USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke daily chart ka tajziya karenge. Is waqt wave structure neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai. Is haftay, jab last August ka minimum update hua, to MACD indicator par ek bullish divergence bana, aur doosra CCI indicator neeche overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Neeche ek false breakout hua tha, jahan sirf ek spike chhori gayi thi, aur kal ki daily candle ek inverted hammer ya pin bar bani, jo aksar growth ka sign hota hai. Aaj kuch growth ka aaghaz ho gaya hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke yeh 143.83 ke qareebi horizontal resistance level tak jari rahegi. Doosra, aur door ka target, ek descending resistance line hai jo pichlay do wave peaks par bani hai. Growth signals ki buniyad par, aaj sirf buying positions ko hi intraday kaam ke liye consider kiya jaa raha hai, selling options ko nahin. H4 period ke MACD par bhi ek bullish divergence dikh raha hai. Mein zyada growth ki taraf mayal hoon, kyun ke halanki trend neeche ki taraf hai aur uss ke saath kaam karna zyada asaan lagta hai, lekin abhi yeh situation waisi nahin hai. Aaj kuch news items bhi hai jo dekhni chahiye, jaise USDA ka global agriculture ke supply aur demand par report, aur 30-year US Treasury bonds ka auction. Mujhe divergence par yaqeen hai ke yeh fail nahi hogi, lekin phir bhi forex markets mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai, khaaskar USD/JPY ke hawalay se.
Jab price 142.37 ka test kar raha tha, MACD indicator zero mark se neeche jaane laga tha, jo selling ke liye sahi entry point tha. Asar mein, pair mein 30 pips se zyada ki girawat hui, aur aaj Asia session ke dauran hum 141.50 ke target level tak pohanch gaye. Japan ki industrial production ke strong data ne dollar par zyada pressure dala, jo downtrend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Lekin, ab ke lows par selling karte hue ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai. Thodi correction ka intezaar behtar hoga nayi short positions kholne se pehle. Aaj ke intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 aur Scenario No. 2 par zyada bharosa kar raha hoon. Aaj mein USD/JPY ko 141.51 ke aas paas (green line) buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jisme target level 142.55 hoga. 142.55 par long position se nikal kar ek short position kholunga, aur umeed hai ke wahan se price 30-35 pips neeche ki taraf move karegi. Aaj ka rise sirf ek correction ka hissa lagta hai. Buying se pehle yeh ensure karein ke MACD zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se rise kar raha hai.

**Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen**
Aaj ke din ke dusre hisson mein mere zikar ki gayi keematon ka koi test nahi hua. Volatility ki kami dekhne ko mili, jo data ki kami ki wajah se thi, jisne U.S. dollar ke upar uthane ki potential ko bhi kam kar diya. Aaj ki Asian session mein dollar par bechne ka bohot zyada pressure raha. Japan ke monetary base ke badlav ka report economists ke andazay se milta julta tha, lekin 10 saal ke bonds ki bechne mein demand ummeed se kam rahi. Badi trading companies ke market mein wapas aate hi dollar par pressure barh gaya. USD/JPY mein chal raha upar ki taraf ka correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai, is liye bechne ki mauqay dhoondhna behtar hoga jo ke recent months mein dekhe gaye neeche ke trend ke saath mel khate hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada tawajjo dunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh 146.44 par pohanchta hai, jo ke chart par hare rang ki line se dikhaya gaya hai. Iska maqsad 147.21 tak uthna hai, jo ke chart par mote hare rang ki line se hai. 147.21 ke ilaqe mein, main long positions se nikalne aur short positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, umeed hai ke wahan se 30-35 pips ki harkaat milegi. Humein aaj pair ke uthne ki umeed hai, lekin humein 146.00 ke ilaqe mein buyers ki activity ki zarurat hai. Ahmiyat: Kharidne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se uth raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Aaj main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 145.99 ke do musalsal tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke neeche ke potential ko limit karega aur market ka wapas uthna ka sabab banega. Humein 146.44 aur 147.21 tak ki growth ki umeed hai.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan sirf 145.99 ke level ka test karne ke baad banata hoon, jo ke chart par laal line se dikhaya gaya hai, isse pair mein tezi se girawat aayegi. Bechne walon ka key target 145.41 hoga, jahan main short positions se nikal kar foran long positions kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, umeed hai wahan se 20-25 pips ki harkaat milegi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ka bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hua. Ahmiyat: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se gir raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Aaj main USD/JPY bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 146.44 ke do musalsal tests hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upar ki potential ko limit karega aur market ka wapas girna ka sabab banega. Humein 145.99 aur 145.41 tak ki girawat ki umeed hai

