USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Jumay ke din, USD ke muqablay mein spot price ne apni girawat ko barqarar rakha, jo is haftay ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:
Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.

/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha. Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sak

USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain. Short-term interest rate swaps market mein December policy meeting par 25 basis point hike ke sirf 30% chances hain. Isi doran, pichlay jumay ko, yani 20th September ko, USD/JPY ne Asian intraday low of 141.74 se 1.95% ka izafa dekhaya

USD/CHF ke daily timeframe par price movement ka jaiza lete hue, aakhri hafte ki trading sessions mein sellers ka asar zyada dekhne ko mila hai. Ye haalat candlestick ke movement se zahir hoti hai, jo Thursday se Friday tak consistently neeche ki taraf chal rahi thi. Agar hum pichle dinon ke daily movement ko dekhein, to ye sideways pattern banata hai, jo bearish situation ko darshata hai aur volatility bhi moderate hai. Haalankeh shuruat mein kuch bullish correction movement dekhne ko mili, lekin aakhri hafte ki bearish movement pichle mahine ke market trend ka jari rukh hai, jo ye darshata hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend ki taraf barhne ke liye potential rakhta hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, jo indicators ka istemal kiya gaya hai unki condition ke aadhar par. Relative Strength Index (14) par Lime Line ka direction bilkul wazeh hai; pehle ye line aksar level 50 ke kareeb hoti thi, lekin ab ye level 30 ke aas paas ruk gayi hai. MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bars bhi ab zero level ke neeche hain aur inka shape bearish movement ka izhar kar raha hai. Isliye, daily timeframe par market ka haal yeh darshata hai ke price abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. USD/CHF ke technical data ke mutabiq, main chhote timeframe H4 par market movement ka jaiza lena chahta hoon. Is mahine candlestick bilkul Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 ke neeche chal rahi thi, lekin is hafte ki shuruat mein bullish correction ki taraf badhi takriban 0.8515 tak. Lekin seller ki mazboot pressure ne price ko dobara neeche ki taraf le aaya jab tak market ne aaj subah band nahi kiya. Price abhi bhi Monday ke opening price se kafi neeche hai, jo is hafte ke market ko bearish dikhata hai. Ek baar phir, main Relative Strength Index (14) ka analysis kar raha hoon jo Lime Line ka signal de raha hai, jo ab 30 ke level ke kareeb hai, yeh darshata hai ke market is hafte mein neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. MACD (12,26,29) par yellow line histogram ki downward movement ko follow kar rahi hai, jo bearish movement ka indication hai

Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par

USD/JPY currency pair ka mojooda pricing behavior hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo downtrend ke barqarar rehne ka ishara hai. Breakout ke baad pair ne 99 points ka girawat dekha aur phir upward correction ka koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur price 144.53 ke resistance level tak wapas pohanch gaya. Is maqam par sell positions kholna behtar hoga, jahan target 140-141 range tak ka mazeed decline ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, aur agla resistance level 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek flag jesa ascending channel hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ke level ko tor kar upar jata hai, toh buy karna aur target 145.69 rakhna aik viable strategy ho sakti hai. Aaj main USD/JPY ki price action ko closely dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kuch bearish pin bars 144.10 ke local resistance level par banay hain, jo ek mumkin decline ki nishandahi karte hain. Bank of Japan ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Yeh faisla yeh zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko continue kar raha hai, jo Yen ki strength par asar dal sakta hai. Is fundamental background ke hawalay se, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada lagta hai. Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi nazar aya, jo downward move ka aur signal hai. In tamam signals ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein agle haftay mein USD/JPY ko niche ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke baghair), lekin mazeed downside potential bhi mojood hai. Bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne hal hi mein 20 din ka high 144.50 touch kiya tha. Sellers ne control hasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin price ko effectively niche nahi le jaa paye. Maine ek ahem support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan dekha hai, jo prices ko elevated rakhta hai. Lekin market ke close ke qareeb, asset ne resistance ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kiya, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dekhay gaye. Jumlay se ye zahir hota hai ke USA mein economic growth ke hawalay se uncertainties ka asar USD/JPY ke price par par raha hai. Ueda ki ehtiyaati rhetoric ne 2024 mein ek aur BoJ rate hike ke chances kam kar diye hain

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Aisa lagta hai keh bulls apne nuqsanat ki talafi karne ka imkan nahin rakhte. Yahan tak keh aaj ki ooper ki harkat sirf ek tezi ki islah thi, jiske bad bears US dollar/Japanese yen jodi ko niche khinchna jari rakhte hain. Sath hi, qimat 142.19 ki support satah ko tod chuki hai, lekin abhi tak is nishan se niche fix nahin ho payi hai. Yah dekhna baqi hai keh aaya yah paintrebazi ek islah hogi ya jodi fauri taur par 140.97 ki support satah ka test karegi aur is se niche fix ho jayegi. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, ek bearish candlestick ban na shuru ho gayi hai, lekin iski tail ooper ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Signals batate hain keh dollar/yen ki jodi ke nuqsanat me tausie ka imkan hai. Aham chiz 140.97 ki support satah se niche bane rahna hai.

ستمبر 30 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا 146.50 پر ہدف کی سطح اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کو اپنے اوپری سائے کے ساتھ یومیہ اسکیل پر ریباؤنڈ کیا۔ یہ امپلس پیٹرن 139.70-140.27 کے ممکنہ ہدف کی حد کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے جسے جلد ہی حاصل کیا جا سکتا ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر تیزی سے کم ہو رہا ہے، قیمت کے ارادے کو سپورٹ کر رہا ہے، لیکن یہ گروتھ زون سے باہر نہیں ہے۔ 5 اگست اور 6 ستمبر تک سپورٹ لیول 141.60 پر تھوڑی تاخیر ہو سکتی ہے۔ ہدف کی حد پر قابو پانے سے درج ذیل ہدف کی حد 136.95-137.26 پر کھل جائے گی۔



چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. اور بیلنس لائنوں کے نیچے مضبوط ہو گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کی طرف کافی گہرائی میں داخل ہو گیا ہے۔ دونوں چارٹس پر رجحان نیچے کی طرف ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

### USD/JPY Ka Pechwa: Japanese Yen 13-Mahine Ki Bulandi Par

Do din se, USD/JPY ne apni tez girawat se bahar aane ki koshish ki hai, jo 139.60 ki 13-mahine ki support level tak pahuncha. Yeh rebound 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur ab 141.80 ke ird gird hai, jabke foreign exchange bazaar ke liye sab se ahm waqia, US Federal Reserve ki policy ka elan aaj hone wala hai.

Is darmiyan, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti is wajah se hai ke investors is hafte Japan aur America ke monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka is Jumme interest rates ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh aisa bhi lagta hai ke woh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Financial markets ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October ka faisla abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve se pehli martaba chaar saalon mein interest rate ka katna umeed hai, jahan financial markets ek bara 50 basis point cut ka 67% imkaan laga rahe hain.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex ki volatility ke faide aur nuqsan dono hain, lekin tezi se hone wali tabdeeliyaan nafrat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield ek mahine ki bulandi par aa gaya hai. Yeh yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields ki kami ke saath saath hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai.

Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ka is hafte apni policy ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai lekin yeh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Fitch ne Japan ke liye apni interest rate predictions ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% ka andaza laga raha hai.

### USD/JPY Technical Analysis Aur Umeedain

Halankeh haali mein kuch rebound koshishain hui hain, lekin USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish hai. Psychological support level 140.00 is baat ka saboot hai ke bears ka control mazboot hai. Technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Yeh central banks ke announcements ke baad ka jawab hi yeh tay karega ke dollar/yen ka kya hoga. Agar yeh girawat aur bhi badhti hai, to pehli support level 138.00 tak aa sakti hai, jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance asal trend ke bullish

USD/JPY M5 chart

Main USD/JPY currency pair ka real-time pricing analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair din ke opening level 142.01 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, lekin abhi bhi daily Pivot level 141.73 ke upar hai. Primary indicators upward direction mein ishara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA72 trend line ke upar hai, aur yahan volume mein aksar kami aati hai. Agar price 141.91 ke upar chala jaye, to yeh resistance level 142.01 tak pohanch sakta hai aur ho sakta hai 143.01 tak bhi jaye. Lekin agar yeh 141.73 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh 141.41 ya 140.91 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Pair monthly Pivot level 146.25 ke neeche trade kar raha hai (jo pehle 153.86 tha), weekly Pivot level 141.65 ke upar (pehle 143.76 tha), aur daily Pivot ke kareeb 141.73 par hai, jo corrective phase ka signal hai. Wave structure abhi bhi bearish hai, aur MACD indicator oversold zone mein hai, signal line ke neeche. August ke low ke baad bullish divergence CUI par nazar aayi, jab ke doosra NPI indicator oversold zone se upar aana shuru hua.

US dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ka Tuesday ko trade 143.70 ke aas paas ho raha tha. Daily chart analysis yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko show karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Downside par, USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average 143.01 ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break karta hai, to yeh pair 139.58 area explore kar sakta hai, jo June 2023 ka lowest hai. Agar yeh level ke upar jata hai, to USD/JPY pair 145.00 psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai. Tuesday ko USD/JPY pair ne green turn kiya aur apna best daily performance record kiya jab yeh 140 ke strong level par settle hua. Federal Reserve aaj 18:00 GMT par 25bp ya 50bp rate cut ka faisla karne wala hai. Agar regular 25bp rate cut hoti hai, to yeh pair ke liye partial recovery ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 ko break karne mein mushkilat ka shikar raha hai. Mazeed hurdles 145.00 trendline area aur 50-day EMA 147.25 ke aage aa sakti hain.

JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha. Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sak

support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain

ke nuqsan ko aur barha raha tha. Yeh girawat mazeed tawajjo ka markaz bani, khaaskar jab ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions barh rahi hain, jo ho sakta hai yen ke liye kuch support faraham karein. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne wala hai, Hamas ke leader Ismail Haniyeh ke Tehran mein qatal ka badla lene ke liye. Market ke band hone tak, USD/JPY ka currency pair lagbhag 140.81 par trade kar raha tha. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:
Dusri taraf, US Dollar apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ab intezar kar rahe hain ke September mein US Federal Reserve (Fed) ek bara rate cut karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis point cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo ek haftay pehle sirf 11.8% tha. Is ke bawajood, USD ne apne kuch intraday losses ko recover kar liya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe badi currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, 101.00 ke level par qaraar liya huwa hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting se aaye Summary of Opinions ke mutabiq, kai members ka kehna hai ke economy aur prices umeed ke mutabiq barh rahe hain. BoJ ka maqsaad hai ke medium term mein neutral rate "kam az kam 1%" ke qareeb rahe. Magar BoJ ke hawkish stance ka asar filhaal zyada arsey tak nahi chalega. Global risk aversion se ho sakta hai ke policy-tightening ka silsila ruk jaye. Japan ki equity markets mein volatility bhi BoJ ki accommodative policies ke khatme ke baad barh gayi hai, jo rate hikes ke prospects par asar andaz hui hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko foran resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas, 143.06 ke level par mil sakti hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, to bearish momentum kam ho sakta hai aur pair ko 50-day EMA par test karne ka moka mil sakta hai, jo 149.33 ke qareeb hai, aur us ke baad "throwback support turned resistance" 150.50 par. Downside par, pair ko support 140.00 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur agla support 139.25 par ho sakta hai.

Jumay tak, pair lagbhag 140.80 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh maloom hota hai ke pair abhi tak nine-day EMA ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term mein bearish trend ka ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 ke level se upar aaya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ek potential correction shuru ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega. Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain
Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisse mein qadeem trend dikhaya, 143.00 ke qareeb trade karte hue. Magar, mazeed taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami yeh ishara kar rahi thi ke traders US inflation data ke aham hone ki wajah se khass positions lenay se gurez thay. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke doosre trimester ke GDP ke neeche darust hone ke bazaher asarat ki wajah se press mein the, jabke US Dollar (USD) halki izafa dikha raha tha. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policies mein ikhtilaaf ke wajah se investors ko aggressive bullish bets lagane se roka gaya, USD/JPY ke liye upside ko mehdud kar diya. Technical nazar se, USD/JPY pair ek short-term downtrend mein dikh raha tha, isse unhone haal hi mein ek descending channel ke ander giravat ka ishara diya. Ye negative outlook taqreeban naye chart ki daily chart par mojood oscillators ke ghair mutwaqqa readings dwara madadgar tha, jo ke shahbere nishchit se hai ke koi bhi potential faida mehdud ho sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar uth gaya, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke shayad 144.55 ilaqe tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin, significant ooper ki raftar muqarrar hona na-karar tha jab tak ke pair 145.60 resistance level ke upar na uth gaya aur 145.00 psychological mark ko haasil na kar leya.