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NZD/USD Price Movement

Hello, azeem forum members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka ek analytical review pesh kar raha hoon jo H1 chart par mabni hai. Filhal, trading instrument ka position 0.5920 par hai. Aaj subah ke Asian trading session mein, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance face kiya. Yeh level cross karne mein nakam hone ke baad, price downward move karte hue 0.5918 tak gir gaya. Market ki halat aur observed movements ko dekhte hue yeh lagta hai ke trading instrument ka price 0.5900 level ke neeche gir sakta hai. Yeh further decline ka ishara deta hai jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ko zahir karta hai. Halat ke mutabiq, NZD/USD pair ne na sirf 0.5900 level touch kiya, balke is se bhi neeche gir gaya aur ab 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt, ek reversal zone chart par nazar aa raha hai jo ke 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke levels ke darmiyan confined hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke agar price resistance level 0.5886 se upar chale jaaye aur ek hour candle is level ke upar close ho, to yeh decline sirf stop collection ho sakta hai. Is surat mein price ka rebound aur resistance level 0.5978 tak ka rise mumkin hai. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko carefully lagana zaroori hai.

Is hafte ke trading session mein, NZD/USD currency pair ko bullish path par trade karte dekha gaya hai aur price phir se barh kar 0.6172 ke range tak pohanch gaya hai. Market ki observations ke mutabiq, yeh clear hai ke market halat ab tak buyer's troops ke control mein hai pichlay teen hafton se. Price jo ke July mein bearish direction mein move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, akhir kaar bullish ho gaya aur kal raat ko phir se bullish move dikhayi gayi, halanke abhi bhi sideways phase ka samna hai. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke market halat mein halka sa izafa ho raha hai. Market ki opening ke baad se, buyers ka fresh attempt dekha gaya hai ke wo price ko phir se market mein upar ki taraf le jayein. RSI indicator ki Lime Line jo ke level 70 par hai, yeh zahir karti hai ke market trend ab tak bullish phase mein hai. Buyers ab tak price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur chhoti timeframes, specifically H4 timeframe mein, price ne Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar fly kiya hai jo ke market mein bullish potential ko zahir karta hai. Mera khayal hai ke aglay chand ghanton mein izafa hone ka imkaan hai aur main sirf market mein potential BUY trading ke chances ko dhoond raha hoon. Agay chalkar, buyer army ke zariye price ko 0.6200 level range tak upar dhakelne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai.

Is trading hafta ka aghaz thora sa izafa ke sath hua, aur main phir se NZD/USD currency pair ka D1 timeframe ka chart dekhne ka mashwara doon ga. Pehle, 0.6073 ka aik bara horizontal resistance level hit hua tha. Is base par, yahaan sirf sell positions consider ki gayi thein, kyunki itni zabardast daily period resistance level par buy karna bilkul bekaar tha. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone mein chala gaya tha, jo ke girawat ka ek aur factor tha. Lekin baat yahi khatam nahi hoti, CCI indicator kuch aur bhi dikha sakta hai, yani bearish convergence - jo ke ek sell signal hai. Aur level ke basis par, yeh ek behtareen signal tha. Ek girawat ki umeed thi, jo ke hui bhi; New Zealand Reserve Bank ne interest rate mein quarter point ki kami ki, jiske natijay mein New Zealand dollar neeche gir gaya. Aksar ki tarah, news ne technical picture ko support kiya.

Ab hum 0.6013 ke support level par phans gaye hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh zyada dair tak nahi rukh payega aur downward trend apne rujhan ke mutabiq continue karega. Aaj ke din ki noteworthy news kuch yeh hain: 15:30 Moscow time par US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur US Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki reports aa rahi hain. 17:30 par US crude oil inventories ki report bhi hai. Meri rai mein, aaj girawat ke baad ke possible upward rollback ko younger intraday periods M5-M15 par track karna chahiye aur jab munasib formations banain, toh downtrend mein kaam karna chahiye. Doosri currency pairs bhi, meri rai mein, US dollar ke recent izafa ke baad correction ke liye taiyar hain, jo is currency pair mein girawat ke continuation ke haq mein hai.

NZD/USD market ke American session ki opening se pehle, market ko daily open aur apni sabse nazdeek support ke beech upar-niche move karte hue dekha ja raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se open kiya aur support level 0.6220 par hai. Jabke sabse nazdeek resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se is pair ki price movement choti-choti fluctuations ke sath chal rahi hai. Kal se phir se upward trend nazar aane laga hai, jo pichle din thodi correction ke baad shuru hua tha. High bhi higher achieve kiya gaya. Shuru mein andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price continue karegi correction, lekin Asian session se buyers ne dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price manage kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move hui. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi breakout hua aur price upar gayi. Is buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak support diya aur phir price limited move hui. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ka estimate abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Wednesday ke daily open ke neeche hai. H1 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor karte hue, Thursday trading session ke liye market ne downward correction movement se shuru kiya, magar Tuesday ko buyers ka influence tha jo candlestick ko upar push karne mein kaamyaab raha, magar itna high nahi. Pichle haftay ke trading session mein market trend abhi bhi bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, jo ke current market conditions ke sath NZD/USD currency pair ka trend ab bhi upward hai. Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator ki Lime Line phir se 70 level ke nazdeek pohonch gayi hai, jo ke slight increase ko dikhata hai jo shayad continue kar sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi zero level ke upar comfortably move kar raha hai, lekin iski size thodi chhoti hai due to downward correction pichle Monday. Is haftay price upar gayi hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upa

NZD/USD Pair Forecast

NZD/USD pair ne daily time frame par ek silsila banaya hai jismein lower highs aur lower lows dekhne ko mile hain. Kal market ne 0.6004 level par open kiya. Kal ke trading session ke dauran, isne 0.6031 ki high aur 0.5988 ki low banayi. Is tarah kal ka trading range lagbhag 43 pips ka tha. Market ka sentiment bearish hai aur yeh daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily support level S1 aur S2 tak bhi jaa sakta hai. Yeh sab indicators market ki bearish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko touch kiya. RSI 14 ab 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo ke overbought condition ke baad ka hai. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern bhi nazar aaya, jo ke bearish candlestick ke saath confirm ho gaya hai. Market MA 200 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke market ke bearish strength ko darshata hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke neeche movement ko favor karti hai.

H1 time frame par NZD/USD ke liye ek highly favorable trading opportunity develop ho rahi hai, jo ke market ko buy direction mein enter karne ka ek mauka deti hai. Is analysis mein teen key indicators: HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ka istemal kiya jayega, jo ki long positions ke liye ideal quotes pinpoint karne mein madad karenge, taake potential profit ke liye strategic entry point mil sake. Is opportunity ko maximize karne ke liye, kuch critical conditions check karna zaroori hai. Pehla step H4 time frame par trend ko accurately identify karna hai, kyunki yeh market sentiment ko samajhne aur financial loss se bachne ke liye crucial hai. 4-hour time frame par instrument chart ko dekh kar confirm karna zaroori hai ke key conditions meet ho rahi hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke H1 aur H4 time periods dono ek hi direction mein trend movement dikha rahe hain. Agar yeh primary condition fulfill hoti hai, toh aaj ka market buy trade engage karne ke liye ek prime opportunity hai.

Yeh level historically ek mazboot base provide karta hai, jo ke take-profit targets set karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh strategy market ke existing downward trend ke continuation ke expect karne ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, market mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ki surat mein stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna bohot zaroori hoga taake possible losses se bacha ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ka demand hota hai ke trader flexible rahe, aur naye resistance levels ko samajhna ek strong trading strategy ka important hissa hota hai. Agar resistance aajata hai, to 0.65379 level pe buy karna ek viable option ban sakta hai Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain. Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon

95 AUD/USD pair ne kuch arse se aik range mein trade kiya hai, aur meri analysis is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke yeh pair support level 0.65209 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh level historically ek mazboot base provide karta hai, jo ke take-profit targets set karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh strategy market ke existing downward trend ke continuation ke expect karne ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, market mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ki surat mein stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna bohot zaroori hoga taake possible losses se bacha ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ka demand hota hai ke trader flexible rahe, aur naye resistance levels ko samajhna ek strong trading strategy ka important hissa hota hai. Agar resistance aajata hai, to 0.65379 level pe buy karna ek viable option ban sakta hai Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain.
Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rah

