usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Agar hum USD/JPY currency pair ke recent price movement ki baat karein, to is week ke akhri din pe pair ne 146.01 ke upar close kiya, jo bulls ke liye aik choti si jeet hai. Lekin, overall downward trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Agar kisi ne buy karna hai, to strictly stop loss lagana zaroori hai.

Agar price 153 ke aas-paas pahunch jaye, to main sell karna prefer karunga, wo bhi bina stop loss ke. Is dauran, main sirf upward moves mein position add karunga. Yeh strategy thori speculative hai, jaise ke tea leaves se fal nikalna, kyun ke har cheez perfectly align honi chahiye kisi strategic move ke liye. Meri nazar mein, buy karna abhi behtar nahi hai, halaan ke long-term trend upward hai. Sab kuch Bank of Japan ke possible policy changes pe depend karega, aur koi bhi faisla expectedly upcoming Fed meeting ke baad hi hoga. Is liye, selling mujhe zyada appealing lagti hai.

Price is waqt aik triangle pattern ke andar oscillate kar rahi hai, jab tak ke next Friday ko US labor market data release nahi hota. Yeh figures bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain kyun ke yeh Fed ke rate decision ko significantly influence karenge. Agar pair ki quotes is channel ke bahar stabilize hoti hain, to yeh pehle bearish impulse ke end ka signal ho sakta hai, aur aik bullish correction ki shuruaat bhi ho sakti hai jo pehle ke bearish impulse ki price range ke andar ho. Abhi definitively kuch kehna mushkil hai, to Tuesday ko asset ki daily candle ka close dekhna bohot zaroori hoga. Agar bullish correction validate hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke pair ka growth 151.94 ke previous support level se zyada nahi jayega. Kal, USD/JPY apne upward trajectory pe raha, aur quotes 145.01 ke critical level se kaafi upar chali gayi. Trading week local resistance 146.26 ke kareeb close hua.

Is current situation mein, aapko apne risk management pe focus karna chahiye aur speculative moves se bachne ki koshish karni chahiye jab tak market mein koi clear direction nahi aata.

averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.
Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activ

downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi ha

Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai. Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hothain
hot hai

Pehle trading session mein, Monday ke din US dollar ne thoda sa recovery dekha, lekin yeh baat zaroori hai ke United States aur Canada ne Labor Day manaya, jis ke wajah se trading activity kam rahi. Asal mein, yeh ek tarah se aadha din ka session tha. Iske bawajood, market mein jo short-term decline dekha gaya hai, usko support milne ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke currency pair ek bottom pattern bana raha hai.
Is outlook ka aik bada factor Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ko tighten karne ki mahdood salahiyat hai. Agressively tightening se Japanese economy ko nuksan ho sakta hai, is liye central bank ehtiyat se kaam lena chahayega. Iske ilawa, Wall Street ke traders ne apni rate cut ki umeedon mein bohat ziyada optimism dikha diya tha, jis ki wajah se kuch market corrections nazar aaye hain. Iska natija yeh ho sakta hai ke currency pair ko consolidate karne ki zaroorat pade ya phir ek significant rebound dekhne ko mile jo ke zyada realistic market sentiment ko reflect kare. Yeh bhi worth noting hai ke is pair ko hold karna traders ke liye interest gain kar raha hai, jo ke anqareeb phir se tawajjo haasil kar sakta hai.

Jab ke Federal Reserve se September mein rate cut ki tawakku hai, United States mein inflation pehle sochi gayi se zyada persistent sabit hui hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke Fed ko zyada arsey tak tight monetary conditions maintain karni par sakti hain. Lekin, agressively tightening ke bajaye, Fed shayad policy ko dhairay aur ehtiyat se ease kare. Yeh slow approach carry trade ko dobara zinda kar sakti hai, kyunke traders aksar aik economic event se doosre par jaldi tawajjo dete hain.

Mukhtasar mein, US dollar apni taqat dobara haasil kar sakta hai jab market ke participants apni monetary policy ke hawalay se tawakkuat adjust karte hain. Cautious central bank moves aur interest yields ki potential ki combination aane wale hafton mein currency pair ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai.

