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**NZD/USD ka Ghor Se Jaiza**

NZD/USD currency pair filhal kaafi taqat dikhata hai, jo kai favorable economic factors se supported hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) mazboot commodity prices se faida utha raha hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports se, jo New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot ahm hai. Iske ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnayi hai, jo inflation ko tackle karne ke liye interest rates barhane ki tayari dikhata hai. Ye strategy NZD/USD ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein zyada pasandida banati hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve evolving economic conditions ke jawab mein rate cuts par ghoor kar raha hai.

RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate differential NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki New Zealand ki tight monetary policy Kiwi ki value ko support karti hai. Global trade conditions aur geopolitical elements bhi NZD/USD ki performance par khaas asar daalte hain. New Zealand ka stable political climate aur China aur Australia ke saath mazboot trade ties NZD/USD ko bazaar mein behtar position dete hain.

Lekin, NZD/USD ek pasandida safe-haven currency bhi hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai. Is liye, market participants ko aane wale economic data releases, jaise employment statistics aur GDP growth, par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye investor sentiment ko sway kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis and FOMC Insights

Wednesday ke trading session mein, FOMC ke kai representatives current monetary policy situation par bolne wale hain. Ye comments financial markets mein volatility barhane ka sabab ban sakte hain, kyunki investors inke bayanat ko Fed ke policy direction ke liye mazeed clues ke liye interpret karenge. Agar Fed ke kisi bhi indication se ye samajh aata hai ke wo ek aur rate cut ki taraf ja rahe hain, to ye bond aur equity markets mein speculation ko barhawa de sakta hai, jo global risk sentiment ko asar dega.

NZD/USD currency pair ke liye technical picture bohot dilchasp hota ja raha hai. Pair ne recent sessions mein taqat dikhayi hai aur ab 0.6300 ke key resistance level ki taraf chadhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar ye level todne mein kaamyab hota hai, to ye ek sustained upward trend ka aaghaz ho sakta hai. NZD/USD ka agla target 0.6600 ke aas paas hoga, jahan ye ek "W" pattern formation complete kar sakta hai. Ye technical pattern, jo aksar bullish signal samjha jata hai, pair ko higher levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan mazeed targets 0.6800 aur aakhir mein 0.7000 ya us se upar ho sakte hain.

### T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
N Z D / U S D

Hello aur sab doston ko khush aamdeed. Aaj hum forex market mein aik girawat ka manzar dekh rahe hain. NZD/USD is waqt 0.6103 par trade ho raha hai. NZD/USD abhi ek bearish trend dikhata hai. Lekin agar aap chart par NZD/USD ko dekhein, to abhi yeh lagataar gir raha hai jab ke ek bearish candle bana raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) ki value 48 ke aas paas hai, jo market ki negativity ko darshata hai. Market abhi jis tarah se hai, us taraf se neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ka negative crossover nazar aata hai, jo qareeb ke dino mein downside traction ka sujhaav deta hai, is liye behtar hoga ke market mein ghusne se pehle sabr se intezar kiya jaye. NZD/USD ka price abhi bear ke haq mein ghoom raha hai. Is darmiyan, 20 aur 50 ke EMAs abhi kaafi door hain.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S


N Z D / U S D

Pehla ahm rukawat 0.6626 ke aas paas hai, jo pehli level ka resistance hai. Iske baad momentum $0.7733 ki mid-level hurdle ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo doosri level ka resistance hai. Agar price apne trading movement ko jari rakhti hai, to agla target 0.8841 hoga, jo teesri level ka resistance hai.

Doosri taraf, pehli ahm rukawat 0.5837 ke aas paas hai, jo pehli level ka support hai. Iske baad momentum $0.4979 ki mid-level hurdle ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo doosri level ka support hai. Agar price apne trading movement ko jari rakhti hai, to agla target 0.4162 hoga, jo teesri level ka support hai.

Main suggest karunga ke bear direction mein rehna chahiye jab tak NZD/USD 0.6626 ke area ko break nahi karta, jo abhi tak to mushkil lagta hai. Bears poore market par raj kar rahe hain.
Indicators Used in the Chart:

• MACD Indicator
• RSI Indicator (Period 14)
• 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Orange)
• 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Magenta)

Kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant

**New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki Halat:**

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein, jumme ke din, subah ki Asian trading mein apne faidaat ko barqarar rakha hai, jahan yeh 0.6095 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Lekin, is pair ke upside potential mein kuch kami nazar aa rahi hai kyunki September mein US inflation achanak barh gayi hai, jo Federal Reserve se koi aham rate cut ki sambhavnayein kam kar raha hai aur dollar ko majbooti de raha hai.

Investors ab Friday ko Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Michigan consumer confidence ke preliminary data ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Consumer Price Index (CPI) ne September mein saal dar saal 2.4% ka izafa dekha, jabke pichle mahine yeh 2.5% tha. Is ke ilawa, Core CPI, jo khurak aur energy prices ko chhod kar dekha jata hai, ne September mein 3.3% ka izafa kiya hai, jo pichle mawaqay par 3.2% se zyada hai aur is se pehle ki umeed bhi 3.2% thi. Yeh higher-than-expected inflation report dollar ko taqat de sakti hai aur NZD/USD pair ke upside ko rok sakti hai.

Jabke September mein thoda sa izafa in rates ki sambhavna nahi hai ke Federal Reserve is saal mein mazeed interest rates ko kaat sake, lekin 50 basis point ke rate cut ki sambhavnayein bohat zyada kam ho gayi hain, khas taur par US nonfarm payrolls report ke strong aane ke baad. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, bazaar ab November mein 25 basis point rate cut ki 83.3% chance dekh raha hai.

New York Fed President John Williams ne Thursday ko kaha tha ke unhein umeed hai ke inflationary pressures ke kam hone aur economy ki majbooti ke sath, mazeed rate cuts honge. Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee ne ye bhi kaha tha ke unhein umeed hai ke agle saal ya saal aadha mein ek silsila rate cuts ka hoga, unhone yeh bhi nazar rakhte hue kaha ke inflation ab Federal Reserve ke 2% target ke qareeb aa rahi hai aur economy full employment ke qareeb hai, jo Fed ka maqsad hai.

Halankeh, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne kaha ke agar economic data Fed ke target ke mutabiq waqt par nahi aata, toh woh November mein rate cut ko skip karne ka bhi khayal rakhte hain.

New Zealand dollar ne US dollar ke muqablay mein ek tez giraawat dekhi jab Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se kam karne ka faisla kiya. Yeh pair 0.6100 area ke aas-paas relatively stable raha, jo 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke nazdeek hai, jo ke ek mazboot support level hai.

Technical oscillators kuch mixed signals de rahe hain. Stochastic ne oversold zone mein bullish crossover banate hue %K aur %D lines ke beech upar ki taraf ishara kiya hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold 50 ki taraf neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Neeche ki taraf, 0.5850-0.5875 ka support area tezi se negative momentum ko rok sakta hai.

Yeh sab kuch dekhte hue, NZD/USD ke liye agle dino mein kuch challenges hain. Agar inflation ki report unexpected rahi, toh dollar ko majbooti mil sakti hai jo NZD/USD ke liye downside ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is waqt, traders ko chahiye ke wo is pair ke movements aur economic indicators par nazar rakhein, taake behtar faisle kar sakein aur market ki dynamics se faida utha sakein.

Trading mein sabr aur strategy ki zaroorat hoti hai, aur market ke har pal par nazar rakhna hi successful trading ka raaz hai. NZD/USD ki halat abhi bhi un logon ke liye ek nazar rakhne wala mauqa hai jo currency market mein maneuvers karte hain.

