USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Is haftay ke aghaz mein US dollar ne recover karne ki koshish ki, magar phir apna rukh badal kar tez girawat ka shikar ho gaya. ¥142 ka level traders ke liye aik ahem point ban gaya hai. Yeh na sirf apni round number ki khasiyat ki wajah se ahem hai, balke is zone mein pehle bhi kafi market activity dekhi gayi hai. Iske ilawa, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke uptrend line bhi is level ke qareeb cross ho rahi hai, jo ke isko aik ahem support area bana sakta hai.
Ab sab se bara sawal yeh hai ke kya dollar phir se momentum hasil kar payega? Agar market ¥145 level ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, tou yeh further upside ke liye ek ishara ho sakta hai. Is surat mein agla target ¥147.50 level hoga, uske baad psychologically important ¥150 level aa jayega. Magar agar dollar girta raha aur ¥142 ke support zone ke neeche break kar gaya, tou agla ahem level ¥137.50 ke qareeb hoga, jo ek aur bara support line ka kaam karega.

Yeh market aksar global risk sentiment ke zariye driven hoti hai. Haal hi mein carry trade unwind hone se, jo dollar ko support kar raha tha, volatility mein izafa ho gaya hai. Kya yeh trend jaari rahega ya palat jaye ga, yeh global markets par asar dalayega. Japanese yen aik bara safe haven hai, aur jab market ke participants risk averse hotay hain tou yen ki taqat barh jati hai. Agar risk appetite kamzor raha, tou USD/JPY mein selling pressure barqarar reh sakta hai, aur doosri asset classes par bhi asar dal sakta hai.

Akhir mein, US dollar aur yen ke darmiyan short-term movement mukhtalif factors par mabni hai, jisme key technical levels aur global risk sentiment shamil hain. Traders ko 145 aur 142 yen ke levels par ghor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh agle hafton mein pair ke rukh ka taayun karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

US dollar/Japanese yen pair ne late trading mein ek zabardast surge dekha, jismein is ne 1.50% ya 241 pips se zyada ka faida hasil kiya. Yeh rally Bank of Japan ke aik official ke comments ki wajah se hui, jinhon ne yeh ishara diya ke central bank apni mojooda interest rate policy ko barqarar rakhega, considering market ki volatile conditions. Is ka natija yeh nikla ke pair apne daily low 141.80 se rebound karte hue trading ke ikhtitam par lagbhag 142.30 par settle hua.
Japan ki Wage Growth aur US Inflation ka Outlook

Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi ne haali mein yeh highlight kiya ke part-timers aur chhoti businesses tak wage increases autumn tak extend kiye jayenge. Yeh optimism strong Shunto results aur minimum wage hikes se mazid mazboot hoti hai. Halanke Hayashi ne foreign exchange levels par comment nahi kiya, Japan ki Labor Cash Earnings data ne June ke liye 4.5% year-on-year izafa report kiya, jo pichle 2.0% aur forecasted 2.3% se zyada tha. Yeh January 1997 ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai, jo Japan ke higher interest rate environment ki taraf shift ko reinforce karta hai.

US mein, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President Mary Daly ne Monday ko apne remarks mein kaha ke unka confidence barh raha hai ke US inflation Fed ke 2% target ki taraf ja raha hai. Daly ne yeh bhi kaha ke Fed ke mandates ke risks ab zyada balanced ho rahe hain aur mustaqbil mein rate cuts ki possibility ka bhi ishara diya.

USD/JPY ke Liye Key Resistance Levels aur Bearish Trends

Yeh pair 143.00 ke neeche se rally karta hua upar gaya Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ke dovish comments ki wajah se. Agar yeh pair 145.00 ke mark ko paar karta hai, tou agla key resistance level Tenkan-Sen par 146.45 hoga. Agar prices 147.00 se upar break karti hain, tou yeh psychological 150.00 figure ko challenge kar sakti hain.

Jummah ke market close par, spot price 142.30 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neeche hai, jo ke short-term rebound ka ishara de raha hai.

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas

abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sak

price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga.


Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte h

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain

USD/JPY Forum Analysis Forecast

Yeh currency pair is waqt neechay ke rujhan ke mutabiq move kar rahi hai agar hum maujooda haalaat ko dekhein. Pichlay movements ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein andaza laga sakta hoon ke is waqt price niche ki had ki taraf ja rahi hai aur iska breakout yeh zahir karega ke price mazeed niche jaane ki koshish karegi. Test ke dauraan, mein mauka dhoondhoon ga ke bazaar mein daakhil hone ka jab rebound ho uttar (north) direction mein, aur choti frame se buying ke liye koi pattern pehchaan loon agar mojood ho. Lekin sab se ziada mujhe lagta hai ke regulator ne is haftay mudakhlat ki jab price waazeh wajuhat ke baghair gir gayi jab ke kharidaar EMA 120 ke upar secure kar chuke the. Is haftay mein qareebi nazar rakhoonga ke kis tarah price tang hoti hui shakal mein react karegi aur haftay ke aakhir tak kis tarah ki tawaqquat saamne aayengi Abhi tak direction dono taraf barabar ho sakti hai, lekin pasandeeda direction ab bhi junoob (south) hai. Mein weekly chart par dollar yen pair ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair ooper ki taraf chalte hue trend line ke upar trade ho rahi thi. Jab kharidaar ne munafa fix karna shuru kiya, toh pair girna shuru ho gayi. Yeh kafi sar-garmi se girti gayi aur phir 141.508 par aa gayi. Chote timeframes, jaise daily par, mein yeh tasavvur karta hoon ke yeh buyers ke stops ko le raha tha Trade Analysis aur Trading Tips Japanese Yen ke liye Price test 146.15 par hua jab ke MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar chala gaya tha, jis ne pair ki upward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se, maine dollar nahi khareeda, aur mera faisla sahi sabit hua. Asian session se observe hone wale downward trend ke peechay, yeh zyada mantiq thi ke entry points selling ke liye dhoondhein. Iss tarah, jab 146.15 ka doosra test hua aur MACD indicator overbought area mein tha, toh yeh wazeh ho gaya ke dollar ke girne ka imkaan zyada hai. Yeh sab kuch 90 pips se ziyada ke decline ki taraf le gaya. Sellers ne kamzor U.S. manufacturing data par behtareen response diya, jis ke natijay mein pair mein achi girawat hui. Aaj ke business activity index aur Japan ke composite PMI report ki wajah se bhi dollar par pressure raha aur yen ki demand barh gayi, is liye behtar hai ke downward trend ki taraqee mein trading jari rakhein. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada no. 1 aur 2 scenarios par bharosa karoonga
Buy Signal Scenario No. 1
Mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan karta hoon jab yeh 145.58 ke aas-paas entry point ko pohonche, jo chart par sabz line se mazhar hai, aur target yeh hai ke yeh 146.68 tak barhe, jo chart par moti sabz line se zahir hai. 146.68 ke ilaqay mein, mein long positions ko exit karne aur mukhalif direction mein short positions open karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jahan se 30-35 pips ki ulat movement ki tawakku karta hoon

USD/JPY pair ab aise nishaan dikhata hai ke buyers agle waqt mein dominate kar sakte hain. Jabke buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi significant influence rakhte hain aur apne control ko asaani se nahi chhodenge. Current Market Dynamics
Is waqt, buyers struggle kar rahe hain lekin persist kar rahe hain, jo ke near future mein bullish shift ka ishaara hai. Agar current conditions waisa hi rahengi, to prices ke barhne ki strong likelihood hai. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye market ke direction ko determine karne mein important role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact bullish trend confirm karne mein key hoga.

Key Considerations for Traders

- Buyer Persistence: Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Ye persistence is baat ki indication hai ke agar conditions favorable rahengi, to higher prices ki taraf shift ho sakti hai.
- Seller Influence: Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki price action control ki ability ko aane wale economic data se test kiya jayega.
- Fundamental Data: Aane wale economic releases se market par significant impact padega. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Wahi, weak data current bearish sentiment ko sustain kar sakta hai.
- Technical Correction: Agar market bullish direction ki taraf shift hoti hai, to corrections ke doran buying opportunities dekhna achha hoga. Bullish trend ke shift mein temporary dips aa sakti hain jo traders ko upward movement ka faida uthane ka mauka de sakti hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historically, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ki kami rahi hai. Current downward trend ek temporary phase lagta hai, jo ke ek "tail" banane se pehle ka phase ho sakta hai. Ye perspective is baat ke sath align karta hai ke current bearish movement shayad ek stronger upward trajectory ka precursor ho sakti hai.

Conclusion

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur aane wale fundamental data ke impact ko dekhte hue. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence daal rahe hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ka intezaar karna chahiye aur corrective phases ke doran market mein enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward

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US dollar/Japanese yen pair ne late trading ke doran ek significant surge dekha, jahan yeh 1.50% ya 241 pips se barh gaya. Yeh rally Bank of Japan ke ek official ke comments ke baad hui, jinhon ne suggest kiya ke central bank apni current interest rate policy ko volatile market conditions ke bawajood barqarar rakhega. Iske natije mein, pair apne daily low 141.80 se rebound hokar trading ke close par 142.30 ke aas-paas settle ho gaya.

Japan's Wage Growth aur US Inflation Outlook

Japan ke Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yoshimasa Hayashi, ne recently highlight kiya ke wage increases part-timers aur small businesses tak autumn tak pohnch sakti hain. Yeh optimism strong Shunto results aur minimum wage hikes se barhawa mila hai. Jabke Hayashi ne foreign exchange levels par kuch nahi kaha, Japan ke Labor Cash Earnings data ne June ke liye 4.5% year-on-year increase dikhaya. Yeh figure pichle 2.0% aur forecasted 2.3% readings se zyada hai, aur January 1997 ke baad ka highest increase hai, jo Japan ki higher interest rate environment ki taraf shift ko reinforce karta hai.

US mein, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President Mary Daly ne Monday ko remarks mein zyada confidence express kiya ke US inflation Fed ke 2% target ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Daly ne note kiya ke Fed’s mandates ke risks zyada balanced ho rahe hain aur future meetings mein rate cuts ki possibility ko hint kiya.

USD/JPY Key Resistance Levels aur Bearish Trends ka Samna Kar Raha Hai

Pair ne dovish comments ke baad 143.00 ke niche se rally ki, jo ek Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor ne di thi. Agar pair 145.00 mark ko surpass kar leta hai, to agla key resistance level Tenkan-Sen hoga jo 146.45 par hai. Prices agar 147.00 ke upar break hoti hain, to yeh psychological 150.00 figure ko challenge kar sakti hain.

Friday ke market close tak, spot price 142.30 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Hourly chart analysis se pata chalta hai ke pair ek descending channel ke andar consolidate kar rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko suggest karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI 30 ke neeche hai, jo short-term rebound ki potential ko signal karta hai.

US dollar ne is haftay ke shuru mein recovery karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir course reverse kar ke tezi se gir gaya. ¥142 level ab traders ke liye ek key point ban gaya hai. Yeh sirf round number ki wajah se nahi, balki is zone mein pehle bhi significant market activity dekhi gayi hai. Iski importance yeh bhi hai ke uptrend line is level ke aas-paas intersect karti hai, jo shayad ek key support area ke taur par kaam aa sakti hai.

Central Question

Ab central question yeh hai ke kya dollar momentum ko dobara hasil kar sakta hai. Agar market ¥145 level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh further upside ka signal de sakta hai. Aise mein, agla target shayad ¥147.50 level hoga, uske baad psychologically important ¥150 level aayega. Lekin, agar dollar decline continue karta hai aur ¥142 support zone ko break karta hai, to agla significant level ¥137.50 ke aas-paas hoga, jo ek aur major support line ke taur par kaam karega.

Market Drivers

Yeh market largely global risk sentiment se driven hai. Recent unwinding of the carry trade, jo dollar ko support karta tha, ne volatility badha di hai. Yeh trend continue karta hai ya reverse hota hai, iska wider impact global markets par padega. Japanese yen, jo ek major safe haven currency hai, aksar tab strengthen hoti hai jab market participants risk averse hote hain. Agar risk appetite low rehti hai, to humein continued selling pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai, sirf USD/JPY mein nahi, balki across asset classes.

Conclusion

In conclusion, US dollar ki short-term movement yen ke khilaf kai factors par depend karti hai, including key technical levels aur broader global risk sentiment. Traders ko 145 aur 142 yen levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake agle bade move ke clues mil sakein, kyunki yeh levels aane wale weeks mein pair ki direction ko determine kar sakte hain.

Fundamental Analysis

USD/JPY ne August 5 ke lows ki taraf girawat dekhi aur phir recover ho gaya. 4-hour chart ek bade bullish Hammer Japanese candlestick pattern ko build kar raha hai; agar yeh pattern current session ke end tak banay rehta hai, to yeh significant pullback ya higher correction ka shuruaat indicate kar sakta hai.

US 10-year T-note ke yield mein girawat se encourage hote hue, USD/JPY Friday ko North American session ke late hours mein ground kho raha tha. Safe-haven currencies jaise ke Japanese Yen ke ilawa, Greenback ne baaki chhah G8 currencies ke muqablay mein kuch ground gain kiya. Is waqt ke likhne tak, pair trade kar raha hai

Forecast for USD/JPY Price: Technical Aspects

Recent US Nonfarm Payrolls data ne pair mein volatility cause ki, jo ke din ke dauran 230-pip range ke andar thi, aur USD/JPY ki girawat jaari rahi. Lekin, jab situation clear hui, to sellers ne apni advantage barqarar rakhi. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek strong trend ko measure karta hai, downward shooting kar raha tha, jo ke indicate karta hai ke momentum hostile ho gaya hai.

Psychological level 142.50 USD/JPY ke liye pehla support area hoga. Is level ko exceed karne ke baad, agla target 142.00 hoga, aur phir aaj ka low 141.77 aayega. In dono levels ke break hone ke baad, decline 5 August ka low 141.69 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, pehla resistance point August 26 ka 143.44 daily low hoga. Agar yeh breach hota hai, to important resistance levels reveal honge. Tenkan-Sen 144.49 par open hoga, jabke Senkou Span A 145.00 par open hoga. Kijun-Sen, jo 145.73 par hai, next resistance point hoga.

Aaj pair achi movement dikhati rahi, lekin target tak nahi pohnchi. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne support level 141.75 ko test kiya aur ab currently 142.41 par trade kar rahi hai. RSI middle range mein move kar raha hai aur downward direction mein thoda uncertain lag raha hai. AO bhi sell signal de raha hai aur pair pichle din ki trading range ke neeche hai. Yeh signals weak hain lekin decline ka likelihood dikhate hain. Mera estimation hai ke price support level 141.75 ko dobara test karegi.
Technical analysis ke basis par, cautious selling ki recommendation di ja rahi hai current prices se, jiska target 141.80 rakha gaya hai. Yeh target slightly above the support level 141.75 hai, jo ke ek strategic entry point ho sakta hai agar market downward trend follow karti hai. Selling position ko enter karne se pehle yeh zaroori hai ke market ki volatility ko samjha jaye, kyunki market sudden changes ke liye subject ho sakti hai.

Support level 141.75 ke paas price test karne ke baad, agar decline continue hota hai, to aapke selling targets ko achieve kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, market ki unpredictability ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Yeh level ek critical point hai jahan se market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye. If price is level se bounce back karti hai ya upward trend show karti hai, to sell position ko re-evaluate karna zaroori hoga.

Risk management bhi important hai; isliye, apne stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko clearly define karna chahiye. Agar market unexpected movement dikhati hai, to aapka stop-loss aapko excessive loss se bachane mein madad karega. Isliye, apnea risk ko assess karna aur market ke changes ko timely track karna zaroori hai.

Summary mein, cautious selling ki strategy ko consider kiya ja sakta hai with a target of 141.80, lekin market ke sudden changes ko dekhte hue, careful risk assessment zaroori hai. Trading decisions ko analyze karte waqt market ke indicators aur support levels par nazar rakhna essential hai

Aaj pair achi movement dikhati rahi, lekin target tak nahi pohnchi. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ne support level 141.75 ko test kiya aur ab currently 142.41 par trade kar rahi hai. RSI middle range mein move kar raha hai aur downward direction mein thoda uncertain lag raha hai. AO bhi sell signal de raha hai aur pair pichle din ki trading range ke neeche hai. Yeh signals weak hain lekin decline ka likelihood dikhate hain. Mera estimation hai ke price support level 141.75 ko dobara test karegi.

Technical analysis ke basis par, cautious selling ki recommendation di ja rahi hai current prices se, jiska target 141.80 rakha gaya hai. Yeh target slightly above the support level 141.75 hai, jo ke ek strategic entry point ho sakta hai agar market downward trend follow karti hai. Selling position ko enter karne se pehle yeh zaroori hai ke market ki volatility ko samjha jaye, kyunki market sudden changes ke liye subject ho sakti hai.

Support level 141.75 ke paas price test karne ke baad, agar decline continue hota hai, to aapke selling targets ko achieve kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, market ki unpredictability ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Yeh level ek critical point hai jahan se market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye. If price is level se bounce back karti hai ya upward trend show karti hai, to sell position ko re-evaluate karna zaroori hoga.

Risk management bhi important hai; isliye, apne stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko clearly define karna chahiye. Agar market unexpected movement dikhati hai, to aapka stop-loss aapko excessive loss se bachane mein madad karega. Isliye, apnea risk ko assess karna aur market ke changes ko timely track karna zaroori hai.

Summary mein, cautious selling ki strategy ko consider kiya ja sakta hai with a target of 141.80, lekin market ke sudden changes ko dekhte hue, careful risk assessment zaroori hai. Trading decisions ko analyze karte waqt market ke indicators aur support levels par nazar rakhna essential hai

US dollar ne is haftay ke shuru mein apni qeemat mein behtar hone ki koshish ki, lekin phir rukh badal kar tezi se gir gaya. ¥142 ka level traders ke liye ek aham nukta ban gaya hai. Yeh na sirf apne round number ki waja se significant hai, balki is area mein pehle bhi significant market activity dekhne mein aayi hai. Is ki ahmiyat mein izafa yeh bhi hai ke uptrend line bhi is level ke qareeb intersect kar rahi hai, jo keh mumkin hai ek aham support area ka kaam kare.

Ab central sawal yeh hai ke kya dollar apna momentum wapas hasil kar sakta hai? Agar market ¥145 level se upar break karne mein kamyab hoti hai, toh yeh mazeed upar jaane ki potential ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, agla target mumkin hai ¥147.50 level ho, aur us ke baad psychologically aham ¥150 level ho sakta hai. Lekin agar dollar girawat jaari rakhta hai aur ¥142 support zone se neeche break karta hai, toh agla aham level jo dekhne wala hoga woh kareeb ¥137.50 par ho sakta hai, jo ek aur bara support line ka kaam karega.

Yeh market baday tor par global risk sentiment se mutasir hoti hai. Recent mein carry trade ke unwinding ne, jo dollar ko support kar raha tha, volatility mein izafa kiya hai. Yeh trend jaari rehta hai ya ulathta hai, iska global markets par asar hoga. Japanese yen, jo ek bara safe haven hai, aksar us waqt mazboot hota hai jab market ke participants risk se parhez karte hain. Agar risk appetite kam rehti hai, toh hum selling pressure ko jaari dekh sakte hain, sirf USD/JPY mein nahi, balke tamami asset classes mein.

Natije ke tor par, US dollar ke yen ke muqablay mein qareeb muddat mein harakat ka daromadar kai factors par hai, jin mein key technical levels aur wasee global risk sentiment shaamil hain. Traders ko ¥145 aur ¥142 yen levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke yeh mumkin hai ke aane wale hafton mein pair ke rukh ka taayun karein.

Price Action Strategies: USD/JPY

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior par discuss aur analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY ke chart par price 147.19 par ruk gayi thi, jahan double top bana, jiski wajah se ek local reversal hui aur aaj 199-point ki decline hui. Yen ki strength Bank of Japan ke Governor Ueda ke comments se fuel hui, jinhon ne kaha ke woh zarurat parne par is saal baad mein interest rates badhane ke liye tayyar hain. Is wajah se pair 145.12 par gir gaya. Technically, price dobara us ascending channel mein enter ho gayi hai jahan se woh haal hi mein nikla tha. Yeh pair mumkin hai ke channel ke lower boundary ko test kare, aur raat ke waqt 144.89 ko test karne ka bhi chance hai, jiske baad upward movement wapas shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh strong movements ko prompt kar sakta hai dollar mein, lekin reactions yen ke favor mein bhi ja sakte hain Asian session ke dauran. Mazid data releases ke clear trends samne aanay tak market se door rehne ki salahiyat di ja rahi hai.

Market ne pair ko 145.12 tak gira diya, aur mumkin hai ke pair ya toh 145.00 ke neeche break kare aur apni decline continue rakhe—shayad 146.08 ke qareeb correct ho—ya phir pair 147.17 ke upar break kare aur aur zyada upar jaye, US dollar ki continued strength se support milta rahe. Halanke dollar ki correction promising lag rahi hai, yen ke paas iss waqt koi strong drivers nahi hain, aur yeh dollar ki movements par dependent hai. Aaj tel ke daamon mein 4% ki girawat hui, jo mumkin hai ke China ki waja se hui ho, jahan media reports ne aam tawajjo ko mehsoos karwaya hai k aihtamam economic problems hain jo mumkin hai ke global recession tak le ja sakti hain. Sona ke daamon mein bhi decline hui hai, jo mumkin hai ke Chinese central bank ki karwahi ki waja se hui ho, jinhon ne haali mein khasa sona khareed liya tha. Ek struggling economy ke saath, yeh yaqeen nahi hai ke woh khareedari jaari rakhenge, jo aane wali demand par sawalat uthata hai. Hum kal US labor market se key data ka intizar kar rahe hain, aur mazeed reports ka intizar hai juma ko.