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New Zealand Dollar apni udaan ko Wednesday ke subha Asian session mein barhata hai. Narm US Dollar aur positive risk sentiment NZD/USD ko support kar rahe hain.

Investors Wednesday ko US August S&P Global PMI ke pehle padhai par dhyan denge.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Wednesday ko thoda upar chadh raha hai, kyunki USD Index (DXY) apni decline ko saal ke kamzor level ke paas le gaya hai. China ke real estate sector ko support dene ke liye naye measures ka announcement Kiwi ko boost kar raha hai, kyunki China New Zealand ka sabse bara trading partner hai.

Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke dovish remarks, jo ke last week ki surprising rate cut ke baad aaye, shayad pair ki upside ko limit kar dein. Investors preliminary US S&P Global PMI for August par nazar rakhengi, jo Wednesday ko release hoga. Sabki nazar Fed Chair Powell ke Jackson Hole symposium mein Friday ko hone wale speech par hogi. Agar Powell se dovish comments aaye, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD ko tailwind mil sakta hai. People's Bank of China (PBOC) ne Tuesday ko one-year aur five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par steady rakha.

China ne real estate sector ko boost karne ke liye mazeed measures implement kiye. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, kam se kam 10 city governments ne naye gharon ke price guidelines ko relax ya scrap kar diya hai, taake market demand ka zyada role ho sake.

New Zealand ke Trade Balance ne July mein NZD -$9.29B YoY dikhaya, jab ke pehle $-9.5B tha. Exports July mein $6.15B tak gir gaye, jab ke June mein $6.17B tha, jab ke Imports $7.11B tak barh gaye, jab ke pehle $5.45B tha.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke woh policy mein kisi bhi shift ko le kar cautious hain, kyunki unke hisab se inflation ke liye ab bhi upside risks hain. Unhone warn kiya ke kisi bhi single data point par overreact karna already kiye gaye progress ko khatar mein daal sakta hai, per Reuters.

Markets ab September meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut ki lagbhag 67.5% odds price kar rahi hain, jo Tuesday ko 77% thi, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

**Technical Analysis: New Zealand Dollar ka constructive outlook dobara shuru**

New Zealand Dollar is din strong note par trade kar raha hai. NZD/USD pair daily chart par bullish trend ko continue kar raha hai, kyunki pair descending trendline aur key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai. Upar ki taraf momentum ko 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) boost kar raha hai, jo midline ke upar 65.60 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke further upside ke liye favorable dikhata hai.

Immediate resistance level 0.6222 hai, jo June 12 ka high hai. Aage, next hurdle 0.6279 par hai, jo January 12 ka high hai. Additional upside filter ko 0.6360 par dekha ja sakta hai, jo December 29, 2023 ka high hai.

Niche ki taraf, 0.6130 psychological mark pair ke liye initial support level hai. Agla contention level 0.6070 ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle resistance ban chuka hai aur ab support ban gaya hai. Agar pair is level ke niche trade karta hai, to 0.5974 tak girne ki sambhavana hai, jo August 15 ka low hai.

NZD/USD pair ka daily timeframe mein jaiza lene par yeh wazeh hota hai ke current price aik ahem resistance level ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai jo ke 0.61547 se 0.62180 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh area ek mazboot resistance zone hai, kyun ke tareekhi data yeh dikhaata hai ke jab bhi price is level ke qareeb ya isey touch karti hai, toh market ka rukh aksar ulat jata hai. Dosri taraf, ek ahem support level 0.58725 ke aas paas mojood hai, jo ke price movements ke liye nichey ki hadd hai. Yeh level pehle bhi price ki girawat ko rokta raha hai, jahan buying pressure ubhar kar price rebound ka sabab bana hai.
Filhaal, price aik uptrend mein hai, nichey level se rebound kartay huay ab resistance zone ki taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh movement pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke market resistance ki taqat ko test kar raha hai. Agar price 0.62180 level se upar break kar ke close hoti hai, toh yeh strong imkaan hai ke bullish trend jari rahegi, aur price ko upar le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price is resistance ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai, toh selling pressure dobara ubhar sakta hai, jis se price wapas support level ki taraf aasakti hai

Meri trading strategy yeh hai ke main correction ka intezaar karoon taake behtareen momentum hasil ho sake buy karne ke liye. Pehli buy area jo maine identify ki hai, woh 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh area aik demand zone ban sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aasakte hain, aur correction ke baad price ko upar push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area ke qareeb aati hai aur reversal ke signs dikhaati hai — jese bullish candlestick patterns ya doosray technical indicators se confirmation — toh yeh ek achi moka ho sakti hai buy position open karne ke liye.

