USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY: Bullish Potential and Market Dynamics

USD/JPY pair ab aise nishaan dikhata hai ke buyers agle waqt mein dominate kar sakte hain. Jabke buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi significant influence rakhte hain aur apne control ko asaani se nahi chhodenge.

Current Market Dynamics

Is waqt, buyers struggle kar rahe hain lekin persist kar rahe hain, jo ke near future mein bullish shift ka ishaara hai. Agar current conditions waisa hi rahengi, to prices ke barhne ki strong likelihood hai. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye market ke direction ko determine karne mein important role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact bullish trend confirm karne mein key hoga.

Key Considerations for Traders

- Buyer Persistence: Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Ye persistence is baat ki indication hai ke agar conditions favorable rahengi, to higher prices ki taraf shift ho sakti hai.
- Seller Influence: Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki price action control ki ability ko aane wale economic data se test kiya jayega.
- Fundamental Data: Aane wale economic releases se market par significant impact padega. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Wahi, weak data current bearish sentiment ko sustain kar sakta hai.
- Technical Correction: Agar market bullish direction ki taraf shift hoti hai, to corrections ke doran buying opportunities dekhna achha hoga. Bullish trend ke shift mein temporary dips aa sakti hain jo traders ko upward movement ka faida uthane ka mauka de sakti hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historically, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ki kami rahi hai. Current downward trend ek temporary phase lagta hai, jo ke ek "tail" banane se pehle ka phase ho sakta hai. Ye perspective is baat ke sath align karta hai ke current bearish movement shayad ek stronger upward trajectory ka precursor ho sakti hai.

Conclusion

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur aane wale fundamental data ke impact ko dekhte hue. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence daal rahe hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ka intezaar karna chahiye aur corrective phases ke doran market mein enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward trend short-term adjustment ke liye hai jo ek substantial upward movement se pehle ho sakta hai.




Economic updates par nazar rakhein aur market ke evolve hone par trading opportunities ke liye prepare rahein.

USD/JPY ke trades aur tips ka analysis

Price test 145.91 par hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se down move kiya, jisne scenario No. 1 ke liye selling ki execution ko lead kiya. Result ke tor par, pair ne 50 pips se zyada drop kiya. Jaise ki expected tha, Federal Reserve ke minutes ki release ke baad dollar par pressure badh gaya, jisne pair ko weekly low par pahunchaya.

Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen ne weak manufacturing activity ki news ke baad slightly weaken kiya, lekin Japan ke services sector mein relatively strong growth ne composite PMI ko slightly increase kiya. Yeh bhi pair ko lower push karne ke liye dollar ki apparent weakness ko continue kar raha hai, lekin abhi Jerome Powell ke tomorrow ke speech par depend karta hai, isliye current levels par short positions ke sath cautious rahein.

Intraday strategy ke liye, main Buy signals Scenario No. 1 ko follow karunga. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 145.56 par entry point par buy karunga, jo ki green line se plot kiya gaya hai, 146.13 par rise ke goal ke sath, jo ki thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 146.13 ke area mein, main long positions ko exit karunga aur short positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ke movement ko opposite direction se.






Aaj, pair ko upward correction ke hisse mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karein ki MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur usse rise kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY ko 145.06 par two consecutive tests ke case mein bhi buy karunga jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur reverse market upturn ko lead karega. Hum 145.56 aur 146.13 ke opposite levels par growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

Sell signals Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf 145.06 par testing ke baad sell karunga, jo ki red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisne pair ko rapid decline ki taraf lead kiya. Sellers ke liye key target 144.50 par hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately long positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ke movement ko opposite direction se. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi return aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market gaya nahi hai.

Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ki MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur decline kar raha hai

USD jPY

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan exchange rate par bohat zyada tawajju di gayi hai. Halanki USD/JPY rate apni recent high se gir gayi hai, magar recovery halki rahi hai aur upward correction utni mazboot nahi hui jitni ke speaker ke nazar mein honi chahiye thi. Halat yeh hai ke market hamesha speaker ke nazariye se mutabiq nahi hoti, magar bearish trend ke imkanaat lag rahe hain. Halaanki agle aik ya do hafton mein agar price 150.01 level se ooper chali jaye to yeh upward trajectory ke jari rehne ka imkaan zahir karegi. Bari financial dunya mein, US dollar ki mukhtasir mazbooti faida mand ho sakti hai. Fibonacci grid ko use karte hue ek trading strategy ke mutabiq, price ka 156.65 tak barhna aur phir 132.46 tak girna ek manteeqi umeed hogi.


Kal currency pair ne kuch selling pressure ka samna kiya. Speaker jab Monday ke liye aage ka sochenge, to wo technical indicators ka tajzia karenge taake market ki agle harkat ka andaza laga sakein, ye dekhte hue ke bearish trend barqarar rahega ya koi doosra imkaan samne aa sakta hai. Waqti signals market ke girne wali trend ko zahir kar rahe hain. Japan se Monday ko koi khaas elan ki umeed nahi hai kyunki wo ek public holiday hai.

Yeh currency pair ek range ke andar trade karne ka imkaan hai, jahan price selling pressure ki wajah se 145.46 ki support level tak gir sakti hai ya phir buying interest ki wajah se 147.91 ki resistance level tak barh sakti hai. US dollar apni value Japanese yen ke muqable mein kho raha hai kyunki bond yields mein kami ayi hai. Hal hi mein market ki volatility ke baad, traders kuch settle ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke rate na barhane wale bayan ne yen par pressure dala hai agar volatility jari rahi to. USD/JPY pair ko 145.99 se 146.79 ke range mein support hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 se neeche girti hai, to yeh mazeed downward momentum hasil kar sakti hai. Jese hi risk appetite wapas aya, USD/JPY ne apna downward trend wapas shuru kar diya. Buyers weekly high of 147.88 ko break karne mein nakam rahe, jisse pair 146.99 se neeche gir gayi. Momentum abhi tak bearish hai, halanki Relative Strength Index oversold territory ke qareeb hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 se neeche girti hai, to sellers August 8 ke low 145.43 ko challenge karenge, aur uske baad August 7 ka low 144.27 samne ayega.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis aur Short Trade Strategy

USD/JPY currency pair ke H1 (one-hour) timeframe ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke short trades shuru karna is waqt sabse behtar approach hai. Yahan kuch wajahain hain jin ki wajah se mujhe short positions relevant lagti hain:

Bearish Outlook ke Key Reasons:

- Moving Average ke Nusaar Position: Price MA200 moving average ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ka signal hai. Ye positioning market sentiment ko selling ki taraf indicate karti hai.
- Pichle Din ki Performance: Pichle trading din ke dusre hissa mein, pair opening price ke neeche trade hua aur din ko is level ke neeche close hua. Ye pattern bearish momentum ko continue karne ka ishaara deta hai.
- Bollinger Bands Analysis: Poore din ke dauran, price ne upper se lower Bollinger Band ke neeche cross kiya. Ye movement bearish sentiment ko highlight karti hai aur further decline ke high likelihood ko suggest karti hai.
- RSI Indicator: Main RSI (Relative Strength Index) ko trade signals confirm karne ke liye closely monitor karta hoon. Filhal, RSI selling ke liye favorable zone mein hai, kyunki ye overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) conditions ko indicate nahi kar raha. Ye short positions initiate karne ka idea support karta hai.

Trade Execution aur Target Setting:

- Entry Strategy: Bearish signals ko dekhte hue, main short positions enter karne ka plan bana raha hoon current technical indicators ke base par.
- Take Profit Level: Mera take profit Fibonacci level 211% par set hai, jo ke price 143.839 ke barabar hai. Ye target downward movement ke continuation ke sath align karta hai.
- Risk Management: Initial target tak pohanchne ke baad, main apne position ka kuch hissa breakeven par move kar dunga. Ye mujhe stop loss ko zyada door ke lower Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ki suvidha dega, jisse price ke decline par further gains mil sake aur reversals se protection bhi mile.




Conclusion:

Summary ke tor par, H1 timeframe par technical analysis ye suggest karti hai ke short trades current market conditions ke sath well-supported hain. Price ka MA200 ke neeche hona, pichle din ka bearish close, Bollinger Bands ka signal, aur favorable RSI reading sab shorting ke liye strong case banate hain. Take profit level 143.839 par set karne aur risk ko breakeven strategy se manage karne se is approach ka maqsad ongoing bearish trend ka faida uthana hai.

USD/JPY Ka Comprehensive Guide

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke maujooda pricing behavior ke aas paas hai jo hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ne support line ke neeche push kiya hai, Marlin oscillator ke support ke sath, jo downward trend mein hai aur negative territory mein chala gaya hai. Trend line, jo 146.59 level ke qareeb hai, pair ke value ke further decline ka potential indicate karti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne Ichimoku cloud ko upar se breach kiya hai aur iske neeche consolidate kiya hai, jo bearish trend ke shift ko confirm karta hai. Agar price 146.07 ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, to sell entry point is level ke neeche emerge hoga, jisse bears pair ko neeche drive karte rahenge, aur next target support level 144.02 hoga. Aaj ki candle daily chart par bearish hai lekin iska wick kafi neecha hai, jo downward pressure ko indicate karta hai.




USD/JPY Pair Ka Decline aur Economic Factors:

USD/JPY pair apne decline ko continue kar sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke divergent monetary policies se influenced hai. U.S. Central Bank ke interest rates ko lower karne ki umeed hai, jabke Japanese Central Bank unhe raise karne ki soch raha hai. U.S. aur Japanese bonds ke beech yield spread ke narrow hone se yen dollar ke muqablay mein strong hota hai. Aaj ke 299 points ke decline ke bawajood ke economic calendar ka sparse hone ke bawajood, main kisi bhi buying ko intraday correction ka hissa hi samajhta hoon. H4 time frame par, pair apne descending channel se bahar hai, jo 140 level tak wapas aane ke high probability ko suggest karta hai. Ek local reversal tabhi ho sakta hai jab price dobara channel mein re-enter kare aur 147.59 level ko breach kare, targeting round figure 149. Aaj bearish pressure ke tehat, USD/JPY pair 145.17 tak gir gaya, jo support level 146.07 ko break kar gaya. Price filhal is level ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai.

USD/JPY Ka Tanav: Upward Movement Aur Caution

USD/JPY currency pair mein bearish trend ka potential scenario hai, lekin is trend ke puri tarah se materialize hone se pehle, ek notable upward movement dekhi ja sakti hai. Ye potential upswing U.S. dollar ke brief strengthening se driven ho sakti hai, jo short-term mein pair ko upar push kar sakta hai. Aise movement se traders ko lag sakta hai ke bullish momentum continue karega, lekin baad mein market reverse ho sakti hai, jo anticipated decline ko lead karega.

Is situation mein traders ko caution rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki market is dauran significant volatility dikhane ki ummeed hai. Upward push sharp aur sudden ho sakti hai, jo false signals create kar sakti hai, khaaskar unke liye jo prematurely short positions enter karna chahte hain. Ye samajhna zaroori hai ke ye upward movement broader bearish outlook ko negate nahi karti, balke ye short-term factors, jaise ke U.S. se positive economic data ya investor sentiment mein brief shift, se driven ho sakti hai.

Is context mein, key levels par nazar rakhni hogi jo USD/JPY pair apne upward move ke dauran approach karega. Agar pair in levels ko break karne mein struggle kare aur exhaustion ke signs dikhaye, to ye expected downward trend ka precursor ho sakta hai. Wahi, agar pair in resistance levels ko sustain karke upar break karte hai, to bearish outlook ko reassess karna pad sakta hai, kyunki ye stronger bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Trading Strategy:

Is dauran trading karne wale traders ke liye, trend reversal ke confirmation ka intezaar karna prudent ho sakta hai. Ismein bearish signals dhoondhna shamil ho sakta hai, jaise ke bearish engulfing pattern, key support levels ke neeche break, ya momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence. Aise signals traders ko zyada confidence de sakte hain ke anticipated bearish trend temporary upward push ke baad shape le raha hai.




Summary:

Jabke broader outlook USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish hai, traders ko downward trend resume hone se pehle potential upward move ke liye prepare rehna chahiye. Ye period increased volatility aur false signals ka risk laa sakta hai, isliye market ko caution aur patience ke sath approach karna crucial hai.

USD/JPY Par Japanese Central Bank ke Recent Remarks Ka Asar

Japanese central bank ke ek representative ke recent remarks ne USD/JPY currency pair ko interest ka shikaar banaya hai. Official ne market mein zyada yen pump karne ki potential intervention ka izhaar kiya, jo ke unki pehli rate hike se contradictory lagta hai. Ye verbal intervention shayad exchange rate ko stabilize karne ki koshish hai, kyunki bank ek zyada stable yen ko prefer karta hai. Sabse critical level 146.13 hai, aur is level ke neeche break hone se further declines ho sakti hain. Currency pair ne already 184 points ka significant drop dekha hai, aur 142-143 tak continued slide ya 146 tak bounce back ki possibility hai. Trading strategy ke hawale se, jitna zyada price upar jaayegi, utni hi attractive selling opportunities banengi.

4-Hour Chart ka Analysis:

4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, shuru mein expectation thi ke certain range ke andar aur growth hogi. Lekin, pair ka us range se breakout, jo stop-loss orders ko trigger kar gaya, ne outlook ko change kar diya. Ab expectation hai ke pair upar move karta rahega, lekin highest point jo reach ho sakta hai wo 143.102 ke neeche hai.




Ye duo buy karne walon aur sell karne walon dono ki interest ko attract kar raha hai, jisse mujhe lagta hai ke shayad ye aur zyada stop-loss orders activate karne ki koshish kare. Maximum possible value jo fir se rise karne se pehle dekhne ko mil sakti hai wo 142.266 hai. Main nahi samajhta ke ye apne pehle ke low points par wapas aayega; balke mujhe lagta hai ke ye upar movement continue karega. Mera forecast 160.548 ke aas-paas hai, kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke pair ne apne stop-loss levels clear kar diye hain aur rise ke liye poised hai. Halankeh Japan ka central bank intervention kar sakta hai, main purchase karne se gurez karunga, kyunki long-term trajectory downward shift hoti nazar aa rahi hai.

Price test 147.46 par hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upward move karne laga, jo ki dollar ko buy karne ke liye correct entry point ko confirm karta hai, especially strong data ke baad excellent retail sales ki, jo ki economy aur uske growth rates mein zaroor contribute karega. Aaj Japan ke service sector activity index ki data disappointing thi, lekin market dynamics par significant impact nahi kiya, U.S. dollar buyers ke side par rakh kar.
Most likely, bulls aaj weekly high ko sell karne ki koshish karenge, lekin agar wo inactive hain, toh hum pair ke end of the week par more significant downward correction ko expect kar sakte hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 ko implement karne par zyada rely karunga.

Buy signals

Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 149.14 par entry point reach kare, jo ki green line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par, 149.75 par rise karne ke goal ke sath, jo ki thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par. 149.75 par, main long positions ko exit karunga aur short positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Aaj, pair ko upward correction ke hisse mein rise karne ki expectation hai. Important: Buying se pehle, ensure karna ki MACD indicator zero mark se above hai aur usse rise kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 148.70 ka do consecutive tests hua hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur reverse market upturn ko lead karega. Hum 149.14 aur 149.75 ke opposite levels par growth ko expect kar sakte hain.

Sell signals

Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf 148.70 ko test karne ke baad, jo ki red line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par, jo ki pair ko rapid decline kar dega. Sellers ke liye key target 148.13 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately long positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Pressure USD/JPY par kabhi bhi return kar sakta hai, especially unsuccessful correction ke case mein first half of the day mein aur daily high ko test karne mein failure. Important: Selling se pehle, ensure karna ki MACD indicator zero mark se

USD/JPY Currency Pairs Ka Market Analysis

Pehle din (19 August) ko US dollar ne 146.66 yen par close kiya, jo ke 0.62% ka girawat tha, aur 145.20 par pohnch gaya, jo ke 7 August ke baad se sabse kam hai. Market mein optimism hai ke US aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate gap aur narrow hoga, aur US dollar/JPY carry trade close hota rahega, isliye yen ne kuch adjustments ke baad ubarna shuru kiya hai.

Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda Friday ko parliamentary meeting mein shamil honge, jahan unke central bank ke interest rates ko pichle mahine barhane ke faisle par discussion karne ki umeed hai. Reuters ke 18 economists ke poll ke mutabiq, July mein Japan ki consumer inflation teesi baar lagataar barh gayi hai, jo Bank of Japan ko phir se rate hike par ghoor karne ko majboor kar sakti hai. Pichle mahine short-term rates ko 0.25% tak barhane ke baad, statistics yeh bhi dikhate hain ke 2021 se yen par short bets ab net long bets mein badal rahi hain.




Additional Insights:

Traders is hafte Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo widely expected hai ke September se rate cut ka signal denge. Dollar index bhi recently gir raha hai kyunki rate cuts ki strong expectations hain. Agar Powell Jackson Hole meeting mein rate cut ke kisi details ka izhaar nahi karte, to yen ko apne upward trend ko wapas lane mein kaafi twists aur turns ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Friday se pehle yen ke performance ko range fluctuations ke perspective se dekhna chahiye, aur short-term range mein USD/JPY ki fluctuations 145-150 ke beech focus karni chahiye.

USD/JPY Ka Tajziya Aur Tips
USD/JPY ki price ne 146.12 ka test kiya jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi neeche chala gaya tha, jo meri nazar mein pair ke neeche girne ki potential ko limit karta hai. Is liye, maine dollar nahi becha aur buying ke liye scenario No. 2 ke implementation ka intezaar kiya. Thodi dair baad, MACD ke oversold area se recovery ke dauran 146.12 par ek aur test ne dollar kharidne ke liye acha entry point diya. Lekin, chart par dekha jaye to pair nahi barha, jisse ek loss realize hua. Aaj, Japan ke external trade balance ke kamzor data ne yen par kuch pressure daala hai. Aage ka direction discuss karna mushkil hai, kyunke US dollar ke kuch doosre risk assets ke muqablay mein kamzor hone ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair clear downward trend nahi dikha raha. Har girawat par dollar buyers market mein dobara entry karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada bharosa karunga.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab yeh 146.15 ke entry point tak pohnche, jo chart par green line se plot hai. Mera maqsad 146.70 tak barhna hai, jo chart par thick green line se plot hai. 147.70 ke area mein, main long positions se exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, 30-35 pips ke movement ki expectation ke sath. Aaj pair ki upar correction ke dauran barhne ki umeed hai. Important: Kharidne se pehle, yeh ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur rise kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Aaj, main USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bhi bana raha hoon agar 145.57 ka do baar consecutive test ho jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke neeche girne ki potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse upar le jayega. Hum 146.15 aur 146.70 tak growth ki umeed kar sakte hain.

Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1; Main USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 145.57 ka level test ho, jo chart par red line se plot hai, jo pair ko tez girawat dega. Sellers ke liye key target 145.00 hoga, jahan main short positions se exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, 20-25 pips ke movement ki expectation ke sath. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas taur par agar pehle half of the day mein correction unsuccessful ho aur daily high test nahi ho. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur decline kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main USD/JPY ko aaj bechne ka plan bhi bana raha hoon agar 146.15 ka do baar consecutive test ho jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upar girne ki potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse downward le jayega. Hum 145.57 aur 145.00 tak decline ki umeed kar sakte hain.

Sab ko acha din! USD/JPY currency pair mein recently aik dilchasp tabdeeli dekhi gayi hai. Kal shaam ko 146.10 ke level ke upar trade karne ke baad, jo ke pichle hafte ka low tha, aisa laga ke uptrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin, ab pair is key level ke neeche wapas aa gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bearish scenario tez ho raha hai. Is reversal se yeh pata chal raha hai ke sellers control le rahe hain, aur uptrend shayad apni momentum kho raha hai.
Technically, price ne ek ascending channel ko bearish impulse ke sath break kiya hai. Yeh breakout ahm hai, kyunke yeh market ke trend mein aik mumkinah tabdeeli ko mark karta hai. Ab ke downward movement ko aik larger bearish pattern ki second wave ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. 146.00 ka round level, jo ke pair ne recently breach kiya hai, ab aik strong resistance level ban sakta hai. Yeh area traders ke liye short positions shuru karne ka ideal entry point ban sakta hai, kyunke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath match karta hai.

Is impulse ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, hum Fibonacci retracement grid ka istemal kar sakte hain takay potential support levels aur targets ko gauge kiya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke taur par ubharta hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas hai. Halankeh yeh level foran nazdeek nahi hai, lekin yeh aik ahm support area hai jo aane wale dinon mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level bhi current minimum ke nazdeek hai, isliye yeh bears ke liye aik compelling target ban sakta hai jo downward momentum ko capitalize karna chahte hain.

Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair ke recent price action bearish sentiment ko barhata hai. 146.10 ke neeche break, aur ascending channel ka breach yeh darshata hai ke bears price ko niche push karte rahenge. Traders ko 146.00 ke resistance level ko closely dekhna chahiye shorting opportunities ke liye. Agar bearish trend jari raha, to 142.80 ka level, jo ke 161.8% Fibonacci extension ke sath match karta hai, aik important target banega. Yeh bearish outlook tab tak valid rahega jab tak pair 146.10 ke level ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur agar price is level ke upar sustained move karta hai to current bearish scenario invalidate ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis
Price ka 146.60 ke support level ki taraf move karne ka imkaan hai. Is support level ke aas-paas, main situation ko aur qareeb se dekhunga, kyunki yahan kuch surprises ho sakte hain. Jab price is support level ke neeche merge hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh local support 142.85 ya 141.80 ki taraf move karegi. Is support level ke nazdeek aik trade setup banne ki ummeed hai, jo trade ke aage ke direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Aik 'northern signal', jo ke potential upward price movement ko indicate karta hai, is setup ka aik key factor hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke pehli dafa mein door ka support break hona mushkil hai, isliye agar northern signal ban jata hai to main kharidari karunga. Agar price confidently is support level ke neeche merge hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 141.30 ke support level ya 141.00 ke local support ki taraf move karegi.




Aaj USDJPY trading 147.23 ke price se shuru hui. H1 timeframe par dekhain, to candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar iske baad yeh area successfully penetrate hota hai, to USDJPY aur zyada upar chalega. Lekin agar resistance area pass nahi hota, to USDJPY wapas niche aayega. Pichle Thursday ko, USDJPY ke girne ke baad, iska movement phir se upar gaya. Yeh tab hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt iski movement kaafi high thi kyunki yeh 150 pips ke aas-paas uthi. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke pass ab bhi upar jaane ka chance hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kar liya hai. Lekin, aapko bhi ehtiyaat rakhni chahiye kyunki candle ne MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kiya hai. Wahan ek rebound bhi ho sakta hai jo ke eventually girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar market ke majority participants ko convince kar liya jaye ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur ab is pair ko bechna chahiye, to price zyada upar nahi jaane ki wajah se, shayad bohot se market participants samajhte hain ke price yahin se niche drop ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Senior weekly chart par dekhne se yeh wazeh hai ke price pichle chand hafton mein tezi se gir gayi hai. Yeh girawat aksar technical indicators ki wajah se hoti hai, khaaskar MACD indicator par bearish divergence jo nazar aayi hai. CCI indicator ne bhi bearish divergence ki nishandahi ki hai, lekin choti scale par. Is girawat ki buniyadi wajah bhi hain. Bank of Japan, jo apni currency ki lagatar kamzori se pareshan tha, ne dekha ke bazaar mein billions inject karne ka kuch asar nahi hua aur phir se interest rates barhane ka faisla kiya. Is move ne ek bade girawat ka aghaz kiya. Is dauran, 151.91 level ka hona mumkin tha, jo ke ascending trend line ke toote janay ke baad aaya. Price lagbhag 140.26 ke support level tak pahuncha lekin wahan se kamzor rahe gaya. Phir ek correction aayi aur price ne broken ascending line ko niche se touch kiya, jo ke aage ki downward movement ka ishara hai.




Filhal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka tajziya karte hain. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main sirf recent low 143.01 se kharidna pasand karunga. Pound aur euro ke charts ke muqablay, jahan current price ke qareeb upward trend continue ho sakta hai, 145.85 level strong buy entry ke liye thoda risky lagta hai. Main 143.01 tak girawat ka intezar karunga aur agar halat behtar ho to 149.89 par profit nikalne ki koshish karunga. Yeh wazeh hai ke bullish trend ab bhi barqarar hai, lekin pair ko resistance zone 145.96-145.90 ke upar position banani hogi. Iske madde nazar, do scenarios ho sakte hain: ya to USD/JPY pair agle haftay downward movement continue karega ya is resistance ke upar stabilize hote hue 151.85 ki taraf barhega. Is waqt, market mein enter karne ke liye koi compelling opportunity nazar nahi aati, isliye main agle haftay tak intezar karunga taake situation ka dobara tajziya kar saku. Update rahne se traders timely adjustments kar sakte hain aur apni strategies ko naye information ke sath relevant rakh sakte hain. Yeh umeed hai ke price aane wale dino mein sellers ko favour karegi, jo recent losses recovery trend ko extend kar dega. Isliye USD/JPY ka market sentiment samajhna zaroori hai taake is environment ko behtar tarike se navigate kiya ja sake. Sentiment tezi se shift ho sakta hai aur traders ko changes ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. Isme kisi bhi potential reversal ya broader market trend ke shift ko pehchanana bhi shamil hai jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakti hai. Market updates ke sath attuned rehkar aur sentiment ko accurately interpret karke traders apne aap ko opportunities ka faida uthane ya risks ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar position mein rakh sakte hain. Waise, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne losses ko cover karte hue 146.66 zone tak progress kiya hai. 146.42 ke short target ke sath sell position recommend ki jati hai, lekin news aur sentiment ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake evolving market conditions ke sath aligned raha ja sake.

