نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

se pehle ehtiyat karoon ga. Mera trading faisla is baat par mabni hoga ke price bearish channel ke support line ke breakdown zone mein dakhil hoti hai ya nahi — jo pehla correction area hai. Buyers ke is area mein rawaiya ko dekh kar, main ye andaza lagaonga ke kya bullish correction ka imkaan hai ya pullback khatam ho gaya hai aur trend wapas shuru hoga. Aaj ke session mein main market ke dhokay mein nahi aaon ga. Haan, mujhe lagta hai ke 0.8329 ke neeche girne ka imkaan hai, aur agar aisa hota hai toh main buy karoon ga, lekin yeh ek chhota pullback ho sakta hai. Bulls aaj achi performance de rahe hain, USD/CHF ka upward movement abhi tak expected ke mutabiq hai. Is waqt price ka bottom abhi tak bana hua hai. MACD indicator undersold zone mein hai. Weekend par price ko dheere dheere dabaya gaya, aur jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, pichle hafte mein kam az kam thoda update dekhne ko mila. Magar, main yeh expect nahi karta ke market ab neeche jayegi. CCI indicator ka position already low heat region mein hai, aur is par sharp deviation dekhne ko mil raha hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh soon apni authenticity kho dega, is dafa pichli baar se zyada. High updates ka intezar hai, aur yeh descendant line do waves ke last peaks tak pohonchayegi. Friday ko news ne Euro-Dollar pair ko resistance level ke upper part ko test karne par majboor kar diya, jo ke pair ko wapas neeche girane ki koshish thi. Yeh pairing growth ke liye behtareen hai. Haan, aam tor par market mein US dollar ka target agle do kaam ke dino ke baad hota hai. Jo kuch ab tak dekha gaya hai, uski buniyad par, mujhe lagta hai ke strategy clear hai — din ke short intervals mein dekha jaye ga ke goal achieve hota hai ya nahi, yani neeche wali line, magar line ko success jaisi dikh USD/CHF ko upar push

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NZD-USD pair ne haal hi mein bearish movements dikhayi hain, jo ek clear downward trend bana raha hai jismein lower highs aur lower lows shamil hain. H4 timeframe par technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke bearish momentum ne MA 50 aur MA 100 levels ko break kar liya hai. Trader ki umeedein puri ho rahi hain, aur wo is pair par sell trades ka silsila jaari rakhtay huay mazeed gains ki tawakko rakhtay hain. Forecasting tools ka istimaal aur ready-made analyses ka mutaala karne se trader ko apne trading decisions mein yaqeen mila hai. Trader ne NZD/USD ke price movement ka tajziya karne ke liye Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator ka istimaal kiya hai, jo kai indicators aur approaches ko combine karta hai. Yeh indicator 70-85% cases mein profitable trades ka nateeja deta hai, jo trading ke environment mein ek kaafi achi success rate hai. Resistance 0.6259 par nazar rakhne ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages (MA) ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye. RSI valuable insights de sakta hai ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo ke ek potential reversal ya trend ke continuation ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Wahi, H1 chart par 50-period aur 200-period Moving Averages key trends ko pehchaanne mein madad kar sakti hain, jahan in averages ke darmiyan crossover momentum mein ek potential shift ko signal kar sakta hai.Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke external factors jaise ke New Zealand ya U.S. se aane wale economic data releases NZD/USD pair ke direction par aham asar daal sakte hain. Dono mulkon se aane wale inflation, interest rates, ya trade balances ke updates market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur mazid price movements ko trigger kar sakti hain.Haalankeh NZD/USD pair ko 0.6259 resistance ko break na karne ke baad ek temporary setback ka samna karna pada, lekin is level ke ird gird aane wala price action intehai ahem hoga. Agar resistance successfully break ho gaya, to pair ke mazeed oopar jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin agar yeh resistance mazboot raha, to bearish pressure pair ko niche support levels ki

kuch barhawa dekhne ko mil raha hai. Kal ka girawat bhi market mein US dollar ki mazid mazbooti ki wajah se thi. Wave structure abhi tak upar ki taraf bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside pressure ka imkaan hai jab sellers market structure ko dominate karte rahenge Akhir mein, NZD/USD abhi ek critical support zone 0.61500 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Agar ye level break hota hai to bearish move tezi se aage barh sakta hai, jabke koi bhi bullish koshish ko 0.62500-0.63000 ke range mein resistance ka samna karna parega, aur overall bearish outlook barqarar rahega

upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - ek mazboot sell signal. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se niche ki taraf ja raha hai aur us par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ka candle puri tarah se pechlay barhnay walay candle ko cover kar gaya aur is tarah ek candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Ye sell signals ki tasdeeq hai. In sab ke ilawa, qeemat ne ek khubsurat ascending wedge banayi hai - jo ke ek decline figure hai. Chahay trend upar ki taraf hai, magar halat ko dekh kar lagta hai ke aglay chand dinon mein qeemat phir se niche ki taraf dabao mein aayegi, un ascending lines tak jo purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hain. Aur raat bhar ka jo barhawa hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhote period mein growth ka end track karna chahiye, wahan koi sell formation dhoondhna chahiye aur niche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj ka important news package Moscow time ke mutabiq 15:30 par aayega: US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki kul tadaad, US mein core orders for durable goods, US ka core price index of personal consumption expenditures, US ka volume of orders for durable goods, US ka gross domestic product (GDP), US ka GDP deflator, aur US mein unemployment benefits ki initial applications ka number. 16:20 par US Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka khitaab hoga Agar NZD/USD 0.61500 ke support level ke niche break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agay aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, aur psychological level 0.61000 tak qeemat ja sakti hai, jahan agla significant liquidity zone majood hai. Ye sellers ke liye rasta khol sakta hai ke qeemat ko aur neeche le jayein, khaaskar jab market mein koi immediate upside catalyst nazar nahi aa raha. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside recovery hoti hai to usay 0.62500-0.63000 ke aas paas ke resistance zone par rukawat ka samna hoga, jo pehle se hi sellers ka interest dikha chuka hai aur bullish retracement ki koshish ko rokne wala hai. Kul mila kar sentiment bearish hi hai, aur mazeed downside

humne NZD/USD market mein ek bullish scenario dekha, jab yeh 0.6245 zone ko successfully cross kar gaya. New Zealand ka GDP rate behtar anjaam dekh raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ko support faraham kar raha hai. Woh traders jo macroeconomic-based approach ko follow karte hain, woh broader economic context par focus karte hain, jo ke Fed ke officials, jaise ke Harker, ke key remarks se shape hota hai. Yeh traders price stability, employment statistics, aur economic growth jaise factors ka tajziya karte hain taake wo market trends ko behtar taur par predict kar saken. Masalan, agar Harker inflationary pressures ke hawale se Fed ki vigilance ko highlight karte hain, to traders mazeed monetary tightening ki umeed rakhte hain, jo dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai aur bond yields ko barha sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar Harker economic progress ke risks par zor dete hain, to traders samajhte hain ke policies mein more accommodative shift aane wala hai, jo dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur stocks aur raw materials mein rally la sakta hai.
NZD/USD market mein buyers 0.6282 zone ko break karne ke liye optimistic hain. Technical analysis par focus karne wale traders ke liye key hai ke dollar ke critical price levels ko monitor kiya jaye, jo unki trades ko guide karne mein madadgar hote hain. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, ya USD/JPY jese pairs mein support aur resistance zones ko dekh kar potential trade setups ki talash ki ja rahi hai. Agar Harker ke comments market mein turbulence create karte hain, to yeh price zones traders ke liye critical reference points ka kaam karte hain taake wo risk manage kar saken aur fluctuations ka faida utha saken.

American monetary policies ka global markets par asar nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. US dollar dominant reserve currency hone ki wajah se, iski value swings global trade, capital movements, aur economic stability ko affect karti hain.

Haal hi mein, NZD/USD pair ne 4-hour timeframe par rising wedge pattern se breakdown ke baad sharp decline dekha, jo ke bearish reversal ka signal tha. 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6190 level ke ird-gird girna shuru kar gayi, jo short-term downtrend ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish range mein shift ho gaya hai, jo bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Agar asset 0.6100 se neeche decisively break

NZD/USD Exchange Rate Analysis

NZD/USD ka exchange rate apni downward trend ko jaari rakh raha hai, jo lagbhag 0.6101 ke low price level aur psychological level 0.6100 tak pohanch raha hai. Agar yeh girawat jaari rahi, to rate 0.6070 ke support level (S1) tak aur neeche ja sakta hai, jiske baad ek upward correction phase dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke maujooda price mein foran upward correction ho.

