نیوزی لینڈ ڈالر اور امریکی ڈالر کی شرح تبادلہ

Aaj mai NZD/USD ke aaj ke future direction ki prediction karunga. Likhne ke waqt NZD/USD 0.5945 par trade kar raha hai. Iss pair ke chart ko dekhte hue, humein nazar aa raha hai ke yeh descending channel mein move kar raha hai. Ab humein dikh raha hai ke price phir se buyers ke control mein hai, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke decline ho sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki 14 din ki reading positive hai lekin abhi apni midline se neeche hai, jo sellers ko optimistic rakhti hai. Saath hi, is chart par moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram ab zero se neeche hai. Ab NZD/USD price EMA20 aur 50EMA moving averages se neeche hai. In sab baaton se bears ko madad milti hai. Ek black rectangle se us zone ko mark kiya gaya hai jahan NZD/USD ka supposed liquidity tha neeche, jo ke pehle price move ke neeche jaane se remove ho gaya tha. Agar yeh pehla price move neeche jate huye neeche ke liquidity ko puri tarah se hata diya, to phir aise halat mein price ko aur neeche le jaane ka koi faida nahi, kyun ke aise mein neeche smart money ke liye kuch interesting nahi bacha hoga, aur agar yeh sach hai, to phir ek aisa scenario shuru ho sakta hai jo ke northern tint rakhta ho aur jiske mutabiq hum yahan se northern side ki taraf chal sakte hain. Agar ab pair ka price 0.5953 ke accumulation area tak upar jaata hai, jahan se yeh phir neeche aata hai, to aise halat mein NZD/USD ka level 0.5895 price ko neeche jaane se rokta hai; isliye 0.5895 ke level se mumkin hai ke hum wild tarike se upar jaayein space mein 0.6071 ke accumulation area tak. Euro, pound, aur franc ke growth ko dekhein; hum dollar-yen ko nazarandaz karte hain jo ke wahan ek khaali space ki tarah hai, yen pehli violin ki tarah kaam kar raha hai. Yeh wo akelay pairs hain jo dollar ke muqable mein value mein barh gaye hain. Aur, Australian, Canadian, aur New Zealander log apne ranges mein atak gaye, aur gold ki price mein overall girawat hui. Is liye, us waqt market ne dollar ki general weakness ke koi signs show nahi kiye. Lekin yeh bilkul bhi nahi kehta ke Monday ko kuch aisa nahi hoga

NZD/USD currency pair traders ke liye abhi mushkil surat-e-haal hai. Daily charts main abhi bhi bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, magar recent market activity ne kuch dilchasp dynamics paida kiye hain. Pichlay Monday ko jo recent low record hua, us ne lagta hai ke downtrend ka akhri hissah mukammal kar diya hai, jiss ke baad buying activity mein izafa hua aur price 0.6000 level se upar chali gayi. Is price movement se yeh lagta hai ke market mein upward momentum ya ek temporary bullish phase chal raha hai.
Lekin halaat phir bhi complex hain. Bhale hi price ab 0.6000 mark se upar hai, lekin broader perspective mein bearish trend abhi bhi maujood hai. Is wajah se main in levels par sell karne mein ehtiyaat kar raha hoon. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price dobara 0.5900 level se neeche aa jaye, jo ke lower levels par buying ka acha moka ho sakta hai.

Abhi NZD/USD pair ek mixed scenario dikhata hai. Overarching bearish trend ke bawajood, market ne upar push kiya hai aur significant support levels se upar hold kiya hua hai. Yeh upward pressure ko zahir karta hai magar yeh bhi dikhata hai ke market ka environment complex hai. Is market ko samajhnay ke liye sabr aur ghairatmand observation ki zaroorat hai.

Technical front par, Envelopes indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke support level kareeb 0.5977 par hai. Given ke current price 0.5996 hai, agar price wapas is support level tak retrace karti hai to yeh ek acha buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Risk ko manage karne ke liye, 0.5970 ke neeche stop loss implement karna behtar hoga. Is upward move ka target resistance level 0.6035 hoga. Technical indicators yeh dikhate hain ke current levels se growth ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur upward cycle ka potential hai.

Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar par ziada pressure aa sakta hai ongoing geopolitical tensions ki wajah se, khaaskar Middle East mein. Yeh external factors dollar ko weak karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein aur upar ka movement support kar sakta hai

NZDUSD Special Analysis
NZDUSD H4 time frame par dekha jaye to, iski value mukhtalif factors ke zariye decide hoti hai, jin mein dono mulkon ke economic data, commodity prices (khaaskar dairy products, jo New Zealand ka ek bara export hain), aur global market sentiment shamil hain. Iss waqt, ye pair 0.6024 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jo ke recent sessions mein dealers ke liye dilchaspi ka markaz raha hai.

H4 time frame ka analysis karne par ye saaf hota hai ke NZDUSD aik downward trend mein hai. Yeh bearish momentum chart par lower highs aur lower lows ke silsile se zahir ho raha hai, jo ke ek classic indication hai ke market sellers ke favor mein hai. Maujooda price movement se lagta hai ke bears ka control hai, aur price ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain, jab ke market mukhtalif economic aur technical factors par react kar rahi hai.

Current trend ko dekhte hue, kai potential selling opportunities hain jo dealers consider kar sakte hain. Sab se pehle, agar price retrace ya pullback hota hai resistance levels ki taraf, to ye ek ideal entry point ho sakta hai sellers ke liye jo trend join karna chahte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 area tak retrace karti hai, jahan pehle ka support ab resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai — to ye ek strategic point ho sakta hai short positions mein entry ke liye. Dealers candlestick patterns jaise ke bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars ka bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ke ek short rally ke baad downward trend ke continuity ka signal de sakte hain.

Jab ke outlook bearish lag raha hai, trading mein ek well-defined risk management strategy ke sath approach karna zaroori hai. Forex market apne andaaz mein unpredictable hota hai, aur sab se well-formed trends bhi sharp reversals ka shikar ho sakte hain. Appropriate stop-loss orders lagana aapke capital ko protect karne ke liye bohot zaroori hai. Misal ke taur par, ek recent swing high ke thoda upar stop-loss lagana aapke losses ko limit karne mein madad kar sakta hai agar market aapki position ke against chali jaye.

Dealers ko un key economic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo NZDUSD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein changes jaise news currency pair mein unexpected movements ko trigger kar sakti hain, jo ke current technical setup ko disrupt kar sakti hain
Informed rehna aur apni trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna successful trading ke liye essential hai. NZDUSD currency pair H4 time frame par filhal sellers ke liye ek compelling case present karta hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo ke technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke dealers ke liye kaafi opportunities hain is pair mein further declines se faida uthane ke liye. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko carefully analyze karke dealers strategically apni positions ko place kar sakte hain taake iss bearish trend ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, hamesha ki tarah, risk ko effectively manage karna aur kisi bhi aise developments ke liye alert rehna zaroori hai jo market dynamics ko impact kar sakti hain. Agar theek approach ke sath kaam kiya jaye, to NZDUSD market ke current conditions profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain un logon ke liye jo trend ke sath trade karna chahte hain

Example ke tor par, Raphael Bostic, jo ke President hain Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke, ne kaha: ‘Ab jab ke inflation apne range mein aa raha hai, humein doosri taraf bhi dekhna hoga, aur wahan humne dekha ke unemployment rate apne lowest level se kafi zyada barh gaya hai’."

“Unemployment rate April 2023 mein 3.4% tha, lekin ab yeh 4.3% par hai. Lekin yeh ab bhi kafi low level hai. Mere khayal mein, ‘kafi zyada’ kehna itna sahi nahi hai. Yeh baat ke kuch FOMC ke members abhi bhi openly interest rates ko kam karne ki baat kar rahe hain, yeh dikhata hai ke Fed Chair Jay Powell jitna hawkish apne aap ko dikhate hain, asal mein Fed utna nahi hai jab inflation high ho."

“Mere kuch colleagues inflation ke zyada high na hone par is tarah se hatt rahe hain. Jaise ke maine pehle kaha tha, yeh tabhi samajh aata hai ke ek central bank sach mein hawkish hai jab inflation ab itna zyada nahi rehta. Agar yeh dovish Fed ki baatein sirf ek daur nahi hain, to humne jo USD ka extreme strength spring mein dekha tha, wo justified nahi hai.

NZD/USD qareeb 0.6030 par soar kar raha hai jab ke market sentiment risky assets ke haq mein hai. RBNZ ne achanak se apna interest rate 25 bps tak kam kar diya Wednesday ko.
Mazboot Fed rate-cut ke prospects ne US Dollar ki upside ko limited rakha hai.
NZD/USD pair European session mein Friday ko qareeb 0.6030 par surge kar gaya. Kiwi asset ki taqat mein izafa dekhne ko mila jab risky assets ki appeal improve hui. Market sentiment mein khaas behtari hui hai jab ke United States (US) ke recession mein daakhil hone ke daron ko July ke upbeat Retail Sales aur lower weekly Jobless Claims ke baad kam ho gaye hain, jo ke 9 August ko khatam hui week mein report ki gayi.

