usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Pair Ki Technical Tajaiza

Aaj hum USD/JPY karansi pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka tajaiza karenge. Iss karansi pair ke senior weekly chart par yeh wazeh hai ke qeemat mein aakhri chand hafton mein khasa tez girawat dekhi gayi hai. Yeh girawat aksar technical indicators ki wajah se hai, khas tor par MACD indicator par nazar aane wali bearish divergence ki wajah se. CCI indicator ne bhi chhoti scale par bearish divergence ka signal diya. Is girawat ki buniyadi wajahein bhi hain. Bank of Japan, jo apni karansi ki mustaqil kamzori se pareshan tha, ne dekha ke market mein arbon inject karne ka kuch asar nahi ho raha, is liye majbooran unhe interest rates barhana parey. Is qadam ne ek baray girawat ki shuruwat ki. Is downturn ke dauraan, 151.91 ka level mumkin tha, jis ke baad ascending trend line ka breakdown hua. Qeemat takreeban 140.26 ke support level tak pohanchi lekin is se thori si kam reh gayi. Iske baad correction hui aur qeemat ne neeche se toray gaye ascending line ko chua, jo is baat ki nishani thi ke mazeed girawat ho sakti hai.



Filhaal hum USD/JPY karansi pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka tajaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY karansi pair ke liye, main sirf recent low 143.01 se hi khareedna pasand karunga. Pound aur euro ke charts ke baraks, jahan mojooda qeemat ke qareeb upward trend jaari reh sakta hai, 145.85 ka level aik strong buy entry ke liye kafi risky lag raha hai. Main intezar karne ka plan kar raha hoon ke qeemat 143.01 tak gir jaye aur mazeed behtar soorat-e-haal mein, mera maqsad 149.89 par munafa kamana hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, lekin pair ko abhi bhi resistance zone 145.96-145.90 ke upar ek position hasil karni hogi. Is soorat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, do sooratein mumkin hain: ya toh USD/JPY pair aglay hafte apni downward movement jaari rakhega ya phir is resistance ke upar stable ho kar 151.85 ki taraf dhakel dega. Iss waqt mujhe market mein dakhil hone ke koi tez dawat nazar nahi aa rahi, is liye main aglay hafte tak intzaar karunga ke soorat-e-haal ka dobara jaiza le sakoon.

Maloomat mein rehnay se traders ko apni positions mein waqt par adjustment karne ka mauka milega aur unki strategies ko nai maloomat ke roshni mein relevant rakhega. Umeed hai ke qeemat aane wale dinon mein sellers ke haq mein barqarar rahegi aur recent losses se recovery ka trend mazeed barhega. Yeh soch samajh kar bazar ke jazbaat ko samajhna zaroori hai ke USD/JPY ke is mahol mein kamyabi se navigate kar sakein. Jazbaat jaldi badal sakte hain, aur traders ko in tabdeeliyon ke mutabiq react karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Is mein yeh pehchan karna shamil hai ke koi bhi reversal ki nishani ya phir broader market trend mein koi tabdeeli jo USD/JPY pair ko assar Andaz ker sakti ho. Bazar ki updates par nazar rakh kar aur jazbaat ko durust tor par tajaweez karke, traders apne aap ko behtar position mein rakh sakte hain ke mauqaon ka faida utha sakain ya risks ko kam kar saken. Waise bhi, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne losses cover karne mein khaas taraqqi ki hai, jo ke 146.66 ke zone tak pohanch gaye hain. Aik sell position jiska short target 146.42 ho sifarish ki jaati hai, lekin khabron aur jazbaat par barabar nazar rakhna zaroori hai taa ke tabdeel hotay huay market ke halaat se hum-aahang raha jaye.

USD/JPY Pair Ki Technical Tajaiza

Qeemat ke 146.60 ke support level ki taraf badhne ki tawaqqu hai. Is support level ke qareeb, mein soorat-e-haal ka bariki se jaiza loonga kyun ke yahaan kuch surprises ho sakte hain. Jab qeemat show support level ke neeche merge karegi, toh mujhe umeed hai ke yeh local support 142.85 ya support level 141.80 tak move karegi. Is support level ke qareeb aik trade setup banne ki tawaqqu hai, jo trade ki mazeed simt ka taayyun karne mein madad karega. 'Northern signal', jo ke qeemat ke upar janay ki imkan ko zahiir karta hai, is setup ka aik ahem factor hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke pehli dafa mein yeh door ke support ko tod nahi payegi, isi liye agar aik northern signal banta hai toh mein khareedne ki sochunga. Agar yeh show support level ke neeche pur etminan tareeqay se merge karti hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke qeemat 141.30 ke support level tak ya local support 141.00 tak move karegi.




