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NZD/USD ka takniki tajziyah
Assalam Alaikum!
Hafte ke aaghaz se hi, kharidar NZD/USD ko haftawar bulandi par banaye rakhne me kamyab rahe hain. Halankeh, aisa lagta hai keh yah jodi aaj 0.55780 tak gir sakti hai aur fir 0.55400 ki haftawar support satah ki taraf badh sakti hai. Yah ek mumkena scenario hai. Kal ke Americi session ke dauran, growth index aur ghantawar chart volume mandi ke ilaqe me chale gaye. Is se pata chalta hai keh intraday speculatos mazid taraqqi ki himayat nahin kar rahe hain, jo samajh me aata hai. Ghair zaruri qalil muddati faide par yaqin karna mushkil hai, khas taur par 20 January se pahle, aur abhi kharidna dilkash nahin lagta hai.
Majmui taur par, yah haftah taqriban pichle hafte jaisa hi raha hai, aur mai tawaqqo karta hun keh yah usi tarah ki kami ke sath khatam hoga. Halankeh, is mamle me, speculators ko kuch hadd tak chal bazi ke liye jagah mil sakti hai. NZD/USD pichle hafte ki kam tarin satah se ooper rah sakta hai, jis se fauri recovery ka imkan bana rahega. 20 January ke bad, koi nahin janta keh kya ho sakta hai. Buniyadi taur par, yah mumkin hai keh niche ki taraf ek mazbut impulse ke bad ooper ki taraf impulse ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD pair ne Wednesday ke din 0.30% ka halka izafa record kiya, jis ke natijay mein price 0.5615 tak pohonch gayi. Yeh izafa tab aya jab pair ne apne 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar gains ko extend kiya. Moving average ke upar ki yeh chhoti si push bulls ke liye ek aham signal ho sakti hai, agar yeh stability ane wale sessions mein barqarar rahe. Market sentiment oversold levels se behtar hota dikh raha hai, lekin abhi bhi market ka tone ehtiyaat ka shikar hai.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, momentum mein tabdeeli aati nazar aa rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka pehla sign hai, magar yeh abhi bhi negative zone mein hai. Isi tarah, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ka histogram ab kam green bars show kar raha hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke buyers dheere dheere pair mein shamil ho rahe hain. Lekin rebound abhi bhi fragile hai, aur koi mazboot movement dekhne ke liye further confirmation zaruri hai.

Agar NZD/USD 20-day SMA ke upar, jo ke kareeb 0.5600 par hai, apni position mazboot kar leta hai, toh yeh pair 0.5650 resistance zone tak barhne ki potential rakhta hai. Is level ke upar ki movement 0.5700 ki taraf ka rukh bhi khol sakti hai, jo agle resistance zone ke tor par dekha jata hai. Magar agar price 0.5580 ke neeche gir jaye, toh yeh recent gains ko undermine karega aur pair ko 0.5550 ya iske neeche test karne ka darwaza khol dega.