USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai

**USD/JPY ke trades aur tips ka tajziya**

Jab price ne 144.37 ka test kiya, toh MACD indicator significantly zero mark ke neeche chala gaya tha, jo aage ke downward potential ko limit kar raha tha. Is wajah se maine sell nahi kiya aur scenario No. 2 ka intezaar kiya jo pair ko buy karne ke liye tha, jise maine kal ke forecast mein detail kiya tha. Iske baad, ek aur test 144.37 pe hua jab MACD indicator oversold area mein tha aur wahan se recover kar raha tha, jo buy karne ka sahi entry point ko confirm karta tha, jis se 100 pips ka profit hua. Waisa hi kuch opposite direction mein 145.30 ke saath bhi hua, jis se 90 pips ka profit liya gaya.

Aaj Bank of Japan ke deputy governor ka statement aya, jisme unhone kaha ke central bank tab tak interest rates nahi badhaye ga jab tak financial aur capital markets unstable hain, jis se Japanese yen mein sharp drop aaya aur US dollar strengthen hua, jo recent rise ke baad investors ko kuch thandak de gaya. Phir bhi, main short positions ke zariye downward trend ko follow karne ka iraada rakhta hoon. Yeh best hoga ke jitna high price pe ho, waisa behtar hoga, khaaskar aaj ke significant rise ke baad Asian session mein. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur 2 ko sell karne ke liye zyada rely karunga, jo trend ke aage ke liye hai.

**Buy Signals**

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price entry point 147.26 pe pohanchti hai, jo chart pe green line se plot hai, aur goal 148.60 tak pahunchne ka hai jo chart pe thicker green line se plot hai. 148.60 pe pahunch kar, main long positions ko exit kar dunga aur short positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke is level se 30-35 pips ka movement milega. Aaj ke din pair ka upar correction ke framework mein aage barhne ka expectation hai. Lekin jitna zyada pair upar jayega, dollar bechna utna hi attractive hoga. Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan bhi kar raha hoon agar price 146.70 ko do consecutive tests karti hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse karne mein madad karega. Umeed hai ke growth 147.26 aur 148.60 tak pahunchegi.

**Sell Signals**

Scenario No. 1: Main USD/JPY ko aaj tabhi sell karunga jab 146.70 ko test karne ke baad pair mein rapid decline hoga. Sellers ke liye key target 145.48 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit kar dunga aur immediately long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke is level se 20-25 pips ka movement milega. USD/JPY pe pressure wapas aa sakta hai kisi bhi waqt, khaaskar agar pehle half of the day mein correction unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ko test nahi kiya jata. Important: Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur decline kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan bhi kar raha hoon agar price 147.26 ko do consecutive tests karti hai jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse karne mein madad karega. Umeed hai ke decline 146.70 aur 145.48 tak jayegi.

Aaj mein W1 chart ke senior period par ghore karne ka mashwara deta hoon - USDJPY currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai. Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (ISM)

, price ne support level 159.296 tak correct kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai aur behtareen yeh hai

USD/JPY currency pair ka upward trend dusre din bhi barh gaya hai, zyada tar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke dovish stance ki wajah se. Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida ke bayan ke baad ke central bank market instability ke doran interest rates raise nahi karega, yen ki kamzori barh gayi hai. Federal Reserve ke anticipated interest rate cuts ki wajah se USD/JPY mein aage ki upside limited ho sakti hai, lekin pair ne strength dikhayi hai. Technical indicators momentum shift ko bearish se bullish dikhate hain. Pair ka nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf chadhna aur RSI ka oversold level se upar hona short-term rebound ki possibility barhata hai. USD/JPY ka immediate support 140.25 level par hai, jabke resistance nine-day EMA ke qareeb 149.22 par anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Key resistance levels mein 154.50 aur 50-day EMA bhi shamil hain.
Agar Monday ke low 146.58 par decisive break hota hai aur bullish doji candlestick pattern banta hai, toh naya buying interest ignite ho sakta hai aur pair 149.00 level tak ja sakta hai. 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke 151.50 par breakthrough se upward momentum barh sakta hai 20-day SMA ke 153.20 tak. Magar, pair ke recent rally ne abhi tak bearish sentiment ko poori tarah se erase nahi kiya hai, kyunke RSI aur Stochastic oscillators oversold territory mein hain. Isliye, short-term correction ya consolidation ki possibility ko entirely rule out nahi kiya ja sakta. Akhir mein, USD/JPY ka trajectory BoJ ke monetary policy, Federal Reserve ke actions, aur overall market sentiment ke interplay par depend karega. Traders ko 200-day SMA ke breaking trendline 155.00 ke upar monitor karna chahiye, phir bullish continue hoga previous high 162.30 ke aas paas.

indication is bullish trend ka yeh hai ke price resistance level 159.901 par stuck hai. Pehle, price ne support level 159.296 tak correct kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai aur behtareen yeh

Trade analysis aur USD/JPY ke liye tips:
Price test 144.37 par hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi neeche tha, jisse pair ke liye aur downward potential limit ho gaya. Is wajah se maine sell nahi kiya aur buying ke liye scenario No. 2 ke implementation ka intezar kiya, jo maine kal ke forecast mein detail se bataya tha. Thodi der baad, ek aur test 144.37 par hua jab MACD indicator oversold area mein tha aur wahan se recover ho raha tha, jo correct entry point ko confirm karta tha aur 100 pips ka profit mila. Isi tarah ka situation 145.30 par hua, jisse market se takriban 90 pips ka profit hua.

Aaj ke Bank of Japan ke deputy governor ke bayan ne, ke central bank financial aur capital markets ke unstable hone tak interest rates raise nahi karega, Japanese yen mein sharp drop aur US dollar mein strength laayi. Yeh investors ko bhi calm karta hai jo recent rise of the Japanese currency se worried the. Iske bawajood, main downward trend follow karte hue short positions par zyada rely karunga. Magar yeh best hai ke aaj ke significant rise ke baad short kiya jaye, especially Asian session ke doran. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur 2 ko follow karte hue trend ke sath sell karunga.

Buy signals:

Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY ko tab buy karunga jab price entry point 147.26 par pohanchti hai, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur goal 148.60 par rise hone ka hai, jo chart par thicker green line se plot ki gayi hai. 148.60 par pohanch kar main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting ke wahan se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga. Pair ka rise aaj upward correction framework mein hoga. Magar jitna pair high hoga, utna zyada dollar sell karna attractive hoga. Important: Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahan se rise karna start kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko tab bhi buy karne ka plan karta hoon agar 146.70 ke do consecutive tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market upturn ko lead karega. One can expect ke growth opposite levels 147.26 aur 148.60 tak ho.

Sell signals:

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 146.70 ka test hota hai jo red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jo pair mein rapid decline lead karega. Sellers ka key target 145.48 hoga, jahan par main short positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein long positions immediately open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein wahan se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt return kar sakta hai, especially agar first half of the day mein correction unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high test fail hota hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline karna start kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko tab bhi sell karne ka plan karta hoon agar 147.26 ke do consecutive price tests hotay hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market downturn ko lead karega.

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqable mein lagatar paanchwin din barhawa dikhaya hai. Yeh ooper ki taraf rujhan ziada tar is wajah se hai ke log ummed kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan (BOJ) apni monetary policy ko ziada sakht karne ka irada rakhta hai. BOJ ke policies mein mazeed sakhti aur unke ultra-loose stance ke khatam hone se investors wapas yen mein dilchaspi dikhayenge, jis se yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Middle East mein badhti hui geopoliticial tensions ne yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par aur ziada maqbool bana diya hai. Haal hi mein Israeli airstrikes aur Iran aur Hezbollah ke mumkin attacks ke khadshat ne uncertainty ka mahaul paida kar diya hai, jis se investors yen jese traditionally safe assets mein panah lene par majboor hain.
Doosri taraf, US dollar kamzor ho raha hai kyun ke labor market data disappointment ka sabab bana hai. Yeh economic indicator is baat ko ziada wazeh kar raha hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rate cut kar sakta hai. Market mein filhal ek 50 basis point rate reduction ki achi khaasi umeed hai, jo dollar ko yield-bearing currency ke tor par kam maqbool bana sakta hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/JPY currency pair neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ko dikhata hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke short-term mein rebound aane ki umeed hai. Lekin, yeh pair December 2023 ke baad se apne lowest levels par trade kar raha hai. Agar yeh 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) se neeche break karta hai to yeh mazeed pronounced downward trend ki shuruaat ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair ke key support levels 151.90-151.54 range ke aas paas hain, jabke resistance nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 150.13 par hai. Agar yeh resistance level decisively break hota hai to momentum bulls ke haq mein shift ho sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ka rujhan aakhirkar BOJ ke monetary policy decisions, jaari geopoliticial developments, aur US economy ke trajectory par depend karega

Kholasa yeh hai ke yen ki recent gains against dollar ziada tar tighter BOJ policy aur geopolitical uncertainty ke sabab se hain, jabke dollar par pressure potential Fed rate cuts aur weak labor market data ki wajah se hai. Traders ko key technical levels aur upcoming economic indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taake USD/JPY pair ke future movements ko samjha ja sake

Aaj mein USDJPY currency pair ka senior period W1 chart dekhne ki salah deta hoon. Yahaan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki qeemat ka mustaqil girawat jari hai. Mein tasavvur kar sakta hoon ke un sellers kaise mehsoos kar rahe honge jinke paas itne paisay nahi the ke woh is pair ke drawdown ko jhel sakte, kyunke intezar ke baad girawat shuru ho gayi hai, qeemat hamesha upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek badi bearish divergence bani thi, jo ke itne bade time interval par bohot kam hoti hai, aik saal mein ek martaba ya us se bhi kam. Aakhri update par, bearish divergence doosre istimal shuda indicator CCI par bhi bani. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeeq hui jab reversal figure - an ascending wedge se niche ki taraf break hua. Is ke baad, qeemat gir gayi, apne raste mein sabhi rukawatein torh di, sirf thodi der ke liye in par ruki. Pehle, yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, jab qeemat upar ki taraf gayi thi, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gayi. Is ke baad, jaise expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line par pahuche, magar is se bhi zyada rebound nahi mila, khas taur par US ki buri khabron ki wajah se jo Friday ko aayi thi, US dollar overall market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate expectation se bohot kam nikla. US mein unemployment rate ek hi dafa mein 0.2 points barh gaya. Nayi hafta shuru hui aur qeemat patthar ki tarah neeche chali gayi, bina koi upward correction diye. Hum lagbhag horizontal support level 140.81 tak pahuche gaye. Thodi doori reh gayi, ho sakta hai ke abhi bhi pass ho aur is level ka specific test ho. Is ke qareeb, mein sochta hoon ke chhoti periods par upar ki taraf entry le sakte hain taake expected upward correction ka hissa le sakein. Aaj ke liye jo news note ki ja sakti hain: 16:45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17:00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (ISM)

USDJPY pair ka 1-hour chart dekhein, to price ko abhi upar janay ka acha mauqa mil raha hai, kyunke price ko price channels aur weekly level 143.56 ka support mil raha hai. Aaj price ne trading shuru ki hai un descending price channels mein jo pichle do dinon ke dauran price movement ka direction represent kar rahe thay, magar aaj humare paas direction ko upar badalne ki koshish hai, aur yeh abhi tak kamiyab hai.
Price ne kal ke highest trading prices aur channels ke beech upar neeche hone ke bawajood, current support level phir se price ko upar le aaya hai taake highest trading price ko todne aur rise ko continue karne ki koshish kar sake.
Is waqt trading advice yeh hai ke current level se weekly pivot level tak buy kiya jaye aur stop-loss level 143.56 ke neeche set kiya jaye.
Economic side pe dekha jaye to, Japanese yen ke sharp gains ka silsila jaari hai, jo level 141.70 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke January 2024 se apna highest level hai. Yeh is liye hai kyunke bets lag rahi hain ke Bank of Japan ane wale mahino mein interest rates mazeed barhaye ga, jab ke US Federal Reserve ziada aggressively interest rates cut karne wala hai. Yeh predictions weak jobs report ke baad aaye hain jo ke US mein recession ka dar paida kar rahi hain, jis se markets Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein 50 basis point ka interest rate cut price in kar rahi hain.

Wahin dusri taraf, Bank of Japan ne pichle hafta apna benchmark interest rate 0.25% tak barhaya aur signal diya ke agar economy strong rahi to mazeed rate hikes ke liye tayar hain. Financial markets is fiscal year ke March 2025 tak do aur rate hikes ki umeed laga rahe hain, jisme agla increase December mein expected hai. Central bank ne yeh bhi announce kiya ke apni monthly bond purchases ko agle do saalon mein aadha karne ka plan hai.
Iske ilawa, data ne dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne July mein currency ko support karne ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye

temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta

Aaj ek baar phir mein suggest karta hoon ke USDJPY currency pair ka higher timeframe W1 chart dekha jaye. Yahan hum is pair ke price mein musalsal girawat dekh sakte hain. Main sochta hoon un sellers ka kya haal hoga jo is pair par drawdown ko bardasht karne ke liye kafi funds nahi rakhte the, jab ke intezar kiye gaye girawat ne aakhir shuru kar diya, kyunki price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne yeh decrease hint kiya tha, jo ek bari bearish divergence form kar rahi thi, jo aise large timeframe par bohot kam dekha jata hai, saal mein ek baar ya is se bhi kam. Aakhri high par, bearish divergence dusre indicator, CCI, par bhi form hui thi. Yeh sab baad mein reversal pattern - rising wedge - se downward breakout ke zariye confirm hua. Aur uske baad, price girti gayi, rasta mein sab obstacles ko torhti gayi, in par briefly ruk kar. Pehle, key support level yahan 152.16 par tha, jo upar ki taraf bounce de raha tha, lekin aakhir mein selling pressure ko bardasht nahi kar saka. Uske baad, jaise expect kiya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohanch gaye, jo waqai bounce nahi de saka, kyunki US se negative news ne US dollar market ko kamzor bana diya tha Friday ko. Non-farm payrolls data forecast se bohot bura nikla. US unemployment rate 0.2 points se increase hui. Nayi hafte ki shuruwat hui aur price ne upward correction ko consider kiye bagair girti rahi. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 tak pohanch gaye hain. Hum bilkul kareeb hain, lekin shayad is level ka clear test hoga. Iske aas paas, mere khayal se, lower timeframes par long enter karna consider kar sakte hain taake ek highly probable upward correction ka hissa capture kar sakein.
USD/JPY currency pair ka technical outlook southern trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, jo TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator se clearly demonstrate ho raha hai. Yeh downward movement Zigzag indicator aur auxiliary indicators jaise Laguerre aur RSI se further supported hai, jo overbought zone mein positioned hain, jo short selling opportunities ka potential indicate karte hain

Senior weekly chart par USDJPY currency pair ka analysis kartay huay, aap dekh saktay hain keh aakhri kuch hafton mein price ne kafi tezi se neeche ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai. Technical indicators ne isko support kiya, jismein sab se important bearish divergence thi MACD indicator par. Dusra indicator jo use hua, woh CCI tha, jo bhi top par bearish divergence dikha raha tha, magar chhota.
Fundamental reasons bhi hain is decline ke liye. Bank of Japan apni national currency ki kamzori bardasht karte karte tang aa gaya aur market mein billion inject karne se koi faida nahi hua, is liye interest rate ko barhana pada. Iske baad ek bara decline shuru ho gaya. Is decline ke dauran, level 151.92 break ho gaya aur uske baad ascending line bhi. Price takreeban support level 140.54 ko chhune wala tha, magar wahan tak nahi pohonch saka. Ek upward correction shuru hui hai aur lagta hai ke yeh aur bhi upar jayegi, mujhe lagta hai ke broken ascending line ko neeche se touch karna zaroori hoga, khaaskar jab CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai.

Meri rai mein abhi aur bechnay ka waqt nahi hai, kyun ke mujhe lagta hai ke rollback upwards aur gehra hoga jitna ke abhi hai. Wahan dekhna hoga ke H4 time frame par downward rebuilding hoti hai ya nahi taake further downside par kaam kar sakein. Agar aap daily period se chhota dekhein, toh aap dekh saktay hain ke CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar jane ka signal de raha hai - ek bullish divergence.

Mujhe aas paas koi significant resistance levels nazar nahi aa rahe, is liye main ne Fibonacci correction grid ko pure recent decline par apply kiya. Aap dekh saktay hain ke price 23.6 level tak pohonch gaya hai aur abhi thoda wapas hua hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke growth kam az kam 38.2 level tak hogi. Yahan broken line ko neeche se touch karna bhi zaroori hoga. Is zone mein

Thursday ko, USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega. USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran. Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis:

Aakhri do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair mein kaafi significant uthal puthal dekhi gayi hai, jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se hui. 5 August ko yen ne saat mahine ki bulandi ko chua jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein mudakhlat ki aur takriban 5.53 trillion yen currency ko support karne ke liye kharch kiya. Yeh mudakhlat iss liye ki gayi kyunki 10-year Japanese government bond ke yield mein kami dekhi gayi jo 0.8% se neeche gir gayi thi. Yeh us umeed ki wajah se hua ke Federal Reserve zyada aggressively interest rates ko cut karega, weak US jobs data ki wajah se.

Isi din, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne achanak rate hike ka announcement kiya aur apni benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak badha diya, saath hi yeh signal diya ke agar economic conditions supportive rahin toh woh rate ko mazeed badhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh move Japan ke economic challenges, jaise ke declining private consumption aur contracting economy ke bawajood aaya.

Iske muqablay mein, US mein disappointing economic data dekha gaya, jo weak manufacturing PMI aur potential economic slowdown ke concerns ko shamil karta hai. Yeh factors, saath hi lower-than-expected US earnings reports, US stock futures mein girawat ka sabab banay aur USD/JPY pair par mazeed pressure daala. Federal Reserve ka commentary bhi US labor market ko protect karne ki hint deta hai, jo kisi aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakta hai.

Overall, BoJ ka hawkish stance aur Fed ka cautious approach, economic uncertainties ke darmiyan, USD/JPY pair ke liye ek volatile environment create karta hai. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko ghoor se dekh rahe hain, taake future movements ko samjha ja sake, jahan US jobs report aur dono central banks ke kisi mazeed monetary policy adjustments par significant attention hai.

Technical Forecast & Trading Strategy:

Aaj, mujhe lagta hai ke US dollar index ek achi value par hai. Iss ka natija yeh hai ke USD/JPY ne apna high 146.00 ko tod diya. Iss level ko break karne ke baad, humne dekha ke quote broken resistance par wapas aaya aur level ko respect karne ke baad rebound kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke US dollar Japanese yen ke muqablay mein zyada strong ho raha hai. Daily chart do bottoms dikha raha hai jo current price level ke qareeb hain, jo currency price ke resistance ka kaam karte hain. Toh, 146.80 se upar break karna humein ek buying opportunity dega.