Aaj, USD/JPY trading 147.23 ki qeemat par khuli. Agar aap H1 timeframe par dekhein, toh candle abhi bhi resistance area mein atki hui hai. Agar yeh area ba-khobi tor diya gaya, toh USD/JPY mazeed upar barhega. Lekin doosri taraf, agar resistance area ko paar nahi kiya ja sakta, toh USD/JPY dobara neeche chali jayegi. Guzishta Thursday ko, USD/JPY ki girawat ke baad, iski harkat wapas upar chali gayi. Yeh us waqt hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt iski harkat bhi kaafi zyada thi kyun ke yeh takreeban 150 pips tak barh gayi thi. Mere upar diye gaye tajziye se yeh wazeh hota hai ke USD/JPY ke mazeed barhne ka abhi bhi mauqa hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko tor diya hai. Lekin, aapko hoshiyaar bhi rehna hoga kyun ke candle abhi MA50 line ko tor nahi payi hai. Yahaan aas-paas aik rebound ho sakta hai jo ke aakhir mein girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, yeh kaam kar sakta hai aur is trading instrument par mazeed qeemat ke inteqaal ke liye aisa ek option kaam karna shuru kar sakta hai. Yeh us surat mein mumkin hai jab yahaan in hisso mein bazar ke khiladiyon ki aksariyat ko yeh yaqeen dila diya jaye ke mojooda general south se corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur ab yahaan se is pair ko bechna zaroori hai, kyun ke aisa lagta hai ke qeemat asal mein zyada upar jana nahi chahti. Shayad bohot se bazar ke khiladi sochte hain ke yahan se qeemat ko banaye gaye minimum ke neeche giraya ja sakta hai.

Salam sab ko! USD/JPY karansi pair ne haal hi mein apni qeemat ki harkat mein ek dilchaspe tabdeeli dikhayi hai. Kal sham ke waqt 146.10 level se upar trade karne ke baad, jo ke guzishta haftay ka sab se kam level tha, pehle aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, iske baad pair wapas is ahem level ke neeche gir gaya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bearish soorat-e-haal ko taqat mil rahi hai. Is ulat-pulat se yeh maloom hota hai ke sellers ab control hasil kar rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai.

Technical tor par qeemat ne apni pehli bearish impulse ke saath ek ascending channel se break out kiya hai. Yeh breakout ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkin tabdeeli ki nishani hai. Mojooda neeche ki taraf harkat ab ek bari bearish pattern ke andar doosri wave ka hissa samjhi ja sakti hai. 146.00 ka round level, jisey pair ne haal hi mein tor diya, ab ek mazboot resistance level ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ek behtar entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions lena chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish soch ke saath milta hai.

Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taa ke chaltay huay downtrend ke mumkin support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level ek ahem target ke tor par ubharta hai, jo ke takreeban 142.80 par hai. Yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, lekin yeh ek aham support area ko zahir karta hai jo aane walay dino mein tawajjo ka markaz ban sakta hai. Yeh level bhi mojooda minimum ke qareeb hai, jis se yeh bears ke liye mazeed dilchasp target ban jata hai jo downtrend se faida uthana chahte hain.




Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair ki haaliya qeemat ki harkat ek barhte hue bearish jazbaat ko zahir karti hai. 146.10 ke neeche break, aur ascending channel ke torne ke sath, yeh indicate karta hai ke bears mumkin hai ke qeemat ko mazeed neeche dhakelte rahein. Traders ko 146.00 resistance level ko ghore se dekhna chahiye shorting ke mumkin moqon ke liye. Agar bearish trend jaari rehta hai, toh 142.80 level, jo ke 161.8% Fibonacci extension ke mutabiq hai, ek ahem target ban jata hai dekhne ke liye. Yeh bearish outlook tab tak barqarar hai jab tak pair 146.10 level ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur is level ke upar koi mazboot move mazeedaagi ko ghalat sabit kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY ka Tajziya aur Trading Tips