Pichle price history ki buniyad par, jisme ek doji candlestick shamil thi, price ne aksar sabse nazdeek ke resistance level ki taraf upar ki taraf move kiya hai. Current price pivot point (PP) 0.6222 tak upward correct ho sakta hai, jo do moving average lines ke intersection par hai. Iske ilawa, EMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines ka aane wala crossover bearish signal generate kar sakta hai, jo overall trend direction ko downward bias ki taraf shift kar sakta hai.

Higher high - higher low price pattern structure tootne ke kareeb hai agar downward trend 0.6107 ke low price par nahi rukta. Invalidation level 0.6101 ke low price par hai, aur jab tak yeh level breach nahi hota, current pattern structure intact rahega. Currency pair ko apne pehle peak 0.6373 ke upar higher high establish karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Price ko do moving average lines ya pivot point 0.6222 ko paar karna hoga taake yeh upward momentum ko resistance level 0.6303 ki taraf continue kar sake.

**NZD/USD Pair Analysis**

Awesome Oscillator indicator downward trend ka ishara de raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke girne ki sambhavnayein support karta hai. Iske ilawa, histogram volume negative region mein, yani zero se neeche, kafi wide hai. Agar current price par ek upward correction hoti hai, to bhi histogram volume jaldi zero level ki taraf nahi pohanch sakta.

Dusri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters 50 level ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo oversold zone (20-10) ko cross karne ke baad hai. Yeh potential price increase ka sanket hai, lekin jab parameters 50 level ke aas-paas cross karte hain, to rally limited ho sakti hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke price phir se neeche ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Setup yeh suggest karta hai ke 50-day exponential moving average aur 200-day simple moving average ke beech ek death cross signal nikal sakta hai, jabke price pattern structure possible breakout ke kareeb hai. Apni position tab bechen jab price pivot point (PP) 0.6222 tak pahunche ya jab do moving average lines cross ho. Stochastic indicator ka overbought zone (90-80) se neeche aane ka intezar karein pehle sale ko confirm karne ke liye.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) histogram downward trend ko dikhata hai jo zero line ke neeche rehkar saaf hai. Apna take-profit target support level (S1) 0.6070 par set karein aur stop-loss resistance level (R1) 0.6303 par rakhein.

NZD/USD currency pair is currently showing significant strength, driven by several favorable economic factors. The New Zealand dollar has benefited from strong commodity prices, particularly in dairy and agricultural exports, which are crucial to New Zealand’s economy. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has taken a hawkish stance, indicating a potential rise in interest rates to address inflation. This approach makes the NZD more attractive compared to the US dollar, especially as the Federal Reserve considers possible rate cuts due to changing economic conditions. The interest rate differential between the RBNZ and the Fed is a critical factor for the NZD/USD exchange rate, with tighter monetary policy in New Zealand supporting the Kiwi's value. Global trade conditions and geopolitical factors also influence the NZD’s performance. New Zealand’s stable political environment and strong trade relationships with China and Australia position the NZD favorably. However, the USD remains a safe-haven currency, gaining strength during times of uncertainty. Market participants should closely watch upcoming economic data, such as employment figures and GDP growth, which could impact the NZD/USD pair. Currently, NZD/USD is showing signs of an upward trend, with a key resistance level at 0.61764. If the price breaks above this level, the next major target will be 0.62787. This resistance level is significant as it could act as a peak for the ongoing bullish move. Breaking through this resistance would suggest that NZD/USD is gaining momentum, potentially attracting both short-term and long-term traders. Reaching 0.62087 would confirm the strength of the bullish momentum, and breaking past it would signal a continuation of the uptrend, possibly leading to a broader shift in favor of the bulls. Traders will closely monitor for sustained strength, as this could result in further upward movement in the coming days or weeks. The RBNZ’s actions are likely to play a major role in this rise, as recent optimism surrounds the central bank’s efforts to manage inflation and stimulate economic growth. A favorable policy decision, such as maintaining or raising interest rates, could further boost the NZD, adding to the bullish outlook for the NZD/USD pair. Additionally, the relative weakness of the US dollar could further support the NZD/USD pair. The Federal Reserve has been cautious with interest rate hikes, and although inflation is still a concern, there are indications that the Fed may take a more moderate approach moving forward. This could weaken the USD, providing more room for the NZD to appreciate. If the USD continues to soften, it could help push NZD/USD closer to the 0.62787 level.

