USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Ki Price Action Ko Samajhna

Aao baat karte hain ke USD/JPY karansi pair ki price kaise behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya tajziya kiya ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne din aur hafta ka ikhtitaam 146.01 ke upar kiya, jo ke bulls ke liye aik chhoti jeet ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, downward trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Agar koi buying karne ka soch raha hai, to strict stop loss lagana zaroori hai. Agar price 153 ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to mein bina stop loss ke sell karne ka sochunga aur sirf upward moves ke dauran position mein izafa karunga. Lekin, yeh ab bhi speculative hai, jaise ke chai ke piyaalon se bawasir parhna; har variable ko bilkul perfect align hona chahiye ek strategic move ke liye. Mere liye, buying filhaal bhi option nahi hai, chahe lambe arse ka upward trend kitna hi mazboot kyun na ho. Yeh sab kuch Bank of Japan ki policy mein mumkin tabdeeliyon par munhasir hai, aur koi bhi faisla kun amal lagta hai ke aane wale Fed meeting ke baad hi hoga. Is strategy se mujhe selling zyada appealing option lagti hai.




Maujooda Soorat-e-Haal Aur Aane Wala Waqt

Price triangle pattern ke andar oscillate karegi jab tak ke aham US labor market data juma ke agle hafta tak release na ho jaye. Yeh data bohot important hai kyunke yeh Fed ke aanewale rate decision ko kafi had tak influence karega. Agar pair ki quotes is channel ke bahar stabilize hoti hain, to yeh pichlay bearish impulse ke ikhtitaam ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo ke khaas tor par chhota hua tha, aur aik bullish correction ki shuruaat price range ki taraf pichlay bearish impulse ki taraf le kar jaa sakti hai. Abhi final nateeje nikaalne ke liye jaldi hai, isliye dekhna zaroori hai ke Tuesday ko asset ka daily candle kaise close hota hai. Agar bullish correction ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to mujhe tawakko hai ke pair ki growth 151.94 ke pichlay support level se zyada nahi hogi. Kal, USD/JPY ne apni upward trajectory jari rakhi, aur quotes 145.01 ke critical level se kafi upar chali gayi. Trading hafta ka ikhtitaam local resistance 146.26 ke qareeb hua.

USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart Ki Taja Tareen Soorat-e-Haal

USD/JPY ke 4-hour chart par mid-July ke qareeb 160.000 level ki peak ke baad aik aham downtrend nazar aa raha hai. Chart se saaf zahir hota hai ke market ki sentiment bullish se bearish mein tabdeel hui hai, kyunke is peak ke baad se price ne musalsal lower highs aur lower lows banaye hain. 160.000 level se breakdown bohot tezi se hua, jiss se price kai aham support levels ko tezi se todte hue neeche ki taraf gayi, khaas tor par 156.000 aur 152.000 levels jo ke Distribution Liquidity (DLiq) zones se marke hue thay. Is bearish momentum ko mazeed zor is baat ne diya ke 152.000 level ke neeche ek Fair Value Gap (FVG) bana, jo price ne jaldi hi fill kiya aur phir apni downward trajectory ko jari rakha. Price ko 144.000 level ke qareeb temporary support mila, jahan ek DLiq zone ne kuch stability provide ki. Lekin, yeh support kamzor nazar aata hai kyunke abhi price ko koi bhi significant upward movement maintain karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai.