146.12 ke qeemat test ka waqia us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kafi neeche tha, jo mere nazar mein pair ki neeche ki potential ko had kar raha tha. Isi wajah se, maine dollar ko nahi becha aur buying ke liye scenario no. 2 ke intizar ka faisla kiya. Kuch dair baad, MACD ke oversold area se recovery ke dauran 146.12 par dusra test ek munasib entry point nazar aaya dollar ko khareedne ke liye. Lekin, jaisa ke aap chart par dekh sakte hain, pair upar nahi gaya, jis ke natije mein loss hua. Aaj, Japan ke external trade balance ke kamzor data ne yen par kuch pressure dala hai. Aindah ke direction ke baray mein baat karna thoda mushkil hai, kyun ke mazeed kuch risk assets ke muqablay mein US dollar ki kamzori ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair wazeh downtrend nahi dikha raha. Har girawat ke saath dollar ke kharidaar bazar mein dobara dakhil hone ki koshish karte hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenario no. 1 aur 2 par bharosa karunga.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj, mera plan USD/JPY ko khareedne ka hai jab yeh entry point 146.15 ke aas-paas ponche ga, jo chart par sabz line se mark hai, aur iska maqsad 146.70 tak ooper jana hai, jo chart par mooti sabz line se mark hai. 147.70 ke ilaqay mein, main long positions se exit karunga aur ulat rukh mein short positions kholunga, 30-35 pips ki ulat rukh mein harkat ki tawaqo ke saath. Hum aaj pair ke mazeed ooper janay ki tawaqo kar sakte hain, jo ke ek upward correction ka hissa hai. Ahem: Khareedne se pehle yeh yakeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur wahan se ooper janay ki shuruwat kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Mera plan aaj USD/JPY ko is surat mein bhi khareedne ka hai jab 145.57 ke do musalsal tests hon aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki neeche ki potential ko had kar dega aur market ke ulat janay ki taraf le jayega. Hum 146.15 aur 146.70 ke muqabil levels tak barhti hui tawaqo kar sakte hain.

Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mera plan sirf is surat mein USD/JPY bechne ka hai jab 145.57 ka level test ho, jo ke chart par surkh line se mark hai, jo pair mein tezi se girawat ki taraf le jaye ga. Sellers ka mukhlis target 145.00 ka level hoga, jahan main short positions se exit karunga aur foran ulat rukh mein long positions kholunga, is level se 20-25 pips ki ulat rukh mein harkat ki tawaqo ke saath. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas kar agar din ke pehle hisse mein correction nakam rahe aur din ka buland tareen level test na ho. Ahem: Bechne se pehle yeh yakeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur wahan se girne ki shuruwat kar raha hai.




Scenario No. 2: Mera plan aaj USD/JPY ko is surat mein bhi bechne ka hai jab 146.15 ke do musalsal tests hon aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki ooper ki potential ko had kar dega aur market ke neeche janay ki taraf le jayega. Hum 145.57 aur 145.00 ke muqabil levels tak girti hui tawaqo kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Pair ka Roman Urdu Mein Tajziya

Is hafte H4 timeframe par USD/JPY pair ne ek wazeh bearish trend dikhaya hai, jiss ne apni downward momentum ko jari rakhte hue 145.68 ke ahem price zone ko tor diya hai. Yeh girawat ek mustaqil bearish sentiment ki nishani hai, khaas kar jab price 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke traders ke liye market ke rukh ko samajhne ka ek aham indicator hai. Waqti market halat, jahan price 100 SMA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, bearish outlook ko mazboot karte hain, yeh ishara dete hain ke market trend guzishta weekend se downward hai aur sellers ka control hai.

Agar hum July se ab tak ke trading activity ko dekhein, toh wazeh hai ke market ek bearish trajectory par hai. Downward trend barqarar hai, aur agar pair girta hua 144.96 ke price zone tak ponchta hai, toh aglay haftay bhi is girawat ke barqarar rehne ki imkaan hai. Guzishta haftay ke trading mein buyers ne kuch koshish ki ke price ko ooper le jaya jaye, lekin yeh koshishain ziyada dair tak nahi tik sakein. Price 149.36 ke area ko chhune ke baad kisi bhi upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar payi aur phir se reverse ho gayi, jiss se bearish trend jari rahi jo abhi tak current trading period mein bhi hai.

Teknical perspective se dekha jaye toh downtrend pattern hafta ke darmiyan mein market ki harkat ko mazbooti se mutasir kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator, jo ke overbought ya oversold halat ko pehchanne ka ek mashhoor tool hai, 20 zone ko chhu raha hai, jiss se yeh signal milta hai ke market is waqt ek bearish state mein hai. Price ne subha market khulne ke baad se hi neeche ki taraf rukh kiya hua hai, jo ke downtrend ki mazeed tasdeeq karta hai. Jaisay ke bearish momentum barqarar hai, sellers kam price areas ko target karte hue pair ki mazeed girawat ki taraf dekh rahe hain.

Traders jo ke is trend se faida uthana chahte hain, un ke liye 145.22 ka zone ek key area ban kar ubhar raha hai jahan se short positions kholne par ghor kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh level wasee market trend ke saath mail khata hai aur un logon ke liye ek strategic entry point paish karta hai jo ongoing bearish movement ki taraf trade karna chahte hain. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke koi chhoti si upward correction ho sakti hai is se pehle ke trend apne neeche ki taraf ke rukh ko dobara ikhtiyar kare. Aisi koi bhi correction sellers ke liye ek behtar entry point paish kar sakti hai jo market ke bearish side ko join karna chahte hain.




Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair mazbooti se ek bearish trend mein hai H4 timeframe par, jiss mein technical indicators aur market conditions aur girawat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders ko 145.22 zone par potential selling opportunities par nazar rakhni chahiye, jab ke yeh bhi dhyaan rakhna chahiye ke koi bhi short-term corrections ho sakti hain is se pehle ke downtrend dobara se jari rahe. Overall sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai, aur jab tak price 100 SMA ke neeche rehti hai, mazeed downside movement ke imkanaat zyada hain.

USD/JPY Pair ka Roman Urdu Mein Tajziya

Ameriki Dollar aur Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) ke darmiyan currency pair ne aik consolidation ka daur dekha hai, jo ke yen ki teen din ki jeet ke baad nazar aata hai. Yeh consolidation kai factors se mutasir hai, jin mein trade balance data, interest rate ke hawalay se tawakoaat, aur aanay walay iqtisadi events shamil hain. Japan ka merchandise trade balance July ke liye ek deficit dikhata hai, jo ke June ke surplus se mukhalif hai. Yeh deficit market ki peshgoiyon se kam tha, lekin yeh iss saal ka paanchwan deficit tha, jo imports aur exports ke darmiyan farq ko highlight karta hai. Is ke bawajood, yen ke nuqsanat mein izafa hone ke imkanaat kam hain kyunke Bank of Japan ke taraf se qareebi muddat mein interest rate hike ke imkanaat badh rahe hain.

Dosri taraf, Amreeka mein, US dollar ne apni teen din ki girawat ko reverse karne ki koshish ki, jab ke traders Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki July policy meeting ke minutes ke release se pehle ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, traders Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole symposium mein aanay wali takreer ka intezaar kar rahe hain. CME FedWatch tool se yeh pata chalta hai ke Fed ki September meeting mein rate cut ki tawakoaat mein kami aayi hai, aur ab 25 basis point cut ke lag bhag 67.5% imkanaat hain. 50 basis point cut ke imkanaat bhi kafi hadd tak kam ho gaye hain.

Technical Perspective se Dekha Jaye:

USD/JPY pair iss waqt ek downtrend line ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ki taraf ishara karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 30 level se thora upar hai, jo ke correction ke imkanaat ko zahir karta hai. Pair ke liye support levels mein 144.00, 143.00, aur 141.69 ke areas shamil hain. Upar ki taraf, resistance ka saamna girti hui trend line ke paas, 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 146.80 level par ho sakta hai. Agar price is level se upar nikalti hai, toh 154.50 resistance level ka test ho sakta hai, jo ke pehle support tha lekin ab current resistance mein tabdeel ho chuka hai.




Is liye, traders ko dhyaan rakhna chahiye ke ye levels kis tarah se react karte hain, aur accordingly apni trading strategies adjust karni chahiye.

H-4 Time Frame Mein USD/JPY Pair Ka Tajziya

Is hafte USD/JPY pair ne bearish condition mein rehte hue apni downward rally ko jaari rakha aur 145.68 ke price zone ko bhi paar kar liya. Abhi price 100-period ke simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Technically, jo market conditions nazar aa rahi hain, uske mutabiq lagta hai ke is hafte ki trading 100-period SMA ke neeche ho rahi hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye yeh reference hai ke woh zyada tawajjo bearish trend par dein kyunke pichlay weekend se market trend bearish side ki taraf hi move kar raha hai.

July ke trading period se dekhain toh market abhi bhi bearish safar par hi nazar aa raha hai. Agar aane walay dino mein price 144.96 ke zone ko touch kar leti hai, toh ho sakta hai ke aglay hafte tak price mazeed neeche giray. Pichlay hafte ki trading ko dekhein, toh kuch efforts zaroor nazar aaye the buyers ki taraf se candlestick ko upar le jane ki, lekin yeh izafa zyada der tak barqarar nahi reh saka kyunke price 149.36 ke area ko touch karne ke baad wapas neeche aa gayi thi. Uske baad, candlestick girti hi chali gayi aaj ki trading period tak.




Technical tor par, downtrend pattern is haftay ke darmiyan market ki journey ko shadow karta hua nazar aata hai. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator se bhi signal aaya hai jo zone 20 ko touch karta hai, jo ke bearish market ki taraf ishara hai. Abhi subah ki trading ke baad se price thodi si neeche hi ja rahi hai. Aane wale trading ke liye, lower price area seller ke liye target hoga bearish side ki taraf safar ke continuation ke liye. Mere khayal mein, ek acha area Sell position open karne ke liye market trend ke direction ke mutabiq 145.22 zone hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke bearish trend continue hone se pehle ek upward correction ho jaye.

USD/JPY Exchange Rate Update

Mangalwar, August 20 ko, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein girawat dekhi, aur 145.36 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke pehle 145.20 ke low tak gir gaya tha—yeh August 7 ke baad se sabse neecha level hai. Forex market mein, khaaskar US dollar index ke girne se, non-US currencies ko faida hua hai. Investors ab Wednesday ko US employment data revisions aur Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Conference, Wyoming mein hone wali taqreer par dhyan de rahe hain, jahan se unhe interest rate cuts ke hawale se zyada wazahat milne ki umeed hai.

Japan Mein Interest Rates Aur Economic Data

Japan mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ko Friday ko parliament mein sawalon ka samna karna hai, jahan central bank ke pichle mahine interest rates barhane ke faislay par guftagu ki umeed hai. Reuters ke 18 economists ke survey ke mutabiq, Japan mein consumer inflation July mein teesre consecutive mahine barhne ki umeed hai. Yeh Bank of Japan ko further interest rate hikes par ghor karne ka mauka de sakta hai, khaaskar pichle mahine short-term interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhane ke baad. Japan aur US ke darmiyan interest rate adjustments ke hawale se mukhtalif iraadon ke bawajood, yen ke gradual bullish positions se faida uthane ki umeed hai.

USD/JPY Ka Technical Analysis

Daily chart ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair pichle hafte 149.43 ke threshold ko paar nahi kar paya, jo ke 161.96 aur 141.68 ke beech ke decline se derived 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ko represent karta hai. Spot rate Asian low 145.86 se rebound hui, lekin London mein 147.34 par roknay ke baad, dollar ka counterattack nakam raha. Agar 145.30 se 145.00 ke nazdeek ke lows tut gaye, toh USD/JPY mazeed girawat dekh sakta hai.

Word Explanation:

- Dollar: United States ki currency.
- Yen: Japan ki currency.
- Exchange Rate: Woh value jis par ek currency ko doosri currency ke liye exchange kiya ja sakta hai.
- Fell: Value mein kami ya girawat.
- Rebound: Girawat ke baad zyada value tak wapas aana.
- Investors: Woh log ya entities jo capital allocate karte hain financial returns ki umeed mein.
- Employment Data: Employment rates, job creation aur unemployment ke statistics.
- Interest Rate: Borrowers ko paisa istemal karne ke liye lenders se charge kiya gaya amount, jo percentage ke tor par hota hai.
- Governor: Central bank ka head jo monetary policy ke zimmedar hota hai.
- Central Bank: National bank jo government ki monetary policy ko implement karta hai aur banking system ko oversee karta hai.
- Inflation: Woh rate jis par goods aur services ke prices barhte hain aur purchasing power kam hoti hai.
- Fibonacci Retracement: Technical analysis tool jo support aur resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye use hota hai based on Fibonacci sequence.
- Bullish: Investment term jo is baat ko indicate karta hai ke asset ki price barhegi.




Yeh terms currency trading aur economic indicators ko samajhne mein madadgar hain forex market ke context mein.

Market Analysis for USD/JPY Currency Pairs

Mangalwar (August 20) ko, US dollar yen ke muqablay mein 145.36 tak gir gaya, jab ke ek din pehle 145.20 ka low dekha tha, jo ke August 7 ke baad se sabse kam level hai. Tuesday ko foreign exchange market mein US dollar index ke girne se non-US currencies ko faida hua. Investors ab Wednesday ko US employment data revisions aur Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Conference mein taqreer ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se unhe interest rate cuts ke hawale se zyada wazahat milne ki umeed hai.

