USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ
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  • #11416 Collapse

    Aaj ka focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ko analyze karne par hai. Is area se ek reversal aur downtrend ka continuation expected hai. Bears ka qareebi target support level 137.52 par hai. Agar sellers is level ko break karte hain, toh pair 134.89 tak gir sakta hai. Agar price 46-period moving average ke neeche rehti hai, toh selling ko priority di jaye. Agar price iss level tak pullback karta hai, toh selling ka relevance kam ho sakta hai. Mein short positions consider karne ka mashwara deta hoon agar price 141.38 se neeche girta hai.

    USD/JPY pair ne pichlay haftay ka trend continue kiya, lekin movement relatively subdued rahi hai. Lekin price ne buying ke liye ek important entry point diya hai 143 ke qareeb, jo meri chart ke 100th level of the Fibonacci grid se align karta hai. Yeh entry kal raat available thi, lekin agar aapne miss kar di, toh pullback par buying ka chance ab bhi ho sakta hai.
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    Uptrend abhi tak relatively straightforward hai, aur selling consider karne ka koi khaas waja nahi jab tak price 143 ke critical level se neeche nahi jata. Ideally, pair zyada stable behavior ko maintain karega. Long positions ke liye targets, Fibonacci grid ko follow karte hue, 200th level ke qareeb, yani 146.41, par profits liye ja sakte hain, jab ke 161st level zyada likely hai. Analysis 4-hour time frame par hai. Medium-term perspective se, Extended Regression indicator jo linear aur nonlinear regression ka use karta hai, is pair ko evaluate karne ke liye ideal hai. Exit strategy ko determine karne ke liye, Fibonacci grid ko kal ya aaj ke trading ke extreme points par apply karein aur sabse profitable take-profit level ko select karein. Attached chart mein sabse zahir baat downward-sloping first-degree regression line hai, jo H4 time frame par current bearish trend ko indicate karta hai aur sellers ki dominance ko highlight karta hai.
     
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    • #11417 Collapse

      USD/JPY ka Technical Analysis
      Pichlay week yen thoda weak hua, jab ek lambe daur ki strengthening ke baad correction start hui. 140.80 ke support level se price bounce hui aur upper move karte hue 143.53 ko break kar diya, aur signal zone mai ghus gayi. Target area tak pohch nahi sakti kyun ke expected cut ka scenario fulfill nahi hua. Is dauran, price chart super trendy green zone mai hai, jo buyers ke restraint hone ka indication de raha hai.

      USD/JPY 143.21 tak gir gaya pichlay din ke close of 143.58 ke muqable mai. Yeh pair 143.11 ke low se lekar 144.68 ke high tak gya. Tuesday ke session ke aakhir mai, China ke stimulus package ke elan ki wajah se pair niche gir gaya. Is ke ilawa, US dollar bhi week ke start se gir raha hai kyun ke aglay saal mai aur interest rate cuts ki umeedain barh gayi hain. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ka strong correlation US Treasury yield ke sath hai, jo securities ke yield ki wajah se pair ki decline ko drive karta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

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      Abhi prices sharp rise kar rahi hain aur weekly highs ke qareeb hain. Key resistance area kaafi pressure mai hai, magar ab tak puri tarah se break nahi hua, jo downward movement ka vector relevant rakhta hai. Is ki continuation ke liye price ka 143.53 ke level ke niche consolidate hona zaroori hai, jo ke ab main resistance zone ka border hai. Agar is level ka retest hota hai aur downward reversal milta hai, toh naye wave ki umeed ho sakti hai jo target karega 138.98 aur 137.72 ke darmiyan.

      Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 144.97 ke reversal level ko cross kar leti hai, toh current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.
         
      • #11418 Collapse

        US dollar Thursday ko thoda mazid mazboot hua, 145 yen ki ahem had ko choo kar. Ye qeemat aik bohot bara nafsiati asar rakhti hai aur mazid guzray hue waqt mein critical support aur resistance ki jagah rahi hai. Jab market is level ke qareeb hoti hai, to kharidaar foran faida uthate hue kharidari kartay hain jab bhi price ghat'ti hai, jo ke bullish jazbaat ka izhar karti hai.

        Is upar ki taraf harkat ka asal sabab interest rate ka faraq hai, jo ke abhi bhi US dollar ke haq mein hai. Bank of Japan ka halia faisla ke wo apne interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi karega, is mein ek aur waja shamil hai. Ab tawajjo is baat par hai ke traders yield ke peechay bhaagnay ka silsila jari rakhen ge ya nahi, jab ke kuli tor par iqtisaadi be-yaqeeni aur global volatility jo ke pair ko nuksan pohancha sakti hai, ka saamna hai. Aisi turbulent market mein, khaaskar dollar aur yen ke saath, volatility aam tor par zyada hoti hai.

        Agar US dollar ¥145 ke level se upar nikal jata hai, to agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) hoga, aur phir mumkin hai ke ¥150 tak ka izafa dekha jaye. Magar agar pair is waqt ke levels ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai aur niche girta hai, to humein ek zyada bara downtrend tab nazar aayega jab qeemat ¥140 ke level se niche close hogi. Aisa hona "risk-on" sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke global markets mein izafi ehtiyaat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

        Akhir mein, jab ke dollar abhi yen ke muqable mein bullish hai, 145 yen ka level aik bohot ahem nuqta hai. Agar ye break hota hai, to mazid izafay ka ishara hoga, jab ke agar girawat hoti hai to yeh risk aversion ke liye ek bohot bara ishara hoga.

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        • #11419 Collapse

          Price Action Analysis: USD/JPY

          Hamari guftagu ka mawad USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ka tajziya hai. USD/JPY ne apni recent high ko thoda update kiya aur phir neeche chali gayi, iska matlab hai ke bade institutional investors ki taraf se bohat kam dilchaspi hai. Agar yeh rahe, tou hum price ka girna dekh sakte hain takay yeh 142.32 ke qareebi accumulation zone tak pohnche. Yeh move is level ko test kar sakta hai aur naye trading positions ko volume ke zariye bana sakta hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pohonchta hai aur volume se support hoti hui koi bullish signal paida hoti hai, tou ek rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo price ko bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak le ja sakti hai, sath hi 140.87 area tak bhi girawat ka imkaan hai. Aaj price ke neeche janay se, pivot price level touch hua, usay tor diya aur price girti rahi. Hourly chart pe, maine aik inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke pair gir ke triangle ke neeche ke kinare, jo ke 142.67 hai, tak pohnche ga.
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          Aaj ke din ke aghaz mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 aur trend line ko test kiya. Wahan se hum ne ek girawat dekhi jo EMA 20 ke 143.49 level tak gayi, aur phir ek rebound aya. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur ziada growth ka sabab ban sakta hai jahan pair trend line ke upar janay ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test 145.04 par kare. Abhi trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ki inflation data ka intezaar hai jo Central Bank se expected hai, aur iski wajah se hum market reaction dekh sakte hain jo pair ko affect kar sakta hai. Main ab bhi umeed karta hoon ke resistance ki taraf rise dekhne ko mile, lekin European session mein aur developments ho sakti hain. Aik significant reversal ho sakti hai agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, chali jati hai. Aik reversal ke natije mein, price wapas triangle ke upper boundary, jo 144.77 par hai, tak ja sakti hai.
           
          • #11420 Collapse

            US Dollar aur Yen Analysis:
            Jumeraat ko US dollar thoda mazid mazboot hua aur 145 yen ka ahm level chho liya. Yeh price ek ahm psychological ahmiyat rakhti hai aur pehle se ek critical support aur resistance ka area raha hai. Market jab is level ke ird-gird hota hai, to buyers zyada active ho kar kisi bhi dip par buying ka mauqa dhondte hain, jo ke bullish sentiment ka izhar hai.

            Is upward movement ka sab se bara driver interest rate differential hai, jo ab bhi US dollar ke haq mein hai. Bank of Japan ka recent faisla ke interest rates ko badalna nahi ne bhi is dynamic ko mazid support diya hai. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke kya traders yield chase karte rahenge, jab ke overall economic uncertainty aur global volatility jese factors pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Aise turbulent market mein, khaaskar dollar aur yen ke hawale se, volatility aksar significant hoti hai.

            Agar US dollar 145 yen ke level ko break karta hai, to agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ho sakta hai, aur iske baad 150 yen ka level tak rise ka imkaan hai. Magar agar yeh pair current levels ko hold nahi kar pata aur decline hota hai, to ek significant downtrend tab dekhne ko milega jab price 140 yen se neeche close karega. Aisi move broader "risk-on" sentiment ko trigger kar sakti hai, jis se global markets mein zyada ehtiyat ka rujhan dekhne ko milega.

