usd/jpy

chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle

Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend

chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle

bulls ne zyada lambi growth hone nahi di. Is waqt wave structure ab bhi neeche ki taraf build ho raha hai aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin signal line ke upar hai. Yeh lag raha hai ke price current August ke minimum ko update karegi, aur usse update karne se pehle takreeban 200 points ka faasla hai. Agar August ke minimum ko update kiya jata hai, to bullish divergence shayad MACD aur CCI indicators par banegi, ya donon par ek sath bhi ban sakti hai. Indicators ki maujooda position se yeh signal ko pehle se predict kiya ja sakta hai. Is waqt kaam karne ki priority chhoti timeframes par hai, aur downwards rollbacks ke dauran aur sale formations ki emergence tak hi restricted rehna chahiye, kam se kam tab tak jab tak 141.66 ka minimum update nahi hota, uske baad dekha jayega. Filhal, neeche ke pressure mein koi kamzori ke signs nahi hain. Kyunke low kareeb hai, price iske par bhi ja sakti hai, jab tak overall market ka movement US dollar ke haq mein jaaye, jo ke mumkin hai. Doosri currencies bhi lag rahi hain ke US dollar ke muqablay mein mazeed weak ho rahi hain. Hamesha trend ke sath kaam karna behtar hota hai, kyunke is tarah success ke chances barh jate hain, aur hamara trend downwards hai daily chart se neeche tak. Haan, kuch ahem news bhi aa sakti hain jo market ko impact karengi. Agar US dollar ke haq mein news achi aati hain, to low pass nahi hoga chahe wo kitna bhi kareeb kyun na ho. 15-30 Moscow time par: US ke Average hourly earnings, Non-agricultural sector mein employed persons ki tadad mein tabdeeli, US ke economically active population ki share, Private non-agricultural sector mein employed persons ki tadad mein tabdeeli, aur US ki Unemployment rate ki report release hogi. Geopolitical tensions Middle East mein barh rahi hain, jo pair ko support de sakti hain. Itwaar ko Israeli airstrike ne do schoolon ko target kiya jisse kam az kam 30 logon ki jaan gayi, jaisa ke Reuters ne report kiya hai. Aur US Secretary of State Tony Blinken ne alert kiya hai ke Iran aur Hezbollah Monday tak Israel par strike kar sakte hain, jo Axios ke mutabiq mukhtalif sources ne bataya hai. Ye escalating geopolitical tensions Japanese Yen ko mazeed bolster kar sakti hain. Blinken ke G7 counterparts ke sath statements se conflict ka risk barh raha hai, jo safe-haven assets jaise ke JPY ki demand ko barha sakta hai

USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan

161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain
thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq,
USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.
D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

Japani yen do din se lagatar majboot ho raha hai, aur yeh US dollar ko pichay chhod raha hai. Iska sabab BOJ (Bank of Japan) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetory policy ke mukhtalif rukhs hain. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish bayan aur Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish tone ne yen ki qeemat barhne mein madad ki. Ueda ne Friday ko parliament mein kaha ke agar economic outlook BOJ ke projections ke mutabiq raha, to interest rate mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Japan ka national consumer price index (CPI) inflation apni highest level par barqarar hai, jo BOJ ke aggressive monetary policy ko reinforce kar raha hai. Yeh hawkish outlook Fed ke cautious approach se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Powell ka Jackson Hole symposium mein bayan yeh darshata hai ke policy adjustments ke liye tayyar hain aur rate cut bhi ho sakta hai. Magar Fed Chair ne rate cut ke timing aur magnitude ke bare mein specific details nahi di, jis se market participants ne isay dovish samjha. Is wajah se US dollar kamzor ho gaya, aur market expectations ke mutabiq September mein rate cut honay ki ummeed barh gayi. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market participants Fed ke September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis points ke rate cut ki price de rahe hain. Yeh tabdeeli yen ki qeemat barhne mein madadgar sabit hui. USD/JPY pair Friday ko 143.90 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis ne bearish bias ko darshaya, jahan pair downtrend line ke niche trade kar raha tha. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke upar tha, jo downtrend ke jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai. Potential price movements ke hawale se, USD/JPY pair ko August 5 ko record kiye gaye seven-month low 141.69 ke aas paas support milne ki umeed thi. Upar ki taraf, pair ko 145.00 ke psychological level ke aas paas downtrend line par resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, aur us ke baad nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 145.74 par. Agar 9-day EMA ke upar break hota hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai aur resistance zone ke paas 154.50 ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai.

Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai. Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hothain hot

USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha.
Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai.
USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis
USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.
Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai

Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Pichle hafte ke price movements ke base par, lagta hai ke decline jari rehne ka imkaan hai. USD/JPY ne ek recent low ke qareeb pohnch gaya hai, aur jab ke internal pattern toota nahi hai, mujhe ab yeh lagta hai ke iske target tak pohnchne ka chance kam hai. Yeh lagta hai ke USD/JPY agle hafte naye lows ko test karega, aur price ko weekly Fibonacci retracement ke 38.1% level tak push kar sakta hai. Koi significant support nahi hai, isliye price puri tarah se nahi badh sakti, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke correction phase khatam ho sakta hai. 38.1% Fibonacci level mazboot support represent karta hai, jo reversing aur subsequent growth ko zyada feasible banata hai. Lekin, Wednesday tak news aane tak, main thoda speculate karunga. Situation ajeeb lagti hai, even weekly time frame par. Pichle hafte ke bearish move ka low 141.694 tha, lekin yeh bullish push ke liye zyada likely nahi lagta. Jab ke correction ke baad decline technical lag raha hai, yeh ek typical buyer's retreat bhi ho sakta hai jo ke dollar ko strengthen karne se pehle hota hai.

4-hour chart ke mutabiq, downward momentum continue karne ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh movement expected thi. Ideal situation yeh hoti ke bearish push 141.694 low se correction ke turant baad hoti. Main daily charts par focus kar raha hoon sab yen pairs ke liye aur significant rebounds abhi tak nahi dekhe. Smaller time frames sirf entry points pinpoint karne ke liye useful hain, lekin broader outlook steady hai—downward movement jari hai. Ek local platform bana hai, lekin targets aage hain. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke negative NFP data ke bawajood dollar ne Friday ko strength dekha, halankeh is pair par zyada asar nahi hua, jo yen ki resilience ko indicate karta hai. Japan ka GDP data raat ko release hoga. Main Southern bias ko maintain karta hoon, lekin agar hum 146.64 ke upar chadhte hain, to main us level par selling opportunities consider kar sakta hoon.

**Japanese Yen Ke Liye Trade Analysis Aur Tips**

142.82 ka price test tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se niche aaya, jo ke dollar bechne ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai downward trend ke dauran jo pichle mahino mein dekha gaya. Iske natije mein, pair 80 se zyada pips gir gaya, lekin hum target level tak nahi pohnch paaye. Halankeh U.S. dollar ne doosri currencies ke muqablay mein kuch losses recover kiye hafte ke aakhir mein, Japanese yen ke saath situation mukhtalif thi. U.S. unemployment ke kam hone ki khabar se dollar ke purchases jald khatam ho gaye, jisse USD/JPY ka significant sell-off hua U.S. session ke close par. Aaj Japan ke GDP ke kam growth aur bank lending ke reduction ki khabrein yen ke positions par asar dala, jisse pair ka halka sa recovery hua Friday ke sell-off ke baad. Trading aaj horizontal channel mein hone ki ummeed hai, kyunki koi significant data nahi hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 143.11 ke entry point par khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo chart par green line se plot hai, aur 143.80 tak ke uthane ki umeed hai, jo chart par thicker green line se plot hai. 143.80 area par, main long positions ko exit karunga aur short positions open karunga, expect karte hue 30-35 pips ka movement us level se. Aaj pair ke badhne ki umeed correction ke part ke taur par hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur isse upar ja raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main aaj USD/JPY ko 142.74 ke do consecutive tests par khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upar le jayega. Umeed hai ke rise opposite levels 143.11 aur 143.80 tak hoga.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 142.74 level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot hai, jo pair ko rapid decline ki taraf le jayega. Sellers ke liye key target 142.02 level hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expect karte hue 20-25 pips ka movement us level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ka bearish market abhi khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main aaj USD/JPY ko bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 143.11 ke do consecutive tests ho, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse downturn ki taraf le jayega. Umeed hai ke decrease opposite levels 142.74 aur 142.02 tak hoga.

### SDJPY Currency Pair Analysis

#### Price Movement Overview

SDJPY (USD/JPY) currency pair ki price quotes ne haal ke developments ko khaaskar tor par reflect kiya hai. Yeh pair ek aham resistance level 161.87 par pohnchne ke baad khaas zyada girawat ka shikaar hui, aur aakhir mein weekend par 146.39 tak pohnch gayi, jo ke lagbhag 10 percent ka teer hai. Theoretical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh girawat 151.71 ke support level par ruk sakti hai, jo ke kuch trading activity ka sabab ban sakta hai; lekin yeh sab tezi se girawat ke dauran ummeed ki jati hai. Iske aage yeh girawat 144.99 ke round figure tak bhi pohnch sakti hai, jo ke further movement ke liye kuch margin de sakta hai. Is threshold ke paar, currency pair ki direction abhi bhi uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart movements par base hai.

#### Weekly Trend Observation

Weekly chart par, maine dekha hai ke pichle chaar hafton se consistent downward trend chal raha hai. Mera objective yeh hai ke aane wale haftay ke liye pair ki movement ka forecast kiya jaye taake yeh dekha ja sake ke selling trend continue rahega ya koi alternative scenario zyada likely hai. Iske liye, hum technical analysis ko dekhain ge aur relevant recommendations ko bhi madde nazar rakhen ge.

#### Technical Analysis

SDJPY currency pair ki technical analysis ke mutabiq aane wale haftay mein continued downward movement ke signals mil rahe hain. Moving averages sell recommendation de rahe hain aur technical indicators active sell signal de rahe hain. Overall, yeh technical analysis bearish sentiment ko support karta hai.

#### Impact of Significant News

Humain significant news ko bhi consider karna chahiye jo currency pair ko affect kar sakti hai. Notably, US se optimistic news expected hai. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data ki release Thursday ko hone ki umeed hai.

#### Trading Plan

Mera plan hai ke USD/JPY pair ko tab bechu jab price 146.76 ko test kare, jaise ke chart par red line dikhayi gayi hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko trigger kar sakti hai. Sellers ke liye key target 145.81 hoga, jahan main apni short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately long positions open karunga, anticipate karte hue ke yeh level se 20-25 pips upar movement hogi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas taur par agar pehle din ke half mein correction fail hoti hai aur daily high tak nahi pohnchti.

#### Important Trading Conditions

Sell order execute karne se pehle, yeh ensure karna zaroori hai ke MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur declining trend show kar raha ho.

#### Current Trend Analysis

USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, jo ke ongoing downtrend ko aur confirm karta hai. Pair short-term mein 141.69 ke aas paas support dhoondh sakta hai, jo ke ek saath mahine ke low ko correspond karta hai, aur agla support level shayad 140.25 ho sakta hai.

#### Resistance Levels

Upar ki taraf, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke aas paas 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 ke aas paas face karna pad sakta hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to psychological barrier 150.00 tak pohnchne ka bhi possibility hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 ho sakta hai.

#### Recent Movements

147.00 ke upar briefly surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apne momentum ko maintain nahi kar paya jab 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat ho gaya. Technical indicators, including RSI aur Stochastic, ek potential reversal ke signals de rahe hain, jabke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke beech death cross long-term bearish trend ko indicate karta hai.

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend

USD/JPY ki Qeemat ke Hawalay Se Raye
Hum yeh dekh rahay hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ki asli waqt ki qeemat ki jaanch pari ja rahi hai. Iss waqt, yeh pair 146.149 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh behtar waqt ho sakta hai ke abhi ke market rate par sell kar diya jaye. Aaj ke khulnay se ab tak ke faaslay se yeh maloom hota hai ke khareedari ka moqa kareeb hai, jo ke bechne walon ke liye mauzoon halaat paida kar raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par dakhil hotay hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal munafa ka target mazboot support level ke kareeb, 145.192 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna samajhdaari hogi, kyun ke uske baad ooper ki taraf ek corrective rebound aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki neechli hadd par takra sakta hai, jis ke baad qeemat apni correction ko jaari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb zone, yani 147.322 par pohanch sakti hai. Hum yahaan se aik downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi bhi gair yakeeni hai. 145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis ke natijay mein scenario No. 1 sell ke liye execute hua. Is ka nateeja ye hua ke pair mein 50 se zyada pips ki girawat hui. Jaise ke tawakku thi, Federal Reserve ki minutes ki release ke baad dollar par dabao barha, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak pohanchne mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda sa kamzor hua kamzor manufacturing activity ki khabron ke baad, jo ke Japan ke services sector ki nisbat qawi growth se offset hui. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thori si izafa ka sabab bana. USD ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch Jerome Powell ke kal ke speech par munhasir hai, is liye mujooda level par short positions mein ehtiyaat kijiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 ke hawalay se buy signals ko dekhoonga. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh green line ke chart par 145.56 ke aas paas entry point par pohanche ga, aur maqsad 146.13 par pohanchna hai, jo ke chart par mazboot green line se dikha gaya hai. 146.13 ke ilaaqe mein, mein long positions se nikal jaonga aur mukhalif rukh mein short positions kholonga, aur level se mukhalif rukh mein 30-35 pips ki movement ki tawakku karunga. Hum aaj ke din mein pair ke ooper ki taraf ek upward correction ka hissa hone ki umeed karte hain. Aham: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeen karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper ho aur us se upar ki taraf uth raha ho