نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi

US Dollar Index (DXY) ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo kai saalon se chala aa raha hai. Late July se ye steady taur par down leg unfold kar raha hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa

Monday ko stable hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke tezi se girawat ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura performance hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya hai. US Dollar index 100.00 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte June 2023 se ek bura performance dekhne ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo US Dollar ki value ko doosri currencies ke sath tulna karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, jo ke in losses ka zyada hissa US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole ke bayan se hua. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, to markets agle November mein Fed ki meeting aur aage ke plans ke baare mein speculate kar sakte hain.

Monday ko economic calendar par Durable Goods Orders ke numbers ke aane ki wajah se concerns shuru ho sakte hain. Agar overall US data resilient rahe ya pace pick up kare, to iska kya matlab hoga Fed ke September mein rate cut ke commitment ke liye? Strong data ek "one-and-done" rate cut ka scenario laa sakti hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga.

NZD/USD apne range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur higher break ki tayari mein hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh bullish breakout confirm kar sakta hai. Aise move se pair 0.6400s tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. Agar August 20 ka high break hota hai to yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur substantial gains ki ummeed hai. Pair ne temporary taur par August 20 ko apne range ke ceiling ko breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak ucha gaya, magar phir tezi se neeche gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick banaya. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si weakness dekhne ko mili jo 0.6109 August 22 ke swing low tak gayi, magar pair ne recover karke August 23 ko range se phir se bahar nikala.

AUD/USD pair ne kuch arse se aik range mein trade kiya hai, aur meri analysis is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke yeh pair support level 0.65209 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh level historically ek mazboot base provide karta hai, jo ke take-profit targets set karne ke liye bohot ahem hai. Yeh strategy market ke existing downward trend ke continuation ke expect karne ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, market mein kisi bhi unexpected shift ki surat mein stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna bohot zaroori hoga taake possible losses se bacha ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ka demand hota hai ke trader flexible rahe, aur naye resistance levels ko samajhna ek strong trading strategy ka important hissa hota hai. Agar resistance aajata hai, to 0.65379 level pe buy karna ek viable option ban sakta hai Main buy karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin market correction ka intezar karunga. Jab channel ke lower limit, 0.60205 level, tak pohanch jaye, tab main yeh soch raha hoon ke kahan se buy karna hai. Main market ke against short trades mein enter nahi karna chahta, aur jab tak channel grow kar raha hai, iski zaroorat bhi nahi hai. Mere liye market mein enter karne ka sabse sahi tareeqa yeh hoga ke main channel ke lower limit se correction ke saath enter karoon. Aisa entry loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega agar koi false entry ho jaye, jisme har trader ko mushkil hoti hai. Upper limit 0.60438 level par determine ki jayegi, aur upper part of the channel ko determine karne ke baad, ek possible decline in the correction ka sochna worth hoga. Correction ki buniyad wo fluctuations hain jo channel ke along determine hoti hain.
Hourly chart par linear regression channel ka direction H4 ke saath same hai, jo bullish interest ko barhata hai. Dono channels ke readings ke mutabiq, priority buy karne ki hai. Selling ke liye conditions create nahi hui hain. Iske liye, kam se kam H4 channel ko neeche ki taraf dekhna zaroori hai, tab aap short trades mein enter karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise ke aap pictures mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo market ko neeche le jane ka chance nahi de rahe. Buyers market ko push kar rahe hain, isliye yeh zyada sahi hai ke channel ki lower border 0.60024 se unka saath diya jaye, wahan buying ke liye zyada profitable entry point milta hai. Is point ke neeche sales shuru hongi, aur purchases ka flow banega. Main plan kar raha hoon ke upper part of the channel tak, jo 0.60465 hai, grow karoon. Peaks pe kaam karte hue, bull apni benchmark tak pohanchega, aur phir ek decline ho sakta hai. Main us decline ko pass kar dunga. Aur phir se decline se, main growth ke direction mein purchases dekh raha hoon.
NZD/USD ke liye crucial resistance level 0.6077 hai. Agar market price is 0.6077 resistance level ko break karta hai, to price upar ja sakti hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.6543 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bullish movement ko resistance sector 0.7123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, NZD/USD ke liye crucial support level 0.5984 hai. Agar market price yahan se neeche jata hai aur 0.5984 support level ko cross karta hai, to market price aur neeche ja sakti hai, aur market neeche ja sakta hai, jaise ke maine chart pe mark kiya hai. Lekin agar price zone 0.5909 successfully breakout hoti hai, to NZD/USD apni bearish movement ko support sector 0.5545 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Larger time frame aksar forex market ke baare mein sahi signals predict karta hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay NZD/USD ka market price 0.5984 zone ko cross karega. Yeh baad mein ek continuation pattern bhi create kar sakta hai.