            Mukhtasir mein, filhaal dollar yen ke muqable mein bullish hai, lekin 145 yen ka level ek pivotal point bana hua hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to mazeed gains ka ishara milega, jab ke decline ek significant shift ko signal kar sakta hai jo risk aversion ko badhawa dega across financial markets.


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            • #11421 Collapse

              US Dollar aur Yen Analysis:
              Jumeraat ko US dollar thoda mazid mazboot hua aur 145 yen ka ahm level chho liya. Yeh price ek ahm psychological ahmiyat rakhti hai aur pehle se ek critical support aur resistance ka area raha hai. Market jab is level ke ird-gird hota hai, to buyers zyada active ho kar kisi bhi dip par buying ka mauqa dhondte hain, jo ke bullish sentiment ka izhar hai.

              Is upward movement ka sab se bara driver interest rate differential hai, jo ab bhi US dollar ke haq mein hai. Bank of Japan ka recent faisla ke interest rates ko badalna nahi ne bhi is dynamic ko mazid support diya hai. Ab dekhna yeh hai ke kya traders yield chase karte rahenge, jab ke overall economic uncertainty aur global volatility jese factors pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Aise turbulent market mein, khaaskar dollar aur yen ke hawale se, volatility aksar significant hoti hai.

              Agar US dollar 145 yen ke level ko break karta hai, to agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ho sakta hai, aur iske baad 150 yen ka level tak rise ka imkaan hai. Magar agar yeh pair current levels ko hold nahi kar pata aur decline hota hai, to ek significant downtrend tab dekhne ko milega jab price 140 yen se neeche close karega. Aisi move broader "risk-on" sentiment ko trigger kar sakti hai, jis se global markets mein zyada ehtiyat ka rujhan dekhne ko milega.

              Mukhtasir mein, filhaal dollar yen ke muqable mein bullish hai, lekin 145 yen ka level ek pivotal point bana hua hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to mazeed gains ka ishara milega, jab ke decline ek significant shift ko signal kar sakta hai jo risk aversion ko badhawa dega across financial markets.


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              • #11422 Collapse

                USD/JPY Pair Analysis:
                USD/JPY pair ne 143.22 ke aas-paas ek stable base bana liya hai, jab ke investors Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke recent comments ka gahra tajziya kar rahe hain. Ueda ke bayanat se yeh andaza hota hai ke BoJ monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli karte waqt ehtiyat se kaam le raha hai, aur filhaal interest rates barhane ka koi irada nahi lagta.

                Governor Ueda ne wazeh kiya hai ke koi bhi policy decision lene se pehle market aur economic conditions ko tehqiqat karna zaroori hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke agle kuch arsay mein rate hike ke imkaanaat kam hain. Ueda ne external risks ko bhi highlight kiya hai, jisme financial markets ki volatility aur US economy ke hawale se uncertainties shaamil hain, jo ke Japan ki monetary policy ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

                BoJ ne apni September ki meeting mein interest rates ko 0.25% per annum par barqarar rakha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Ab October ki meeting ke hawale se speculation hai ke Monetary Policy Committee mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayegi. Lekin December tak BoJ ke paas itne saboot ho sakte hain ke woh rate hike ko justify kar sakein.

                Recent US consumer confidence ke weak data ne US dollar mein girawat ka sabab bana, jis se yen ko mazid taqat mili hai. Is girawat ne Federal Reserve se aglay rate cuts ki umeedon ko barhawa diya hai.

                Current Market Position:
                USD/JPY pair is waqt ek broad consolidation zone mein hai, jo 143.43 se 144.66 ke darmiyan centered hai. Pehle market ne downward move kiya tha 142.55 tak, jo test ho chuka hai. Ab hum assume kar rahe hain ke pair rebound karega aur is range ke upper limit tak wapas jaayega. Agar price 144.70 ke upar break hota hai, toh raasta 145.77 aur shayad 146.66 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 142.00 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 137.77 tak ka trend continuation signal de sakta hai.

