USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.
Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hothain

Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai

H1 chart ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jo ke 1 September 2024 ko dikhaya gaya hai, USDJPY 146.548 ke level tak pohch gaya hai, jo ke 143.000 ke area mein support se aik bara izafa darshata hai. MACD strong bullish momentum show kar raha hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke upar hai aur histogram mein izafa barqarar hai. RSI bhi overbought level ke qareeb hai, jo ke lagbhag 79.77 par hai, is se short-term correction ka ishara milta hai, magar overall trend ab bhi bullish hi hai. MA100 aur MA200 lines current price ke neeche hain, jo ke medium-term momentum ko mazeed price increase ke liye support de rahi hain.

**Daily Trading Ideas**

Strong bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, aaj ki trading strategy buying opportunities par focus karti hai. Traders 145.80 ke minor support level ke qareeb buy position open karne par ghor kar sakte hain, jiska price target 147.00 ke agle resistance area tak ho sakta hai. Stop loss 145.00 ke level ke neeche rakh sakte hain taake reversal ki surat mein risk minimize kiya ja sake. Dosri taraf, agar price mein tezi se girawat aati hai aur yeh 143,000 ke main support level ko tor deti hai, to sell ka mauqa bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai, jiska target 141,500 ke level tak ho sakta hai.

Flexible aur disciplined approach se risk management ko follow karna bohot zaroori hai, khaaskar is hafte ke doran jab important US economic data release hone wala hai, jisse volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai.

Aaj subah USDJPY ne foran se aik nayi height banaayi, uske baad price dobara gir gaya. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh girawat aik correction thi taake buy setup cycle H1 intraday basis par mukammal ho sake. Is liye M15 chart par price Blue EMA50 ke qareeb aa gaya hai jo ke buy zone hai, to scalpers jaldi se buy positions open kar sakte hain taake valuable momentum miss na ho. H4 time frame ke mutabiq, abhi jo condition hai usne Purple EMA100 line ko reject kiya hai, is liye prospective buyers ko H1 basis par breakout sell candlestick ke zahoor se hoshyar rehna chahiye jo ke USDJPY pair mein aik bari girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, sellers abhi resistance level 146.61 par sell speculation kar sakte hain, kyun ke pichle closing candle ne wahan ek lambi upper wick banayi thi, is liye yeh chances hain ke market waisi hi pattern phir se banaye. Magar, loss ko limit karne ke liye 146.61 ke upar stop loss rakhna chahiye taake price ke mazeed ooper jump karne se bach sake. Halaanke, aaj raat US market band hone ki wajah se USDJPY ki movement bhi limited reh sakti hai, is liye mai personally thin profits ka aim rakhunga, kyun ke mahine ke shuruat mein market aksar baghair kisi clear direction ke move karta hai.

Friday ko US Dollar (USD) thoda flat ya narm trade kar raha hai kyunki European Central Bank (ECB) ke Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel ke comments ne European trading ko hawkish undertone de diya. Halankeh Eurozone ke recent figures disinflation ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, Schnabel ne kaha ke ECB ke paas kuch consecutive rate cuts ka scenario nahi hai kyunki ECB ko ehtiyaat barqarar rakhni hogi. Isne Euro (EUR) ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein thoda boost diya. Phir bhi, US Dollar kuch aur currencies ke muqablay mein sirf thoda narm trade ho raha hai kyunki traders aakhri aham economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hoga. Early Asian trading mein, Chinese offshore Yuan ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein June 2023 ke baad sabse mazboot level tak pohnch gaya, USD/CNH mein 7.0710 tak.
12:30 GMT ko Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ke July ke numbers release honge:
Headline PCE ke 0.2% tak thoda strong aane ki umeed hai, jo June ke 0.1% ke izafe se zyada hai. Saal ke hisaab se component bhi 2.6% tak barhne ka tajwez hai, jo ke 2.5% se zyada hai.

Yeh main economic data point core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index hoga, jo US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka favorite inflation gauge hai. Zyada tar analysts ek aur soft number ki umeed kar rahe hain, aur PCE component jo Thursday ko US Gross Domestic Product release ke saath tha, downwardly revised kiya gaya tha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke doosre quarter mein price pressures pehle se zyada halki thi.

USD/JPY 4-hour Chart par sideway movement mein **** hua hai jo short-term trend ko analyze karta hai. Isay ya to upar ya niche break karna hoga directionality confirm karne ke liye

Tuesday ko, spot price 0.40% se zyada neeche trade kar raha hai, jo July 10 ko pohanchne waale peak levels se bearish trend reversal ko continue kar raha hai. Currency pair, jo abhi 143.96 ke aas paas hai, yeh dikhata hai ke short-term aur shayad medium-term trends bearish outlook ki taraf shift ho gaye hain. Jaise ke maqaula hai, "the trend is your friend," abhi ke liye odds downward movement ko in time frames mein continue karne ko favor karte hain. USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Reuters ke mutabiq, ruling party ke senior official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) se kaha hai ke woh monetary policy ko normalize karne ke liye gradual interest rate hikes ke plans ke hawalay se zyada wazeh communication dein. Wazir-e-Azam Fumio Kishida ne bhi is raye ko support kiya, aur yeh kaha ke aisa step Japan ki growth-driven economy ki taraf shift ko support karega. Lekin, recent economic data mixed picture pesh karta hai. Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI July mein 49.2 par aa gaya, jo ke June ke 50.0 se neeche hai, aur market expectations se bhi miss karta hai, jo April ke baad pehli dafa factory activity mein decline ko zahir karta hai. Iske baraks, Services PMI 49.4 se barh kar 53.9 ho gaya, jo April ke baad service sector mein sab se tez growth hai.

Economic landscape ko mazeed complicate karte hue, Japanese Cabinet Office ne July ke liye apni economic assessment ko barqarar rakha lekin apni mahana report mein ehtiyat se bharpoor outlook diya. Hukumat ne exports ki evaluation ko bhi downgrade kiya, jo stagnation ko note kar raha tha. Japan Corporate Service Price Index (CSPI) mein June mein saal dar saal 3.0% ka izafa hua, jo pehle 2.7% tha, aur yeh over nine years mein sab se tez inflation ki raftar ko zahir karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technically, agar 50-week Simple Moving Average ke neeche breach hota hai aur lagbhag 143.50 par major uptrend line ke neeche ek faislay karnay wala break hota hai, to yeh long-term trend mein reversal ka signal dega. Aisa move possible downside targets ko 141.61 ke aas paas khol sakta hai, aur mazeed support 136.88 par milega. Iske baraks, USD/JPY buyers ke liye zaroori hoga ke woh pair ko wapas 146.00 level ke upar push karein aur prices ko Kumo cloud ke upar sustain karein.

USD/JPY H4 chart

Aaj forum ke doston aur admin moderators ko salaam! Umeed hai ke aap sab khair makdam aur sehatmand hain, aur aap aaj ke maqasad ko pur-josh aur behtar hasil ke liye pur-umeed hain. Aaj Thursday hai, aur aaj aapko trading plan ka faida uthane ka zyada mauqa milega. USD/JPY ka movement kal kaafi volatile raha. Kal ke trading session mein strong bullish trend ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne 20 saal ka pehla high 148.25 ko break kiya aur ab psychological level 147.00 se upar pahuncha. Kal ki range lagbhag 150 pips thi, jismein 146.90 highest price aur 148.90 lowest price thi.

Isliye, main tajwez karta hoon ke aap is currency pair ke sath chhoti lot sizes ke saath trading karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation tezi se adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, uske baad ek rise jo 147.103 resistance ko break kiya. Is breakout ne 151.644 resistance level ka buy signal generate kiya. Lekin yeh signal misleading tha, kyunki price is level ke neeche gir gayi Friday ko. False breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal aaya, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ki taraf tha, aur price is target ko pahuncha. Baad mein, price is level par retrace hui Tuesday ko, phir se upar movement ki koshish ki, lekin phir se neeche gir gayi. Breakout confirm ho gaya, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance hai.

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke beech ke exchange rate par nazar hai. Jabki USD/JPY rate apne recent high se gir gaya hai, recovery modest rahi hai, aur upward correction kaafi significant nahi lagti. Market har waqt speaker ke views ke saath align nahi hoti, lekin bearish trend ka imkaan lagta hai. Agle hafte ya do hafte mein agar price 150.01 level ko surpass kar jaye, to upward trajectory ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Broader financial landscape mein, US dollar ka thoda strengthening faida mand ho sakta hai. Fibonacci grid ka trading strategy ke mutabiq, price ka 156.65 tak increase hona aur phir 132.46 tak decline hona ek logical expectation hai.

Hamari guftagu iss waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai

USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing price assessment ka mutalia kar rahe hain. Agar hum current USD/JPY chart ko dekhein, toh pichle Friday ki movement yeh dikhati hai ke price 147.63 level se gir kar accumulation zone 146.61 tak aa gayi. Yeh shift suggest karta hai ke price ko 147.63 ke upar push karne mein zyada interest nahi hai. Agar yeh situation barqarar rehti hai, toh market khulte hi ek bearish trajectory shuru ho sakti hai. Agar price 147.63 ke upar rise aur consolidate karne mein naakaam rehti hai, toh initial move shayad 145.18 ke qareeb accumulation zone ko target kare.
Agar price 145.18 tak pohonchti hai aur phir 145.86 tak wapas upar jaane ki koshish karti hai lekin aage barhne mein naakaam rehti hai, toh hum shayad 143.29 par protected zone ke upper boundary ki taraf ek sharp drop dekhne ko mile. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, toh 143.29 se ek significant rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko 158.57 ke qareeb ek accumulation area tak le ja sakta hai

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair kaafi overbought rahi hai. Yeh logical lagta hai ke selling start ki jaye, lekin price phir bhi barhti ja rahi hai. Is situation se yeh uncertainty paida hoti hai ke best course of action kya hona chahiye. Agar intra-week trading speculation par focus kiya jaye, jo aam tor par paanch trading days par mushtamil hoti hai, toh yeh samajh aata hai ke USD/JPY ne is hafta 144.15 se apni active journey start ki hai. Sabse highest level 147.93 achieve hua, jo ke 148.00 mark se thoda kam tha.

Agar next week situation aise hi rehti hai, aur 147.01 break ho jata hai (ideally ek position uske upar establish ho jati hai), toh yeh further growth ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke naye local highs tak le ja sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, decline ke signs tab samne aa sakte hain jab price 145.38 se

Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai. Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.
USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha

۔ Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta h

H1 Chart Analysis:

1 September 2024 ko H1 chart ke mutabiq, USDJPY ne 146.548 level ko chhooliya hai, jo ke 143.000 ke support area se aik significant increase ko record karta hai. MACD strong bullish momentum show kar raha hai, jahan MACD line signal line se upar hai aur histogram bhi izafa dikhata hai. RSI bhi overbought level ke qareeb hai, takriban 79.77, jo ke short-term correction ki indication hai, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bullish hai. MA100 aur MA200 lines abhi bhi current price ke neeche hain, jo ke medium-term momentum ko mazeed price increase ke liye support karti hain.

Daily Trading Ideas:

Strong bullish momentum ko dekhte hue, aaj ki trading strategy buying opportunities par focus karti hai. Traders minor support level 145.80 ke qareeb buy position kholne par ghor kar sakte hain, jahan se price ka agla target 147.00 ke resistance area tak ho sakta hai. Stop loss 145.00 ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai taake reversal ki surat mein risks ko minimize kiya ja sake. Dusri taraf, agar price main support level 143,000 se niche toot jata hai, to sell ki opportunity par bhi ghor kiya ja sakta hai, jahan target 141,500 level tak ho sakta hai.

Risk management mein ek flexible aur disciplined approach rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab ke is haftay important US economic data release hone ki wajah se volatility mein izafa ho sakta hai.

Intraday Analysis:

Aaj subah USDJPY ne foran aik naya higher banaya, uske baad price dobara ghat gayi. Yeh drop aik correction hai jise buy setup cycle ko complete karne ke liye H1 intraday basis par dekha ja sakta hai. M15 chart par price abhi Blue EMA50 ke qareeb hai jo buy zone hai, to scalpers ko jald buy positions khol leni chahiye taa ke valuable momentum se faida uthaya ja sake. H4 time frame ke mutabiq, current condition ne abhi abhi Purple EMA100 line ko reject kiya hai, isliye prospective buyers ko H1 basis par breakout sell candlestick ke emergence se hoshiyaar rehna chahiye jo ke USDJPY pair ki girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai.




Iske baraks, sellers abhi ke liye resistance 146.61 par sell speculations kar sakte hain, kyun ke pichli closing candle ne wahan aik lambi upper wick banayi thi, isliye bohot zyada chance hai ke market wahi pattern phir se banaye. Lekin, 146.61 ke upar losses ko limit karna chahiye taa ke price mazeed upar jump karne se bacha ja sake. Aaj raat US market band hone ki wajah se mujhe lagta hai ke USDJPY ki movement bhi limited rahegi, isliye main personally patle munafay ko aim karunga, kyun ke mahine ke shuru mein market aksar baghair kisi clear direction ke move karta hai.

USD Aur Japanese Yen Ke Darmiyan Is Hafte Ka Maamla

Is hafte US dollar Japanese yen ke muqablay mein stable raha, aur ¥145 ke qareeb range mein trading karta raha. Yeh stabilization aik significant trend line ke aas paas ho rahi hai jo is area ko charts par ehmiyat deti hai. Agar market recover karke ¥147.50 level se upar break karta hai, to yeh recovery ka aaghaz ho sakta hai. Yeh baat dihan mein rakhne wali hai ke market pehle hi neeche ki taraf bohat zyada chal gaya tha, to in levels se bounce hona itna hairan kun nahi hoga.

Taqreeban aik maheena pehle, weekly chart par aik hammer candle bani thi, jo aam tor par aik bullish signal hoti hai aur yeh suggest karti hai ke buyers price ko support kar rahe hain. Is formation ke baad se market hold kar raha hai, na to koi significant position gain ho rahi hai aur na hi lose. Agar haali surate haal mein koi badi tabdeeli nahi aati, to achi chance hai ke hum aik rally dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar price ¥142 level se niche break karta hai, to yeh aik gehri girawat ki taraf ishara karega, jahan ek aur major support level ¥138 ke aas paas hai.

Bank of Japan ki monetary policy ki restrictions bhi is scenario mein aik aham kirdar ada karti hain. Japan ko chand aham maashi challenges ka saamna hai jo ke central bank ki ability ko aggressively monetary policy ko tighten karne se rokta hai. Yeh restriction dollar ke muqablay mein yen ke zyada mazboot hone ko rok sakta hai, is tarah dollar ki recovery ke imkanaat ko support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, jo traders is pair ko hold kar rahe hain, wo interest kama rahe hain, jo long positions hold karne ke liye mazeed incentives faraham karta hai.




Khitma

Yeh kehte hue, ke USD/JPY pair abhi bhi consolidation ke haalat mein hai, upar ki taraf reversal ka potential wazeh hai agar key resistance levels ko breach kiya jaye. Dusri taraf, critical support ke niche break hone se ek badi girawat ho sakti hai. Market abhi ek moharay par hai aur dono scenarios abhi bhi mumkin hain.

USD/JPY Karansi Pair Chart Ka Tajziya: H4 Time Frame

Aao USD/JPY karansi pair ke chart ka H4 time frame ke mutabiq tajziya karte hain. USD/JPY ne hafta 146.01 ke upar close kiya, jo bulls ke liye thora faida dikhata hai. Lekin, overall trend abhi bhi downward hai. Jo log buying par ghor kar rahe hain, unke liye ehtiyat zaroori hai, aur strict stop-loss strategy istemal karne ki salahiyat di jati hai. Agar price 153 ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to bina stop-loss ke sell karna aik option ho sakta hai, lekin yeh abhi bhi speculative hai. Bank of Japan ki policy mein mumkin tabdeeliyan aur Federal Reserve ke aane wale meeting bhi maarkay ke agle moves ko tay karne mein ahm kirdar ada karenge. Lambe muddat ke upward trend ko dekhte hue, filhaal buying ziada behtar option nahi lagti. Iske bajaye, selling ziada appealing strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price triangle pattern ke andar fluctuate kare, jab tak ke agle hafta ke critical US labor market data ka intizar kiya jaye, jo ke Fed ke future rate decision ko behtareen tareeqe se influence karega.





Maujooda Soorat-e-Haal:

USD/JPY ki maujooda price movement pichlay downward trend ke ikhtitaam ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai, lekin yeh abhi mukammal nahi ho sakti, aur pehle ke downward price range ki taraf aik upward correction ke aaghaz ka sabab ban sakti hai. Yeh abhi filhaal koi final nateeja nikalne ke liye jaldi hai, isliye Tuesday ke din ke khatma par asset ki daily price ko observe karna zaroori hoga. Agar upward correction ki tasdeeq hoti hai, to mujhe tawakko hai ke USD/JPY pair ka izafa 151.94 ke pichlay support level se ziada nahi hoga. Kal, USD/JPY ne apni growth jari rakhi, aur prices ne 145.01 ke critical level ko kaafi exceed kiya. Trading hafta ka ikhtitaam local resistance 146.26 ke qareeb hua. Yeh hai USD/JPY trading pair ka maujooda scenario.

USD/JPY Pair Ka Technical Analysis

Muzaz ladies aur gentlemen, izzat maab business community ko mera salam. US dollar mein girawat ki wajah forecast ke mutabiq picture aur pichlay kaam ke hafta ke daily local low ke update hone ki wajah se hui, jahan price 144.35 par settle hui. Market prices ke is tarah ke trend se yeh imkaan hota hai ke jald hi support zone tak pohonch jaye, jo ke Bollinger indicator ki lower sliding line ke darmiyan hota hai, daily, hourly period par 141.79 par, jahan humare paas aik trader geometric figure "double bottom" hai. Yeh market mein tabdeeli aur mazeed prices mein izafay ka sabab ban sakta hai. Bilkul, yeh instrument Bollinger indicator ke low price position par hai, jo ke downward southern trend ko jari rakhne ke bare mein ghor karne ka faida deta hai, lekin karansi pair mein kaafi volatility hai. Corrected hai, aur is par tawajjuh dena worth hai.

Mojooda pattern ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ki movement ke mazeed izafa jari rakhne ki potential hai, jahan 148.00 ka psychological level future trades ke liye honsakta hai. Daily time frame pattern ke mutabiq, price mein pehle correction ki potential hai kyunke stochastic aur RSI filhal overbought hain. Aage chal kar, H4 time frame par bhi stochastic aur RSI ne over saturation aur pehli technical correction ki potential ko indicate kiya hai. Iske nateejay mein, bullish trend abhi bhi kaafi strong hai, EMA 7 time frame H1 aur EMA 7 time frame H4 mazeed nazdeek support rehne ki potential rakhte hain aur re-entry buyback areas ke taur par istamaal kiye jaa sakte hain unke strong bullish trend ki wajah se. Aane wale waqt mein USD/JPY ke liye aage ki trading options ke liye, buy option abhi bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main salah deta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhote lot sizes ke saath trade kiya jaye aur stop orders lagaye jaye taa ke mumkin nuksan ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunke surat-e-haal tez taur par kharab ho sakti hai.




Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par girawat dekhi, jis ke baad ek izafa hua jis ne 147.103 resistance ko tor diya. Is breakout ne aik buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin, yeh signal ghalat sabit hua, jab price ne is level se niche girawat dikhlayi juma ke din. Yeh false breakout us waqt hua jab price ne upar se is resistance ko tod diya. Pirshein, Monday ke din ek naya buy signal ubar kar aaya, jo dobara 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohonch gayi. Uske baad, Tuesday ko yeh level par wapis aayi, ek aur upward movement ki koshish ki, lekin phir se toote hue level par gir gayi. Breakout ki tasdeeq ho gayi, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai.

USD/JPY Ki Price Samajh

Aaj humari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY karansi pair ki price action ka tajziya hoga. USD/JPY karansi pair ne trading hafta ko aik upward momentum ke saath close kiya, aur yeh 146.23 ke qareeb khatam hua. Yeh pair abhi bhi growth trajectory mein hai, jo ke moving averages se support hota hai jo ek bullish trend ko signal karte hain. Price ne 145.01 mark ko cross kar liya hai, jo ke key resistance levels ke tor karne ko dikhata hai, aur yeh US dollar ke liye intense buying pressure aur mazeed upar ki taraf movement ki nishandahi karta hai. Hum tawakku karte hain ke aane wale hafta mein prices ko aur bhi upar dhakelne ki koshish ki jayegi, aur resistance level 147.51 ke qareeb test kiya jayega. Ek pullback ho sakta hai, jiss se pair ki rate 145.99 ki taraf kam ho sakti hai. Dusri surat mein, pair hafta ke shuru mein 146.01 ke consolidation zone mein wapis aa sakta hai.




H4 Chart Analysis

H4 chart par, USD/JPY pair 151 mark se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai, lekin Friday ke session ne isko Ichimoku Cloud indicator ko breach karne mein madad ki, jo ek bullish engulfing pattern ko indicate karta hai aur ongoing upward trend ko dikhata hai. Is ke bawajood, price abhi bhi Ichimoku Cloud ki upper boundary ke qareeb hai aur abhi tak itminan baksh tor par break nahi kiya, halaanke karansi pair ke growth target ke mutabiq is phase mein 147.93 resistance ki taraf ek potential rise dikhayi deti hai. Wahan se aik reversal ho sakta hai, jiss se price taqriban 141.81 tak niche ja sakti hai. Chart mein abhi bhi bears aur bulls ke darmiyan larayi chal rahi hai jahan bulls price ko Ichimoku Cloud ke upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin, abhi tak koi wazeh direction nahi hai, aur price thori bahut cloud ke upar aur neeche fluctuate kar rahi hai. H4 chart par CCI indicator suggest karta hai ke buying activity apne peak par hai aur ab neeche ki taraf mudna shuru ho gayi hai, jo ke chart par bhi nazar aata hai jahan closing price thoda lower edge par hai Ichimoku Cloud ki upper boundary se.