Maujooda Soorat-e-Haal Aur Aane Wali Moujudah Challenges

Is waqt, price 146.200 level ke qareeb mandla rahi hai, jahan yeh pehle ke ek DLiq zone se resistance face kar rahi hai. Yeh level short-term ceiling ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, jo ke price ko mazeed upar jane se rok sakta hai jab tak market sentiment mein koi aham tabdeeli na ho. Neeche ki taraf, agar price 148.000 level ko cross karne mein naakam hoti hai, jo ke ek aur DLiq zone se coincide karta hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke 144.000 support level ko dobara test kare. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, to mazeed girawat ki taraf jaane ke imkanaat hain, jaisay ke 142.000 level ya is se bhi neeche. Mukhtasar mein, USD/JPY abhi bearish trend mein hai jahan key resistance 148.000 aur support 144.000 par hai. Traders ko in levels ke upar ya neeche ek wazeh break par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake aglay potential move ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Wasee tor par trend abhi bearish hi rahega jab tak ke koi wazeh reversal pattern saamne nahi aata.

USD/JPY Karansi Pair Ki Price Movements Ka Tajziya

Aaj hum USD/JPY karansi pair ki price movements ka tajziya karenge. Chart se zahir hota hai ke price ek upward trend mein hai, jo ke ek mazboot bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai jo bearish pressure par haavi ho raha hai. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, jis se yeh lagta hai ke long positions lena iss waqt sab se munasib strategy hai.

Technical Indicators Aur Bullish Sentiment

Mazid oscillators, jaisay ke MACD aur TNT, bhi is bullish nazariye ki tasdeeq karte hain kyunke yeh abhi bhi buyers ke liye faidemand positions mein hain. Mein apni position ko us waqt tak rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon jab tak ke hum 61.8% Fibonacci level tak nahi pohanch jate, jo ke taqriban 152.299 hai.

Selling Ke Liye Ghor-O-Fikr

Jab ke mein USD/JPY pair ke liye apni sales jari rakhne ka soch raha hoon, mujhe lagta hai ke filhaal ke levels se fauran girawat mumkin nahi hai. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction hoti hai, to mein selling ke moqaon ki talash karunga. Meri pehli sales target 143.84 par hai, jab ke doosri target 143.49 par hai. Filhaal, mein kisi buying activity par ghor nahi kar raha hoon. Abhi bhi is baat ka imkaan hai ke pair mein girawat ho sakti hai, mumkin hai ke yeh 140.19 ko target kare, lekin yeh level thode arse ke liye door bhi reh sakta hai. Mein ek munasib entry point ka intizar kar raha hoon ke jahan se sell trade shuru kiya ja sake. Khaas tor par, mein 146.49 ki taraf movement par nazar rakhunga, jahan par mein apni sales ladder setup karne ka plan rakhta hoon.

Weekly Chart Ke Insights

Pichlay hafta pair ne selling pressure face kiya tha aur is waqt weekly chart par sideways movement kar raha hai. Agle hafta ke liye pair ki movement ka andaza lagane ke liye mein technical analysis par bharosa karunga. Moving averages sell ki taraf trend zahir kar rahe hain, aur mukhtalif technical indicators bhi mazboot tor par bearish outlook ko zahir karte hain, jo ke agle hafta ke liye bearish trend ki tawakoat ko mazboot karte hain.

Aane Wali Economic News Ka Asar

Humein aane wali aham khabron ko bhi madde nazar rakhna hoga jo ke pair ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Ameed hai ke America se ahem khabrein aaengi, jinka forecast manfi hai. Yeh ahem data Thursday ko release hone ki tawako hai, jo ke manfi outlook ko barqarar rakhega. Mazeed, Japan bhi Friday ko apne industrial production data ko release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Isliye, mujhe agle hafta bearish movement ki tawako hai. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko test karne ki koshish karenge, jab ke mumkin buying 146.39 resistance level par focus kar sakti hai.




Natija

Majmoi tor par, mujhe agle hafta mein ek predominant bearish trend ki tawako hai, jo ke mere andaze trading plan ka bunyadi nuqta hoga.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis

Sir bonus update Monday

Humari guftagu ka markaz iss waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka real-time evaluation hai. Iss waqt, USD/JPY chart ek bullish pattern bana raha hai, jo iss currency pair ki price ko kaafi upar le ja sakta hai. Haal hi mein ek downward move ne protected zone ki upper boundary 143.75 par test ki, jiss ke baad price ne zabardast rebound kiya aur north ki taraf chali gayi. Aaj ki U.S. session mein, pair ki bullish momentum wazeh ho gayi jab price 144.39 ke accumulation area tak dip hui aur phir apni upward journey jari rakhi. Agar price ab wapas na jaye aur 144.39 ke accumulation level se neeche consolidate karne se bache, to USD/JPY ke liye bullish scenario mazboot ho sakta hai. Yeh pair ko northern region ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo 146.05 ke aas paas hai, jahan significant volumes accumulate hui hain. Is waqt ek bearish price action setup bhi nazar aa raha hai.



Haal ke daur mein, price ko 144.732 ke resistance level se neeche dekha ja raha hai jab ke usne kai tests iss level par kiye hain. Agar price is resistance level ko mazbooti se paar karne mein kamyaab hoti hai, to mazeed bullish movement ki gunjaish hai jo price ko aur upar le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price is level par phir se atki rehti hai, to is baat ka imkaan hai ke price ek dafa phir girawat ke sath 143.615 ke support level ki taraf chali jaye.




Pehle ki movement mein, hum dekh sakte hain ke price ne highest level 148,000 ke aas paas se ek significant girawat dekhi thi, aur phir ek naya low 143.615 ke support level ke aas paas banaya. Yahan se, price ne ek upward retracement ki, lekin 144.732 ke resistance level ko mazbooti se paar nahi kar saki. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure abhi bhi iss area mein kaafi strong hai, lekin correction ya consolidation ke liye bhi gunjaish hai. Agar hum candlestick position ko dekhen jo ke Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ko drop kar ke paar kar chuki hai, to yeh market trend ke liye aik reference hai jo mumkin hai ke abhi bhi bearish direction mein move kare. Main khud bhi is potential ko dekh kar trade pursue karne mein zyada interested hoon kyunke abhi bhi ek bari possibility hai ke bearish trend ki taraf movement jari rahe. Iss assumption ke sath, yeh mozoon hai ke hum price level ko trade SELL karne ke liye tayar karen.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka live analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair abhi bhi daily chart par sideways movement dikhata hai. Aaj ki price action bhi isi range ke andar hi hai, is liye yeh sawal uthta hai ke kya yeh pair isi direction mein rahega ya phir koi breakout hoga. Is cheez ko assess karne ke liye, chaliye technical analysis par gaur karte hain. Moving averages suggest kar rahe hain ke yeh sell signal hai, jab ke technical indicators strongly recommend kar rahe hain ke buy kiya jaye, jis se overall outlook neutral nazar aata hai. Abhi ke liye themes ko sideways pattern mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Amreeka se ek aham update hai jo negative impact ki taraf ishara karta hai, specifically, 5-year U.S. Treasury notes ki placement ke liye auction. Is ke baraks, Japan se koi badi news nahi aayi hai. Iss sab ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke aaj bhi pair sideways move karega.



Defensive mode mein, USD/JPY pair Thursday ko Asian trading hours ke dauran 144.50 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Short-term pressure US dollar (USD) par Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ki dovish comments se aa raha hai. Investors ab US GDP growth estimate ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke second quarter ke liye 2.8% tak barhne ki prediction hai. Wednesday ko, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke deputy governor Ryozo Himino ne kaha ke bank interest rates ko barhate rahenge agar inflation plan ke mutabiq barhta raha, jab ke financial markets ki sehat par bariki se nazar rakhi jayegi. Unke remarks BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke pichlay hafta ke bayan se mutabiq hain, jinhon ne kaha tha ke bank ke long-term rate-hike plans ko current market turmoil support karega. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, zyada tar analyst yeh expect karte hain ke BOJ is saal aik dafa phir se rates barhaega, iss baar December se shuru karte hue, October ke baraks. Dosri taraf, US Central Bank ke dovish remarks ki wajah se US currency ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein zameen kho di hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke alfaz mein, "Ab waqt aagaya hai ke policy adjust ki jaye." CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ne September mein 25 basis point (bps) rate decrease ko poori tarah se price in kar liya hai, aur ek zyada significant rate cut ke chances 36.5% par hain.

Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai. Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai. USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha

Filhaal hum USD/JPY ke price action ka tajziya kar rahe hain. USD/JPY ke agle uthane ki nishani 145.48 ke rukawat ko todne se milti hai. Lekin, jab tak candle 146.27 ke supply area mein phasi hai, USD/JPY shayad pehle gir sakta hai phir upar chalayega. Main samajhta hoon ke USD/JPY ka long-term trend upar ki taraf hai, isliye yeh girawat sirf ek temporary correction hai. Agar USD/JPY waqai mein girti hai, to yeh 145.48 par ek RBS pattern bana sakta hai, jo pullback ke liye ek behtareen jagah hogi. Ichimoku indicator ke tajziye se, USD/JPY ka trend bullish dikhaayi deta hai, kyunke yeh tenkan aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Yeh indicator yeh darshata hai ke kumo ko todne se USD/JPY ko zyada faida ho sakta hai. Jab tak ek naya intersection nahi hota, USD/JPY ko girne mein mushkil hogi.

Is waqt, stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY overbought hai. Line jo level 80 par pohnch gayi hai, iski nishani hai. Yeh overbought condition USD/JPY ki tezi se badhane ke baad hui hai. Aise situations ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai kyunke yeh costs ko phir se kam kar sakti hain. Lekin, jaise maine pehle kaha, yeh girawat sirf correction hai. Aaj ke tajziye ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke currency pair ke upar jaane ki ab bhi potential hai do wajah se: pehla, candle ne 145.48 ki sab se nazdeek ki resistance ko tod diya hai; doosra, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai jab ichimoku indicator se tajziya kiya gaya. Isliye, main tajwez karta hoon ke aap sirf buy position par dhyan dein. 149.23 par resistance level tak aap apna take-profit target rakh sakte hain. 144.58 ke aas-paas aap apna stop loss set kar sakte hain. He

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Friday ko US Dollar mein kuch halka girawat dekha gaya jab European Central Bank (ECB) ke hawkish comments ne DXY par bojh dala. Traders ki nazar Friday ko US PCE Price Index data par hai.

US Dollar Index 101.00 ke upar aagaya hai aur is level ko pakra hua hai.

Friday ko, US Dollar (USD) thoda flat ya halka kamzor trade kar raha hai, jab European Central Bank ke Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel ke hawkish comments ne European trading ko influence kiya. Halankeh Eurozone ke recent figures disinflation ki taraf ishara karte hain, Schnabel ne kaha ke ECB abhi bhi cautious rehna zaroori hai aur consecutive rate cuts ka plan nahi hai. Isse Euro (EUR) ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein kuch taqat mili. Phir bhi, US Dollar kuch currencies ke muqablay mein sirf thoda kamzor trade kar raha hai, kyunki traders aaj ke important economic data ke intezar mein hain. Early Asian trading mein, Chinese offshore Yuan ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein June 2023 ke baad sabse mazboot level 7.0710 USD/CNH tak pahunch gaya.

12:30 GMT par, July ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (CPE) numbers release kiye jayenge:
Headline PCE ke 0.2% par aane ki ummeed hai, jo June mein 0.1% thi. Saalana component bhi 2.6% tak barhne ki ummeed hai, jo ke pehle 2.5% thi.

Yeh main economic data point core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hoga, jo US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka pasandida inflation gauge hai. Zyada tar analysts ek aur soft number ki ummeed kar rahe hain. PCE component jo Thursday ko US Gross Domestic Product release ke sath tha, downwardly revised kiya gaya, jo ke price pressures ke second quarter mein pehle se kam hone ka ishara hai.

USD/JPY 4-hour chart par sideways move kar raha hai jo short-term trend ko analyze karne ke liye use hota hai. Isse upar ya neeche break karna zaroori hai direction confirm karne ke liye, warna yeh oscillate karta rahega. August mein USD/JPY ne ek messy range mein trade kiya hai bina clear direction ke.



Pair shayad "sideways" trend mein hai, jo tab tak continue ho sakta hai jab tak ek breakout direction confirm nahi hota. 146.91 ke upar break hone se yeh ishara milega ke bulls upper hand le rahe hain aur shayad 147.85 tak move ho sakta hai, phir shayad August ke highs tak jo 149.39 ke aas paas hain.

Neeche ki taraf, 143.45 (August 26 low) ke neeche break hone se zyada downside confirm hoga, shayad 141.70s tak jahaan August ke lows hain.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni signal line ke upar aur rising hai, jo thodi bullish outlook ko support karta hai, halankeh yeh zero ke upar break nahi hua hai, isliye yeh abhi tak confirm nahi hua.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Is hafte US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein stability dikhayi, ¥145 ke aas-pass range banaye rakha. Yeh stability ek aham trend line ke ird-gird ho rahi hai jo charts par is area ko importance deta hai. Agar market recover kar ke ¥147.50 ke level ko break kar leti hai, to yeh recovery ka shuruat ho sakta hai. Pehle ke downside extension ko dekhte hue, in levels se ek bounce aam baat hai.

Lagbhag ek mahina pehle, weekly chart par ek hammer candle ban gayi thi, jo aksar ek bullish signal ke roop mein dekhi jati hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers prices ko support kar rahe hain. Is formation se, market ne ek significant position na gain ki na lose ki. Agar halat wahi rahte hain bina kisi drastic change ke, to rally ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price ¥142 ke level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh ek gehri decline ka signal ho sakta hai, aur agla major support level ¥138 ke aas-pass ho sakta hai.

Bank of Japan ki monetary policy restrictions bhi is scenario mein ek mahatvapurn role ada karti hain. Japan ko kuch bade economic challenges ka samna hai jo central bank ki monetary policy ko aggressively tighten karne ki capability ko limit karte hain. Yeh restriction yen ko dollar ke muqablay mein zyada strong hone se rok sakti hai, isse dollar recovery ke chances ko support milta hai. Iske ilawa, traders jo pair hold kar rahe hain, unhe interest milta hai jo long positions ko hold karne ke additional incentives provide karta hai.



Summary yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair consolidation ke cautious state mein hai, lekin agar key resistance levels breach hote hain, to upside reversal ke chances hain. Dusri taraf, agar critical support level ke neeche break hota hai, to ek significant move down ho sakta hai. Market abhi crossroads par hai aur dono scenarios abhi bhi active hain.

### USDJPY Market Analysis

**Market Overview**

USDJPY ke 146.65 ka level buyers ko zyada stability faraham karta hai. Is waqt, buyers ko ummeed hai ke price 147.00 ke qareeb chalegi. Isliye aaj ke market environment ko dekhte hue, bulls ko faida ho sakta hai. Magar, agar hum daily time frame dekhain, to bearish trend zyada pronounced hai. Yeh extended view market ke sellers ki side se significant pressure ko confirm karta hai, jo selling strategy ko support karta hai.

**Daily Chart Analysis**

Daily chart par bearish trend zyada clear hai. Yeh chart humein broader context deta hai jo ke current downturn ko samajhne mein madadgar hai. Yeh insight humein overall market sentiment ko samajhne aur informed decisions lene mein madad karta hai. Agar hourly aur daily charts dono par bearish trend consistent hai, to selling strategy ko apnana zyada behtar lagta hai. Market behavior ko seriously monitor karna zaroori hai.

**US Dollar Strength**

Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, United States dollar ki strength ko bhi account mein lena zaroori hai. Halankeh dollar exceptional strong nahi hai, lekin dusri currencies ke muqable mein kuch strength zaroor dikhata hai. Yeh slight strength additional confirmation faraham karta hai ke selling strategy effective ho sakti hai, kyunki dollar ki relative strength downward pressure ko barhawa de sakti hai.

**Trading Strategy**

Trading plan ko mukammal taur par plan karna zaroori hai. Selling entry ko meticulously plan karte hue, well-defined profit targets aur stop-loss points set karna trading ke chances ko enhance kar sakta hai. Profit target ko 20 se 30 pips tak set karna behtar rahega, jo ke current market pressure aur trend ko dekhte hue realistic hai. Aaj United States trading session ke doran price 146.82 level tak pahunch sakti hai.

**Conclusion**

Aaj ki trading mein success ke liye, market conditions ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading strategy apnaein. Best wishes for your trading today!

Jori filhal pichle haftay ke lows ke aas paas mukammal ho rahi hai, aur sirf 0.28% ki halka si izafa dikhai de raha hai. Yeh halka sa izafa US Treasury yields ke kam hone aur bazaar mein risk-on jazbaat ke behtareen halaat ke bawajood ho raha hai. In shiraat ke bawajood, Greenback mazboot hai, jo mahine ke aakhir ke flows se madad hasil kar raha hai. Major currency jori 146.70 ke mark se upar stable hai aur key technical levels ki taraf barh rahi hai.

BoJ Par Policy Mein Wazehiyat Ka Pressure:

BlackRock Investment Institute ne Japan ki maashi recovery aur barhti hui inflation ko iski equity market ko khaas banaane wale asbaab ka zikar kiya hai. Firm ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni agle meeting mein maujooda interest rates ko barqarar rakhegi, jo ke monetary policy adjustments ke liye ehtiyaat bhari approach ko darshata hai.

Is darmiyan, Japanese officials BoJ se monetary policy ko normalize karne ke plan ke bare mein zyada wazeh communication ki darkhwast kar rahe hain. Toshimitsu Motegi ne central bank se gradual interest rate hikes ka strategy outline karne ka kaha hai. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne bhi is jazbaat ko dohraaya, yeh sugget karte hue ke ek zyada normalized monetary policy Japan ki growth-driven economy ke transition ko support karegi.

H1 Chart USD/JPY Ko Key Support Aur Resistance Levels Ka Samna:

Immediate support niche descending channel ke lower boundary ke aas paas 145.79 par hai. Jori filhal "throwback support turned resistance" level ke aas paas 147.00 ke qareeb test kar rahi hai. Mazeed resistance 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 146.19 par dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur additional resistance upper boundary of descending channel ke aas paas takriiban 145.20 par hai.

In levels ke niche girawat se jori further neeche ja sakti hai, shayad 145.26 ke low ko phir se visit kare. Additional support psychological level 145.00 par mil sakti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai, kyunki yeh oversold territory mein hai. Maujooda technical aur fundamental halat ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke raasta zyada tar neeche ki taraf hai.

Here's the rewritten text in Roman Urdu:

USD/JPY: Price Movement Insights

Hamari discussion mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price changes ka jaiza kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne is week mein sharp decline dekha, primarily Bank of Japan ki interest rates ko 0.16% tak increase karne ki wajah se, jo positive territory mein notable shift hai. Is action ne pair ko approximately 901 points tak giraya, critical level 149.99 se neeche aa gaya.

Weak U.S. labour market data ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki expectations ko increase kiya, jis se pair par downward pressure badh gaya. Result mein, yeh crucial sloping support 148.14 ko break kar gaya aur local support 146.51 par pause ho gaya. Yeh support level zyada der tak hold nahi karega, aur price likely descend karke round number aur support 145.01 par pahunch jayega, jahan substantial rebound upside ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehta hai. Friday ko pair ne decline jari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pahunch paya. Is liye downward movement Monday tak jari rahega, potentially lower boundary 144.27 par pahunch sakta hai. Is target ko hit karne par reversal ho sakta hai, price upward move karke channel ke upper boundary par pahunch sakta hai, possibly 147.40 tak.




Decline linearly hua, significant pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina. Target 146.81 achieve ho gaya, senior trend line par deviation dikha raha hai. Pullback mirror level par possible hai, around 151.84. Lekin clear feedback signals ke bina, buying trades se parhez karna advisable hai. Jaise observe kiya gaya, USD/JPY pair approximately 1551 points decline hua, notable pullbacks ya corrective waves ke bina

ستمبر 2 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعہ کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.3095-1.3120 کے ہدف کی حد تک پہنچ گیا۔ آج اس سطح سے اوپر کی طرف درست ہو رہا ہے۔ روزانہ مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی رک گیا ہے، مزید کمی سے پہلے ایک مختصر وقفہ لے رہا ہے۔



یہ وقفہ پاؤنڈ کے لیے ضروری ہے کہ وہ سپورٹ لیول تک پہنچنے سے پہلے طاقت جمع کرے۔ اگر قیمت 1.3095 سے نیچے رہتی ہے، تو یہ 1.2994 پر ہدف کا راستہ کھولتا ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے آ گئی ہے، جبکہ مارلن منفی علاقے میں آگے بڑھ رہی ہے۔

1.3220 کے راستے پر، 26 اور 30 اگست کے درمیان تین چھوٹی مزاحمتی سطحیں بنتی ہیں۔ لہٰذا، اصلاحی اضافہ 1.3120-1.3220 کی حد کے اندر ایک سادہ سائیڈ وے حرکت کی شکل اختیار کر سکتا ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price

USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karein ge aaj. Recent upward momentum ko dekh kar lagta hai ke ek decline aanay wala hai. Resistance level 146.26 par mojood hai, jahan se downward movement ka silsila jaari rahe ga. Maujooda levels se price 144.61 se neeche ja sakti hai. Ek chhoti si upward move false breakout ke sath 146.51 par ho sakti hai, lekin uske baad dubara se decline shuru ho jaye ga. 146.41 tak correction bhi ho sakta hai pehle ke downward trend phir se resume ho. Kuch arsay tak strength barqarar reh sakti hai, lekin decline phir shuru ho jaye ga. 146.61 tak ek upward correction ho sakti hai, lekin uske baad decline dobara se jaari rahe ga. USD/JPY pair is waqt bearish trend mein hai, aur aam tor par price aise resistance par rebound karti hai. Is scenario mein, mein expect karta hoon ke bearish move wedge ke lower boundary tak jaye ga, halan ke upper boundary ka breakout aur test classic pattern ke mutabiq ho chuka hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq USD/JPY pair ka upward trend jaari rehne ki umeed hai, jaisa ke price indicate kar rahi hai. Zigzag aur supporting MACD aur RSI indicators bullish movement ko signal kar rahe hain kyun ke yeh ab oversold zone mein hain, jo ke long positions ka potential highlight karte hain. Bulls ke strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, mera plan hai ke open position ko close karoon jab woh Fibo target 61.9% tak pohanch jaye, jo ke price mark 152.301 par mojood hai. Magar ehtiyaat ke tor par, mein stop order ko breakeven par move kar doon ga jese hi trade positive territory mein dakhil hoti hai. Pehle mene narrowing wedge formation ko technical analysis ke zariye identify kiya tha, jahan mene dekha ke price ke qareeb declining heavy EMA hai. Mene anticipate kiya tha ke price upper boundary ko break kare gi taake moving average ko test kare jiska period 121 hai. H4 chart is baat ko confirm karta hai ke yeh waqai hua hai. Aage jaane ka strong likelihood mojood hai ke aur decline hoga.