S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours mein decent gains post kiye hain, jo ke investors ke risk-appetite mein behtari ko zahir karte hain. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko 6 major currencies ke against track karta hai, qareeb 102.80 par gir gaya hai.

Lekin, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ka near-term appeal abhi bhi uncertain hai jab ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne apna Official Cash Rate (OCR) achanak se 25 basis points (bps) se 5.25% par kam kar diya Wednesday ko.

Iske darmiyan, US Dollar ki agla move market speculation ke tehat hogi jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cut path ke liye hogi poore saal ke dauran. Iske liye, investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke upcoming Jackson Hole (JH) symposium, jo ke 22-24 August ko hoga, ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD daily timeframe par ek Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek sharp volatility contraction ko zahir karta hai. Kiwi asset 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar rise kar gaya hai qareeb 0.6000 par, jo ke near-term trend ko bullish dikhata hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke market participants mein indecisiveness ko zahir karta hai.

Zyada upside tab dekha ja sakta hai agar yeh asset May 3 high at 0.6046 ko decisively break kare. Yeh asset ko upar push karega July 17 high ke qareeb 0.6100 aur July 12 high ke 0.6127 par.

Alternate scenario mein, downside move agar April 19 low ke qareeb 0.5850 ke neeche ho jaye to yeh asset ko 0.5800 ke round-level support tak le aayega, jo ke 26 October 2023 low par 0.5770 ke paas hai.

Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, ka kehna hai: "Ab jab inflation range mein aa raha hai, humein mandate ke doosri side par bhi dekhna hai, aur wahan hum ne dekha hai ke unemployment rate apni lows se kaafi zyada barh gaya hai."

"Unemployment rate apni lowest point par 3.4% tha (April 2023), lekin ab yeh 4.3% par hai. Magar yeh abhi bhi kaafi low level hai. Meri rai mein, 'considerably' ka lafz itna theek nahi hai. Yeh baat ke FOMC ke kuch members ab bhi openly interest rates kam karne ke liye bechain hain, ek cheez dikhata hai: Fed utna hawkish nahi hai jitna Fed Chair Jay Powell high inflation ke dauran dikhane ki koshish karte hain."

"Kuch colleagues jayse hi inflation zyada nahi raha, is hawkish stance se door hote dikh rahe hain. Jaise ke maine us waqt note kiya tha, ke jab inflation zyada nahi hota tabhi yeh pata chalta hai ke ek central bank asal mein kitna hawkish hai. Agar yeh dovish Fed talks sirf ek episode se zyada hain, toh spring mein jo USD ki extreme strength humne dekhi thi, wo justified nahi hai."

NZD/USD kareeb 0.6030 tak soar karta hai jab market sentiment risky assets ke haq mein jata hai. RBNZ ne chonkanay wali baat yeh hai ke unhone Wednesday ko 25 bps ka interest rate cut announce kiya.
Firm Fed rate-cut prospects US Dollar ki upside ko limited rakhte hain.
NZD/USD pair Friday ke European session mein 0.6030 ke kareeb surge karta hai. Kiwi asset strengthen hota hai jabke risky assets ke liye appeal improve hoti hai. Market sentiment significantly improve hota hai jabke United States (US) recession ke dar kam hote hain, upbeat Retail Sales for July aur lower weekly Jobless Claims ki wajah se week ending August 9 par.

S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours mein achi gains post ki hain, jo ke investors ke risk-appetite mein behtari ko darshata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko 6 major currencies ke against track karta hai, 102.80 ke kareeb girta hai.

Magar, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki near-term appeal uncertain rehti hai jabke Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko Wednesday ko 25 basis points (bps) se 5.25% tak unexpected reduce kiya.

Isi dauran, US Dollar ka agla move Fed interest rate cut path ke market speculation se guide hoga jo puray saal ke liye hai. Iss ke liye investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein upcoming speech ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke August 22-24 ke darmiyan hoga.

NZD/USD ek Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein daily timeframe par trade karta hai, jo ke sharp volatility contraction dikhata hai. Kiwi asset 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 0.6000 ke kareeb rise karta hai, jo ke near-term trend bullish suggest karta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ke market participants mein indecisiveness ko dikhata hai.

Zyada upside tab dekhnay ko milega agar asset decisively May 3 ka high 0.6046 par break karta hai. Yeh asset ko July 17 high ke near 0.6100 aur July 12 high ke 0.6127 tak push karega.

Alternate scenario mein, ek downside move agar April 19 low 0.5850 ke kareeb hota hai toh asset ko 0.5800 ke round-level support tak le jaye ga, uske baad 26 October 2023 low 0.5770 par ho sakta hai.

Salam aur Subha Bakhair Sab Ko!

