نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath




same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon. NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye,

NZD/USD

Wednesday ke din ke pehle hisson mein ek recovery koshish dekhne ke baad, US Dollar Index ne American session mein niche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya aur choutha lagataar din negative territory mein band hua. Thursday ko European trading hours ke dauran, Germany aur Euro area se preliminary August HCOB Manufacturing aur Services PMI data, sath hi S&P Global/CIPS PMI figures, ko market participants ka dhyan me rakha jayega. Din ke baad, US economic docket mein weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales, aur S&P Global PMI data bhi shamil hoga.

NZD/USD upar ki taraf chalne wale channel pattern ke uper boundary ke andar trade kar raha hai. 14-day RSI 70 ke qareeb hai, jo ke correction ka potential darshata hai. Nine-day EMA 0.6092 par pair ke liye foran support hai.

NZD/USD apni jeet ki series ko paanchve din ke liye continue kar raha hai, Thursday ke subah European hours ke dauran 0.6160 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis dikhata hai ke pair upar ki taraf boundary ke andar chal raha hai aur 50-day EMA ke upar hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair ke short term mein upward momentum ko darshata hai.

Upar ki taraf, NZD/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upar boundary par 0.6190 ke aas-paas foran resistance mil sakta hai. Agar is level ko break kiya gaya, to pair 0.6247 ke do-mah ke high ko test kar sakta hai, jo Wednesday ko mark kiya gaya tha.




Support ke liye, nine-day EMA 0.6092 foran support ban raha hai. Agar is level ko break kiya, to bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair 50-day EMA 0.6045 level ko test kar sakta hai, uske baad ascending channel ke lower boundary 0.6030 level ko dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar is boundary ko bhi break kiya, to bearish sentiment aa sakta hai jo NZD/USD pair ko “throwback support” 0.5850 level ke aas-paas le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Aaj mein NZD/USD currency pair ka ek analytical review H4 chart ke basis par de raha hoon. Filhal, trading instrument 0.5920 par position mein hai. Aaj ke Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance face kiya. Is level ko paar karne mein nakam raha, aur price ne neeche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya, aur aakhir kar 0.5918 tak aa gaya. Maujooda market conditions aur dekhi gayi movements ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level ke neeche gir sakta hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke pair mein aur zyada decline ka imkaan hai, jo bearish trend ke continuation ko darshata hai.

Jaise hi situation evolve hui, NZD/USD pair ne sirf 0.5900 level ko nahi chua, balke is se bhi neeche girte hue 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Abhi ke liye, chart par ek reversal zone ubhar ke samne aya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh important hai ke agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level ke upar jaa sake aur ek one-hour candle ko is level ke upar close kar sake, to yeh decline sirf stop collection ho sakta hai. Is se rebound ka imkaan badh jata hai aur price 0.5978 ke resistance level tak wapas uth sakta hai. Aise halat mein, stop-loss orders lagana zaroori hoga.

High time H4 ko dekhte hue, linear regression channel upar ki taraf jaa raha hai. Mere liye yeh D1 se zyada important hai, kyunke yeh dikhata hai ke bulls abhi bhi mazboot hain. D1 channel par signal buying ko darshata hai, jo meri buying ki khwahish ko barhata hai. Bas price ko sahi jagah pe aane ka intezar hai aur phir wahin se buy karne ka sochna chahiye. Maujooda situation mein, main 0.61481 ke lower channel se buy dhoond raha hoon. Wahan se, main dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga 0.62291 par. Specific target ke sath agle growth ka imkaan hai, jo strong growth ka indicator hai.




0.62291 ke correct hone ka chance zyada hai, kyunke upward movement ko chuna gaya hai. Phir bulls apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry mark 0.61481 ko neeche pass kiya gaya, to yeh bearish interest ka nishan hoga. Is jagah par shayad trading plan ko dubaara dekhna pade aur market ki situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga.

