USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

[QUOTE=NademAli;n13119307]USD/JPY US Dollar - Japanese Yen. Hello doston/traders! Jab main pair ke chart ka TMA with Distances se analysis karta hoon, to mujhe ye conclusion milta hai ke filhal kharidari par focus karna behtar hai. TMA channel indicator upward price movement dikhata hai, jo bulls ke bears par faida darshata hai. Zigzag line bhi northward direction mein hai, isliye sirf long positions open karna samajhdaari hai. Auxiliary oscillators Laguerre aur RSI, jo signals filter karne mein madad karte hain, buyer-friendly zone mein hain. Main position ko Fibonacci 61.8% level tak rokne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo ke 152.300 par hai. Nonfarm Payrolls data ke karan pair mein volatility dekhi gayi, jo din ke doran 230-pip ke range mein thi, USD/JPY ki girawat jari rahi. Lekin, jab sab kuch settle hua, to sellers ne apni advantage banaye rakhi. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo strong trend ko measure karta hai, neeche ki taraf shoot kar raha tha, jo momentum ke hostile hone ki tasdeeq hai.more hawkish tone, it could provide some support to the GBP.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while the GBP/USD pair is currently trading in a bearish trend around the 1.3200 level, the market is in a state of flux. The combination of a weakening US dollar, expectations for rate cuts from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, and important upcoming economic data all suggest that the GBP/USD pair could see significant movement in the near future. Traders should closely monitor the key support and resistance levels, as well as any developments in monetary policy or economic data
Fundamental Analysis


USD/JPY ne 5 August ke lows ki taraf girawat ki aur phir recover ho gaya. 4-hour chart par ek bara bullish Hammer Japanese candlestick pattern ban raha hai; agar ye pattern current session ke khatam hone tak bana raha, to ye ek significant pullback ya higher correction ka indication ho sakta hai.

Pichle haftay ka zyada tar hissa sideways dekha gaya, lekin phir bhi upar gaya, jo ke American dollar ki majbooti ki khabron ki wajah se tha jo market mein general strengthening ka sabab bana. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi downward order mein build ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar. 145.10 ka horizontal level ne price ko poore haftay resistance diya. Jab price iske niche thi, to decline ke continue hone ka zyada chance tha, lekin ye level abhi bhi upar ki taraf break hua, jo ke is waqt downward scenario ko side par rakh raha hai. Daily candle ne is resistance level 145.10 ke upar fix kiya, jo ke ek true breakout tha. Isse pehle growth ke attempts successful nahi rahe. Ab price growth ka high probability hai jo pichle growth wave ka maximum hai, yani 149.47 ke level tak. 154.10 ke broken level tak rollback preliminary possible hai, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai aur ek mirror ban gaya hai. Decline ka resume tabhi consider kiya jayega jab is level ke niche reverse consolidation hota hai, tab hum shayad August ka low update karne jayenge jo 140.28 aur 141.79 ke levels ke beech hoga. Is senior period ko dekhte hue, din ke chhote periods mein sirf purchases consider kiye jate hain jab growth ke formation hota hai. Growth ke haq mein ek additional signal CCI indicator ka position hai, jo lower overheating zone se nikal kar upar ki taraf directed hai. Plus, wahi indicator older weekly chart par bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Aam taur par, market mein doosre major pairs bhi US dollar ki strengthening ki taraf aimed hain. Aaj downward rollback hai, aur meri rai mein, price ko buy karne ke liye pakadna zaroori hai. Aaj ki khabrein jo note ki ja sakti hain: 16-45 Moscow time - US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI). 17-00 - US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI).

