نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

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نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

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  • #8461 Collapse

    USD jorha Thursday ko mazbooti se phir se ubar gaya, jo ke pehle ke session ke nuqsanat se nikla. Iska faida bullish market sentiment aur positive technical indicators se mila, aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke ummeedon ne bhi madad ki. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne positive territory mein qadam rakha, jo ke bullish momentum ka izhaar hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish se bullish ke potential reversal ke nishan de raha hai, jo upward trend ko support karta hai. NZD/USD jorhe ke liye key support levels 0.6120, 0.6140, aur 0.6160 hain. Resistance levels mein 0.6185 (20-day SMA), 0.6210, aur 0.6230 shamil hain. Agar 0.6200 se upar break hota hai, to yeh pair dono 20-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke upar aa jayega, jo further upside ko dekhne ka imkaan hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data mixed signals diya. Jabke overall CPI kam hua, core CPI ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke inflationary pressures ke bharpur hone ki nishani hai. Lekin market Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke plans par bharosa rakh rahi hai. New Zealand mein retail e-card sales ne recovery ke asaar dikhaye, jabke food prices ka izafa dheere dheere hua. Yeh developments New Zealand ki economic outlook ko mixed dikhati hain. Technical indicators ye bhi darshate hain ke NZD/USD pair ki positive momentum shayad kam ho rahi hai. Stochastics overbought territory mein flat trade kar rahe hain, aur RSI 70 ke overbought mark ke nazdeek hai. Agar rally momentum kho deti hai aur sell-off mein tabdeel hoti hai, to yeh pair shuru mein 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (June-August downtrend) pe 0.6141 tak gir sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karne par deeper correction ho sakta hai, aur 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 potential target Click image for larger version

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    • #8462 Collapse

      Technically, NZD/USD pair resistance ka samna 0.6250 level par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to mazid gains ho sakte hain, jahan potential targets 0.6300 aur 0.6368 tak ho sakte hain. Magar agar yeh pair 20-day EMA ke neeche girta hai, to yeh 0.6172 par support ka samna karega. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, to sell-off ka imkaan hai, aur potential targets 0.6120 aur 0.6020 tak ho sakte hain.

      Kul mila kar, NZD/USD pair par US dollar ki mazbooti aur market ki uncertainty ka pressure hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) ki rate-cutting cycle aur global economic conditions is pair ki direction ko mutasir karti rahegi. Traders ko technical levels aur fundamental factors ko monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions liye ja sakein. Geopolitical developments, jaise ke trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, bhi NZD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Yeh events uncertainty paida karte hain, jo currency market mein increased volatility ko janam deti hain.

      In additional factors ko dekhte hue, traders zyada comprehensively samajh sakte hain ke NZD/USD pair ko kon kon se factors drive kar rahe hain aur behtareen trading decisions le sakte hain.

      NZD/USD pair par neeche ka pressure kaafi hai, jo kai factors ki wajah se hai. US dollar ki mazbooti ka signal hai ke greenback ki demand barh rahi hai, jo risk-sensitive currencies jaise ke New Zealand dollar (NZD) par negative asar daal raha hai. Saath hi, Federal Reserve ke interest rate outlook ke ird gird uncertainty bhi investors ko cautious bana rahi hai. Hal hi mein Fed ne chaar saalon mein pehli martaba rate cut announce kiya, jo ke key borrowing rate mein 50 basis points ki kami thi. Halanke yeh zyada accommodative monetary policy ki taraf ishara hai, magar policymakers ne yeh bhi kaha hai ke rate-cutting cycle bohot aggressive nahi hoga.

      Magar, traders ko umeed hai ke Fed ka rate-cutting cycle doosre central banks ke muqablay mein zyada aggressive ho sakta hai. Yeh uncertainty market sentiment ko pressurized kar rahi hai aur NZD ke decline ka sabab ban rahi hai.
         