NZD/USD Ki Maujooda Market Situation

NZD/USD market ki latest situation dikhati hai ke buyers abhi market par control mein hain, aur price ko dheere dheere upar ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyers ne successful tareeqe se price ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le gaye hain.

Weekly Trading Outlook

Hafte ke aghaz mein, sellers ne market ka control lene ki koshish ki aur price ko 0.5845 tak push karne ki koshish ki. Lekin Tuesday ke baad downward trend zyada dair tak nahi reh saka, aur price bullish signs dikhane lagi. Ab tak, price 0.6028 area tak uth gayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market mein abhi bhi upward journey ka chance hai.

4-Hour Time Frame Analysis

4-hour time frame chart ko dekhne se pata chalta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ko 0.6068 zone ki taraf dhakelne ki koshish abhi bhi ho rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar cross kar chuki hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market mein bullish continuation ka potential hai.

Meri Trading Ki Rai

Meri personal rai yeh hai ke market ka uptrend journey continue kare, jisse main buy options par focus karun jo technical analysis ke results se match karti hain. NZD/USD pair ne successful tareeqe se 0.5968 - 0.5976 ke green resistance level ko break kiya, aur ab yeh level support mein tabdeel ho chuka hai, jise "resistance-turned-support" (RBS) level kehte hain.

Breakout Confirmation

Breakout process mein ek bari aur solid bullish engulfing candle bani, jo significant volume se supported thi. Aakhri ghanton mein, humne 0.6028 ke minor resistance level par rejection dekha, aur kuch pin bar candles bhi bani. Yeh ek strong indication deta hai ke price green RBS level ko retest karne ke liye neeche aa sakti hai.




Ainday Ke Liye Considerations

Main dekhunga ke price is level par kaisa react karti hai. Agar strong bullish rejection hota hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal hoga. NZ central bank ke cash rate ke announcement ke bawajood, lagta hai ke agar price green RBS level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh aur bhi upar ja sakti hai.

Economic aur technical data ke madad se, aglay period ke liye outlook positive lagta hai.

NZD/USD H4 Chart

Pichlay Wednesday ko, RBNZ ne apne interest rates ka announcement kiya. Pata chala ke New Zealand ka interest rate kam hua, jis ne NZD/USD currency pair ko kamzor kar diya. Interest rate cut ka asar yeh hua ke NZD/USD pair bohot zyada gir gaya kyunke iski movement takreeban 80 pips tak thi. Abhi NZD/USD ka position 0.5989 par trade ho raha hai. Aapke analysis ke mutabiq agar candle MA 200 ko paar kar leti hai, to movement girti rahegi, lekin agar yeh paar nahi kiya to MA 200 ke aas-paas rebound ho sakta hai.

H1 timeframe se dekha jaye, to candle abhi bhi demand area mein stuck hai jo ke 0.5989 par hai. Jab tak yeh area break nahi hota, mumkin hai ke NZD/USD dobara upar jaye. Lekin agar yeh area directly break ho gaya, to NZD/USD ki movement girti rahegi.

Mere ichimoku indicator se analysis ke mutabiq, NZD/USD ka girna jari rahega kyunke candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche move kar chuki hai. Isi wajah se, main suggest karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 0.5919 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 0.6036 ke qareebi resistance par laga sakte hain.

Iss Hafte Ki Trading Session

Iss hafte, NZD/USD currency pair bullish raasta par trade ho raha hai aur price dobara 0.6172 ke range tak uth raha hai. Market ka halat abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai, jo pichlay teen hafton se market ko dominate kar rahe hain. July mein price ne bearish direction mein khelne ki koshish ki, lekin uske baad se price dobara bullish direction mein chal raha hai. Last night price ne dobara upar jaana shuru kiya, halan ke abhi bhi sideways phase se guzar raha hai.




Aaj subah market ke khulne ke baad, buyers ne dobara price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime Line 70 level tak uth gayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai. Chhote timeframe, specifically H4 timeframe par dekha jaye, to price ne Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar fly kiya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market mein abhi bhi bullish potential hai.

Meri apni rai yeh hai ke kuch ghanton mein price ka aur zyada upar jaane ka imkaan hai, aur main bhi market mein sirf buy trading ki opportunities dhoondhne ki koshish karunga. Lagta hai ke buyers ki army price ko push karne ki koshish karegi taake yeh 0.6200 ke level tak uth sake.

New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar (NZD/USD) ki Market Situation

New Zealand dollar ne US dollar ke muqable mein apni upward trajectory ko continue rakha, aur Friday ko early European trading ke dauran yeh takreeban 0.6260 tak pohanch gaya. Pair ne mazboot momentum dikhaya hai aur lagataar paanchween week ke liye higher close kiya, jiski wajah se yeh speculation hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein monetary policy easing cycle ka aghaz karega. Investors ab eagerly US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Friday ko release hoga. Yeh key economic indicator valuable insights dega ke Fed rate cut ka decision le sakta hai ya nahi.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis ne abhi report kiya hai ke US economy ne second quarter mein 3.0% annual rate se expansion kiya, jo ke pehle forecast 2.8% se zyada hai. Iske ilawa, US jobless claims ka number 231,000 tak kam ho gaya hai, jo ke August 24 ko khatam hone wale week mein record kiya gaya. Yeh strong labor market ko darshata hai. Halan ke yeh encouraging US economic data ne kuch support US dollar ko diya hai, lekin overall market sentiment ab bhi Fed ke rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua hai. Interest rate futures market ke mutabiq, September mein 25 basis point rate cut ka imkaan 66% tak estimate kiya ja raha hai. Lekin, aglay rate cuts ka imkaan thoda kam ho kar 34% ho gaya hai, jo pehle 36.5% tha jab US GDP data release hua tha.

Investors ab closely US inflation data ko dekh rahe hain ke kya inflation ke barhne ke koi asar hain. Agar inflation tez hoti hai, to Fed ka rate cut ka decision ruk sakta hai, jo US dollar ko mazid strong kar sakta hai aur NZD/USD pair ki upward movement ko rok sakta hai. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne zikar kiya hai ke employment aur inflation data ka intezar karna zaroori hoga pehle ke koi rate cut ka decision liya jaye.

New Zealand dollar ke hawale se, ANZ business expectations survey ne NZD ko support diya, jo ke das saalon mein apni highest level par tha. Survey ka overall business confidence index August mein 51.0 tak chala gaya, jabke private activity expectations bhi seven-year high 37.0 tak barh gayi.




NZD/USD Pair Ki Technical Analysis

NZD/USD pair abhi seven-month high ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke New Zealand dollar ke positive sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Lekin 0.6250 area mein kuch resistance hai, jahan pair ek long-term downtrend line se takrata hai. Halan ke technical indicators bullish hain, lekin yeh dikhate hain ke momentum ab slow hone laga hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI bhi overbought mark 70 ke neeche hover kar raha hai.

Agar NZD/USD pair ka rally momentum lose karta hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hota hai, to pair pehle 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level par 0.6141 tak slide kar sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break hone par pair 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 tak gir sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages bhi converge ho rahe hain, jo bears ke liye significant progress karna mushkil bana sakte hain.

NZD/USD ki Market Analysis

NZD/USD currency pair is waqt downward trend dikhata hai, jo TMA (Triangular Moving Average) indicator ke red slope se wazeh hota hai. Yeh observation un traders ke liye bohot zaroori hai jo market dynamics ko samajhna chahte hain aur informed trading decisions lena chahte hain. TMA indicator ka red slope clear signal deta hai ke abhi market ka direction downward hai. Is trend ko TMA indicator ke red inclination se dekh sakte hain. Traders aksar aise indicators ka sahara lete hain taake overall market sentiment ko samajh saken aur future price movements ke baray mein predictions kar saken.