**NZD/USD Ka Ghor Se Jaiza**

NZD/USD currency pair is waqt kafi taqatwar nazar aa raha hai, jo ke kai achi ma'ashi factors se support hasil kar raha hai. New Zealand dollar (NZD) ko mazboot commodity prices se faida ho raha hai, khaaskar dairy aur agricultural exports se, jo New Zealand ki ma'ashi buniyad ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Iske ilawa, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne hawkish position apnaayi hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke woh inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates ko barhane ke liye tayar hai. Yeh strategy NZD/USD ki appeal ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein barhati hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ma'ashi halat ke mutabiq rate cuts par ghor kar raha hai.

RBNZ aur Fed ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq NZD/USD exchange rate ke liye kafi ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki New Zealand mein tight monetary policy Kiwi ki qeemat ko support karti hai. Global trade conditions aur geopolitical factors bhi NZD/USD ki performance par ahm asar dalte hain. New Zealand ka stable political climate aur China aur Australia ke saath mazboot trade ties, NZD/USD ko bazar mein behtar position dete hain. Iske sath hi, NZD/USD ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par bhi dekha ja raha hai, jo uncertainty ke doran taqat hasil karta hai.

Isliye, market participants ko aane wale ma'ashi data releases, jaise ke employment statistics aur GDP growth par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh investor sentiment ko badal sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair par asar dal sakte hain.

Trading session ke doran, Wednesday ko FOMC ke kuch representatives current monetary policy situation par bolne wale hain. Inke comments financial markets mein volatility barha sakte hain, kyunki investors inki baatein Fed ke policy direction ke liye clues ke tor par interpret karte hain. Agar kisi bhi surat mein Fed ke agle rate cut ki taraf janay ki ishaarat milti hai, toh yeh bond aur equity markets mein speculation ko barha sakti hai, jo global risk sentiment ko bhi asar andaz kar sakti hai.

NZD/USD currency pair ke liye technical picture bhi kafi dilchasp hoti ja rahi hai. Is pair ne recent sessions mein taqat dikhayi hai aur yeh key resistance level 0.6300 ki taraf chadhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh pair is level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh ek naye sustained upward trend ki shuruaat ka signal de sakta hai.

NZD/USD ka agla target 0.6600 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan yeh ek "W" pattern formation ko complete kar sakta hai. Yeh technical pattern aksar bullish signal samjha jata hai, jo pair ko upar ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan aur bhi targets 0.6800 aur aakhir mein 0.7000 ya usse upar tak pahunchne ke liye hain.

Is tarah, NZD/USD ki current strength aur economic fundamentals iski upward potential ko barhati hain. Traders ko yeh samajhna hoga ke in technical levels ko todne ki koshish kaisi hai aur kaise economic data releases is pair ki movement ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Aane wale waqt mein, yeh pair markets ki changing dynamics ke sath apne halat ko tay karega.

Ant mein, NZD/USD ki tahqiqat aur iske economic aur geopolitical context ko samajhna, traders ke liye bohot zaroori hai taake woh sahi trading decisions le sakein. In sab factors ke sath, NZD/USD ke liye aage ka rukh kaafi roshan nazar aa raha hai.

mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement

**New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki Halat ka Jaiza**

New Zealand dollar (NZD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni gains ko barqarar rakha hai, khaaskar Friday ki subah Asian trade ke doran, jab yeh 0.6095 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Lekin, yeh pair ki upar ki taraf ki potential ko kuch had tak limit kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke September mein US inflation mein ghaflati tor par izafa dekha gaya, jo Federal Reserve se kisi badi rate cut ki ummeed ko kam karta hai aur dollar ko mazid majbooti deta hai. Investors ab Friday ko aane wale Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Michigan consumer confidence ke preliminary data ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) ne September mein saalana 2.4% ka izafa dikhaya, jo pichle mahine ke 2.5% se thoda kam hai. Is beech, Core CPI, jo khana aur energy prices ko shamil nahi karta, ne bhi September mein ek saal ke liye 3.3% ka izafa dikhaya, jo pichle reading 3.2% se zyada hai aur expectations ke 3.2% se bhi behtar hai. Aise inflation ka report jo umeed se zyada ho, greenback ko taqat de sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair ke liye upar ki taraf ka mauqa rok sakta hai. Jab ke September mein thoda izafa hone se Federal Reserve ko is saal kisi aur rate cut se roka nahi ja sakta, 50 basis point ki rate cut ki sambhavana bohot had tak kam ho gayi hai, khaaskar September ke strong US nonfarm payrolls report ke baad. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market ab November mein 25 basis point ki rate cut ki lagbhag 83.3% chance ko price kar raha hai.

**Federal Reserve ke Presidenton ke Beiyan**

New York Fed President Williams ne Thursday ko kaha ke unhein umeed hai ke inflationary pressures ke kam hone aur economy ke mazboot rahne ki wajah se aur rate cuts aane wale hain. Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee ne ye bhi kaha ke unhein agle saal ya saal aadha tak series of rate cuts ki umeed hai, yeh batate hue ke inflation ab Fed ke 2% target ke kareeb hai aur economy full employment ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke Fed ka maqsad hai. Lekin, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne is baat ka izhar kiya ke agar economic data Fed ke target ke sath time par na aaye, toh woh November mein rate cut ko skip karne ki sambhavana ko khula rakhte hain.

**NZD/USD ki Halat**

New Zealand dollar ne US dollar ke muqablay mein sharp decline dekha jab Bank of New Zealand ne interest rates ko 50 basis points se cut karne ka faisla kiya. Yeh pair 0.6100 ke aas-paas relatively stable raha, jo ke 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke kareeb hai, yeh ek strong support level hai. Technical oscillators kuch mixed signals de rahe hain. Stochastic ne %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan bullish crossover banate hue oversold zone mein upar ki taraf ishara diya hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) downward point kar raha hai jo neutral threshold 50 ki taraf hai. Neeche ki taraf, 0.5850-0.5875 ka support area sharp negative momentum ko rok sakta hai.

Dunya ke trade conditions aur geopolitics bhi NZD ki performance par asar andaz hain. New Zealand ka stable siyasi mahaul aur China aur Australia ke saath mazboot trade relations NZD ko bazaar mein acha position dete hain. Lekin, USD hamesha se ek favoured safe-haven currency raha hai, jo ke uncertain periods mein mazid taqat paata hai. Is liye market participants ko aanay wale economic data releases par ghaur se nazar rakhni chahiye, jaise ke employment statistics aur GDP growth, jo investor sentiment ko badal sakti hain aur NZD/USD pair ko asar daal sakti hain. Halaat bearish lag rahe hain, lekin trading mein hamesha ek well-defined risk management strategy ke sath kaam karna chahiye. Forex market fitratan volatile hoti hai, aur achi se achi trends bhi kabhi kabhi achanak reverse kar sakti hain. Stop-loss orders lagana ahem hai taake aap apni capital ko protect kar sakein. Maslan, agar aap stop-loss ko recent swing high se thoda upar rakhein, to agar market aapke muqable mein chalti hai to aapke losses limited rahen ge. Traders ko un key economic events ka bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar daal sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeli ke hawale se koi bhi khabar currency pair mein tezi se harakat karwa sakti hai, jo ke current technical setup ko bigaar sakti hai. Trading mein hamesha updated rehna aur apni strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hota hai.

