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NZD/USD Technical Analysis
NZD/USD pair ki 4-hour timeframe per analysis ke mutabiq, price abhi ek consolidation phase mein hai jo major support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan kaam kar rahi hai. Chart per price ne 0.5627 ke aas-paas ek strong support zone banaya hai, jab ke 0.5709 aur 0.5719 ke resistance zones price ke liye upward movement mein barrier ban rahe hain.
Trend ko dekhte hue, price abhi downward pressure ke neeche hai, jo 50-EMA (blue line) aur 200-EMA (pink line) ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Ye dono EMA downward sloping hain, jo long-term aur short-term bearish trend ko dikhate hain. Jab tak price in dono EMAs ke upar nahi aati, tab tak bearish momentum dominate kar sakta hai.
RSI indicator (14-period) ka value 46 ke kareeb hai, jo neutral zone ko represent karta hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke market abhi oversold ya overbought nahi hai, lekin agar RSI 40 se neeche jata hai, to price aur neeche girne ka chance barh sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar RSI 50 ke upar break kare, to bullish recovery ka signal mil sakta hai.
Agar price 0.5627 ka support todti hai, to agla target 0.5613 ho sakta hai, jo aur zyada bearish sentiment ko confirm karega. Wohi agar price 0.5709 aur 0.5719 ke resistance levels ko tod kar upar jati hai, to bullish breakout confirm hoga aur agla target 0.5805 ho sakta hai.
Short-term traders ke liye is range-bound market mein support aur resistance ke beech scalping ka mauqa hai. Lekin, long-term investors ko wait karna hoga jab tak price ya to clear bullish ya bearish breakout kare.
Ye analysis price action aur indicators ke mutabiq hai, lekin hamesha market ki volatility aur news events ko madde nazar rakhte hue trade karein. Proper risk management aur stop-loss ka istemal zaruri hai.