      • #8463 Collapse

        cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab Click image for larger version

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        • #8464 Collapse

          cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir Click image for larger version

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          • #8465 Collapse

            cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall Click image for larger version

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            • #8466 Collapse

              **NZD/USD Pair Analysis**

              NZD/USD pair liquidity areas aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) se heavily influenced zones ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart darshata hai ke price apni current range se breakout karne mein struggle kar raha hai, jo sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko reflect karta hai. August ke mid se, pair ne ek rally experience ki, jis ne price ko 0.5900 region se 0.6240 area tak push kiya, jahan is ne ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna kiya. Ye resistance, jo ke 0.6240 ke aas-paas kai liquidity levels se mazid reinforce hua, upside ko cap karte hue temporary consolidation ki taraf le gaya.

              Is phase ke doran, price action ne higher lows ki series dikhai, jo ongoing buying interest ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, resistance ko break karne mein nakami sellers ke active hone ka ishara karti hai, jo shayad profits le rahe hain ya short positions initiate kar rahe hain. Late August mein, jab price 0.6260 level par pahuncha, to is ne ek prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ke roop mein mazeed resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ke upar momentum ko sustain karne mein nakami ne ek turning point darshaya, jis ne NZD/USD pair ko apne pehle ke gains ko retrace karne par majboor kiya.

              Jab price retrace hui, to ye 0.6140 level ki taraf gir gayi, liquidity gaps ko fill karte hue aur pehle ke support levels ko test karte hue. August ke end tak, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 levels ke darmiyan oscillate karti rahi, jo ek range-bound structure banata hai. Ye range upper aur lower bounds ke frequent tests se characterize hoti hai, jahan price ne 0.6140 area ke aas-paas support dhoondha, jo pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein badal gaya. Lekin, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain karne mein nakami prevailing bearish sentiment ko highlight karti hai, jahan sellers market par dominate karte rahe.

              September ke shuruat mein, pair 0.6200 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo momentum mein potential shift ka signal hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ki series banana shuru ki, jo bearish trend ke develop hone ka darshata hai. Filhal, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke market consolidation ke period ke baad direction dhoondh raha hai. Chart par multiple DLiq zones aur FVGs ki maujoodgi darshati hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ke liye catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai.

              NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart market ko tight range mein portray karta hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko heavily dictate kar rahe hain. Ye darshata hai ke market ek state of flux mein hai, breakout ka intezar karte hue apne agle direction ko tay karne ke liye, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye koshish kar rahe hain.
                 
              • #8467 Collapse

                NZD/USD ka jor aise zones mein fluctuate kar raha hai jo liquidity areas aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) se bohot asar انداز hota hai. Chart yeh darshata hai ke price apni maujooda range se bahar nikalne mein pareshani mehsoos kar rahi hai, jo tezi se market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko dikhata hai. August ke darmiyan, pair ne ek rally dekhi, jisne price ko 0.5900 se 0.6240 tak le jaya, jahan ise ek gehri liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna karna pada. Yeh resistance, jo 0.6240 ke ird gird kai liquidity levels ke zariye mazboot hua, upside ko cap kar diya aur is se temporary consolidation ka dor shuru hua.

                Is phase ke doran, price action ne higher lows ki silsila banaya, jo ongoing buying interest ko darshata hai. Magar, resistance ko todne mein nakami se yeh saaf hai ke sellers bhi active ho gaye hain, shayad profits lene ya short positions shuru karne ke liye. August ke akhiri hisse mein, jab price 0.6260 tak pahuncha, to is ne ek prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ki wajah se mazeed resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ke upar momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ne ek turning point bana diya, jis ne NZD/USD pair ko apne pehle ke gains ko wapas lene shuru karne par majboor kiya.

                Jab price ne retrace kiya, to yeh 0.6140 level ki taraf gira, liquidity gaps ko bharte hue aur pehle ke support levels ko test karte hue. August ke akhiri mein, price 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate karti rahi, jo ek range-bound structure bana. Is range mein price ne upper aur lower bounds ko aksar test kiya, aur price ne 0.6140 area ke ird gird support paaya, jo pehle ek DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein tabdeel hua. Magar, 0.6240 ke upar move ko sustain na karne ki nakami prevailing bearish sentiment ko darshati hai, jahan sellers market par dominance rakhte hain.