Technical analysis of the NZDUSD pair

Ek mazboot neeche ki lehr ka asar dikhai de raha hai daily chart par, do mahine ki upar ki rujhan ke baad.

Pichle do mahine ki price movement ko dekhte hue, pehle ek upar ki lehr, phir neeche ki correction, phir se ek upar ki lehr, aur ab is mahine neeche ki correction ka aghaaz ho raha hai.

Lekin jab price ne lower channel lines aur monthly pivot level 0.6271 ko cross kiya aur is area se aage neeche ki taraf chali gayi, toh ye ek neeche ki tabdeeli ka ishara hai, sirf correction nahi.

Iss waqt, decline ruk gaya hai aur price ek bottom banane ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin decline ka khatam hona abhi confirm nahi hua. Hamein price movement ke liye kuch mumkinat hain:

Pehli mumkinat ye hai ke current bottom ko break karke decline jaari rahe aur monthly support level 0.5999 tak pahunche.

Dusri mumkinat ye hai ke current level se upar ki taraf badhe, aur is surat mein 0.6170 ka level tay karega ke price pehle ki upward trend ko jaari rakhegi ya phir phir se neeche aayegi. Price behavior ko is level par monitor karna zaroori hai.

Ab tak available trading opportunities ke liye, aap kal ke lowest trading price ko break hone par sell kar sakte hain aur 0.5999 ke support level tak bech sakte hain. Aap kal ke highest trading price ko break hone par buy kar sakte hain aur 0.6170 tak kharid sakte hain.

Jab aap 0.6170 tak pahunchein, toh price behavior ka intezar karna zaroori hai taake agle direction ka pata chale.

**NZD/USD Price Forecast**

NZD/USD exchange rate apne downward trend ko jaari rakhta hua nazar aa raha hai, jo 0.6101 ke low price level aur psychological level 0.6100 ke nazdeek hai. Agar girawat jaari rahi, to rate mazeed niche ja sakta hai aur support level (S1) 0.6070 tak pahuncha sakta hai, jiske baad ek upward correction phase shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, yeh mumkin hai ke maujooda price foran upward correction ka samna kare.

Pichle price history ko dekhte hue, jis mein ek doji candlestick shamil thi, price aksar upar ki taraf move karti hai nearest resistance level ki taraf. Maujooda price ko upward correction mil sakta hai pivot point (PP) 0.6222 tak, jo do moving average lines ke intersection par hai. Is ke ilawa, EMA 50 aur SMA 200 lines ka aane wala crossover bearish signal generate kar sakta hai, jo overall trend direction ko downward bias ki taraf shift kar sakta hai.

Higher high - higher low price pattern structure breakout ke kareeb hai agar downward trend 0.6107 ke low price par nahi rukta. Invalidation level 0.6101 par hai, aur jab tak yeh level breach nahi hota, current pattern structure intact rahega. Currency pair ko pehle peak 0.6373 se upar higher high establish karne mein mushkilat ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Price ko do moving average lines ya pivot point 0.6222 ko paar karna hoga taake upward momentum ko resistance level 0.6303 ki taraf jaari rakhe.

**NZD/USD Price Analysis (Continued)**

Awesome Oscillator indicator downward trend ka ishara de raha hai, jo NZD/USD pair ki potential decline ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, histogram volume negative region mein, yani zero se neeche, kaafi wide hai. Agar maujooda price par upward correction bhi hota hai, tab bhi histogram volume jaldi se zero level ke kareeb nahi aayega.

Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters 50 level ki taraf badh rahe hain, jo oversold zone 20-10 ko cross karne ke baad hai. Yeh potential price increase ka ishara hai, lekin jab parameters 50 level ke aas paas cross karte hain, to rally limit ho sakti hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke price shayad phir se neeche ki taraf move karega.

Setup yeh darshata hai ke 50-day exponential moving average aur 200-day simple moving average se death cross signal ka nikalna mumkin hai, sath hi price pattern structure bhi possible breakout ki taraf badh raha hai.