NZD/USD ne Friday ko 0.5651 zone cross kiya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pichlay hafte sellers mazboot position mein rahe. U.S. side par, Unemployment Rate, Flash PMI, aur Durable Goods Orders jaise ahem data releases forex market mein bara asar dalenge. Yeh data U.S. ki economy ki performance ko reflect karte hain, jo duniya ki sabse badi economy hai, aur inka asar market sentiment aur volatility par directly hota hai. Current outlook ke mutabiq, NZD/USD ka trend bearish lagta hai, jahan sellers ka upper hand hai. Agar U.S. ka economic data expectations ke mutabiq ya usse behtar aaya, to pair apna support level tod kar mazid decline kar sakta hai, jo U.S. dollar ki strength ko reinforce karega. Lekin agar U.S. metrics expectations se kamzor nikle, to NZD/USD mein buyers ka momentum barh sakta hai, aur pair resistance level ki taraf badh sakta hai. Is hafte, market ke liye buyers ka rujhan behtar lag raha hai, aur fundamental analysis aur technical chart patterns ke insights ko mila kar trading strategy banani chahiye. Risk management tools jaise stop-loss orders aur position sizing ka istamal karna zaroori hai, taake volatile swings ke dauran losses ko control kiya ja sake. NZD/USD traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo market sentiment ke shifts ko anticipate karein aur quickly adapt karein, taake nayi opportunities ka faida utha saken. Trading ke liye, 0.5732 ke target ke sath ek buy order preferable lagta hai. NZD/USD ka current outlook bearish hai, jahan kuch key support levels nazar mein hain: 0.5630, 0.5600, aur 0.5555, jo downside targets ho sakte hain. Momentum indicator (Mom 14) oversold conditions show kar raha hai, jo short-term rebound ka imkaan paida karta hai. Yeh temporary recovery short-term trading opportunities de sakti hai. Agar pair bearish channel mein wapas aata hai, to overall downward bias aur mazboot hoga aur price ko descending channel ke lower boundary, 0.5500 ke psychological level tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke wo market sentiment aur economic data ke shifts par nazar rakhain, jo price movements ko dono directions mein tezi se badalne ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Aaj main NZD/USD market ke current price behavior par ek article likh raha hoon. Iss waqt NZD/USD 0.5611 par trade kar raha hai.Aaj dollar market ek bullish trend mein hai. Market ne 108.15 par open kiya aur 108.12 ka low touch karte hi oopar ki taraf move kiya. Abhi dollar 108.18 par trade kar raha hai.Negative market momentum bearish trend ko produce kar raha hai, aur agar market neeche ki taraf move karta raha, toh eventually yeh support level tak pohanch jayega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator graph par abhi bhi negative zone mein grow kar raha hai, jo aksar downside trend ki strength ko reflect karta hai. Dekhte hain agle hafte price aur indicator ka behavior kaisa rehta hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi yeh confirm kar raha hai, jiske signal lines southward grow kar rahi hain.Moving averages bhi bearish signal de rahi hain, kyun ke 50-period aur 20-period exponential moving averages abhi neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hain. Mere mutabiq, agle dino mein NZD/USD ka price girta hua dekhne ki umeed hai.Agar hum support aur resistance levels par nazar daalein, toh market ka structure clear hota hai. Resistance level 0.6502 pe hai, jo initial focus lag raha hai test karne ke liye. Aaj ke price movements strong resistance level 0.7692 tak pohanchne ki koshish kar sakte hain.Uske baad mujhe lagta hai ke price 2nd strong resistance ko todte hue agle resistance level 0.8841 tak ja sakta hai jo 3rd resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, agar market price decline karta hai, toh primary support 0.4937 aur secondary support 0.4148 destroy ho sakte hain.Uske baad further declines expected hain jo 0.3523 ko test karenge.RBNZ ke potential interest rate cuts NZD par negative impact daal rahe hain, jabke US-China trade dispute aur geopolitical tensions safe-haven US Dollar ke liye support create kar rahi hain.Saath hi global economic slowdown bhi NZD ki weakness mein contribute kar raha hai. In tamam bearish factors ke chalte NZD/USD pair further decline ke liye vulnerable lag raha hai khaas kar agar yeh key resistance levels ke upar traction regain karne mein fail hota hai.

NZD/USD Daily Chart Analysis
NZD/USD ka daily chart analyze karte hue yeh samajh ata hai ke price iss waqt 0.56512 ke level par trade kar rahi hai. Yeh level ek important psychological zone ke qareeb hai, jo market ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Chart ke mutabiq, recent downtrend abhi tak continue hai, aur price apni 200-day moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko support karta hai.
Agar RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko dekha jaye, toh iska value 30 ke qareeb hai, jo oversold zone ko zahir karta hai. Yeh signal deta hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai, aur buyers abhi tak weak position mein hain. Saath hi, MFI (Money Flow Index) 25 ke level par hai, jo market ke andar kamzor buying interest aur liquidity ko highlight karta hai.
Price action ke mutabiq, agla support level 0.56000 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh NZD/USD aur neeche gir sakti hai, jo next bearish target ko activate karega. Dusri taraf, agar price recover karti hai, toh immediate resistance 0.57000 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Yeh resistance zone market ke liye ek challenge ban sakta hai, jahan se rejection ka risk zyada hai.
Fundamentals aur global market ki movement bhi NZD/USD ke liye ahmiyat rakhti hai. Kiwi Dollar (NZD) kaafi sensitive hai risk sentiment aur U.S. Dollar ke strength ke liye. Agar upcoming economic data ya Federal Reserve ke policies mein koi surprise hota hai, toh iska asar NZD/USD ki direction par directly par sakta hai.
Traders ke liye yeh waqt careful planning ka hai. Oversold conditions short-term bounce ka indication de sakti hain, magar trend abhi tak bearish hai. Apne risk ko manage karein, aur apni strategy ko support aur resistance levels ke mutabiq adjust karein. Technical indicators ko fundamentals ke saath combine karke analysis karna zaruri hai.
Trading mein hamesha disciplined rahen aur impulsive decisions lene se bachain!

NZD/USD Exchange Rate Slumps Amidst Concerns
The NZD/USD exchange rate slipped to around 0.5615 in early Asian trading on Friday. This decline reflects concerns about weak consumer demand in New Zealand and the ongoing slump in China's property market. With the New Year holiday approaching, trading volumes are expected to remain thin.
China's Economic Woes Weigh on NZD
Data released on Friday revealed that China's industrial profits declined by 7.3% year-over-year in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline. As China is New Zealand's largest trading partner, continued weakness in Chinese domestic demand could negatively impact New Zealand's exports.
US-China Trade Tensions Add to Pressure
Furthermore, speculation that the Trump administration may impose a 10% tariff on Chinese goods has added to the downside pressure on the New Zealand dollar. Analysts believe that such tariffs could exacerbate inflation and potentially lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious approach to interest rate cuts, potentially slowing or pausing the easing cycle. This would likely strengthen the US dollar and create headwinds for the NZD/USD pair






RBNZ Expected to Cut Rates Further
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to further cut interest rates to stimulate economic growth, particularly after the country entered a recession in the third quarter. Market expectations currently point to a 70% probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut in February, with interest rates projected to fall to 3.0% by the end of 2025.
Technical Analysis
Technically, the NZD/USD pair is currently entrenched in a sharp downtrend that commenced on September 30th. Technical oscillators, such as the Stochastic and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are confirming this negative momentum. The Stochastic is currently in oversold territory, while the RSI has fallen to around 30. If the bearish trend persists, the next key support levels for traders to consider are the 0.5700 and 0.5600 round figures, followed by the October 2022 low at 0.5510.
Potential for Bullish Reversal
Conversely, if bullish sentiment returns, the pair is likely to encounter immediate resistance at 0.5770, followed by the 0.5815 level and the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5850, which coincides with the downtrend line. A decisive break above this area could pave the way for a test of the 0.5920 resistance level before encountering the 50-day SMA at 0.5940.
Note: This is a basic Roman Urdu English translation. For more nuanced and natural-sounding Roman Urdu, a native speaker would be best.
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NZD/USD Market Crosses 0.5824 Zone
The market of NZD/USD crossed the 0.5824 zone yesterday. Today, the price can remain in favor of buyers. However, the US news events also can help the buyers later.
US Unemployment Rate and its Implications
Also, the Unemployment Rate, another highly anticipated metric, offers a direct look at the labor market's condition. A lower unemployment rate generally signals economic strength, boosting confidence in the currency. However, it's not just the headline figure that matters—traders must also consider underlying details such as labor force participation and wage growth, which provide a fuller picture of employment dynamics.
US Dollar Under Pressure
Also, the US dollar has been under pressure. Indicators such as weaker-than-expected job growth and tepid inflation readings have eroded confidence in the greenback, making it vulnerable to further declines. This is a precarious situation for traders, as the dollar's movements influence not only forex markets but also commodities and equities.
NZD/USD Buyers Covering



Losses
Moreover, the buyers of NZD/USD are trying to cover their losses these days. However, we can use a better trading strategy to grab the profit ratio effectively. Unless upcoming data rises to the upside, the dollar’s downward trajectory may persist.
Cautious Approach and Risk Management
Traders must therefore adopt a cautious approach, avoiding over-leveraged positions and focusing on diversification to hedge against potential losses. Also, In volatile market conditions, effective risk management is paramount. Stop-loss orders, in particular, are invaluable tools for mitigating potential losses. By setting predefined exit points, traders can limit their downside risk while allowing their trades room to breathe.
Example of Risk Management
Overall, suppose a trader enters a long position in EUR/USD at 1.0800, anticipating a weak CPI report that could weaken the US dollar. To manage risk, they place a stop-loss order at 1.0750, ensuring that their maximum loss is capped at 50 pips if the market moves against them.
Hope for Continued Buyer Favor
Hopefully, the market of NZD/USD will remain in favor of buyers in the coming hours.
Good Morning!
I hope this Roman Urdu English version is clear and informative. Let me know if you have any further requests

NZD/USD ka yeh forex chart ek clear downtrend ko show kar raha hai. Daily time frame par price consistently neeche gir rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke market bearish momentum mein hai. Chart par nazar daali jaaye to yellow color ka moving average, jo aksar 50-day average hota hai, neeche ki taraf inclined hai, jo short-term downtrend ka indication de raha hai. Saath hi, white color ke long-term moving averages bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo overall market ki weak position ko confirm karte hain. Is chart par ek important resistance level 0.59479 par dikh raha hai, jo golden line ke zariye highlight kiya gaya hai. Yeh level price ke liye ek strong barrier ka kaam karega, aur agar price is level ko todti hai to market bullish ho sakti hai. Abhi current price 0.56312 par hai, jo ke lower support zone ke qareeb hai. Yeh support level price ke liye ek possible bounce ka signal de sakta hai, magar agar yeh level bhi tod diya jata hai to aur zyada girawat ka imkan hai. Chart ke neeche stochastic oscillator (5,3,3) bhi show kiya gaya hai, jo ke oversold zone ke qareeb hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market oversold position mein hai, aur yahan se price short-term reversal ya correction kar sakti hai. Lekin oversold zone ka matlab yeh bhi nahi hota ke market turant upar chali jayegi. Hamesha confirmation ka wait karna chahiye, aur yeh dekhna zaruri hai ke price resistance level ke upar break kar sakti hai ya nahi.
Agar price 0.59479 ke resistance ke upar close kar leti hai, to yeh short-term bullish signal hoga aur buyers ka interest wapis aa sakta hai. Magar agar price support level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh downtrend continue rehne ki nishani hogi. Is tarah ke charts par trading karte waqt risk management ka khayal rakhna zaruri hai. Hamesha stop loss aur target levels set karein aur apne capital ko protect karne ki strategy banayein.

NZD/USD market ki current price behavior ko samajhne ke liye technical analysis ke mutabiq abhi yeh market sell signal ke liye ideal lag rahi hai. Filhal NZD/USD ka price 0.5628 par trade kar raha hai.Aaj ki candle ek doji candle ki tarah close hui hai, jo is baat ki indication deti hai ke agle dinon mein price gir sakti hai. Is baat ki aur tasdeeq ke liye, lower time frame chart ka istemal kiya ja raha hai. Indicators bhi warning signs de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein halki si decline dekhne ko mil rahi hai, magar overall yeh abhi bhi bearish hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish trend ko support kar raha hai, lekin yeh signal dera hai ke price mein aur girawat ka imkaan hai.50-EMA ka level 0.5923 ke qareeb hai aur agar price neeche gire toh yeh traders ke liye ek accha mauqa ho sakta hai.
1-hour time frame par market ka price neeche se upar ki taraf move karte waqt trend line tod chuka hai, jo price ke girne mein madad kar raha hai. Agar market ka price 50-day Simple Moving Average ke upar break karne mein kamyab na hua, toh agle dinon mein price neeche support zone ki taraf move kar sakta hai.Indicators ke mutabiq agle dinon mein price mein izafa bhi ho sakta hai magar RSI ka value 30 aur 70 ke darmiyan hai (filhal 51), jo abhi bearish signal dera hai.
Buyers ko 0.5783 aur 0.6804 resistance levels todna zaruri hoga agar price ko barhne ka rukh lena hai. Uske baad strong resistance level 0.7463 todna hoga jo 3rd level of resistance hai.Lekin agar bullish option fail hoti hai toh price 0.6462 ka level tod kar aur girawat ke saath 0.4738 tak ja sakta hai. Agar girawat zyada hui toh NZD/USD ka price 0.4121 (3rd support level) tak gir sakta hai.
Abhi market strong bearish hai, aur is waqt sirf bearish trades par focus karna zyada behtar trading outcome dega.

NZD/USD ke hawalay se aaj ki taaza soorat-e-haal kuch is tarah hai:
Juma ke din NZD/USD ne chand lamhon ke liye stability dekhi, jab US Dollar holiday trading ke douran kamzor hua. Lekin qareebi muddat mein NZD/USD ka outlook ziyada bearish hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) thoda retreat kar gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ki taraf se 2025 mein interest rate cuts ka ahista pace signal hone ki wajah se iska strength barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Agle saal ke liye 25-basis point ke do reductions ka tawaqqu hai.
Iske bar’aks, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ko Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke aggressive monetary easing ki wajah se challenges ka samna hai. New Zealand ki economy hal hi mein recession mein daakhil hui hai, jo mazeed interest rate cuts ki zarurat paida kar rahi hai. RBNZ ne is saal ab tak 125 basis points ka cut kiya hai aur February mein Official Cash Rate (OCR) mein additional 50 basis points cut ki umeed hai.
NZD/USD ne abhi 0.5520 ka two-year low touch kiya hai, jo bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai. 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.5900 pe ek significant resistance level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. 14-week Relative Strength Index (RSI) lagbhag 30.00 pe hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko darust kar raha hai.
Key Levels:

• Support: 0.5500 (crucial psychological level), 0.5470, 0.5400
• Resistance: 0.5930 (November 29 high), 0.6000, 0.6040-0.6100 (50- and 100-day SMAs)

Agar price 0.5500 ka support tod deta hai, toh yeh pair 0.5470 aur mazeed neeche 0.5400 tak gir sakta hai. Lekin agar price 0.5930 ka level todta hai, toh yeh pair 0.6000 tak wapas aasakta hai, jo ek significant psychological resistance hai.
Traders ke liye yeh waqt aham hai, kyonke market abhi ek critical support level ke qareeb hai aur trading range wapas establish hone ki guzarish hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) abhi takriban 0.5635 ke aas-paas US Dollar (USD) ke against trade kar raha hai 31 December 2024 ko. Market kaafi stable lag raha hai, lekin economic data aur sentiment me subtle changes currency pair ke outlook ko shape kar rahe hain. New Zealand ki economy me slowdown dekhne ko mil raha hai, jahan GDP contraction ne NZD par pressure dala hai. Traders ab Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke future actions ke liye apni expectations adjust kar rahe hain. Dusri taraf, U.S. economy resilience dikhate hue strong consumer spending aur outperforming labor market ka faida utha rahi hai. Dono countries ke beech economic momentum ka ye fark USD ko mazboot kar raha hai aur NZD/USD exchange rate par burden dal raha hai.Technical perspective se NZD/USD bearish signals de raha hai. Moving averages 'Sell' signal align karte hain, jo downward pressure ke continuation ka indication de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral territory me hai, jo market ki indecision show karta hai. Resistance level 0.5634 par ek important point ho sakta hai. Agar NZD is level ko todhne me fail karta hai, to aur declines ho sakte hain.
Market sentiment cautious hai, khas tor par Federal Reserve ke high interest rate focus ki wajah se. USD ki strength dominate kar rahi hai aur NZD pichhe reh raha hai. Saath hi, global geopolitical tensions aur economic uncertainty ne traders ko zyada risk-averse bana diya hai, jo USD ke safe-haven appeal ko aur support karta hai.
Agle kuch dinon me, key data releases aur central bank decisions NZD/USD pair me further movements ko drive karenge. U.S. ki inflation aur employment reports USD ke liye market expectations shape karne me important hongi. Isi tarah, New Zealand ka trade aur inflation data RBNZ ke agle steps ke liye nayi insights de sakta hai.Ab traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur dono taraf ke key triggers par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye pair ke short aur medium-term direction ko define karenge.

NZD/USD ka yeh chart H1 timeframe ko dikhata hai, jo short-term trading ke liye aham insight provide karta hai. Chart se nazar aata hai ke market mein price kaafi range-bound rahi hai, jahan support aur resistance levels prominent hain. NZD/USD ki current price 0.56311 hai, jo thoda decline (0.13%) show kar rahi hai. Yeh girawat buyer sentiment ke kamzor hone ko zahir karti hai.
Chart ke mutabiq, 26 December ke baad se price ne bearish trend adopt kiya tha, lekin 29 December ke baad market ne bullish reversal dikhaya, jahan price 0.56500 ke qareeb pohonchi. Lekin phir se ek downward movement dekhne ko mili, jahan price 0.56311 ke current level par stabilize hui hai.
Support level ke liye price zone 0.56200 kaafi strong lag raha hai, kyun ke wahan price ne pehle bhi bounce kiya tha. Wahiin resistance zone 0.56500 hai, jo agle bullish breakout ke liye ek important level ban sakta hai. Agar price 0.56500 ke upar close kare, to NZD/USD mein aur izafa ho sakta hai.
Is chart se short-term traders scalping aur swing trading ke liye behtareen mauqe nikal sakte hain. RSI aur MACD jaise technical indicators ka istemal karna is analysis ko aur behter banata hai, magar filhal yeh chart khud batata hai ke market abhi consolidate kar rahi hai.
Fundamental analysis ki baat karein, to New Zealand aur US ke economic data ka bhi iss pair par asar hota hai. Agar US Dollar strong hota hai (jese high interest rates ki wajah se), to NZD/USD mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Is wajah se traders ko dono mulkon ke economic events ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai.
Yeh chart NZD/USD ke movement ka short-term perspective deta hai, jo agle dinon mein market ki strategy banane ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai. Risk management aur stop loss ka use zaroor karein, kyun ke market ke moves unpredictable ho sakte hain.

New Zealand Slides After Fed Rate Cut, NZ GDP Next
New Zealand dollar Wednesday ko tezi se gira hai. North American session mein, NZD/USD 0.5685 par trade kar raha hai, jo din ka 1.2% ka nuksaan hai. New Zealand dollar freefall mein hai aur 1 October se ab tak 11.6% gir chuka hai.

New Zealand GDP Kam Hone Ki Tawaqqu

Tawaqqu hai ke New Zealand ki economy third quarter mein 0.4% q/q contract karegi, jab ke Q2 mein 0.2% ka decline hua tha. Agar economy lagataar do quarters contract karti hai, to iska matlab hoga ke economy technical recession mein hai. Third quarter mein construction aur manufacturing activity gir gayi, aur severe power crisis ki wajah se exports bhi kam hue, jis se GDP par asar para.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand ne pichlay maheene 50 basis points se rates kam kar diye, aur cash rate ko 4.25% tak le aaye. Central bank ne August se ab tak 125 basis points kam kiye hain, lekin economy ko mazeed rate cuts ki zarurat hai. Inflation ab target range 1% to 3% ke andar hai, aur tawaqqu hai ke agle meeting mein February tak ek aur cut hoga, agar inflation mein kisi surprise jump ka samna na hua.

Fed Rate Cut Se NZ Dollar Gir Gaya

Federal Reserve meeting ke hawale se zyada excitement nahi thi, kyun ke market ne ek quarter-point cut ko lagbhag 100% price kar diya tha. Yahi hua, Fed ne is saal teesri dafa rates cut kiye. Fed ne signal diya ke woh 2025 mein sirf do bar rates cut karne ka irada rakhta hai, jo pehle ke chaar rate cuts ke projections se kam hai.

US economy solid shape mein hai aur inflation ke downtrend ruka hua hai, is liye Fed apne agle rate cut ke liye waqt le sakta hai. Fed Chair Powell se umeed hai ke woh reiterate karenge ke Fed “gradually” rates cut karega, jiska matlab 25 basis points ke modest cuts hain.

USD Ki Performance

2024 mein U.S. Dollar (USD) 20 global currencies mein se best-performing currency rahi hai jo Octa Broker track karta hai. 29 December 2023 se 13 December 2024 tak U.S. dollar index (DXY) – jo greenback ki value ko six foreign currencies ke against measure karta hai (euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, aur Swiss franc) – lagbhag 6% bada. Lekin, index is saal ke dauran substantial fluctuations ka samna kar chuka hai.

Kar Yong Ang, ek financial market analyst, kehtay hain: “Dollar index 2024 mein rollercoaster ride par raha, multi-month highs tak pohanch gaya aur fresh multi-month lows tak gir gaya. Greenback ab tak 2024 ki best-performing currency hai, lekin iska zyada tar appreciation saal ke aakhri hisse mein hua aur mostly U.S. trade policy mein ek major shift ki expectations ke wajah se driven hai.”

NZD/USD Technical Analysis
Daily Chart: Daily chart par NZD/USD 2023 ke low (0.5773) ko tod chuka hai. Ab tak notable support nahi hai jab tak 2022 low (0.55 handle) na aaye. Risk management ke lehaz se, sellers ke liye trendline ke qareeb better risk-to-reward setup hoga naye lows ke liye position karne ka, jab ke buyers ke liye 0.6050 resistance ka target todne ka intezar hoga.
4-Hour Chart: Is chart mein ek aur minor downward trendline hai jo current bearish momentum ko define kar rahi hai. Sellers trendline ka sahara le kar naye lows push karenge, jab ke buyers ek break higher ka intezar karenge taake major trendline tak pullback ka target rakhein.
1-Hour Chart: Yahan zyada kuch naya nahi hai, lekin sellers trendline se rejection ka intezar karenge, jab ke buyers ek upside break ka intezar karenge. Red lines aaj ke average daily range ko define karti hain

NZD/USD pair downward trend mein hai aur bears ka control barqarar hai, jahan immediate support 0.5590 ke level par hai jo recent low ke sath match karta hai.Agar price is level ke neeche break kare toh downward momentum barh kar 0.5570 tak ja sakta hai jo ek historical demand zone hai.Resistance levels mein qareebi resistance 0.5610 par hai jo moving average aur pehle ke price rejections ke sath align karta hai jabke ek mazboot resistance zone 0.5650 par hai jahan price consolidate kar chuka hai.RSI (14) abhi 42.69 par hai jo market ko neutral zone mein dikhata hai aur is baat ka signal deta hai ke price consolidation ya current trend ko follow karega.Agar RSI 30 ke neeche chala jaye toh oversold conditions ka pata chal sakta hai jo ek potential bounce ka chance dikhata hai.Volume analysis se pata chalta hai ke recent recovery phase mein trading activity decrease hui hai jo upward movement ke momentum ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Agar support ya resistance break ke doran volume spike kare toh agla significant move expect kiya ja sakta hai.Bearish continuation ka chance hai agar price 0.5590 ke neeche break kare, jahan target 0.5570 ya us se neeche hoga, aur stop-loss 0.5610 ke upar lagana behtar hoga.Bullish reversal ka signal tab milega jab price 0.5610 ke upar sustain kare aur buying momentum dikhaye jahan target 0.5650 ho sakta hai.Agar price support aur resistance ko break na kare toh short-term mein woh 0.5590 aur 0.5610 ke darmiyan consolidate kar sakta hai.Traders support ke qareeb buy aur resistance ke paas sell karke profit le sakte hain jab tak koi breakout na ho.Overall market downward trend mein hai, lekin agar price 0.5610 ke upar ya 0.5590 ke neeche decisively move kare toh agla directional bias clear hoga. Risk management ke sath current trend follow karna aur stop-loss orders ka use karna zaruri hai taake unexpected market moves se bachaa ja sake.

