jaye ga, jahan bechnay ki dabav 188.85 ke neeche mazeed barh sakta hai. Warna, pair apna upward trend 190.20 ke upar dobara shuru kar sakta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

GBP/JPY

Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ko aur TMA (triangular moving average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ke sath study karne ke baad, hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke abhi market ka focus exchange rate mein girawat aur bechnay walon ki taqat mein nami barhane par hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator, jo market mein taqat ka tasalsul dikhata hai, charts par noise ko smooth karne mein madad karta hai aur is tarah se technical analysis ko kaafi asaan banata hai aur trading decisions ke accuracy ko bhi barhata hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow rangon ki lines) double-smoothed moving averages par based support aur resistance lines banata hai aur instrument ke movement ke current boundaries ko dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath jo behtareen nateeja dikhata hai, woh hai RSI oscillator jo ek madadgar basement indicator hai. Studied pair ke chart mein dikhaya gaya hai ke candles laal ho gaye hain aur is tarah bears ki priority ko dikhate hain. Daam ne channel ka upper border (blue dotted line) cross kiya aur, maximum point se bounce karke, phir se apne middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf gaya. Isi waqt, RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko puri tarah confirm karta hai kyunke uska curve abhi downward direction mein hai aur oversold level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is lehaaz se, hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke ek munafa bhari short sale transaction conclude karne mein achi sambhavna hai takay market quotes channel ka lower border (red dotted line) jo ke 189.942 ke daam level par hai, tak pahunche.

Salam sabko! USDJPY currency pair ka chart ghantay ke time frame par. Kal isne breakthrough karne ki koshish ki, lekin ek tez tarrar ban gaya aur unchaayi par wapas aaya hai. Zaroor, humein dekhna parega, lekin hume umeed hai ke qeemat mein aik ahem kami 150-148 ke darje tak hogi, sirf aik pullback nahi. Magar jab tak USDJPY 154.10-154.30 ke support level ke upar rehta hai, tab tak iska izaafa hota rahega. Kal hum is level ke niche breakthrough ke liye keh rahe the, lekin agar hum ise dobara tod nahi pate aur 152.50-153.30 tak gir jate hain, toh hum 155 figure ki taraf naye izafa ki taraf dekhenge.
Harkat mushkil hai, aur wazeh hai ke abhi USDJPY ko bechna zyada asaan hai, lekin aise volume ke sath uttar chalne ke liye kafi tail nahi hai, kyun ke zyadatar log pehle hi short positions mein hain, aur jo abhi bhi bechna chahte hain wo ek signal ka moqa intezaar kar rahe hain. Isliye, ahem hai ke support ka breakthrough aur uska dhancha dekha jaye. Kyun ke 152.50-153.30 ke support zone ka breakthrough bina kisi pullback ke pehla ishara hoga ke kami jaari rahegi

GBP/JPY ne key resistance levels ke qareeb overbought zone tak pahunch gaya hai. Bechnay walay market ko 193.37 ke neeche rakh sakte hain. GBP/JPY 193.37 resistance area ke qareeb qaim hai, jahan currency ne aakhri dafa late August mein is area ko test kiya tha, ek teen haftay tak ke rally ke baad. Khaas tor par, yeh area July se October tak ke lambay downward wave ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milta hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, mojooda side

Aapke tajziye mein samajhdaari aur planning ki roshni mein, aapne behtar nateeja pane ki koshish ki hai. Aapke tajziye se saf zahir hota hai ke aap trading mein nahi balki uddeshya ko hasil karne ki taraf rawana hai. Ye mufeed hai ke aapne pehle slip ka istemal kiya aur munafa par tawajjo di, lekin kamyabi nahi mili. Ye asal mein aapko ek zaroori lesson hai. Paheli baat to yeh hai ke aapne apne maqsad ke liye set kiye gaye parameters ko theek tareeqe se nahi implement kiya. Aapne kaha ke aapka maqsad hai munafa ko kam az kam paanch guna set stop ke barabar karna, lekin aapne maqsad tak pahunchne ke liye zaroori karwahiyan nahi uthayi. Agar aapka maqsad tha ke munafa paanch guna set stop ke barabar ho, to aapko apni trading strategy ko uss maqsad ki taraf mashroot karna chahiye tha. Doosri baat, slip ke istemal mein aapko kamyabi nahi mili kyunke aapne slip ko sahi tareeqe se handle nahi kiya. Slip ek aam haqeeqat hai jo traders ko confront karna padta hai, lekin iska matlab ye nahi hai ke aap is se bezaar ho jayein. Slip ka samna karte waqt, aapko apni trading strategy ko mazboot karna chahiye aur



emotional faislay se bachna chahiye. Slip ko ek mohlat samjha jaye aur apne iradon ko dobara tafteesh karne ka mauka diya jaye. Aakhri baat, aapne kaha ke aap tax trading mein munafa ki taraf tawajjo di. Yeh aik zaroori juz hai, lekin yaad rahe ke tax ka hisaab lene ke liye munafa pehle kamaya jana chahiye. Agar aap pehle hi maqsad tak pahunchne mein kamiyab hote, to tax ka masla aapke liye asan hota. Isliye, pehle maqsad ko hasil karne ki taraf apni koshishen zyada focus karen. In sabhi cheezon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aapko apne agle qadam ka tayyar hona chahiye. Apne iradon ko dobara tafteesh karna ek achi baat hai. Is baar, apne maqsad ko theek tareeqe se set karen aur apni trading strategy ko uss maqsad ki taraf mashroot karen. Slip ko ek mohlat samjhen aur tax ka hisaab rakhen, lekin pehle maqsad ko hasil karne mein apna sabse zyada dhyaan den. InshaAllah, aap apne trading journey mein kamiyabi hasil kar sakte hain.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne ek tang trading range mein qayam kiya hai, jo ke bara nuqsaan se phir se uthne mein qasir hai. Magar, ek umeed ki kiran pennant pattern ke shakl mein samne aati hai, jo ke ek muqarrar breakout ki mumkinat ki isharaat deti hai. Jab hum daily chart ke tafseelaat mein ghus jate hain, toh wazeh ho jata hai ke market ka jazba-e-ghafilan aik taaruf pe hai, bullish aur bearish rujhanon ke darmiyan ka naram-o-nazuk aizaaz. Tawil musharikat faiz wala mudda buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan ek faizi haath pane ki jang ko zahir karta hai, jis mein koi bhi taraf faizi faida haasil nahi kar rahi. Technical tajziya mein, patterns aksar mustaqbil ke qeemat ka aik ahem paishanuma hote hain. Is surat mein pennant pattern ke banne ka matlab hai ke tez price movement ke baad ek mudda-e-mudammat ka dor, jo ke kam honay wali ghair mutanazza volatility aur milte julte trendlines ke zahir hone ki khasiyat se nawaza jata hai. Ye pattern aik symmetrical triangle se markaz rakhta hai, jiska apex ek qaribi breakout ke liye markazi point ka kirdar ada karta hai. Daily chart ka jaaiza lene par, hum dekhte hain ke GBP/JPY price action ka dhere se nazdeeki aik pennant formation ke hadood mein ikhata hona. Ye tang range ek temporary aitwaar ko numaya karta hai, jab ke market shiraa'it dene wale hissa mein ek muqarrar rukh ki taraf janib le jate hain. Is pattern ki ahmiyat is mein hai ke ye do rukh ke breakout ko shuru karne ka imkan deta hai, traders ko upar neechay ke harkaton par faiyda uthane ki dastiyab karta hai. Pennant ke symmetrical taba'a ke mutabiq chalne ya inqilab ki barabar ke imkanat hote hain, jo ke asar ko ghaibi samjhati hai.

GBP/JPY pair ne aik qabil-e-zikr izafa mehsoos kia hai, jo 183.00 ke ahem mukhalifat darj karne wale level ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. Ye tehreek Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke maamlat mein aane wale kisi intervention ki umeedon ka kam honay ke doraan ai hai. Is currency pair ke asrat ek sarmaya dar mojuda hain, jin mein taraqqi pazeeri aur ma'ashiyati indicators shamil hain. JPY aam tor par trade ka funding currency ke taur par istemal hota hai kyun ke yeh taareekhi tor par ek kam munafa dene wali currency hai. Kyunkay UK Europe mein ahem miqdaar mein mojooda hai, is liye GBPJPY pair ko aalam-e-aarzi ma'ashi sehat ka ek intikhab samjha ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, ye pair market 'risk-off' aamal ke liye nishaat farosh ka tasweer hai jab carry trade ulat jata hai.
Is natije mein, GBPJPY mazboot trends ka izhar kar sakta hai jo hazaar pips ko guzar sakta hai. Pound sterling ki sheraih duniya ka sab se purani currency hai jo ek mulk mein istemal ki ja rahi hai aur jo is ke ibtida se lekar aj tak be-tut muddat tak istemal mein hai. Jabkeh, Japanese Yen ko aik safe haven currency qarar diya gaya hai. 2008 ke maaliyya sahaafat se pehle, kai investors Bank of Japan ke bohat kam interest rates ka faida utha kar Yen mein shandar raqam udhaar lete aur is paisay ko gair mulk mein lagate. United Kingdom Office for National Statistics ne September 2022 ke mahine mein retail sales mein 6.9% ki kami darj ki.
Isi idaare dwara jaari karda data ne barhte hue maishat ke izafe aur qareebi maashi girawat ka gehra shakar zahir kiya. Aik surat-e-haal jo U.K ke siyasi intishaar ke natije mein mazeed gehri ho sakti thi. Tamam yeh wakaayat ne GBP/JPY par ek nichi dabao daala hai. Akhir mein, hamesha tanzim-shuda GBP/JPY cross shayad sab se zyada bullish nazar aata hai. GBP/JPY ne pehle se hi apni poori November-December giravat ko taqreeban wapas le liya hai, jo ke is haftay ke akhir mein 8 saal ki unchi 188.75 tak pohanch gayi hai. Iss saal tak lagbhag 900-pip ki rally ke bawajood, GBP/JPY ab tak 14-din ka RSI par overbought nahi hai, ishaara karte hue ke agar 188.75 mukhalifat ruk jati hai to agle haftay mein 190.00 ya is se ooper ja sakti hai.

Abhi hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pair 154.88 ke daira mein trading kar raha hai, jis se zahir hai ke girawat ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai. Agar is daira ka ghalat tor par tor phor ho, to yeh mazeed zawaal ka bais ban sakta hai. Support level 153.90 ke qareeb hai, aur agar yeh level tor jaye to girawat mazeed barh sakti hai. Doosri taraf, main 154.74 ke qareeb izafa ka intezar kar raha hoon phir mazeed zawaal ka silsila shuru hoga. 154.78 ke daira ka ghalat tor par tor phor hone ke baad aur 154.18 ke support ka tor phir se, dheere dheere girawat aai hai. 153.89 ke nichle tor par farokht ka signal mil sakta hai. 151.75 ke aas paas trading ki gatividhi hai, jo mazeed girawat ka zahiri bais hai. 153.93 ke daira ka tor girawat ka silsila mazeed barha sakta hai. Maazi mein market mein izafa theek karne ka silsila chal raha hai, aur main USD/JPY farokht karna mashwara deta hoon. Halankeh koi numaya upri impulse foran nahi hoga, magar agle zawaal ka silsila mumkin hai. USD/JPY pair mein bulls daromadar qeemat ko barha rahe hain, jis ki mojooda chhat 154.84 hai, jo shayad char ghante ke tor par zawaal ki ulte rukh ki aakhri shakal nahi hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke kal ki koshishat girawat ke baad USD/JPY mein ek bearish correction aaye gi, jo bullish action ne achanak rok diya tha. Halankeh, bears ne 154.06 ke darj ko azmaaya aur 153.92 tak pohanch gaye, jo Bollinger indicator ke darmiyani border ke saath ahem support hai. Agar girawat hoti hai, to 154.49 ke nichle tor par girne se mazeed dhire-dhire girawat ke taraf safar shuru ho sakta hai 153.97 ke support tak. Japani yen ke mustehkam honay ka zayada barhna sarkar aur Bank of Japan ke saath munsalik hai. Aham bankon ke analaysts tajziyaat karte hain ke agar aisi support ka koi naqab nahi aata to 160.05 ke dar tak umeed ki ja sakti hai

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY pair ne ek ahem maqami resistance level 183.00 ke qareeb tezi dekhi hai, jisay Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki forex market mein dakhal intizam ki kam umeediyon ka hissa samjha jata hai. Kuch factors is currency pair ke dynamics mein shamil hain, jin mein tabdeeli aati jati hai aur maashiyati nishanat shamil hain.

JPY aksar trade mein funding currency ke tor par istemal hota hai q k is ki tarikh sey kam yield hoti hai. UK ka Europe mein ahem maashiyati mojoodgi hone ki wajah se, GBP/JPY pair aam toor par global maashiyati sehat ka izhar kar sakta hai. Mazeed, GBP/JPY market 'risk-off' actions ka ek barometer ka kaam karta hai, khas tor par jab carry trades reverse hoti hain, jo mazboot trends ka bais ban sakti hai.

Pound sterling ko duniya ki sab se purani currencies mein se ek hone ka aizaz hasil hai, jo is ke wajood ki bina par mustaqil istemal karta hai. Mukablay mein, Japanese Yen ko aik safe haven currency ke tor par samjha jata hai, jise investors ne kam interest rates ka faida uthane aur bahir invest karne ke liye istemal kiya hai.

Rozana chart ka tajziya karte hue, halqi koshishen pichhle uchayiyon se upar nikalne ki nakam raheen hain, jahan price aur MACD indicator ke darmiyan ikhtilaf nazar aata hai, jo kamzor raftar aur pullbacks ya reversals ka imkan deta hai. Sellers 21-day moving average ke neeche break dhund sakte hain takay trend shift ho aur 185.21 level ko nishana banayein.

UK se maashiyati data, jaise September 2022 mein report ki gayi retail sales mein 6.9% kami, sath hi barhte hue rehne wale maishat ke akhraj aur qareeb aanay wale maashiyati girawat ke lehaz se GBP/JPY par neechayi dabaav dalta hai. Magar, in challenges ke bawajood, GBP/JPY bullish nazar aata hai, jismein almost poori November se December tak ki giravat ka aik tajziya 188.75 tak qareeb hai.

Aage dekhte hue, 193.51 ke upar break aagey ki bara uptrend ki dobara shuru hone ki ishara de sakta hai jo 195.86 lamba dorai resistance ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Mukablay mein, 189.97 support ka decisive break haal hi mein hone wale irtiqaa ko darust kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% retracement level ko nishana banata hai.

Mukhtasir, jabke choti dorai ka trend neutral ho sakta hai, lekin mukammal manzar mein GBP/JPY ke liye bullish hai, jahan lambay positions ko support levels ke neeche rehne ke doran pasand kiya jata hai. Traders ko breakout ya reversal signals ke liye ahem resistance aur support levels ko nazar andaaz karna chahiye.