Pehle trading session mein, Monday ke din US dollar ne thoda sa recovery dekha, lekin yeh baat zaroori hai ke United States aur Canada ne Labor Day manaya, jis ke wajah se trading activity kam rahi. Asal mein, yeh ek tarah se aadha din ka session tha. Iske bawajood, market mein jo short-term decline dekha gaya hai, usko support milne ki umeed hai, aur lagta hai ke currency pair ek bottom pattern bana raha hai.
Is outlook ka aik bada factor Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ko tighten karne ki mahdood salahiyat hai. Agressively tightening se Japanese economy ko nuksan ho sakta hai, is liye central bank ehtiyat se kaam lena chahayega. Iske ilawa, Wall Street ke traders ne apni rate cut ki umeedon mein bohat ziyada optimism dikha diya tha, jis ki wajah se kuch market corrections nazar aaye hain. Iska natija yeh ho sakta hai ke currency pair ko consolidate karne ki zaroorat pade ya phir ek significant rebound dekhne ko mile jo ke zyada realistic market sentiment ko reflect kare. Yeh bhi worth noting hai ke is pair ko hold karna traders ke liye interest gain kar raha hai, jo ke anqareeb phir se tawajjo haasil kar sakta hai.

Jab ke Federal Reserve se September mein rate cut ki tawakku hai, United States mein inflation pehle sochi gayi se zyada persistent sabit hui hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke Fed ko zyada arsey tak tight monetary conditions maintain karni par sakti hain. Lekin, agressively tightening ke bajaye, Fed shayad policy ko dhairay aur ehtiyat se ease kare. Yeh slow approach carry trade ko dobara zinda kar sakti hai, kyunke traders aksar aik economic event se doosre par jaldi tawajjo dete hain.

Mukhtasar mein, US dollar apni taqat dobara haasil kar sakta hai jab market ke participants apni monetary policy ke hawalay se tawakkuat adjust karte hain. Cautious central bank moves aur interest yields ki potential ki combination aane wale hafton mein currency pair ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakti hai.

Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke Liye Trading Tips

Aaj ke dusray half mein maine jo prices mention ki thi, unka koi test nahi hua. Data ke na hone ki wajah se volatility expectedly kam ho gayi, jo US dollar ke upward potential ko bhi limit kar gayi, jis par aaj ke Asian session mein bara sell-off dekha gaya. Japan ki monetary base mein tabdeeli ka report economist ke forecast se match kiya aur 10-year bonds ki sale, jahan demand expect se kam rahi, ke bawajood dollar par pressure wapas aagaya jab bade players market mein wapas aaye. USD/JPY mein ongoing upward correction jaldi khatam ho sakti hai, isliye behtar yeh hoga ke aap sell karne ke mauqe dhoondhein jo pichle kuch mahino mein observe kiye gaye downward trend ke mutabiq hoon. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

Buy Signal

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mein USD/JPY ko 146.44 ke entry point par khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo ke chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur is ka goal 147.21 tak pohanchna hai, jo chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 147.21 ke area mein, mein long positions se exit karne ka aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka irada rakhta hoon, expecting ke level se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga. Hum aaj pair ki rise par count kar sakte hain, lekin is ke liye buyers ka 146.00 ke area mein active hona zaroori hai. Important: Khareedne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 145.99 ka do martaba test ho jata hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market ko reverse upturn mein le aayega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 146.44 aur 147.21 tak.

Sell Signal

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 145.99 ka level, jo ke chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, test ho jata hai. Is se pair mein rapid decline dekhne ko milega. Sellers ke liye key target 145.41 ka level hoga, jahan mein short positions se exit karne ka aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka irada rakhta hoon, expecting ke level se 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aasakta hai, kyunki dollar ke liye bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui hai. Important: Bechne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se decline kar raha ho.

aj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Recent bullish momentum ke baad ab girawat ki umeed hai. Resistance 146.26 ke level par maujood hai, jahan se downward movement jari rehne ke imkaan hain. Maujooda levels se 144.61 se neeche girawat ho sakti hai. Ek chhota upward move mein 146.51 par ek false breakout ho sakta hai, jis ke baad phir se girawat shuru hogi. 146.41 tak ek correction bhi aasakti hai pehle ke downward trend dobara shuru ho. Mazbooti kuch arsey ke liye qaim reh sakti hai pehle ke girawat dobara shuru ho. Ek upward correction 146.61 tak ho sakti hai, lekin uske baad girawat dobara shuru hogi. USD/JPY pair iss waqt bearish trend par hai, aur aam tor par price aise resistance se rebound karti hai. Is soorat mein, mujhe lower boundary of the wedge tak bearish move ki tawakku hai, halaan ke upper boundary ka breakout aur test classic pattern ke mutabiq hua tha.
USD/JPY pair ke technical analysis se upward trend jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, jaisa ke price se zahir hota hai. Zigzag aur supporting MACD aur RSI indicators bullish movement ka ishara de rahe hain kyunke woh is waqt oversold zone mein hain, jo ke long positions ke potential ko highlight karta hai. Bulls ki taqat aur activity ko dekhte hue, meri planning hai ke open position ko Fibo target 61.9% (152,301 price mark) par pohanchne par close karun. Lekin ehtiyat ke taur par, jese hi trade positive territory mein dakhil hogi, mein stop order ko breakeven par le aaunga. Pehle, technical analysis ke zariye maine ek narrowing wedge formation ko identify kiya tha aur price ke paas declining heavy EMA ka note kiya tha. Mein yeh tawakku karta tha ke price upper boundary ko tod kar period 121 ke moving average ko test karegi. H4 chart yeh tasdeek karta hai ke yeh waisa hi hua jaisa umeed thi. Aage bhi girawat ke imkanaat mazboot hain.