Market Overview

NZD/USD Trend Uncertainty: NZD/USD ke overall trend ko pata lagaana mushkil ho gaya hai. Jabki pair downward trend mein tha, past week mein sentiment mein noticeable shift hua, jisne upward movement ko janm diya. Yeh recent development ne long-term trend ko confidently determine karne mein mushkil bana diya hai.

Dollar Strength: US dollar mein resurgence dekha gaya hai, jisne major pairs, NZD/USD ko bhi downward ki taraf lean kar diya hai. Dollar ki strengthening ne situation ko complex bana diya hai, next move ko predict karne mein challenging bana diya hai.

Resistance Level: NZD/USD pair current fresh resistance level se encounter kar raha hai. Aap believe karte hain ki is resistance ko break karne ke liye necessary drivers ya catalysts ki zaroorat hai. Result mein, aap limited, localized drop in price ki expectation karte hain, significant decline toward previous lows ki bajay.

Short-Term Expectations

Potential Drop to 0.5960: Right momentum ya drivers ke bina, aap price ko 0.5960 area mein drop hone ki possibility dekhte hain. Yeh level near-term target represent karta hai agar current resistance break karne ke liye strong sabit ho.

Market Sentiment: Aap downward move ki expectation karte hain, lekin recent market activity ne resilience dekhai hai. Monday ko dip, jo significant event laga, quickly bought up ho gaya, partial recovery ko lead karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki downward pressure remain hai, market positive economic data ko respond kar raha hai, especially US se.

Trading Strategy

Cautious Approach: Aap current levels par trades consider nahi kar rahe hain, especially trend ki uncertainty ke around. Buying Below 0.59: Lekin agar price 0.59 level se niche aa jaye, to aap buy positions mein enter karne ko consider karenge. Yeh level key area represent karta hai, jahan bounce ya reversal ki possibility justify kar sakta hai.






Conclusion

Aap NZD/USD ke mixed aur confusing market situation dekhte hain. Downward pressure remain hai, lekin recent movements suggest ki market decisive move mein taiyar nahi hai. Strong resistance level aur recent dollar strength ne uncertainty ko badha diya hai. Aap cautious approach ko prefer karte hain, potential buying opportunities par focus karte hain agar price 0.59 mark se niche aa jaye

NZDUSD ka H4 time frame mein price mukhtalif asraat se mutasir hota hai, jese dono mulkon ka economic data, commodity prices (khaaskar doodh ki masnuaat jo New Zealand ka bara export hai), aur global market sentiment. Iss waqt, yeh pair 0.6024 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke recent sessions mein traders ke liye ahem level raha hai. Agar H4 time frame ka tajziya kiya jaye, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke NZDUSD downward trend mein hai. Yeh bearish momentum, chart par lower highs aur lower lows ki series ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke ek classic indication hai ke market sellers ki taraf ja raha hai. Current price movement yeh suggest karta hai ke bears control mein hain, jo price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain, jese ke market mukhtalif economic aur technical factors par react kar raha hai. Mojooda trend ke madde nazar, traders ke liye kuch potential selling opportunities ho sakti hain. Pehli baat, agar price retrace ya pullback karta hai resistance levels ki taraf, to yeh sellers ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo trend ke saath chalna chahte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace kare—jahaan pehle support levels ab resistance ban chuke hain—yeh ek strategic point ho sakta hai short positions enter karne ke liye. Traders confirmation ke liye candlestick patterns, jese ke bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars dekh sakte hain, jo ke brief rally ke baad downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain. Halaat bearish lag rahe hain, lekin trading karte waqt ek acha risk management strategy zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein volatile hai, aur well-formed trends bhi kabhi kabhi sharp reversals dekh sakte hain. Stop-loss orders lagana ahem hai taake apni capital protect ki ja sake. Misal ke taur par, recent swing high ke thoda upar stop-loss lagana potential losses ko limit karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai agar market apki position ke against move kare. Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZDUSD pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeli ke mutaliq news achanak currency pair mein movements la sakte hain, jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hain. Informed rehna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame mein abhi ek strong case present karta hai sellers ke liye. Ongoing downward trend, technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke liye kai opportunities hain further declines se faida uthane ki. Agar traders retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka ache se tajziya karein, to woh is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye strategically apni position bana sakte hain. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics par asraat rakhne walay developments par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Sahi approach ke saath, mojooda conditions NZDUSD market mein profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain un logon ke

Asian trading hours ke doran, NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai."

Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga

NZDUSD Mein Selling Scenario

NZDUSD ki price movement abhi sellers ke haq mein hai, jo aaj ek clear selling scenario ko janam de rahi hai. Current level 0.6238 ke aas-paas hai, jo ek significant support area hai. Yeh darshata hai ke yeh level sellers ko ek opportunity de sakta hai taake wo apne kuch losses cover kar saken. Agar yeh selling environment barqarar rehta hai, to yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh ek temporary correction phase ho jo United States trading session ke doran khatam ho jaye. Halankeh correction ki umeed hai, market session abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein hai aur wo baad mein 0.6222 ke area ko test kar sakte hain.

### Hourly Aspect Aur Bulls Ki Expected Comeback

Hourly analysis ke mutabiq, yeh umeed hai ke bulls Washington session ke doran wapas aayenge. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ke paas din bhar apne losses cover karne ka ek acha mauka hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke is situation ko wisdom aur professionalism ke sath handle kiya jaye, kyunki market conditions kabhi bhi shift ho sakti hain. Aaj sellers ke liye ek important point yeh hai ke market ko closely monitor karein aur kisi bhi changes ke liye appropriate response dein. 0.6222 area ko test karne ki possibility ek potential target hai, lekin is opportunity ka faida uthane ke liye market conditions ko sahi tarah se judge karna zaroori hai.

### Trading Strategy Aur Risk Management

Sellers ko apni trading strategy ko carefully manage karna chahiye. Market ke current favor towards selling ka faida uthana chahiye, lekin saath hi potential shift ke liye bhi prepared rehna chahiye. Market ka behavior closely observe karna aur informed decisions lena zaroori hai, taake aaj ke trading environment ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Agar sellers ko losses cover karne aur selling scenario se profit uthane ka chance milta hai, to iske liye market ka careful assessment zaroori hai, khaaskar jab din aage badhta hai aur bulls wapas aane lagte hain. Aapke trading career ke liye ek better trading roadmap aapko is risky market mein survive karne aur success paane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

### Trading Career Ke Liye Best Wishes

NZDUSD Mein Selling Scenario

NZDUSD ki price movement abhi sellers ke haq mein hai, jo aaj ek clear selling scenario ko janam de rahi hai. Current level 0.6238 ke aas-paas hai, jo ek significant support area hai. Yeh darshata hai ke yeh level sellers ko ek opportunity de sakta hai taake wo apne kuch losses cover kar saken. Agar yeh selling environment barqarar rehta hai, to yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh ek temporary correction phase ho jo United States trading session ke doran khatam ho jaye. Halankeh correction ki umeed hai, market session abhi bhi sellers ke haq mein hai aur wo baad mein 0.6222 ke area ko test kar sakte hain.

### Hourly Aspect Aur Bulls Ki Expected Comeback

Hourly analysis ke mutabiq, yeh umeed hai ke bulls Washington session ke doran wapas aayenge. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ke paas din bhar apne losses cover karne ka ek acha mauka hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke is situation ko wisdom aur professionalism ke sath handle kiya jaye, kyunki market conditions kabhi bhi shift ho sakti hain. Aaj sellers ke liye ek important point yeh hai ke market ko closely monitor karein aur kisi bhi changes ke liye appropriate response dein. 0.6222 area ko test karne ki possibility ek potential target hai, lekin is opportunity ka faida uthane ke liye market conditions ko sahi tarah se judge karna zaroori hai.

### Trading Strategy Aur Risk Management

Sellers ko apni trading strategy ko carefully manage karna chahiye. Market ke current favor towards selling ka faida uthana chahiye, lekin saath hi potential shift ke liye bhi prepared rehna chahiye. Market ka behavior closely observe karna aur informed decisions lena zaroori hai, taake aaj ke trading environment ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Agar sellers ko losses cover karne aur selling scenario se profit uthane ka chance milta hai, to iske liye market ka careful assessment zaroori hai, khaaskar jab din aage badhta hai aur bulls wapas aane lagte hain. Aapke trading career ke liye ek better trading roadmap aapko is risky market mein survive karne aur success paane mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

### Trading Career Ke Liye Best Wishes

Asian trading hours ke doran, NZD/USD pai mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai."

Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah hoga

trading session mein market mein downward correction movement ka aghaz hua, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ka asar tha jo candlestick ko upar le gaya, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichlay haftay ki trading session mein market trend ab bhi bullish hi tha, aur abhi ke market conditions ke madde nazar EURGBP currency pair ka trend apni major trend ke mutabiq abhi bhi upwards hi move kar raha hai. Indicators ke developments par ghour karte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line phir se rise hui hai aur level 70 ke qareeb hai jo is baat ki nishani hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein hui slight increase shayad dobara continue ho sake. MACD indicator ka histogram bar abhi bhi zero level ke upar move kar raha hai, lekin Monday ki downward correction ki wajah se uska size thoda chhota hua hai. Iss haftay price ne upar move kiya hai aur candlestick ka position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar hai. NZD/USD pair ne H4 basis par bohat strong bearish engulfing signal banaya hai, aur saath hi bearish Three Drive signal bhi form hua hai, jiski wajah se in dono combinations se ek valid aur profitable sell conclusion nikalta hai. Lekin EMA50 Blue, EMA100 Purple, aur EMA200 Red ki arrangement upward aur open angle mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke ye bullish increase strong momentum rakhta hai. Iss liye girawat abhi bhi limited hai, aur yeh girawat EMA50 Blue ke qareeb 0.6125 - 0.6130 ke support area mein hi reh sakti hai, iss liye prospective sellers ko is par dhyan dena chahiye. Agar M15 basis par intraday movement dekha jaye to consistent breakout sell candle ab form ho chuki hai, aur aakhri position ne EMA100 Purple line ko penetrate kar diya hai, jis se price jaldi se EMA200 Red ko touch karega. Yahan se market response ek slight increase de sakta hai jo next reentry sell setup banane mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Technical analysis aur price movement scenarios ke support ke sath, main personally ab instant sell ko prefer karta hoon with a profit target H4 support area 0.6125 - 0.6130 mein. Agar M15 movement mein Red EMA200 ka penetration hota hai, to buy position dobara se add karni chahiye taake profit potential maximize ho sake.

Asian trading hours ke doran, NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekha gaya, jo lagbhag 0.6210 par band hua. US dollar (USD) abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke barhne ke imkaan se kamzor hai. Is hafte aane wale aham US data, jaise ke advanced GDP Annualised for Q2 aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, traders ke liye bohot aham honge. New Zealand ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru kiya aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya. October aur November mein, traders ko umeed hai ke Central Bank of New Zealand aur interest rates ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karega. Is se, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki value US dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein chalu geopolitical threats haven capital flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ki madad karenge. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday subah kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke beech aag-lagaai ke bawajood, Middle East ke wider conflict ka dar kam hai. Lekin, Reuters ke mutabiq, US supreme commander ne warning di ke "Iran ab bhi ek significant khatar hai aur Israel par hamla karne ke bare mein soch raha hai."
Maine ek sell position kholi hai kyunki chalti hui price white box area mein 0.6213 par aa gayi hai aur agar NZD/USD successfully wahan se bearish candlestick banata hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur isay TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 se neeche kamzor hoti rahti hai, to hum sell position ko continue rakh sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone tak girawat na aaye, jo hum next week ka TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar worst case scenario hota hai aur white box area rejection nahi deta, to NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation shuru ho jayega aur hume sell position close karni padegi. Phir recover karne ke liye, hume buy position kholni padegi jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya aap sab ka jo meri explanation suni, umeed hai ke hum agle hafte NZD/USD ke movement se profit optimize kar sakenge.

US Dollar Monday ko steady hai, pichle hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ek saal se zyada ka sabse bura perform tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka commitment diya. US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai aur is hafte US data aane wale hain. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko broadly flat trade kar raha hai, pichle hafte ke one of its worst weekly performances ke baad. US Dollar Index – jo USD ki value ko doosri currencies ke against weigh karta hai – pichle hafte 1.75% gir gaya, aur iske aakhri hisson ki girawat US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole mein diye gaye bayan se thi. Ab jab Powell ne September mein rate cut ka commitment diya hai, markets speculate karna shuru kar sakte hain ke isse Fed ke November meeting aur aage ke plans par kya asar hoga. Agar overall US data resilient ya tez ho jata hai, to isse September mein rate cut ke Fed ke commitment par kya asar padega? Strong data ek one-and-done rate cut ka scenario bana sakta hai, jo markets ke liye ek cold shower ki tarah

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis H1 Timeframe ke liye
Recent Price Action

NZD/USD currency pair ne Asian trading session mein 0.5960 aur 0.5970 ke beech support area level ko penetrate karne mein struggle kiya. Lekin, August 16, 2024 ko, trading instrument ne bullish rally ka experience kiya, moving average indicators ke saath golden cross pattern successfully form kiya. Is analysis mein use kiye gaye moving averages 7-period close exponential aur 14-period close exponential hain. Yeh development Monday ko trading decisions mein significantly aid kar sakta hai.

Potential Trading Scenarios

Golden cross pattern ki formation ke baad H1 timeframe par aur 0.6010 aur 0.6020 ke beech resistance area level ko buyers ne successfully penetrate kiya, NZD/USD currency pair Monday ko substantial upside potential rakhata hai. Lekin, agar newly established resistance area 0.6050 to 0.6040 ke around se breakout nahi hota hai candlestick pattern ke through, to price correction ki possibility bhi hai. Isliye, NZD/USD currency pair mein Monday ko trading session ke during do potential scenarios surface kar sakte hain:

Buy Order

Agar resistance area level 0.6050 to 0.6040 ko bullish trend candlestick pattern ke through successfully break out kiya jata hai, to buy order place ki ja sakti hai.

Sell Order

Conversely, agar bearish reversal trend candlestick pattern resistance area level par forms, to sell order place ki ja sakti hai.

Buy Limit Order

Buy limit order RBS area (Resistance Becomes Support) par place ki ja sakti hai, jo 0.6010 to 0.6000 ke around located hai.

Current Market Sentiment

Currently, NZD/USD ki price apni bullish movement ko continue kar rahi hai aur MA 100 (Blue area) se upar cross kar chuki hai. Friday ko trading session mein, buyers ne price ko higher push karne ki koshish ki, MA 50 (Red area) se breakout karne ki koshish ki, taaki further bullish opportunities ko open kiya ja sake, jo upcoming target ki taraf hai, jo MA 200 (Yellow area) hai. Solid bullish candlestick ki formation ne buyers ko substantial opportunity provide ki hai apne targets ko achieve karne ke liye

NZD/USD Analysis: Current Price Movements ka Projection

Aaj, main TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator ka use karke NZD/USD pair ki current price movement ko forecast karne ki koshish karunga, jo moving averages ki analysis par based hai. Present mein, channel downward directed hai, jo indicate karta hai ki sellers buyers se zyada power hold kar rahe hain. Occasional upward retracements ke bawajood, main believe karta hoon ki bears abhi strong hain aur bulls ko control relinquish karne ki hurry mein nahi hain.

Channel Direction aur Market Sentiment

TMA indicator currently downward-sloping channel dikha raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ki market sentiment predominantly bearish hai. Sellers upper hand hold kar rahe hain, aur unki dominance likely hai continue unless significant bullish momentum emerges. Even though upward corrections hain, yeh movements temporary aur overall downward trend ko reverse karne ke liye strong enough nahi hain.

Zigzag Indicator: Short Positions ke liye Clear Signal

Zigzag indicator, jo overall trend direction identify karne mein madad karta hai, bhi downward pointing hai. Yeh idea ko further reinforces ki short positions current time mein most appropriate strategy hain. Zigzag line ki direction indicate karti hai ki current market conditions selling ke liye buying se zyada favorable hain. Therefore, short positions opening ongoing bearish trend ke saath align karta hai, counter-trend trades ke risk ko reduce karta hai.

Laguerre aur RSI Indicators: Bearish Outlook ko Support Karta Hai

TMA channel se potential false signals ko filter out karne ke liye, main additional indicators jaise Laguerre aur RSI (Relative Strength Index) ka use karta hoon. Dono indicators current sell zone mein hain, jo TMA channel se provide ki gayi bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Laguerre indicator, jo price fluctuations ko smooth out karne aur clearer signals provide karne ke liye known hai, show karta hai ki selling pressure strong hai. Similarly, RSI indicator, jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measures karta hai, bhi indicate karta hai ki momentum sellers ke side hai.




Fibonacci Levels ko Targeting

Targets set karne ke liye, main 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level par open short positions ko close karne ka plan karta hoon, jo price point 0.59182 par located hai. Fibonacci retracement levels often potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye use ki jati hain, aur 23.6% level key areas mein se ek hai jahan current trend mein temporary pause ya reversal ho sakti hai. Isko exit point set karke, main bearish movement ka portion capture karne ka aim karta hoon, potential reversal mein phansne ke risk ko avoid karte hue

NZD/USD Price Movement

Hello, esteemed forum members! Aaj mein NZD/USD currency pair ka ek tajziya kar raha hoon, jo ke H1 chart pe mabni hai. Is waqt yeh trading instrument 0.5920 ke aas paas position mein hai. Aaj ki Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 ke resistance ko face kiya. Is level ko paar karne mein naakaam hone ke baad, price ne downward movement shuru ki, aur aakhir kaar 0.5918 tak decline kar gaya. Maujooda market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke price 0.5900 level se neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh mazeed girawat ka imkaan dikhata hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ko zahir karta hai. Jaise jaise halaat evolve hue, NZD/USD pair na sirf 0.5900 level tak pohchi, balki is se bhi zyada neeche gir gayi, aur ab 0.5876 pe trade ho rahi hai. Is waqt, chart pe ek reversal zone ubhar kar aya hai, jo ke 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh baat madde nazar rakhni zaroori hai: agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level ke upar chali jati hai aur ek one-hour candle is level ke upar close hoti hai, to ho sakta hai ke yeh decline sirf stop collection ho. Is ka matlab yeh hoga ke rebound ka imkaan hai aur price phir se resistance level 0.5978 ki taraf barh sakti hai. Is soorat mein, stop-loss orders ko neeche lagana behtar rahega.

Is haftay ki trading session mein, NZD/USD currency pair bullish path par trade karti nazar aayi hai, jahan prices phir se barh kar 0.6172 ke range tak gayi hain. Market ke observations ke mutabiq, abhi tak market conditions buyers ki troops ke qabze mein hain, jo ke pichlay teen hafton se dominate kar rahe hain. Price ne jo July mein bearish direction mein chalne ki koshish ki thi, woh aakhir kaar bullish ban gayi aur kal raat ko yeh dobara oopar udi, halan ke abhi bhi sideways phase ka samna hai. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke market conditions mein thoda barhawa aa gaya hai. Subha ke market opening ke baad se buyers ki taraf se price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator pe Lime Line jo ke level 70 tak barh gayi hai, yeh indication hai ke market trend abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai. Is waqt buyers abhi bhi prices ko phir se oopar dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke chhote timeframe mein, khaaskar H4 timeframe mein, price ne Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke ooper uran bhari hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke market mein ab bhi bullish potential hai. Mein samajhta hoon ke aglay kuch ghanton mein ek izafa hone ka imkaan hai, aur mein khud bhi sirf market mein potential BUY trades dhoondhne ki koshish karunga. Baad mein, buyer army ke zariye mumkin hai ke price phir se barh kar 0.6200 ke level range tak pohch sake.