NZDUSD downward trend mein hai. Yeh bearish momentum, chart par lower highs aur lower lows ki series ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke ek classic indication hai ke market sellers ki taraf ja raha hai. Current price movement yeh suggest karta hai ke bears control mein hain, jo price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jese ke market mukhtalif economic aur technical factors par react kar raha hai. Mojooda trend ke madde nazar, traders ke liye kuch potential selling opportunities ho sakti hain. Pehli baat, agar price retrace ya pullback karta hai resistance levels ki taraf, to yeh sellers ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo trend ke saath chalna chahte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace kare—jahaan pehle support levels ab resistance ban chuke hain—yeh ek strategic point ho sakta hai short positions enter karne ke liye. Traders confirmation ke liye candlestick patterns, jese ke bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars dekh sakte hain, jo ke brief rally ke baad downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain. Halaat bearish lag rahe hain, lekin trading karte waqt ek acha risk management strategy zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein volatile hai, aur well-formed trends bhi kabhi kabhi sharp reversals dekh sakte hain. Stop-loss orders lagana ahem hai taake apni capital protect ki ja sake. Misal ke taur par, recent swing high ke thoda upar stop-loss lagana potential losses ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market apki position ke against move kare. Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZDUSD pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeli ke mutaliq news achanak currency pair mein movements la sakte hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Informed rehna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame mein abhi ek strong case present karta hai sellers ke liye. Ongoing downward trend, technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye kai opportunities hain further declines se faida uthane k

NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualized for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General CQ Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga

NZD/USD market ki price journey ko monitor kar raha hoon, bullish side ki taraf dekhte hue jab tak price simple moving average line (period 100) ke upar rahti hai. Lekin raat ke trading period mein upward trend thoda hamper ho gaya aur price ne bullish trend se thoda correction kiya. Candlestick pehle 0.6172 area tak uchi gayi aur dheere dheere niche aane lagi. Aaj subah ke trading mein, price 0.6141 area ke aas paas hold kar rahi hai. Agar aap candlestick position ko monitor karein, yeh ab bhi simple moving average period 100 ke upar dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye stable price ko bullish banane ka moqa hai.
NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index decrease ho raha hai, jo ke downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ke upar uthane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar trend kar raha hai, jo ke age ki upward movement ki possibility ko support kar raha hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair volatile rahne ke umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events jaise ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data ke zariye drive ho sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko include karta hai. Agar resistance successfully break hota hai, toh move October 2019 low 0.6198 ki taraf open ho sakta hai. Lekin, cautious rehna zaroori hai, kyunke market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye jo NZD/USD exchange rate pe impact daal sakti hain

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa


ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh range ka sideways trend dobara confirm karega. Iske baad pair phir se range floor ke aas paas, jo 0.5850 hai, move kar sakt

Click image for larger version

gbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai." Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah

Jab outlook bearish nazar aata hai, yeh zaroori hai ke trading ko well-defined risk management strategy ke saath approach kiya jaye. Forex market inherently volatile hai, aur mazeed achi-formed trends bhi sharp reversals experience kar sakte hain. Capital ki protection ke liye appropriate stop-loss orders set karna bohat zaroori hai. Missal ke taur par, stop-loss ko recent swing high se thoda upar rakhne se agar market aap ke position ke khilaaf jaye to potential losses ko limit karne mein madad mil sakti hai. Traders ko NZD/USD pair par asar dalne wale key economic events se bhi hoshyar rehna chahiye. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeliyon se mutaliq news currency pair mein achanak movements trigger kar sakti hai jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hai. Be khabar rehne aur apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna successful trading ke liye bohat zaroori hai.

NZD/USD currency pair H4 time frame par currently sellers ke liye bohat compelling case present kar raha hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo ke technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, suggest karta hai ke multiple opportunities hain jahan traders mazeed decline se faida utha sakte hain. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko carefully analyze karke, traders strategically apne aap ko bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye position kar sakte hain. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics par asar dalne wale kisi bhi developments se hoshyar rehna bohat zaroori hai. Sahi approach ke saath, current NZD/USD market conditions un logon ke liye profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain jo trend ke saath trade karne ke liye tayyar hain.