aj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Recent bullish momentum ke baad ab girawat ki umeed hai. Resistance 146.26 ke level par maujood hai, jahan se downward movement jari rehne ke imkaan hain. Maujooda levels se 144.61 se neeche girawat ho sakti hai. Ek chhota upward move mein 146.51 par ek false breakout ho sakta hai, jis ke baad phir se girawat shuru hogi. 146.41 tak ek correction bhi aasakti hai pehle ke downward trend dobara shuru ho. Mazbooti kuch arsey ke liye qaim reh sakti hai pehle ke girawat dobara shuru ho. Ek upward correction 146.61 tak ho sakti hai, lekin uske baad girawat dobara shuru hogi. USD/JPY pair iss waqt bearish trend par hai, aur aam tor par price aise resistance se rebound karti hai. Is soorat mein, mujhe lower boundary of the wedge tak bearish move ki tawakku hai, halaan ke upper boundary ka breakout aur test classic pattern ke mutabiq hua tha.
USD/JPY pair ke technical analysis se upward trend jaari rehne ka imkaan hai, jaisa ke price se zahir hota hai. Zigzag aur supporting MACD aur RSI indicators bullish movement ka ishara de rahe hain kyunke woh is waqt oversold zone mein hain, jo ke long positions ke potential ko highlight karta hai. Bulls ki taqat aur activity ko dekhte hue, meri planning hai ke open position ko Fibo target 61.9% (152,301 price mark) par pohanchne par close karun. Lekin ehtiyat ke taur par, jese hi trade positive territory mein dakhil hogi, mein stop order ko breakeven par le aaunga. Pehle, technical analysis ke zariye maine ek narrowing wedge formation ko identify kiya tha aur price ke paas declining heavy EMA ka note kiya tha. Mein yeh tawakku karta tha ke price upper boundary ko tod kar period 121 ke moving average ko test karegi. H4 chart yeh tasdeek karta hai ke yeh waisa hi hua jaisa umeed thi. Aage bhi girawat ke imkanaat mazboot hain.

**Market Overview**

USDJPY ke 146.65 ka level buyers ko zyada stability faraham karta hai. Is waqt, buyers ko ummeed hai ke price 147.00 ke qareeb chalegi. Isliye aaj ke market environment ko dekhte hue, bulls ko faida ho sakta hai. Magar, agar hum daily time frame dekhain, to bearish trend zyada pronounced hai. Yeh extended view market ke sellers ki side se significant pressure ko confirm karta hai, jo selling strategy ko support karta hai.

**Daily Chart Analysis**

Daily chart par bearish trend zyada clear hai. Yeh chart humein broader context deta hai jo ke current downturn ko samajhne mein madadgar hai. Yeh insight humein overall market sentiment ko samajhne aur informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai. Agar hourly aur daily charts dono par bearish trend consistent hai, to selling strategy ko apnana zyada behtar lagta hai. Market behavior ko seriously monitor karna zaroori hai.

**US Dollar Strength**

Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, United States dollar ki strength ko bhi account mein lena zaroori hai. Halankeh dollar exceptional strong nahi hai, lekin dusri currencies ke muqable mein kuch strength zaroor dikhata hai. Yeh slight strength additional confirmation faraham karta hai ke selling strategy effective ho sakti hai, kyunki dollar ki relative strength downward pressure ko barhawa de sakti hai.

**Trading Strategy**

Trading plan ko mukammal taur par plan karna zaroori hai. Selling entry ko meticulously plan karte hue, well-defined profit targets aur stop-loss points set karna trading ke chances ko enhance kar sakta hai. Profit target ko 20 se 30 pips tak set karna behtar rahega, jo ke current market pressure aur trend ko dekhte hue realistic hai. Aaj United States trading session ke doran price 146.82 level tak pahunch sakti hai.

**Conclusion**

Aaj ki trading mein success ke liye, market conditions ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading strategy apnaein. Best wishes for your trading today!

Fundamental Analysis

Tuesday ko, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni position mazboot ki aur chaar din ki lagataar haar ka silsila tod diya. Lekin, Japanese manufacturing ke maayus kun numbers ne JPY ke liye achanak se uncertainty paida kar di, jo ke yeh imkaan paida karti hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) mazeed rate badhaane mein dair kar sakti hai.

Japan ne barhti hui energy ke prices aur unke asraat jo logon ke ma’ash par hain, unko madde nazar rakhte hue energy subsidies ke liye ¥989 billion ka budget rakha hai. Hukoomat ka yeh iqdaam inflation ko mazeed barha sakta hai. Tokyo mein halia inflation ke izafay ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke sakht monetary policy stance ko aur support diya hai. Magar, Japanese businesses ne doosray quarter mein capital expenditure mein ek qabil-e-zikar izafa dikhaya hai.

Mazboot hota hua US dollar aur barhtay hue Treasury rates USD/JPY pair ke downside ko limit kar sakte hain. Aane wale waqt mein US employment ke numbers, khaaskar August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), traders ka markazi diyan honge taake Fed rate reductions ke waqt aur magnitude ke bare mein mazeed samajh hasil ki ja sake.

1H Chart





Tuesday ko USD/JPY 146.70 par fluctuation kar raha tha. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, market mein aik negative trend ka izhar ho raha hai jahan 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 21-day EMA se kam hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke is waqt 50 se neechay hai, bearish trend ke jari rehne ko support karta hai.

Support ke hawalay se dekha jaye to, 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke taqriban 145.91 par hai, wo USD/JPY pair ke liye pehla resistance level ho sakta hai. Agar yeh pair is level ke neeche girta hai, to yeh August 5 ko sattar (seven) months ke lowest level 141.69 tak ja sakta hai, aur agla support level 140.25 par mil sakta hai.

Agar prices mein izafa hota hai, to USD/JPY pair 21-day EMA jo ke 146.97 par hai, usko challenge kar sakta hai, jo ke immediate hurdle hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh pair 150.00 ka psychological level approach kar sakta hai, aur phir 154.50 ke level tak ja sakta hai, jo ke support se resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai.

4H Chart

Daily Timeframe

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai.

Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai.





H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja sakti hai

Fundamental Analysis

Mangalwaar ko, Japanese Yen (JPY) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay me behtari hasil ki aur apne chaar din ki losing run ko tod diya. Lekin, Japan ke manufacturing statistics ke bekaar hone se JPY ke liye uncertainty paida ho gayi hai, jo yeh imkaan badhata hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) mazeed rate hikes ko delay kar sakta hai.

Barhti hui energy prices aur living cost pe inke asraat ke response me, Japan ne energy subsidies ke liye ¥989 billion reserve kiye hain. Yeh government action inflation ko aur bhi barha sakta hai. Tokyo me inflation ke recent spike ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke hawkish monetary policy stance ko aur bhi support kiya hai. Japanese businesses ne second quarter me capital expenditure me khaas izafa dikhaya hai.

US dollar ke mazid majboot hone aur Treasury rates ke barhne se USD/JPY pair ki downside limit ho sakti hai. Aane wale US employment statistics, khaaskar August ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), traders ki primary attention honge taake Fed rate reductions ke timing aur magnitude ko samjha ja sake.

Technical Analysis

Mangalwaar ko, USD/JPY 146.70 ke aas-paas fluctuate hua. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, market me negative trend ka indication milta hai kyunki nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 21-day EMA se neeche hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi abhi 50 ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ke jari rehne ko support karta hai.

Support ke hawale se, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lagbhag 145.91 pe USD/JPY pair ke liye pehli resistance level ban sakta hai. Agar pair is barrier ke neeche gir jata hai, to yeh August 5 ke saat mahine ke low 141.69 ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur phir agla support level 140.25 pe mil sakta hai.

Agar prices barhti hain, to USD/JPY pair 21-day EMA jo 146.97 pe hai, ko challenge kar sakta hai jo immediate hurdle hai. Agar is level ke upar break hota hai, to pair psychological level 150.00 ke paas pahunch sakta hai, aur phir 154.50 level tak ja sakta hai jo ab support se resistance me badal gaya hai.

MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte