usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Mazid yeh bhi mumkin hai ke US session se pehle kuch decline dekhne ko mile. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activ

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Haal Ki Market Activity

Friday ko, USD/JPY currency pair ne significant bearish movement dekha, jisne short deal ko take-profit level par band kar diya trend line ka test karte hue. Interestingly, bears ne trend line par hesitation nahi dikhai; balke, unhone isko inertial move par decisively break kiya, strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Ye price action ne trend line ke neeche consolidation ka possibility badhadi hai. Is breakout ke baad price ki behavior monitor karna future market movements ko anticipate karne ke liye crucial hai.

Key Technical Indicators

*1. Trend Line Break:* Trend line ke neeche decisive break strong bearish signal hai. Typically, trend lines support levels ke role ada karti hain, aur unko break karna market sentiment ko bullish se bearish mein shift karne ka indication de sakta hai. Price ne is level par slow down nahi kiya, jo bearish momentum ki strength ko further underscores karta hai.

*2. Support aur Resistance Levels:* Trend line break hone ke baad, next immediate support levels 154.50 aur 154.00 ke aaspaas hain. Ye levels pehle support ke role ada kar chuke hain aur potentially further declines ko halt kar sakte hain. Upside par, previous trend line, ab resistance ke role ada karta hai, aur 155.50 level key areas hain jo monitor karne ke liye hain.

*3. Moving Averages:* USD/JPY pair 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trading kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Moving averages ne bearish crossover bhi dikhai hai, jo death cross ke naam se jana jata hai, jo typically downward momentum ko signal karta hai.

*4. RSI aur MACD Indicators:* Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin abhi tak oversold nahi hai, jo further declines ke liye room dikha raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish territory mein hai, MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, bearish outlook ko support karta hai.





Fundamental Factors

*1. Economic Data:* US aur Japan dono se upcoming economic data crucial hai. US indicators jaise GDP growth, employment data, aur Federal Reserve interest rate decisions key drivers hain. Japan ke liye, GDP figures, employment statistics, aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy updates pair ko significantly influence kar sakte hain

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide

USD/JPY H4 timeframe ke chart ko analyze karte hain. USD/JPY currency pair ne haftay ko 146.01 ke upar close kiya, jo bulls ke liye ek chhoti si advantage ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, overall trend downward hai. Buying consider karne walon ke liye ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunki strict stop-loss strategy recommend ki jati hai. Agar price 153 ke aas-paas pohnchti hai, toh bina stop-loss ke selling ka option ho sakta hai, lekin yeh speculative hai.

Factors jaise Bank of Japan ki policy mein potential changes aur upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next moves ko determine karne mein crucial honge. Long-term upward trend ko dekhte hue, filhal buying preferred option nahi hai. Is waqt selling zyada appealing strategy lagti hai. Price triangle pattern ke andar fluctuate karne ki sambhavnayein hain jab market critical US labor market data ka intezar kar rahi hai agle haftay, jo Fed ke future rate decision ko significant influence karega.

USD/JPY ki current price movement yeh suggest kar sakti hai ke pehle downward trend ka end ho chuka hai, halankeh yeh incomplete bhi ho sakta hai, aur upward correction ki shuruat ho rahi hai jo pehle ke downward price range ki taraf ho sakti hai. Abhi definitive conclusions dena jaldi hai, isliye Tuesday ko asset ke daily price ko close hone par observe karna crucial hoga. Agar upward correction confirm hoti hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY pair ka growth pehle ke support level 151.94 se zyada nahi jayega.

Kal USD/JPY ne rise continue kiya, aur prices significantly exceed kar gayi critical level 145.01 se. Trading week local resistance 146.26 ke paas khatam hua. Toh yeh USD/JPY trading pair ka current scenario hai.

### Japanese Yen Trading Analysis aur Tips

**Price Test aur MACD Indicator:** Jab price 144.60 ka test kiya, MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

USD/JPY Price Understandings

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke tajziya par markooz hogi. USD/JPY currency pair ne trading week ko upward momentum ke sath close kiya, aur 146.23 ke aas-paas finish kiya. Pair growth trajectory me hai, jise moving averages support karte hain jo bullish trend ko signal dete hain. Price ne 145.01 ka mark cross kar liya hai, key resistance levels ko break kar diya hai, jo US dollar ke liye intense buying pressure ko darshata hai aur current levels se aage upward movement ka ishara hai. Hum agle haftay me prices ko upar push karne ki koshish ki umeed karte hain, jo 147.51 ke aas-paas ke resistance level ko test karegi. Ek pullback ho sakta hai, jo pair ki rate ko 145.99 ki taraf kam kar sakta hai. Ya phir, pair hafte ke shuruat me 146.01 ke aas-paas consolidation zone me wapas aa sakti hai.

H4 chart par, USD/JPY pair 151 mark ke bilkul neeche trading kar raha hai, lekin Friday ke session ne Ichimoku Cloud indicator ko breach karne ki ijaazat di, jo ek bullish engulfing pattern aur ongoing upward trend ko darshata hai. Is ke bawajood, price Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai aur abhi tak convincingly break nahi hui, lekin currency pair ke growth target is phase me 147.93 resistance ki taraf ek potential rise ko suggest karta hai. Wahan se ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko lagbhag 141.81 tak neeche push kar sakta hai. Chart bears aur bulls ke beech ongoing battle ko reflect karta hai, jahan bulls price ko Ichimoku Cloud ke upar le jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin, abhi tak koi definitive direction nahi hai, price slightly upar aur neeche cloud ke aas-paas fluctuate kar rahi hai. H4 chart par CCI indicator buying activity me peak ko suggest karta hai aur downward turn karna shuru ho gaya hai, jo chart par bhi visible hai, kyunki closing price Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary se thodi neeche aayi hai.

US dollar ne is hafta Japanese yen ke muqable mein apni position stable rakhi, aur yeh stability ¥145 ke qareebi level par hui. Yeh area charts par aik significant trend line ke qareeb hai, jo isse ahemiyat deta hai. Agar market recover kar ke ¥147.50 level ke upar break kar le, tou yeh recovery ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Is baat ko dekhte hue ke market pehle hi nichey ke side par zyada extend kar gaya tha, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yehan se aik bounce aa jaye.
Lagbhag aik mahine pehle, weekly chart par aik hammer candle bani thi, jo aam tor par aik bullish signal mana jata hai. Iska matlab yeh hota hai ke buyers prices ko support denay ke liye samney aa rahe hain. Is formation ke baad, market ab tak apni position ko banae hue hai, na zyada gain kar raha hai aur na zyada lose. Agar halat yehan se drastically change nahi hoti, tou ek rally ki achi chance hai. Magar agar price ¥142 level ke nichey break karta hai, tou yeh deeper decline ki nishani ho sakti hai, aur phir agla major support level ¥138 ke qareeb hoga.

Bank of Japan ki monetary policy restrictions bhi is scenario mein ahem kirdar ada karti hain. Japan ko bohot se economic challenges ka samna hai, jo central bank ke liye aggressive monetary policy ko tighten karna mushkil banati hain. Yeh restriction yen ke dollar ke muqable mein zyada strong hone se rok sakti hai, jo dollar ki recovery ko support karti hai. Is ke ilawa, jo traders is pair ko hold karte hain, woh interest kamaate hain, jo ke long positions hold karne ke liye additional incentives deta hai.

Akhir mein, jabke USD/JPY pair abhi bhi consolidation ke mode mein hai, yeh bataya ja sakta hai ke agar key resistance levels breach hote hain tou reversal ka potential hai. Dosri taraf, agar critical support ke neeche break hota hai, tou yeh ek significant downside move ka signal de sakta hai. Market abhi aik crossroads par hai aur dono scenarios ab tak play mein hain.

USD/JPY ka 4-hour chart mid-July mein 160.000 level ke qareeb peak karne ke baad aik ahem downtrend dikhata hai. Chart mein market sentiment ka clear shift nazar aata hai, jo bullish se bearish ho gaya hai, kyunke price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana raha hai us peak ke baad se. 160.000 level se break down bohot tezi se hua, aur price ne jaldi se kai key support levels ko cross kiya, khaaskar 156.000 aur 152.000 levels, jo Distribution Liquidity (DLiq) zones ke zariye mark kiye gaye the. Is bearish momentum ko aur emphasize kiya gaya jab 152.000 level ke neeche aik Fair Value Gap (FVG) bana, jise price ne jaldi se fill kiya aur phir apni downward trajectory ko continue kiya. Price ne temporarily 144.000 level ke qareeb support paya, jahan aik DLiq zone ne thodi stability provide ki. Magar yeh support kamzor lagta hai, kyunke price abhi bhi kisi significant upward movement ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai.



Ab tak, price 146.200 level ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jahan usay aik pehle DLiq zone se resistance ka samna hai. Yeh level short-term ceiling ke taur par act kar sakta hai, aur market sentiment mein aik significant shift ke baghair price ko aur zyada barhne se rok sakta hai. Agar price 148.000 level, jo ke ek aur DLiq zone ke sath coincide karta hai, ke upar break karne mein nakam hota hai, tou yeh mumkin hai ke price 144.000 support level ko dobara test kare. Agar yeh support bhi break ho gaya tou further declines 142.000 level ya us se neeche tak ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, USD/JPY abhi bearish trend mein hai, jahan key resistance 148.000 ke aas paas aur support 144.000 ke qareeb hai. Traders ko in levels ke decisive break par nazar rakhni chahiye taake aglay potential move ka andaza lagaya ja sake, jabke broader trend tab tak bearish hi rahega jab tak koi clear reversal pattern saamne nahi aata.

Navigating the USD/ JPY Price Action

Chaliye baat karte hain USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke baare mein aur is se kya analysis kiya jaa sakta hai. USD/JPY ne din aur hafta 146.01 ke upar close kiya, jo bulls ke liye aik halka sa jeet ka izhaar hai. Lekin downward trend abhi bhi barqarar hai. Agar koi khareedne ka faisla karta hai, toh strict stop loss lagana zaroori hai. Agar price 153 ke aas-paas pahunch jaaye, toh main bina stop loss ke bechne par gaur karunga aur sirf upar ki moves ke dauran position ko badhaunga. Lekin yeh abhi bhi spekulative hai, jaise ke chaai ke patey parh kar andaaza lagana; sab variables ko bilkul sahi hona chahiye strategic move ke liye. Mere liye khareedna abhi bhi option mein nahi hai, bhalay hi long-term upward trend maujood ho. Bohot kuch Bank of Japan ki policy mein mumkin tabdeeliyon par munhasir hai, aur koi bhi faisla qareeban Fed meeting ke baad hi ho sakta hai. Yeh strategy mujhe sell karne ko zyada dilchasp option banati hai.

Price triangle pattern ke andar hi oscillate karega jab tak ke zaroori US labor market data, jo aglay hafta Friday ko release hona hai, nahi aata. Yeh figures bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain kyunke yeh Fed ke aane wale rate decision ko khasa asar dalenge. Agar pair ki quotes iss channel ke bahar stabilize ho jaati hain, toh yeh pichlay bearish impulse ke khatam hone ka izhaar ho sakta hai, jo ke khaas mukhtasir tha, aur bullish correction ke shuru hone ki taraf ishara karega pichlay bearish impulse ke price range tak. Yeh abhi bhi faisla karne ke liye jaldi hai, toh Tuesday ko asset ki daily candle kaise close hoti hai, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar bullish correction validate hoti hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke pair ki growth 151.94 ke pichlay support level se zyada nahi hogi. Kal USD/JPY ne apni upward trajectory jari rakhi, aur quotes ne khaas tor par 145.01 ke critical level se upar rise kiya. Trading week khatam hua local resistance 146.26 ke paas.

USD/JPY Price Action Ko Samajhna
Chalo baat karte hain USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke baare mein aur iske analysis ke bare mein. USD/JPY ke liye, pair ne din aur haftay ko 146.01 ke upar close kiya, jo bulls ke liye ek chhoti si jeet hai. Lekin, downward trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Agar aap buy karna chahte hain, to stop loss ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Agar price 153 ke qareeb chali jati hai, to main bina stop loss ke bechne ka sochunga, aur sirf upar ke moves par position add karunga. Lekin, ye sab speculative hai, tea leaves padhne ki tarah; sab variables ko perfectly align hona chahiye ek strategic move ke liye. Mere liye, buy karna abhi bhi off the table hai halankeh long-term upward trend chal raha hai. Kaafi kuch Japan Bank ki policy shifts par depend karta hai, aur koi decisive action shayad agle Fed meeting ke baad hi ho. Isliye, mujhe selling zyada appealing lagti hai.



Price ek triangle pattern ke daira-e-kar mein oscillate karegi jab tak critical US labor market data release nahi hota, jo agle haftay Friday ko scheduled hai. Ye figures crucial hain kyunki ye Fed ke agle rate decision ko significantly influence karengi. Agar pair ke quotes is channel ke bahar stabilize ho jaati hain, to ye previous bearish impulse ka end aur bullish correction ke start ka indication ho sakta hai, jo previous bearish impulse ke price range ki taraf ho sakti hai. Abhi definitive conclusions dena jaldi hai, isliye Tuesday ko asset ke daily candle ka close dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar bullish correction validate hoti hai, to main expect karta hoon ke pair ki growth pehle ke support level 151.94 se zyada nahi jayegi. Kal, USD/JPY ne apni upward trajectory ko continue kiya, aur quotes significantly 145.01 ke critical level ke upar chali gayi. Trading week local resistance 146.26 ke qareeb khatam hua.

**USD/JPY Ki Price Action Ke Peechay Ki Science**

Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki live analysis kar raha hoon. USD/JPY pair daily chart par sideway movement dikhata raha hai. Aaj bhi price action isi range ke andar hai, jis se yeh sawal uthta hai ke kya pair isi direction mein continue karega ya breakout karega. Iss ko assess karne ke liye, hum technical analysis par nazar daalte hain. Moving averages sell ka suggestion de rahe hain, jab ke technical indicators strongly buy ki recommendation karte hain, jis ki wajah se overall outlook neutral nazar aa raha hai. Yeh pair filhal sideways pattern mein hi rahega.

Ek zaroori update United States se hai jo ke ek negative impact ki taraf lean karta hai. Khas tor par, 5 saal ki U.S. Treasury notes ke liye ek auction hai. Dusri taraf, Japan se koi major news nahi aayi hai. Is hisaab se lagta hai ke aaj ke liye pair sideways movement mein hi rahega.


Selling opportunities support level 144.34 ke qareeb aa sakti hain, jab ke buying 145.26 ki resistance level tak ki ja sakti hai. Isi liye, mujhe umeed hai ke sideways movement continue rahega. H4 chart par triangle abhi bhi solve hona baqi hai. Price ek critical point ke qareeb aa rahi hai aur resolution kal tak ya shayad aaj raat tak ho sakta hai. Agar bulls 145 level ko break karte hain, toh USD/JPY 148 ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Waisay hi, agar support 144 par break hota hai, toh drop 141.69 tak ho sakta hai. Filhal, market mein entry se bachna behtar hai, khas tor par Asian session ke qareeb, kyun ke USD/JPY aasani se 100 points move kar sakta hai aur triangle se raat bhar mein breakout ho sakta hai. Aaj dollar ne pichle haftay ke losses recover kar liye hain, aur yeh strengthening trend kal tak bhi jaari reh sakta hai, aane wali U.S. news par depend karta hai. GDP data second quarter ka aur unemployment benefit figures release hongi, jo ke pair ko kisi bhi direction mein 200 points move karwa sakti hain.

USD/JPY Price Ko Samajhne Ka Tareeqa
Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka analysis karenge. USD/JPY currency pair ne trading week ko upward momentum ke sath close kiya, aur week ka end 146.23 ke qareeb hua. Pair ab bhi growth trajectory mein hai, jise moving averages ka support hai jo bullish trend ko signal karte hain. Price 145.01 mark ko paar kar chuki hai, key resistance levels ko todte hue, jo US dollar ke liye intense buying pressure ko dikhata hai aur current levels se further upward movement ka ishara karta hai. Hum expect karte hain ke agle hafte mein prices ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki jayegi, aur 147.51 ke qareeb resistance level ko test kiya jayega. Ek pullback bhi ho sakta hai, jo pair ke rate ko 145.99 tak le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, pair haftay ke aghaz mein 146.01 ke qareeb consolidation zone mein wapas aa sakta hai.




H4 chart par, USDJPY pair abhi 151 mark se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai, lekin Friday ke session mein ye Ichimoku Cloud indicator ko breach karne mein kamiyab raha, jo ek bullish engulfing pattern aur ongoing upward trend ka ishara hai. Iske bawajood, price ab bhi Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary ke qareeb hai aur ab tak is boundary ko convincingly break nahi kar payi, halan ke currency pair ka growth target is phase mein 147.93 resistance ki taraf rise karne ka possibility dikhata hai. Wahan se ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko approximately 141.81 tak le ja sakta hai. Chart par abhi bhi bears aur bulls ke darmiyan jang chal rahi hai, jahan bulls price ko Ichimoku Cloud ke upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin ab tak koi definitive direction nahi hai, aur price thodi bohot Ichimoku Cloud ke upar aur neeche fluctuate kar rahi hai. H4 chart par CCI indicator suggest karta hai ke buying activity apni peak par thi aur ab downward turn lena shuru ho gayi hai, jo chart par bhi nazar aa raha hai jab closing price thoda neeche Ichimoku Cloud ke upper boundary se edge hua.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis Ka Tajziya
Khatoon aur Hazraat, business community ke azeez dosto ko salam. US dollar mein jo girawat dekhi gayi, wo pichlay work week ke daily local low ke update ki wajah se thi, jahan price 144.35 par settle hui thi. Market prices mein aise trend se ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke jald hi support zone tak pohanchna mumkin hai, jo ke Bollinger indicator ki lower sliding line ke darmiyan hai, jo daily aur hourly period mein 141.79 par hai, jahan humein trader geometric figure "double bottom" nazar aata hai. Ye market mein tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai aur prices mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Zaroori baat ye hai ke instrument Bollinger indicator ke low price position mein hai, jo southern trend ko continue karne ka faida de sakta hai, lekin currency pair mein kaafi volatility bhi hai. Ye sab kuch corrected hai aur is par tawajju dena zaroori hai.




Existing pattern ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY movement mein mazeed izafa ka potential nazar aata hai, jahan 148.00 ka psychological level woh area hai jahan future trades mein pohanchna mumkin hai. Daily time frame pattern ke hisaab se, pehle price correct ho sakti hai kyunki stochastic aur RSI abhi overbought hain. Aagey chal kar, H4 time frame mein bhi stochastic aur RSI over saturation aur technical first correction ka potential dikhate hain. Bullish trend abhi bhi kaafi strong hai, aur Ema 7 time frame H1 aur Ema 7 time frame H4 potential hai ke qareeb ka support ban sakte hain aur re-entry buyback areas ke tor par use ho sakte hain apni strong bullish trend ke wajah se. Aagey chal kar USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Ye breakout ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin ye signal misleading tha, kyunki Friday ko price is level ke neeche gir gayi. Ye false breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche aayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal nikla, jo dobara se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne ye target achieve kiya. Iske baad, Tuesday ko ye level phir se retrace hua, aur ek aur upward movement ki koshish hui, lekin price dobara broken level par wapas aagayi. Breakout confirm ho chuka hai, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

Chalo hum USD/JPY currency pair ke H4 time frame chart ka tajziya karte hain. USD/JPY currency pair ne week ka end 146.01 ke upar close kiya, jo bulls ke liye thodi si advantage ko dikhata hai. Lekin, overall trend ab bhi downward hi hai. Jo log buy karne ka soch rahe hain unke liye ehtiyat zaroori hai, aur ek strict stop-loss strategy ki zaroorat hai. Agar price 153 ke aas paas pohanchti hai, to bina stop-loss ke sell karna ek option ho sakta hai, lekin ye sab speculative hai. Japan Bank ki policy mein mumkin tabdeeliyan aur aanay wali Federal Reserve meeting ke natayij bhi ahmiyat rakhte hain jo agle steps ko decide karne mein madad karenge. Long-term upward trend ke bawajood, is waqt buy karna pasandida option nahi lagta. Iske bajaye, selling zyada appealing strategy lagti hai. Price shayad triangle pattern ke andar fluctuate karegi jab tak market agle hafte US labor market data ka intezar kar rahi hai, jo ke Fed ke future rate decision ko significantly influence karega.


USD/JPY ki current price movement pehle ke downward trend ke khatam hone ko suggest kar sakti hai, halan ke yeh complete nahi ho sakti, aur pehle ke downward price range ki taraf ek upward correction ka aghaz bhi ho sakta hai. Filhal, yeh conclusions dena thoda jaldi hoga, isliye Tuesday ko asset ke daily price close ko observe karna bohot zaroori hoga. Agar upward correction confirm hoti hai, to mein expect karta hoon ke USD/JPY pair ki growth pehle ke support level 151.94 se zyada nahi hogi. Kal, USD/JPY ne apna rise continue rakha, aur prices ne 145.01 ke critical level ko significantly exceed kar diya. Trading week ka end local resistance 146.26 ke qareeb hua. Yeh hai USD/JPY trading pair ka current scenario.

USD/JPY Price Forecast

Chart mein aap USD/JPY exchange rate dekh sakte hain. Jab trades dekhte hain, mein hamesha recommend karta hoon ke hourly charts dekhein jo major timeframes ke trend ke sath aligned hon. Aaj ke din Asia mein, Tokyo CPI ka inflation report Japan se 2.6% par aaya hai. Yeh forecasted 2.4% se zyada hai, jo bears ke haq mein hai, kyun ke yeh Bank of Japan ke liye ek aur rate hike ka rasta banata hai saal ke khatam hone se pehle, magar aaj ke technique ke sath aapko zyada ehtiyaat karni chahiye. Iska sabab yeh hai ke price ne daily trend line ke upar se neeche girne ka imkaan hai, aur yeh sab us waqt ho raha hai jab is haftay ki shayad sabse important khabar USA mein personal consumption hai. Yeh inflation report rasta tay karegi, aur bohat se logon ne meri tarah, trend line se pair ko becha hai, lekin ab yeh threat mein hai, magar sab kuch data par depend karta hai.




Abhi tak, mere nazar mein, 143.85-141.20 ka support zone acha kaam kar raha hai aur southern movement ko rok raha hai, is liye mein yeh nahi keh sakta ke mera plan kaam kar sakta hai aur hum dheere dheere 151.84 ke qareeb barh sakte hain. Beshak, mein 100% expect nahi karta ke bull yeh 650 points tak upar uth sakta hai, magar mein kisi bhi surat mein waqtaan fa waqtaan dekhta rahoon ga, kyun ke mere khayal mein yeh ek behtareen moka hai sale mein dakhil hone ke liye, aur yeh moka chorna afsosnak hoga. Is liye agar USD/JPY ki price 145.20 se zyada mehngi hoti hai, aur hum resistance level 146.00 se upar jaate hain, to northern trend ke targets 149.40 honge. USD/JPY bechnay ke liye, humare paas wahi scenario hai. Magar iske liye aapko asset 143.36 ke neechay laana hoga. Is level ko paar karna local minimum 141.65 ko achieve karne ki nishani hogi.