usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

currency pair ki current pricing behavior par hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent USD ke against movements currency markets ki fluid nature aur policymakers ke liye challenges ko highlight karti hain. BoJ ki monetary policy ka mustaqbil abhi bhi unsure hai, Jahan officials ne mazed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Lekin isko cautious approach kiya ja raha hai, heightened market volatility ki wajah se. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne zor diya ke BoJ market conditions ko closely monitor karega, lekin monetary policy ke hawale se koi bhi faislay BoJ ke ikhtiyar mein hi rahenge. Ye careful approach yeh darshata hai ke economic growth ko stimulate karna aur currency stability ko maintain karna donon mein balance banana zaroori hai

pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry

pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase kiya kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers seek additional capital kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon. Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry

USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Is mahine ke trading mein sabse zyada jo deal hui, usay resistance area ke level par 147.00 se lekar 147.30 tak move kiya gaya. Jab buyer ke paas dobara resistance area level ko test karne ka acha mauqa ho, toh wo koshish kar sakta hai. Yeh sab USD/JPY currency pair ke liye mera tajziya hai is waqt ke liye, aur yaad rahe ke money management har successful transaction ki buniyad hoti hai. Aise actions yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/JPY ki qeemat barh rahi hai. Filhaal, USD/JPY ki qeemat upper Bollinger bands ke qareeb hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat middle Bollinger bands ki taraf gir sakti hai. Stochastic oscillator level 80 par pohanch gaya hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke USD/JPY ki qeemat overbought hai, aur yeh lagatar mazid mazbooti dikhata hai.
4-hour chart par agar bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle, base demand ke upar candle body ke sath confirm hoti hai, toh purchase ki ja sakti hai, aur loss limit 144.00 ke niche base demand ke saath lagai ja sakti hai. Profits ko 146.00 ke price par base supply ke niche liya ja sakta hai, jo abhi tak fresh hai. Agar USD/JPY ki qeemat base demand ke niche girti hai, toh purchase signal ka expiry ho jata hai, aur trend reversal hota hai. Agar koi transaction technical standards ke mutabiq nahi hai, toh zabardasti transaction mat karein. Kyunke USD/JPY ki qeemat pehle hi overbought hai, toh pending order sell limit price 146.00 ke saath base supply ke niche rakhi ja sakti hai, aur loss limit 144.00 ke upar base supply ke saath, jabke take profit 144.40 par base demand ke upar ho sakta hai

US Dollar ne Thursday ko thori si mazbooti dikhai aur aham 145 yen ke level tak barh gaya. Yeh level qabal az waqt bhi ahmiyat ka hamil raha hai aur psychological taur par support aur resistance ka kirdar ada karta hai. Market ke is level par hone ke bawajood, lagta hai ke kharidaar is level par dips par khareedari karne ke liye tayar hain, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid barhata hai.

Is upward movement ka sabse bara sabab interest rate ka farq hai, jo ab tak US Dollar ke haq mein hai. Bank of Japan ka halia faisla ke woh apni interest rates ko change nahi karega, is dynamics ko mazeed taqat de raha hai. Ab tawajjo is baat par hai ke kya traders yield ka peechha karte rahenge, jabke baray paimany par iqtisadi uncertainty aur global volatility jo ke is currency pair par asar dal sakti hai, bazahir abhi bhi chhayi hui hai. Aise beqarar market mein, khaaskar jab baat dollar aur yen ki ho, volatility hamesha zyada hoti hai.

Agar US Dollar 145 yen ke level ke ooper break karta hai, to agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ho sakta hai, aur phir ye yen 150 yen ke level tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar ye pair is waqt ke levels ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam hota hai aur neeche jata hai, to hum ek ziada ahem downtrend tabhi dekhenge jab price 140 yen ke level se neeche close karega. Aisa hone par, "risk-on" sentiment mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke global markets mein ehtiyat ko barha sakta hai.






