نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

NZD/USD currency pair traders ke liye ek complex scenario pesh kar raha hai. Daily charts bearish trend ko reflect kar rahe hain, lekin recent market activity ne kuch interesting dynamics introduce kiye hain. Badi downtrend ke bawajood, pair ne recent Monday ko record kiye gaye low ke baad reversal ke kuch signs dikhaye hain. Ye low downtrend ke khatam hone ka indication lagta hai, jahan buying activity ne price ko 0.6000 level se upar push kiya. Ye price movement yeh suggest karti hai ke market shayad upward momentum ya temporary bullish phase ka samna kar rahi hai.
Lekin, situation abhi bhi intricate hai. Halankeh price abhi 0.6000 mark se upar hai, magar overall bearish trend broad perspective se ab bhi barqarar hai. Isliye, in levels par selling ke liye main cautious hoon. Price ka phir se 0.5900 level se neeche girne ka potential hai, jo lower levels par buying ka opportunity de sakta hai.

Is waqt NZD/USD pair mixed scenario dikha raha hai. Overarching bearish trend ke bawajood, market ne upar push kiya hai, aur significant support levels ke upar hold kar raha hai. Ye kuch upward pressure ko indicate karta hai lekin market environment ki complexity ko bhi underline karta hai. Is market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye patience aur diligent observation zaroori hai.

Technical front par, Envelopes indicator suggest karta hai ke support level 0.5977 ke aas-paas hai. Current price 0.5996 ke hisaab se, is support level tak retracement ek accha buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai. 0.5970 level ke neeche stop loss lagana risk manage karne mein madadgar hoga. Is upward move ka target resistance level 0.6035 hoga. Technical indicators abhi bhi current levels se growth ko favor karte hain, jo upward cycle ki potential ko highlight karta hai.



Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar ko ongoing geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, ke wajah se increasing pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Ye external factors dollar ko kamzor kar sakte hain, jo NZD/USD pair ke further upward movement ko support kar sakta hai

**Complete Analysis:**

NZD/USD pair ne Friday ke European session ke doran lagbhag 0.6030 tak spike kiya. Riskier assets ke liye demand barhne ke saath, Kiwi asset majboot hua. 9 August ko khatam hone wali hafte ki weekly jobless claims aur July ke positive retail sales ne US ke recession me jane ke concerns ko kaafi kam kar diya. European trading ke doran, S&P 500 futures ne achi increase dikhayi, jo investors ke risk appetite ke behtar hone ko indicate karta hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay me measure karta hai, lagbhag 102.80 tak gir gaya.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne Wednesday ko apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) se 5.25% tak kam kar diya, jo New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki short-term attractiveness par shak utha raha hai. Is dauran, market ka speculation Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cuts ke route ko le kar hai, jo US dollar ke agle move ko dictate karega. Investors Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) symposium me address ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo 22–24 August ko ho raha hai.

Daily timeframe par, NZD/USD pair ek Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern me trade kar raha hai, jo volatility me significant decrease ko show karta hai. Kiwi asset ek positive near-term trend dikhata hai, jo 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6000 ke upar break kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI 40.00 aur 60.00 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market players unsure hain.

Agar asset 3 May ka high, jo 0.6046 se upar hai, breach karta hai to further upside dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh momentum asset ko 12 July ke highs 0.6127 aur 17 July ke 0.6100 tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar asset April 19 ke low, jo lagbhag 0.5850 hai, se neeche move karta hai to asset round-level support 0.5800 aur 26 October 2023 ka low 0.5770 ki taraf drag ho sakta hai.

Complete Analysis:

NZD/USD pair ne Jumma ke European session ke doran kareeb 0.6030 tak spike kiya. Riskier assets ki demand mein izafa hone se Kiwi asset ko mazbooti mili hai. 9 August ko khatam hone wale hafte mein weekly jobless claims mein kami aur July ke liye positive retail sales ne is baat ke concerns ko kafi hat tak kam kar diya ke US mein recession aane wala hai. European trading ke doran, S&P 500 futures ne achi increases dikhayi, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke investors ka risk appetite behtar ho gaya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ki value ko 6 major currencies ke sath compare karta hai, kareeb 102.80 tak gir gaya.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne unexpected tor par apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam kar ke 5.25% kar diya Wednesday ko, jis se New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki short-term attractiveness par doubts uth gaye. Dosri taraf, market ke andazay Federal Reserve (Fed) ke saal bhar ke liye interest rate cuts ke rukh ke hawale se US dollar ke agle move ka tayyun karenge. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka address ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein 22–24 August ke darmiyan hoga.