US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega.Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue. Traders ko alert aur tayar rehna chahiye kyun ke significant US data ke release hone ke baad volatility ka imkaan hai.Jese jese din guzarta hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko break karna, future price action ke liye clearer signals provide karega. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators par nazar rakh kar, traders apne aap ko is currency pair ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye effective tor par position kar sakte hai

Monday ko zyada wazeh thi. Is shift ka bohot zyada taaluq market expectations se hai jo aane wali Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting se related hain. Traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Fundamentally, Yen ka outlook strong hai. Haal hi ke data ne currency ke liye barhawa dekhaya hai, specialar Japan ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke 3.0% YoY tak barhne par jo August mein record hui, aur yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, special Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain. Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega. Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue

Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jo Monday ko zyada wazeh thi. Is shift ka bohot zyada taaluq market expectations se hai jo aane wali Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting se related hain. Traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Fundamentally, Yen ka outlook strong hai. Haal hi ke data ne currency ke liye barhawa dekhaya hai, specialar Japan ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke 3.0% YoY tak barhne par jo August mein record hui, aur yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, special Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain. Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega. Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai

Kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega . Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai

Yen ka outlook mazboot hai. Haal ki data ne currency ke liye unchi demand dikhayi hai, utasalar jab Japan ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) August mein 3.0% YoY tak barh gaya, jo October 2023 ke baad ka sab se uncha darja hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par dobaara ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halankeh market umeed karti hai ke interest rates qareeb ke waqt mein unchanged rahenge. Is se aisi halat ban sakti hai jahan Yen ki keemat barh sakti hai agar maashi halaat behtar hoti rahen.
Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko challenges ka samna hai. Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ke imkaan badh rahe hain, jo Dollar ke liye bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Jab market participants apni umeedon ko adjust karte hain, aaj ke dauran release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complicate kar sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka dekha jana umeed hai, utsalar jab Fed ka faisla nazdeek hai.

Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair filhal correction phase mein ghusne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabke pichle haftay ke trading ke akhir mein isne girawat dekhi. Jabke kuch short-term mein upward movement ki sambhavna hai, lekin overall trend yeh darshata hai ke neeche ki taraf ka rukh jald wapas aa sakta hai. Watch karne ke liye key levels mein reversal point 141.35 shamil hai. If price is level ke neeche girta hai, to sell opportunities ban sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 rakhe ja sakte hain. Agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar leta hai, to bullish scenario ban sakta hai, jo price ko 141.65 aur 141.85 ke uchi resistance levels tak le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein dobaara ghusne ki koshish kar sakte hain, umeed karte hue ke broader downward trend continue rahega. Overall, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan dono buniyadi aur technical factors iski movement ko asar daal rahe hain. Market Federal Reserve ke policy decisions ke asraat ko samajhne ki koshish kar raha hai jabke Japan ki economic performance ko bhi dekh raha hai