Muksar mein, jab tak dollar yen ke muqable mein bullish hai, 145 yen ka level ahmiyat ka hamil hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to mazeed faiday ki umeed hai, jabke decline hone ki soorat mein risk aversion ka rujhan pura financial markets mein dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

currency pair ki current pricing behavior par hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke key support level ko break kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair 99 points gir gaya lekin phir ek correction ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne price ko wapas 144.53 ke resistance level tak push kiya. Iss point par sell positions open karna behthreen move ho sakta hai, aur 140-141 range ki taraf mazeed girawat ka target set kiya ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 144.53 resistance level se rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, aur agla target 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart mein ek ascending channel dikhai de raha hai jo flag pattern se milta julta hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai aur abhi uski lower boundary se bounce hua hai. Agar price 144.49 se break hoti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakhte hue buying strategy viable ho sakti hai. Friday ko Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against 14-mahinon ka low touch kiya, jo 140.41 tha. Ye girawat zyada market trend ka hissa hai jahan JPY kamzor ho raha hai, zyada ter Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke monetary policy changes ki wajah se. BoJ ne recently apni policy ko hawkish banate hue interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhaya, jisse Yen carry trade ka unwinding hua. Yen ko support "Yenterventions" ke zariye bhi mila, jo multi-decade lows se recover karte hue 12.5% barh gaya USD ke against. Abhi ka market sentiment Yen ke hawale se monetary policy changes, market interventions, aur global economic factors ka aik pechida mix darshata hai. Yen ka Mustaqbil Yen ka historic lows se recovery aur recent

US dollar ne Thursday ko halka sa mazbooti dikhai, ¥145 ke key level tak pahuncha. Yeh price ek ahm psychological wazan rakhta hai aur peechle mawaqay mein support aur resistance ka critical area raha hai. Jab bazaar is level ke ird-gird ghoom raha hai, buyers khareedne ke mauqe ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar nazar aa rahe hain, jo bullish jazbe ko darshata hai.

Is upar ki taraf chalne ki wajah interest rate ka farq hai, jo US dollar ko faida de raha hai. Bank of Japan ka haal hi mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka faisla bhi is dynamic ko barhawa de raha hai. Ab nazar is baat par hai ke traders yield ke pichhe bhageinge ya nahi, jab ke economic uncertainty aur global volatility ka asar pair par pad sakta hai. Aise turbulent bazaar mein, khaaskar dollar aur yen ke saath, volatility kaafi zyada hoti hai.

Agar US dollar ¥145 ke level ko todta hai, toh agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) hoga, uske baad ¥150 tak ka potential rise ho sakta hai. Lekin agar pair is waqt ke levels par tik nahi pata aur girne lagta hai, toh hum ek zyada significant downtrend tab dekh sakte hain jab price ¥140 ke level ke neeche close hota hai. Aisa hona global markets mein "risk-on" jazba ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo zyada ihtiyaat ko janam dega.

Short mein, jab tak dollar yen ke muqable bullish hai, ¥145 ka level ek pivotal point bana rahega. Is level ka break hona aage ke gains ka ishara de sakta hai, jab ke girawat ka hona financial markets mein risk aversion ki taraf ek significant shift darshata hai.

Spot price mein Wednesday ke din ki daily gains mein kami dekhi gayi, halaan ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke 2024 mein interest rate hike ke hawale se umeedein barhti nazar aa rahi hain. Japan ki parliament ka ek khaas session 23 August ko schedule kiya gaya hai, jahan law-makers BoJ ke recent faisle par behas karenge. Reuters ke mutabiq, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda bhi iss ehm meeting mein shamil honge. Latest update ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka exchange rate 144.41 ke aas-paas hai.

Forex traders ke liye iss waqt ka environment mauqa aur challenges dono paish karta hai. BoJ ke potential rate hike ke saath Fed ki anticipated rate cuts mil ke ek dynamic environment paida kar rahe hain jo price fluctuations mein izafa kar sakte hain. Is liye traders ko zarurat hai ke woh economic indicators aur market sentiment ko ghore se monitor karein taake sahi aur munasib faislay kar sakein.


USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:


America ki baat karein, to market sentiment se lagta hai ke Federal Reserve apne aanay wale July meeting mein interest rates cut nahi karega. Lekin traders yeh tawaqo karte hain ke Fed officials September tak potential easing policy ke hawale se baat cheet shuru karenge. CME FedWatch Tool ke data se pata chalta hai ke September mein quarter-point rate cut hone ki 100% probability hai. Yeh speculation short term mein U.S. dollar par pressure dal raha hai Japanese Yen ke against.

Reuters ke ek recent poll ke mutabiq, economists predict karte hain ke BoJ apne interest rates mein 10 basis points (bps) ka izafa karega, jise 0.1% tak le jaya jaega. ING ke analysts ka kehna hai ke central bank shayad rates ko 15 bps tak barhaye, aur saath hi apne bond-buying program ko kam kare. OCBC FX strategists ke mutabiq, BoJ ki policy normalization ke saath potential Fed rate cuts mil ke USD/JPY exchange rate ke decline ke liye favorable conditions paida kar sakte hain.


Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:


Agar USD/JPY 145.00 ka level breach karta hai, to iska matlab hoga ke recent USD ki strength stabilize ho gayi hai. Sideways trading ke baad, USD ne kal ek surge kiya aur 144.60 ke upar break kiya. Iss waqt price trends yeh indicate karte hain ke market ek range trading phase mein hai, jahan clear directional bias ki kami hai. Recent high volatility ke dehan mein rakhte hue, analysts yeh suggest karte hain ke USD 141.00 se 155.00 ke broad range mein trade karega, jo ke market ki indecision ko darshata hai lekin yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke woh 145.00 mark ko jald breach karega.
Yeh woh jagah hai jahan abhi tak market stability aur fluctuations ka mukhalif combination dekha ja raha hai, lekin traders ko chaahiye ke woh iss mauke ko samajh kar apne trading decisions karein.

US dollar ne Thursday ko thodi mazbooti dekhi, jo ke 145 yen ke ahem level tak pohanch gaya. Yeh price ek significant psychological weight rakhta hai aur mazi mein support aur resistance ka critical area raha hai. Jaise hi market is level ke ird-gird ghoom rahi hai, buyers khud ko tayaar dekh rahe hain ke wo kisi bhi dip par buying opportunities ka faida uthain, jo ke bullish sentiment ko darshata hai.

Is upward movement ka main driver interest rate differential hai, jo ke abhi bhi US dollar ko faida de raha hai. Bank of Japan ka haal hi mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka faisla bhi is dynamic mein shamil hai. Ab nazar is baat par hai ke kya traders yield ke pichhe bhaagte rahenge, dekhte hue ke broader economic uncertainty aur global volatility is pair par asar daal sakti hai. Aise turbulent market mein, khaas taur par dollar aur yen ke beech, volatility aksar bohot zyada hoti hai.

Agar US dollar ¥145 ke level se upar nikalta hai, toh agla target 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) hoga, jiske baad ¥150 tak upar ki taraf badhne ki sambhavna hai. Lekin agar pair current levels ko hold karne mein nakam hota hai aur decline shuru karta hai, toh hum sirf tabhi ek significant downtrend dekh sakte hain jab price ¥140 ke level se neeche band hoti hai. Aise move se broader "risk-on" sentiment trigger ho sakta hai, jo global markets mein heightened caution ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Khulasah yeh hai ke jab tak dollar yen ke khilaf bullish hai, ¥145 ka level ek pivotal point hai. Isse upar nikalne par aage ke gains ka ishara mil sakta hai, jabke decline hone par financial markets mein risk aversion ki taraf ek significant shift ka signal mil sakta hai.