Iske ilawa, doosri buy area jo main dekh raha hoon, woh 0.60817 ke qareeb hai. Yeh level pehle aik swing high tha jo break hua tha aur ab aik naya support level ban sakta hai. Agar price zyada deeply is level tak correct karti hai, toh buyers isay defend kar sakte hain, jo ke price mein aglay push ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is liye, yeh area bhi retracement ke dauran potential buy positions ke liye promising moka ho sakta hai.

Khulasah yeh hai ke in identified zones aur confirmation signals ko closely monitor karna meri trading decisions ke liye raasta dikhaye ga NZD/USD pair mein qareebi future mein

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Wednesday ke early Asian session mein apna upside continue kar raha hai. Yeh movement softer US Dollar aur positive risk sentiment se support ho rahi hai, jo NZD/USD ko mazid upar le ja rahi hai. Investors ka focus ab US August S&P Global PMI ki pehli reading par hai, jo Wednesday ko release hogi.
NZD is waqt higher edge par hai, kyunke USD Index (DXY) apni girawat ko barqarar rakhta hua yearly lows ke kareeb aa gaya hai. Risk sentiment mein behtari, China ke real estate sector ke liye mazeed support measures ke bawajood, Kiwi Dollar ko barhawa mil raha hai. Yeh isliye kyunke China, New Zealand ka sabse bara trading partner hai.Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke dovish remarks, jo ke pichlay haftay ki surprise rate cut ke baad aaye hain, pair ke upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Investors ab US S&P Global PMI ki preliminary reading par nazar rakhenge jo Wednesday ko release hogi. Sab ki nazar Friday ko hone wale Jackson Hole symposium mein Fed Chair Powell ke speech par hogi. Agar Powell ke remarks dovish hote hain, to yeh USD ko undermine kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD ke liye tailwind create karenge.People's Bank of China (PBOC) ne Tuesday ko apni one-year aur five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par steady rakhne ka faisla kiya. China ne mazeed measures implement kiye hain taake real estate sector ko boost mil sake. Kam az kam 10 city governments ne China mein naye gharon ki price guidelines ko relax ya scrap kar diya hai taake market demand ka zyada asar ho sake, Bloomberg ke mutabiq.New Zealand ka Trade Balance July mein NZD -$9.29B YoY par aya hai jo ke pehle ke $-9.5B se behtar hai. Exports July mein decrease hoke $6.15B ho gaye hain, jo June mein $6.17B the, jab ke Imports increase hoke $7.11B ho gaye hain, jo pehle $5.45B the.Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Governor Michelle Bowman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke wo policy mein kisi bhi shift ke liye abhi bhi cautious hain kyunke unke nazar mein inflation ke liye upside risks barqarar hain. Unhone yeh bhi warn kiya ke kisi bhi single data point par overreact karna, jo progress ab tak hui hai, usse nuqsan pohoncha sakta hai, Reuters ke mutabiq.

Markets ab takreeban 67.5% odds price kar rahe hain ke September meeting mein Fed 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut karega, jo Tuesday ko 77% tha, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.
Technical Analysis:
New Zealand Dollar apni stronger note par trade kar raha hai aur NZD/USD pair daily chart par bullish vibe ko maintain kar raha hai, jahan pair descending trendline aur key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke ooper trade kar raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke midline ke ooper 65.60 par hai, upward momentum ko bolster kar raha hai, jo further upside ko favorable banata hai.Immediate resistance level 0.6222 emerge kar raha hai, jo ke June 12 ka high hai. Further north, agla hurdle 0.6279 par dekha ja sakta hai, jo January 12 ka high hai. Additional upside filter 0.6360 par watch kiya jayega, jo December 29, 2023 ka high hai.On the downside, 0.6130 psychological mark initial support level ka kaam karega. Agla contention level resistance-turned-support level 0.6070 ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh level sustain na ho saka to pair 0.5974 par gir sakta hai, jo ke August 15 ka low hai.

NZD/USD D1 chart

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne pichle hafte ke doran US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aik tang range mein trade kiya, aur 0.6010 par band hua. Yeh sathwa din hai jab price mein bohot zyada movement nahi hui, jo ke consolidation ke doran ki nishani hai. Technical indicators mixed nazar aa rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral level 50 ke qareeb hai, jo ke buying aur selling pressure ke darmiyan balance ko darshata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat ho gaya hai, jo ke clear directional momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Magar, MACD ka positive histogram aur green bars underlying buying interest ki taraf ishara karti hain. NZD/USD pair ko foran resistance 0.6000 ke psychological level par face karna par raha hai. Agar yeh level todta hai, to 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 ki taraf rally ho sakti hai aur shayad 0.6150 tak bhi jaa sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair 20-day SMA 0.5970 se neeche girta hai, to yeh downtrend ka signal ho sakta hai, jiska potential target 0.5900 ho sakta hai.

Pair ne daily time frame par lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. Kal, market 0.6004 par open hua. Kal ke trading session ke doran, isne 0.6031 ka high aur 0.5988 ka low banaya. Toh kal ka trading range takreeban 43 pips tha. Market ka sentiment bearish hai. Yeh daily pivot level se neeche trade kar raha hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily support levels S1 aur S2 tak pahunch sakta hai. Ye indicators market ke bearish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko hit kiya. RSI 14 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai jo ke overbought condition ke baad hai. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern nazar aaya, jo ke ek aur bearish candlestick ke saath bearish strength ko confirm karta hai. Market MA 200 ke neeche move kar raha hai, jo ke market ke bearish strength ko darshata hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke down movement ko favor karta hai.

NZD/USD pair ko daily timeframe par dekhne se yeh saaf hai ke abhi ka price ek ahem resistance zone 0.61547 se 0.62180 ke darmiyan pahunch raha hai. Yeh area history main mazboot resistance raha hai, jahan aksar price ke paas ya touch karne par market direction reverse ho jata hai. Dusri taraf, ek bada support level 0.58725 ke qareeb hai jo significant price movements ke liye niche ka limit hai. Pehle bhi yeh level price decline ko rokne mein kaamyaab raha hai, jahan se buying pressure ubhar kar price rebounds ka sabab bana hai.
Abhi ke liye, price ek uptrend mein hai, niche ke levels se rebound kar ke resistance zone ki taraf badh raha hai. Yeh movement pattern yeh darsha raha hai ke market resistance ki taqat ko test kar raha hai. Agar price 0.62180 ke level ke upar break kar ke close kar jaye, to bullish trend ke continue hone ke mazid chances hain, jo price ko aur upar le ja sakta hai. Magar agar price yeh resistance break karne mein nakam hota hai, to selling pressure dobara ubhar sakta hai, jo price ko wapas support level ki taraf le jayega.

Aapka trading plan, jo ke correction ka intezar kar ke buy position enter karne ka hai, woh samajhdari par mabni hai. Pehla buy area jo aapne identify kiya hai 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke darmiyan, yeh waqai ek demand zone ban sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aakar correction ke baad price ko upar push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area tak aaye aur reversal ke asaar dikhaye, jaise ke bullish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators se confirmations, to yeh ek strong opportunity ban sakti hai buy position open karne ke liye.

Dusra buy area jo aap dekh rahe hain 0.60817 ke qareeb hai, jo pehle swing high tha aur ab new support level ban sakta hai. Agar price is level tak deeply correct kare, to buyers isay defend kar sakte hain, jo ke price mein mazid upar ki taraf push ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh level bhi retracement ke doran potential buy positions ke liye promising opportunity hai.

In zones ko closely monitor karna aur confirmation signals ka intezar karna aapke trading decisions ko effectively guide karega.Pair ne daily timeframe par lower highs aur lower lows ka silsila banaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ka indication hai. Kal market 0.6004 par open hui, 0.6031 ka high aur 0.5988 ka low dekha, jismein trading range taqreeban 43 pips thi. Abhi price daily pivot level ke niche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke market sentiment ko bearish darsha raha hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein, price daily support levels S1 aur S2 ko hit kar sakti hai.

Yeh analysis aapko NZD/USD pair ko navigate karne ka comprehensive approach provide karta hai, jo aapke trading plan ko current market conditions ke sath align karta hai.

NZD/USD ka Bunyadi Tajziya

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Wednesday ko Asian session mein trading ke doran uttar diya. Ye izafa zyada tar US Dollar ki kamzori aur global market sentiment ke behtar hone ki wajah se hai. Traders ab US August S&P Global PMI ke pehle report ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko aayegi aur ye NZD/USD pair ke direction ko impact kar sakti hai.

NZD ko Barhawa Dene Wale Key Factors:
**Kamzor US Dollar**: US Dollar ne haal hi mein apni taqat kuch had tak khodi hai, jo ke is ummeed ki wajah se hai ke Federal Reserve shayad apni interest rate hikes ki raftaar ko dheema kar de. Fed ke officials ke recent bayanat ye darshate hain ke tezi se rate barhane ka dor khatam ho sakta hai. Isne US Dollar par pressure dala hai aur New Zealand Dollar ko izafa karne ka mauqa diya hai.

**Behtar Market Sentiment**: Global markets mein zyada positive outlook dekha ja raha hai, jo ke is baat ke bharose se hai ke Fed shayad kam aggressive approach apnaaye. Iske ilawa, key economies se achi economic data ne mood ko behtar banaya hai, jo risk-taking ko barhawa de raha hai. New Zealand Dollar, jo ke global trade par inhesar karta hai, is wajah se faida utha raha hai.

**Mazboot New Zealand Economy**: New Zealand ki economy ne global challenges ke bawajood bhi resilience dikhayi hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne inflation ko manage karte hue economic growth ko support karne ka balanced stance apnaya hai. Employment aur inflation par recent reports positive rahi hain, jo NZD ke positive sentiment ko barhawa de rahi hain.

**Aane Wale US Data Par Nazar – S&P Global PMI**:
Traders ab US August S&P Global PMI report ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko aayegi. Ye report US manufacturing aur services sectors ke performance ka pehla indication degi. Agar data achi growth dikhata hai, to US Dollar ko majbooti mil sakti hai aur US economy par confidence barh sakta hai. Lekin agar data kamzor hota hai, to Dollar aur kamzor ho sakta hai, aur NZD apni utran ko jari rakh sakta hai.

**Market Sentiment**:
Filhaal, traders NZD/USD pair mein bade moves karne se gurez kar rahe hain jab tak zyada economic data nahi mil jata. NZD ki recent utran market trends aur strong fundamentals ke madad se hui hai. Lekin, ye trend continue karega ya nahi, ye aane wale US data aur overall market conditions par depend karega.

**Technical Outlook**:
Technical charts ko dekhte hue, NZD/USD ek key resistance level ke qareeb hai jo ke agle direction ka faisla kar sakta hai. Agar pair is level ko break kar deta hai, to shayad ye aage barh jaye. Agar ye level break nahi hota, to pair niche support levels tak bhi ja sakta hai. Traders in levels ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain apne agle moves plan karne ke liye.

NZD/USD pair ko daily timeframe par dekhte huay, yeh wazeh hai ke current price aik ahem resistance level ke qareeb hai, jo ke 0.61547 se 0.62180 tak hai. Yeh area aik strong resistance zone hai, kyun ke tareekhi tor par jab bhi price is level ke qareeb pohanchi hai ya isay touch kiya hai, market ka rukh ulat gaya hai. Dosri taraf, 0.58725 ke qareeb aik bara support level hai, jo ke aham price movements ke liye niche ki had banata hai. Is level ne pehle bhi price girawat ko roknay mein madad ki hai, jahan buying pressure ne ubhar kar price ko rebound karwaya hai aur price wapas ooper chalne lagi hai.
Filhal, price ek uptrend mein hai, kyun ke lower levels se rebound kar chuki hai aur ab resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Is movement pattern se yeh andaza hota hai ke market resistance ki taqat ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price 0.62180 ke upar break karke close karti hai, to mazid ooper jane ke chances mazid barh jate hain aur bullish trend barqarar reh sakta hai. Magar agar price is resistance ko break nahi kar pati, to selling pressure wapas aane ka imkan hai, jisse price wapas support level ki taraf aa sakti hai

Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main correction ka intezar karoon taake behtareen momentum hasil ho sake. Jo pehla buy area maine identify kiya hai, woh 0.61115 se 0.61246 tak hai. Yeh area demand zone bana sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aake price ko correction ke baad ooper push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area ke qareeb aati hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai, jaise ke bullish candlestick patterns ya doosri technical indicators ki confirmation, to yeh buy position open karne ka acha moqa ho sakta hai.

NZD/USD currency pair, jo ki 0.5894 par hai, bearish trend ko exhibit kar raha hai. Market slow move kar raha hai, lekin kuch factors aur indicators hain jo suggest karte hain ki significant movement aa sakte hain coming days mein. Is potential shift ke underlying reasons ko samajhne ke liye fundamental aur technical aspects ko examine karna zaroori hai.

*Fundamental Analysis*

*Economic Indicators*

New Zealand aur United States se kuch economic indicators NZD/USD exchange rate ko influence karte hain. Inme shamil hain:

1. *Interest Rates*: RBNZ aur Fed ke interest rate differential NZD/USD pair ko significantly impact karta hai. Interest rates mein potential change ya signals se volatility aa sakti hai. Currently, Fed ki hawkish stance interest rates ko curb inflation ke liye RBNZ ki dovish approach se contrast kar rahi hai, bearish trend ko contribute kar rahi hai.
2. *GDP Growth*: Economic performance indicators, jaise ki GDP growth rates, bhi currency pair ko affect karte hain. US mein stronger-than-expected GDP growth New Zealand ke muqable mein NZD/USD ko lower drive kar sakti hai. Conversely, New Zealand se surprising data robust economic growth ko show kar sakti hai NZD ke liye support provide kar sakti hai.
3. *Employment Data*: Employment figures, jaise ki non-farm payrolls US mein aur employment change New Zealand mein, critical hain. US mein strong job growth ya New Zealand se weak employment data NZD/USD rate ko further depress kar sakti hai.