currently trading sessions mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne khaas taqat dikhai, khaaskar Asian se European trading hours ke darmiyan. Is izafay ka sab se bara point 143.83 ke resistance area ka break karna tha, jis ne traders ki khaas tawajju hasil ki. Buyers ne jab is level ko paar kia, toh ye pair ke liye aik ahem mor tha, jis se further upward momentum dekhnay ko mila.Jaisay jaisay session barhta gaya, price ne sirf 143.83 ko break nahi kiya, balke nayi resistance level 144.00 tak bhi pohanch gayi. Ye upward movement bullish sentiment ka izhar hai, jo is baat ko darsha raha hai ke US dollar ki demand Japanese yen ke muqable mein barh rahi hai. Trading ka yeh amal ek mazboot market response ko zahir karta hai, jahan buyers actively price ko upar le ja rahe hain, jo ke bullish trend ko mazeed reinforce kar raha hai.
Pichla resistance level 143.73 bhi is price action mein khaas role ada karta hai. Un traders ne jo breakout ka intezaar kar rahe the, apne aap ko rewarded mehsoos kia hoga jab price is area ke upar surge kar gayi, jo is upward trend ki taqat ko confirm kar rahi thi. Ye breakout market participants ke liye aik naya reference point bhi bana raha hai, jahan 144.00 ko ab ek ahem level ke tor par dekha ja raha hai.Market sentiment ko mazeed support broader economic indicators aur geopolitical factors bhi de rahe hain jo USD/JPY pair ko asar andaz karte hain. Investors Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions aur economic data releases par ghoor kar rahe hain, jo US dollar ki strength ko farq daal sakti hain. Dosri taraf, Japan ki economic conditions, jaise ke interest rates aur inflation data, bhi yen ki performance ko shape karti hain.
USD/JPY pair jab tak is naye established range mein trade karta rahega, traders 144.00 aur 143.10ke levels par focus rakhein ge. Agar price **144.00** ke upar qaim rahti hai, toh zyada buyers market mein aasakte hain, jo pair ko aur bhi upar le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price retrace karta hai aur **143.10** ke neeche girta hai, toh ye momentum mein shift ka ishara hoga, jis se selling pressure barh sakta hai.Natija ye hai ke USD/JPY pair ki trading dynamics buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan chalti rehne wali larai ko highlight karti hai. Key resistance levels ke successful penetration ke baad, market participants optimistic hain pair ke trajectory ke bare mein, lekin kisi bhi shift ko bhi ghoor kar rahe hain jo is ke direction ko farq daal sakta hai.

Aaj mein qareebi tor par USD/JPY pair ke price action ko monitor kar raha hoon. Hali mein kai bearish pin bars local resistance level 144.10 par bane hain, jo ek potential decline ka ishara kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apna interest rate 0.25% se kam par barqarar rakha hai, jo ye darshaata hai ke BOJ apni monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli nahi kar raha. Is fundamental backdrop ke madde nazar, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan zyada mazboot lag raha hai Is ke ilawa, humein hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern nazar aya hai, jo mazeed downward move ko confirm karta hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY aane wale hafte mein neeche ki taraf trend karega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai (spread ke ilawa), lekin mujhe lagta hai ke is ke neeche jane ke mazeed chances bhi hain.Is bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne recently apna 20-day high 144.50 tak pohchaya. Sellers ne market ko neeche push karne ki koshish ki, lekin wo kamyab nahi ho sake. Maine ek key support area 143.49 aur 143.77 ke beech identify kiya hai, jo price ko barqarar rakhne mein significant sabit hua hai. Lekin jab market close ki taraf barh raha tha, asset resistance ko maintain karne mein muskilat ka samna kar raha tha, aur double tops aur bottoms fifteen-minute chart par dikhai de rahe the.Agar price 143.49 ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka signal hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 144.50 ke upar close karta hai, toh mein apni selling position exit kar dunga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 50.00 mark ke neeche 47 par hai, jo bullish momentum mein kamzori ko darshaata hai, aur asset ek descending channel ki upper boundary par pohch chuka hai. In tamam factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY mein bearish trend dekhne ko milega.

USD/JPY Market Forecast

Subah Bakhair Sab Traders Ko!

Kal BOJ ki Policy Rate aur Monitory Policy kaafi achi rahi, jisse sellers thora stable hue. Magar USD/JPY ka market abhi bhi uptrend direction ko follow kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, pure hafta US dollar ke hawalay se market sentiment bearish raha. Investors aur market participants mein US dollar ke liye clear support na milne par fikr thi, kyun ke key economic indicators aur policy decisions ne zaroori boost nahi diya. Market sentiment currency movements ko drive karne mein aham kirdar ada karta hai, aur jab kisi currency mein confidence kamzor hota hai, to wo currency mazid kamzor ho jati hai. Yehi halat US dollar ki thi, jo ke economic uncertainty ke dor mein traction hasil karne mein nakam raha.

USD/JPY par trading ke liye, main agle hafta 144.00 ke short target ke sath ek buy order ko pasand karta hoon. Iske ilawa, US dollar ke struggles ne doosri bari currencies ko taqat hasil karne ka moqa diya. Euro, British pound, aur Japanese yen sab US dollar ki kamzori se faida uthate rahe, jab investors ne in currencies ko zyada safe ya zyada attractive alternatives samjha. Misal ke tor par, Euro ko Eurozone se aane wale mazboot economic data ne support kiya, jab ke British pound ne UK labor market mein positive developments ki wajah se taqat hasil ki. Japanese yen, jo ke safe-haven currency ke tor par jani jati hai, bhi mazeed barh gayi jab investors ne US dollar ke volatility se bachne ke liye yen mein refuge liya.

Is focus ke tabadlay ne in currencies ko stabilize karne mein madad di, aur kuch cases mein dollar ke muqable mein taqat barh gayi. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY ke buyers jald ya dair 144.00 ki resistance zone ko cross kar lenge. USD/JPY market mein, aur un logon ke liye jo pichle hafton mein US dollar ki volatility ke wajah se nuksan uthaye, is haftay ne recovery ka moqa diya. US dollar ki kamzori ne doosri currencies mein buy karne ke liye zyada favorable conditions paida ki, jiski wajah se forex markets mein activity barhi. Market participants jo mazboot currencies mein positions rakhtay thay, unhein dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthate hue apne pehlay huay nuqsan se kuch had tak nikalne mein madad mili.

Keep Calm!

USD/JPY ka price apne low point se decline hua aur aik din mein kuch apni favorable aspects kho diye. Wednesday ki Asian session ke dauran yeh pair strong tha, lekin phir 142.00 mark se neeche close hua. Jab traders ko aggressive bets place karni thi central bank tournament risks ke hawale se, toh essential context ne yeh indicate kiya ke spot cost ke liye downward momentum ka rujhan zyada hai. Federal Reserve ka do din ka meeting Wednesday ko khatam hona tha, jisme unka faisla announce kiya gaya, aur umeed thi ke woh apna coverage easing cycle start karein ge. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka coverage shift Friday ko expected tha, jo market ke liye bohot interest ka moqa tha kyun ke iska direct asar Japanese yen (JPY) par hota aur USD/JPY pair ko ek significant upward move milta. Yeh cheez Tuesday ke unexpectedly strong US retail sales record ko overshadow karti, jo ke dollar ko apne 2024 lows se recover hone nahi de rahi thi. Lekin ek din mein hi US dollar ne apne intraday low 140.32 se rebound karte hue 142.44 tak pohanch gaya, jo yen ke muqablay mein ek strong increase tha. US ki strong economic facts ki wajah se investors ko Federal Reserve ke price reductions ke hawale se concerns thi, jis ki wajah se woh central bank ke economic policy decisions par focus kar rahe thay. Is ki wajah se dollar short sellers ne apni holdings ko reduce kar diya, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye aik negative move samjhi gayi. Halaankeh USD/JPY ne 180 points se zyada ka faasla tay karte hue turning point 142.35 ko test kiya, yeh pair ab bhi downward bias show kar raha hai. Agar USD/JPY September 12 ko apne daily high 143.04 se upar break kar jaye, toh important resistance levels, Kijun-Sen at 144.48 aur Senkou Span A at 143.15 expose ho sakti hain. Lekin agar yeh 142.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh downtrend ko aur bhi worse kar dega. Is waqt ka annual low 139.58 ek key support level serve karega, aur 139.00

USD/JPY pair Asian session ke dauran ek tight trading range mein chal raha hai, aur guzishta din ke closing levels ke qareeb hai. Hal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi, jo Monday ko zyada wazeh thi. Is shift ka bohot zyada taaluq market expectations se hai jo aane wali Federal Reserve ki Wednesday meeting se related hain. Traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh pair ki direction ko mutasir kar sakti hain.Fundamentally, Yen ka outlook strong hai. Haal hi ke data ne currency ke liye barhawa dekhaya hai, khaaskar Japan ki Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke 3.0% YoY tak barhne par jo August mein record hui, aur yeh October 2023 ke baad ka sab se zyada level hai. Yeh inflationary pressure Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko apni monetary policy stance par ghoor karne par majboor kar sakta hai, halan ke market anticipate karti hai ke filhal interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. Yeh ek aisa environment paida karta hai jahan Yen ka mazaid taqat pakar sakta hai agar economic conditions behtar hoti hain.Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ke additional rate cuts ke imkaanaat jo 2024 ke liye hain, Dollar ke hawalay se bearish sentiment ka sabab ban rahe hain. Market participants apni expectations ko adjust kar rahe hain, aur aaj ke baad mein release hone wale US economic data ka asar situation ko aur complex bana sakta hai. Currency markets mein significant volatility ka intezar hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve ka faisla qareeb aane ke saath.Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY pair correction phase mein daakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hai, guzishta haftay ke akhri dino mein decline ke baad. Filhal kuch short-term upward movement ka imkaan hai, lekin overall trend downward trajectory ki taraf wapas aane ka ishara karta hai. Key levels jo dekhne wale hain, wo reversal point 141.35 hai. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai, to selling opportunities samne aa sakti hain, jahan targets 139.85 aur 139.35 set kiye ja sakte hain.Dosri taraf, agar pair 141.35 ke upar break aur hold kar jata hai, to ek bullish scenario shayad unfold ho sake, aur price higher resistance levels ko test karne ka imkaan hai, jo 141.65 aur 141.85 par hain. Is surat mein, traders upward move ke baad sell positions mein wapas aa sakte hain, anticipate karte hue ke broader downward trend continue karega.Mujmuan taur par, USD/JPY pair ek crossroads par hai, jahan fundamental aur technical dono factors is ki movement ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Market abhi Federal Reserve ki policy decisions ke implications ka andaza lagane ke liye weigh kar raha hai, sath hi Japan ki economic performance par bhi nazar rakhe hue. Traders ko alert aur tayar rehna chahiye kyun ke significant US data ke release hone ke baad volatility ka imkaan hai.Jese jese din guzarta hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke pair in developments par kaise react karta hai. USD/JPY ka established support ya resistance levels ko break karna, future price action ke liye clearer signals provide karega. Market sentiment aur key economic indicators par nazar rakh kar, traders apne aap ko is currency pair ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye effective tor par position kar sakte hain.

Aaj main USD/JPY pair ke price action ko qareebi tor par dekh raha hoon. Haal hi mein kai bearish pin bars 144.10 ke resistance level par banay, jo ke price ke neeche janay ka ishara de rahe hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne apni interest rate ko 0.25% se kam rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke is baat ko zahir karta hai ke BOJ apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakh raha hai. Is faislay ka asar Yen ki strength par ho sakta hai. Is buniyadi surat-e-haal ke peesh-e-nazar, USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend ka imkaan mazid barh gaya hai.
Hourly chart par ek bearish engulfing pattern bhi dekha gaya, jo ke mazeed neeche janay ka signal de raha hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, main yeh tawakku karta hoon ke USD/JPY aane wale hafte mein neeche ki taraf move karega. Mera pehla target lagbhag 50 points ka decline hai, spread ke ilawa, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke aur bhi downside potential hai.






Halaanki, bearish outlook ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 144.50 ka 20-day high touch kiya. Sellers ne price ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki, lekin woh is mein kamiyaab nahi ho sake. Main ne 143.49 aur 143.77 ke darmiyan ek ahem support area identify kiya hai, jo prices ko upper level par banaye rakhne mein madadgar raha hai. Lekin jab market close ke qareeb tha, toh asset ko resistance maintain karne mein mushkilat ka samna tha, aur fifteen-minute chart par double tops aur bottoms bane hue dekhe gaye.










Agar price 143.49 ke neeche toot jata hai, toh yeh current correction ke khatam hone ka signal hoga aur selling interest ko attract karega. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY 144.50 ke upar close karta hai, toh main apni selling position se exit kar loonga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) iss waqt 50.00 ke mark se neeche, yani 47 par hai, jo ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai, aur asset ne descending channel ke upper boundary ko chhoya hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ke liye bearish trend banne ka imkaan hai.
Iss waqt meri short trade 0.14 lots ki hai jo ke loss mein chal rahi hai, lekin main umeed rakhta hoon ke market meri taraf turn karega. Kul mila kar, bearish price action aur buniyadi signals ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair ke neeche janay ka imkaan zyada hai.

notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish

USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh kamzori is speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan mumkin hai ke umeed se pehle interest rates barha de, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke imkanat ke hawale se ehtiyat barat raha hai, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakte hain. kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai