usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Japanese yen ne last trading week mai apni position ko kuch mazid behtar kiya, aur kuch losses ko recover karne mai kamiyabi hasil ki, magar yeh minor decline ke bawajood hai. Price ne 147.45 level se rebound kiya aur 143.53 level tak pohanch gayi, jahan usko support mila, jisne iski decline ko mazid barhnay se roknay mai madad di. Abhi tak expected downward scenario puri tarah reverse nahi hua, aur yeh trend abhi tak continue hai. Price chart supertrend red zone mai hai, jo sellers ke taraf se increasing pressure ka izhar karta hai.
USD/JPY pair ne apni direct correlation US Treasury bonds ke yield ke sath tor di hai, jo ke dollar ki decline ke bawajood hui hai, jo Federal Reserve meeting ke results aur Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Forum mai speech ke baad dekhi gayi. Pair ne 144.51 ke close ke baad 143.93 tak girawat dekhi. Tuesday ko pair ne high of 145.17 se low of 143.91 tak ka safar kiya. Dollar Wall Street par lower close hua, jo losing streak ke continuation ka nateeja tha, jo last week ke aakhri din aur Federal Reserve meeting ke baad shuru hui thi. Prices abhi slightly lower hai, aur recently reached weekly lows ke qareeb hai. Main resistance zone test hui thi magar yeh downward price reversal ko rokne mai kamiyab rahi, jis se downside vector abhi bhi priority mai hai. Agar price 145.81 level ke niche consolidate kar leti hai, jo central resistance zone ke qareeb hai, to yeh decline ka rasta clear karegi. Retest ke baad downward reversal ka scenario aik nayi wave ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo 140.80 aur 137.72 ke darmiyan target kar sakti hai. Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 149.19 reversal level ko tor deti hai, to yeh

US dollar abhi Japanese yen ke khilaf ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, aur 145 yen mark ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo ek ahem psychological level hai. Yeh area kaafi significant hai aur mumkin hai ke yeh currency pair kuch waqt ke liye is consolidation zone mein hi rahe. Agar dollar 145 yen ke level ke upar break karta hai, to yeh 148.50 yen ke level tak ja sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, agar dollar 143 yen ke level se neeche girta hai, to market phir 140 yen ke level ko target kar sakta hai. Is pair ki harakat ka bohot zyada asar aanay wali Core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data par hoga, jo market par significant impact daal sakta hai. Jab tak yeh data Friday ko release nahi hota, hum limited activity ki tawakku kar sakte hain, shayad halki si bounce ho lekin kuch zyada dramatic nahi hoga.

Market mein haal mein kaafi zyada volatility dekhne ko mil rahi hai aur yeh trend shayad barqarar rahe. Bank of Japan shayad thora sa interest rate badha de, shayad 10 basis points tak, lekin Tokyo se monetary tightening ka sab se significant phase ab guzar chuka lagta hai. Ab tawajju wapas US central bank aur uski policy decisions par shift ho rahi hai.

Is context mein, market mein choppy aur indecisive trading dekhne ko mil sakti hai jisme koi clear direction nahi hogi jab tak economic data naye insights provide nahi karta. Traders ko yeh current noise aur volatility continue hone ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, kyun ke dollar-yen pair is uncertain environment mein move kar raha hai. Chahe market upar break kare ya neeche, 145, 143, aur 140 yen ke key levels decide karenge ke agla significant move kya hoga.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin,

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai. Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja sakti hai

Spot Price Aur Economic Outlook: Japan Aur US Ki Economic Strength

Spot price ne Thursday ko US trading session mein buyers se dobara interest dekha aur 145.55 ke region tak chala gaya. Yeh uptick repositioning trades ke beech mein aya, jab market is hafte ke significant central bank events ke liye tayaar ho raha hai. Is rebound ke bawajood, jori ne Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) ko breach karne ke baad downward bias shift kiya hai, lekin yeh abhi tak recent cycle low 141.70 tak nahi pohncha hai.

Economic Outlook: Japan’s Recovery Aur US Economic Strength

BlackRock Investment Institute ne apne mid-year outlook mein highlight kiya ke Japan ki economic recovery aur barhti inflation ne uske equity market ko ek key conviction bana diya hai. Firm ka prediction hai ke Bank of Japan apni upcoming meeting mein interest rates nahi barhaye ga. Wahi, US mein economic indicators robust performance show kar rahe hain: S&P Global US Services PMI July mein 56.0 tak surge hua, jo ke 28 mahine mein sab se zyada hai, June ke 55.3 se upar aur market expectations se bhi zyada. Iske ilawa, Composite PMI 54.8 se barh kar 55.0 tak pohncha, jo sustained growth aur April 2022 ke baad ka highest reading dikhata hai.

USD/JPY Technical Levels: Key Resistance Aur Support Points

USD/JPY jori ko shayad 149.37 ke "throwback support turned resistance" level ke aas paas resistance ka samna karna pade. Aage aur resistance 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 151.11 par aur ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 153.20 par dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price descending channel ke lower boundary ke neeche 143.00 ke aas paas girti hai, toh yeh jori ko downward pressure mein daal sakta hai, aur yeh 141.70 ke low tak wapas le ja sakta hai, jahan additional support psychological level 141.00 par mil sakta hai.

**Bearish Momentum Aur Buyers Ki Control**

Bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, sellers ko price ko 143.00 ke neeche push karna hoga. Agar yeh successful hota hai, toh agla support level 141.94 ke low hoga, uske baad 141.00 mark aayega. Dusri taraf, agar buyers ko control wapas hasil karna hai, toh unhein jori ko 146.00 level ke upar push karna padega taake Kumo ko clear kiya ja sake. Filhaal ke momentum indicators bearish sentiment ko suggest kar rahe hain, jahan Commodity Channel Index (CCI) oversold conditions aur flatlined trend ko reflect kar raha hai.

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai. Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential

shuru hua, jo ke dollar kharidne ke liye theek entry point ko confirm karta hai. Natijatan, pair lagbhag target level 144.92 tak badh gaya, jis se traders ko takreeban 40 pips ka munafa hasil ho saka. Scenario no. 2 ke mutabiq, 144.92 par rebound par foran sailing karke mazeed 20 pips ka munafa hasil hua. Aaj Japan ke consumer confidence indicator ke data release hua jo maashiyaatdaan ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho. Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho . Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, utsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah

**USD/JPY Price Move**

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ke real-time evaluation par markaz hai. Filhal, USD/JPY chart ek bullish pattern bana raha hai jo is currency pair ki price ko significant higher le ja sakta hai. Ek recent downward move ke baad, jo 143.75 par protected zone ke upper boundary ko test kiya, price ne mazboot rebound kiya aur north ki taraf chalne lagi. Aaj ke U.S. session ke doran, pair ka bullish momentum zahir hua jab price 144.39 ke accumulation area tak gir gayi aur phir apni upward journey continue ki.

Agar price ab wapas nahi girti aur 144.39 ke accumulation level ke neeche consolidate nahi hoti, to USD/JPY ke liye bullish scenario ko momentum mil sakta hai. Yeh pair ko north ki taraf 146.05 ke aas paas le ja sakta hai, jahan significant volumes accumulate hue hain. Is waqt ek bearish price action setup bhi hai.

Kuch dinon se, USD/JPY 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur price is mark se break nahi kar pa rahi. Is wajah se, market shayad kisi catalyst, jaise ke news, ka intezaar kar raha hai jo chart par ek significant move ko prompt kar sake. Kal U.S. GDP data ki release is current level se shift hone ke liye zaroori impetus provide kar sakti hai.

Agar price girti hai, to mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh previous low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upar ki taraf move karti hai, to mujhe bullish direction mein breakout ki ummeed hai, jahan 145.00 ke level ke upar consolidation se local maximum 149.38 ki taraf further gains ho sakte hain. Warna, market ko currently side lines par rehkar entry avoid karna prudent ho sakta hai taake potential losses se bacha ja sake.

Aaj Japan ke consumer confidence indicator ke data release hua jo maashiyaatdaan ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 144.47 aur 143.76 tak

Hamari analysis ka maqsad abhi ke USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing behavior ka jaiza lena hai. USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ke girawat ke baad, pair ne upar ki taraf correction ki koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch ground wapas hasil kiya aur 144.53 ke resistance level tak pohonch gaye. Is point se sell positions kholna munasib hoga, aur 140-141 ke range tak mazeed girawat ka target rakha ja sakta hai. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance ke upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery jari reh sakti hai, jiska agla target 146.38 ke resistance par hoga.

Hourly chart par ek ascending channel nazar aa raha hai jo flag ki tarah lagta hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, H4 chart par pair descending channel mein hai, aur us ne apne lower boundary se bounce back kiya hai. Agar price 144.49 ko break karta hai, toh buying ka socha ja sakta hai, jiska target 145.69 ho sakta hai.

Isi dauran, kuch signs hain jo market ke recent low 141.70 ke breakdown ke liye tayyari ka ishara karte hain. 4-hour chart par, bears ne downtrend ko poori tarah se resume karne ki koshish ki hai. Price 143.43 ke support level se zara upar hai, jo last significant support 141.70 ke upar hai. Ye level bearish traders ke liye ek key target ho sakta hai. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair aur zyada bearish ho sakta hai. Lekin, Bank of Japan USD/JPY pair mein kisi significant drop ko allow nahi karega. Unhone pehle hi potential currency interventions ka ishara diya hai agar yen ki value mein zyada fluctuations hoti hain, jo yen ko kamzor kar sakti hai agar yeh zyada strong ho jata hai. Isliye, 129 ka target realistic nahi lagta, kyunke Bank of Japan 139 level ke aas paas intervene kar sakta hai aur apni currency ko kamzor karne ke liye billions of yen inject kar sakta hai.

Aaj Japan ke consumer confidence indicator ke data release hua jo maashiyaatdaan ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 144.47 aur 143.76 tak

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni
strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar

ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko ba

hawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h

Tuesday ko, spot price 0.40% se zyada kam trading ho rahi hai, jo ke July 10 ko pohnche huye peak levels se bearish trend reversal ko continue kar rahi hai. Currency pair, ab 143.96 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke short-term aur shayad medium-term trends bearish outlook ko shift kar chuki hain. Adage ke mutabiq, "the trend is your friend," is waqt downward movement ke continuation ke chances zyada hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Reuters ke mutabiq, senior ruling party official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko monetary policy normalize karne ke plans ko clear communicate karne ki guzarish ki hai, jisme gradual interest rate hikes shamil hain. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne is sentiment ko echo kiya, yeh suggest karte hue ke aisa move Japan ki growth-driven economy ke shift ko support karega. Lekin, recent economic data mixed picture dikhati hai. Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI July mein 49.2 tak gir gaya hai, jo ke June ke 50.0 se kam hai aur market expectations ko miss karta hai, factory activity mein April ke baad pehli dafa decline ko indicate karta hai. Iske bawajood, Services PMI 53.9 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke April ke baad se service sector mein sabse zyada growth hai.

Economic landscape ko further complicate karte hue, Japanese Cabinet Office ne July ke liye economic assessment ko maintain kiya lekin caution outlook ko apne monthly report mein diya. Government ne exports ki evaluation ko bhi downgrade kiya, stagnation ko note karte hue. Japan Corporate Service Price Index (CSPI) ne June mein saal-dar-saal 3.0% ka increase dekha, jo ke pehle ke 2.7% se zyada hai, aur yeh nine saal mein sabse tez inflation ki raftar ko indicate karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical taur par, agar 50-week Simple Moving Average ke neeche aur major uptrend line jo ke 143.50 ke aas-paas hai ke neeche breach hota hai to yeh long-term trend ke reversal ka signal hoga. Aise mein potential downside targets 141.61 ke aas-paas honge, aur further support 136.88 par hoga. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY buyers ko control wapas chahiye to unhein pair ko 146.00 level ke upar push karna hoga aur Kumo cloud ke upar sustain karna hoga.