*Geopolitical Factors*

Geopolitical events, jaise ki trade tensions, political instability, ya natural disasters, bhi NZD/USD pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Investor confidence aur risk appetite ko affect karne wale developments sharp movements ko lead kar sakte hain. Jaise ki, US aur China ke beech trade tensions New Zealand ki economy ko impact kar sakti hai, given its significant trade relationship China ke saath, NZD ko affect kar sakti hai.

*Technical Analysis*

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Technical analysis key support aur resistance levels ko identify karne mein madad karta hai jo potential market reversals ya continuations ko signal kar sakte hain:

1. *Support Levels*: Current support level NZD/USD ke liye 0.5880 hai. Is level ke neeche break NZD/USD ko further declines ko lead kar sakti hai, possibly significant bearish movement ko trigger kar sakti hai.
2. *Resistance Levels*: Immediate resistance level 0.5950 hai. Agar pair is level ke above break kar sakti hai, to yeh bullish reversal aur potential big upward movement ko indicate kar sakti hai.

*Moving Averages*

Moving averages technical analysis mein widely use ki jati hain price data ko smooth karne aur trends ko identify karne ke liye:

1. *50-Day Moving Average*: NZD/USD currently apne 50-day moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha hai. Is moving average ke above crossover potential shift ko bullish trend mein signal kar sakti hai

NZD/USD Analysis Forecast

M15 Minutes

Sabko achi mood ki dua! Indicator readings aur linear regression channel seller ke haq mein hain, jo ke apni strength aur activity dikhata hai, kyunki slope south ki taraf hai. Main upper edge of the channel par 0.61528 se sales consider karta hoon, jahan ek conditional accumulation of sellers' positions hai. Movement channel ke lower edge 0.61281 ki taraf hoga. Iske develop hone par, buyers apni presence dikhla sakte hain jo sales zone mein wapas aana chahenge. Upar ki taraf pass karne ke liye, intention hoga ke H1 trend mein recovery ka chance mile. Agar price 0.61528 ke level se upar consolidate karti hai, to sales dekhne ki opportunity cancel ho jayegi, aur M15 pe situation ko dobara evaluate karna hoga. Sales ki resume, 0.61528 ke level ke neeche wapas aane par. Agar channel neeche ki taraf dekh raha hai.

NZD/USD Analysis Forecast

H1 Hour

M15 chart ke mukable, hourly period ka linear regression channel upward movement ko dikhata hai, jo ke buyer ki activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin, buyer seller ko challenge nahi kar pa raha, jo ke 0.61440 ke level ko break karke neeche gaya hai. Yeh market mein strong bearish interest ko indicate karta hai. Seller ka specific goal yeh ho sakta hai ke H1 channel ko neeche ki taraf turn kiya jaye, jo bullish trend ko khatam kar dega.

Agar seller ki superiority establish ho jati hai aur channel downward direction mein hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ko indicate karega. Strong bearish move 0.59520 ke level tak pohochne ki koshish karega, jo seller ke goal ko achieve karne mein madad karega. Jab M15 ke conditions poori hoti hain, aur market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 ke levels ke upar hoti hai, to bulls apne trend movement ko restore kar sakte hain.