Japan mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ko Friday ko parliament mein sawalon ka samna karna hai, jahan central bank ke pichle mahine interest rates barhane ke faislay par guftagu ki umeed hai. Reuters ke 18 economists ke survey ke mutabiq, agle haftay data dikhayegi ke Japan ki consumer inflation July mein teesre consecutive mahine barh gayi hai, jo Bank of Japan ko short-term interest rates ko 0.25% tak barhane ke baad ek aur rate hike par ghor karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Japan aur US ke interest rate adjustments ke hawale se mukhtalif raay ke bawajood, yen ko gradually bullish positions se faida uthane ki umeed hai.




Daily chart ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pichle hafte 149.43 tak nahi pahunch paya (149.43 July se August tak 161.96 se 141.68 ke decline ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai), aur spot rate Asian low 145.86 se rebound hui, lekin London mein 147.34 par roknay ke baad, dollar ka counterattack nakam raha. Agar 145.30 se 145.00 ke recent lows tut gaye, toh USD/JPY mazeed girawat dekh sakta hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis

USD/JPY ke H4 time frame chart par, USD/JPY currency pair abhi ek corrective phase se guzra hai, jahan recently yen ya dollar ko koi khaas asar dekhne ko nahi mila. Is correction ke bawajood, yeh mumkin hai ke market Thursday tak bearish trend ko continue rakhe. Market ki aage ki direction ko samajhne ke liye US unemployment claims data ki dynamics ka ghor se dekhna zaroori hai, jo ke labor market ki current state ke baare mein insights de sakta hai. Agar data labor market ke kamzor hone ka indication deta hai, toh yeh typically USD/JPY ke liye bearish sentiment ko support karega. Lekin, recent US unemployment claims data ne behtar results dikhaye hain jo ke market expectations se zyada positive the. Is unexpected positive outcome ne US dollar ko support diya hai aur yen ke muqablay mein iski value barh gayi hai. Data ki achi performance yeh indicate karti hai ke labor market shayad pehle se zyada healthy ho sakta hai, jo dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai. Traders aur analysts in developments ko closely monitor karenge taake USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ko samjha ja sake. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants ko chust rehna chahiye aur currency movements par asar dalne wale immediate aur broader economic factors ko consider karna chahiye.




Agar USD/JPY pair is level tak pahunche, toh yeh trend ka ek turning point ho sakta hai. 152.75 level ko sirf accumulation ka target nahi, balki current bullish wave ke liye potential ceiling bhi dekha jata hai. Agar pair is level tak pahunche, toh yeh significant resistance ka samna kar sakta hai, jo ke ek sharp reversal lead kar sakta hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair aane wale sessions mein significant volatility ka samna kar sakta hai. Chahe yeh seedha 150.50 tak pahunche ya raste mein rukawat ka samna kare, yeh level bulls aur bears ke liye crucial battleground hoga. Traders ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye aur technical signals aur fundamental developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake is dynamic currency pair ke potential ups and downs ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

Sab ko accha din aur zyada faida mile! Filhal meri trading strategy, jo Heiken Ashi, TMA, aur RSI indicators ke combination par based hai, mujhe yeh batati hai ke ab currency pair ya instrument bechne ka waqt aa gaya hai. System ke agreed signals se yeh clear hai ke bears ne market ka trend palat diya hai, aur is liye sales ab priority hain. Heiken Ashi candles, jo price quotes ki value ko achi tarah se smooth aur average karti hain, traditional Japanese candles ke muqablay mein reversal moments, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko waqt par dekhne mein madad karti hain.

TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, jo moving averages ke base par chart par current support aur resistance lines draw karta hai, trading mein ek behtareen madad hai, jo asset movement boundaries ko show karta hai. Signal filtering aur final decision ke liye RSI oscillator use hota hai, jo overbought aur oversold zones ko indicate karta hai. Mera khayal hai ke trading instruments ka yeh combination technical analysis process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market entries se bachne mein madad karta hai.

Chart par jo pair dikhaya gaya hai, usmein candles ka rang laal ho gaya hai, jo ke bearish mood ko bullish mood par priority deta hai. Is liye aap market mein entry point dhundh sakte hain taake short deal ki ja sake. Price quotes ne linear channel ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko paar kiya, lekin sabse low HIGH point tak pahunchnay ke baad, price ne wahan se bounce kiya aur channel ki central line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf direction badli.

RSI indicator (14) bhi sell signal ko support karta hai kyunki yeh short position ke choice se contradict nahi karta; iska curve ab downward direction mein hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Isliye, sales ke kamyab hone ki probability ab zyada hai, aur short transaction kholna justified hai. Main expect karta hoon ke take profit lower border of the channel (blue dotted line) ke area mein hoga, jo ke price quote 141.673 par located hai.




Jab order profitable zone mein move kare, tab position ko breakeven par shift karna behtar hai, kyunki market humari expectations ko false movements se disrupt karne ke liye mashhoor hai.

USD/JPY: Price Action Forecasting

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki maujooda pricing behavior ko discuss aur analyze kar rahe hain. Is waqt USD/JPY pair ka trend downward shift kar gaya hai, jo short-term trading opportunities ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Hafte ke shuruat mein, pair ne 147.74 ka ek ahem support level break kiya aur us ke neeche stabilize ho gaya, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai. Is movement ne traders ko agle support level 144.29 ki taraf mazeed girawat ki umeed dila di hai. Bearish trades ke liye, stop-loss ko resistance level 148.52 ke thoda upar set karein. USD/JPY pair ka technical analysis, Bollinger Bands aur vertical volume assessment ke saath, ye dikhata hai ke pair ab 146.434 par trade kar raha hai, aur long position open karna faida mand ho sakta hai. Target price indicator ke upper band ke saath lagbhag 146.645 par hai. Choti moti price adjustments ki umeed rakhein kyunki indicator realign ho raha hai.




Pair ke behavior ko Bollinger Bands ki mid line ke saath monitor karna bhi zaroori hai, jo lagbhag 146.093 hai. Agar reversal pattern emerge hota hai aur price 146.093 ke neeche girti hai, to long positions ko minimal loss ke saath close karna aur sell position shuru karna behtar hoga. Agar sellers momentum gain karte hain aur price ko 146.093 ke neeche le jaate hain, to sales target lower Bollinger Band 145.541 tak shift ho sakta hai. Market ki volatility aur traders ki active participation ko dekhte hue, flexible strategy adopt karna aur price changes par turant react karna trading mein kamiyabi ke liye zaroori hai. Filhal, USD/JPY pair apne opening level 147.94 ke neeche aur daily Pivot level 148.57 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Key indicators bearish trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 71 trend line ke neeche hai aur volume aam tor par kam hota hai.

USD/JPY Price Move

Hamari analysis USD/JPY currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior par focus karti hai. Ek reliable forecast traders ko foran action lene ka mauka deta hai, bina kisi intezaar ke. Har trader ko prediction skills develop karni chahiye ya ready-made forecasts ka use karna chahiye. Isse hume USD/JPY pair ke movement ka andaza lagane mein madad milti hai, jo effective trading aur market entry ke liye behtar chances provide karta hai. Predictions ke base par trading strategies implement karne se substantial profits ho sakte hain. Ye khushi ki baat hai jab koi profitable trading aur apne career mein success ki taraf aim karta hai. Lekin Forex market mein forecasts ka absolute certainty nahi hota. Traders ko changing conditions ke saath adapt karna padta hai, kyunki flexible approach usually profitability ki taraf lead karti hai, jo successful trading ka essence hai. USD/JPY pair ne 146.49 level ko test kiya hai, jo 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke saath align karta hai. Hum is level ke break hone ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo sellers ko 144.39 ke targets ki taraf push karne ka mauka dega.




Ek aur factor jo note karna zaroori hai woh ye hai ke is trading week ki shuruaat balance line ke neeche hui hai, jo bearish sentiment ko aur badhata hai aur further decline ki likelihood ko increase karta hai. Pair abhi bhi descending channel ke andar hai. Halankeh ye filhal rise kar raha hai, lekin channel ke upper boundary ko abhi tak nahi chhoya. Main anticipate karta hoon ke pair 146.81 ki taraf climb karega, jo channel ka upper limit hai. Is target ko reach karne par ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko lower boundary, lagbhag 143.41 ki taraf wapas le aayega. Pair aaj significant drop kiya hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke isne 147.39 aur 146.24 ke support levels ko break kiya hai, aur ab 146.55 ke aaspaas trade kar raha hai. RSI apni range ke middle ki taraf indicate kar raha hai, jo upward momentum ka signal hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) buy signal de raha hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke price 147.29 resistance level ko test karegi.

USD/JPY Price Direction

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. USD/JPY price apne downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai, kyunki U.S. dollar ki weakness evident hai, magar dollar ke index mein decline ka exact timing abhi tak uncertain hai. Shuru mein, maine Bank of Japan ke interest rate hike ke baad yen ki long-term appreciation ki umeed ki thi. Lekin, yen ki performance sluggish rahi hai, jo shak ko janam deta hai. Hourly chart par, USD/JPY pair ek local regression channel bana raha hai, jo is waqt apni lower boundary ke qareeb hai, jo price ke increase hone ki ishaarat hai, channel ke midpoint tak, jo ke 147.59 ke aaspaas hai. Magar, ye short-term rise pair ke medium- to long-term bearish outlook ko negate nahi karti.




Agar buyers dominate karte hain aur price decline hoti hai, to pair ko 136.39 se 137.79 ke range mein further downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ke trading mein significant uncertainty hai, kyunki price 145.89 se 149.29 ke beech fluctuate kar rahi hai. Ye situation trading ke liye challenging hai. Agar sellers apni positions ko strengthen karte hain, to price apne upward movement ko continue kar sakti hai, ya support levels ke aaspaas 141.74 se 142.74 tak wapas aa sakti hai, jahan buyers apni positions exit kar sakte hain. Lekin, jaise maine pehle bhi kaha, unexpected upward momentum hamesha possible hoti hai, jaisa ke pichle instances mein dekha gaya hai. Market participants ke reactions ko monitor karna zaroori hai agar price rise hoti hai; agar sellers apni activity increase karte hain, to cost bhi increase ho sakti hai. Zigzag, MACD, aur RSI indicators bhi is view ko support karte hain, jo oversold zone mein hain, aur long positions ke liye potential gains ka ishaara dete hain. Bulls ki strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, main apni open position ko secure karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price Fibonacci target 61.8% tak pohchti hai, jo 154.682 ke barabar hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis and Key Levels

Good afternoon,

USD/JPY pair ne H1 pivot level 2/8 (145.31) se rebound kiya aur 147.34 tak pohanch gaya, lekin phir pullback dekhne ko mila. Yahan maujooda technical setup aur potential market scenarios ka tafseeli jaiza diya gaya hai:

Current Technical Setup:
- Recent Movement and Key Levels:
USD/JPY pair ne shuru mein H1 pivot level 2/8 (145.31) par support paaya, jo upward movement ko 147.34 tak le gaya.
Is high se baad mein jo pullback aya hai, wo noteworthy hai. Agar price 146.48 ke neeche girti hai, to ye M15 timeframe par bullish se bearish trend ke shift ka signal hoga.

- Bearish Scenario:
Agar price 145.84 ke neeche girti hai, to H1 aur H4 timeframes ke sath daily timeframe bhi bearish trend confirm karega. Pair uske baad H1 pivot level 1/8 (144.53) aur H1 pivot (143.75) ki taraf target karega. Is case mein, aaj ke liye bullish trend ka prospect kam ho jayega.

- Bullish Reversal:
Agar bearish trend ko H1 timeframe par invalidate karna hai, to USD/JPY pair ko H1 pivot 5/8 (147.66) aur 148.00 ke beech rise karna aur usse upar hold karna hoga. Ye bullish confirmation M15 timeframe ke bullish rehne par depend karta hai.

- Higher Timeframes:
Agar H4 timeframe par price H1 pivot 1/8 (150.78) se 152.40 ke range ke upar settle hoti hai, to bearish trend bullish trend mein shift ho jayega. Daily timeframe abhi bearish hai. Bullish reversal tab hoga jab price 153.10 ki taraf move kare aur 155.00 se 156.70 ke range ke upar establish ho.

Summary:
- Support Levels: Key support levels hain 145.31 (H1 pivot 2/8), 144.53 (H1 pivot 1/8), aur 143.75 (H1 pivot).
- Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels hain 147.66 (H1 pivot 5/8) aur 148.00. Higher timeframes ke liye, significant resistance 150.78 se 152.40 ke beech hai, aur daily timeframe ka bullish target 153.10 aur 155.00-156.70 ke range ke upar hai.

Maujooda technical outlook ke mutabiq, agar price 146.48 ke neeche break karti hai to bearish trend solidify ho sakta hai, jo lower support levels ko target karega. Wahi agar key resistance zones ke upar sustained rise hoti hai to bearish trend invalidate ho sakta hai aur focus bullish conditions ki taraf shift ho sakta hai.




In critical levels aur timeframes par nazar rakhein taake informed trading decisions le sakein.