Price Action Analysis: USD/JPY

Hamari guftagu ka mauzu USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. Yeh dekha gaya hai ke USD/JPY ne thoda apne recent high ko update kiya hai, lekin phir neeche ki taraf gaya hai, jisse yeh pata chalta hai ke bade institutional investors ka is par zyada interest nahi hai. Agar yeh trend continue raha, toh hum umeed karte hain ke price 142.32 ke aas paas ke accumulation zone ki taraf gir sakta hai.

Yeh movement is level ko test kar sakta hai aur volume ke saath naye trading positions ko facilitate kar sakta hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahuncha aur yahan ek bullish signal generate kiya jo volume se supported ho, toh ek rally ho sakti hai, jo price ko 146.12 ke bullish accumulation level tak upar le ja sakti hai. Iske ilawa, price 140.87 ke area tak bhi gir sakti hai.

Aaj jab price neeche ki taraf gaya, toh yeh pivot price level tak pahuncha, jisse yeh break hua aur girne laga. Hourly chart par, maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke pair is triangle ke lower edge ki taraf 142.67 ki taraf girta rahega.

USD/JPY Price Action Analysis

Aaj subah, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya, jo 144.64 par resistance aur trend line ko test kar raha tha. Uske baad, price EMA 20 par 143.49 tak gira, phir ek aur rebound dekhne ko mila. Yeh rebound Asian session mein further growth ki taraf le ja sakta hai jab pair trend line ko break karne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ko 145.04 par test karega.

Filhal, trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke beech hai. Japan ke inflation data ki umeed hai jo Central Bank se aayega, jisse pair par market reaction dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Main abhi bhi resistance ki taraf upar jane ki umeed kar raha hoon, jabke European session mein further developments hone ki sambhavnayein hain.

Lekin, agar price EMA 50 se neeche chala gaya, jo 142.94 par hai, toh ek significant reversal ho sakta hai. Aisa hone par, price triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY Price Analysis

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki movements ka tajziya karenge. Jaise ke umeed thi, qeemat weekly Fibonacci retracement mein 38.1% support level se rebound hone ki sambhavna thi. Halankeh yeh level bilkul sahi nahi tha, lekin is area se qeemat ka barhna yeh darshata hai ke yeh ab bhi mumkin hai. Mera asal fikr yeh hai ke USD/JPY is pullback ke doran kitna aur barh sakta hai. Weekly chart aur potential buyer targets ke mutabiq, qeemat 901 points tak aur barh sakti hai, jo 14.7% ke barabar hai.

Lekin, U.S. dollar ke bare mein negative khabron aur rate cut ke mumkinah asar ko dekhte hue, main USD/JPY ke upar jaane wale momentum ke liye ehtiyaat se kaam le raha hoon aur zikar ki gayi target par dhyan de raha hoon. Dollar-yen pair ki movement ke hawale se, yeh development aur breakout insignificance lagte hain, jo is trend ko trading ke liye akarshak ya reliable banane mein mushkilat paida kar raha hai.

Aage dekhte hue, mera agla target growth ke liye 145.38 hai, halankeh main abhi bhi faisla kar raha hoon ke kya main is level par test ke baad sell karunga ya nahi.

Pair mein ek saaf downward trend nazar aa raha hai, jo darshata hai ke U.S. dollar ko growth ke liye kuch support mil sakta hai, jo ab zaroori hai. Agar qeemat aane wale ghanton mein bearish movement karti rahi, toh yeh is bearish path ko tasdiq de sakti hai. Aise mein, primary support level 143.24 hoga, khaaskar agar hum poore hafte mein musalsal girawat dekhte hain.

Agar downward movement mein taqat ki kami hai aur USD/JPY bullish ho jata hai, toh pehla resistance level 144.13 hoga, jab bullish trend shuru hoga. Yeh market reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo downward trend ko bullish movement mein tabdeel kar sakta hai aur overall outlook ko badal sakta hai.

144.29 ke resistance ko dekhte hue, jo kai baar sambhav tha, maine sell karne ka faisla nahi kiya. Lekin, pair ne aaj is level ko minimal movement ke sath paar kiya, lekin isne 144.29 ko dobarah test nahi kiya aur iske bajaye upar settle ho gaya.

Pichlay hafte USD-JPY bullish state mein tha aur bullish tareeqay se move kiya. Agar hum weekly timeframe ko dekhein, to yeh clear hota hai ke bullish movement mein significant taqat thi kyun ke aik weekly bullish candle bani, jo ke bohot strong thi aur usne bullish engulfing pattern bhi banaya. Weekly timeframe candle pattern ke basis par, is haftay bhi USD-JPY ka bullish movement jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe ke daur se mein ne aik tafseeli image banayi hai, jo dikhati hai ke kaise H4 timeframe mein bullish movement ne aik bullish trend pattern banaya hai, jis mein higher highs aur lower lows dekhnay ko milay. Yeh condition is baat ki potential rakhti hai ke ek aur zyada taqatwar bullish movement trigger ho sakti hai. Ab tak, bullish movement ne MA 50 aur MA 100 ko tor dia hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is haftay yeh MA 200 ko bhi tor dega, jo ke yeh tasdeeq karega ke USD-JPY ka trend bearish se bullish mein tabdeel ho gaya hai.
Yeh buy option par focus karna dilchasp hoga kyun ke meri prediction hai ke USD-JPY H4 timeframe mein MA 200 ko break kar le ga, jo trend reversal ki tasdeeq karega bearish se bullish ki taraf. USD-JPY mein focus karna chahiye bullish movements ki dominance par jo ke H4 timeframe mein bullish trend pattern bana rahi hain. Mere khayal mein yeh conditions direction ke liye aik acha indication hain. Kyunkay bullish trend pattern significant tor par bana hai aur MA 50 aur MA 100 ke against aik break ka moment aaya hai, is moment ki potential hai ke yeh ek aur zyada significant bullish movement trigger karega. Weekly timescale par jo candle pattern bana hai, us ke madde nazar, yeh kafi zyada imkaan hai ke USD-JPY apni bullish trend is haftay bhi jaari rakhe. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, to hum trading ke mouqe se faida utha sakte hain, is liye humein hamesha alert rehna chahiye aur kisi bhi additional price fluctuation ka intezar karna chahiye.
Yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke humain hamesha doosray indicators aur important levels se tasdeeq leni chahiye jo humari decisions mein madad kar sakein. Is liye, chaliye hum USD-JPY ki progress par nazar rakhein aur moqay ke mutabiq action lenay ke liye tayar rahain.

Price Action Analysis: USD/JPY
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Dekha jaye toh USD/JPY ki qeemat ne apna recent high thoda update kiya, lekin uske baad neeche ki taraf move hui, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bade institutional investors ka interest kam hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh hum expect karte hain ke price gir kar accumulation zone ke qareeb 142.32 tak pahunch sakti hai. Yeh move is level ka test kar sakti hai aur trading volume ke zariye naye positions banane mein madad kar sakti hai. Agar pair 142.32 tak pahunchta hai aur wahan bullish signal generate hota hai jo volume se support ho, toh ek rally ka imkaan hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakti hai bullish accumulation level 146.12 tak, lekin potential drop bhi 140.87 area tak ho sakta hai. Aaj price neeche ki taraf move hui aur pivot price level tak pahunchi, isko tod kar further decline ki taraf chali gayi. Hourly chart par maine ek inverted triangle draw kiya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair girta rahega aur triangle ke lower edge 142.67 tak ja sakta hai.

Aaj ke pehle hisse mein, USD/JPY ne kal ka high update kiya aur resistance 144.64 ko test kiya aur trend line tak pahunch gaya. Uske baad decline dekha gaya EMA 20 tak, jo 143.49 par tha, lekin phir ek rebound hua. Yeh rebound Asian session mein aur barh sakta hai jab pair trend line ko todne ki koshish karega, aur shayad EMA 200 ka test ho, jo 145.04 par hai. Abhi tak trading range 144.64 aur 143.49 ke darmiyan hai. Japan ka inflation data Central Bank se expected hai, jo market par asar dal sakta hai aur pair ke movement ko influence kar sakta hai. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke price resistance ki taraf barhegi, aur mazeed developments European session mein ho sakti hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche, jo 142.94 par hai, move karti hai toh ek significant reversal ka imkaan hai, jo price ko wapas triangle ke upper boundary 144.77 tak le ja sakti hai.

JPY currency pair ke price movements ki live dynamics ka tajziya karte hain. Kai logon ka andaza hai ke ek significant bullish correction ho sakti hai, jo ke us waqt mumkin hai jab market historical support zone 140.36 ke qareeb ho jaye. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke hum strong bearish trend ko bhi dekhain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Japanese yen ke fundamentals Bank of Japan ke recent interest rate hike ki wajah se abhi tak kaarfarma hain. Maujooda halaat ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke maximum bullish correction moving average resistance zone 143.21 ke qareeb ho sakti hai. Main is level se sell karne ke mauqe talash karunga, kyunki mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Higher time frames par volatility mein kisi bhi slowdown ya sideways movement ka na hona yeh dikhata hai ke local ya global trend mein koi foran reversal nazar nahi aa raha. Maujooda market dynamics Japan ke central bank ke fundamentals ko reflect karti hain, aur yen ke taqatwar hone ka silsila abhi jaari rahega. Chalo, USD/JPY ka daily chart dekhte hain: wave structure abhi bhi downward hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche lower sales zone mein hai. Jumay ke din, USD/JPY mein selling ka rujhan tha, aur bulls 141.89 level ko paar karne mein kamyab nahi ho sake. Hourly technical analysis yeh signal data hai ke sellers ka pressure jaari hai. Mera khayal hai ke price ki girawat abhi bhi barqarar rahegi, aur bears ka target 136.99 hai. Quotes 155.23 ke high se neeche ja rahe hain, aur chart par yeh dikh raha hai ke chhoti rebounds ke bawajood downtrend abhi tak jaari hai. Kaafi arsay se traders 140.27 aur 143.81 ke darmiyan phansay

USD/CAD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mai Canadian Dollar ne 1.3616 par support dhund li aur strength show ki. Price ne 1.3616 ko break karne ki koshish ki lekin wahan mazboot resistance mili jis ki wajah se ek rebound aaya aur price niche chali gayi. Is wajah se expected growth materialize nahi ho saka aur target area profitable nahi raha. Is kay ilawa, price chart ne supertrend red zone mai move kiya jo yeh batata hai ke sellers ne market control mein le li hai.

US Dollar ne Federal Reserve ke taraf se 50 basis points ka interest rate cut announce karne ke baad thoda recover kiya. Kaafi logon ne isay ek naye round of quantitative easing ka acha start samjha, jo US Dollar ke liye negative impact tha. Wednesday ko, US housing data ke better results ke baad dollar ne kuch recovery ki, kyunke housing sector US economy ka ek important hissa hai. US Dollar Index 100.85 points se gir kar 100.58 points tak pohch gaya. Neeche chart dekhein:



Prices abhi clearly decline kar rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb aa rahi hain. Iss waqt key support areas kaafi pressure mai hain aur almost break ho chuke hain, jo yeh batata hai ke downward movement ke liye ek correction ki zarurat hai. Is cheez ko confirm karne ke liye price ka 1.3563 ke level ke niche consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ke central resistance zone ka border cross kar raha hai. Retest aur rebound ka signal milega aur phir agay girawat ki umeed ho sakti hai jo target karega area 1.3377 aur 1.3320 ke darmiyan.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 1.3616 ke reversal level ko cross kar leti hai, toh current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.