NZD/USD Daily Chart Overview Pichlay Haftay Ka Trading Activity
Pichlay haftay, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek chhoti si range mein trade kiya, aur yeh 0.6010 par close hua. Yeh satwan din hai jab is currency pair mein price movement mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi, jo ke yeh batata hai ke yeh pair consolidation period mein hai
Technical Indicators Ka Milay Julay Signal
Maujooda Indicators
Technical indicators abhi ke liye NZD/USD pair ke liye milay julay signal de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab neutral level 50 ke aas paas hai, jo ke buying aur selling pressure ke darmiyan balance ka ishara hai. Iske baraks, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne bhi koi khaas directional momentum nahi dikhaya, lekin MACD positive histogram values aur green bars dikhata hai, jo ke market mein buying interest ka ishara hai.
Nazar Rakhne Wale Ahm Levels
Immediate Resistance aur Possible Targets
NZD/USD pair abhi 0.6000 ke psychological level par immediate resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Agar yeh price is level se upar chali jati hai, to yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ki taraf rally kar sakti hai, jo abhi 0.6040 par hai, aur shayad yeh 0.6150 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh pair 20-day SMA ke neeche 0.5970 par chala jata hai, to yeh downtrend ka dobara se shuru hone ka signal ho sakta hai, jahan possible targets 0.5900 tak ho sakte hain
Haal Hi Ki Price Action
Market Ki Harqat
Daily timeframe mein, yeh pair neeche ki taraf lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai. Kal, market 0.6004 par khuli, trading session ke dauran 0.6031 ka high aur 0.5988 ka low touch kiya, aur yeh lagbhag 43 pips ka trading range tha. Abhi, market sentiment bearish lag raha hai kyun ke price daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein, yeh daily support levels S1 aur S2 ko hit kar sakti hai
Bearish Sentiment Ko Support Karne Wale Indicators
Market Sentiment Analysis
Neeche diye gaye indicators market ke bearish sentiment ko mazid support karte hain. Market ne kal 0.6020 ke weekly resistance level ko touch kiya. 14-period RSI ne 50 level se neeche drop kiya hai jab ke yeh pehle overbought territory mein tha, jo momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, bearish pin bar candlestick pattern ke baad ek aur bearish candlestick market ke bearish strength ko confirm kar raha hai. Yeh bhi dekhne mein aya hai ke market 200-period moving average (MA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko mazid emphasize karta hai. Aakhri baat, bearish divergence bhi market mein downward movement ke possibility ko support karta hai
Istemaal Kiye Gaye Terms Ki Tafseel
- **NZD/USD**: Currency pair jo ke yeh batata hai ke ek New Zealand dollar se kitne US dollars kharide ja sakte hain.
- **Consolidation Period**: Aik aisa phase jahan price ek range mein move karti hai, jo ke significant directional movement ki kami ko zahir karta hai.
- **Technical Indicators**: Tools jo ke price movements ko analyze karte hain aur future behavior ko predict karne mein madad karte hain.
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**: Ek momentum oscillator jo ke price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai. Values 70 se upar overbought aur 30 se neeche oversold samjhi jati hain.
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: Ek trend-following momentum indicator jo ke do moving averages ke darmiyan taluq ko dikhata hai.
- **Psychological Level**: Ek aisa price point jo ke traders ke nazdeek significant hota hai, aksar round numbers jese ke 0.6000, jo trading behavior ko influence kar sakta hai.
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average)**: Aik specific period ke prices ka average jo ke price ke fluctuations ko smooth karta hai.
- **Daily Timeframe**: Daily basis par price action ka zikar, jo traders ko trends aur movements ko observe karne mein madad deta hai.
- **Candlestick Pattern**: Technical analysis ka aik tareeqa jo ke candlestick charts ka istimaal karta hai taake price action ko assess kiya ja sake aur future movements ko patterns ke zariye predict kiya ja sake.
- **Bearish Divergence**: Aik aisi surat haal jahan asset ki price nayi high banati hai lekin ek technical indicator (jese ke RSI) lower high banata hai, jo upward movement ki kamzori ka ishara hota hai

New Zealand Dollar ka Upside

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Wednesday ke early Asian session mein apni upward movement ko continue kar raha hai. Softer US Dollar aur positive risk sentiment NZD/USD ko support kar rahe hain. Investors Wednesday ko US August S&P Global PMI ke pehle reading par dhyan denge.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Wednesday ko thoda upar gaya hai jab USD Index (DXY) apni decline ko saal ke low ke nazdeek le aaya hai. China ne real estate sector ko support karne ke liye mazeed measures announce kiye hain, jo Kiwi ko boost kar rahe hain kyunki China New Zealand ka sab se bara trading partner hai.

Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke dovish remarks, jo pichle hafte ke surprise rate cut ke baad aaye, pair ke upside ko limit kar sakte hain. Investors preliminary US S&P Global PMI for August par nazar rakhenge jo Wednesday ko release hoga. Fed Chair Powell ki Friday ko Jackson Hole symposium mein hone wali speech par bhi sab ki nazar hogi. Agar Powell ke comments dovish hue, to USD ko nuksan hoga aur NZD/USD ko madad milegi. People’s Bank of China (PBOC) ne Tuesday ko one-year aur five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) ko 3.35% aur 3.85% par steady rakha.

China ke Real Estate Sector ko Boost Karne ke Liye Mazeed Measures

China ne real estate sector ko boost karne ke liye mazeed measures implement kiye hain. Kam se kam 10 shehron ki government ne naye gharon ki price guidelines ko relax ya scrap kar diya hai taake market demand ka zyada role ho, jaisa ke Bloomberg ne report kiya.

New Zealand ka Trade Balance July mein NZD -$9.29B YoY tha, jo ke pichle $-9.5B se behtar hai. July mein exports $6.15B tak kam ho gaye, jo ke June mein $6.17B the, jabke imports $7.11B tak badh gaye jo ke pichle readings mein $5.45B the.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke wo policy mein kisi bhi shift ko lekar cautious hain, kyunki unke nazar mein inflation ke liye continued upside risks hain. Unhone warn kiya ke kisi bhi single data point par overreact karna already hui progress ko khatar mein daal sakta hai, jaise ke Reuters ne report kiya.

Markets ab September meeting mein 25 basis points (bps) ke Fed rate cut ka lagbhag 67.5% chance price kar rahe hain, jo ke Tuesday ke 77% se kam hai, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

Technical Analysis: New Zealand Dollar ka Constructive Outlook

New Zealand Dollar aaj strong note par trade kar raha hai. NZD/USD pair daily chart par bullish vibe ko maintain kar raha hai kyunki pair descending trendline aur key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hold kar raha hai. Upward momentum 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) se support mil raha hai, jo ke midline ke upar 65.60 ke aas paas hai, aur further upside favorable lagti hai.

Immediate resistance level 0.6222 hai, jo ke June 12 ka high hai. Iske agle north par, next hurdle 0.6279 hai, jo ke January 12 ka high hai. Additional upside filter 0.6360 par dekha jata hai, jo ke December 29, 2023 ka high hai.

Downside par, 0.6130 psychological mark initial support level ke taur par kaam karta hai. Next contention level resistance-turned-support level 0.6070 ke nazdeek hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche sustained trading karta hai to 0.5974 tak girne ki sambhavnayein hain, jo ke August 15 ka low hai.

Sab ko achi mood mein rahna chahiye! Indicator readings aur linear regression channel bechne wale ke haq mein hain, jo apni taqat aur activity dikha raha hai kyunke slope neiche ki taraf hai. Main upper edge of the channel 0.61528 se sales consider kar raha hoon, jahan sellers ke positions ka ek conditional accumulation hai. Movement channel ke lower edge 0.61281 tak hogi. Iske baad buyers apni presence dikhane ki koshish kar sakte hain jo sales zone mein wapas aane ki koshish karenge. Agar channel ke upper level 0.61528 ko pass karna hai, to higher movement ke liye chance banega aur H1 trend ko recover karne ka mauka milega. Agar 0.61528 level ke upar consolidation hoti hai, to sales ki opportunity cancel ho jayegi aur M15 par situation ko dobara evaluate karna padega. Agar sales resume hoti hai to 0.61528 level ke neeche wapas aana hoga. Agar channel downward dikhe.
H1 Hour:
M15 chart ke mukable, hourly period ka linear regression channel upward movement dikha raha hai, jo buyer ki activity ko emphasize karta hai. Lekin buyer, seller ko break karne ke baad 0.61440 ke neeche hone ki wajah se, strong bearish interest market mein hai. Ye seller ke specific goal ko develop kar sakta hai, jo H1 channel ko downward turn karna hai. Ye bullish trend ko khatam kar dega. Uske baad seller ki superiority downward channel se nazar aayegi, jo bearish trend ko indicate karega. Ek strong bear apne goal ko achieve karne ke liye 0.59520 level par hone ki koshish karega. Jab M15 conditions meet ho jayein, aur market 0.61528 aur 0.61440 ke levels ke upar ho, to bulls apne trend movement ko restore kar sakte hain

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne Friday ko early Asian trading mein US Dollar (USD) ke against thodi si uptick experience ki. Lekin cautious investor sentiment ne US inflation data release se pehle 0.5900 level ko surpass karne mein mushkil kar di. Market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki potential interest rate cut ki expectations par betting kar rahe hain, jo September mein ho sakti hai, US economy ki slowing expectations se fuelled hai. Yeh US Dollar ki recent rally ko dampen kar raha hai, jo Wednesday ko two-week high par pahunchi thi. US ne stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP growth report kiya, lekin yeh greenback ko significantly bolster nahi kar saka. Conversely, NZD ko multiple fronts se headwinds mil rahe hain. China ki economic slowdown ki growing concerns risk-sensitive currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ko impact kar rahe hain. Additionally, market expectations Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ki interest rate cuts ki expectations NZD ko weighing kar rahe hain.

Is buying strategy ke liye target level 0.5942 par set kiya gaya hai. Is target ko achieve karne se yeh indicate hoga ki upward momentum sustain hua hai, traders ko price increase par capitalize karne ki ijazat dega. Agar price fixation 0.5883 level ke beyond hoti hai, to yeh additional purchase position open karne ki condition create karti hai. Yeh price fixation suggest karti hai ki market ne solid support base form kiya hai, existing positions ko add karne ya new ones ko initiate karne ka opportune moment hai.

In conditions ko follow karke aur key levels ke around price movements ko closely monitor karke, traders apne positions ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD currency pair ke liye optimize kar sakte hain. Nearest resistance range 0.5930 profit-taking ke liye critical hai, while pair ko purchase karne ke signals 0.5850 ke below declines aur price fixations 0.5893 aur 0.5883 ke beyond hain. Target level 0.5942 traders ko upward movements se benefit karne ke liye clear objective deta hai. In guidelines ko follow karke, traders market mein confidently navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain

Is haftay, New Zealand ki currency ne US dollar ke muqable mein lagataar mazbooti haasil ki hai, November 2023 ke lows se apni recovery ko mazid barhawa diya hai. NZD/USD pair abhi ke liye apne three-week highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke New Zealand ke positive economic data aur US dollar ki kamzori ka nateeja hai. Ek aham factor jo NZD ko support kar raha hai, wo hai Wednesday ko release hone wala better-than-expected employment data. Isne Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai aur New Zealand ki economy mein investor confidence ko mazid mazboot kiya hai. Iske ilawa, China ke stronger-than-anticipated inflation figures ne bhi NZD ko faida diya hai, kyun ke China New Zealand ka ek bara trading partner hai. US dollar par pressure aaya hai kai factors ki wajah se. Thursday ko aane wale strong US labor market report ke bawajood, investors abhi bhi anticipate kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein potential 50 basis point interest rate cut karega. Is expectation ne US Treasury yields ko decline kar diya hai, jis se dollar investors ke liye kam attractive ban gaya hai. Mazeed, overall positive market sentiment ne risk-on assets, jese ke New Zealand dollar, ko favor kiya hai, jab ke safe-haven currencies, jese ke USD, kamzor par gaye hain.

NZD/USD pair apne pehle ke downward trend se turnaround ke signs dikha raha hai. Average Directional Movement Index kam ho raha hai, jo ke ek weakening downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Relative Strength Index bhi 50 level ke upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke momentum mein shift ka ishara ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upward trend kar raha hai, jo ke mazeed upward movement ki possibility ko support karta hai. Aane wale hafton mein, pair ke volatile rehne ki umeed hai, jahan significant price movements key events, jese ke RBNZ interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data, ke zariye driven ho sakti hain.

Agar positive momentum jari rehti hai, toh pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, previous support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Agar is resistance ke upar successfully break hoti hai, toh ye October 2019 ke low of 0.6198 ki taraf move ka rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat zaroori hai, kyun ke market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments par ghor se nazar rakhni chahiye taake NZD/USD exchange rate par potential impacts ko samajh sakein.
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Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan pichle haftay trading narrow range mein hui, jahan NZD/USD pair ne 0.6010 par close kiya. Yeh lagatar saatwain din hai jab price movement limited rahi, jo ke consolidation period ka izhar karti hai. Technical indicators ka mix outlook hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral level 50 ke qareeb hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke darmiyan balance ko dikhata hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat hai, jo ke clear directional momentum ki kami ko dikhata hai. Magar, positive histogram aur MACD par green bars se underlying buying interest ka pata chalta hai.

NZD/USD pair ko foran resistance 0.6000 level par darpesh hai, jo ke ek psychologically important level hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, toh rally 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak ja sakti hai, jo 0.6040 par hai, aur ho sakta hai yeh 0.6150 tak bhi pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar pair 20-day SMA ko 0.5970 par break karta hai, toh yeh downtrend ke resumption ka signal ho sakta hai, jisme possible targets 0.5900 tak ja sakte hain.

Daily time frame par pair ne lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. Kal market 0.6004 level par open hui thi. Kal ki trading session mein, high 0.6031 aur low 0.5988 ka bana. Trading range taqreeban 43 pips thi. Market ka sentiment bearish hai aur yeh daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Aane wale trading sessions mein yeh daily support levels S1 aur S2 ko hit kar sakti hai. Indicators bhi market ki bearish strength ko support karte hain. Market ne kal weekly resistance level 0.6020 ko hit kiya. RSI 14, overbought condition ke baad, 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai. Ek bearish pin bar candlestick pattern appear hui, jiske baad doosri bearish candlestick aayi, jo market ki bearish strength ko confirm karti hai. Market MA 200 ke neeche move kar rahi hai, jo bearish strength ko represent karti hai. Bearish divergence bhi market ke down movement ke haq mein hai.