Dusri taraf, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator zero line ke upar hai aur green color mein hai. MACD ek mashhoor tool hai jo stock ke price ke trend mein changes, strength, direction, momentum, aur duration ko pehchanne ke liye use hota hai. Jab MACD zero line ke upar hota hai aur green color dikhata hai, to yeh aam tor par bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Lekin is case mein, MACD ka green color TMA indicator ke downward trend ke mutabiq nahi lagta.

Market Sentiment aur Technical Analysis

Abhi market mein lagbhag 67.5% chances price kiye ja rahe hain ke Fed apni September meeting mein 25 basis points ka rate cut karega, jo Tuesday ke 77% se thoda kam hai, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

New Zealand Dollar ka Technical Analysis

New Zealand dollar ne aaj ke trading session mein mazid strength dikhayi hai. NZD/USD pair ne daily chart par bullish vibe ko maintain kiya hai, kyunke pair descending trendline aur 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai. Upward momentum ko 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne support diya hai, jo ke midline ke upar 65.60 par hai, jo future mein aur upside ki favorable conditions ko dikhata hai.




Resistance aur Support Levels

Pehla resistance level 0.6222 par hai, jo ke June 12 ka high tha. Agla hurdle 0.6279 par hai, jo January 12 ka high tha. Mazeed upside filter jo dekhna zaroori hoga, wo 0.6360 par hai, jo ke December 29, 2023 ka high hai.

Downside par, 0.6130 ka psychological mark pehla support level ka kaam karega. Agla support level 0.6070 par hai, jo pehle resistance tha aur ab support ban gaya hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche sustain karta hai, to price 0.5974 tak gir sakti hai, jo ke August 15 ka low hai.

NZD/USD pair ka analysis share karna chahta hoon, jo H4 timeframe par apne highest resistance tak pohanch gaya hai aur buyers ne valid bullish movement ka ek clear picture dikhaya hai jo ke abhi ho raha hai. Lekin, aane wali movement ki mazeed tafseel ke liye, chaliye dekhte hain ke trend classification aur NZD/USD trading signals kya keh rahe hain jo main ne neeche summarize kiye hain. NZD/USD Uptrend is hafta kuch bade obstacles ka saamna kar raha hai, halan ke buyers ne apni positive strength ka izhar kiya hai price ko higher area ki taraf push kar ke. Technically dekha jaye, toh NZD/USD ke paas price mein decline ka mauqa abhi bhi hai agar is hafta ka closing price white box area ke neeche close hota hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ki strength dobara barh jayegi kyun ke price apne lowest zone mein dobara correction experience karega, aur agar next week mein rejection hoti hai, toh ye expect kiya ja raha hai ke sellers upward movement ko weaken kar sakeinge aur NZD /USD ko wapas RBS area 0.6060 ki taraf le aayenge, jise maine white box se mark kiya hai aur jis par humein agle hafta trading mein focus karna chahiye. Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyun ke running price white box area mein level 0.6213 par dakhil ho gaya hai aur agar NZD/USD us area se ek bearish candlestick create karta hai, toh price 0.6060 ki taraf girayega, jo ke baad mein RBS area ka kaam karega aur hum ise TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche weaken hota hai, toh hum apni sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke 0.5835 zone mein decline nahi hota aur isay hum TP2 level bana sakte hain agle hafta ke trading mein. Aage chal ke, worst case scenario ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar white box area rejection provide karne mein fail hota hai, toh NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation create hona shuru ho jayega aur humein apni sell position close karni hogi. Phir recover karne ke liye, humein ek buy position open karni hogi jisme target increase resistance area 0.6330 tak ho. Aap sab ka shukriya jo meri explanation suni

NZD/USD pair ko dekhte huye yeh wazeh hota hai ke price 0.6050 level ke upar mazboot taur par qaim hone mein nakam rahi hai, aur abhi haal hi mein is level ke neeche thoda slip kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price ko upar dhakailne ke liye jo bullish momentum chahiye tha, wo is waqt missing hai. Market dynamics ko behtar samajhne ke liye, mein weekly timeframe par focus kar raha hoon, jo ke longer-term trends aur potential support ya resistance areas ko zyada clearly dikhata hai.

Is waqt, price ek chhoti range mein oscillate kar rahi hai, jo ke moving averages (MA) aur middle Bollinger Band ke darmiyan hai. Khaaskar, price 0.6046/03 ke area ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, jo ek consolidation period ko dikhata hai. Is range se lagta hai ke market mein is waqt wait-and-see mode hai, aur na toh bulls aur na hi bears ko koi faislay ka advantage mil raha hai. Moving averages aur middle Bollinger Band aksar dynamic support aur resistance levels ka kaam karte hain, aur price ka is range mein hona traders ke darmiyan ghair yaqeeni surat-e-haal ko dikhata hai.

Is context mein, 0.6046/03 area bohot important hai. Agar price is range se upar break kare aur 0.6050 ke upar hold kare, to yeh bullish momentum ka izafa dikhata hai, jo higher resistance levels ko target kar sakta hai. Wagarna, agar price neeche girti hai aur 0.6046/03 range ke neeche break karti hai, to downside ka raasta khul sakta hai, aur agle support levels focus mein aayenge.




Mukhtasir mein, NZD/USD pair is waqt consolidation phase mein hai, jahan price weekly timeframe par key moving averages aur middle Bollinger Band ke darmiyan phansi hui hai. 0.6046/03 ka area bohot critical hai, kyunke is range ke upar ya neeche ek decisiveness agle price direction ka faisla kar sakti hai. Traders ko is range se potential breakouts ya breakdowns par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh future trend aur trading opportunities ke bare mein valuable clues de sakti hain.

NZD/USD H4 Chart

Thursday ko, Asian trading hours ke dauran NZD/USD pair mein thoda izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par close hui. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ki dovish outlook aur US mein rate cuts ke izafa hotay chances ki wajah se kamzor hai. Traders is haftay aane wale critical US data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme advanced GDP Annualised for the second quarter (Q2) aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data shamil hain. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein apna easing cycle shuru kiya, aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% par le aaya. Traders expect karte hain ke October aur November mein Central Bank of New Zealand aur 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karega. Is ka asar yeh hoga ke New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein gir sakti hai. Sath hi, Middle East mein jaari geopolitical tensions ki wajah se haven capital flows barhne ka imkaan hai, jo USD ko support de sakta hai. US Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown ne early Tuesday ko kaha ke Middle East mein kisi bade conflict ka khatra kam hai, jab ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan fire exchange hui thi. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek bara khatra hai aur Israel par hamla karne ka soch raha hai."

Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyunke current price white box area, jo ke 0.6213 level par hai, mein dakhil ho chuki hai. Agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick banata hai, to price gir kar 0.6060 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo baad mein RBS area ke taur par kaam karega aur hum ise TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 ke neeche girta hai, to hum sell position ko hold karenge jab tak ke price 0.5835 zone tak na pohanch jaye, jo humara TP2 level hoga aglay haftay ke trading session mein. Agar white box area se price reject hone mein nakam hota hai aur bullish confirmation shuru hoti hai, to hume apni sell position band karni hogi. Phir recovery ke liye hume buy position open karni hogi, jisme resistance area 0.6330 ko target karna hoga. Aap sab ka shukriya, jo meri explanation suni. Umeed hai ke hum next week ke NZD/USD movement se profit ko optimize kar sakein.




US Dollar ne Monday ko stability dikhayi, jab ke pichle haftay ek steep 1.76% sell-off dekhne ko mila, jo ek saal mein sabse bura tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is haftay US data ka intezar hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, jab ke pichle haftay ke baad iski performance sabse buri thi, June 2023 ke baad. US Dollar Index, jo USD ki qeemat ko dosri currencies ke against measure karta hai, 1.75% gir gaya pichle haftay, aur yeh girawat Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye kalamat se hui. Ab jab ke Powell ne September mein rate cut ka wada kiya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakti hain ke is ka kya asar November ke Fed meeting par hoga.