Aap apni position tab bechein jab price pivot point (PP) 0.6222 tak pahunche ya jab do moving average lines cross ho. Stochastic indicator ko overbought zone (90-80) se neeche aate dekhne ka intezar karein pehle sale ko confirm karne se pehle. Awesome Oscillator (AO) histogram zero line se neeche rehkar downward trend dikhata hai.

Apna take-profit target support level (S1) 0.6070 par set karein aur stop-loss resistance level (R1) 0.6303 par rakhein.

Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhte hain - NZD/USD currency pair. Kal ki koshish kam hone ki kaafi successful rahi, price kaafi gira, lekin aaj phir se kuch growth dekhi ja rahi hai. Kal ki kami ka sabab market mein US dollar ki general taqat thi. Wave structure abhi bhi upar ki taraf bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai - jo ke strong sell signal hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai aur is par bhi bearish divergence hai. Kal ki candle ne pichhli barh rahi candle ko puri tarah dhak diya, aur is tarah aik candlestick pattern bana - bearish engulfing. Yeh sell signals ki confirmation hai.
Iske ilawa, price ne aik khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai - jo ke aik decline figure hai. Upar ki taraf ka trend hone ke bawajood, main yeh samajhta hoon ke nazdeek ke mustaqbil mein phir se price ko neeche ki taraf dabaya jaega, jo ke un older daily waves ke bottoms ke along bana ascending line par aayega. Aaj raat se shuru hone wali growth ka sabab 0.6257 ka horizontal support level hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke humein chhoti period par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, wahan sell formation talash karni chahiye aur neeche ka kaam karna chahiye.

Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow time par aata hai:
US mein unemployment benefits lene walon ki total tadad,
US mein core durable goods ke orders,
US mein core price index of personal consumption expenditures,
US mein durable goods ke orders ka volume,
US ka gross domestic product (GDP),
US ka GDP deflator,
US mein initial applications for unemployment benefits ki tadad.

16:20 par US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech hoga.

NZD/USD currency pair, jo forex traders mein bohot maqbool hai, ne haali mein 0.6259 resistance level par aik noticeable setback face kiya hai. Yeh resistance point aik ahem rukawat sabit hua hai jo pair ko aage barhne se rok raha hai. Samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh resistance level kaise kaam karta hai, taake traders market mein behtareen tareeqay se kaam kar sakein. Resistance levels wo areas hain jahan selling pressure zyada hota hai aur buying pressure ko overpower kar leta hai. NZD/USD ka 0.6259 level se break na karna yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ne control wapas haasil kar liya hai. Traders ko agle sessions mein is level ke qareeb price action dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh pair ke future direction ka ahem indicator hoga.Agar yeh resistance 0.6259 par mazbooti se break hota hai, to yeh NZD/USD ke liye bullish trend ka signal de sakta hai. Aik successful breakout ziada buying interest ko attract karta hai, jo pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, traders aglay ahem resistance levels ko target kar sakte hain, jaise ke 0.6300 ya 0.6350. Aik bullish breakout ke implications sirf price action tak mehdoot nahi hote, balkay yeh broader market sentiment ko bhi reflect karte hain, jo New Zealand dollar ko US dollar ke muqable mein favor karta hai.Iske baraks, agar resistance mazbooti se barqarar rehta hai, to bearish pressure barh sakta hai. Is case mein, traders support levels ki taraf girawat ki umeed rakh sakte hain. 0.6259 ke neechay ka immediate support zone qareeb 0.6200 par ho sakta hai, aur mazeed support shayad 0.6150 ke aas-paas ho. Agar yeh levels tod diye jate hain, to yeh sentiment mein reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jo NZD/USD pair ke liye mazid selling pressure aur bade nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai.Technical indicators price movement ke potential ko samajhne mein mazeed insight de sakte hain. Jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo yeh identify karne mein madad karta hai ke pair overbought ya oversold hai. Agar RSI 70 se zyada ho, to yeh pair ke overbought hone ka signal de sakta hai aur correction ka waqt ho sakta hai, jabke 30 se neeche hone ka matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh oversold hai aur rebound kar sakta hai. Moving averages bhi prevailing trend ke baare mein insight de sakte hain. Agar shorter moving averages longer ones ke neeche cross karein, to yeh bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai, jabke ulta hona bullish momentum ko dikhata hai. Technical analysis ke ilawa, fundamental factors ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. New Zealand economy ki performance, khaaskar iska trade balance, interest rates, aur employment figures NZD ko significant taur par impact karte hai