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain

Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to

softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai

dollar ki majbooti ki khabron ki wajah se tha jo market mein general strengthening ka sabab bana. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi downward order mein build ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar. 145.10 ka horizontal level ne price ko poore haftay resistance diya. Jab price iske niche thi, to decline ke continue hone ka zyada chance tha, lekin ye level abhi bhi upar ki taraf break hua, jo ke is waqt downward scenario ko side par rakh raha hai. Daily candle ne is resistance level 145.10 ke upar fix kiya, jo ke ek true breakout tha. Isse pehle growth ke attempts successful nahi rahe. Ab price growth ka high probability hai jo pichle growth wave ka maximum hai, yani 149.47 ke level tak. 154.10 ke broken level tak rollback preliminary possible hai, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai aur ek mirror ban gaya hai. Decline ka resume tabhi consider kiya jayega jab is level ke niche reverse consolidation hota hai, tab hum shayad August ka low update karne jayenge jo 140.28 aur 141.79 ke levels ke beech hoga. Is senior period ko dekhte hue, din ke chhote periods mein sirf purchases consider kiye jate hain jab growth ke formation hota hai. Growth ke haq mein ek additional signal CCI indicator ka position hai, jo lower overheating zone se nikal kar upar ki taraf directed hai. Plus, wahi indicator older weekly chart par bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Aam taur par, market mein doosre major pairs bhi US dollar ki strengthening ki taraf aimed hain. Aaj downward rollback hai, aur meri rai mein, price ko buy karne ke liye pakadna zaroori hai. Aaj ki khabrein jo note ki ja sakti hain: 16-45 Moscow time - US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI). 17-00 - US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (

Pair ne Friday ko ek notable girawat dekhi, daily high 144.09 se gir kar 142.29 par settle hui, jo ke market close tak 0.17% ki girawat ko darshata hai. Yeh retreat yeh zahir karta hai ke pair 144.00 mark ke upar levels banaye rakhne mein struggle kar rahi hai, jisse 142.00 region ki taraf pullback dekhi gayi hai.


USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

USD/JPY ki girawat US se naye data ke beech aayi hai jo ke July ke liye Unemployment Rate ke barhne ko darshata hai, jo ke US economy mein potential recession ke concerns ko badhawa deta hai. Market ka reaction yeh hai ke Federal Reserve se substantial interest rate cuts ko price in kiya ja raha hai. Investors ab September aur November dono mein 50 basis point (bps) rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain, aur December mein ek additional quarter-point cut bhi expected hai. LSEG ke data ke mutabiq, September meeting mein 50-bps cut ka near 99% probability hai. Yeh zyada aggressive rate cuts ki expectations US Dollar (USD) par downward pressure daal rahi hain.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki policy outlook zyada optimistic nazar aati hai. Rabobank analysts ne note kiya hai ke BoJ ki recent policy statement Japan ki economic prospects ke positive assessment ko reflect karti hai, jis mein moderate increases in fixed investment aur corporate profits ki improvements shamil hain. Wage increases bhi mukhtalif regions, industries, aur firm sizes mein phail rahi hain. Yeh optimistic outlook late 2024 ya early 2025 mein potential rate hikes ke liye jagah chhodti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair Friday ko 141.80 ke neeche close hui lekin phir bhi March 2023 ke baad se apne sabse bade gains record kiye. Agar pair momentum gain karti hai aur 145.00 mark ko surpass karti hai, toh yeh Tenkan-Sen level 146.45 ko test kar sakti hai. Aage ke upward movement mein exchange rate 147.00 ko challenge kar sakti hai, aur 100-day moving average (DMA) 151.32 ki taraf bhi push ho sakti hai.

Spot price Friday ko 142.00 ke aas-paas trade ho raha tha. Daily chart yeh darshata hai ke pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 144.99 par hai, ki taraf chadh rahi hai, jo bearish momentum ke kamzor hone ki ishara karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI abhi 30 ke neeche hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke pair oversold ho sakti hai aur short-term rebound ka samna kar sakti hai.

USD/JPY mein volatility dekhi gayi, jo din ke doran 230-pip ke range mein thi. Lekin, jab sab kuch settle hua, to sellers ne apni advantage banaye rakhi. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo strong trend ko measure karta hai, neeche ki taraf shoot kar raha tha, jo is baat ki tasdeeq hai ke momentum hostile ho gaya hai.
142.50 ka psychological level USD/JPY ke liye pehla support area hoga. Agar ye break ho jata hai, to agla target 142.00 hoga, aur aaj ka low 141.77 agla point hoga. In dono levels ke break hone ke baad, decline 5 August ka low 141.69 tak continue kar sakti hai.
Doosri taraf, pehla resistance point 26 August ka daily low 143.44 hoga. Is level ko break karne se important resistance levels reveal honge. Tenkan-Sen 144.49 par open hoga, jabke Senkou Span A 145.00 par open hoga. Kijun-Sen 145.73 par agla level hoga.
USD/JPY pair mein sellers ka control is mahine ab bhi dominant hai. Is liye girawat kaafi natural hai, kyun ke buyers ab tak price ko oopar dhakailne ki koshish nahi kar rahe. Is haftay candlestick ki girawat ne pichle mahine ke movement zone se door ho kar trade kiya hai. Jo current price position hai, woh ab 96 SMA indicator ke neeche ruk gayi hai, jo mazid girawat ka signal de rahi hai jo agle haftay mein dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar 4-hour time frame mein candlestick pattern ko dekha jaye, to USD/JPY pair ke price condition ko kaafi strong bearish area mein dekha ja sakta hai, aur agar pichle haftay ke market trend ke history ko dekha jaye, to yeh girawat kaafi strong nazar aati hai. Jo candlestick pattern bana hai, uss se yeh samajh aata hai ke price ab tak resistance area 147.00 ko break nahi kar saka, aur phir August mein bearish trend ka silsila jari raha. Price ab neeche ki taraf girne ki potential rakhta hai. Current price movement bhi yehi potential dikhata hai ke agle girawat ka target 140.69 ho sakta hai, jo sellers ka next goal ho sakta hai.

aham resistance level lagbhag 147.141 par mojood hai, jo ek moti laal line se nishan zadah hai. Is ilaqay ko kai dafa price ne test kiya hai, lekin har dafa jab price isay chhoti hai, to wapas neeche gir jati hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke is level par selling pressure bohot zyada hai. Dosri taraf, ek support level 145.148 ke qareeb hai, jo filhal price movement ke liye ek critical point bana hua hai. Yeh support area blue zone se bhi taqatwar bana hua hai, jo demand zone ya potential buying area ko zahir karta hai.
Is waqt price support area ke ooper rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price is support par qaim rehta hai aur neeche nahi girta, to yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare aur resistance level 147.141 ko dobara test kare. Lekin agar yeh support level selling pressure ko bardasht na kar saka aur price isay taqatwar torh deta hai, to yeh umeed hai ke price mazeed gir kar aglay support level 144.000 ya is se bhi neeche chala jaye.

Candlestick pattern par nazar daali jaye, to kuch dilchasp signs dekhne ko milte hain. Ab tak, jab se price resistance area mein apni peak par pohncha hai, wahan se kaafi dominant bearish candlesticks bani hain, jo kafi taqatwar selling pressure ko zahir karti hain. Lekin jab price support level 145.148 ke qareeb pohnchi, to kuch neeche girne ki rujhan mein rokawat dekhne ko mili, jo kuch candlesticks ke lambay neeche wicks se zahir hoti hai. Yeh ek aghaaz ho sakta hai ke buyers is area mein wapas ayan ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed neeche girne se bacha rahe hain.

Agli trading move ke liye do scenarios nazar mein hain. Pehla scenario bullish hai, jismein main yeh umeed karta hoon ke price support level 145.148 ke uper qaim rahega. Agar aisa hota hai aur koi strong bullish candlestick pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ya pin bar nazar aaye, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke long position enter ki jaye, aur profit target resistance level 147.141 ke qareeb rakha jaye. Dosra scenario bearish hai, agar price support level 145.148 ko significant volume ke sath torhta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke selling pressure abhi bhi bohot zyada ha

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain

USD/JPY pair ab aise nishaan dikhata hai ke buyers agle waqt mein dominate kar sakte hain. Jabke buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi significant influence rakhte hain aur apne control ko asaani se nahi chhodenge. Current Market Dynamics

Is waqt, buyers struggle kar rahe hain lekin persist kar rahe hain, jo ke near future mein bullish shift ka ishaara hai. Agar current conditions waisa hi rahengi, to prices ke barhne ki strong likelihood hai. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye market ke direction ko determine karne mein important role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact bullish trend confirm karne mein key hoga.

Key Considerations for Traders

- Buyer Persistence: Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Ye persistence is baat ki indication hai ke agar conditions favorable rahengi, to higher prices ki taraf shift ho sakti hai.
- Seller Influence: Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki price action control ki ability ko aane wale economic data se test kiya jayega.
- Fundamental Data: Aane wale economic releases se market par significant impact padega. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Wahi, weak data current bearish sentiment ko sustain kar sakta hai.
- Technical Correction: Agar market bullish direction ki taraf shift hoti hai, to corrections ke doran buying opportunities dekhna achha hoga. Bullish trend ke shift mein temporary dips aa sakti hain jo traders ko upward movement ka faida uthane ka mauka de sakti hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historically, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ki kami rahi hai. Current downward trend ek temporary phase lagta hai, jo ke ek "tail" banane se pehle ka phase ho sakta hai. Ye perspective is baat ke sath align karta hai ke current bearish movement shayad ek stronger upward trajectory ka precursor ho sakti hai.

Conclusion

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur aane wale fundamental data ke impact ko dekhte hue. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence daal rahe hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ka intezaar karna chahiye aur corrective phases ke doran market mein enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.
Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte h

USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.
Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.
Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai

hai. Iss waqt, yeh pair 146.149 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh behtar waqt ho sakta hai ke abhi ke market rate par sell kar diya jaye. Aaj ke khulnay se ab tak ke faaslay se yeh maloom hota hai ke khareedari ka moqa kareeb hai, jo ke bechne walon ke liye mauzoon halaat paida kar raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par dakhil hotay hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal munafa ka target mazboot support level ke kareeb, 145.192 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna samajhdaari hogi, kyun ke uske baad ooper ki taraf ek corrective rebound aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki neechli hadd par takra sakta hai, jis ke baad qeemat apni correction ko jaari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb zone, yani 147.322 par pohanch sakti hai. Hum yahaan se aik downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi bhi gair yakeeni hai. 145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis ke natijay mein scenario No. 1 sell ke liye execute hua. Is ka nateeja ye hua ke pair mein 50 se zyada pips ki girawat hui. Jaise ke tawakku thi, Federal Reserve ki minutes ki release ke baad dollar par dabao barha, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak pohanchne mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda sa kamzor hua kamzor manufacturing activity ki khabron ke baad, jo ke Japan ke services sector ki nisbat qawi growth se offset hui. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thori si izafa ka sabab bana. USD ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch Jerome Powell ke kal ke speech par munhasir hai, is liye mujooda level par short positions mein ehtiyaat kijiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 ke hawalay se buy signals ko dekhoonga. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh green line ke chart par 145.56 ke aas paas entry point par pohanche ga, aur maqsad 146.13 par pohanchna hai, jo ke chart par mazboot green line se dikha gaya hai. 146.13 ke ilaaqe mein, mein long positions se nikal jaonga aur mukhalif rukh mei

ki majbooti ki khabron ki wajah se tha jo market mein general strengthening ka sabab bana. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi downward order mein build ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar. 145.10 ka horizontal level ne price ko poore haftay resistance diya. Jab price iske niche thi, to decline ke continue hone ka zyada chance tha, lekin ye level abhi bhi upar ki taraf break hua, jo ke is waqt downward scenario ko side par rakh raha hai. Daily candle ne is resistance level 145.10 ke upar fix kiya, jo ke ek true breakout tha. Isse pehle growth ke attempts successful nahi rahe. Ab price growth ka high probability hai jo pichle growth wave ka maximum hai, yani 149.47 ke level tak. 154.10 ke broken level tak rollback preliminary possible hai, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai aur ek mirror ban gaya hai. Decline ka resume tabhi consider kiya jayega jab is level ke niche reverse consolidation hota hai, tab hum shayad August ka low update karne jayenge jo 140.28 aur 141.79 ke levels ke beech hoga. Is senior period ko dekhte hue, din ke chhote periods mein sirf purchases consider kiye jate hain jab growth ke formation hota hai. Growth ke haq mein ek additional signal CCI indicator ka position hai, jo lower overheating zone se nikal kar upar ki taraf directed hai. Plus, wahi indicator older weekly chart par bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Aam taur par, market mein doosre major pairs bhi US dollar ki strengthening ki taraf aimed hain. Aaj downward rollback hai, aur meri rai mein, price ko buy karne ke liye pakadna zaroori hai. Aaj ki khabrein jo note ki ja sakti hain: 16-45 Moscow time - US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI). 17-00 - US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (