usd/jpy

Monday se, humein hourly timeframe par ek sell signal mila hai. Yeh brown bar se mark kiya gaya hai, aur iska chhota potential 146.458 ko target kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, ek expansion bhi complete hui hai. Iska matlab hai ke upper boundary par deviation ke baad, currency pair ne downward movement ki aur lower boundary par deviation ko complete kiya. Abhi yeh pattern ke andar hi hai. Main aam tor par trend ke haq mein expansion formations ko consider karta hoon. Filhal, USDJPY ke liye most recent trend bearish hai, khaaskar jab 4-hour aur hatta ke daily timeframe par dekha jaye. Magar abhi tak humein koi sell pattern nahi mila. Haan, ek naya support level fractals ki buniyad par nazar aa raha hai, lekin humein expansion ko decline ki pehli wave ke tor par consider nahi karna chahiye. Agar currency pair 145.155 ke level ko update karta hai, to yeh 1-2-3 structure of descending waves ko form karega, jo southward movement ke imkanat ko barhata hai.

Pehle chart par hum note karte hain ke hourly signal par jo rise hui thi woh poori tarah complete ho gayi hai - jise green bar se mark kiya gaya hai aur 148.484 ko target kar raha hai. 4-hour chart par ek higher timeframe buy signal bhi hai - jise grey bar se mark kiya gaya hai. Iske targets 152.741 ke level par hain, lekin abhi tak iski completion uncertain hai. Iske ilawa, 1-hour timeframe par last sell signal complete ho chuka hai. 4-hour chart par bhi ek sell signal hai, jo ke same timeframe par buy signal se contradict kar raha hai.

Maine 4-hour signal se potential decline ko second chart par purple bar se mark kiya hai, jo 143.295 ke level ko target kar raha hai. Mera maanna hai ke agar currency pair 145.186 ke level se neeche girta hai aur third wave of decline ko confirm karta hai, to in targets ki taraf trading relevant hogi. Graphically, main in conditions ko blue mein highlight karta hoon. Is scenario mein, remaining downside potential takreeban 190 pips hoga - jo ke ek bohot acha movement hai.

US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein Tuesday ke trading session ke doran wobbled kiya, jab market clear direction establish karne mein struggle kar raha tha. Yeh movement bohot zyada uncertainty ko suggest karti hai, jab traders decide karne ki koshish kar rahe hain ke carry trade – ek strategy jo low-yielding currency se borrow karke high-yielding currency mein invest karna involve karti hai – kya phir se apni position regain kar sakti hai. Is uncertainty ke madde nazar, agle kuch din sideways trading ki ummeed hai, jo humne pehle bhi dekhi hai. Lekin, kuch key levels hain jo main closely dekh raha hoon.

Agar US dollar ¥150 level ko break karta hai, to hum ek significant move upar dekh sakte hain, jo shayad ¥152 level aur phir ¥155 level ko target kare. Downside par, ¥144 level ek key support area hai. Agar market is level se neeche girti hai, to situation dollar ke liye mushkil ho sakti hai, khaaskar jab dollar recently pressure mein raha hai.

Yeh baat ke US dollar yen ke muqablay mein apni position hold kar raha hai, despite ke overall weakness ke baad dusri currencies ke muqablay mein, ek positive sign ke taur par dekhi ja sakti hai. Lekin, abhi definite conclusions draw karna thoda jaldi hai. Filhal, main sideways action ki ummeed karta hoon jab market consolidate ho raha hai. Lekin, jab hum is current range se bahar nikalte hain aur highs ya lows break karte hain jo maine mention kiye hain, to hum ek more decisive trend dekh sakte hain jo momentum ke izafe ke sath aayega.

Short mein, jab current market conditions indecision aur noise se bhari hui hain, ¥150 ke around upar aur ¥144 ke around neeche levels agle significant move ko determine karenge is currency pair ke liye. Traders ko in levels breach hone par potential volatility ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye.

Meri daily time frame ke mutabiq, USD-JPY pair ne pichlay do dinon mein musalsal upar ka safar kiya hai. USD-JPY pair abhi tak ek uptrend mein hai kyun ke yeh aqua line ya 150 moving average (145.50) se kaafi upar hai.
Bajud iske ke 20 August, 2024 ko 9:00 server time per rejection ka samna hua, seller ab tak support area 146.50-147.00 ko breach nahi kar saka. Magar, 11:00 server time per, AUG, 2024 mein price ne red line ya 50 moving average ke upar break kiya. Monday ko, mein price ke reaction ka intezaar karunga jab yeh resistance area 147.30-147.55 ko toray ga, aur agar price isey theek se toray to mein ek buy order place karunga.

Kal thodi dair ke liye 146.30 ko tor kar, USD/JPY ka pehla chart sharply bearish ho gaya tha ek false break ki wajah se. Is waqt price position 50-day moving average ke upar hai aur is par rebound kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne support ke neechay 144.60 ko breach kiya aur 146.80 ke demand level par 50-day moving average line ke upar chala gaya. Technically, iska price Ichimoku indicator ke demand se mutaliq hai, aur USD/JPY ka price Ichimoku clouds se ooper hai. Agar iska price 148.75 ke upar break karta hai aur 147.10 ko resistance level bana leta hai, hum expect karte hain ke iska price kal aur barhay ga. Is top ke upar break karne ka faida yeh hoga ke zyada buyers market mein dakhil honge agar USD/JPY pair is level ke upar break kare

USD/JPY pair ka girna pivot H1 2/8 (145.31) par ruka, jahaan se growth shuru hui aur 147.34 tak pohonchi, jis ke baad ek pullback aaya. Agar 146.48 ke neeche consolidation hoti hai, toh bullish TF M15 bearish mein tabdeel ho jaye gi, aur agar 145.84 ka minimum tod diya gaya, toh pair decline shuru karega, jisko bearish TFs H1 aur H4, Daily TF ke saath support milegi, pehle pivot H1 1/8 (144.53) tak, phir pivot H1 (143.75) tak, aur phir hum aaj ke liye growth bhool sakte hain. Agar pair 147.66 - 148.00 ke area par consolidation ke saath grow karta hai, toh bearish TF H1 ka breakdown hoga, lekin is ke liye TF M15 bullish rehna zaroori hai. Bearish TF H4 ka break 150.78 - 152.40 ke area mein consolidation ke saath hoga. Daily TF abhi bearish hai, aur bullish tab hoga jab 153.10 tak growth hoke 155.00-156.70 ke area mein consolidation hogi.
Kal ka trading din USD/JPY pair ke liye hamein downward trend mein market quotes ka movement dikhata hai. Bearish trend dobara shuru ho gaya hai, jiske wajah se instrument pressure mein hai. Financial regulators ka interest rate barhane ka faisla isko aur pressure mein daal raha hai, jiske natije mein Japanese yen mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq hum abhi support level 146.39 par hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke abhi tak koi breakthrough nahi hua, aur resistance level 148.35 tak wapas aane ka chance hai. Lekin agar breakthrough hota hai, toh pair 144.54 ke support level tak neeche chala jayega

USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka analysis hum ab discuss kar rahe hain. USD/JPY price apni downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ki evident weakness ki wajah se hai, lekin dollar ke decline ka exact timing abhi tak uncertain hai. Shuru mein, maine Bank of Japan ke interest rate hike ke baad yen ke long-term appreciation ki umeed ki thi. Lekin, yen ki performance sluggish rahi hai, jo ke doubt create karta hai.

Hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair ek local regression channel bana raha hai, jo ab apne lower boundary ke nazdeek hai, jo ke price ke channel ke midpoint tak increase ka suggestion deta hai, jo ke 147.59 ke aas-paas hai. Lekin, yeh short-term rise pair ke medium- to long-term bearish outlook ko negate nahi karti. Agar buyers dominate karte hain aur price decline karti hai, to pair further downward movement dekh sakti hai, jo ke 136.39 se 137.79 range ko target karega.

USD/JPY pair ko trade karte waqt significant uncertainty hai, kyunki price 145.89 se 149.29 tak fluctuate kar rahi hai. Yeh situation trading environment ko challenging bana rahi hai. Agar sellers apne positions ko mazboot karte hain, to price apni upward movement ko continue kar sakti hai, ya phir support levels ke aas-paas 141.74 se 142.74 tak wapas aa sakti hai, jahan ek naya bottom ban sakta hai jahan buyers apni positions exit kar sakte hain.

Lekin, jaise maine pehle mention kiya, unexpected upward momentum hamesha mumkin hai, jo ke pehle ke instances mein dekha gaya hai. Agar price rise hoti hai to market participants ke reactions ko monitor karna crucial hai; agar sellers ki activity barhti hai, to yeh cost ko increase kar sakti hai. Zigzag, MACD, aur RSI indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain, jo ke oversold zone mein hain, jo long positions ke liye potential gains ki taraf ishara karte hain. Bulls ki strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, main apni open position ko secure karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price Fibonacci target 61.8%, jo ke 154.682 ke aas-paas hai, tak pohnchti hai.