usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

۔ **US Dollar Ki Recovery Ki Koshish Aur Girawat**

Is hafte ke aghaz mein US dollar ne kuch recovery ki koshish ki, lekin phir usne tezi se girawat dekhi. ¥142 ka level ab traders ke liye ek key point ban gaya hai. Yeh na sirf ek significant round number hai, balki is zone ne pehle bhi khaas market activity dekhi hai. Iski ahmiyat ko barhane wale factors mein se ek yeh hai ke yeh uptrend line ke saath intersect karta hai, jo is area ko ek key support zone bana sakta hai.

**Dollar Ki Momentum Ka Sawal**

Ab sabse bara sawal yeh hai ke kya dollar momentum wapas le sakta hai. Agar market ¥145 ke level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh further upside potential ka signal de sakta hai. Aise mein, agla target shayad ¥147.50 level hoga, jo ke psychologically important ¥150 level ke pehle aata hai. Lekin agar dollar girawat ka silsila jari rakhta hai aur ¥142 ke support zone ko break karta hai, to agla significant level ¥137.50 ke aas-paas hoga, jo ek aur major support line ka kaam karega.

**Global Risk Sentiment Ka Asar**

Yeh market global risk sentiment ke zyada influence mein hai. Recent mein carry trade ka unwinding, jo dollar ko support kar raha tha, ne volatility ko barhaya hai. Yeh trend continue hota hai ya reverses hota hai, isse global markets par wide impact ho sakta hai. Japanese yen, jo ke ek major safe haven currency hai, aam taur par tab majboot hota hai jab market participants risk-averse hote hain. Agar risk appetite low rahta hai, to USD/JPY mein selling pressure barh sakta hai, jo ke sirf is pair tak mehdood nahi rahega, balki across asset classes bhi dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

**Short-Term Movement Aur Technical Levels**

Agar short-term movement ko dekha jaye to US dollar ka yen ke muqablay mein chalna kai factors par depend karta hai, jin mein key technical levels aur broader global risk sentiment shamil hain. Traders ko 145 aur 142 yen ke levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh levels agle bade move ke clues provide kar sakte hain. In levels ki monitoring se traders ko yeh samajhne mein madad milegi ke pair agle kuch hafton mein kis direction mein move kar sakta hai.

**Khulasah**

In conclusion, US dollar aur yen ke beech ka short-term movement technical aur sentiment-based factors se impact hota hai. Traders ko yeh levels aur global risk trends ko closely follow karna chahiye taake woh timely decisions le sakein aur market ke agle moves ko accurately predict kar sakein.

chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain

ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 144.47 aur 143.76 tak

161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.
Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai. Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne

USD/JPY ne 0.40% se barh kar 146.74 ka level pakra. Monday ko U.S. ki public holiday ki wajah se dollar ki volatility thodi flat rahi, lekin agle dinon mein macroeconomic data ka silsila shuru ho raha hai, khaaskar Friday ko non-farm payrolls data jo climax tak pohnchega. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne inflation se ladne se zyada naukriyon ko bachane par focus shift kar diya hai, isliye Friday ko release hone wala U.S. non-farm payrolls report bahut hi ahem hai. Analysts kehte hain ke employment data se Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations ka pata chalega. Kuch hafton se market 25 basis points rate cut ki possibility ko digest kar rahi hai. Inflation data ke mutabiq, rate cut chhota hone ki umeed hai, is wajah se long-term U.S. Treasury yields ne mid-August ke baad se sabse uncha level pakra, aur dollar ne August 20 ke baad se sabse ucha level chhoda. U.S. GDP data ne bhi yeh dikhaya ke economic foundation itni mazboot hai ke Federal Reserve ko policy ko relax karne mein kam aggressive rehna chahiye. Reuters se survey kiye gaye economists ko umeed hai ke August mein U.S. non-farm payrolls 165,000 tak barhenge, jo pichle mahine se 114,000 zyada hai. Analysts kehte hain agar data forecast ke nazdeek hota hai, to U.S. economy ko soft landing milne ki umeed hai aur Fed is mahine 25 basis points policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Lekin agar data 100,000 ya usse kam hota hai, to hard landing ka risk barh jayega aur market ko lagta hai ke 50 basis points rate cut ka possibility zyada hai. Non-farm payrolls data ka impact U.S. dollar par ek waqt ke liye zyada hoga.
BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne policy mein in tabdeeliyon ka wazeh tor par zikar kiya. Ueda ne kaha ke 2% ka inflation target musalsal aur barabar tor par hasil karne ke liye monetary easing ke darajat mein tabdeeli zaruri thi. Ueda ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke Bank mazeed interest rate hikes karne ke liye pur azm hai. Yen ki mazid taqat ka sabab Mitsubishi UFJ Bank ka announcement bhi tha ke woh apne short-term prime lending rate ko 1.475% se barhakar 1.625% kar raha hai, jo ke 2 September se laagu hoga. Ye BoJ ke policy shift ke mutabiq ek qadam tha.
Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko dabao ka samna hai jabke market participants Federal Reserve (Fed) ki aanay wali interest rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Wednesday ko expected hai. Halaanke Fed se umeed hai ke woh July ke liye rates ko waise hi rakhega, magar September mein rate cut ka speculation barh raha hai. Yeh umeed USD par dabao daal rahi hai, aur USD/JPY pair mein girawat mazeed barh rahi hai.
USD/JPY Ka Technical Tajziya: Ahm Levels aur Trend Analysis
USD/JPY pair ne ahm psychological level 146.00 ko tor diya, aur pehli baar March ke baad is level ke neechay close kiya. Pair mein kaafi volatility dekhne ko mili, jisme 150-pip ki range mein fluctuation hui, aur Japanese Yen ko teen din ka low 144.74 tak le aayi. Jab Wednesday ke din Asian session ka aghaz hua, major pair lagbhag 145.07 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, aur previous close se zyada farq nahi tha.
Hourly chart ke mutabiq, pair ne descending wedge pattern ko tor diya hai, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke bearish trend abhi jaari rehne ka imkaan hai bajaye reverse hone ke. Mazeed, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 30 ke neechay hai, jo is baat ka ishara de raha hai ke yeh currency asset oversold position mein hai aur kuch arsay ke liye rebound kar sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi ne naye hafte ki shuruaat 142.80 ki support satah ke qarib ki hai. Is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh joda is nishan ko tod dega, iske niche fix ho jayega, aur 140.00 ki satah ki taraf badh jayega.
Jab tak 142.80 ki support satah nahin toot jati, tab tak is bat ka imkan hai keh jodi 145.20 ki muzahmati satah par wapas aa jayegi, lekin is scenario ka imkan kam hai. Mai ab bhi tawaqqo karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda 142.80 ki support satah se niche toot jayega aur 140.00 ke hadaf ki satah par fisal jayega. Agar qimat pahli koshish me 140.00 ke nishan ko paar karne me nakam rahti hai to, isk 142.80 ki muzahmati satah par wapas ucchalne ka imkan hai. Iske bad, qimat me kamzori dobara shuru hone, 140.00 ki satah se niche tootne aur 137.50 ke nishan tak nuqsanat ko badhane me tawaqqo hai. Agar qimat aaj 142.80 ki support satah se niche fix hone me nakam rahti hai to, dollar/yen ka joda mumkena taur par apne kami ko dobara shuru karne se pahle tezi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par 145.20 tak badh jayegi.

USD/JPY H4 chart

Aaj kaise hain sab forum doston aur admin moderators of Investing Social Riders? Umeed hai ke sab khairiyat se hain aur aaj ke kaam ko behtar tareeqe se anjaam dene ke liye purjosh hain. Sab doston ko Thursday mubarak ho aur umeed hai ke trading plan ke zariye aaj zyada se zyada faida uthaenge. Aaj USD/JPY ka movement discuss karna kafi dilchasp hai, jo kal bohat volatile nazar aayi. Kal ke bullish trend ke bawajood USD/JPY ne 148.25 ka 20 saal purana high break kar diya tha, aur ab psychological level 147.00 ke upar trade ho raha hai. Kal ka range kareeban 150 pips ka tha, jisme highest price 146.90 aur lowest 148.90 tha.

Agar technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh USD/JPY pair ne downtrend se reversal ke kuch asaar dikhaye hain. Abhi price downtrend line ke upar trade ho rahi hai, jo ke downward momentum ke kam honay ki nishani hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 ke level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ka barqarar rehna show karta hai. Support side pe, pair ko kareeban 145.53 pe 9-day EMA aur 144.00 ke near downtrend line pe resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar price in levels ke neeche break karti hai, toh yeh further decline kar ke 141.69 ke seven-month low aur phir 140.25 pe support tak ja sakti hai.



Upar ki taraf, USD/JPY pair 150.00 ka psychological level touch kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh further rally 154.50 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Lekin, abhi koi clear indications nahi hain ke koi significant upward rebound hoga, kyunke price 146.45 ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level aur 20-day SMA ke neeche hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) negative territory mein hai, lekin apni trigger line ke qareeb hai, jo bearish momentum ke kamzor honay ka imkaan dikhata hai. RSI bhi 30 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo ke potential reversal ka ishara de raha hai. USD/JPY pair abhi tak Fed ke rate cuts aur BoJ ki hawkish monetary policy ke darmiyan **** hua hai. Aanewala US employment data is pair ke future direction ko tay karega. Halat yeh hain ke kuch reversal ke asaar hain, lekin overall downtrend abhi bhi barqarar hai.

situation ko dekhein. Pehlay kay movements ko dekhte huay, main assume kar sakta hoon ke price lower limit ki taraf ja rahi hai aur agar yeh limit break ho gayi, toh yeh price kay further neechay janay ki desire ko zahir kare gi. Test ke dauran, main northern direction main rebound par market main entry karnay ka mauqa talash karun ga, specifically chhoti time frame par buying ka koi pattern ho toh. Lekin zyada chances hain ke regulator ne iss haftay intervene kiya jab price bina kisi wazeh wajah ke decline hona shuru ho gayi jab buyers ne heavy EMA 120 ke upar secure kiya tha. Is haftay, main qareeb se dekhoon ga ke price narrowing formation main kaisa behave kare gi aur week ke end tak kis taraf priorities samne aayengi based on price movement in this range. Abhi tak direction dono sides par ja sakti hai, lekin preference ab bhi south yani neechay ki taraf hai. Main dollar yen pair ko weekly chart par dekh raha hoon. Yeh pair ascending trend line ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jab buyers ne apna profit fix karna shuru kiya, pair ne decline hona shuru kar diya. Yeh bohat actively decline ho kar 141.508 tak pohanch gayi. Chhoti timeframes, jaise kay daily par, mujhe laga kay buyers kay stops le raha tha. Buyers Tuesday kay trading main apni dominance ko maintain nahi kar paye jab price 146.90 kay daily open kay upar gayi, aur sirf 147.22 tak pohanch sakay. Iss area se price ne direction reverse ki aur long weakening dekhi. Sellers ke is pressure ki wajah se EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 par downward cross bana, jo ke negative price flow direction ko indicate karta hai. Kal kay strong sellers ne price ko sirf EMA 200 H1 tak nahi pohanchaya balke isay penetrate bhi kar liya. Magar 145.16 se ek pullback hua jiss ne price ko upar move karwaya, lekin aur aagay nahi ja sakti thi, EMA 12 H1 ne buyers ko roka aur price dobara neechay gir gayi. USD/JPY market finally lower 145.47 par band hua. Aaj ke trading kay doran, USD/JPY market 145.47 par open hui. EMA 200 H1 uske thora ooper cross hua, ie 145.66 par. Asian session main consolidation kay baad bhi, price apne daily open kay neeche thi

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain

USD/JPY ne ek record high par pohonch kar tezi se increase dikhaya hai, jo ke profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi ho sakta hai. Aane wale US session se pehle ek decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Moving averages ke upar aur bullish channel se breakout ne bearish pressure ka ishara diya hai. Hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ke mutabiq, ek decline ki possibility hai kyunki moving average abhi ke price se upar hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, aur yeh higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is haftay ke trend pattern ne narrow range mein ek uptrend dikhaya hai. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices ke uptrend ko maintain karne ki umeed hai.

Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein rise ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone se upar jaane mein kamiyab hote hain... Is waqt, USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko todna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye continued movement ka potential offer karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par hoga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jahan se price aksar wapas bounce hota hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karega, jo ke price weakness ka ishara hoga.

Yeh khas taur par USD/JPY market mein pichle budh ko dekha gaya tha jab price ne trading session ke dauran significant downward movement experience kiya. Shorter time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ek slight upward correction ko dikhata hai. Yeh possible hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke ird-gird consolidate kare, kyunki yeh conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhi jaati hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ko observe karte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi yeh downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke shuruati trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair ke recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ka ek complex interplay reflect kar rahi hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka current test pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai. Traders ko chahiye ke yeh level ke ird-gird pair ka behavior closely monitor karein, kyunki yeh future price movements ke bare mein significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Ek cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, jisme technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko include kiya jaye, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye aane wale dino mein.

Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed

4-hour chart par, price ek support area ke qareeb hai, jo weekly level 162.83 ke aas paas hai, aur saath hi red channel line ke kareeb bhi hai. Is haftay ke doran, price ne price channels mein trade karna shuru kiya hai, jismein ek channel ascending hai aur doosra descending. Lekin ab tak ke price movement se ye baat samajh aati hai ke price ne ascending channel ka ehtiram kiya hai, jis se is haftay ab tak ek ascending week bana hai.

Is liye, red channel line ek achi support ban sakti hai, jo price ko wapas upar ki taraf le aayegi. Aur sab se behtareen trading opportunity tab milegi jab channel line ke saath ascending price action banegi, aur tab buy karna munasib hoga.

Economic side par dekha jaye to Eurozone ka GDP growth rate confirm ho gaya hai. Jo announce kiya gaya uske mutabiq, Eurozone GDP ne dusre quarter of 2024 mein quarterly basis par 0.3% ka expansion dikhaya, jo ke pehle period ke barabar hai aur initial estimate ke mutabiq bhi hai. Badi economies jismein France (0.3% vs. 0.3% Q1), Italy (0.2% vs. 0.3%), aur Spain (0.8% vs. 0.8%) ne bhi quarter mein expansion dikhaya. Belgium (0.2% vs. 0.3%), Ireland (1.2% vs. 0.7%), Portugal (0.1% vs. 0.8%), Lithuania (0.9% vs. 0.9%), Cyprus (0.7% vs. 1%), Slovakia (0.4% vs. 0.6%) aur Finland (0.4% vs. 0.2%) ne bhi expansion dikhaya. Doosri taraf, Estonia (0.2% vs. -0.4%), Netherlands (1% vs. -0.3%) aur Slovenia (0.2% vs. -0.1%) mein GDP rebound hua. Lekin sab se badi economy, Germany, ne unexpected contraction dikhaya 0.1% ka, kyun ke industrial sector ab bhi high interest rates ke pressure se guzr raha hai. Latvia ki economy mein bhi 1.1% ka contraction aaya aur Austria ka GDP stagnant raha (vs. 0.2%).

Annual basis par, Eurozone GDP ne 0.6% ka expansion dikhaya, jo pichlay paanch quarters mein sab se zyada hai. European Commission expect karti hai ke Eurozone economy is saal 0.8% grow karegi, 2023 mein ek broad recession ke baad.