D1 Chart:



Daily chart par NZD/USD pair Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke volatility mein significant kami ko dikhata hai. Kiwi asset ne positive near-term trend dikhaya, aur 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6000 par breach kar liya. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 aur 60.00 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai, jo ke market players ki uncertainty ko zahir karta hai.

Agar asset 3 May ke high ko 0.6046 ke upar breach karta hai, to mazeed upside dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh momentum asset ko 12 July ke high 0.6127 aur 17 July ke 0.6100 ke highs tak drive karega. Dosri surat mein, agar downward move hota hai aur asset April 19 ke low, kareeb 0.5850, se neeche girta hai, to asset ko round-level support 0.5800 aur 26 October 2023 ke low 0.5770 tak drag kiya ja sakta hai.

H1 Chart:

Mujhe umeed hai ke aap ke paas thoda waqt hoga NZDUSD currency pair ko M5 timeframe par analyze karne ke liye. Relative Strength Index trading strategy aur market analysis mein, maine RSI ka istemal kiya hai. Analysis mein maine period fourteen ka use kiya, jo history ke backtests mein kaafi acha sabit hua hai. Indicator simple hai, magar kaafi effective hai. Jab RSI 70 zone mein enter karta hai, toh yeh trend ke jaldi khatam hone aur market situation mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai, jo ke analyzed instrument par bearish trend shuru hone ka signal hai. Future trend ki shuruaat price 0.59380 par hoti hai, aur main current price values par position open kar raha hoon. Kuch bhi complicate nahi karte, kyun ke simplicity, jese ke brevity, talent ki behen hai, is note par hum market ko sell karte hain. Profit ke liye, old standard ratios jo kaam karte hain aur apne aap ko justify karte hain, jaise ke 1/2 ya 1/3, unhein aur techniques ke sath supplement kiya ja sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, trailing ka istemal karke, taake position ko behtar determine kiya ja sake depending on the current volatility aur market ke aggressiveness ke mutabiq. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke badalte hue halaat ke mutabiq khud ko adapt karna aana chahiye. Main ek stop loss order current TF ke last extreme se place kar raha hoon, minimum fifteen points par. Aap ke waqt aur tawajjo ka shukriya! Trading mein

Afsos ke sath kehna parhta hai ke bears support area 0.5908-0.5901 tak wapas correct nahi kar sake. Bears ne sirf 50% correct kiya, price ko 25 points neeche laye, jab ke mujhe 50 points south ki zaroorat thi ke main buy kar sakoon. Filhal, yeh clear hai ke New Zealand dollar pair ne apni upward movement continue rakhi aur lagbhag us target tak pohanch gaya jahan mujhe profit lena tha, aur yeh level 0.5986 hai. Waisay, mujhe dekhna parhega ke shayad bears 0.5986 se normal correction karen, yeh ek acha resistance level hai, isay baad mein dekhunga

**Mukammal Tajziya**

NZD/USD pair ne Friday ke European session mein taqreeban 0.6030 tak spike kiya. Jaise hi riskier assets ki demand mein izafa hua, Kiwi asset ne apni mazbooti dikhayi. August 9 ko khatam hone wale hafte mein weekly jobless claims mein kami aur July ke positive retail sales ne is baat ke concerns ko kafi hadd tak kam kar diya ke shayad US me mandi aa sakti hai. European trading ke doran, S&P 500 futures mein acha izafa dekha gaya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ka risk appetite improve hua hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ke qeemat ko chay badi currencies ke muqable mein napta hai, taqreeban 102.80 tak gir gaya.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne achanak apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) kam kar ke 5.25% kar diya, jo ke New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki short-term attractiveness par sawaal uthata hai. Wahi doosri taraf, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke saal bhar ke interest rate cuts ke route ke bare mein market ki conjecture agle move ka ta'ayun karegi US dollar mein. Investors is wajah se Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka address intezar kar rahe hain jo Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein 22-24 August ke darmiyan hoga.