Hello, esteemed forum members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka ek analytical review pesh kar raha hoon jo ke H1 chart par mabni hai. Filhaal, trading instrument 0.5920 par hai. Aaj ke Asian trading session ke dauran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance face kiya. Is level ko cross karne mein naakam raha, aur phir qeemat neeche ki taraf jane lagi aur aakhirkar 0.5918 tak gir gayi Mojooda market ke haalaat aur dekhay gaye movements ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke trading instrument ki qeemat 0.5900 level se neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh mazeed girawat ke imkan ko zahir karta hai, jo ke bearish trend ke jaari rehne ki nishandahi karta hai
Jaise jaise haalat tabdeel hoti gayi, NZD/USD pair ne na sirf 0.5900 level ko haasil kiya balki is se bhi neeche girte hue 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt ek reversal zone chart par saamne aaya hai, jo ke 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan mehdood hai. Yeh sochna zaroori hai ke agar qeemat resistance level 0.5886 se upar jaane mein kamyaab ho jati hai aur ek ghante ki candle is level se upar close hoti hai, toh mojooda girawat sirf stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh rebound ke imkan ko zahir karegi aur mazeed rise 0.5978 ke resistance level ki taraf ho sakta hai. Is soorat mein, stop-loss orders lagana munasib hoga
Iske baraks, H1 chart ke muqable mein, 4 ghanton ki timeframe ke linear regression channel mein ek upward movement hai, jo ke buyers ki activity ko show karta hai. Buyers ki kamzori nazar aa rahi hai jab sellers ne 0.59421 level ke breakthrough ke baad isse chhod diya. Yeh market mein bears ki mazboot dilchaspi ko zahir karta hai, jo ke H1 channel ko specific target ke sath neeche ki taraf moڑne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Iss tarah, uptrend khatrey mein ho sakta hai
Jab channel neeche ki taraf move karega, toh yeh dominant sellers ko reflect karega aur trend mein tabdili dikhayega. Mazboot bears 0.58630 level tak pahunchne ki koshish karegein taake apna target haasil kar saken. Lekin agar 4-hour chart par conditions puri hoti hain aur market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko todta hai, toh bulls apna trend movement bahal karenge, aur is baat ko trading mein madde nazar rakhna chahiye

Aaj ke trading session mein, NZDUSD currency pair ne naya support area bana liya hai 0.6120 - 0.6110 ke daamon par. Pehle ke trading session mein is pair ne support level ko tor diya tha jo 0.6150 - 0.6160 ke aas paas tha, aur resistance area 0.6180 - 0.6170 par form hui thi jo ke Asian trading session mein subha ke waqt bani thi. Aaj ke trading mein NZDUSD pair ne apna session daily pivot point se neeche open kiya, jo yeh signal karta hai ke yeh pair seller ke pressure mein hai yaani ke downtrend mein hai, jise bearish trend kehte hain. H1 timeframe ke chart ko dekh kar, humein yeh maloom hota hai ke NZDUSD pair abhi bhi technically bearish trend mein hai. Moving average indicators (7 aur 14 period, exponential close method) bhi downward signal de rahe hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke candlestick pattern ke upar se indicators move kar rahe hain. Halankeh, relative strength index (RSI) indicator period 14 mein ek golden cross pattern bana hai jo oversold condition ke baad aya, lekin hum candlestick pattern ko nazarandaz nahi kar sakte jo ke H1 chart par bana hai. Sellers ne support level ko tor diya jo 0.6150 - 0.6140 ke daamon par tha, yeh support pichlay trading session mein, 6 September 2024 ko form hui thi. Asian trading session ke dauran, NZDUSD pair H1 aur H4 timeframe ke charts mein Bollinger Bands indicator (period 23, exponential close method) ke middle aur lower bands ke beech trade kar raha tha, jo yeh signal deta hai ke yeh pair abhi bearish condition mein hai. Magar nayi support level 0.6120 - 0.6110 banne ke baad, aglay trading session mein ek upward movement ka potential bhi hai, jo ke RSI indicator (period 14) ke 30 level se upar ki taraf dive karne se support ho raha hai.