Aaj ka NZD/USD market sellers ya bears ke haq mein hai, aur is waqt price 0.6151 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ek mazboot resistance level provide kar rahi hai. Market mein girawat ke bawajood, bears ke liye mauqe hain ke woh current downward pressure ka faida utha sakte hain. Bulls shayad U.S. trading time zone ke dauran market mein shamil honay ki koshish karen, aur agar favorable conditions paida hoti hain, toh sentiment shift ho sakta hai.
Is surat mein, trading ka ek achievable goal tay karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar aaj ke liye. Hourly traders ke liye strategy mein ehtiyat se position lena shamil hona chahiye, aur recent price action ko madde nazar rakhte hue planning karni hogi. Sellers ke liye yeh acha mauqa hai ke market mein ek chhoti target entry lein, jo 0.6132 par set ki ja sakti hai. Yeh ek qareebi support level hai aur short-term fluctuations ka faida uthate hue risk ko effectively manage karne ka acha tareeqa hai.

Lekin timing ka bohot aham kirdar hai; traders ko New York time zone ke khulne se pehle market se exit karna chahiye. Yeh waqt aksar volatility barhata hai, jo positions par asar dal sakti hai. Maujooda sentiment bears ke haq mein hai, aur short trades ka faida uthane ke zyada imkanaat hain. Lekin, jab U.S. trading hours ke dauran bulls enter hote hain, to ek reversal ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo sellers ko jaldi action lene par majboor karega.

Is surat mein clear goals set karna aur un par kaarband rehna trading mein madadgar ho sakta hai, khas taur par jab market mein complex conditions hoti hain. Aaj ka NZD/USD trading environment dono bears aur potential bulls ke liye moqe paida kar raha hai, lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena bohot zaroori hai. Attainable goals par focus karna aur evolving market conditions ke mutabiq strategies ko adjust karna bhi ahm hai.

Aaj ka din NZD/USD market mein trading ka acha waqt hai, lekin caution aur samajhdari se aage barhna zaroori hai. Har trader ko market ki developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly plan karni chahiye.

Dua hai ke aap ka din acha guzre aur trading mein kaamyabi hasil ho!

Agar hum wave structure ka analysis karein, to yeh ab bhi ek ascending (upar jaane wala) structure bana raha hai. MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se upar hai. Lekin, MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai, aur is par bhi bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Kal ki candle ne poori tarah se pehle wali growing candle ko cover kar liya tha, jisse ek candlestick pattern bana - jo ke ek bearish engulfing kehlata hai. Yeh sell signals ka confirmation hai. In sab ke ilawa, price ne ek khoobsurat ascending wedge banaya hai, jo ke decline ki ek shakal hai. Bhalay hi trend upar ja raha ho, lekin halat ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke aane wale waqt mein price ko phir se neeche dhaka diya ja sakta hai, aur yeh girawat un daily waves ke bottoms ke along banai gayi ascending line tak ja sakti hai. Aur jo raat mein growth dekhne ko mili hai, uski wajah horizontal support level 0.6257 hai. Mera khayal hai ke humein chhoti time frame par growth ke khatam hone ka intezar karna chahiye, sell formation ko dekhna chahiye, aur phir neeche ki taraf kaam karna chahiye. Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par kaafi ahem news release hone wali hai, NZD/USD pair ne halia trading sessions mein positive trajectory dikhai hai, jo zyada tar expectations ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve apni policy mein thodi dovish rahegi. Magar, upward momentum apni jagah pe mukammal nahi hai kyunke US aur New Zealand ke economic uncertainties in gains ko kum kar sakti hain. Market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke mutaliq baat chal rahi hai, jo ke 25 basis points se zyada ho sakta hai, aur ye expectation New Zealand dollar ke liye ek khaas faida ban gayi hai.
Recent US job growth mein girawat ke baad, yeh baat aur bhi mazid tasleem ho gayi hai. Jabke retail sales data mein contraction dekhne ko mila, is ne New Zealand economy ke hawalay se zyada nuksaan nahi pohchaya. Magar US recession ke potential concerns aur China ki economic challenges ne ek risk-averse environment bana diya hai, jo ke risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar ke liye negative asar la sakti hai

NZD/USD ka jo pair hai, wo saat hafton ki neechey level par aa gaya hai, 0.6091 ko touch karte hue. Ye girawat 1 October se shuru hui aur abhi bhi barh rahi hai. New Zealand dollar ki kamzori ka sabab zyadatar Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ka faida kam karna hai, jo girti hui inflationary pressure ke jawab mein kiya gaya hai.
RBNZ ne musalsal rate cuts ka elaan kiya hai, jismein sab se aakhri 50 basis points ki cut thi jo key rate ko 4.75% per annum par le aayi. Yeh qadam inflation ko 1-3% ke target range mein rokne ke liye uthaya gaya hai, jab ke aanay wala consumer price data yeh dikha sakta hai ke inflation 2% ke aas-paas consolidate ho rahi hai, jo ke RBNZ ke targets ke mutabiq hai. Dunya bhar ka dhyaan US central bank ki aanewali meeting ke minutes par hai. Ye minutes isliye ahem hain ke yeh Fed ki aanewali monetary policy ke bare mein zaroori maloomat dete hain.
Market participants aksar is maloomat ka istemal karte hain taake andaza lagaya ja sake ke Fed mazeed rate adjustments karay ga ya nahi, jo ke currency markets ke dynamics ko mutasir karta hai. NZD/USD market apni expected downtrend target 0.6080 par pohnch gaya hai.
Ab umeed hai ke aik nai consolidation phase is level ke ooper banay gi. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai, toh aik corrective move 0.6230 tak aasakti hai. Iss correction ke baad, mazeed girawat 0.5944 tak ja sakti hai. Agar consolidation ka result neechey ki taraf hota hai, toh downtrend 0.5944 tak barh sakta hai. MACD indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai, jismein signal line zero ke neechey aur downtrend mein hai.
Hourly chart par, pair apne bearish trend target 0.6080 tak pohnch gaya, aur neechey exit hua jab consolidation zone 0.6126 par bana. Aaj ek move upar ki taraf 0.6126 tak hone ki umeed hai, us ke baad 0.6100 ka retest hoga. Market in levels par ek nai consolidation range develop kar sakta hai. Agar upar ka breakout hota hai, toh aik corrective move 0.6230 tak ho sakti hai, jo ke recent downtrend ka reaction hoga. Stochastic Oscillator, jis ki signal line 20 ke neechey aur upar ki taraf hai, yeh indication deta hai ke ek upward correction aa sakti hai.

nnel ke support line ke breakdown zone mein dakhil hoti hai ya nahi — jo pehla correction area hai. Buyers ke is area mein rawaiya ko dekh kar, main ye andaza lagaonga ke kya bullish correction ka imkaan hai ya pullback khatam ho gaya hai aur trend wapas shuru hoga. Aaj ke session mein main market ke dhokay mein nahi aaon ga. Haan, mujhe lagta hai ke 0.8329 ke neeche girne ka imkaan hai, aur agar aisa hota hai toh main buy karoon ga, lekin yeh ek chhota pullback ho sakta hai. Bulls aaj achi performance de rahe hain, USD/CHF ka upward movement abhi tak expected ke mutabiq hai. Is waqt price ka bottom abhi tak bana hua hai. MACD indicator undersold zone mein hai. Weekend par price ko dheere dheere dabaya gaya, aur jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, pichle hafte mein kam az kam thoda update dekhne ko mila. Magar, main yeh expect nahi karta ke market ab neeche jayegi. CCI indicator ka position already low heat region mein hai, aur is par sharp deviation dekhne ko mil raha hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh soon apni authenticity kho dega, is dafa pichli baar se zyada. High updates ka intezar hai, aur yeh descendant line do waves ke last peaks tak pohonchayegi. Friday ko news ne Euro-Dollar pair ko resistance level ke upper part ko test karne par majboor kar diya, jo ke pair ko wapas neeche girane ki koshish thi. Yeh pairing growth ke liye behtareen hai. Haan, aam tor par market mein US dollar ka target agle do kaam ke dino ke baad hota hai. Jo kuch ab tak dekha gaya hai, uski buniyad par, mujhe lagta hai ke strategy clear hai — din ke short intervals mein dekha jaye ga ke goal achieve hota hai ya nahi, yani neeche wali line, magar line ko success jaisi dikh USD/CHF ko upar push
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