                September ke shuruat tak, pair 0.6200 level se neeche gir gaya, jo momentum mein ek potential shift ka ishara hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ki silsila banana shuru kiya, jo bearish trend ke development ko darshata hai. Filhal, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market consolidation ke doran direction talash kar rahi hai. Chart par maujood kai DLiq zones aur FVGs yeh darshate hain ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ke catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai.

                NZD/USD ka 4-hour chart yeh dikhata hai ke market ek tight range mein phansa hua hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko heavily dictate kar rahe hain. Yeh yeh darshata hai ke market ek flux ki state mein hai, breakout ka intezar kar raha hai taake apni agle direction ka tayun kar sake, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye koshish kar rahe hain.
                   
                • #8468 Collapse

                  ### NZD/USD Pair ki Price Action Insights

                  NZD/USD pair liquidity areas aur Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) se kaafi mutasir hota hua fluctuate kar raha hai. Chart yeh darust karta hai ke daam apne current range se bahar nikalne mein struggle kar raha hai, jo ke sharp market movements ke baad consolidation phase ko darust karta hai. August ke darmiyan, pair ne rally dekhi, jisse daam 0.5900 se 0.6240 tak barh gaya, jahan isne ek significant deep liquidity (DLiq) zone se resistance ka samna kiya. Yeh resistance, jo 0.6240 ke ird-gird kayi liquidity levels se mazid mazboot hua, upside ko cap kar diya, jo ke temporary consolidation period ka sabab bana.

                  Is phase ke doran, price action higher lows ka silsila dikhata raha, jo ongoing buying interest ko darust karta hai. Lekin resistance ko todne mein nakami, sellers ke active hone ko darust karta hai, shayad profits lete ya short positions shuru karte hue. Late August mein, jab daam 0.6260 par pahuncha, to isne prominent FVG aur ek aur DLiq zone ki shakal mein additional resistance ka samna kiya. Is level par momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami, NZD/USD pair ke liye ek turning point ban gaya, jo pehle ki gains ki taraf wapas aane ka sabab bana.

                  Jab daam wapas aaya, to yeh 0.6140 level ki taraf gira, liquidity gaps ko fill karte hue aur pehle ke support levels ko test karte hue. August ke akhri tak, daam 0.6140 aur 0.6240 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha tha, jo ke ek range-bound structure banata hai. Is range ko upper aur lower bounds par frequent tests se characterize kiya gaya, jahan daam 0.6140 ke aas paas support paa raha tha, jo pehle DLiq zone tha jo resistance se support mein badal gaya tha. Lekin 0.6240 se upar move ko barqarar rakhne ki nakami, prevailing bearish sentiment ko darust karti hai, jahan sellers market par dominate karte rahte hain.

                  September ke shuruat tak, pair 0.6200 se neeche gir gaya, jo potential shift in momentum ka signal hai. Price action ne lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banana shuru kiya, jo bearish trend ke development ko darust karta hai. Filhal, NZD/USD pair 0.6184 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke market consolidation ke baad direction talash kar raha hai. Chart par kayi DLiq zones aur FVGs ki maujoodgi yeh darust karti hai ke liquidity redistribute ho rahi hai jab market breakout ka catalyst talash kar raha hai.

                  NZD/USD 4-hour chart ek tight range ko darust karta hai, jahan liquidity zones aur FVGs price movements ko heavily dictate kar rahe hain. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke market ek state of flux mein hai, breakout ka intezar kar raha hai taake apni agle direction ka tayin kar sake, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye koshish kar rahe hain.
                     
                  • #8469 Collapse

                    hai is range ke andar, jahan 105 ke aas paas ceiling hai aur 100 ke level par floor. Abhi bhi price action bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nazar nahi aa rahe – na toh shape mein aur na hi candlestick variety mein. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar ye south ki taraf continue karta hai, toh DXY angle support level 99.57 par pohoch sakta hai, jo July 2023 ka low hai. Ye is range ka sabse neeche wala floor hai – agar yahan se neeche break hota hai toh ye kaafi bearish sign hoga Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily aur weekly charts par oversold hai (ye chart nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended ho chuki hain aur pull back ka risk zyada hai Lekin, RSI abhi tak oversold zone se bahar nahi aaya, jo ke buy signal ke liye zaroori prerequisite hai. Filhaal, RSI ka oversold hona sirf bears ko yeh warning deta hai ke woh apni short positions mein izafa na karein, lekin reversal signal dene ke liye isko oversold zone se fully nikalna padega 100 ka level important hai. Yeh sirf psychological level hi nahi, balki yeh ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se le kar pehle teen dafa girti hui prices ko support de chuka hai (neeche gheray hue). Sawal yeh hai ke kya is dafa 100 dobara rescue karega NZD/USD bar bar us range ki ceiling ko push kar raha hai jo usne spring mein shuru ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh ek higher high banayega aur range se breakout ko confirm karega Aisi move se substantial upside follow-through expected hogi NZD/USD apni sideways range ki ceiling par knock kar raha hai jo usne spring se lekar ab tak establish ki thi. Agar August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh upside breakout confirm karega aur iske baad substantial gains expect kiye ja sakte hain. August 20 ko yeh pair apni range ki ceiling temporarily breach kar gaya tha jab yeh 0.6248 ke high tak pohcha, lekin phir rapidly wapas gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad ek red down candle aayi jo ke near-term weakness ki nishani thi, lekin pa
                    ir kuch points gir kar 0.6109 August 22 swing low tak aaya Tab se NZD/USD recover ho gaya hai aur ab phir se range ceiling ko test kar raha hai
                    Agar 0.6248 August 20 ka high breach hota hai toh yeh range se decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisi move ke baad upside target activate ho jayega, jo range ki height ka 0.618 ratio le kar aur isko higher extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai. Yeh 0.6448 ka upside target data hai (bold rectangle). Ek aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) par hai Aisi move short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega Agar 0.6109 swing low (August 23 ka low) breach hota hai, toh yeh



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                    • #8470 Collapse

                      ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall Click image for larger version

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                      • #8471 Collapse

                        cluster ke sath align karta hai. Yeh rejection is baat ka saboot hai ke higher levels par strong selling pressure hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ko rok raha hai. Downside par liquidity sweeps (D-Liq), jo ke 0.61250 ke qareeb dekhi gayi, modest buyer interest se mil chuki hain. Magar in zones ka baar baar test hona yeh darshaata hai ke buyers ki taqat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke 0.61200 ke neeche breakdown ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh price aur gir ke 0.61000 ka area target kar sakta hai, jo ke 2 Bottom Liquidity zone ke sath milta hai aur potential support provide karta hai. Agar price upar ki taraf retrace karta hai, toh 0.62000 ke aas-paas strong resistance ka saamna karega, jahan pehle liquidity grabs aur FVGs maujood hain. Is level ka break hona zaroori hoga taake pair ek bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Iske ilawa, chart par downside aur upside par multiple FVG zones mojood hain jo ke pivotal areas hain, jahan price imbalances volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain jab market participants liquidity ki talash mein hote hain. Akhir mein, NZD/USD pair ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur downside outlook tab tak qaim rahega jab tak price 0.62000 resistance se neeche hai. Agar 0.61250 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh 0.61000 aur is se neeche tak ka rasta khol sakta hai. Magar agar koi recovery attempt hoti hai, toh usay pehle strong resistance 0.62000 par cross karna hoga, phir uske baad higher liquidity zones ka target 0.62500 ke aas-paas hoga. Overall bias ab tak bearish hai jab tak lower liquidity zones ke qareeb significant buying pressure samne nahi aata. Non-linear regression channels (convex lines), jo ke qareebi mustaqbil ka forecast karti hain, golden line of the lower channel ko cross karti hain aur upward direction dikhati hain. Ek aur dalil jo buy entry ke haq mein hai, woh yeh ke RSI




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                        • #8472 Collapse

                          USD jorha Thursday ko mazbooti se phir se ubar gaya, jo ke pehle ke session ke nuqsanat se nikla. Iska faida bullish market sentiment aur positive technical indicators se mila, aur Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke ummeedon ne bhi madad ki. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne positive territory mein qadam rakha, jo ke bullish momentum ka izhaar hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish se bullish ke potential reversal ke nishan de raha hai, jo upward trend ko support karta hai. NZD/USD jorhe ke liye key support levels 0.6120, 0.6140, aur 0.6160 hain. Resistance levels mein 0.6185 (20-day SMA), 0.6210, aur 0.6230 shamil hain. Agar 0.6200 se upar break hota hai, to yeh pair dono 20-day aur 200-day simple moving averages ke upar aa jayega, jo further upside ko dekhne ka imkaan hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data mixed signals diya. Jabke overall CPI kam hua, core CPI ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke inflationary pressures ke bharpur hone ki nishani hai. Lekin market Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke plans par bharosa rakh rahi hai. New Zealand mein retail e-card sales ne recovery ke asaar dikhaye, jabke food prices ka izafa dheere dheere hua. Yeh developments New Zealand ki economic outlook ko mixed dikhati hain. Technical indicators ye bhi darshate hain ke NZD/USD pair ki positive Click image for larger version

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                          • #8473 Collapse

                            Thursday ko Asian trading hours ke dauran NZD/USD pair mein thodi si izafa dekhi gayi, jahan closing price 0.6210 ke aas paas thi. US dollar (USD) abhi tak Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke zyada imkanat ki wajah se kamzor hai. Is hafte ke ahem US data ko traders ghor se dekhenge, jin mein Q2 ka advanced GDP Annualised aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data shamil hai. New Zealand ke hawalay se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle shuru ki thi, Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak gira diya tha. October aur November mein traders ye umeed kar rahe hain ke Central Bank of New Zealand mazeed 25 basis points (bps) se interest rates ko kam karega. Iske natijay mein New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein gir sakti hai. Mazeed, Middle East ke jaari geopolitical threats safe haven capital flows ko barha sakti hain, jo USD ko faida de sakti hain. Joint Chiefs of Staff ke chairman, US Air Force General C.Q. Brown, ne Tuesday ko subha kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan aag ka tabadla hue baghair ek bade Middle East conflict ka khauf kam hai. Magar Reuters ke mutabiq, US ke supreme commander ne ye khauf zada karne wali baat ki ke "Iran abhi bhi ek bara khatra bana hua hai, aur wo Israel par hamlay ka soch raha hai." Maine sell position open ki hai kyunke price ne white box area mein 0.6213 ke level ko touch kiya hai, aur agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick bana leta hai, to price 0.6060 tak gir sakti hai jo baad mein RBS area banegi aur hum isay TP1 ka level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 ke neeche mazeed kamzor hoti hai, to hum sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak ke price 0.5835 ke zone tak nahi gir jati, aur hum isay TP2 ka level bana sakte hain agle hafte ke trading mein. Mazid, worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar white box area price rejection nahi deta to NZD/USD ka bullish confirmation start ho jayega, aur humein sell position ko close karna zaroori hoga. Phir recovery ke liye humein buy position open karni hogi jisme resistance area 0.6330 ka target rakha jayega. Shukriya jo aap ne meri explanation ko suna, umeed hai ke hum NZD/USD ki movement mein agle hafte profit ko optimize kar payenge. Monday ko US Dollar thoda stable hua hai pichlay hafte ke 1.76% ke steep sell-off ke baad, jo ke ek saal mein sabse bura tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest-rate cut ka wada kiya tha.
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                            • #8474 Collapse

                              Thursday ke Asian trading hours ke dauran, NZD/USD pair mein thoda izafa dekhne ko mila, jisme closing price 0.6210 ke qareeb thi. US dollar (USD) ki kamzori ki badi wajah Federal Reserve (Fed) ka dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke hawale se barhte huye expectations hain. Is hafte traders bohat ghor se kuch aham US data ka intezaar karenge, jisme advanced Q2 GDP aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index shamil hain.
                              New Zealand ke economic situation ke hawale se, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle ka aghaz kiya, aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kiya. Traders umeed kar rahe hain ke October aur November mein 25 basis points (bps) ke mazeed rate cuts ho sakte hain, jo New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki qeemat ko USD ke muqablay mein kam kar sakte hain.






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                              Iske ilawa, Middle East mein chalte huye geopolitical tensions safe haven flows ko barha sakte hain, jo USD ko support de sakte hain. U.S. Air Force General C.Q. Brown, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, ne kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan ek bare conflict ka khauf kam ho gaya hai. Magar, unhon ne Iran ko ek bara khatra qarar diya aur kaha ke Iran ke taraf se Israel par humlay ka imkaan ab bhi barqarar hai.

                              Meri trading strategy ke mutabiq, maine ek sell position kholi jab price 0.6213 level ko touch kar gaya, jo ek designated white box area ke andar tha. Agar NZD/USD is zone mein bearish candlestick banata hai, toh price 0.6060 tak gir sakta hai, jo pehla target (TP1) banega. Agar price is level se neeche girta hai, toh mein apni sell position ko hold karunga jab tak price 0.5835 ke area tak nahi pohonchti, jo doosra target (TP2) hoga agle hafte ke liye.

                              Doosri taraf, agar white box area par price rejection nahi dikhata, toh yeh NZD/USD ke liye ek bullish confirmation ho sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, sell position ko close karna aur buy position kholne par ghor karna zaroori hoga, jisme resistance area 0.6330 ka target hoga.

                              Shukriya mere analysis ko sunne ke liye. Umeed hai ke hum NZD/USD pair ke movement se apne munafa ko maximize kar sakein agle hafte ke dauran. Iske ilawa, Monday ko USD mein thori stability dekhne ko mili hai jab ke pichle hafte mein 1.76% ki steep sell-off hui thi, jo ek saal mein sabse bura performance tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein September mein ek potential interest rate cut ke liye apni commitment ka izhar kiya tha.
                                 
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                              • #8475 Collapse

                                NZD/USD Trading Update: Market Analysis aur Strategy

                                Asian trading hours mein Thursday ko NZD/USD pair thoda sa upar gaya, jahan closing price takreeban 0.6210 ke aas paas thi. US dollar (USD) abhi weak hai, jo ke zyada tar Federal Reserve (Fed) ki dovish outlook aur US rate cuts ke izafa hoti umeedon ki wajah se hai. Traders iss haftay mein kuch important US data par nazar rakhein ge, jin mein advanced Q2 GDP aur Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index shamil hain.

                                New Zealand ki economic situation ki baat ki jaye, toh Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne August mein easing cycle ka aghaz kiya, aur Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kiya. Traders umeed kar rahe hain ke October aur November mein further 25 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts ho sakte hain, jo ke New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke against USD ko mazid kamzor kar sakte hain.

                                Iske ilawa, Middle East mein jaari geopolitical tensions ki wajah se safe haven capital flows mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo USD ko support de sakta hai. U.S. Air Force General C.Q. Brown, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, ne yeh kaha ke Israel aur Lebanon ke Hezbollah ke darmiyan ek bade conflict ka khauf ab kam ho gaya hai, lekin unhon ne Iran ke threat ke baray mein fikar ka izhar kiya, jo ke ab bhi Israel par attacks ki planning kar raha ho sakta hai.

                                Meri trading strategy mein, maine ek sell position kholi jab price 0.6213 level ko touch kiya within a designated white box area. Agar NZD/USD is zone mein bearish candlestick banata hai, toh price 0.6060 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke mera pehla target (TP1) ho sakta hai. Agar price mazid kamzor hota hai aur 0.6060 ke neeche chala jata hai, toh maine plan kiya hai ke sell position ko hold karoon jab tak ke price 0.5835 area ko na pohanch jaye, jo ke agle haftay ke liye doosra target (TP2) ho sakta hai.

                                Dosri taraf, agar price white box area mein rejection nahi dikhata, toh iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke NZD/USD mein bullish confirmation ho raha hai. Is soorat mein, sell position ko close karna zaroori hoga, aur ek buy position kholne ka sochna paray ga, jahan target resistance area 0.6330 ke aas paas hoga.

                                Shukriya ke aap ne meri analysis ko sun’na pasand farmaya. Umeed hai ke hum NZD/USD pair ki movements se upcoming week mein apni profits ko maximize kar sakein ge. Iske ilawa, USD ne Monday ko kuch stability dikhayi hai, jab ke pichle haftay 1.76% ki steep sell-off hui thi, jo ke is saal ka sabse bura performance tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole speech mein yeh bhi kaha ke September mein potential interest-rate cut ke liye commitment ho sakti hai.Click image for larger version

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