NZD/USD H1 chart
, forum ke azeez members! Aaj mein NZD/USD currency pair ki H1 chart par ek analytical review de raha hoon. Filhaal yeh trading instrument 0.5920 par position mein hai. Aaj ki Asian trading session mein, yeh pair 0.5956 ke resistance se takraya. Yeh level paar na karne ki wajah se, price ne downward movement start kiya aur aakhir mein 0.5918 tak gir gayi. Maujooda market ke haalat aur dekhi gayi movements ke madde nazar, yeh lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level se neeche ja sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ko dikhata hai. Jaisay ke situation evolve hui hai, NZD/USD pair na sirf 0.5900 level tak pohonch gayi balki us se bhi zyada gir kar 0.5876 par trade ho rahi hai. Filhaal, chart par ek reversal zone ubhar raha hai, jo ke 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke levels ke darmiyan mahsoor hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 se upar chali jati hai aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar close hoti hai, to is waqat ki girawat sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Yeh rebound ke imkaan ki taraf ishara karegi aur phir se resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf uthne ki mumkinat barh jayegi. Iss scenario mein, stop-loss orders 0.5886 se neeche lagana munasib hoga Mein New Zealand Dollar USD pair ko hourly chart par dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair 0.60638 ke resistance ko tor kar aage barh gaya aur iske baad New Zealand Bank ne yahan baat ki. Jaisay hi pair niche ki taraf move hua, New Zealand Bank ne interest rates mein cut kiya jo ke market ki tawakku ke mutabiq nahi tha. New Zealand Bank se umeed thi ke woh 40 se 50 percent tak interest rates ko cut karein. Yeh pair 0.59681 ke support tak pahunch gaya, phir maine andaza lagaya ke pair mazeed neeche jayega, kyun ke New Zealand Bank ne interest rates cut kiye hain. Maine yeh andaza lagaya tha ke jiss range mein pair trade kar raha tha woh kuch neeche jayega, lekin yeh sabit hua ke pair ne range ke upper limits ko bhi cross kar liya. Yeh 0.62205 ke resistance tak pohonch gaya. Yeh bilkul mere andazay ke mutabiq nahi tha. Maine yeh tawakku ki thi ke range ke upper bounds se reversal hoga, aur woh resistance 0.61526 hai. America mein mehengai mein koi kami nahi hui. 0.1% ki girawat status quo se break nahi karti, is liye maine girawat ki tawakku ki thi. Aur asal mein, mein ab bhi iske intezaar mein hoon, kyun ke mere paas koi wajah nahi ke kuch aur dekho

Sab ko salam aur subah bakhair! NZD/USD ki current market mein recovery ke asar nazar aa rahe hain, jahan pair wapas aake 0.6002 ke aas paas close hui hai. Yeh movement is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke buyers ab control wapas hasil kar rahe hain aur pair ko recent fluctuations ke baad ek upward track par wapas la rahe hain. Yeh recovery suggest karti hai ke NZD/USD market aglay dinon mein apni upward movement ko continue kar sakti hai, jisse renewed buying interest drive ho rahi hai. Iss waqt ka momentum yeh batata hai ke price ke 0.6045 ki resistance zone ko jaldi ya der se cross karne ke potential hai, jo ke ek critical level hai jis par nazar rakhni zaroori hai.