NZD/USD market ka haal yeh hai ke yeh ab recovery ke asraat dikha raha hai. Yeh pair ab 0.6002 zone ke aas-paas close hua hai. Yeh movement yeh batati hai ke buyers dobara control hasil kar rahe hain, aur yeh pair recent fluctuations ke baad phir se upward track par aa raha hai. Yeh recovery yeh suggest karti hai ke NZD/USD market aane walay dinon mein apni upward movement jari rakh sakti hai, khas tor par naye buying interest ke zariye. Abhi ka momentum yeh point karta hai ke price jaldi ya der mein resistance zone 0.6045 cross kar sakta hai, jo ke ek critical level hai dekhne ke liye.

Isi ke madde nazar, NZD/USD market mein ek buy order ek strategic approach ho sakta hai. Short target 0.6042 set karna abhi ke upward trend ke sath align hota hai, magar saath hi ek ehtiyat se bhi kaam lena zaroori hai. Yeh target resistance level ke qareeb hai, jo ke profit ke imkanat ko qaim rakhta hai magar saath hi yeh bhi ehtimaal hai ke agar resistance mazboot nikla to near-term mein reversal ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein success ka raaz yeh hai ke 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas-paas price action ko qareebi taur par monitor kiya jaye. Agar price is level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh mazeed gains ka ishara ho sakta hai aur NZD/USD ka bullish outlook mazid strong hoga.

Dusri taraf, agar resistance zyada mazboot sabit hota hai, to ek temporary pullback ho sakta hai, jise dekh kar traders ko apni positions adjust karni hongi.

Akhir mein, NZD/USD market recovery ke promising signs dikha raha hai, jahan price 0.6002 zone ke aas-paas close hui hai aur mazeed gains ke imkanat hain. Ab ke market conditions ke madde nazar, short target 0.6042 ke sath ek buy order recommend kiya jata hai. Magar yeh zaroori hai ke har nayi development par nazar rakhi jaye, khas tor par 0.6045 resistance zone ke aas-paas, taake trading strategies market sentiment ke sath aligned rahein.


Allah aapko hamesha khush aur mehfooz rakhe.

Current trading conditions ko dekhte hue, humein potential developments nazar aa rahi hain jo smoothly move kar rahi hain aur yeh various opportunities de rahi hain jo aaj ki trading mein istimaal ho sakti hain. Magar, humein ehtiyaat baratni hogi kyun ke current situation yeh show kar rahi hai ke hum correction phase mein enter kar rahe hain, jahan market aik important area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum pehlay ka moment dekhein, toh price ne 0.59812 se 0.59932 ke price range mein 5/10 low moving average marking area mein downward signal form kiya hai. Is assumption ke mutabiq, price abhi bhi sellers ke pressure mein reh sakta hai jo price ko mazeed neeche dhakel sakta hai. Magar, agar price is area se guzar gaya, toh yeh mumkin hai ke price middle Bollinger band line ko retest kare. Iske ilawa, humein Relative Strength Index indicator par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo abhi downward correction ki potential show kar raha hai, jo ke neutral area ke qareeb hai aur most likely overbought level ko chase karte hue further upar ja sakta hai.

Market price ka current resistance level 0.6357 hai. Agar price 0.6357 resistance se upar break karta hai, toh hum further upside ke liye apne next target objective 0.6843 ki taraf dekh sakte hain. Iske baad, mujhe umeed hai ke price mazeed upar move karega jab ke 0.7232 level par broken resistance ko reach karega, jo ke aik strong resistance level tha. Dusri taraf, agar plan ke mutabiq, price local support 0.5880 par wapas aata hai aur agar yeh is zone se neeche rehta hai, toh long-term bearish movement ki umeed hai jo 0.5319 tak ja sakta hai. Iske baad, price mazeed neeche move kar sakta hai next support level 0.4749 tak, jo ke aik strong support level hai.

Support aur resistance ko upar diye gaye chart mein istimaal kiya gaya hai kyun ke yeh market structure samajhne mein madad karte hain. NZD/USD kuch arsay se bearish trend mein hai, jo ke New Zealand Dollar ke US Dollar ke against consistent decline ko show karta hai. Yeh trend mukhtalif macroeconomic factors par mabni hai, including economic performance, interest rate differentials, aur geopolitical events jo investor sentiment ko impact karte hain.

Technical analysis ke perspective se, NZD/USD pair broader bearish trend mein consolidation ke signs show kar raha hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko identify karna zaroori hai taake potential reversal ya continuation points ka pata chal sake. Abhi ke liye, pair 0.5997 level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jahan significant support 0.5950 par nazar aa raha hai aur resistance 0.6050 par hai. Agar support level break ho jata hai, toh further downside ki umeed hai, jab ke resistance ke upar break signal kar sakta hai ke reversal ho sakta hai.

Trade balance bhi significant impact rakhta hai. New Zealand ki economy exports par heavily reliant hai, khas tor par dairy products, meat, aur agricultural goods par. Global demand mein kisi bhi tarah ka change, particularly dairy products ke liye, New Zealand ka trade balance aur NZD ko influence kar sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar global dairy prices decline karti hain, toh yeh New Zealand ke trade balance par negative effect daal sakti hain, jis ke natayej mein NZD weak ho sakta hai.

Subah Bakhair Sab Ko!

Aaj kal NZD/USD ka market sentiment buyers ke haq mein hai, aur unka value barh raha hai. Kal yeh zone tak pohanch gaye they. Yeh zaroor yaad rakhein ke agar news events jo volatility create karti hain, wo na hoon, toh technical analysis par zyada focus kiya ja sakta hai. Price charts ko dekh kar aur technical indicators lagaa kar traders strategies bana sakte hain jo current market trends ke saath align karti hain.

Misaal ke taur par, moving averages price fluctuations ko smooth karti hain aur trend ka direction dikhati hain. RSI overbought ya oversold conditions signal kar sakti hai, jo traders ko batati hai ke kab position enter ya exit karni chahiye. Support aur resistance levels traders ko samajhne mein madad deti hain ke kis point par price ruk sakti hai ya support mil sakta hai, jo stop loss aur take profit levels set karne mein bht zaroori hota hai. NZD/USD market mein buyers dobara aa sakte hain aur 0.5900 ka resistance zone cross kar sakte hain.

Iske ilawa, stop loss ek predefined price point hoti hai jahan par trade automatically close ho jata hai taake zyada losses na hoon. Yeh risk management tool capital ko protect karta hai aur significant drawdowns se bachata hai agar market position ke against move kare. Doosri taraf, take-profit order set hota hai taake specified profit level par trade automatically close ho jaye, taake gains secure hoon jayein market potentially reverse hone se pehle. In tools ka effective use losses ko minimize karne aur profits ko lock karne mein madad karta hai, jo ek favorable risk-reward ratio maintain karne ke liye zaroori hai. NZD/USD ke buyers iss market mein survive kar sakte hain aur aane wale news data par nazar rakhni chahiye. Aaj ka market sentiment bhi noteworthy hai. Current sentiment buyers ke haq mein hai, jo ke market participants ke future price increases ke liye optimistic outlook ko dikhata hai. Market sentiment overall attitude ko reflect karta hai traders aur investors ka market ki taraf, aur yeh price movements par significant influence kar sakta hai.

Stay blessed aur stay safe!

Raphael Bostic, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke President, ka kehna hai: "Ab jab inflation control mein aa raha hai, humein mandate ke doosre pehlu ko dekhna padega, aur wahan, humne dekha hai ke unemployment rate apne low se kafi zyada badh gaya hai."
"Unemployment rate April 2023 mein 3.4% tha, lekin ab 4.3% tak pohnch gaya hai. Lekin yeh ab bhi kafi kam hai. Mere khayal mein, ‘kafi zyada’ kehlana sahi nahi hai. Yeh baat ke kuch FOMC members ab bhi interest rates kam karne ki zarurat mehsoos kar rahe hain, ek baat ko darshata hai: Fed itna hawkish nahi hai jitna Fed Chair Jay Powell inflation ke high hone par dikhate hain."

"Unke kuch saathis jaise hi inflation itna zyada nahi rehta, is raay se door ja rahe hain. Jaise maine tab keh diya tha, ek central bank kitna hawkish hai yeh tab hi samajh aata hai jab inflation itni high nahi rehti. Agar yeh dovish Fed baat sirf ek dafa ki baat nahi hai, to phir USD ki jo extreme strength spring mein dekhi gayi thi, wo justify nahi hoti."

NZD/USD 0.6030 ke aas-paas chadh raha hai kyunki market sentiment risky assets ko pasand kar raha hai. RBNZ ne achanak se Wednesday ko 25 bps ka interest rate cut announce kiya.

Fed rate-cut ki umeed US Dollar ke upside ko limited rakhti hai. NZD/USD Friday ke European session mein 0.6030 ke aas-paas chadh raha hai. Kiwi asset tab mazid mazboot hota hai jab risky assets ki appeal badhti hai. Market sentiment significantly improve hota hai jab US ke recession mein jane ke dar kam ho jate hain, Retail Sales for July aur August 9 ko khatam hone wale week mein lower Jobless Claims ke sath.

S&P 500 futures European trading hours mein achi gains dikhate hain, jo investors ke risk-appetite mein improvement ko darshata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhah bade currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, near 102.80 gir gaya hai.

Lekin, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki near-term appeal uncertain hai kyunki Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne Wednesday ko apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points se 5.25% tak kam kar diya.

Is waqt, US Dollar ki agle move ko Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut path ke market speculation ke according guide kiya jayega. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke speech ka intezar kar rahe hain jo August 22-24 ko Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein hogi.

NZD/USD daily timeframe par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo sharp volatility contraction ko dikhata hai. Kiwi asset 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 0.6000 ke paas rise kar raha hai, jo near-term trend ke bullish hone ka indication hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo market participants ke bechaini ko darshata hai.

Agar asset May 3 ka high 0.6046 ko decisively break karta hai, to yeh asset ko July 17 ke high ke paas 0.6100 aur July 12 ke high 0.6127 tak push karega.

Dusre scenario mein, agar asset April 19 ke low 0.5850 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh asset ko 0.5800 ke round-level support tak kheench sakta hai, jiske baad 26 October 2023 ka low 0.5770 aayega.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis:
NZD/USD ke H4 time frame par, iski value kai factors se mutasir hoti hai, jismein dono mulkon ke economic data, commodity prices (khaskar dairy products, jo New Zealand ka ek bara export hai), aur overall global market sentiment shamil hain. Filhal, yeh pair 0.6024 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo recent sessions mein traders ki dilchaspi ka mark hai. H4 time frame ko analyze karte waqt, yeh clear hai ke NZD/USD ek downward trend mein hai. Yeh bearish momentum chart par lower highs aur lower lows ke zariye nazar aata hai, jo sellers ko favor karne ka classic indication hai. Current price movement yeh darshata hai ke bears control mein hain, price ko neeche push kar rahe hain jab market various economic aur technical factors ka react kar raha hai. Current trend ke madde nazar, traders ke liye kai potential selling opportunities hain. Sabse pehle, agar price resistance levels ki taraf retrace ya pullback karti hai, to yeh sellers ke liye ek ideal entry point ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar price 0.6050-0.6070 ke area tak retrace karti hai—jahan pehle support levels ab resistance ban gaye hain—to yeh short positions enter karne ke liye ek strategic point ho sakta hai. Traders candlestick patterns se bhi confirmation dekh sakte hain, jaise bearish engulfing candles ya shooting stars, jo downward trend ke continuation ka signal de sakte hain ek brief rally ke baad.




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Outlook bearish nazar aati hai, lekin trading ko ek well-defined risk management strategy ke sath approach karna zaroori hai. Forex market inherently volatile hoti hai, aur sabse well-formed trends bhi sharp reversals ka shikaar ho sakti hain. Appropriate stop-loss orders set karna capital ko protect karne ke liye crucial hai. Misal ke taur par, ek recent swing high ke upar stop-loss place karne se potential losses limit ho sakte hain agar market aapke position ke khilaf move kare. Traders ko key economic events ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices ke changes se currency pair mein sudden movements aa sakte hain, jo current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakte hain. Updated rahna aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai. NZD/USD currency pair H4 time frame par currently sellers ke liye ek compelling case pesh karta hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se confirm hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke paas further declines se faida uthane ke kai mauqe hain. Retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ko carefully analyze karke, traders strategically apne aap ko position kar sakte hain is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye. Lekin, jaise hamesha, risk ko effectively manage karna aur market dynamics ko impact karne wale developments se alert rehna zaroori hai. Sahi approach ke sath, NZD/USD market ki current conditions profitable opportunities offer kar sakti hain unke liye jo trend ke sath trade karna chahte hain.

Good Afternoon Forum Friends,
Umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain aur is site ka faida utha rahe hain. Aaj main NZD/USD ke baare mein discuss karunga. NZD/USD ke D1 time frame par is trading week ne kuch shuruati growth ke nishaan dikhaye hain, jo chal rahe market trends par ek naya nazariya faraham karte hain. Jab hum NZD/USD currency pair ke D1 chart ko dekhte hain, to yeh zaroori hai ke hum pichle kuch hafton ki price movements ko samjhein taake hum current market dynamics ko behtar samajh saken. Is pair ki trading activity kaafi kuch keh rahi hai, khaaskar jab ise bade D1 time frame par dekha jaye.

Is haftay ki shuruaat mein, ek choti si upward movement dekhi gayi, jo shayad yeh impression de rahi thi ke ek potential reversal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab hum chart ko dheere se dekhen, to yeh clear hai ke yeh recent growth ek bohot bade aur dominant downward trend ke context mein ho rahi hai jo kuch waqt se chal raha hai. Pichle mahine ke aathwe din se NZD/USD pair mein steady decline dekha gaya hai. Yeh downward trajectory D1 chart par clearly nazar aati hai, jahan currency pair ko consistently selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Pehli girawat ne ek sustained bearish trend ki shuruaat ki jo mahine bhar chali, aur pair ne baar-baar lower highs aur lower lows banaye—jo ek strong downtrend ka classic sign hai



Is haftay ki shuruaat mein choti si rally ke bawajood, D1 time frame par overall sentiment bearish hi hai. Last month se shuru hui downward trend ke is stage par reversal ka koi zyada nishaan nahi dikh raha, kyunki pair ab bhi significant resistance levels se joojh raha hai aur aage ke declines ke liye vulnerable hai. Traders ke liye iska matlab hai ke jab short-term mein gains ke mauqe ho sakte hain, lekin broader trend ab bhi unke liye hai jo NZD/USD ko short karna chahte hain. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke D1 chart se ongoing trend ka clear picture milta hai, lekin market conditions tezi se shift ho sakti hain, khaaskar naye economic data ya unexpected geopolitical events ke response mein. Isliye, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur key support aur resistance levels ko monitor karte rehna chahiye, sath hi market sentiment mein hone wale changes ko bhi dekhna chahiye jo pair ke direction ko impact kar sakte hain.

Jab yeh trading week NZD/USD pair ke modest growth ke sath shuru hua, lekin bade D1 time frame chart par market ab bhi ek stable aur persistent downward trend se dominated hai. Pichle mahine ke aathwe din se shuru hui decline kuch interruptions ke sath chalti rahi, jo abhi prevailing bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. Aage chal kar, yeh dekhna key hoga ke koi potential reversal ke nishaan milte hain ya nahi, jab ke downward momentum shayad pair ko near term mein aur neeche le jaye.

NZD/USD Trades Updated Analysis - 14 August 2024

Pichle kuch dinon mein qeemat mein izafa dekha gaya hai.




August ke darmiyan enter karne ke baad, NZD/USD pair ki market price buyer ke control mein hai ya upar ki taraf trend kar rahi hai. Pichle July mein, price simple moving average zone of 100 ko cross karke niche gayi thi, lekin ab yeh usse upar hai. Lagta hai ke haftay ke shuruati trading period se market trend mein wahi izafa dekhne ko mila ja raha hai jo pichle haftay mein tha. Filhal, price bullish trend ke sath trade ho rahi hai kyun ke Monday ke starting price ke muqablay mein current position ab bhi uchi hai.

Pichle trading period mein, sellers price ko niche le jaane mein kamiyab huye lekin sirf 0.5857 tak giraya, aur uske baad price phir se tez uthi aur 0.5863 zone tak pohnch gayi. Lagta hai ke buyer ka influence ab bhi kafi strong hai jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Price journey ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke NZD/USD market buyer ke control mein trend ko continue kar sakta hai aur agle izafe ke liye 0.6079 price zone ko test karne ka chance hai, kyunki technically price journey uptrend ko continue kar sakti hai.

Ab price selling pressure ke neeche hai, isliye downward correction ho rahi hai. Main kuch waqt se yeh predict kar raha hoon ke price bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai aur yeh situation uptrend ke continuation ke liye base ban sakti hai. Buyers shayad increase ko support karenge taake candlestick upar chale aur izafe ka mauqa mile. Agli bullish opportunity mujhe ab bhi khuli lagti hai, kyunki candlestick position simple moving average indicator zone 100 ko cross kar chuki hai. Agar aaj raat ya agle price journey tak bullish trend continue hota hai, to shayad izafa 0.6128 price zone tak pohnch sakta hai.

NZD/USD Analysis Update

Daily Timeframe Review
Is trading week ka aghaaz kuch growth ke saath huwa aur mein aapko D1 period ka NZDUSD currency pair ka chart dekhne ki tajwez deta hoon. Pehle, 0.6073 ka horizontal resistance level pahuncha gaya. Is level par purchases ko consider nahi kiya gaya, sirf sales ki gai, kyunki resistance level par directly buy karna aur woh bhi itne strong daily period par kuch samajh nahi aati. CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone mein chala gaya, jo ke decline ke liye ek additional factor tha. Lekin yeh bhi dhyan rakhna chahiye ke CCI indicator bearish convergence bhi dikha sakta hai, jo ke ek sell signal hai. Is level ke hisaab se yeh ek acha signal tha. Expected decline hua, aur news aayi ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ne interest rate ko quarter point se kam kar diya, jis ke natije mein New Zealand dollar tezi se gir gaya. News aur technical picture ka mel mila. Ab hum 0.6013 ke support level par atke hue hain, magar mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair tak nahi chalega aur downward trend continue karega. Aaj ke liye kuch aham news hain: 15-30 Moscow time par - US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur US Core Consumer Price Index (CPI). 17.30 ko - US crude oil inventories. Mere khayal mein, girawat ke baad potential upward rollback ko M5-M15 ke intraday periods mein dekhna zaroori hai aur jab appropriate formations banein to niche kaam karna chahiye. Dusre allied aur enemy pairs bhi mere khayal mein short term correction ki taraf ja rahe hain, jo ke recently US dollar ke mazid barhne ke baad hona chahiye. Yeh NZD/USD currency pair ke decline ko barqarar rakhne ke haq mein hai.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis 15 August 2024




NZDUSD pair ne 0.6080 ki high prices tak pohnch kar apni upward rally ko rokna shuru kar diya hai. Yeh RBNZ ke monetary policy ke wajah se hua, jismein interest rate ko 5.50% se 5.25% tak kam kar diya gaya. EMA 50 ke zariye tezi se girawat chalti rahi aur price SMA 200 tak as dynamic support pohnchi. Asal mein, jab trend ab bhi bullish hai, to price ko FR 50 - 0.6032 aur FR 61.8 - 0.6021 ke darmiyan niche correction karna chahiye taake retracement complete ho sake aur phir upward rally continue kar sake. Lekin, ongoing decline FR 78.6 - 0.6005 ko retracement ki aakhri limit ke taur par paar kar gayi hai, jisse niche jane ki potential hai.

Agar price bullish trend ke beech girawat continue karti hai aur SMA 200 ko successfully paar karti hai, to FR 100 - 0.5984 ke neeche close prices dekhne ko mil sakti hain aur structure break hoga. Isse price pattern structure lower low - lower high ki taraf badal jayega aur trend direction change hone ka initial trigger banega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator jo downtrend momentum dikha raha hai, NZDUSD pair price ke girawat ko support karta hai. Sirf Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone at level 20 - 10 ko cross kar chuke hain, price ke upar move hone ko zyada support karte hain.

Entry Position Setup:

Trading options ko SELL entry position place karne ki koshish karni chahiye jo pehle ki downward price movement trend ko follow kare. Entry position tab place karein jab price SMA 200 ko successfully paar kar chuki ho aur FR 100 - 0.5984 ke neeche close prices ho. Confirmation agar Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke aas-paas cross karte hain aur AO indicator histogram level 0 ke neeche ya negative area mein rehta hai. Sabse nazdeek take profit FR 127.2 - 0.5958 par aur sabse door FR 161.8 - 0.5925 par set karein, jabke FR 78.6 - 0.6005 ko stop loss location ke taur par use karein.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pichle hafte US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek narrow range mein trade hua, aur 0.6010 par close hua. Yeh satwa din hai jab price movement limited raha, jo ke pair ke consolidation period ko darshata hai. Technical indicators mixed outlook de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level ke qareeb settle ho gaya hai, jo buying aur selling pressure ke beech balance ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flat ho gaya hai, jo clear directional momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Magar, MACD par positive histogram aur green bars underlying buying interest ko hint karti hain.



NZD/USD pair ko turant resistance 0.6000 ke psychologically important level par face karna pad raha hai. Agar is level ko successfully break kiya jaye, to 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6040 ki taraf rally ho sakti hai aur shayad 0.6150 tak bhi pohncha ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair 20-day SMA 0.5970 ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh downtrend ke resume hone ka signal ho sakta hai, jisme potential targets 0.5900 ho sakte hain.

Recent market developments ne NZD ke liye kuch optimism inject kiya hai. New Zealand se aayi strong labor market data aur generally positive market sentiment ne recent nine-month lows se rebound mein madad ki hai. Momentum indicators bhi improvement ke signs dikha rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) gir raha hai, jo downtrend ke kamzor hone ki taraf ishara karta hai. Relative Strength Index 50 level ko cross karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo bulls ke favor mein momentum shift ka indication ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, oversold levels ke kaafi upar, jo bullish reversal ki possibility ko support karta hai.

Agar positive sentiment barqarar rahe, to NZD/USD pair 0.6037-0.6092 range ko target kar sakti hai. Yeh area 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, July 14, 2022 ke low, aur kuch key moving averages se define hota hai. Agar is range ke upar decisive break hota hai, to October 1, 2019 ke low 0.6198 ki taraf significant rally ke raste khul sakte hain. Lekin, zaroori hai ke overall picture uncertain hai, dono bullish aur bearish forces active hain. Traders ko price action aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke agle move ka clue mil sake.