Forex Analysis: NZD/USD H4 Chart – January Overview
NZD/USD ka H4 timeframe ka chart humein ek clear picture de raha hai ke price abhi **downtrend** mein hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price consistent bearish movement kar raha hai aur indicators bhi isi trend ko support karte hain. Yellow line jo 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lag rahi hai, price ke liye resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai, jabke white lines (200 EMA) long-term bearish dominance ko confirm kar rahi hain. Agar price action ko dekha jaye, toh recent candles show karti hain ke price 0.5600 ke critical level ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai. Moving averages ke neeche hone ka matlab hai ke abhi tak sellers market mein dominant hain, aur buyers ke liye koi clear signal nahi mila.
Agar RSI (14) par nazar daalein, toh wo 41 ke level par hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market oversold ya overbought nahi hai, lekin momentum abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. RSI humein yeh bhi dikhata hai ke koi strong reversal ka signal abhi tak nahi mila. Agar RSI 30 ke level ke kareeb chala jata hai, toh oversold condition market mein entry ka ek signal ho sakti hai.
Trading Strategy:
1. Sell Setup:
Agar price 0.5600 ka level todta hai aur neeche ki taraf momentum banata hai, toh ek bearish trade ka acha moka mil sakta hai. Target 0.5500 ya usse neeche ho sakta hai, lekin tight stop loss lagana zaroori hai.
2. Buy Setup:
Agar price 50 EMA ke upar break karta hai aur RSI 50 ke upar chala jata hai, toh short-term bullish trade ka moka ho sakta hai. Target 0.5700 ya uske aas paas ho sakta hai. Risk management sabse important hai. Hamesha apne account size ke mutabiq position size calculate karein aur emotional trading se bachein. Trend ke against trade karna risky hota hai, is liye patience aur discipline ka daaman mat chhodiye.

NZD/USD H4 Chart Analysis
NZD/USD ka H4 candlestick chart dekh kar yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke market downward trend mein hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price 0.55900 ke aas paas support level ko test kar rahi hai. Yeh support level is waqt market ke liye ek aham point ban chuka hai, aur iske break hone ya hold karne par agle price moves ka faisla hoga.
Pichle chand candles ko dekh kar lagta hai ke bears (sellers) market ko neeche lekar ja rahe hain, lekin kuch green candles bhi nazar aa rahi hain, jo buyers ki thodi resistance ko show karti hain. Agar price 0.55900 ke neeche break kar jaye aur us level ke neeche sustain kare, toh yeh ek naya downward move shuru kar sakta hai. Iska agla potential target 0.55600 ya us se neeche ho sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, agar price is support level par hold kare aur wahan se reversal kare, toh ek upward correction shuru ho sakti hai. Aise case mein, price 0.56200 aur 0.56500 resistance levels ko test kar sakti hai. Lekin upward move ke liye zaruri hoga ke buyers zyada volume lekar aayen, warna market wapas neeche gir sakti hai.
Trading karte waqt hamesha risk management ka khayal rakhein. H4 time frame par trades leni ho toh ek achi strategy ke sath SL (Stop Loss) aur TP (Take Profit) zaroor set karein. Yeh bhi yad rakhein ke high-impact news ya economic events market ka trend badal sakti hain, is liye news ka khayal zaroor rakhein.
Aam tor par, abhi ke liye yeh lagta hai ke 0.55900 ek aham support hai jo ya toh market ko neeche lekar jayega ya ek nayi upward opportunity provide karega. Agar aap is trade mein interested hain, toh confirmation ka intezar karein aur apne analysis ko apni strategy ke sath align karein.