NZD/USD market mein buy order lagana aik strategic approach hai. Short target ko 0.6042 par set karna ongoing upward trend ke saath align karta hai, lekin saath hi aik cautious outlook bhi rakhta hai. Yeh target resistance level ke kareeb hai, jo ke profit ke possibility ko allow karta hai lekin yeh bhi samajh raha hai ke near-term reversal bhi ho sakta hai agar resistance hold karti hai. Iss scenario mein success ki kunji yeh hai ke price action ko 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas paas closely monitor kiya jaye. Agar price is level ko break karne mein kamyab ho jati hai, toh yeh mazeed gains ko signal karega aur NZD/USD ke liye bullish outlook ko mazboot karega. Dusri taraf, agar resistance zyada mazboot sabit hoti hai, toh temporary pullback ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ko apni positions accordingly adjust karne ki zaroorat hogi.

Akhir mein, NZD/USD market recovery ke promising asar dikha rahi hai, jahan price 0.6002 zone ke aas paas close hui hai aur mazeed gains ke potential hai. Current market conditions ko madde nazar rakhte hue, aik buy order ke saath short target 0.6042 recommend kiya jata hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke aap hooshiyar rahein aur kisi bhi developments par response dein, khaas tor par 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas paas, taake trading strategies evolving market sentiment ke saath aligned rahein.

NZD/USD Market Analysis - September 01, 2024

Hum jaantay hain ke Thursday ko NZD/USD currency pair ne resistance ka level 0.6250 par break kiya aur apni increase jari rakhi aur price 0.6295 tak chali gayi. Magar jab wahan pohanchi, to NZD/USD ka movement dheere dheere neeche girna shuru ho gaya. Ye tab hua jab candle supply area ko breach karne mein nakam rahi. Friday ko bhi NZD/USD neeche gira, magar movement itna gehra nahi tha. Is decline ka nateeja yeh tha ke H1 support jo ke 0.6249 par tha, neeche ki taraf break ho gaya.

Agar H1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, to H1 support ka breach 0.6249 par is baat ki nishani hai ke aglay haftay NZD/USD ka movement ab bhi neeche jaane ka chance hai. Lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka agla target girnay ke liye 0.6190 par ho sakta hai. Jab tak supply area 0.6294 par breach nahi hota, mujhe lagta hai ke girnay ka chance kaafi zyada hai. Magar agar yeh area breach hota hai, to girnay ka chance kamm ho sakta hai. H1 timeframe mein doji candle ka zahoor bhi is baat ki nishani hai ke market reverse kar sakta hai, kyun ke ab tak NZD/USD ka movement sirf upar hi ja raha tha. NZD/USD ka girna sirf chand dino mein hi dekha gaya hai.

Agar H1 timeframe ko ichimoku indicator ke zariye dekha jaye, to candle ki position ab tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh position tab se hai jab NZD/USD neeche girna shuru hui thi. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke trend ab neeche ki taraf move karna shuru ho gaya hai. Agla hafta mein predict karta hoon ke NZD/USD ka movement zyada dominant tareeke se neeche hoga. Kumo cloud ke penetration ke baad, bearish pressure aur zyada hoga.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke NZD/USD ka condition abhi bhi 30 level ke qareeb hai, is liye ise oversold nahi kaha ja sakta. Line ka direction abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai, jo yeh show karta hai ke NZD/USD kabhi bhi upar ja sakti hai. Kyun ke mein predict karta hoon ke NZD/USD neeche jaayegi, is liye mein sabr karoon ga aur wait karoon ga jab stochastic line 80 level ko breach kare. Abhi ke liye, yeh indicator support nahi kar raha ke girawat aaye.

Aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke kal, Monday ko NZD/USD ke aur zyada girne ke chances hain, kyun ke candle ka position ichimoku indicator se analyze karne par tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Is ke ilawa, candle ab tak supply area 0.6294 par breach nahi kar payi hai. Is liye mein recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trading karte hain, unhein sirf sell positions par focus karna chahiye. Aap apna take profit ka target qareebi support 0.6186 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss qareebi resistance 0.6299 par place kar sakte hain.