**D1 Chart**

Daily chart par, NZD/USD pair Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai jo ke volatility mein aik aham kami dikhata hai. Kiwi asset ne near-term mein positive trend dikhaya hai, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6000 par break kar ke. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 aur 60.00 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market players mein thoda uncertainty hai.

Agar asset 3 May ke high 0.6046 se upar breach kar leta hai, to aur ziada upside dekhi ja sakti hai. Yeh momentum asset ko 12 July ke high 0.6127 aur 17 July ke high 0.6100 tak le jaayega. Dosri surat mein, agar downward move 19 April ke low, taqreeban 0.5850, se niche ho jata hai, to asset round-level support 0.5800 aur 26 October 2023 ke low 0.5770 tak kheench jayega.

NZD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ke aghaz ke dinon mein aik aham bearish movement dikhai. Price ne downward trend experience kiya aur is haftay ka sabse kam point tak pohanch gaya, jo ke taqreeban 0.58915 tha. Is decline ke baad aik significant bearish pullback hua, jis se price mazeed 150 pips tak neeche gir kar taqreeban 0.58956 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh price action yeh zor se indicate karta hai ke sellers ne aik legitimate bearish trend establish kar liya hai, khaaskar jab unho ne pehle ke support level 0.58798 ko break kiya.
Maujooda market conditions aur haal hi ki price action ko dekhte huye, agle haftay mein selling opportunities par focus karna munasib hoga. Sale ke entry points ko optimize karne ke liye, yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke thodi si corrective movement ka intezar kiya jaye, taake traders mazeed favorable price levels par positions secure kar sakein.

Maine NZD/USD market situation ko MA100 indicator aur resistance trend line ke sath map kiya hai, jo ke dono bearish trend situation ke against defenses hain. Filhal, kuch signs hain ke sellers market mein aa rahe hain aur NZD/USD price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Yeh aik acha sell entry signal hoga agar sellers mazid taqat ke sath aa kar NZD/USD price ko MA100 indicator ke neeche le aayein.

Jab NZD/USD price MA100 indicator ke neeche move karna shuru kare gi, to yeh validation hoga ke NZD/USD market phir se bearish trend situation mein chal rahi hai. Yeh situation sell entry signal ke liye bohat munasib hai, kyunke yeh mazeed consistent seller strength ko trigger karne ka potential rakhti hai, jiska maqsad aik lambay arsay tak bearish trend situation ko qaim rakhna hoga

NZD/USD pair ne Friday ke European session ke dauran 0.6030 ke aas paas spike kiya hai. Riskier assets ki demand badhne se Kiwi asset mazid strong hogaya hai. August 9 ko khatam hone wale haftay ke jobless claims main kami aur July ke positive retail sales ne U.S. mein mandi ke khadshay ko kaafi hadd tak door kiya hai. European trading ke dauran S&P 500 futures ne achi gains show ki, jo investor ke risk appetite main behtri ka ishara dete hain. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ki value ko chhey bari currencies ke against measure karta hai, lagbhag 102.80 tak gir gaya.

Wednesday ko Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) se gira kar 5.25% par kar diya, jisne New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki short-term attractiveness par sawal uthaye hain. Dosri taraf, market mein speculation hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cuts ke raaste par kaunsa agla step hoga, ye US dollar ke next move ka taayun karega. Is wajah se, investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein address ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo August 22–24 ke darmiyan hoga.

D1 Chart Analysis



Daily timeframe main, NZD/USD pair ek Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ke andar trade kar raha hai jo ke volatility mein significant decrease ko show karta hai. Kiwi asset ne near-term trend mein positive signs dikhaye hain, jab ke isne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6000 par breach kar diya. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 aur 60.00 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai, jo market players ke be-yaqeeni ko zahir karta hai.

Agar asset May 3 ka high jo ke 0.6046 ke upar hai, ko breach kar leta hai, to further upside ki umeed hai. Ye momentum asset ko July 12 ke highs 0.6127 aur July 17 ke highs 0.6100 tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri surat mein, agar downward move April 19 ke low, jo ke approximately 0.5850 hai, ke neeche hota hai, to asset ko round-level support 0.5800 aur October 26, 2023 ke low 0.5770 tak drag kar sakta hai.