NZD/USD currency pair, H4 time frame par, sellers ke liye aik attractive mauqa lagta hai. Jo ongoing downward trend hai, wo technical indicators aur price action ke zariye confirm ho raha hai, aur is se lagta hai ke traders ke liye mazeed giraawat par capitalize karne ka chance hai

Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain

Kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan wapas aayega, aur kis level par movement jaari reh sakti hai. Har koi Fibonacci tool ka istimaal apne tareeke se karta hai. Fibonacci installation ko illustrate karte hue, bina market distortion ke, kabhi kabhi yeh samajhna mushkil hota hai ke isay sahi tarah se kaise install karna hai. Main isay guzre hue trading day's candle par install karta hoon, uski close ke mutabiq. High ko Fibonacci level 100-(0.62331) ke barabar rakhta hoon, aur low ko 0-(0.61296) ke barabar. Aisi construction hamesha 100% consistent hoti hai, jo market patterns ko track karne mein madad deti hai, jin par market entry ideas base hote hain. Jaise pichle din, market 100- (0.62331) aur 50- (0.61814) Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan tha. Bullish interest mojood hai. Buyers ki preference Fibonacci level 123.6-(0.62575), 138.2-(0.62726) determine karti hai ke main apna profit kahaan loonga. Entry point 50-(0.61814) level se buy karne ka hai, aur movement ke dauran aap 61.8-(0.61936), 76.4-(0.62087) se enter kar sakte hain. Asal mein, New Zealand ke pair mein ab tak kuch khaas nahi badla, kyun ke upward movement jaari hai, aur mazeed growth ka room mojood hai. Magar jaldi opening ke baad, hum update karne nahi gaye, balki wapas aane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halan ke hum ab tak 62nd ke upar hain. Aur phir bhi, dollar zyada initiative nahi dikha raha, magar yeh important hai ke hum kis tarah se zyada trade karte hain. Jaise ke pehle kaha tha, main yeh nahi kehta ke Powell ke tamaam statements ne market ko pehle se hit kar diya hai, aur isliye humein kam az kam aik rollback milega. Yeh situation mushkil hai kyun ke mere paas koi immediate goals nahi hain. Lekin main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon, aur agar hum phir se 0.6160 ke neeche break karte hain, to main wahan acceptable stop ke sath buy karna allow karta hoon Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant

0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements

kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye.
Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai,
NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.
Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai.

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain state mein hai, aur ek breakout ka

kal ki koshish jo ke price ko neeche le jaane ki thi, kaafi kaamyaab rahi. Price mein ek khaas girawat hui, magar aaj phir se kuch growth nazar aa rahi hai. Kal ki ye girawat bhi us waqt market mein US dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki wajah se hui thi. Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.
Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi

fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart se lagta hai ke price apni current range se break out karne mein muskil ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. Mid-August se, is pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisme price 0.5900 se upar uth kar 0.6240 area tak gaya, jahan ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna hua. Yeh resistance, 0.6240 ke aas paas kai liquidity levels ki wajah se, upside ko cap kar diya, aur ek temporary consolidation period shuru hua Is phase ke dauran, price action ne higher lows ka silsila dikhaya, jo ke ongoing buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break na kar pana ye dikhata hai ke sellers active ho gaye hain, ya to profit le rahe hain ya short positions le rahe hain. Late August mein jab price 0.6260 level tak pohancha, to ek prominent FVG aur doosra DLiq zone se mazeed resistance ka samna hua. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point ko zahir kiya, aur NZD/USD pair ne apni pehle wali gains ko retrace karna shuru kar diya. Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level tak gira, liquidity gaps ko fill kiya aur previous support levels ko test kiya. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha, ek range-bound structure banata raha. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests ne define kiya, jisme price ko 0.6140 ke aas paas support mila, jo ke pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein flip ho gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na kar pana bearish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jisme sellers abhi bhi market pe dominate kar rahe hain September ke shuru mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo ek potential momentum shift ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo ek bearish trend ke development ko dikhata hai. Abhi ke waqt mein, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ke baad market ko direction dhoondhne ki koshish dikhata hai. Chart pe multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki mojoodgi yeh zahir karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab tak market ek breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezaar kar raha hai NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart ek market ko dikhata hai jo tight range mein phansa hua hai, aur liquidity zones aur FVGs heavily price movements ko dictate kar rahe hain. Is se lagta hai ke market ek uncertain sta