USD/JPY Price Movement Study
Filhal hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Saara din yeh speculation hoti rahi hai ke Fed ke minutes kya reveal kar sakte hain, jo dollar ko major currencies ke muqablay aur kamzor kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair ke liye, in minutes par kaafi kuch depend karta hai, kyunki chart par price triangle bhi inki release ke baad breakout ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh uncertainty market ke reaction par depend karti hai, isliye humein sirf intezar karna hoga. Dollar par pressure kam ho sakta hai, jo 148.09 ki taraf correction ka lead de sakta hai, lekin akhirat mein yeh US regulator ke tone par depend karega. US news mein surprises aam baat hai, jo unpredictability ko barhata hai. USD/JPY quotes ab bhi ek descending wide channel ke andar triangle bana rahe hain.




148.01 test karne ke baad, rebound aur phir 146.09 tak girawat ki strong possibility hai. Itni bade girawat ke liye additional negative news ki zarurat hogi. Is haftay ka sabse aham event Fed ke minutes ki release hai. Pair ek critical level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo history mein resistance aur support ka kaam karta hai. Current price 146.12 hai, aur zyadatar technical indicators bullish trend dikhate hain. Agar pair aaj is level ko break kar deta hai, to yeh 146.59 tak ke raaste khol sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh pehli dafa mein successful hoga, kyunki bulls itne strong nahi lagte. 145.08 tak ka pullback mumkin hai, isliye humein dekhnah hoga ke yeh kaise unfold hota hai. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke market mein enter karna abhi bhi jaldi hai. Triangle ki upper boundary ko 146.29 ke upar break karne se yeh channel ke upper limit ko test karne ka chance mil sakta hai, jo resistance level 148.01 ke saath align karta hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis
Hello sab ko, kaise hain aap? Yen ka price 149.20 level tak barh gaya aur is level ko dobara test karne ke baad gir gaya. Yeh bullish movement 139.90 ke support level ko cross karne ka signal diya. Japanese yen ne pichle trading week mein upward correction continue rakha aur naye local highs tak pahuncha. Price 149.19 par ruka jahan resistance mila, phir wapas gir gaya aur signal zone ke niche height kho di. Is tarah se, expected downside scenario abhi tak complete nahi hua aur continue kar raha hai. Is dauran, price chart supertrend red zone mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo ke sellers ki activity barhne ka ishara hai.




USD/JPY pair Wall Street trading ke shuruat se gir raha hai, jo ke US Treasury yields ke sath direct correlation ki wajah se hai, jo kamzor dollar ki wajah se gir gayi thi. Pair pichle din ke close 147.53 se gir kar 146.58 tak pahuncha. Din ka high 148.05 aur low 145.18 raha. US Treasury yields Monday ko gir gaye, jo dollar ke muqablay losses ko reflect karta hai.

Filhal prices weekly lows se thodi kam trading kar rahi hain. Main resistance zone ko test kiya gaya, jo ke breakout se narrowly bach gaya aur quotes ko neeche kheench liya, is tarah se downward vector ki priority barkarar rakhi. Ab, downward intentions ko confirm karne ke liye, 145.81 ke level ke niche consolidation zaroori hai, jahan central resistance zone border karta hai. Is level ka dobara test aur phir niche ki reversal se 140.80 aur 137.72 ke beech naye wave ka raasta khulega.

Agar resistance overcome hota hai aur price 149.19 ke reversal level ko break karti hai, to current scenario cancel karne ka signal mil sakta hai.