Agar NZD/USD pair successfully resistance zone ko break karke uske upar position secure karta hai, to yeh ek sustainable upward trend ka signal dega. Yeh potential breakout mazeed gains ke liye raasta saaf kar sakta hai. Aisi soorat-e-haal mein, hum mazeed 600 points ki additional rise ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo ke current levels se ek notable shift hoga. Yeh potential rise current market dynamics aur technical indicators se support hota hai. NZD/USD pair ki ability key resistance level ke upar apni position maintain karne mein crucial hogi. Agar yeh is mein kaamyaab hota hai, to market bullish trend ka continuation dekh sakta hai, aur initial forecast se bhi aagay tak gains extend karne ki possibility hai.

In conclusion, NZD/USD pair ka recent interaction 0.5865 ke support level aur 0.6350-0.6390 ke resistance zone ke aas paas hone wala challenge bohat pivotal hai. Ek successful breach aur consolidation is resistance ke upar mazeed ek significant upward movement ka raasta saaf kar sakti hai, jo pair ki value mein mazeed 600 points add karne ki potential rakhte hai. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyun ke yeh NZD/USD pair ki future trajectory ke bare mein critical insights provide kar sakte hain.

NZD/USD Pair Analysis aur Trading Opportunities:

Pair ne daily time frame par lower highs aur lower lows ki series banayi hai. Kal market 0.6004 level par open hui thi. Kal ki trading session ke dauran, high 0.6031 aur low 0.5988 par banaya gaya. Is tarah, kal ka trading range takreeban 43 pips tha. Market ka sentiment bearish hai, aur yeh daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh aane wale trading sessions mein daily support level S1 aur S2 ko hit kar sakta hai. Neeche diye gaye indicators market ki bearish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko hit kiya. RSI 14, overbought condition ke baad 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern nazar aaya, jiske baad ek aur bearish candlestick ne market ki bearish strength ko confirm kiya. Market MA 200 ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo ke bearish strength ko represent karta hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ki down movement ko favor karta hai.

NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar) ke H1 time frame par ek highly favorable trading opportunity develop ho rahi hai, jo market mein buy direction mein entry ka chance present karti hai. Is analysis mein teen key indicators use kiye jayenge: HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Yeh tools long positions initiate karne ke liye ideal quotes pinpoint karne mein madad karenge, aur potential profit ke liye strategic entry point ensure karenge. Iss opportunity ko maximize karne ke liye, kuch critical conditions check karna zaroori hai. Pehla step yeh hai ke H4 time frame par trend ko accurately identify kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh market sentiment ko samajhne aur aisi decisions se bachne ke liye crucial hai jo financial loss ka sabab ban sakte hain. 4-hour time frame par instrument chart ko dekh kar hum confirm kar sakte hain ke key conditions meet ho rahi hain ya nahi. Yeh zaroori hai ke H1 aur H4 dono time periods mein trend movement same direction mein ho. Agar yeh primary condition fulfill hoti hai, to hum aaj ke market ko buy trade engage karne ke liye prime opportunity consider kar sakte hain

NZD/USD ne Wall Street ke khulne par Thursday ko sideways trading mein dakhil hua, lekin US economic data ke madad se din ka end higher note par kiya. Price 0.6048 tak barh gayi, jo pehle session ke closing price 0.5937 se zyada thi. Thursday ko, price ne 0.5930 ka intraday low aur 0.6023 ka intraday high hit kiya. Dusre quarter ke disappointing data ke baad, hukoomat ko apna 5% annual growth target hasil karne ke liye policy support barhane par ghoor karna pad sakta hai. Ye growth ka matlab hai ke China ko apni domestic demand ko barhane ke liye mazeed policy efforts karne honge.

Abhi ke liye, ye lagta hai ke upward trend market par control rakhta hai, kyun ke agar aap is haftay ke trend pattern ko dekhein, to ye buyers ke control mein lagta hai, halanke week ke darmiyan ek kamzor ya koshish shuda bearish correction dekhnay ko mili. Main predict karta hoon ke price abhi bhi Uptrend ki koshish karega aur bullish journey ko jari rakhega. Aaj subah ka candlestick 100 period ke simple moving average zone ke upar close hua, jo market trend ke barhne ke chance ko zahir karta hai. Agle haftay ki trading session mein agar buyer candlestick ko 0.6080 ke price zone se upar le jaane mein kamiyab hota hai, to bullish trend market mein dominate kar sakta hai. Buy trading plan par ghoor kiya ja sakta hai, jisme target ko upar ke area ki taraf increase karna shaamil ho.