                MACD Indicator:
                MACD indicator bhi bullish scenario ko support kar raha hai, jisme signal line zero ke upar hai aur upwards point kar rahi hai. Is hisaab se, agar market trends aur indicators ko closely follow kiya jaye, toh short-term mein USD/JPY pair mein bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai.


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                • #11423 Collapse

                  USD/JPY Pair Analysis:
                  USD/JPY pair ne 143.22 ke aas-paas ek stable base bana liya hai, jab ke investors Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke recent comments ka gahra tajziya kar rahe hain. Ueda ke bayanat se yeh andaza hota hai ke BoJ monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli karte waqt ehtiyat se kaam le raha hai, aur filhaal interest rates barhane ka koi irada nahi lagta.

                  Governor Ueda ne wazeh kiya hai ke koi bhi policy decision lene se pehle market aur economic conditions ko tehqiqat karna zaroori hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke agle kuch arsay mein rate hike ke imkaanaat kam hain. Ueda ne external risks ko bhi highlight kiya hai, jisme financial markets ki volatility aur US economy ke hawale se uncertainties shaamil hain, jo ke Japan ki monetary policy ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

                  BoJ ne apni September ki meeting mein interest rates ko 0.25% per annum par barqarar rakha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Ab October ki meeting ke hawale se speculation hai ke Monetary Policy Committee mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi aayegi. Lekin December tak BoJ ke paas itne saboot ho sakte hain ke woh rate hike ko justify kar sakein.

                  Recent US consumer confidence ke weak data ne US dollar mein girawat ka sabab bana, jis se yen ko mazid taqat mili hai. Is girawat ne Federal Reserve se aglay rate cuts ki umeedon ko barhawa diya hai.

                  Current Market Position:
                  USD/JPY pair is waqt ek broad consolidation zone mein hai, jo 143.43 se 144.66 ke darmiyan centered hai. Pehle market ne downward move kiya tha 142.55 tak, jo test ho chuka hai. Ab hum assume kar rahe hain ke pair rebound karega aur is range ke upper limit tak wapas jaayega. Agar price 144.70 ke upar break hota hai, toh raasta 145.77 aur shayad 146.66 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 142.00 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 137.77 tak ka trend continuation signal de sakta hai.

                  MACD Indicator:
                  MACD indicator bhi bullish scenario ko support kar raha hai, jisme signal line zero ke upar hai aur upwards point kar rahi hai. Is hisaab se, agar market trends aur indicators ko closely follow kiya jaye, toh short-term mein USD/JPY pair mein bullish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai.


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                  • #11424 Collapse

                    USD/JPY Analysis:
                    Is report mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ka gehra tajziya karenge D1 period chart ke zariye. Filhaal wave structure se lagta hai ke aik downward trend ban raha hai. MACD indicator neeche selling zone mein positioned hai, lekin abhi haal hi mein apni signal line ke upar cross kiya hai. August ke lowest update ke baad, MACD indicator par bullish divergence dekhne ko mili hai, jab ke CCI indicator par bhi isi tarah ka bullish divergence observe kiya gaya hai, jo lower overheating zone se upar move kar raha hai.

                    Pichlay haftay ke dauran market ka direction thoda unpredictable raha, magar buyers ne kuch gains hasil kar liye hain, jisse price thoda upar gaya hai, bawajood iske ke kayi dafa price neeche lay jane ki koshish ki gayi. Jo cheez bilkul clear hai wo yeh ke horizontal resistance level 143.83 ke aas paas hai, jisse price upar jane mein rukawat ho rahi hai, aur is wajah se strong rebound effect dekhne ko mil raha hai. Phir bhi, price neeche se wapis uthi hai aur ab phir se is level par wapas aa gayi hai. Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke agar price is resistance level se phir se rebound karti hai, toh yeh break through kar sakti hai, aur bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho sakti hai.

                    Is ke ilawa, recent waveform peaks ke paas aik inclined line bhi hai. Iss waqt, yeh behtareen waqt nahi hoga ke direct buy kiya jaye in levels par; behtar hoga ke ek confirmed breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jo resistance level aur inclined line ke upar ho. Agar yeh confirmation milti hai, toh price mein significant upward movement aasakti hai. Main apna target 149.08 par rakhta hoon, jahan tak price appreciate kar sakti hai. Is waqt sell karna ghalat hoga, khaaskar divergence ke hawale se.

                    Yeh kehna ghalat nahi hoga ke downward movement ka imkaan bilkul khatam nahi hua, magar mere khayal se iske chances ab kam ho gaye hain. Agar doosri major currencies US dollar ke muqable mein weakness dikhati hain, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ko mazid taqat dega. Meri rai mein, yeh currency pair filhaal upward trend ki taraf inclined hai. Haal mein kuch downward pressure zaroor hai, lekin main yeh tawakku karta hoon ke yeh environment jald stabilize hoga aur upward movement wapis se shuru hogi.


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                    • #11425 Collapse

                      USD/JPY Analysis:
                      Is report mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ka gehra tajziya karenge D1 period chart ke zariye. Filhaal wave structure se lagta hai ke aik downward trend ban raha hai. MACD indicator neeche selling zone mein positioned hai, lekin abhi haal hi mein apni signal line ke upar cross kiya hai. August ke lowest update ke baad, MACD indicator par bullish divergence dekhne ko mili hai, jab ke CCI indicator par bhi isi tarah ka bullish divergence observe kiya gaya hai, jo lower overheating zone se upar move kar raha hai.

                      Pichlay haftay ke dauran market ka direction thoda unpredictable raha, magar buyers ne kuch gains hasil kar liye hain, jisse price thoda upar gaya hai, bawajood iske ke kayi dafa price neeche lay jane ki koshish ki gayi. Jo cheez bilkul clear hai wo yeh ke horizontal resistance level 143.83 ke aas paas hai, jisse price upar jane mein rukawat ho rahi hai, aur is wajah se strong rebound effect dekhne ko mil raha hai. Phir bhi, price neeche se wapis uthi hai aur ab phir se is level par wapas aa gayi hai. Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke agar price is resistance level se phir se rebound karti hai, toh yeh break through kar sakti hai, aur bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho sakti hai.

                      Is ke ilawa, recent waveform peaks ke paas aik inclined line bhi hai. Iss waqt, yeh behtareen waqt nahi hoga ke direct buy kiya jaye in levels par; behtar hoga ke ek confirmed breakout ka intezar kiya jaye, jo resistance level aur inclined line ke upar ho. Agar yeh confirmation milti hai, toh price mein significant upward movement aasakti hai. Main apna target 149.08 par rakhta hoon, jahan tak price appreciate kar sakti hai. Is waqt sell karna ghalat hoga, khaaskar divergence ke hawale se.

                      Yeh kehna ghalat nahi hoga ke downward movement ka imkaan bilkul khatam nahi hua, magar mere khayal se iske chances ab kam ho gaye hain. Agar doosri major currencies US dollar ke muqable mein weakness dikhati hain, toh yeh USD/JPY pair ko mazid taqat dega. Meri rai mein, yeh currency pair filhaal upward trend ki taraf inclined hai. Haal mein kuch downward pressure zaroor hai, lekin main yeh tawakku karta hoon ke yeh environment jald stabilize hoga aur upward movement wapis se shuru hogi.


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                      • #11426 Collapse

                        zyada tar U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki mukhtalif monetary policies ki wajah se hai. Fed ke dovish stance ne market mein ye afwahain barha di hain ke aney wale waqt main interest rates cut ho sakte hain, jis se U.S. dollar par neechey ki taraf pressure hai aur usko apni strength barqarar rakhna mushkil ho raha hai. Doosri taraf, BoJ ke aakhri meeting minutes se yeh samajh aaya ke board members interest rates ko dheerey magar waqti tor par barhane ke haq mein hain, jo ke mustaqbil mein monetary tightening ke liye optimistic view ko reflect karta hai.Yeh divergence in policy stances USD/JPY ke liye ek mushkil situation paida karta hai, jahan traders ko central banks ke faislayon ko dekhte hue currency valuations ka andaza lagana par raha hai. Halaat ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke market sentiment mein aik shift aa raha hai. Hal hi mein dollar ke bounce back ne USD/JPY ko apni khoi hui ground recover karne ka mauka diya hai aur 144.21 ke critical resistance level se thoda upar break diya hai. Is upward move ne bullish sentiment ko barqarar rakha hai, halan ke donon central banks ke interest rate policies par uncertainty abhi bhi hai.Iske ilawa, weekly chart pe ek bullish engulfing candle nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke potential upward momentum ka ishara deti hai. Magar hourly aur H4 charts par mixed signals hain, jahan 144.21 ke aas paas kaafi resistance hai. Is wajah se investors ko in developments ko gaur se dekhna hoga jab woh dollar ki
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                        • #11427 Collapse

                          Colleague, lagta hai keh trend abhi rukne ka naam nahi le raha. Agar USD/JPY pair 142-142.50 ke level ko tor deta hai, toh pehla target 144-145 hoga, phir 147.18 aur uske baad 149.40. Lekin is waqt hum sirf 149-150 ka khawab dekh sakte hain. Pehle pair ko level 141 ko torna hoga, phir chhoti girti channel ko break karna hoga, aur uske baad 142-142.50 ke blue trend ko. Agar channel aur trend ko tor kar upar nahi jata, toh trend ke khilaf buy karna samajhdari nahi hogi. Is waqt bas ek signal ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Bina signal ke buy karna ka matlab ho sakta hai ke price 138-137 ke targets tak gir jaye. Aaj tak level 140 nahi toota, bas thoda chheda hai lekin complete breakout nahi mila. Is hafte hume Fed ke rate aur Powell ki speech ka intezaar bhi hai, jo ke market ke liye ek bara event hoga. Agar unki baat disappoint karti hai ya wo aggressive tone mein baat karte hain, toh reaction bhi kaafi tezi se aa sakti hai, khas kar agar economic forecasts positive hotay hain. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan se bhi koi naya signal nahi aaya, lekin unki rate announcement ka bhi intezaar hai. Har surat mein hum ek signal ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo abhi tak nahi aaya.
                          USD/JPY pair ne second consecutive day apne losses extend kiye hain aur Wednesday ki Asian session mein 141.20 ke level ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Ye movement BoJ ke hawkish comments ki wajah se hui hai, khas kar Governing Council ke member Junko Nagakawa ke. Unhone kaha ke BoJ apne monetary easing ko adjust kar sakta hai agar economic trends unke expectations ke mutabiq rahe. US CPI data bhi market ko guide karega ke Fed ka agla step kya hoga, jab ke US labor reports bhi rate cut ke expectations ko challenge kar rahe hain.


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                          • #11428 Collapse

                            US dollar ne Thursday ko thodi mazbooti dekhi, jo ke 145 yen ke ahem level tak pohanch gaya. Yeh price ek significant psychological weight rakhta hai aur mazi mein support aur resistance ka critical area raha hai. Jaise hi market is level ke ird-gird ghoom rahi hai, buyers khud ko tayaar dekh rahe hain ke wo kisi bhi dip par buying opportunities ka faida uthain, jo ke bullish sentiment ko darshata hai.

                            Is upward movement ka main driver interest rate differential hai, jo ke abhi bhi US dollar ko faida de raha hai. Bank of Japan ka haal hi mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka faisla bhi is dynamic mein shamil hai. Ab nazar is baat par hai ke kya traders yield ke pichhe bhaagte rahenge, dekhte hue ke broader economic uncertainty aur global volatility is pair par asar daal sakti hai. Aise turbulent market mein, khaas taur par dollar aur yen ke beech, volatility aksar bohot zyada hoti hai.

                            Agar US dollar ¥145 ke level se upar nikalta hai, toh agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) hoga, jiske baad ¥150 tak upar ki taraf badhne ki sambhavna hai. Lekin agar pair current levels ko hold karne mein nakam hota hai aur decline shuru karta hai, toh hum sirf tabhi ek significant downtrend dekh sakte hain jab price ¥140 ke level se neeche band hoti hai. Aise move se broader "risk-on" sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo global markets mein heightened caution ka sabab ban sakta hai.

                            Khulasah yeh hai ke jab tak dollar yen ke khilaf bullish hai, ¥145 ka level ek pivotal point hai. Isse upar nikalne par aage ke gains ka ishara mil sakta hai, jabke decline hone par financial markets mein risk aversion ki taraf ek significant shift ka signal mil sakta hai.



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                            • #11429 Collapse

                              ### USD/JPY Ka Pechwa: Japanese Yen 13-Mahine Ki Bulandi Par

                              Do din se, USD/JPY ne apni tez girawat se bahar aane ki koshish ki hai, jo 139.60 ki 13-mahine ki support level tak pahuncha. Yeh rebound 142.46 ke resistance level par ruk gaya hai aur ab 141.80 ke ird gird hai, jabke foreign exchange bazaar ke liye sab se ahm waqia, US Federal Reserve ki policy ka elan aaj hone wala hai.

                              Is darmiyan, Japanese Yen ki mazbooti is wajah se hai ke investors is hafte Japan aur America ke monetary policy faislon ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan ka is Jumme interest rates ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh aisa bhi lagta hai ke woh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Financial markets ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan December mein interest rates mein izafa kar sakta hai, jabke October ka faisla abhi tak nishchit nahi hai. Doosri taraf, US Federal Reserve se pehli martaba chaar saalon mein interest rate ka katna umeed hai, jahan financial markets ek bara 50 basis point cut ka 67% imkaan laga rahe hain.

                              Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha hai ke forex ki volatility ke faide aur nuqsan dono hain, lekin tezi se hone wali tabdeeliyaan nafrat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Iske ilawa, Japan ka 10 saal ka bond yield ek mahine ki bulandi par aa gaya hai. Yeh yield 0.83% tak gir gaya hai, jo US bond yields ki kami ke saath saath hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed hai.

                              Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan ka is hafte apni policy ko behtar rakhne ka imkaan hai lekin yeh aage ke rate hikes ka ishara de sakta hai. Fitch ne Japan ke liye apni interest rate predictions ko revise kiya hai, ab yeh 2024 ke end tak 0.5%, 2025 mein 0.75%, aur 2026 ke end tak 1% ka andaza laga raha hai.

                              ### USD/JPY Technical Analysis Aur Umeedain

                              Halankeh haali mein kuch rebound koshishain hui hain, lekin USD/JPY ka overall trend bearish hai. Psychological support level 140.00 is baat ka saboot hai ke bears ka control mazboot hai. Technical indicators oversold levels ki taraf ja rahe hain. Yeh central banks ke announcements ke baad ka jawab hi yeh tay karega ke dollar/yen ka kya hoga. Agar yeh girawat aur bhi badhti hai, to pehli support level 138.00 tak aa sakti hai, jo bears ke control ko aur mazboot karega. Iske ilawa, daily chart ke mutabiq, 150.00 ka psychological resistance asal trend ke bullish



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                              • #11430 Collapse

                                Pichle August ke minimum update ke baad, bullish divergence MACD par dekhi gayi thi, aur CCI indicator bhi lower overheating region se upar move kar chuka hai, jo bullish divergence ko confirm karta hai.Last week multi-directional raha, lekin ultimately buyers jeet gaye Aur price ko upward push diya, jabke kai baar decline attempt kiye gaye. Horizontal resistance level 143.83 ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, balkay downside par rebound kiya. Lekin neeche se price wapas rebound karke isi level par aa gaya hai, aur abhi isi resistance point par hai. Yeh possibility hai ke jab price is level ko break kare, toh bullish divergence puri tarah se play out ho.Filhal yeh area buying ke liye ideal nahi hai, kyun ke price resistance ke pass hai, aur inclined line bhi waves ke crests ke qareeb hai . Best approach yeh hogi ke wait karein jab tak price clearly is level ko upar break kare aur bullish development shuru ho. Mera target level 149.08 hai, lekin selling ka yahan koi point nahi hai kyun ke bearish scenario unlikely hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hoga ke doosri major currencies apni weakness against USD ko support karein. US dollar ke comparison mein, currencies abhi mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hain. Aaj ka key economic data US Consumer Confidence Index ko 17:00 GMT par release kiya jayega, jo market ke sentiment par asar daal sakta hai. USD/JPY Tuesday ko 143.70 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq pair descending channel mein move kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se neeche hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. If price neeche move karta hai, toh USD/JPY pair 9-day moving average ko test kar sakta hai jo 143.01 par hai . Is level ke neeche move karne par price 139.58 area ko explore kar sakti hai, jo June 2023 ka lowest point hai. Agar price upar break kare, toh pair 145.00 psychological barrier ko challenge kar sakta hai.Tuesday ko USD/JPY ne apni best daily performance record ki, jab price 140 level par strong settlement ke baad green mein move kiya. Federal Reserve ka decision between 25bp or 50bp rate cut aaj 18:00 GMT par expected hai. Regular 25bp rate cut ek partial recovery ko support kar sakta hai, jabke pair 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) 143.55 ko break karne mein struggle kar raha hai

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