نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Chalo D1 period ka chart dekhtay hain - NZD/USD currency pair ka. Kal ka koshish karna ke qeemat ko kam kiya jaye kaamyaab raha, qeemat kaafi zyada gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai, jabke koi bhi bullish koshish ko 0.62500-0.63000 ke range mein resistance ka samna karna parega, aur overall bearish outlook barqarar rahega

humne NZD/USD market mein ek bullish scenario dekha, jab yeh 0.6245 zone ko successfully cross kar gaya. New Zealand ka GDP rate behtar anjaam dekh raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support faraham kar raha hai. Woh traders jo macroeconomic-based approach ko follow karte hain, woh broader economic context par focus karte hain, jo ke Fed ke officials, jaise ke Harker, ke key remarks se shape hota hai. Yeh traders price stability, employment statistics, aur economic growth jaise factors ka tajziya karte hain taake wo market trends ko behtar taur par predict kar saken. Masalan, agar Harker inflationary pressures ke hawale se Fed ki vigilance ko highlight karte hain, to traders mazeed monetary tightening ki umeed rakhte hain, jo dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai aur bond yields ko barha sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar Harker economic progress ke risks par zor dete hain, to traders samajhte hain ke policies mein more accommodative shift aane wala hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur stocks aur raw materials mein rally la sakta hai. NZD/USD market mein buyers 0.6282 zone ko break karne ke liye optimistic hain. Technical analysis par focus karne wale traders ke liye key hai ke dollar ke critical price levels ko monitor kiya jaye, jo unki trades ko guide karne mein madadgar hote hain. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, ya USD/JPY jese pairs mein support aur resistance zones ko dekh kar potential trade setups ki talash ki ja rahi hai. Agar Harker ke comments market mein turbulence create karte hain, to yeh price zones traders ke liye critical reference points ka kaam karte hain taake wo risk manage kar saken aur fluctuations ka faida utha saken.

American monetary policies ka global markets par asar nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. US dollar dominant reserve currency hone ki wajah se, iski value swings global trade, capital movements, aur economic stability ko affect karti hain.

Haal hi mein, NZD/USD pair ne 4-hour timeframe par rising wedge pattern se breakdown ke baad sharp decline dekha, jo ke bearish reversal ka signal tha. 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6190 level ke ird-gird girna shuru kar gayi, jo short-term downtrend ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish range mein shift ho gaya hai, jo bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Agar asset 0.6100 se neeche decisively

qeemat ko kam kiya jaye kaamyaab raha, qeemat kaafi zyada gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai, jabke koi bhi bullish koshish ko 0.62500-0.63000 ke range mein resistance ka samna karna parega, aur overall bearish outlook b

ke qeemat ko kam kiya jaye kaamyaab raha, qeemat kaafi zyada gir gayi, lekin aaj phir se kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai, jabke koi bhi

technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke bearish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 levels ko break kar liya hai. Trader ki umeedein puri ho rahi hain, aur wo is pair par sell trades ka silsila jaari rakhtay huay mazeed gains ki tawakko rakhtay hain. Forecasting tools ka istimaal aur ready-made analyses ka mutaala karne se trader ko apne trading decisions mein yaqeen mila hai. Trader ne NZD/USD ke price movement ka tajziya karne ke liye Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka istimaal kiya hai, jo kai indicators aur approaches ko combine karta hai. Yeh indicator 70-85% cases mein profitable trades ka nateeja deta hai, jo trading ke environment mein ek kaafi achi success rate hai. Resistance 0.6259 par nazar rakhne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages (MA) ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye. RSI valuable insights de sakta hai ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ya trend ke continuation ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Wahi, H1 chart par 50-period aur 200-period Moving Averages key trends ko pehchaanne mein madad kar sakti hain, jahan in averages ke darmiyan crossover momentum mein ek potential shift ko signal kar sakta hai.Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke external factors jaise ke New Zealand ya U.S. se aane wale economic data releases NZD/USD pair ke direction par aham asar daal sakte hain. Dono mulkon se aane wale inflation, interest rates, ya trade balances ke updates market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur mazid price movements ko trigger kar sakti hain.Haalankeh NZD/USD pair ko 0.6259 resistance ko break na karne ke baad ek temporary setback ka samna karna pada, lekin is level ke ird gird aane wala price action intehai ahem hoga. Agar resistance successfully break ho gaya, to pair ke mazeed oopar jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar yeh resistance mazboot raha, to bearish pressure pair ko niche support levels ki

NZD-USD pair ne haal hi mein bearish movements dikhayi hain, jo ek clear downward trend bana raha hai jismein lower highs aur lower lows shamil hain. H4 timeframe par technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke bearish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 levels ko break kar liya hai. Trader ki umeedein puri ho rahi hain, aur wo is pair par sell trades ka silsila jaari rakhtay huay mazeed gains ki tawakko rakhtay hain. Forecasting tools ka istimaal aur ready-made analyses ka mutaala karne se trader ko apne trading decisions mein yaqeen mila hai. Trader ne NZD/USD ke price movement ka tajziya karne ke liye Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka istimaal kiya hai, jo kai indicators aur approaches ko combine karta hai. Yeh indicator 70-85% cases mein profitable trades ka nateeja deta hai, jo trading ke environment mein ek kaafi achi success rate hai. Resistance 0.6259 par nazar rakhne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages (MA) ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye. RSI valuable insights de sakta hai ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ya trend ke continuation ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Wahi, H1 chart par 50-period aur 200-period Moving Averages key trends ko pehchaanne mein madad kar sakti hain, jahan in averages ke darmiyan crossover momentum mein ek potential shift ko signal kar sakta hai.Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke external factors jaise ke New Zealand ya U.S. se aane wale economic data releases NZD/USD pair ke direction par aham asar daal sakte hain. Dono mulkon se aane wale inflation, interest rates, ya trade balances ke updates market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur mazid price movements ko trigger kar sakti hain.Haalankeh NZD/USD pair ko 0.6259 resistance ko break na karne ke baad ek temporary setback ka samna karna pada, lekin is level ke ird gird aane wala price action intehai ahem hoga. Agar resistance successfully break ho gaya, to pair ke mazeed oopar jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar yeh resistance mazboot raha, to bearish pressure pair ko niche support levels ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Hamesha technical indicators aur fundamental news par tawajju de kar, traders is dynamic market Hoga

trend bana raha hai jismein lower highs aur lower lows shamil hain. H4 timeframe par technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke bearish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 levels ko break kar liya hai. Trader ki umeedein puri ho rahi hain, aur wo is pair par sell trades ka silsila jaari rakhtay huay mazeed gains ki tawakko rakhtay hain. Forecasting tools ka istimaal aur ready-made analyses ka mutaala karne se trader ko apne trading decisions mein yaqeen mila hai. Trader ne NZD/USD ke price movement ka tajziya karne ke liye Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka istimaal kiya hai, jo kai indicators aur approaches ko combine karta hai. Yeh indicator 70-85% cases mein profitable trades ka nateeja deta hai, jo trading ke environment mein ek kaafi achi success rate hai. Resistance 0.6259 par nazar rakhne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages (MA) ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye. RSI valuable insights de sakta hai ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ya trend ke continuation ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Wahi, H1 chart par 50-period aur 200-period Moving Averages key trends ko pehchaanne mein madad kar sakti hain, jahan in averages ke darmiyan crossover momentum mein ek potential shift ko signal kar sakta hai.Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke external factors jaise ke New Zealand ya U.S. se aane wale economic data releases NZD/USD pair ke direction par aham asar daal sakte hain. Dono mulkon se aane wale inflation, interest rates, ya trade balances ke updates market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur mazid price movements ko trigger kar sakti hain.Haalankeh NZD/USD pair ko 0.6259 resistance ko break na karne ke baad ek temporary setback ka samna karna pada, lekin is level ke ird gird aane wala price action intehai ahem hoga. Agar resistance successfully break ho gaya, to pair ke mazeed oopar jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar yeh resistance mazboot raha, to bearish pressure pair ko niche support levels ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Hamesha technical indicators aur fundamental news par tawajju de kar,

Jab ke nazar aati surat-e-haal bearish hai, trading karte waqt ek achi tarah se tay ki gayi risk management strategy ka hona zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein bohat zyada volatile hoti hai, aur sab se achi trends bhi kabhi kabhi achanak ulat sakti hain. Stop-loss orders lagana bohat zaroori hai taake aap apne capital ko bacha sakein. Misal ke taur par, agar aap stop-loss ko haali mein tay ki gayi swing high ke thoda upar rakhen, to agar market aapke position ke khilaaf jaye, aapke losses mein kami hogi. Traders ko un economic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakti hain. Agar interest rates, employment data, ya commodity prices mein koi tabdeeli hoti hai, to yeh currency pair mein achanak movements la sakti hai, jo ke aapke technical analysis ko ghalat sabit kar sakti hai. Khabar rakhna aur apni trading strategy ko halaat ke mutabiq adjust karna bohat zaroori hai. H4 time frame par NZD/USD pair mein abhi sellers ke liye ek mazid achi surat-e-haal dikhayi deti hai. Jo downward trend abhi chal raha hai, technical indicators aur price action is trend ko confirm karte hain, jo ke traders ke liye mazeed ghirawat ka faida uthane ka mauqa faraham karta hai. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka ghehraai se jaiza le kar traders is bearish trend ka faida utha sakte hain. Lekin hamesha ki tarah, risk ko sambhalna zaroori hai aur market ke dynamics ko asar karne wale developments ke liye hamesha alert rehna zaroori hai. Agar theek approach apnayi jaye, to NZD/USD market ke haalaat profitable opportunities faraham kar sakti hain jo ke trend ke saath chalna chahte hain.

NZD/USD pair ne apne nuqsanat ko barhaya, aur Friday ko subah ke European trading mein 0.6200 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki monetary policy stance ke hawale se cautious sentiment ne pair par neeche ki taraf dabao daala. RBNZ se umeed thi ke yeh interest rates ko 50 basis points se kam karega, jabke kamzor economic growth aur unchi unemployment ke concerns hain. HSBC analysts aur Bank of New Zealand (BNZ) ne bhi agle hafte 50 basis points ki rate cut ka tajweez diya, deflationary data ko aik key factor ke taur par dekhte hue jo central bank ko easing measures ko tez karne par majboor kar raha hai.
Middle East mein barhte huye tensions aur US dollar ki taraf safe-haven flows ne bhi NZD/USD pair ke gire hue trends mein hissa daala. US President Joe Biden ne Israel ke sath Iranian oil infrastructure par mumkinah hamlon ke hawale se guftagu ka zikr kiya. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ne Iran ke missile hamlon ke liye sakht anjaam ki warning di.

US dollar ko better-than-expected US services PMI aur ADP employment change data se support mila, jo Federal Reserve ki dovish monetary policy outlook ko challenge kar raha hai. Chicago Fed ke President Austin Goolsbee ne is baat ka izhar kiya ke agle saal interest rates ko kaafi kam karna padega. Unhone unemployment rate ko 4.2% par barqarar rakhne ki khwahish bhi zahir ki.

Pichlay kuch sessions mein price ek range ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, magar jo momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line ke upar consolidation hogas month highs ko approach kiya, aur

**New Zealand Dollar Market Analysis**

Aaj, New Zealand dollar (NZD) niche trade kar raha hai. European session mein, NZD/USD 0.6082 ke level par hai, jo 0.44% niche hai. New Zealand ki economy ke liye ek bara challenge services sector ka contraction hai, jo ab saatwein martaba lagatar ho raha hai. September mein services PMI 45.7 par stable raha, jo ke August ki upward revision ke baad hai.

PMI contraction zone mein stuck hai, jahan readings 50 ke neutral level se niche hain. Yeh contraction ka silsila ab saat mahine se chala aa raha hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne pichle hafte interest rates mein 50 basis points ki cut ki thi, kyunke weak economy recession ke risk mein thi, aur high interest rates ne ye risk aur barhaya. RBNZ pehle hawkish stance le raha tha, hatta ke unhone recent meetings mein ek aur rate hike ka bhi zikr kiya, lekin ab unhone ek bada rate cut kiya. Pehle RBNZ ne predict kiya tha ke rate cuts 2025 tak nahi shuru honge, magar ab weak economy aur girti hui inflation ne rate cuts ko pehle hi la diya hai.

New Zealand ne Tuesday ko third-quarter inflation ka data release kiya, jo market estimates ke mutabiq 2.3% y/y raha, jabke second quarter mein ye 3.3% tha. Giri hui inflation RBNZ ke liye achi khabar hai, lekin China ki weak inflation New Zealand ke liye ek badi problem ho sakti hai. September mein China ki inflation 0.4% y/y par aa gayi, jo ke August ki 0.6% inflation se niche thi aur market estimates ke 0.6% se bhi kam thi. Month-on-month inflation 0.0% ho gayi, jo ke pehle 0.4% thi, aur ye bhi market estimate 0.4% se niche thi. Core CPI sirf 0.1% barhi, jo February 2021 ke baad se sabse kam level hai.

China ko deflation ka issue hai, jo economic growth ko slow kar sakta hai aur unemployment ko barha sakta hai. Is wajah se consumer demand mein kami aasakti hai, jo New Zealand ko bhi pressure mein daal sakti hai, kyunke China New Zealand ka sabse bara export market hai.

**NZD/USD Technical Analysis**

NZD/USD ka technical analysis dekhein to support level 0.6051 aur 0.5991 par hai, jabke resistance 0.6112 aur 0.6172 par hai. Agar NZD/USD 0.6051 ke level ke neeche jata hai, to pair mein aur weakness dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jabke resistance ke upar breakout hota hai, to pair bullish momentum dikhayega. In key levels par nazar rakhni hogi taake market movement ko samajh kar trading decisions liye ja sakein.

NZD-USD pair ne haal hi mein bearish movements dikhayi hain, jo ek clear downward trend bana raha hai jismein lower highs aur lower lows shamil hain. H4 timeframe par technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke bearish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 levels ko break kar liya hai. Trader ki umeedein puri ho rahi hain, aur wo is pair par sell trades ka silsila jaari rakhtay huay mazeed gains ki tawakko rakhtay hain. Forecasting tools ka istimaal aur ready-made analyzes ka mutaala karne se trader ko apne trading decisions mein yaqeen mila hai. Trader ne NZD/USD ke price movement ka tajziya karne ke liye Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka istimaal kiya hai, jo kai indicators aur approaches ko combine karta hai. Yeh indicator 70-85% cases mein profitable trades ka nateeja deta hai, jo trading ke environment mein ek kaafi achi success rate hai. Resistance 0.6259 par nazar rakhne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages (MA) ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye. RSI valuable insights de sakta hai ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ya trend ke continuation ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Wahi, H1 chart par 50-period aur 200-period Moving Averages key trends ko pehchaanne mein madad kar sakti hain, jahan in averages ke darmiyan crossover momentum mein ek potential shift ko signal kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke external factors jaise ke New Zealand ya US se aane wale economic data releases NZD/USD pair ke direction par aham asar daal sakte hain. Dono mulkon se aane wale inflation, interest rates, ya trade balances ke updates market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur mazid price movements ko trigger kar sakti hain.Haalankeh NZD/USD pair ko 0.6259 resistance ko break na karne ke baad ek temporary setback ka Samna karna pada, lekin is level ke ird gird aane wala price action intehai ahem hoga. Agar resistance successfully break ho gaya, to pair ke mazeed oopar jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar yeh resistance mazboot raha, to bearish pressure pair ko niche support levels ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Hamesha technical indicators aur fundamental news par tawajju de kar, traders is dynamic market Hoga

NZD/USD ka jo pair hai, wo saat hafton ki neechey level par aa gaya hai, 0.6091 ko touch karte hue. Ye girawat 1 October se shuru hui aur abhi bhi barh rahi hai. New Zealand dollar ki kamzori ka sabab zyadatar Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka faida kam karna hai, jo girti hui inflationary pressure ke jawab mein kiya gaya hai.
RBNZ ne musalsal rate cuts ka elaan kiya hai, jismein sab se aakhri 50 basis points ki cut thi jo key rate ko 4.75% per annum par le aayi. Yeh qadam inflation ko 1-3% ke target range mein rokne ke liye uthaya gaya hai, jab ke aanay wala consumer price data yeh dikha sakta hai ke inflation 2% ke aas-paas consolidate ho rahi hai, jo ke RBNZ ke targets ke mutabiq hai. Dunya bhar ka dhyaan US central bank ki aanewali meeting ke minutes par hai. Ye minutes isliye ahem hain ke yeh Fed ki aanewali monetary policy ke bare mein zaroori maloomat dete hain.
Market participants aksar is maloomat ka istemal karte hain taake andaza lagaya ja sake ke Fed mazeed rate adjustments karay ga ya nahi, jo ke currency markets ke dynamics ko mutasir karta hai. NZD/USD market apni expected downtrend target 0.6080 par pohnch gaya hai.
Ab umeed hai ke aik nai consolidation phase is level ke ooper banay gi. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh aik corrective move 0.6230 tak aasakti hai. Iss correction ke baad, mazeed girawat 0.5944 tak ja sakti hai. Agar consolidation ka result neechey ki taraf hota hai, toh downtrend 0.5944 tak barh sakta hai. MACD indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai, jismein signal line zero ke neechey aur downtrend mein hai.
Hourly chart par, pair apne bearish trend target 0.6080 tak pohnch gaya, aur neechey exit hua jab consolidation zone 0.6126 par bana. Aaj ek move upar ki taraf 0.6126 tak hone ki umeed hai, us ke baad 0.6100 ka retest hoga. Market in levels par ek nai consolidation range develop kar sakta hai. Agar upar ka breakout hota hai, toh aik corrective move 0.6230 tak ho sakti hai, jo ke recent downtrend ka reaction hoga. Stochastic Oscillator, jis ki signal line 20 ke neechey aur upar ki taraf hai, yeh indication deta hai ke ek upward correction aa sakti hai.

momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum (LOW) tak pohnch ke apni girawat rokk di aur wapas upar aane laga. In tamam points ko dekhte huay, main expect karta hoon ke market price reversal karega aur 2-and LevelSupLine

momentum dekhne ko mil raha hai woh downside bias ko darshaata hai. Price ne haal hi mein 0.62500 ke qareeb ek liquidity zone ko reject kiya, jo ke Fair Value Gap (FVG) aur ek liquidity cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold zone mein hain, jo buy entry ko confirm karte hain. Price ne blue support line of the linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin price minimum