Pichle Budh ko, RBNZ ne apne interest rates ka elan kiya. Yeh pata chala ke New Zealand ka interest rate kam ho gaya, jis se NZD currency kamzor ho gayi. Is interest rate cut ka asar yeh hua ke nzdusd pair bohot zyada gir gaya kyun ke iski movement lagbhag 80 pips ke qareeb thi. Ab nzdusd ka position 0.5989 ke price par trade ho raha hai. Tumhari upar di gayi analysis ke mutabiq, agar candle MA 200 ko paar kar leti hai, to movement girna jaari rahega, lekin agar yeh nahi hota, to MA 200 ke ird gird rebound ho sakta hai. Agar h1 timeframe se dekha jaye, to candle abhi tak demand area mein 0.5989 ke price par atki hui hai. Jab tak yeh area break nahi hota, nzdusd dobara upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh seedha paar ho jata hai, to nzdusd ka movement girna jaari rahega. Doosri taraf, jo ichimoku indicator main use kar raha hoon, uske mutabiq yeh andaza lagta hai ke nzdusd girta rahega kyun ke candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche move kar chuki hai. Is liye, main suggest karta hoon ke tum sirf sell positions kholne par hi focus karo. Tum apna take profit target qareebi support par 0.5919 ke price par rakh sakte ho aur stop loss qareebi resistance par 0.6036 ke price par rakh sakte ho Daily time window mein Moving Average technique se observe karne par yeh nazar aata hai ke kal ka price sellers ke zariye control kiya gaya jo ke price ko Yellow MA 200 area ke neeche le jaane mein kamiyab hue, aur do MA areas, Red MA 50 aur Blue MA 100 ko bhi paar karte hue ek strong bearish candlestick banayi, jis se sellers superior position mein hain aur aaj NzdUsd pair market trading ko dominate kar rahe hain. Seller ka bearish target agle buyer ke demand support area ko test karne ke liye jaari rahega. Agar yeh area successfully break ho gaya, to NzdUsd pair ka price aur zyada girne ya kamzor hone ka imkaan hai.
NZDUSD pair lagta hai ke apna upward rally rokhna pada ke baad 0.6080 ke high prices ko pohanchne ke baad. Yeh RBNZ ke monetary policy ke wajah se hua, jisme interest rate ko 5.50% se 5.25% tak kam kiya gaya. EMA 50 se bohot impulsive decline jaari raha jab tak ke price SMA 200 par dynamic support tak na pohanch gaya. Haqeeqat mein, trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin price sirf FR 50 - 0.6032 aur FR 61.8 - 0.6021 ke darmiyan niche correct hona chahiye taake retracement complete ho jaye aur phir upward rally jaari rahe. Lekin, jaari girawat FR 78.6 - 0.6005 ko paar karne mein kamiyab rahi, jo ke retracement ka aakhri had hai, jise niche move karne ka potential bana hua hai.
Agar price bullish trend ke darmiyan girna jaari rakhti hai aur SMA 200 ko successfully paar kar leti hai, aur FR 100 - 0.5984 ke neeche close prices hoti hain, to ek break of structure hoga. Is tarah, price pattern structure lower low - lower high mein badal jaye ga aur trend direction ke tabdeel hone ka pehla asar hoga. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko dekhte hue, jo ke downtrend momentum dikhata hai, NZDUSD pair ke price mein girawat ko support karta hai. Sirf Stochastic indicator parameters, jo ke oversold zone ke level 20 - 10 par cross kar gaye hain, price ko upar move karne mein zyada support karte hain

**Mukammal Tahlil**

NZD/USD ka jo pair hai, Friday ke European session ke doran lagbhag 0.6030 tak spike kar gaya. Jaise-jaise riskier assets ki demand barh rahi hai, Kiwi asset bhi mazboot ho gaya hai. 9 August ko khatam hui haftay ke jobless claims ki kami aur July ke positive retail sales ne US ke recession mein jane ke concerns ko kaafi kam kar diya hai. European trading ke doran, S&P 500 futures mein achi growth dekhne ko mili, jo yeh darshata hai ke investors ka risk appetite improve hua hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko chhay major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, lagbhag 102.80 tak gir gaya hai.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne Wednesday ko apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) se kam karke 5.25% kar diya, jisse New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke short-term attractiveness par shak uth gaya hai. Dusri taraf, market ka andaza Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cuts ki raahe ko le kar hoga, jo agle move ko US dollar ke liye tay karega. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein address ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo 22–24 August ko ho raha hai.

**D1 Chart**

Daily chart pe NZD/USD pair aik Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai jo volatility mein significant decrease show karta hai. Kiwi asset ka near-term trend positive hai, aur yeh 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 0.6000 par break kar gaya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 se 60.00 ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market players unsure hain.

Agar asset May 3 ki high ko 0.6046 ke upar break karta hai, to isse aage ka upside dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo asset ko July 12 ki high 0.6127 aur July 17 ki high 0.6100 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar asset downward move karta hai aur April 19 ki low, jo takriban 0.5850 hai, se neeche girta hai, to yeh 0.5800 ke round-level support aur 0.5770 ke low tak ja sakta hai jo October 26, 2023 ko bana tha.

**Market Overview**

NZDUSD pair filhal H4 timeframe par bullish bias dikhata hai. Jabke price ek range mein consolidate ho rahi hai, aise mein upar ki taraf breakout ke imkanat hain.

**Key Levels**

- **Immediate Support:** 0.6046 - Yeh level hal hi mein support ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar is level se neeche break hota hai, toh yeh bearish reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai.
- **Strong Support:** 0.5985 - Yeh level ek gehra support zone hai aur bullish reversals ke liye ek aham level ban sakta hai.
- **Immediate Resistance:** 0.6115 - Yeh level resistance ka kaam kar raha hai aur upar ki movement ko rok raha hai. Agar is level se upar break hota hai, toh yeh bullish breakout ka signal ho sakta hai.
- **Strong Resistance:** 0.6180 - Yeh level ek purana significant high hai aur strong resistance barrier ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai.

**Indicators**

- **RSI (14):** Filhal 62.11 par hai, jo overbought territory mein hai aur upward momentum ke exhaustion ka ishara hai. Lekin, RSI is level ke aas-paas lamba waqt se hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko dikhata hai.
- **MACD (12,26,9):** MACD line signal line ke upar hai, aur histogram positive hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Lekin, histogram narrow ho raha hai, jo momentum ke slowdown ka ishara hai.

**Order Blocks**

- **Potential Order Block:** 0.6046 support level ek potential order block ban sakta hai long positions ke liye agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai aur bullish reversal dikhati hai.
- **Potential Order Block:** 0.6115 resistance level ek potential order block ban sakta hai short positions ke liye agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai aur bearish reversal dikhati hai.

**Best Areas for Buying and Selling**

- **Buy:** Agar price 0.6115 resistance level ko break kar deti hai strong bullish momentum aur follow-through ke sath, toh buy entry ka consider kiya ja sakta hai.
- **Sell:** Agar price 0.6046 support level ko break kar deti hai strong bearish momentum aur follow-through ke sath, toh sell entry ka consider kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, recent price action ko dekhte hue, false breakout bhi ho sakta hai.

**Additional Considerations**

NZDUSD pair filhal consolidation phase mein hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur clear breakout ka intezar karna chahiye resistance ke upar ya support ke neeche entry ke liye. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemal zaroori hai.

Nai Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne guzarne haftay mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek tang range mein trade kiya, 0.6010 par band ho gaya. Ye pair ke liye consolidation ka ek period hai. Technical indicators ek mixed outlook present karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne neutral level 50 ke qareeb settle kar liya hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke beech balance ko darshata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne flatten kar liya hai, jo clear directional momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Lekin MACD par positive histogram aur green bars underlying buying interest ko darshate hain.

NZD/USD pair ke liye immediate resistance 0.6000 level par hai. Agar ye level break ho jaye, to 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 aur potentially 0.6150 tak rally ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin agar pair 20-day SMA 0.5970 se neeche break ho jaye, to downtrend ka resumption signal ho sakta hai, 0.5900 tak potential targets ke saath.

Recent market developments ne NZD mein thoda optimism inject kiya hai. Nai Zealand se strong labor market data aur generally positive market sentiment ne recent nine-month lows se rebound mein madad ki hai. Additionally, momentum indicators improvement ke signs de rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) decline kar raha hai, jo downtrend ki potential weakening ko darshata hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level se upar move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo bulls ke favor mein momentum shift ko darshata hai. Furthermore, Stochastic oscillator higher trend kar raha hai, oversold levels se upar, bullish reversal ki possibility ko support karta hai.



Agar current positive sentiment persist karta hai, to NZD/USD pair 0.6037-0.6092 range ko target kar sakta hai. Ye area 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, July 14, 2022 low, aur several key moving averages se define ki gayi hai. Is range se decisive break above karne se 0.6198 tak significant rally ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin ye important hai ki overall picture abhi uncertain hai, bullish aur bearish forces dono play mein hain. Traders ko price action aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye pair ke next move ke clues ke liye

NZD/USD pair Friday ke European session ke doran lagbhag 0.6030 tak spike hua. Riskier assets ki demand barh gayi hai, is liye Kiwi asset mazboot hui hai. August 9 ko khatam hone wale hafte mein weekly jobless claims mein kami aur July ke liye positive retail sales ne is baat par bohot asar dala ke US recession mein ja sakta hai. European trading ke doran, S&P 500 futures mein achi growth dekhi gayi, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ka risk appetite improve hua hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ki value ko chhe major currencies ke muqablay mein marta hai, woh 102.80 ke aas paas gir gaya.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne unexpectedly apna Official Cash Rate (OCR) 25 basis points (bps) se kam kar ke 5.25% kar diya Wednesday ko, jo ke New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki short-term attractiveness par sawaal uthata hai. Isi doran, market mein yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ka is saal ke liye interest rate cuts ka rasta kya hoga, jo ke agla move dictate karega US dollar mein. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein address ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo 22–24 August tak hoga Agar h1 timeframe se dekha jaye, to candle abhi tak demand area mein 0.5989 ke price par atki hui hai. Jab tak yeh area break nahi hota, nzdusd dobara upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh seedha paar ho jata hai, to nzdusd ka movement girna jaari rahega. Doosri taraf, jo ichimoku indicator main use kar raha hoon, uske mutabiq yeh andaza lagta hai ke nzdusd girta rahega kyun ke candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche move kar chuki hai. Is liye, main suggest karta hoon ke tum sirf sell positions kholne par hi focus karo. Tum apna take profit target qareebi support par 0.5919 ke price par rakh sakte ho aur stop loss qareebi resistance par 0.6036 ke price par rakh sakte ho Daily time window mein Moving Average technique se observe karne par yeh nazar aata hai ke kal ka price sellers ke zariye control kiya gaya jo ke price ko Yellow MA 200 area ke neeche le jaane mein kamiyab hue, aur do MA areas

r tha. InstaForex indicator, jo iss forum par hai, yeh dikhata hai ke pehlay hissa mein buyers ka 61.74% tak izafa hua. Doosray hissa mein, indicator short-term southward trend show karta hai. Agle haftay events kis tarah se develop hongay? New Zealand ki important aur interesting khabron mein, maine highlight kiya: Retail sales through electronic cards aur Reserve Bank ka interest rates par faisla. Aur USA se: producer price index, core consumer price index, consumer price index, crude oil inventories, core retail sales index, building permits, number of initial claims for unemployment benefits, index of manufacturing activity aur retail sales volume. Main expect karta hoon ke yeh pair north ko correct kare ga 0.6090 level tak, aur phir south ko reverse kare ga 0.5860 position tak. Sabko trading mein good luck Teesri wave guzri, jis dauran ek ascending support line ko touch kiya gaya, jo ke purani waves ke bottoms ke sath milayi ja sakti hai. Yeh line break hui, lekin unhone support zone jo ke horizontal level 0.5862 ke qareeb tha, usko break nahi kiya, iske baad positions fix ki gayi sales se, aur naye purchases hue, jo ke growth ka sabab bane. Phir se price ko niche throw kiya gaya, aur phir ek strong growth hui. Aur pehle ke horizontal resistance level 0.6043 ke qareeb pahunch gaya, lekin thoda sa chook gaya, jo ke level error ke sath attributed kiya ja sakta hai. Har surat mein, yahan par ab purchases consider nahi ki ja rahi hain, sirf sales. Waqai, resistance level ke bilkul paas khareedna kaafi bewakoofi hoti hai, aur woh bhi itna powerful resistance level. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein chala gaya hai, jo ke ek additional factor hai decline ke liye. Magar yeh sab kuch nahi hai, yeh CCI indicator kuch aur bhi dikha sakta hai, yani ke, bearish convergence - ek sell signal. Aur level ke basis par, yeh ek excellent signal hai. Ek descent ki umeed hai support level 0.5956 tak, jo ke candles ke closing prices par built hai. NZDUSD pair ne 0.5968 - 0.5976 ke green resistance ko tor kar usay support ya RBS bana diya hai. Breakout process mein ek bari aur mazboot bullish engulfing candle form hui, jis se yeh izafa bari volume ke sath support hota hai. Aakhri kuch ghanton mein, minor resistance 0.6028 ka rejection hua hai, jismein kayi pinbar candles bani hain, jo yeh strong indication deti hain ke price green RBS level ko retest karne ke liye gir sakti hai. Yahan se mein price ka reaction observe karunga, agar strong bullish rejection nazar aaya, toh yeh ek strong buy signal hoga. Iske ilawa, Wednesday ko NZ central bank ki cash rate announcement bhi hai, aur agar price green RBS level ke upar rehti hai toh yeh price ke soar hone ka asar karti hai

NZD/USD ka market filhaal recovery ke signs dikha raha hai, jahan pair 0.6002 zone ke aas-paas close hua hai. Yeh movement yeh darshata hai ke buyers control wapas le rahe hain aur pair ko recent fluctuations ke baad upar ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Recovery ke signals se lagta hai ke NZD/USD ka market aane wale dino mein apni upward movement continue kar sakta hai, jo ke naye buying interest ke zariye ho raha hai. Current momentum se lagta hai ke price jald ya baad mein 0.6045 ke resistance zone ko cross kar sakti hai, jo ek critical level hai.

NZD/USD market par buy order dena ek strategic approach ho sakti hai. 0.6042 ka short target set karna ongoing upward trend ke sath align karta hai aur cautious outlook bhi maintain karta hai. Yeh target resistance level ke qareeb hai, jo profit ki possibility ko allow karta hai, lekin agar resistance hold hoti hai to near-term reversal ka bhi khayal rakhna padega. Is scenario mein success ka key hai ke 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor kiya jaye. Agar price is level ko break kar leti hai, to yeh further gains aur bullish outlook ko signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar resistance bohot strong sabit hoti hai, to temporary pullback ho sakta hai, jisme traders ko apni positions adjust karni pad sakti hain

Aakhri mein, NZD/USD market recovery ke promising signs dikha raha hai, price 0.6002 zone ke aas-paas close hui hai aur further gains ka potential hai. Current market conditions ke madde nazar, 0.6042 ka short target ke sath buy order dena recommended hai. Lekin, zaroori hai ke vigilant rahein aur kisi bhi developments, khaaskar 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas-paas, ke liye respond karein taake trading strategies evolving market sentiment ke sath aligned rahein

mojooda bearish trend ke bawajood, aap samajhte hain ke NZD/USD currency pair mein aanay walay dino mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Yeh perspective kai potential developments par mabni ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, aanay walay economic data releases jo ke New Zealand ya US se aayenge, market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. New Zealand se positive economic data, jaise ke GDP ya employment figures mein izafa, NZD ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis se bearish trend ya to reverse ho sakta hai ya phir stabilize.
Iske ilawa, geopolitical events aur global market sentiment bhi NZD/USD pair ko asar kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, US-China trade relations mein koi bara development, commodity prices ko asar kar sakta hai, jo ke New Zealand ki economy ke liye bohot aham hain. Global risk sentiment mein koi positive shift NZD ki demand mein izafa kar sakta hai, jo ke currency pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi kisi bari movement ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar NZD/USD kisi key support level ke qareeb hai, toh yeh bounce back kar sakta hai, jis se ek bullish correction ho sakti hai. Ulta agar yeh kisi significant support level ko break kar jata hai, toh yeh accelerated bearish trend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Traders aksar moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels jaise indicators ko dekhtay hain taake possible price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Market sentiment aur positioning bhi aham factors hain jo consider kiye jaane chahiye. Agar bohot sare traders NZD/USD par short positions le rahe hain, aur koi unexpected positive news aajati hai, toh yeh short squeeze trigger kar sakti hai, jo ke sharp upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Wohi agar market participants ziada optimistic hain aur koi negative surprise hota hai, toh is se swift decline ho sakta hai